MoE_10TR_1_LR_1.0E-4_LDR_0.99_MR_0.9

Datasets are ready ... Initializing the process ...
 (Input) Features length:8
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@19a0c7c ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.043047770111854344
train epoch 1: 0.16182077950964405
train epoch 2: 0.15827680901895755
train epoch 3: 0.15480956373399687
train epoch 4: 0.15141928210282143
train epoch 5: 0.14810597170362552
train epoch 6: 0.14486941132468253
train epoch 7: 0.1417091774644733
train epoch 8: 0.13862467294477232
train epoch 9: 0.13561512986812757
train epoch 10: 0.13267964910924437
train epoch 11: 0.1298172160244898
train epoch 12: 0.1270267163050679
train epoch 13: 0.12430695199088232
train epoch 14: 0.12165665602501155
train epoch 15: 0.11907450783964267
train epoch 16: 0.11655914580264352
train epoch 17: 0.11410916598707517
train epoch 18: 0.11172313976408246
train epoch 19: 0.10939962596780647
train epoch 20: 0.10713718470663706
train epoch 21: 0.10493436744849768
train epoch 22: 0.1027897297356334
train epoch 23: 0.10070183456740091
train epoch 24: 0.09866926329210214
train epoch 25: 0.09669061861048729
train epoch 26: 0.09476451910259269
train epoch 27: 0.0928896113704586
train epoch 28: 0.09106456399587877
train epoch 29: 0.08928807655571519
train epoch 30: 0.08755887848757843
train epoch 31: 0.0858757304537482
train epoch 32: 0.08423742361498761
train epoch 33: 0.08264278220563805
train epoch 34: 0.08109066318744929
train epoch 35: 0.07957995644820218
train epoch 36: 0.07810958481248081
train epoch 37: 0.07667850592596087
train epoch 38: 0.07528570917777755
train epoch 39: 0.07393021201767987
train epoch 40: 0.0726110692077411
train epoch 41: 0.07132736125075911
train epoch 42: 0.07007820091280222
train epoch 43: 0.06886273176332129
train epoch 44: 0.06768012651439093
train epoch 45: 0.0665295862723668
train epoch 46: 0.06541033976504515
train epoch 47: 0.0643216425488746
train epoch 48: 0.06326277620822976
train epoch 49: 0.06223304775338525
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.9166666666666666
hit rate + :0.14285714285714285
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :1.0026041666666667
hit rate E-Increase :10.847222222222221
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.07138224387732908
mae:0.24412139278301181
rmse:0.26717455694232767
mape:1.3605716498877722
corr:0.9619079000554296
theil coefficient:3.4323174028007903
net profit:-83.04803327968642
buy and hold:4.4727891604286435E-4
mean profit per trade:-1.1864004754240918
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		11316,06255		+		9630,5		+
1		11310,17271		+		9463,61		+
2		11281,34365		-		9349,84		-
3		11263,4474		-		9364,93		+
4		11265,73905		+		9277,27		-
5		11252,7775		-		9394,61		+
6		11270,3196		+		9547,3		+
7		11295,41802		+		9388,86		-
8		11269,42458		-		9307		-
9		11257,07841		-		9469,79		+
10		11282,35665		+		9399,87		-
11		11271,14149		-		9653,31		+
12		11314,35033		+		9399,38		-
13		11271,0648		-		9008,26		-
14		11218,29258		-		9268,47		+
15		11251,52314		+		9234,25		-
16		11246,72661		-		9249,21		+
17		11248,8076		+		9093,33		-
18		11228,33548		-		9224,54		+
19		11245,38912		+		9257,54		+
20		11249,97705		+		9263,78		+
21		11250,85812		+		9325,12		+
22		11259,74757		+		9282,25		-
23		11253,49115		-		9072,02		-
24		11225,74489		-		9119,21		+
25		11231,54887		+		8945,3		-
26		11211,3726		-		8878,09		-
27		11204,46585		-		8842,24		-
28		11200,98423		-		9057,45		+
29		11224,00251		+		9001,18		-
30		11217,49268		-		8893,67		-
31		11206,02278		-		8932,58		+
32		11210,0274		+		8912,54		-
33		11207,94415		-		8809,12		-
34		11197,89272		-		9145,58		+
35		11234,89904		+		9320,08		+
36		11259,00151		+		9307,04		-
37		11257,08425		-		9029,59		-
38		11220,73587		-		9291		+
39		11254,75166		+		9189,7		-
40		11240,67571		-		9698,98		+
41		11322,88589		+		9903,86		+
42		11363,97304		+		9997,49		+
43		11384,26211		+		10137,35		+
44		11416,31752		+		9943,62		-
45		11372,47351		-		10384,15		+
46		11477,91954		+		10411,77		+
47		11485,20784		+		10437,84		+
48		11492,15905		+		10138,54		-
49		11416,59915		-		10251,92		+
50		11444,1218		+		10217,08		-
51		11435,52052		-		10844,43		+
52		11609,4203		+		11947,28		+
53		12003,38081		+		11973,38		+
54		12013,87916		+		13472,17		+
55		12679,10382		+		12872,41		-
56		12400,87348		-		12773,73		-
57		12356,3269		-		12097,53		-
58		12064,45847		-		12417,13		+
59		12199,21764		+		12971		+
60		12445,78296		+		13597,57		+
61		12738,46475		+		14058,4		+
62		12958,22897		+		13387,93		-
63		12639,40375		-		13292,01		-
64		12594,40366		-		13811,14		+
65		12840,10457		+		13501,38		-
66		12692,90481		-		13052,91		-
67		12483,37767		-		12824,29		-
68		12379,09844		-		13036,91		+
69		12476,01485		+		12923,75		-
70		12424,21147		-		13201,5		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 32
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)45
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	12424.21147209547
New Prediction 1	12202.272528774201
New Prediction 2	12107.926356360853
New Prediction 3	12068.741054345128
New Prediction 4	12052.636863941754
New Prediction 5	12046.048201097174
New Prediction 6	12043.357610927605
New Prediction 7	12042.259701397505
New Prediction 8	12041.811836862462
New Prediction 9	12041.629197100076
New Prediction 10	12041.554711148397
New Prediction 11	12041.524298588181
New Prediction 12	12041.511922368858
New Prediction 13	12041.506866248437
New Prediction 14	12041.504790978146
New Prediction 15	12041.503960870521
New Prediction 16	12041.50362128112
New Prediction 17	12041.50347035251
New Prediction 18	12041.50343262036
New Prediction 19	12041.503394888212
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-0,05206		+		-1,74812		+
2		-0,25522		-		-1,20947		+
3		-0,15876		+		0,16126		+
4		0,02034		+			-0,94045		-
5		-0,11512		-		1,25688		+
6		0,15577		+			1,61223		+
7		0,22245		+			-1,67345		-
8		-0,23039		-		-0,87571		+
9		-0,10961		+		1,73399		+
10		0,2243		+			-0,74109		-
11		-0,09945		-		2,6605		+
12		0,38263		+			-2,66571		-
13		-0,38331		-		-4,25018		-
14		-0,46931		-		2,84764		+
15		0,29578		+			-0,36989		-
16		-0,04264		-		0,16187		+
17		0,0185		+			-1,6997		-
18		-0,18216		-		1,43261		+
19		0,15177		+			0,3571		-
20		0,04079		-			0,06738		-
21		0,00783		-			0,65997		+
22		0,07898		+			-0,46079		-
23		-0,05558		-		-2,2909		-
24		-0,24686		-		0,51882		+
25		0,05169		+			-1,92549		-
26		-0,1798		-			-0,75418		+
27		-0,06162		+		-0,40462		+
28		-0,03108		+		2,40474		+
29		0,20529		+			-0,62319		-
30		-0,05802		-		-1,20159		-
31		-0,1023		-			0,43655		+
32		0,03573		+			-0,2246		-
33		-0,01859		-		-1,16717		-
34		-0,08972		-		3,74832		+
35		0,32993		+			1,89005		-
36		0,2143		-			-0,14001		-
37		-0,01703		-		-3,02641		-
38		-0,32342		-		2,85392		+
39		0,30269		+			-1,09629		-
40		-0,12515		-		5,39374		+
41		0,7287		+			2,09039		-
42		0,36221		-			0,94095		-
43		0,17838		-			1,38926		+
44		0,28118		+			-1,92955		-
45		-0,38479		-		4,33495		+
46		0,92293		+			0,26563		-
47		0,06348		-			0,25008		-
48		0,0605		-			-2,90937		-
49		-0,65966		-		1,1121		+
50		0,24079		+			-0,34042		-
51		-0,07519		-		5,95908		+
52		1,50925		+			9,68521		+
53		3,33715		+			0,21822		-
54		0,08742		-			11,79402		+
55		5,38927		+			-4,55398		-
56		-2,21884		-		-0,76955		+
57		-0,35987		+		-5,43894		-
58		-2,39044		-		2,60757		+
59		1,1108		+			4,36391		+
60		2,001		+			4,7175		+
61		2,32443		+			3,3329		-
62		1,71049		-			-4,88665		-
63		-2,49118		-		-0,71905		+
64		-0,35667		+		3,83124		+
65		1,93209		+			-2,26836		-
66		-1,15303		-		-3,37808		-
67		-1,66452		-		-1,76701		+
68		-0,83885		+		1,64435		+
69		0,77985		+			-0,87179		-
70		-0,41609		-		2,12638		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 24
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)34
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-1,80249		+		-1,80249		+
2		-0,77619		+		-0,77619		+
3		-0,32416		+		-0,32416		+
4		-0,13353		+		-0,13353		+
5		-0,05468		+		-0,05468		+
6		-0,02234		+		-0,02234		+
7		-0,00912		+		-0,00912		+
8		-0,00372		+		-0,00372		+
9		-0,00152		+		-0,00152		+
10		-0,00062		+		-0,00062		+
11		-0,00025		+		-0,00025		+
12		-0,0001		+			-0,0001		+
13		-0,00004		+		-0,00004		+
14		-0,00002		+		-0,00002		+
15		-0,00001		+		-0,00001		+
16		-0		+			-0		+
17		-0		+			-0		+
18		-0		+			-0		+
19		-0		+			-0		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.03569112193866454

 0.run Duration 	5 seconds 348 milliseconds

Finished All Runs

 Total Duration	5 seconds 428 milliseconds
