MoE_30_10TR30_1_LR_1.0E-4_LDR_0.99_MR_0.9

Datasets are ready ... Initializing the process ...
 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@18c56d ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0023785990427152167
train epoch 1: 3.5973963227682457E-4
train epoch 2: 3.5969075141453863E-4
train epoch 3: 3.5964189114599983E-4
train epoch 4: 3.595930513306227E-4
train epoch 5: 3.5954423188524446E-4
train epoch 6: 3.5949543272688404E-4
train epoch 7: 3.5944665377273015E-4
train epoch 8: 3.5939789494011265E-4
train epoch 9: 3.593491561465441E-4
train epoch 10: 3.593004373097024E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5925173834742063E-4
train epoch 12: 3.592030591777077E-4
train epoch 13: 3.5915439971871086E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5910575988876446E-4
train epoch 15: 3.590571396063637E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5900853879014457E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5895995735893036E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5891139523169563E-4
train epoch 19: 3.588628523275666E-4
train epoch 20: 3.5881432856584987E-4
train epoch 21: 3.587658238659916E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5871733814761103E-4
train epoch 23: 3.586688713304844E-4
train epoch 24: 3.58620423334536E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5857199407986564E-4
train epoch 26: 3.585235834867216E-4
train epoch 27: 3.584751914755094E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5842681796680016E-4
train epoch 29: 3.583784628813097E-4
train epoch 30: 3.583301261399284E-4
train epoch 31: 3.582818076636876E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5823350737377793E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5818522519154246E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5813696103849466E-4
train epoch 35: 3.580887148362889E-4
train epoch 36: 3.580404865067368E-4
train epoch 37: 3.579922759718016E-4
train epoch 38: 3.579440831536108E-4
train epoch 39: 3.578959079744421E-4
train epoch 40: 3.578477503567238E-4
train epoch 41: 3.577996102230397E-4
train epoch 42: 3.577514874961089E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5770338209882834E-4
train epoch 44: 3.576552939542323E-4
train epoch 45: 3.576072229855176E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5755916911601353E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5751113226922213E-4
train epoch 48: 3.574631123687904E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5741510933849624E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5925368224209986
mae:0.7301808218413025
rmse:0.7697641342781557
mape:6.931187710793629
corr:0.9722219150188546
theil coefficient:27.248032817435977
net profit:45.327996804926265
buy and hold:-6.844022949778807E-4
mean profit per trade:0.23009135433972724
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20723,92361		+		32155,21		+
1		20731,62458		+		32389,47		+
2		20735,98555		+		31833,73		-
3		20726,71031		-		31732,53		-
4		20725,41985		-		32205,37		+
5		20732,50307		+		32563,26		+
6		20739,64512		+		31042,99		-
7		20719,90126		-		30820,77		-
8		20719,34033		-		30789,2		-
9		20719,30881		-		30707,06		-
10		20719,28295		-		31258,97		+
11		20721,01533		+		31953,99		+
12		20728,40357		+		32325,14		+
13		20734,72255		+		32302,07		-
14		20734,28168		-		33048,99		+
15		20751,78647		+		33379,53		+
16		20761,656		+		32684,23		-
17		20742,40556		-		32577,09		-
18		20739,95186		-		32979,02		+
19		20749,86401		+		32560,89		-
20		20739,59279		-		32814,31		+
21		20745,56889		+		32615,92		-
22		20740,82529		-		33044,36		+
23		20751,65745		+		33408,62		+
24		20762,58676		+		33914,45		+
25		20780,37505		+		33841,77		-
26		20777,63286		-		34090,39		+
27		20787,2714		+		34113,74		+
28		20788,21409		+		34177,52		+
29		20790,82177		+		34486,01		+
30		20804,10991		+		34517,06		+
31		20805,50928		+		33954		-
32		20781,89346		-		34229,07		+
33		20792,96442		+		34656,83		+
34		20811,94832		+		34473,76		-
35		20803,56093		-		35341,2		+
36		20846,76724		+		35436,38		+
37		20852,04064		+		34985,45		-
38		20827,98711		-		35477,06		+
39		20854,32647		+		35415,91		-
40		20850,89766		-		35599,13		+
41		20861,30029		+		35465,95		-
42		20853,70029		-		35235,93		-
43		20841,05698		-		35713,98		+
44		20868,0185		+		36318,81		+
45		20905,89479		+		36244,96		-
46		20901,0461		-		36238,27		-
47		20900,60994		-		36651,61		+
48		20928,51344		+		36690,84		+
49		20931,26229		+		37064,27		+
50		20958,29606		+		37341,66		+
51		20979,38826		+		37405,4		+
52		20984,35604		+		36616,43		-
53		20926,06316		-		37220		+
54		20970,0318		+		37442,67		+
55		20987,2817		+		37806,83		+
56		21016,6765		+		37986,17		+
57		21031,68929		+		37653,78		-
58		21004,14403		-		37864,77		+
59		21021,48816		+		38368,66		+
60		21064,88142		+		38115,81		-
61		21042,76084		-		38117,31		+
62		21042,89001		+		37812,55		-
63		21017,14988		-		37795,9		-
64		21015,77296		-		37120,78		-
65		20962,52329		-		35873,33		-
66		20877,59104		-		35801,57		-
67		20873,24413		-		35980,06		+
68		20884,16549		+		35563,59		-
69		20859,25214		-		35678,19		+
70		20865,90866		+		36278,29		+
71		20903,22674		+		36940,33		+
72		20949,14995		+		37308,42		+
73		20976,81552		+		37571,76		+
74		20997,53414		+		38213,14		+
75		21051,19349		+		38501,45		+
76		21076,77608		+		38524,92		+
77		21078,89817		+		39739,74		+
78		21196,75252		+		41191,35		+
79		21357,60038		+		40866,67		-
80		21319,78265		-		41116,03		+
81		21348,73447		+		41039,94		-
82		21339,83479		-		40415,4		-
83		21268,96721		-		40502,58		+
84		21278,6244		+		41505,67		+
85		21395,19937		+		42194,73		+
86		21480,96368		+		42002,34		-
87		21456,56155		-		42125,61		+
88		21472,15641		+		42951,75		+
89		21580,33943		+		42938,85		-
90		21578,6018		-		42724,09		-
91		21549,89727		-		43376,85		+
92		21638,44086		+		43571,25		+
93		21665,54912		+		42993,27		-
94		21585,94241		-		42621,33		-
95		21536,31216		-		43020,51		+
96		21589,62683		+		42818,62		-
97		21562,47998		-		42158,4		-
98		21476,32887		-		42992,3		+
99		21585,81129		+		42939,38		-
100		21578,67321		-		44230,97		+
101		21760,00817		+		45924,25		+
102		22019,06812		+		44714,51		-
103		21831,6007		-		42928,65		-
104		21577,22893		-		42756,7		-
105		21554,22867		-		42828,64		+
106		21563,81856		+		43542,17		+
107		21661,47278		+		42333,2		-
108		21498,74282		-		40959,96		-
109		21330,5418		-		40059,32		-
110		21230,32555		-		40613,38		+
111		21291,00874		+		40220,55		-
112		21247,66193		-		39180,23		-
113		21140,53304		-		40047,06		+
114		21229,01814		+		40115,67		+
115		21236,35436		+		40702,82		+
116		21301,0958		+		40465,11		-
117		21274,4643		-		40170,35		-
118		21242,23564		-		39875,77		-
119		21210,91405		-		39515,79		-
120		21173,85667		-		40789,03		+
121		21310,89444		+		41914,3		+
122		21445,51198		+		42429,06		+
123		21511,15629		+		43336,22		+
124		21632,81757		+		43169,58		-
125		21609,90868		-		43325,09		+
126		21631,27973		+		44489,37		+
127		21798,02255		+		43633,67		-
128		21674,32426		-		43683,33		+
129		21681,32996		+		43862,73		+
130		21706,81811		+		44641,85		+
131		21820,71778		+		45002,63		+
132		21875,18297		+		45282,32		+
133		21918,13631		+		45698,49		+
134		21983,20392		+		45104,65		-
135		21890,77748		-		46335,45		+
136		22085,39166		+		47443,65		+
137		22270,3187		+		47163,5		-
138		22222,74302		-		46930,71		-
139		22183,62934		-		48132,11		+
140		22389,50529		+		48930,72		+
141		22531,61632		+		49088,14		+
142		22560,09521		+		49397,32		+
143		22616,45849		+		50121,05		+
144		22750,54108		+		49699,67		-
145		22672,11524		-		48989,65		-
146		22542,25997		-		49210,68		+
147		22582,3665		+		47715,08		-
148		22316,92914		-		48708,09		+
149		22491,59807		+		48006,84		-
150		22367,58356		-		48194,4		+
151		22400,444		+		47890,75		-
152		22347,36043		-		47955,51		+
153		22358,63075		+		48200,39		+
154		22401,49705		+		47943,58		-
155		22356,55249		-		48625,74		+
156		22476,87305		+		48825,83		+
157		22512,72415		+		49525,55		+
158		22639,99902		+		49776,82		+
159		22686,40028		+		49567,61		-
160		22647,74121		-		49800,83		+
161		22690,8527		+		50621,01		+
162		22844,83662		+		50467,53		-
163		22815,74936		-		50551,02		+
164		22831,55696		+		51837,65		+
165		23079,52497		+		52835,66		+
166		23277,00284		+		53247,94		+
167		23359,74292		+		53520,24		+
168		23414,73349		+		56253,95		+
169		23979,27542		+		56985,69		+
170		24133,35667		+		55060,42		-
171		23730,31856		-		56432,58		+
172		24016,79985		+		57532,02		+
173		24248,95783		+		56592,36		-
174		24050,4155		-		57277,66		+
175		24195,08362		+		58983,91		+
176		24557,79637		+		58940,68		-
177		24548,57703		-		58296,28		-
178		24411,2936		-		57598,15		-
179		24262,97844		-		56988,75		-
180		24134,00291		-		57896,31		+
181		24326,25775		+		57227,66		-
182		24184,50374		-		56376,62		-
183		24005,03801		-		57266,53		+
184		24192,72809		+		56940,58		-
185		24123,83162		-		55865,39		-
186		23897,87247		-		56114,11		+
187		23949,94278		+		57175,59		+
188		24173,49011		+		56096,5		-
189		23946,25202		-		55475		-
190		23816,41841		-		55952,65		+
191		23916,12564		+		58107,95		+
192		24371,23396		+		59333,17		+
193		24632,31199		+		59917,84		+
194		24757,13509		+		59812,92		-
195		24734,73141		-		59080,2		-
196		24578,33463		-		59292,68		+
197		24623,67067		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24623.670673333516
New Prediction 1	20940.477646316118
New Prediction 2	21278.821722809676
New Prediction 3	21241.760842092863
New Prediction 4	21245.76350534497
New Prediction 5	21245.330528315884
New Prediction 6	21245.377366501172
New Prediction 7	21245.372338055447
New Prediction 8	21245.372803651346
New Prediction 9	21245.372803651346
New Prediction 10	21245.372803651346
New Prediction 11	21245.372803651346
New Prediction 12	21245.372803651346
New Prediction 13	21245.372803651346
New Prediction 14	21245.372803651346
New Prediction 15	21245.372803651346
New Prediction 16	21245.372803651346
New Prediction 17	21245.372803651346
New Prediction 18	21245.372803651346
New Prediction 19	21245.372803651346
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03715		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02103		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04474		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00623		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03417		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03444		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,09524		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00271		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00015		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,00012		+		1,78138		+
11		0,00836		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03565		+			1,15482		-
13		0,03048		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00213		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08439		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04755		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09276		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01183		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04778		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04951		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02881		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02287		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05221		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05265		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08564		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,0132		-			0,73197		+
27		0,04638		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00453		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01254		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06389		+			0,09		-
31		0,00673		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11357		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05326		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09126		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,04031		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20747		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02529		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11542		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12638		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01644		-		0,516		+
41		0,04988		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03644		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,06065		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12928		+			1,67936		+
45		0,18134		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,0232		-			-0,01846		+
47		-0,00209		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13342		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01313		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12907		+			0,74562		-
51		0,10059		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02368		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27818		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20989		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08223		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13996		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07141		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13106		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08254		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20621		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10507		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,1224		-			-0,04404		+
64		-0,00655		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,2537		-			-3,41828		-
66		-0,40599		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02082		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05231		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11936		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03191		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17869		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21945		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13197		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09872		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25522		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12145		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01007		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55755		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75597		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17723		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13571		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,0417		-			-1,53348		-
83		-0,33264		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04539		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54635		+			1,64653		-
86		0,40006		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11366		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07265		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50256		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00805		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13311		-		1,5163		+
92		0,41004		+			0,44716		-
93		0,1252		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36811		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,23018		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24725		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12582		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,40034		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50849		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03307		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83683		+			3,75681		+
102		1,1835		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85503		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,172		-			-0,40135		+
105		-0,10665		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04448		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45184		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75408		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78545		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,47093		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28542		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,2038		-			-2,62058		-
113		-0,50547		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41768		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03455		-			1,45303		+
116		0,3044		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,1251		-			-0,7311		-
118		-0,1516		-			-0,73603		-
119		-0,14756		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17486		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64512		+			2,72139		-
122		0,6297		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30563		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56398		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10595		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09885		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76789		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56909		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03232		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11749		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52335		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24929		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19616		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29643		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42133		-		2,6922		+
136		0,8851		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83384		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21386		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17616		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92377		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63272		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12632		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24952		+			1,45449		+
144		0,5911		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34532		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,5744		-			0,45016		+
147		0,17776		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18238		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77963		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55291		-		0,38993		+
151		0,1468		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23726		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05042		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19154		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20083		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53675		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15938		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56375		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20474		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17055		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19018		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67632		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12741		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06926		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08022		+			1,90696		-
166		0,852		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35483		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23513		-			4,98164		+
169		2,38245		+			1,29239		-
170		0,6405		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,68415		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20001		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96201		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82214		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59972		+			2,9354		+
176		1,48799		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03755		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,5608		-			-1,20478		-
179		-0,60942		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53299		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79346		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58442		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74484		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77884		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28519		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94108		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21765		+			1,87398		+
188		0,92906		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94448		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54366		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41778		+			3,77967		+
192		1,88506		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06556		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50547		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09053		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,6343		-			0,359		+
197		0,18429		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,20242		+		-16,20242		+
2		1,60283		+			1,60283		+
3		-0,17432		-		-0,17432		-
4		0,01884		+			0,01884		+
5		-0,00204		-		-0,00204		-
6		0,00022		+			0,00022		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2962684112104993

 0.run Duration 	47 seconds 642 milliseconds

Finished All Runs

 Total Duration	47 seconds 642 milliseconds
