MoE_30_10TR30_20_LR_1.0E-4_LDR_0.99_MR_0.9

Datasets are ready ... Initializing the process ...
 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1ec8909 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 6.834110043013417E-4
train epoch 1: 3.605524751640506E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6047306109019154E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6039369959301127E-4
train epoch 4: 3.603143904839527E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6023513357515217E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6015592867927337E-4
train epoch 7: 3.600767756095187E-4
train epoch 8: 3.5999767417962616E-4
train epoch 9: 3.599186242038538E-4
train epoch 10: 3.598396254970005E-4
train epoch 11: 3.59760677874379E-4
train epoch 12: 3.596817811518492E-4
train epoch 13: 3.5960293514578865E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5952413967308864E-4
train epoch 15: 3.594453945511652E-4
train epoch 16: 3.593666995979509E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5928805463191025E-4
train epoch 18: 3.59209459472014E-4
train epoch 19: 3.591309139377611E-4
train epoch 20: 3.590524178491489E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5897397102669536E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5889557329141166E-4
train epoch 23: 3.588172244648387E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5873892436902283E-4
train epoch 25: 3.586606728265126E-4
train epoch 26: 3.585824696603542E-4
train epoch 27: 3.585043146941071E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5842620775183414E-4
train epoch 29: 3.583481486580893E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5827013723793255E-4
train epoch 31: 3.581921733169198E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5811425672109147E-4
train epoch 33: 3.580363872770084E-4
train epoch 34: 3.579585648117058E-4
train epoch 35: 3.578807891526998E-4
train epoch 36: 3.578030601280313E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5772537756618067E-4
train epoch 38: 3.576477412961321E-4
train epoch 39: 3.575701511474145E-4
train epoch 40: 3.574926069499756E-4
train epoch 41: 3.574151085342786E-4
train epoch 42: 3.5733765573124784E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5726024837225026E-4
train epoch 44: 3.571828862892092E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5710556931451104E-4
train epoch 46: 3.570282972809985E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5695107002198733E-4
train epoch 48: 3.568738873712657E-4
train epoch 49: 3.567967491631109E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5945188750164243
mae:0.7313041315286003
rmse:0.7710505009507641
mape:6.9373240887408
corr:0.9714383524494651
theil coefficient:27.344030762797917
net profit:44.362370845788966
buy and hold:-6.992995290508996E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2251896997248171
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20717,37197		+		32155,21		+
1		20724,19592		+		32389,47		+
2		20728,17145		+		31833,73		-
3		20719,79622		-		31732,53		-
4		20718,66428		-		32205,37		+
5		20724,99261		+		32563,26		+
6		20731,53944		+		31042,99		-
7		20714,18096		-		30820,77		-
8		20713,93683		-		30789,2		-
9		20713,94964		+		30707,06		-
10		20714,03834		+		31258,97		+
11		20714,97923		+		31953,99		+
12		20721,29895		+		32325,14		+
13		20727,01517		+		32302,07		-
14		20726,6124		-		33048,99		+
15		20742,84067		+		33379,53		+
16		20752,11763		+		32684,23		-
17		20734,0941		-		32577,09		-
18		20731,82276		-		32979,02		+
19		20741,04149		+		32560,89		-
20		20731,49111		-		32814,31		+
21		20737,03358		+		32615,92		-
22		20732,63031		-		33044,36		+
23		20742,71983		+		33408,62		+
24		20752,99545		+		33914,45		+
25		20769,84273		+		33841,77		-
26		20767,2381		-		34090,39		+
27		20776,4029		+		34113,74		+
28		20777,30063		+		34177,52		+
29		20779,7851		+		34486,01		+
30		20792,46904		+		34517,06		+
31		20793,80683		+		33954		-
32		20771,28597		-		34229,07		+
33		20781,82774		+		34656,83		+
34		20799,96704		+		34473,76		-
35		20791,94431		-		35341,2		+
36		20833,38147		+		35436,38		+
37		20838,4545		+		34985,45		-
38		20815,33946		-		35477,06		+
39		20840,65432		+		35415,91		-
40		20837,35472		-		35599,13		+
41		20847,36873		+		35465,95		-
42		20840,05165		-		35235,93		-
43		20827,89142		-		35713,98		+
44		20853,84109		+		36318,81		+
45		20890,3947		+		36244,96		-
46		20885,70999		-		36238,27		-
47		20885,28864		-		36651,61		+
48		20912,2661		+		36690,84		+
49		20914,92598		+		37064,27		+
50		20941,10373		+		37341,66		+
51		20961,54963		+		37405,4		+
52		20966,36767		+		36616,43		-
53		20909,89545		-		37220		+
54		20952,4777		+		37442,67		+
55		20969,20555		+		37806,83		+
56		20997,7348		+		37986,17		+
57		21012,3161		+		37653,78		-
58		20985,56786		-		37864,77		+
59		21002,40743		+		38368,66		+
60		21044,57684		+		38115,81		-
61		21023,07365		-		38117,31		+
62		21023,19917		+		37812,55		-
63		20998,19447		-		37795,9		-
64		20996,85745		-		37120,78		-
65		20945,20001		-		35873,33		-
66		20863,06969		-		35801,57		-
67		20858,87807		-		35980,06		+
68		20869,41194		+		35563,59		-
69		20845,39631		-		35678,19		+
70		20851,80805		+		36278,29		+
71		20887,8167		+		36940,33		+
72		20932,24355		+		37308,42		+
73		20959,05479		+		37571,76		+
74		20979,15282		+		38213,14		+
75		21031,26941		+		38501,45		+
76		21056,14471		+		38524,92		+
77		21058,20887		+		39739,74		+
78		21172,99478		+		41191,35		+
79		21330,02059		+		40866,67		-
80		21293,07048		-		41116,03		+
81		21321,35655		+		41039,94		-
82		21312,66044		-		40415,4		-
83		21243,44928		-		40502,58		+
84		21252,87686		+		41505,67		+
85		21366,7735		+		42194,73		+
86		21450,664		+		42002,34		-
87		21426,78749		-		42125,61		+
88		21442,04578		+		42951,75		+
89		21547,95576		+		42938,85		-
90		21546,25383		-		42724,09		-
91		21518,14275		-		43376,85		+
92		21604,87759		+		43571,25		+
93		21631,44459		+		42993,27		-
94		21553,44379		-		42621,33		-
95		21504,84099		-		43020,51		+
96		21557,05276		+		42818,62		-
97		21530,46446		-		42158,4		-
98		21446,12858		-		42992,3		+
99		21553,31536		+		42939,38		-
100		21546,32377		-		44230,97		+
101		21724,06007		+		45924,25		+
102		21978,36604		+		44714,51		-
103		21794,2966		-		42928,65		-
104		21544,90918		-		42756,7		-
105		21522,38415		-		42828,64		+
106		21531,77535		+		43542,17		+
107		21627,44928		+		42333,2		-
108		21468,06376		-		40959,96		-
109		21303,58103		-		40059,32		-
110		21205,73964		-		40613,38		+
111		21264,96861		+		40220,55		-
112		21222,65519		-		39180,23		-
113		21118,20493		-		40047,06		+
114		21204,46415		+		40115,67		+
115		21211,62159		+		40702,82		+
116		21274,81886		+		40465,11		-
117		21248,81552		-		40170,35		-
118		21217,36014		-		39875,77		-
119		21186,80479		-		39515,79		-
120		21150,67435		-		40789,03		+
121		21284,38873		+		41914,3		+
122		21415,97784		+		42429,06		+
123		21480,21409		+		43336,22		+
124		21599,36729		+		43169,58		-
125		21576,92129		-		43325,09		+
126		21597,86039		+		44489,37		+
127		21761,35018		+		43633,67		-
128		21640,04573		-		43683,33		+
129		21646,91292		+		43862,73		+
130		21671,9002		+		44641,85		+
131		21783,61763		+		45002,63		+
132		21837,06979		+		45282,32		+
133		21879,23733		+		45698,49		+
134		21943,13575		+		45104,65		-
135		21852,37769		-		46335,45		+
136		22043,53634		+		47443,65		+
137		22225,37126		+		47163,5		-
138		22178,57435		-		46930,71		-
139		22140,10946		-		48132,11		+
140		22342,6554		+		48930,72		+
141		22482,58489		+		49088,14		+
142		22510,63756		+		49397,32		+
143		22566,16783		+		50121,05		+
144		22698,32369		+		49699,67		-
145		22621,01551		-		48989,65		-
146		22493,06882		-		49210,68		+
147		22532,57803		+		47715,08		-
148		22271,22957		-		48708,09		+
149		22443,17167		+		48006,84		-
150		22321,07849		-		48194,4		+
151		22353,42289		+		47890,75		-
152		22301,17548		-		47955,51		+
153		22312,26715		+		48200,39		+
154		22354,45948		+		47943,58		-
155		22310,22178		-		48625,74		+
156		22428,67108		+		48825,83		+
157		22463,97745		+		49525,55		+
158		22589,36452		+		49776,82		+
159		22635,09503		+		49567,61		-
160		22596,99416		-		49800,83		+
161		22639,48358		+		50621,01		+
162		22791,30941		+		50467,53		-
163		22762,62227		-		50551,02		+
164		22778,21199		+		51837,65		+
165		23022,89404		+		52835,66		+
166		23217,92745		+		53247,94		+
167		23299,68757		+		53520,24		+
168		23354,04109		+		56253,95		+
169		23912,68777		+		56985,69		+
170		24065,36118		+		55060,42		-
171		23666,18705		-		56432,58		+
172		23949,86145		+		57532,02		+
173		24179,96225		+		56592,36		-
174		23983,16721		-		57277,66		+
175		24126,54812		+		58983,91		+
176		24486,3651		+		58940,68		-
177		24477,21348		-		58296,28		-
178		24340,97487		-		57598,15		-
179		24193,86484		-		56988,75		-
180		24066,0017		-		57896,31		+
181		24256,62028		+		57227,66		-
182		24116,05983		-		56376,62		-
183		23938,20901		-		57266,53		+
184		24124,21296		+		56940,58		-
185		24055,92068		-		55865,39		-
186		23832,06321		-		56114,11		+
187		23883,63286		+		57175,59		+
188		24105,14197		+		56096,5		-
189		23879,97725		-		55475		-
190		23751,41202		-		55952,65		+
191		23850,13975		+		58107,95		+
192		24301,23291		+		59333,17		+
193		24560,34462		+		59917,84		+
194		24684,31485		+		59812,92		-
195		24662,06006		-		59080,2		-
196		24506,7536		-		59292,68		+
197		24551,76445		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24551.76444824518
New Prediction 1	20945.655843855944
New Prediction 2	21278.23756333677
New Prediction 3	21241.904917018357
New Prediction 4	21245.820092578673
New Prediction 5	21245.397495510613
New Prediction 6	21245.443111468994
New Prediction 7	21245.43818746025
New Prediction 8	21245.438744894156
New Prediction 9	21245.438651988494
New Prediction 10	21245.438651988494
New Prediction 11	21245.438651988494
New Prediction 12	21245.438651988494
New Prediction 13	21245.438651988494
New Prediction 14	21245.438651988494
New Prediction 15	21245.438651988494
New Prediction 16	21245.438651988494
New Prediction 17	21245.438651988494
New Prediction 18	21245.438651988494
New Prediction 19	21245.438651988494
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03293		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01918		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04041		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00546		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03054		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03158		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,08376		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00118		+		-0,10248		+
9		0,00006		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00043		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00454		+			2,19907		+
12		0,0305		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02758		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00194		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07827		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04471		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08689		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01096		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04446		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04606		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02673		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02124		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04865		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04953		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08115		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01254		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04412		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00432		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01196		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06102		+			0,09		-
31		0,00643		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10836		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05074		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08725		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03858		-		2,4851		+
36		0,1991		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02435		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11099		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12154		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01583		-		0,516		+
41		0,04805		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,0351		-			-0,65068		-
43		-0,05837		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12451		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17513		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02243		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00202		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12909		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01272		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12508		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09759		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02298		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26971		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20344		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07981		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13596		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06942		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12738		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08021		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20058		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10223		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11901		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00637		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24633		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39289		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02009		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05049		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11514		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03075		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17254		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21247		+			0,99151		-
73		0,128		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09585		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24811		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11821		-			0,06094		-
77		0,0098		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54361		+			3,58766		+
79		0,7389		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17338		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13275		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04079		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32527		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04437		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53448		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39185		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11137		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07119		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49272		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,0079		-			-0,50141		-
91		-0,13055		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40227		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12289		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36124		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22575		+		0,93221		+
96		0,2425		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12342		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39247		-		1,95871		+
99		0,49855		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03244		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82152		+			3,75681		+
102		1,16382		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84103		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15088		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,1046		+			0,16811		+
106		0,04363		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44335		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,73969		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,76912		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46033		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27892		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19918		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49338		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40763		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03375		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29749		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,1223		-			-0,7311		-
118		-0,14814		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14411		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17068		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63021		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61634		-			1,22064		-
123		0,2995		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55318		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10397		-		0,35958		+
126		0,097		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75412		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,55899		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03173		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11536		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51417		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24508		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19291		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29162		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41446		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87097		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82151		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21078		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17358		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91068		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62434		-			0,3212		-
142		0,1247		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24638		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58393		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34117		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,56722		-		0,45016		+
147		0,1755		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,16665		-		2,05976		+
149		0,76907		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,5455		-			0,38993		+
151		0,1448		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23401		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04972		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18892		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19809		-		1,41281		+
156		0,52952		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15729		-			1,42292		+
158		0,55662		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20224		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16847		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18785		+			1,63351		+
162		0,66839		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12595		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06846		+			2,51336		+
165		1,06846		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84356		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35152		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23301		-			4,98164		+
169		2,36392		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63643		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,67262		-		2,46155		+
172		1,19152		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95617		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,81721		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59606		+			2,9354		+
176		1,48036		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03738		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55815		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60621		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,5299		+			1,57998		+
181		0,78895		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58116		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74021		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77401		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28349		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,93493		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21615		+			1,87398		+
188		0,92318		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,93848		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,53984		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41481		+			3,77967		+
192		1,8737		+			2,0866		-
193		1,0606		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50349		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,0902		-			-1,23258		-
196		-0,63173		-		0,359		+
197		0,1835		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,88525		+		-15,88525		+
2		1,57536		+			1,57536		+
3		-0,1709		-			-0,1709		-
4		0,01843		+			0,01843		+
5		-0,00199		-		-0,00199		-
6		0,00021		+			0,00021		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29725943750821215

 0.run Duration 	29 seconds 166 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@4aa0ce ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0011501685411845672
train epoch 1: 3.6024766787406135E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6017995517158454E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6011228033890476E-4
train epoch 4: 3.60044643225823E-4
train epoch 5: 3.5997704368253864E-4
train epoch 6: 3.5990948155962833E-4
train epoch 7: 3.598419567080404E-4
train epoch 8: 3.59774468979102E-4
train epoch 9: 3.597070182245418E-4
train epoch 10: 3.5963960429643833E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5957222704726815E-4
train epoch 12: 3.5950488632987534E-4
train epoch 13: 3.594375819974792E-4
train epoch 14: 3.593703139036835E-4
train epoch 15: 3.593030819024401E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5923588584810354E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5916872559539127E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5910160099937485E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5903451191551057E-4
train epoch 20: 3.589674581996228E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5890043970789065E-4
train epoch 22: 3.588334562968681E-4
train epoch 23: 3.587665078234757E-4
train epoch 24: 3.586995941449909E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5863271511906954E-4
train epoch 26: 3.585658706037144E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5849906045728205E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5843228453851867E-4
train epoch 29: 3.583655427065061E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5829883482068784E-4
train epoch 31: 3.58232160740873E-4
train epoch 32: 3.581655203272192E-4
train epoch 33: 3.580989134402413E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5803233994080634E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5796579969014827E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5789929254983495E-4
train epoch 37: 3.578328183817962E-4
train epoch 38: 3.577663770483052E-4
train epoch 39: 3.576999684119923E-4
train epoch 40: 3.576335923358381E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5756724868317023E-4
train epoch 42: 3.575009373176493E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5743465810329805E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5736841090448036E-4
train epoch 45: 3.573021955859047E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5723601201261896E-4
train epoch 47: 3.57169860050015E-4
train epoch 48: 3.571037395638316E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5703765042013484E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5939304667758823
mae:0.7309591248395141
rmse:0.7706688437817389
mape:6.934832645968171
corr:0.9716818759682592
theil coefficient:27.318889697033065
net profit:44.60732932415162
buy and hold:-6.954593675538676E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2264331437774194
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20720,52455		+		32155,21		+
1		20727,62633		+		32389,47		+
2		20731,72215		+		31833,73		-
3		20723,06436		-		31732,53		-
4		20721,88201		-		32205,37		+
5		20728,44864		+		32563,26		+
6		20735,18047		+		31042,99		-
7		20717,06407		-		30820,77		-
8		20716,71543		-		30789,2		-
9		20716,71353		-		30707,06		-
10		20716,76412		+		31258,97		+
11		20717,96547		+		31953,99		+
12		20724,62741		+		32325,14		+
13		20730,53267		+		32302,07		-
14		20730,11803		-		33048,99		+
15		20746,73899		+		33379,53		+
16		20756,19502		+		32684,23		-
17		20737,79855		-		32577,09		-
18		20735,47103		-		32979,02		+
19		20744,90232		+		32560,89		-
20		20735,1309		-		32814,31		+
21		20740,80672		+		32615,92		-
22		20736,29889		-		33044,36		+
23		20746,61567		+		33408,62		+
24		20757,08875		+		33914,45		+
25		20774,21649		+		33841,77		-
26		20771,57112		-		34090,39		+
27		20780,87586		+		34113,74		+
28		20781,78683		+		34177,52		+
29		20784,30751		+		34486,01		+
30		20797,16811		+		34517,06		+
31		20798,52383		+		33954		-
32		20775,68196		-		34229,07		+
33		20786,3795		+		34656,83		+
34		20804,76501		+		34473,76		-
35		20796,63632		-		35341,2		+
36		20838,583		+		35436,38		+
37		20843,71306		+		34985,45		-
38		20820,32977		-		35477,06		+
39		20845,93732		+		35415,91		-
40		20842,601		-		35599,13		+
41		20852,7253		+		35465,95		-
42		20845,32797		-		35235,93		-
43		20833,03013		-		35713,98		+
44		20859,26719		+		36318,81		+
45		20896,19182		+		36244,96		-
46		20891,46138		-		36238,27		-
47		20891,0359		-		36651,61		+
48		20918,2707		+		36690,84		+
49		20920,95519		+		37064,27		+
50		20947,36869		+		37341,66		+
51		20967,99143		+		37405,4		+
52		20972,8503		+		36616,43		-
53		20915,87801		-		37220		+
54		20958,84176		+		37442,67		+
55		20975,7121		+		37806,83		+
56		21004,47625		+		37986,17		+
57		21019,17405		+		37653,78		-
58		20992,21031		-		37864,77		+
59		21009,18646		+		38368,66		+
60		21051,68499		+		38115,81		-
61		21030,01615		-		38117,31		+
62		21030,14265		+		37812,55		-
63		21004,93962		-		37795,9		-
64		21003,59182		-		37120,78		-
65		20951,50088		-		35873,33		-
66		20868,59275		-		35801,57		-
67		20864,3574		-		35980,06		+
68		20875,00027		+		35563,59		-
69		20850,73143		-		35678,19		+
70		20857,21245		+		36278,29		+
71		20893,58872		+		36940,33		+
72		20938,42996		+		37308,42		+
73		20965,47532		+		37571,76		+
74		20985,74237		+		38213,14		+
75		21038,27556		+		38501,45		+
76		21063,34025		+		38524,92		+
77		21065,41987		+		39739,74		+
78		21181,01654		+		41191,35		+
79		21339,03107		+		40866,67		-
80		21301,8584		-		41116,03		+
81		21330,31534		+		41039,94		-
82		21321,56705		-		40415,4		-
83		21251,92909		-		40502,58		+
84		21261,41607		+		41505,67		+
85		21376,00001		+		42194,73		+
86		21460,36558		+		42002,34		-
87		21436,35626		-		42125,61		+
88		21451,69963		+		42951,75		+
89		21558,18047		+		42938,85		-
90		21556,46962		-		42724,09		-
91		21528,21009		-		43376,85		+
92		21615,39609		+		43571,25		+
93		21642,09736		+		42993,27		-
94		21563,6972		-		42621,33		-
95		21514,83729		-		43020,51		+
96		21567,325		+		42818,62		-
97		21540,59714		-		42158,4		-
98		21455,80507		-		42992,3		+
99		21563,5681		+		42939,38		-
100		21556,53993		-		44230,97		+
101		21735,16764		+		45924,25		+
102		21990,62925		+		44714,51		-
103		21805,73628		-		42928,65		-
104		21555,11793		-		42756,7		-
105		21532,47403		-		42828,64		+
106		21541,91496		+		43542,17		+
107		21638,08197		+		42333,2		-
108		21477,86097		-		40959,96		-
109		21312,43283		-		40059,32		-
110		21213,97751		-		40613,38		+
111		21273,5834		+		40220,55		-
112		21231,00246		-		39180,23		-
113		21125,85099		-		40047,06		+
114		21212,69371		+		40115,67		+
115		21219,89767		+		40702,82		+
116		21283,49473		+		40465,11		-
117		21257,32919		-		40170,35		-
118		21225,67333		-		39875,77		-
119		21194,91841		-		39515,79		-
120		21158,5453		-		40789,03		+
121		21293,12353		+		41914,3		+
122		21425,48588		+		42429,06		+
123		21490,07753		+		43336,22		+
124		21609,85773		+		43169,58		-
125		21587,29657		-		43325,09		+
126		21608,34314		+		44489,37		+
127		21772,63539		+		43633,67		-
128		21650,74159		-		43683,33		+
129		21657,64305		+		43862,73		+
130		21682,7541		+		44641,85		+
131		21795,00748		+		45002,63		+
132		21848,70667		+		45282,32		+
133		21891,06507		+		45698,49		+
134		21955,24625		+		45104,65		-
135		21864,08426		-		46335,45		+
136		22056,0763		+		47443,65		+
137		22238,64646		+		47163,5		-
138		22191,6653		-		46930,71		-
139		22153,04644		-		48132,11		+
140		22356,37807		+		48930,72		+
141		22496,81609		+		49088,14		+
142		22524,96754		+		49397,32		+
143		22580,69029		+		50121,05		+
144		22713,28854		+		49699,67		-
145		22635,72423		-		48989,65		-
146		22507,33706		-		49210,68		+
147		22546,98454		+		47715,08		-
148		22284,68212		-		48708,09		+
149		22457,26233		+		48006,84		-
150		22334,72033		-		48194,4		+
151		22367,18566		+		47890,75		-
152		22314,74217		-		47955,51		+
153		22325,8758		+		48200,39		+
154		22368,2261		+		47943,58		-
155		22323,82271		-		48625,74		+
156		22442,70951		+		48825,83		+
157		22478,14256		+		49525,55		+
158		22603,96623		+		49776,82		+
159		22649,85095		+		49567,61		-
160		22611,62178		-		49800,83		+
161		22654,25416		+		50621,01		+
162		22806,57268		+		50467,53		-
163		22777,79459		-		50551,02		+
164		22793,43386		+		51837,65		+
165		23038,85662		+		52835,66		+
166		23234,43252		+		53247,94		+
167		23316,4079		+		53520,24		+
168		23370,90064		+		56253,95		+
169		23930,80448		+		56985,69		+
170		24083,768		+		55060,42		-
171		23683,78745		-		56432,58		+
172		23968,05087		+		57532,02		+
173		24198,57212		+		56592,36		-
174		24001,42063		-		57277,66		+
175		24145,06492		+		58983,91		+
176		24505,45651		+		58940,68		-
177		24496,29179		-		58296,28		-
178		24359,84887		-		57598,15		-
179		24212,49849		-		56988,75		-
180		24084,40969		-		57896,31		+
181		24275,35898		+		57227,66		-
182		24134,55803		-		56376,62		-
183		23956,37578		-		57266,53		+
184		24142,72562		+		56940,58		-
185		24074,31021		-		55865,39		-
186		23850,01759		-		56114,11		+
187		23901,6918		+		57175,59		+
188		24123,62069		+		56096,5		-
189		23898,02887		-		55475		-
190		23769,19768		-		55952,65		+
191		23868,13108		+		58107,95		+
192		24320,04401		+		59333,17		+
193		24579,53898		+		59917,84		+
194		24703,67018		+		59812,92		-
195		24681,38756		-		59080,2		-
196		24525,87389		-		59292,68		+
197		24570,94713		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 105
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)53
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24570.947132828966
New Prediction 1	20944.82983200493
New Prediction 2	21278.299740120558
New Prediction 3	21241.903167491473
New Prediction 4	21245.82125117103
New Prediction 5	21245.398797827118
New Prediction 6	21245.4443681716
New Prediction 7	21245.43944908624
New Prediction 8	21245.439913150018
New Prediction 9	21245.439913150018
New Prediction 10	21245.439913150018
New Prediction 11	21245.439913150018
New Prediction 12	21245.439913150018
New Prediction 13	21245.439913150018
New Prediction 14	21245.439913150018
New Prediction 15	21245.439913150018
New Prediction 16	21245.439913150018
New Prediction 17	21245.439913150018
New Prediction 18	21245.439913150018
New Prediction 19	21245.439913150018
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03427		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01976		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04177		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00571		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03168		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03247		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,08741		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00168		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00001		+		-0,26714		-
10		0,00024		+			1,78138		+
11		0,0058		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03215		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02849		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,002		-			2,28597		+
15		0,08015		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04557		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08867		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01122		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04547		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04711		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02737		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02174		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04974		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05047		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08248		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01273		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04479		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00438		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01213		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06186		+			0,09		-
31		0,00652		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10988		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05148		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08841		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03908		-		2,4851		+
36		0,2015		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02462		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11225		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12292		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01601		-		0,516		+
41		0,04856		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03548		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05901		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12586		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17686		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02264		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00204		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13028		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01283		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12617		+			0,74562		-
51		0,0984		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02317		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27202		-		1,63492		+
54		0,2052		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08046		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13704		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06995		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12836		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08084		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20208		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10298		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11991		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00642		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24832		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,3965		-			-0,20024		+
67		-0,0203		+			0,49731		+
68		0,051		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11633		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03108		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17425		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21439		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12908		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09662		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25002		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11907		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00987		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54725		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74325		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17435		-		0,60833		+
81		0,1335		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04102		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32714		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04463		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53748		+			1,64653		-
86		0,3939		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11194		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07155		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49515		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00794		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13118		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40417		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12345		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36292		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22684		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24366		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,124		-			-1,55391		-
98		-0,39442		-		1,95871		+
99		0,501		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,0326		-			2,96359		+
101		0,82523		+			3,75681		+
102		1,16848		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84434		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15598		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10511		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04384		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44542		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74321		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77321		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46303		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28058		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20036		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,4965		-			2,1883		+
114		0,41023		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03395		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29926		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12301		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14903		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,145		+			-0,90685		-
120		-0,17176		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63403		+			2,72139		-
122		0,6197		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30102		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55583		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10446		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09745		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75744		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56142		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03187		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11588		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51637		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24608		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19368		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29276		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41608		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87428		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82435		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21148		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17418		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91366		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62621		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12506		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24708		+			1,45449		+
144		0,5855		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34208		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,5688		-			0,45016		+
147		0,176		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17018		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77145		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54716		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14525		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23474		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04988		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18951		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19871		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53114		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15776		-			1,42292		+
158		0,5582		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20279		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16893		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18836		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67011		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12626		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06864		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07097		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84531		-			0,77728		-
167		0,3522		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23344		-			4,98164		+
169		2,36748		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63716		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,67473		-		2,46155		+
172		1,1931		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95719		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,81806		-		1,20367		+
175		0,5967		+			2,9354		+
176		1,48158		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03741		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55855		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60673		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53042		+		1,57998		+
181		0,78971		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,5817		-			-1,49828		-
183		-0,74103		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77486		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28378		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,93604		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21643		+			1,87398		+
188		0,92422		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,93955		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54055		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41536		+			3,77967		+
192		1,87567		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06135		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50375		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09024		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63208		-		0,359		+
197		0,18361		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,96729		+		-15,96729		+
2		1,57959		+			1,57959		+
3		-0,1712		-			-0,1712		-
4		0,01844		+			0,01844		+
5		-0,00199		-		-0,00199		-
6		0,00021		+			0,00021		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2969652333879412

 1.run Duration 	16 seconds 197 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1833eca ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 9.91219421338486E-4
train epoch 1: 3.605168106086336E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6046673838317073E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6041668797259004E-4
train epoch 4: 3.603666592771755E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6031665219740953E-4
train epoch 6: 3.602666666339774E-4
train epoch 7: 3.602167024877629E-4
train epoch 8: 3.601667596598591E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6011683805153773E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6006693756429083E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6001705809981057E-4
train epoch 12: 3.5996719955996826E-4
train epoch 13: 3.59917361846851E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5986754486272616E-4
train epoch 15: 3.598177485100783E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5976797269157647E-4
train epoch 17: 3.597182173100847E-4
train epoch 18: 3.596684822686633E-4
train epoch 19: 3.596187674705766E-4
train epoch 20: 3.5956907281927384E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5951939821840344E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5946974357180576E-4
train epoch 23: 3.5942010878350114E-4
train epoch 24: 3.593704937577322E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5932089839890377E-4
train epoch 26: 3.592713226116302E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5922176630070064E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5917222937111845E-4
train epoch 29: 3.591227117280615E-4
train epoch 30: 3.590732132768979E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5902373392318756E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5897427357267425E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5892483213130147E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5887540950519276E-4
train epoch 35: 3.588260056006583E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5877662032420004E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5872725358249537E-4
train epoch 38: 3.586779052824259E-4
train epoch 39: 3.586285753310474E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5857926363559224E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5852997010349955E-4
train epoch 42: 3.584806946423816E-4
train epoch 43: 3.584314371600316E-4
train epoch 44: 3.583821975644104E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5833297576370144E-4
train epoch 46: 3.582837716662452E-4
train epoch 47: 3.582345851805625E-4
train epoch 48: 3.581854162153676E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5813626467956353E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5940854549129099
mae:0.7311737452140544
rmse:0.7707693915257078
mape:6.94257077355031
corr:0.9715476288207942
theil coefficient:27.29009106459353
net profit:44.970523095331245
buy and hold:-6.898426548047489E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2282767669813769
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20706,92829		+		32155,21		+
1		20713,77385		+		32389,47		+
2		20717,7766		+		31833,73		-
3		20709,35429		-		31732,53		-
4		20708,22028		-		32205,37		+
5		20714,57547		+		32563,26		+
6		20721,17172		+		31042,99		-
7		20703,77635		-		30820,77		-
8		20703,56478		-		30789,2		-
9		20703,583		+		30707,06		-
10		20703,6867		+		31258,97		+
11		20704,55225		+		31953,99		+
12		20710,86208		+		32325,14		+
13		20716,61178		+		32302,07		-
14		20716,20615		-		33048,99		+
15		20732,57998		+		33379,53		+
16		20741,95599		+		32684,23		-
17		20723,74874		-		32577,09		-
18		20721,45746		-		32979,02		+
19		20730,76255		+		32560,89		-
20		20721,12298		-		32814,31		+
21		20726,71545		+		32615,92		-
22		20722,27197		-		33044,36		+
23		20732,45791		+		33408,62		+
24		20742,84354		+		33914,45		+
25		20759,8861		+		33841,77		-
26		20757,25038		-		34090,39		+
27		20766,52571		+		34113,74		+
28		20767,43443		+		34177,52		+
29		20769,94945		+		34486,01		+
30		20782,79206		+		34517,06		+
31		20784,14682		+		33954		-
32		20761,34668		-		34229,07		+
33		20772,01734		+		34656,83		+
34		20790,38569		+		34473,76		-
35		20782,26068		-		35341,2		+
36		20824,23827		+		35436,38		+
37		20829,37915		+		34985,45		-
38		20805,95755		-		35477,06		+
39		20831,60848		+		35415,91		-
40		20828,26464		-		35599,13		+
41		20838,41329		+		35465,95		-
42		20830,99772		-		35235,93		-
43		20818,67512		-		35713,98		+
44		20844,9732		+		36318,81		+
45		20882,0276		+		36244,96		-
46		20877,27818		-		36238,27		-
47		20876,85103		-		36651,61		+
48		20904,20267		+		36690,84		+
49		20906,89965		+		37064,27		+
50		20933,44413		+		37341,66		+
51		20954,17821		+		37405,4		+
52		20959,06436		+		36616,43		-
53		20901,79898		-		37220		+
54		20944,97825		+		37442,67		+
55		20961,94239		+		37806,83		+
56		20990,87637		+		37986,17		+
57		21005,66524		+		37653,78		-
58		20978,53658		-		37864,77		+
59		20995,61547		+		38368,66		+
60		21038,38659		+		38115,81		-
61		21016,57619		-		38117,31		+
62		21016,7035		+		37812,55		-
63		20991,34257		-		37795,9		-
64		20989,98655		-		37120,78		-
65		20937,59804		-		35873,33		-
66		20854,32728		-		35801,57		-
67		20850,07858		-		35980,06		+
68		20860,75617		+		35563,59		-
69		20836,41427		-		35678,19		+
70		20842,91262		+		36278,29		+
71		20879,41398		+		36940,33		+
72		20924,45951		+		37308,42		+
73		20951,64814		+		37571,76		+
74		20972,03054		+		38213,14		+
75		21024,88896		+		38501,45		+
76		21050,12001		+		38524,92		+
77		21052,21372		+		39739,74		+
78		21168,6491		+		41191,35		+
79		21327,93607		+		40866,67		-
80		21290,45428		-		41116,03		+
81		21319,14741		+		41039,94		-
82		21310,32618		-		40415,4		-
83		21240,11849		-		40502,58		+
84		21249,68187		+		41505,67		+
85		21365,21726		+		42194,73		+
86		21450,31078		+		42002,34		-
87		21426,09232		-		42125,61		+
88		21441,56918		+		42951,75		+
89		21548,99143		+		42938,85		-
90		21547,26527		-		42724,09		-
91		21518,75365		-		43376,85		+
92		21606,72209		+		43571,25		+
93		21633,66555		+		42993,27		-
94		21554,55758		-		42621,33		-
95		21505,26211		-		43020,51		+
96		21558,2179		+		42818,62		-
97		21531,25101		-		42158,4		-
98		21445,71044		-		42992,3		+
99		21554,42731		+		42939,38		-
100		21547,33621		-		44230,97		+
101		21727,58772		+		45924,25		+
102		21985,43088		+		44714,51		-
103		21798,80896		-		42928,65		-
104		21545,90149		-		42756,7		-
105		21523,05552		-		42828,64		+
106		21532,58058		+		43542,17		+
107		21629,61367		+		42333,2		-
108		21467,95947		-		40959,96		-
109		21301,11612		-		40059,32		-
110		21201,86561		-		40613,38		+
111		21261,94778		+		40220,55		-
112		21219,02484		-		39180,23		-
113		21113,07082		-		40047,06		+
114		21200,57174		+		40115,67		+
115		21207,83229		+		40702,82		+
116		21271,93988		+		40465,11		-
117		21245,56203		-		40170,35		-
118		21213,65351		-		39875,77		-
119		21182,658		-		39515,79		-
120		21146,00732		-		40789,03		+
121		21281,64755		+		41914,3		+
122		21415,12774		+		42429,06		+
123		21480,28351		+		43336,22		+
124		21601,13363		+		43169,58		-
125		21578,36892		-		43325,09		+
126		21599,60535		+		44489,37		+
127		21765,40133		+		43633,67		-
128		21642,38841		-		43683,33		+
129		21649,35273		+		43862,73		+
130		21674,69305		+		44641,85		+
131		21787,98063		+		45002,63		+
132		21842,17901		+		45282,32		+
133		21884,9328		+		45698,49		+
134		21949,71536		+		45104,65		-
135		21857,69999		-		46335,45		+
136		22051,49444		+		47443,65		+
137		22235,79068		+		47163,5		-
138		22188,36482		-		46930,71		-
139		22149,3806		-		48132,11		+
140		22354,63693		+		48930,72		+
141		22496,40272		+		49088,14		+
142		22524,81983		+		49397,32		+
143		22581,06779		+		50121,05		+
144		22714,91146		+		49699,67		-
145		22636,61944		-		48989,65		-
146		22507,02299		-		49210,68		+
147		22547,04446		+		47715,08		-
148		22282,26222		-		48708,09		+
149		22456,47537		+		48006,84		-
150		22332,77418		-		48194,4		+
151		22365,5468		+		47890,75		-
152		22312,60689		-		47955,51		+
153		22323,84592		+		48200,39		+
154		22366,59709		+		47943,58		-
155		22321,77339		-		48625,74		+
156		22441,78501		+		48825,83		+
157		22477,55286		+		49525,55		+
158		22604,56281		+		49776,82		+
159		22650,87887		+		49567,61		-
160		22612,29038		-		49800,83		+
161		22655,32343		+		50621,01		+
162		22809,06727		+		50467,53		-
163		22780,02071		-		50551,02		+
164		22795,80593		+		51837,65		+
165		23043,50122		+		52835,66		+
166		23240,8598		+		53247,94		+
167		23323,57374		+		53520,24		+
168		23378,55438		+		56253,95		+
169		23943,3098		+		56985,69		+
170		24097,54109		+		55060,42		-
171		23694,1909		-		56432,58		+
172		23980,86736		+		57532,02		+
173		24213,2786		+		56592,36		-
174		24014,51457		-		57277,66		+
175		24159,33836		+		58983,91		+
176		24522,57664		+		58940,68		-
177		24513,34163		-		58296,28		-
178		24375,83902		-		57598,15		-
179		24227,31711		-		56988,75		-
180		24098,18804		-		57896,31		+
181		24290,68074		+		57227,66		-
182		24148,74603		-		56376,62		-
183		23969,0949		-		57266,53		+
184		24156,98005		+		56940,58		-
185		24088,00571		-		55865,39		-
186		23861,84269		-		56114,11		+
187		23913,95282		+		57175,59		+
188		24137,7196		+		56096,5		-
189		23910,25908		-		55475		-
190		23780,3352		-		55952,65		+
191		23880,10931		+		58107,95		+
192		24335,72041		+		59333,17		+
193		24597,22306		+		59917,84		+
194		24722,28202		+		59812,92		-
195		24699,83448		-		59080,2		-
196		24543,1502		-		59292,68		+
197		24588,56619		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24588.566189004727
New Prediction 1	20937.348981736042
New Prediction 2	21279.37895866167
New Prediction 3	21241.372954408427
New Prediction 4	21245.537416085397
New Prediction 5	21245.080457968885
New Prediction 6	21245.130529538663
New Prediction 7	21245.125049904982
New Prediction 8	21245.125711238732
New Prediction 9	21245.125616762456
New Prediction 10	21245.125616762456
New Prediction 11	21245.125616762456
New Prediction 12	21245.125616762456
New Prediction 13	21245.125616762456
New Prediction 14	21245.125616762456
New Prediction 15	21245.125616762456
New Prediction 16	21245.125616762456
New Prediction 17	21245.125616762456
New Prediction 18	21245.125616762456
New Prediction 19	21245.125616762456
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03305		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01932		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04066		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00548		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03068		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03184		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,08398		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00102		+		-0,10248		+
9		0,00009		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,0005		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00418		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03047		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02776		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00196		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07901		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04521		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08782		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01106		+		1,22623		+
19		0,0449		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04651		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02699		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02144		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04914		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05008		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08213		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,0127		-			0,73197		+
27		0,04467		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00438		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01211		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06181		+			0,09		-
31		0,00652		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10976		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05138		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08839		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03909		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20178		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02468		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11251		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12321		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01605		-		0,516		+
41		0,04871		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03559		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05917		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12624		+			1,67936		+
45		0,1776		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02275		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00205		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13093		+			0,10698		-
49		0,0129		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12688		+			0,74562		-
51		0,099		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02332		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,2736		-			1,63492		+
54		0,20637		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08096		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13794		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07043		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12923		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08138		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20351		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10372		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12074		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00646		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,2499		-			-3,41828		-
66		-0,3985		-			-0,20024		+
67		-0,02038		+		0,49731		+
68		0,0512		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11676		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03118		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17497		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21551		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12985		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09724		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25173		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11993		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00995		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55156		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74965		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17589		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13468		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04139		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33		-			0,21548		+
84		0,04501		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54223		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39749		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11297		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07221		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49975		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00801		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13241		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40797		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12462		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36634		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22896		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24594		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12517		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39808		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50566		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,0329		-			2,96359		+
101		0,83306		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17972		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85247		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16697		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10609		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04425		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44962		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75018		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78021		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46703		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28298		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20208		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50059		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41358		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03424		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30183		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12408		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,1503		-			-0,73603		-
119		-0,14622		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17317		-		3,17128		+
121		0,6394		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62525		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30379		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56103		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10544		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09837		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76466		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56678		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03217		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11698		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52131		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24844		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19555		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29558		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42009		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88271		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83228		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21351		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17585		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92242		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63216		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12624		-			0,62787		+
143		0,2494		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59098		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34527		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57415		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17766		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,1813		-			2,05976		+
149		0,77881		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55237		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14664		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23698		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05036		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19132		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20061		-		1,41281		+
156		0,5362		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15925		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56346		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20469		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17051		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19013		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67633		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12743		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06927		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08072		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85281		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35527		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23545		-			4,98164		+
169		2,38698		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64209		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,68799		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20264		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96449		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82428		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60126		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49232		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03767		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56251		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61116		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53442		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79561		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58603		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74672		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78081		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28593		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94334		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21814		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93137		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94681		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54486		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41869		+			3,77967		+
192		1,88994		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06883		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50714		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09084		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63637		-		0,359		+
197		0,18487		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,07469		+		-16,07469		+
2		1,62039		+			1,62039		+
3		-0,17876		-		-0,17876		-
4		0,0196		+			0,0196		+
5		-0,00215		-		-0,00215		-
6		0,00024		+			0,00024		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29704272745645494

 2.run Duration 	15 seconds 855 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1e3cd51 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0021568160600425016
train epoch 1: 3.602810896539994E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6024795555257636E-4
train epoch 3: 3.602148310950329E-4
train epoch 4: 3.60181716180503E-4
train epoch 5: 3.60148610749289E-4
train epoch 6: 3.601155147417793E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6008242809843486E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6004935075982535E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6001628266658903E-4
train epoch 10: 3.599832237594561E-4
train epoch 11: 3.59950173979247E-4
train epoch 12: 3.599171332668558E-4
train epoch 13: 3.598841015632726E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5985107880956094E-4
train epoch 15: 3.598180649468783E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5978505991646155E-4
train epoch 17: 3.59752063659638E-4
train epoch 18: 3.597190761178117E-4
train epoch 19: 3.596860972324747E-4
train epoch 20: 3.596531269452065E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5962016519766105E-4
train epoch 22: 3.595872119315722E-4
train epoch 23: 3.5955426708876874E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5952133061115387E-4
train epoch 25: 3.594884024407182E-4
train epoch 26: 3.594554825195324E-4
train epoch 27: 3.594225707897504E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5938966719361253E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5935677167342673E-4
train epoch 30: 3.59323884171597E-4
train epoch 31: 3.592910046305995E-4
train epoch 32: 3.592581329929941E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5922526920142343E-4
train epoch 34: 3.591924131986122E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5915956492736054E-4
train epoch 36: 3.591267243305528E-4
train epoch 37: 3.590938913511528E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5906106593219854E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5902824801682415E-4
train epoch 40: 3.589954375482246E-4
train epoch 41: 3.589626344696738E-4
train epoch 42: 3.589298387245438E-4
train epoch 43: 3.58897050256273E-4
train epoch 44: 3.588642690083863E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5883149492447244E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5879872794820965E-4
train epoch 47: 3.587659680233483E-4
train epoch 48: 3.58733215093728E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5870046910325265E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5936399483191613
mae:0.7309626657323074
rmse:0.7704803361015525
mape:6.943563240182369
corr:0.9717007677855513
theil coefficient:27.256732983771748
net profit:45.331186031661105
buy and hold:-6.843541445920733E-4
mean profit per trade:0.23010754330792438
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20704,12471		+		32155,21		+
1		20711,10654		+		32389,47		+
2		20715,17555		+		31833,73		-
3		20706,60444		-		31732,53		-
4		20705,44647		-		32205,37		+
5		20711,92192		+		32563,26		+
6		20718,62313		+		31042,99		-
7		20700,86501		-		30820,77		-
8		20700,61872		-		30789,2		-
9		20700,6324		+		30707,06		-
10		20700,72469		+		31258,97		+
11		20701,67914		+		31953,99		+
12		20708,14197		+		32325,14		+
13		20713,99202		+		32302,07		-
14		20713,57978		-		33048,99		+
15		20730,19296		+		33379,53		+
16		20739,6914		+		32684,23		-
17		20721,23834		-		32577,09		-
18		20718,91317		-		32979,02		+
19		20728,35091		+		32560,89		-
20		20718,57366		-		32814,31		+
21		20724,24764		+		32615,92		-
22		20719,73985		-		33044,36		+
23		20730,06925		+		33408,62		+
24		20740,59021		+		33914,45		+
25		20757,84083		+		33841,77		-
26		20755,17378		-		34090,39		+
27		20764,55825		+		34113,74		+
28		20765,47751		+		34177,52		+
29		20768,02155		+		34486,01		+
30		20781,00972		+		34517,06		+
31		20782,37961		+		33954		-
32		20759,31866		-		34229,07		+
33		20770,11318		+		34656,83		+
34		20788,68761		+		34473,76		-
35		20780,47241		-		35341,2		+
36		20822,90346		+		35436,38		+
37		20828,09809		+		34985,45		-
38		20804,42879		-		35477,06		+
39		20830,35063		+		35415,91		-
40		20826,97195		-		35599,13		+
41		20837,22594		+		35465,95		-
42		20829,73352		-		35235,93		-
43		20817,28178		-		35713,98		+
44		20843,85334		+		36318,81		+
45		20881,28153		+		36244,96		-
46		20876,48484		-		36238,27		-
47		20876,05342		-		36651,61		+
48		20903,67525		+		36690,84		+
49		20906,3986		+		37064,27		+
50		20933,20031		+		37341,66		+
51		20954,13268		+		37405,4		+
52		20959,06524		+		36616,43		-
53		20901,24802		-		37220		+
54		20944,845		+		37442,67		+
55		20961,97056		+		37806,83		+
56		20991,17684		+		37986,17		+
57		21006,10354		+		37653,78		-
58		20978,72136		-		37864,77		+
59		20995,9602		+		38368,66		+
60		21039,12691		+		38115,81		-
61		21017,11563		-		38117,31		+
62		21017,24412		+		37812,55		-
63		20991,6474		-		37795,9		-
64		20990,27869		-		37120,78		-
65		20937,39412		-		35873,33		-
66		20853,30291		-		35801,57		-
67		20849,01094		-		35980,06		+
68		20859,79696		+		35563,59		-
69		20835,20626		-		35678,19		+
70		20841,7716		+		36278,29		+
71		20878,64191		+		36940,33		+
72		20924,12908		+		37308,42		+
73		20951,57852		+		37571,76		+
74		20972,15407		+		38213,14		+
75		21025,50516		+		38501,45		+
76		21050,96771		+		38524,92		+
77		21053,08054		+		39739,74		+
78		21170,55837		+		41191,35		+
79		21331,21804		+		40866,67		-
80		21293,41804		-		41116,03		+
81		21322,35501		+		41039,94		-
82		21313,45899		-		40415,4		-
83		21242,65043		-		40502,58		+
84		21252,29626		+		41505,67		+
85		21368,81306		+		42194,73		+
86		21454,61351		+		42002,34		-
87		21430,19514		-		42125,61		+
88		21445,79987		+		42951,75		+
89		21554,09868		+		42938,85		-
90		21552,35858		-		42724,09		-
91		21523,61604		-		43376,85		+
92		21612,29286		+		43571,25		+
93		21639,45091		+		42993,27		-
94		21559,70974		-		42621,33		-
95		21510,01479		-		43020,51		+
96		21563,39957		+		42818,62		-
97		21536,21478		-		42158,4		-
98		21449,97527		-		42992,3		+
99		21559,57843		+		42939,38		-
100		21552,43009		-		44230,97		+
101		21734,11281		+		45924,25		+
102		21993,92369		+		44714,51		-
103		21805,88662		-		42928,65		-
104		21550,98378		-		42756,7		-
105		21527,95284		-		42828,64		+
106		21537,55512		+		43542,17		+
107		21635,36683		+		42333,2		-
108		21472,40726		-		40959,96		-
109		21304,17067		-		40059,32		-
110		21204,06574		-		40613,38		+
111		21264,66764		+		40220,55		-
112		21221,37421		-		39180,23		-
113		21114,48724		-		40047,06		+
114		21202,76058		+		40115,67		+
115		21210,08439		+		40702,82		+
116		21274,74542		+		40465,11		-
117		21248,14092		-		40170,35		-
118		21215,95624		-		39875,77		-
119		21184,69026		-		39515,79		-
120		21147,71678		-		40789,03		+
121		21284,53613		+		41914,3		+
122		21419,13972		+		42429,06		+
123		21484,83227		+		43336,22		+
124		21606,65975		+		43169,58		-
125		21583,71268		-		43325,09		+
126		21605,11925		+		44489,37		+
127		21772,22068		+		43633,67		-
128		21648,24302		-		43683,33		+
129		21655,26254		+		43862,73		+
130		21680,80312		+		44641,85		+
131		21794,97473		+		45002,63		+
132		21849,58971		+		45282,32		+
133		21892,66932		+		45698,49		+
134		21957,94091		+		45104,65		-
135		21865,22926		-		46335,45		+
136		22060,47723		+		47443,65		+
137		22246,11099		+		47163,5		-
138		22198,34502		-		46930,71		-
139		22159,07912		-		48132,11		+
140		22365,7973		+		48930,72		+
141		22508,54254		+		49088,14		+
142		22537,15305		+		49397,32		+
143		22593,78093		+		50121,05		+
144		22728,51333		+		49699,67		-
145		22649,70406		-		48989,65		-
146		22519,23521		-		49210,68		+
147		22559,52825		+		47715,08		-
148		22292,91308		-		48708,09		+
149		22468,34181		+		48006,84		-
150		22343,78132		-		48194,4		+
151		22376,78342		+		47890,75		-
152		22323,47216		-		47955,51		+
153		22334,79031		+		48200,39		+
154		22377,84104		+		47943,58		-
155		22332,70321		-		48625,74		+
156		22453,55038		+		48825,83		+
157		22489,56386		+		49525,55		+
158		22617,43352		+		49776,82		+
159		22664,05825		+		49567,61		-
160		22625,21277		-		49800,83		+
161		22668,5323		+		50621,01		+
162		22823,28145		+		50467,53		-
163		22794,04714		-		50551,02		+
164		22809,93452		+		51837,65		+
165		23059,19381		+		52835,66		+
166		23257,74585		+		53247,94		+
167		23340,946		+		53520,24		+
168		23396,24524		+		56253,95		+
169		23964,05847		+		56985,69		+
170		24119,05549		+		55060,42		-
171		23713,63941		-		56432,58		+
172		24001,80529		+		57532,02		+
173		24235,34761		+		56592,36		-
174		24035,62053		-		57277,66		+
175		24181,15103		+		58983,91		+
176		24546,042		+		58940,68		-
177		24536,76714		-		58296,28		-
178		24398,65763		-		57598,15		-
179		24249,45221		-		56988,75		-
180		24119,70559		-		57896,31		+
181		24313,11098		+		57227,66		-
182		24170,50792		-		56376,62		-
183		23989,9737		-		57266,53		+
184		24178,78143		+		56940,58		-
185		24109,47365		-		55865,39		-
186		23882,17474		-		56114,11		+
187		23934,55232		+		57175,59		+
188		24159,42849		+		56096,5		-
189		23930,83974		-		55475		-
190		23800,24207		-		55952,65		+
191		23900,5355		+		58107,95		+
192		24358,35724		+		59333,17		+
193		24621,00638		+		59917,84		+
194		24746,58114		+		59812,92		-
195		24724,04258		-		59080,2		-
196		24566,70394		-		59292,68		+
197		24612,31302		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24612.313024141713
New Prediction 1	20933.558792513904
New Prediction 2	21279.879948605012
New Prediction 3	21241.14881680784
New Prediction 4	21245.41946294503
New Prediction 5	21244.947830467027
New Prediction 6	21244.999833980313
New Prediction 7	21244.99412964467
New Prediction 8	21244.99479514909
New Prediction 9	21244.994700076997
New Prediction 10	21244.994700076997
New Prediction 11	21244.994700076997
New Prediction 12	21244.994700076997
New Prediction 13	21244.994700076997
New Prediction 14	21244.994700076997
New Prediction 15	21244.994700076997
New Prediction 16	21244.994700076997
New Prediction 17	21244.994700076997
New Prediction 18	21244.994700076997
New Prediction 19	21244.994700076997
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03372		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01964		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04138		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00559		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03127		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03235		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,08575		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00119		+		-0,10248		+
9		0,00007		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00045		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00461		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03121		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02825		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00199		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08017		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04581		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08901		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01122		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04554		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04718		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02738		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02175		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04984		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05074		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08314		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01285		-		0,73197		+
27		0,0452		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00443		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01225		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06252		+			0,09		-
31		0,00659		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11103		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05198		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08939		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03953		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20398		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02494		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11371		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12452		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01622		-		0,516		+
41		0,04922		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03596		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,0598		-			1,34759		+
44		0,12756		+			1,67936		+
45		0,1794		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02297		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00207		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13223		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01303		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12812		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09995		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02354		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27624		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20837		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08173		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13923		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07108		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13044		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08214		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20538		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10468		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12186		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00652		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25227		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40244		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02058		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05172		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11796		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03151		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17675		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21763		+			0,99151		-
73		0,1311		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09816		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25407		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12103		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01004		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55646		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75602		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17736		-		0,60833		+
81		0,1358		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04173		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33278		-		0,21548		+
84		0,0454		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54676		+			1,64653		-
86		0,40072		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11388		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07279		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50372		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00807		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13345		-		1,5163		+
92		0,41115		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12558		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36918		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,23077		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24788		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12615		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,40124		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50967		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03316		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83945		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18832		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85863		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,17585		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10692		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04459		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45312		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75606		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78659		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,47099		+		1,37362		+
111		0,2854		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,2038		-			-2,62058		-
113		-0,50495		-		2,1883		+
114		0,4172		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03454		-			1,45303		+
116		0,3044		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12513		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15159		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14748		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17468		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64489		+			2,72139		-
122		0,63041		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30623		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56544		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10626		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09913		+			2,65184		+
127		0,77046		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,57106		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03242		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11787		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52522		+			0,80492		-
132		0,25027		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19697		-			0,91486		+
134		0,2977		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42312		-		2,6922		+
136		0,889		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83796		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21495		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17704		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92856		+			1,64559		-
141		0,6362		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12703		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25095		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59455		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34734		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57769		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17877		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18887		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78385		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55592		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14759		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23853		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05069		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19257		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20191		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53966		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16026		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56696		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20593		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17154		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19128		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68034		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12817		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06968		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08684		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85737		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35709		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23664		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39796		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64471		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69518		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20787		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96832		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82753		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60365		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49772		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03779		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56446		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61341		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53649		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79866		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58825		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74972		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78395		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28706		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94725		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21908		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93516		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95067		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54722		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42051		+			3,77967		+
192		1,89741		+			2,0866		-
193		1,0725		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50873		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09112		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63841		-		0,359		+
197		0,18548		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,18933		+		-16,18933		+
2		1,64085		+			1,64085		+
3		-0,18217		-		-0,18217		-
4		0,0201		+			0,0201		+
5		-0,00222		-		-0,00222		-
6		0,00024		+			0,00024		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29681997415958067

 3.run Duration 	15 seconds 823 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@bc8e1e ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.006007020316114637
train epoch 1: 3.628311679149142E-4
train epoch 2: 3.627472671211015E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6266338667349335E-4
train epoch 4: 3.625795565413509E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6249577643485023E-4
train epoch 6: 3.624121415653155E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6233146174860005E-4
train epoch 8: 3.622577223151881E-4
train epoch 9: 3.621860233499058E-4
train epoch 10: 3.621161177573581E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6205401333798225E-4
train epoch 12: 3.620020544986112E-4
train epoch 13: 3.61954415113403E-4
train epoch 14: 3.619067966261969E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6185919894106156E-4
train epoch 16: 3.618116219622484E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6176406559420654E-4
train epoch 18: 3.617165297415438E-4
train epoch 19: 3.6166901430909163E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6162151920183676E-4
train epoch 21: 3.615740443249505E-4
train epoch 22: 3.615265895838098E-4
train epoch 23: 3.6147915488395164E-4
train epoch 24: 3.614317401311133E-4
train epoch 25: 3.613843452311967E-4
train epoch 26: 3.613369700903099E-4
train epoch 27: 3.612896146147166E-4
train epoch 28: 3.612422787108762E-4
train epoch 29: 3.6119496228543104E-4
train epoch 30: 3.611476652451852E-4
train epoch 31: 3.6110038749714174E-4
train epoch 32: 3.610531289484753E-4
train epoch 33: 3.6100588950653117E-4
train epoch 34: 3.6095866907885496E-4
train epoch 35: 3.609114675731471E-4
train epoch 36: 3.6086428489729366E-4
train epoch 37: 3.608171209593639E-4
train epoch 38: 3.60769975667601E-4
train epoch 39: 3.6072284893041626E-4
train epoch 40: 3.606757406564051E-4
train epoch 41: 3.6062865075432834E-4
train epoch 42: 3.605815791331305E-4
train epoch 43: 3.6053452570193346E-4
train epoch 44: 3.6048749037002886E-4
train epoch 45: 3.604404730468657E-4
train epoch 46: 3.603934736420962E-4
train epoch 47: 3.60346492065521E-4
train epoch 48: 3.602995282271287E-4
train epoch 49: 3.602525820370662E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5997715754548036
mae:0.7347991456818017
rmse:0.7744492077953231
mape:6.983722365013613
corr:0.9689529248782027
theil coefficient:27.446119117578505
net profit:43.65061915009882
buy and hold:-7.107020620570361E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22157674695481636
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20645,64427		+		32155,21		+
1		20649,37337		+		32389,47		+
2		20652,06994		+		31833,73		-
3		20646,7566		-		31732,53		-
4		20646,19248		-		32205,37		+
5		20649,89477		+		32563,26		+
6		20654,5003		+		31042,99		-
7		20645,65968		-		30820,77		-
8		20646,71833		+		30789,2		-
9		20646,91737		+		30707,06		-
10		20647,49193		+		31258,97		+
11		20645,20543		-		31953,99		+
12		20647,58864		+		32325,14		+
13		20651,26316		+		32302,07		-
14		20650,98605		-		33048,99		+
15		20663,23231		+		33379,53		+
16		20670,80499		+		32684,23		-
17		20656,40798		-		32577,09		-
18		20654,70942		-		32979,02		+
19		20661,79851		+		32560,89		-
20		20654,46469		-		32814,31		+
21		20658,65701		+		32615,92		-
22		20655,30896		-		33044,36		+
23		20663,1356		+		33408,62		+
24		20671,53455		+		33914,45		+
25		20685,84938		+		33841,77		-
26		20683,60328		-		34090,39		+
27		20691,54907		+		34113,74		+
28		20692,33341		+		34177,52		+
29		20694,50909		+		34486,01		+
30		20705,71941		+		34517,06		+
31		20706,91073		+		33954		-
32		20687,09826		-		34229,07		+
33		20696,30319		+		34656,83		+
34		20712,41574		+		34473,76		-
35		20705,25257		-		35341,2		+
36		20742,72214		+		35436,38		+
37		20747,37623		+		34985,45		-
38		20726,27488		-		35477,06		+
39		20749,398		+		35415,91		-
40		20746,36628		-		35599,13		+
41		20755,58173		+		35465,95		-
42		20748,8439		-		35235,93		-
43		20737,69925		-		35713,98		+
44		20761,55975		+		36318,81		+
45		20795,59008		+		36244,96		-
46		20791,2062		-		36238,27		-
47		20790,81221		-		36651,61		+
48		20816,13101		+		36690,84		+
49		20818,63679		+		37064,27		+
50		20843,37674		+		37341,66		+
51		20862,78882		+		37405,4		+
52		20867,37345		+		36616,43		-
53		20813,89904		-		37220		+
54		20854,16671		+		37442,67		+
55		20870,07557		+		37806,83		+
56		20897,30633		+		37986,17		+
57		20911,26689		+		37653,78		-
58		20885,67892		-		37864,77		+
59		20901,77706		+		38368,66		+
60		20942,24531		+		38115,81		-
61		20921,58346		-		38117,31		+
62		20921,70392		+		37812,55		-
63		20897,746		-		37795,9		-
64		20896,46721		-		37120,78		-
65		20847,26003		-		35873,33		-
66		20770,11047		-		35801,57		-
67		20766,22297		-		35980,06		+
68		20776,00391		+		35563,59		-
69		20753,76326		-		35678,19		+
70		20759,68024		+		36278,29		+
71		20793,17689		+		36940,33		+
72		20834,98791		+		37308,42		+
73		20860,41632		+		37571,76		+
74		20879,55672		+		38213,14		+
75		20929,45243		+		38501,45		+
76		20953,38126		+		38524,92		+
77		20955,36979		+		39739,74		+
78		21066,53556		+		41191,35		+
79		21219,99804		+		40866,67		-
80		21183,77261		-		41116,03		+
81		21211,4984		+		41039,94		-
82		21202,97065		-		40415,4		-
83		21135,22788		-		40502,58		+
84		21144,44122		+		41505,67		+
85		21256,08911		+		42194,73		+
86		21338,66522		+		42002,34		-
87		21315,13685		-		42125,61		+
88		21330,17039		+		42951,75		+
89		21434,72834		+		42938,85		-
90		21433,04546		-		42724,09		-
91		21405,26118		-		43376,85		+
92		21491,05857		+		43571,25		+
93		21517,37848		+		42993,27		-
94		21440,15548		-		42621,33		-
95		21392,12218		-		43020,51		+
96		21443,72487		+		42818,62		-
97		21417,43682		-		42158,4		-
98		21334,19442		-		42992,3		+
99		21440,02846		+		42939,38		-
100		21433,11462		-		44230,97		+
101		21609,26439		+		45924,25		+
102		21862,45667		+		44714,51		-
103		21679,07234		-		42928,65		-
104		21431,71593		-		42756,7		-
105		21409,4518		-		42828,64		+
106		21418,73243		+		43542,17		+
107		21513,4192		+		42333,2		-
108		21355,82342		-		40959,96		-
109		21194,07067		-		40059,32		-
110		21098,42446		-		40613,38		+
111		21156,26503		+		40220,55		-
112		21114,92347		-		39180,23		-
113		21013,34114		-		40047,06		+
114		21097,18106		+		40115,67		+
115		21104,15967		+		40702,82		+
116		21165,90253		+		40465,11		-
117		21140,47159		-		40170,35		-
118		21109,75702		-		39875,77		-
119		21079,9763		-		39515,79		-
120		21044,83894		-		40789,03		+
121		21175,27033		+		41914,3		+
122		21304,49138		+		42429,06		+
123		21367,81095		+		43336,22		+
124		21485,60178		+		43169,58		-
125		21463,38192		-		43325,09		+
126		21484,10964		+		44489,37		+
127		21646,31436		+		43633,67		-
128		21525,90338		-		43683,33		+
129		21532,711		+		43862,73		+
130		21557,49104		+		44641,85		+
131		21668,45207		+		45002,63		+
132		21721,63245		+		45282,32		+
133		21763,62316		+		45698,49		+
134		21827,31272		+		45104,65		-
135		21736,87244		-		46335,45		+
136		21927,51797		+		47443,65		+
137		22109,36408		+		47163,5		-
138		22062,52288		-		46930,71		-
139		22024,04238		-		48132,11		+
140		22226,87379		+		48930,72		+
141		22367,26816		+		49088,14		+
142		22395,43763		+		49397,32		+
143		22451,22098		+		50121,05		+
144		22584,08968		+		49699,67		-
145		22506,34615		-		48989,65		-
146		22377,79485		-		49210,68		+
147		22417,47467		+		47715,08		-
148		22155,29164		-		48708,09		+
149		22327,70378		+		48006,84		-
150		22205,24362		-		48194,4		+
151		22237,66978		+		47890,75		-
152		22185,29607		-		47955,51		+
153		22196,41201		+		48200,39		+
154		22238,70918		+		47943,58		-
155		22194,36207		-		48625,74		+
156		22313,15147		+		48825,83		+
157		22348,58745		+		49525,55		+
158		22474,53177		+		49776,82		+
159		22520,50117		+		49567,61		-
160		22482,19998		-		49800,83		+
161		22524,9136		+		50621,01		+
162		22677,66387		+		50467,53		-
163		22648,78789		-		50551,02		+
164		22664,47945		+		51837,65		+
165		22910,99416		+		52835,66		+
166		23107,77373		+		53247,94		+
167		23190,33316		+		53520,24		+
168		23245,2386		+		56253,95		+
169		23810,39163		+		56985,69		+
170		23965,07248		+		55060,42		-
171		23560,84544		-		56432,58		+
172		23848,04599		+		57532,02		+
173		24081,23592		+		56592,36		-
174		23881,7869		-		57277,66		+
175		24027,0879		+		58983,91		+
176		24392,02736		+		58940,68		-
177		24382,74052		-		58296,28		-
178		24244,5182		-		57598,15		-
179		24095,33113		-		56988,75		-
180		23965,72161		-		57896,31		+
181		24158,96404		+		57227,66		-
182		24016,45666		-		56376,62		-
183		23836,2423		-		57266,53		+
184		24024,72087		+		56940,58		-
185		23955,50535		-		55865,39		-
186		23728,74324		-		56114,11		+
187		23780,96477		+		57175,59		+
188		24005,39039		+		56096,5		-
189		23777,2626		-		55475		-
190		23647,09443		-		55952,65		+
191		23747,04706		+		58107,95		+
192		24204,20827		+		59333,17		+
193		24467,10873		+		59917,84		+
194		24592,95901		+		59812,92		-
195		24570,36371		-		59080,2		-
196		24412,71798		-		59292,68		+
197		24458,39997		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24458.399973500673
New Prediction 1	20927.53221018891
New Prediction 2	21281.256913007805
New Prediction 3	21239.955039874032
New Prediction 4	21244.712707741197
New Prediction 5	21244.163761702337
New Prediction 6	21244.227128182185
New Prediction 7	21244.219778309118
New Prediction 8	21244.220672210402
New Prediction 9	21244.220572887993
New Prediction 10	21244.220572887993
New Prediction 11	21244.220572887993
New Prediction 12	21244.220572887993
New Prediction 13	21244.220572887993
New Prediction 14	21244.220572887993
New Prediction 15	21244.220572887993
New Prediction 16	21244.220572887993
New Prediction 17	21244.220572887993
New Prediction 18	21244.220572887993
New Prediction 19	21244.220572887993
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,01806		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01306		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,02573		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00273		+		1,47909		+
5		0,01793		+			1,10515		-
6		0,0223		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,04281		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00513		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00096		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00278		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,01107		-		2,19907		+
12		0,01154		+			1,15482		-
13		0,01779		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00134		-		2,28597		+
15		0,05928		+			0,99518		-
16		0,03664		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,06967		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00822		+		1,22623		+
19		0,03432		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,0355		-			0,77528		+
21		0,0203		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01621		-		1,30504		+
23		0,03788		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04064		+			1,50272		+
25		0,06922		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01086		-		0,73197		+
27		0,03841		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00379		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01051		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05416		+			0,09		-
31		0,00575		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,09573		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04449		+			1,24195		+
34		0,07782		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03459		-		2,4851		+
36		0,1808		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02243		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10176		-		1,3954		+
39		0,1115		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01461		-		0,516		+
41		0,04441		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03247		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05373		-		1,34759		+
44		0,11499		+			1,67936		+
45		0,16378		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02108		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,0019		+			1,13416		+
48		0,1217		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01204		-			1,01263		+
50		0,11876		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09309		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02197		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,25659		-		1,63492		+
54		0,19328		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07626		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13039		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06678		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12244		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07705		+			1,32199		+
60		0,19342		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,09871		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00058		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11458		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00612		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,23576		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,37076		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01872		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04709		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,10711		-		0,32172		+
70		0,02851		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16122		+			1,80844		+
72		0,20088		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12197		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09171		-			1,69267		+
75		0,23868		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11427		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00949		-			3,10464		+
78		0,52909		+			3,58766		+
79		0,72583		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17086		-		0,60833		+
81		0,1308		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04021		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32001		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04358		+			2,44644		+
85		0,52664		+			1,64653		-
86		0,38773		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11032		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07051		+			1,94215		+
89		0,48899		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00785		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,12972		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40002		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12239		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,35953		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22429		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24093		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12267		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,38942		-		1,95871		+
99		0,49485		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03225		-		2,96359		+
101		0,8185		+			3,75681		+
102		1,16487		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84235		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,14755		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10394		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04334		+			1,65229		+
107		0,4411		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,73524		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,7603		-			-2,22336		+
110		-0,45231		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27377		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,1956		-			-2,62058		-
113		-0,48225		-		2,1883		+
114		0,39819		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03307		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29214		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12022		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14539		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14118		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,16683		-		3,17128		+
121		0,61787		+			2,72139		-
122		0,60839		-			1,22064		-
123		0,29677		-			2,11553		+
124		0,54974		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10347		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09653		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75216		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,55782		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03162		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11501		+			1,76068		+
131		0,5134		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24513		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19313		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29221		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41521		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87324		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82589		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21209		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17457		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91674		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62966		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12586		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24877		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59007		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34483		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57282		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17716		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17644		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77519		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54998		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14592		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,2358		-			0,13513		+
153		0,05009		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19038		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19961		-		1,41281		+
156		0,5338		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15869		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56196		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20433		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17022		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18981		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67585		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12741		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06926		+			2,51336		+
165		1,0818		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85522		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35664		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23648		-			4,98164		+
169		2,40218		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64753		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70112		-		2,46155		+
172		1,2116		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97307		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83168		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60657		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50745		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03808		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,5685		-			-1,20478		-
179		-0,61724		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53935		+		1,57998		+
181		0,8031		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59162		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75321		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78761		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28852		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95111		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21984		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93929		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95486		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54895		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42179		+			3,77967		+
192		1,90683		+			2,0866		-
193		1,08032		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51305		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09192		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64368		-		0,359		+
197		0,18695		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,59081		+		-15,59081		+
2		1,67611		+			1,67611		+
3		-0,19426		-		-0,19426		-
4		0,0224		+			0,0224		+
5		-0,00258		-		-0,00258		-
6		0,0003		+			0,0003		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2998857877274018

 4.run Duration 	15 seconds 917 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@11671b2 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 6.980732022358487E-4
train epoch 1: 3.607927545152489E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6074593432002E-4
train epoch 3: 3.606991342320168E-4
train epoch 4: 3.606523541772253E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6060559407122576E-4
train epoch 6: 3.605588538630845E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6051213444921284E-4
train epoch 8: 3.604654371363307E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6041876013111034E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6037210326383555E-4
train epoch 11: 3.603254685473906E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6027885671659275E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6023226565558747E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6018569378166933E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6013914101209647E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6009260726428384E-4
train epoch 17: 3.600460924558196E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5999959650444296E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5995311932805437E-4
train epoch 20: 3.5990666084470866E-4
train epoch 21: 3.598602209726165E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5981379963013745E-4
train epoch 23: 3.597673967358086E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5972101220830237E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5967464596646195E-4
train epoch 26: 3.5962829792927545E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5958196801588976E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5953565614560467E-4
train epoch 29: 3.594893622378822E-4
train epoch 30: 3.59443086212324E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5939682798868873E-4
train epoch 32: 3.593505874868956E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5930436462702E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5925815932926836E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5921197151401915E-4
train epoch 36: 3.591658011017945E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5911964801327463E-4
train epoch 38: 3.590735121692798E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5902739349078904E-4
train epoch 40: 3.589812918989267E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5893520731496685E-4
train epoch 42: 3.5888913966033336E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5884308885660726E-4
train epoch 44: 3.58797054825509E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5875103748889885E-4
train epoch 46: 3.587050367688088E-4
train epoch 47: 3.586590525873975E-4
train epoch 48: 3.586130848669841E-4
train epoch 49: 3.585671335300303E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5943463016171623
mae:0.7313812540399648
rmse:0.7709385848543076
mape:6.946800194384094
corr:0.9714100471033001
theil coefficient:27.285597517115704
net profit:45.050440960357065
buy and hold:-6.886188986993591E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22868244142313232
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20699,89773		+		32155,21		+
1		20706,53924		+		32389,47		+
2		20710,46154		+		31833,73		-
3		20702,23565		-		31732,53		-
4		20701,13949		-		32205,37		+
5		20707,32334		+		32563,26		+
6		20713,79918		+		31042,99		-
7		20696,9702		-		30820,77		-
8		20696,85334		-		30789,2		-
9		20696,88526		+		30707,06		-
10		20697,02488		+		31258,97		+
11		20697,65694		+		31953,99		+
12		20703,6993		+		32325,14		+
13		20709,31846		+		32302,07		-
14		20708,9207		-		33048,99		+
15		20725,05691		+		33379,53		+
16		20734,339		+		32684,23		-
17		20716,33732		-		32577,09		-
18		20714,08043		-		32979,02		+
19		20723,26025		+		32560,89		-
20		20713,75122		-		32814,31		+
21		20719,26325		+		32615,92		-
22		20714,8824		-		33044,36		+
23		20724,9362		+		33408,62		+
24		20735,21861		+		33914,45		+
25		20752,13179		+		33841,77		-
26		20749,51365		-		34090,39		+
27		20758,7302		+		34113,74		+
28		20759,6336		+		34177,52		+
29		20762,13427		+		34486,01		+
30		20774,91112		+		34517,06		+
31		20776,25961		+		33954		-
32		20753,58294		-		34229,07		+
33		20764,19075		+		34656,83		+
34		20782,47095		+		34473,76		-
35		20774,38224		-		35341,2		+
36		20816,20675		+		35436,38		+
37		20821,33375		+		34985,45		-
38		20797,98302		-		35477,06		+
39		20823,55732		+		35415,91		-
40		20820,22217		-		35599,13		+
41		20830,34549		+		35465,95		-
42		20822,94813		-		35235,93		-
43		20810,65962		-		35713,98		+
44		20836,8906		+		36318,81		+
45		20873,88089		+		36244,96		-
46		20869,13806		-		36238,27		-
47		20868,71152		-		36651,61		+
48		20896,03054		+		36690,84		+
49		20898,72499		+		37064,27		+
50		20925,25015		+		37341,66		+
51		20945,97554		+		37405,4		+
52		20950,86036		+		36616,43		-
53		20893,62921		-		37220		+
54		20936,7788		+		37442,67		+
55		20953,73773		+		37806,83		+
56		20982,66984		+		37986,17		+
57		20997,46079		+		37653,78		-
58		20970,32984		-		37864,77		+
59		20987,40939		+		38368,66		+
60		21030,19318		+		38115,81		-
61		21008,37448		-		38117,31		+
62		21008,50182		+		37812,55		-
63		20983,13607		-		37795,9		-
64		20981,77995		-		37120,78		-
65		20929,4019		-		35873,33		-
66		20846,22554		-		35801,57		-
67		20841,98526		-		35980,06		+
68		20852,64251		+		35563,59		-
69		20828,35122		-		35678,19		+
70		20834,83454		+		36278,29		+
71		20871,27084		+		36940,33		+
72		20916,27098		+		37308,42		+
73		20943,44625		+		37571,76		+
74		20963,82428		+		38213,14		+
75		21016,68998		+		38501,45		+
76		21041,93251		+		38524,92		+
77		21044,02738		+		39739,74		+
78		21160,56781		+		41191,35		+
79		21320,09308		+		40866,67		-
80		21282,54763		-		41116,03		+
81		21311,28913		+		41039,94		-
82		21302,45278		-		40415,4		-
83		21232,13318		-		40502,58		+
84		21241,71086		+		41505,67		+
85		21357,44145		+		42194,73		+
86		21442,70095		+		42002,34		-
87		21418,4336		-		42125,61		+
88		21433,94155		+		42951,75		+
89		21541,59269		+		42938,85		-
90		21539,86269		-		42724,09		-
91		21511,28833		-		43376,85		+
92		21599,45463		+		43571,25		+
93		21626,46108		+		42993,27		-
94		21547,17126		-		42621,33		-
95		21497,76761		-		43020,51		+
96		21550,83977		+		42818,62		-
97		21523,81301		-		42158,4		-
98		21438,09122		-		42992,3		+
99		21547,0407		+		42939,38		-
100		21539,93378		-		44230,97		+
101		21720,61059		+		45924,25		+
102		21979,12715		+		44714,51		-
103		21792,01131		-		42928,65		-
104		21538,49587		-		42756,7		-
105		21515,59958		-		42828,64		+
106		21525,1455		+		43542,17		+
107		21622,39966		+		42333,2		-
108		21460,38604		-		40959,96		-
109		21293,22715		-		40059,32		-
110		21193,82642		-		40613,38		+
111		21253,99556		+		40220,55		-
112		21211,00914		-		39180,23		-
113		21104,93022		-		40047,06		+
114		21192,53083		+		40115,67		+
115		21199,80114		+		40702,82		+
116		21264,00334		+		40465,11		-
117		21237,58481		-		40170,35		-
118		21205,63034		-		39875,77		-
119		21174,5939		-		39515,79		-
120		21137,90007		-		40789,03		+
121		21273,72654		+		41914,3		+
122		21407,4473		+		42429,06		+
123		21472,73585		+		43336,22		+
124		21593,85323		+		43169,58		-
125		21571,03632		-		43325,09		+
126		21592,32142		+		44489,37		+
127		21758,51879		+		43633,67		-
128		21635,20457		-		43683,33		+
129		21642,18543		+		43862,73		+
130		21667,58648		+		44641,85		+
131		21781,15533		+		45002,63		+
132		21835,49329		+		45282,32		+
133		21878,35921		+		45698,49		+
134		21943,31477		+		45104,65		-
135		21851,05478		-		46335,45		+
136		22045,37238		+		47443,65		+
137		22230,19017		+		47163,5		-
138		22182,62824		-		46930,71		-
139		22143,53308		-		48132,11		+
140		22349,38214		+		48930,72		+
141		22491,56779		+		49088,14		+
142		22520,06988		+		49397,32		+
143		22576,48675		+		50121,05		+
144		22710,73557		+		49699,67		-
145		22632,20604		-		48989,65		-
146		22502,2198		-		49210,68		+
147		22542,36114		+		47715,08		-
148		22276,79612		-		48708,09		+
149		22451,52147		+		48006,84		-
150		22327,45533		-		48194,4		+
151		22360,32406		+		47890,75		-
152		22307,22911		-		47955,51		+
153		22318,50095		+		48200,39		+
154		22361,37743		+		47943,58		-
155		22316,42237		-		48625,74		+
156		22436,78747		+		48825,83		+
157		22472,6617		+		49525,55		+
158		22600,05258		+		49776,82		+
159		22646,50863		+		49567,61		-
160		22607,80347		-		49800,83		+
161		22650,96665		+		50621,01		+
162		22805,1786		+		50467,53		-
163		22776,04327		-		50551,02		+
164		22791,87671		+		51837,65		+
165		23040,33301		+		52835,66		+
166		23238,30118		+		53247,94		+
167		23321,27077		+		53520,24		+
168		23376,42127		+		56253,95		+
169		23942,90736		+		56985,69		+
170		24097,60345		+		55060,42		-
171		23693,02942		-		56432,58		+
172		23980,57852		+		57532,02		+
173		24213,68662		+		56592,36		-
174		24014,32728		-		57277,66		+
175		24159,58564		+		58983,91		+
176		24523,89269		+		58940,68		-
177		24514,63095		-		58296,28		-
178		24376,72733		-		57598,15		-
179		24227,76685		-		56988,75		-
180		24098,25235		-		57896,31		+
181		24291,31825		+		57227,66		-
182		24148,96167		-		56376,62		-
183		23968,77048		-		57266,53		+
184		24157,22029		+		56940,58		-
185		24088,03947		-		55865,39		-
186		23861,19304		-		56114,11		+
187		23913,46143		+		57175,59		+
188		24137,90229		+		56096,5		-
189		23909,75649		-		55475		-
190		23779,43719		-		55952,65		+
191		23879,51519		+		58107,95		+
192		24336,49079		+		59333,17		+
193		24598,7544		+		59917,84		+
194		24724,17029		+		59812,92		-
195		24701,65903		-		59080,2		-
196		24544,52575		-		59292,68		+
197		24590,07265		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24590.072646951634
New Prediction 1	20934.312723000286
New Prediction 2	21279.848611474874
New Prediction 3	21241.140802491846
New Prediction 4	21245.41641954836
New Prediction 5	21244.943377494572
New Prediction 6	21244.995759177473
New Prediction 7	21244.98994945964
New Prediction 8	21244.990520906034
New Prediction 9	21244.990520906034
New Prediction 10	21244.990520906034
New Prediction 11	21244.990520906034
New Prediction 12	21244.990520906034
New Prediction 13	21244.990520906034
New Prediction 14	21244.990520906034
New Prediction 15	21244.990520906034
New Prediction 16	21244.990520906034
New Prediction 17	21244.990520906034
New Prediction 18	21244.990520906034
New Prediction 19	21244.990520906034
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03208		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01894		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03973		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,0053		+			1,47909		+
5		0,02987		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03127		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,08128		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00056		+		-0,10248		+
9		0,00015		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00067		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00305		+			2,19907		+
12		0,02919		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02714		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00192		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07789		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04478		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08686		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01089		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04431		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,0459		-			0,77528		+
21		0,02661		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02115		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04852		+			1,0963		-
24		0,0496		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08153		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01262		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04441		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00435		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01205		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06152		+			0,09		-
31		0,00649		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10921		-		0,80686		+
33		0,0511		+			1,24195		+
34		0,088		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03893		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20112		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02463		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11221		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12289		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01602		-		0,516		+
41		0,04861		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03552		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05903		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12597		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17737		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02272		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00204		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13082		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01289		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12684		+			0,74562		-
51		0,099		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02332		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27354		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20631		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08097		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13798		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07047		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12929		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08141		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20365		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,1038		-			0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12081		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00646		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24995		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39821		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02034		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05112		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11656		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03112		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17473		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21538		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12984		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09725		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25186		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12004		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00996		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55227		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75105		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17626		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13496		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04147		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33065		-		0,21548		+
84		0,0451		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54335		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39841		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11324		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07238		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50099		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00803		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13275		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40902		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12495		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36731		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22954		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24657		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12549		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39906		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50692		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03299		-		2,96359		+
101		0,8353		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18316		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85498		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,17016		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10636		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04436		+			1,65229		+
107		0,4508		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75211		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78197		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46791		+		1,37362		+
111		0,2835		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20246		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50137		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41421		+			0,17118		-
115		0,0343		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30239		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12432		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15058		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14647		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17344		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64052		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62661		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30452		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56247		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10572		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09863		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76676		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56835		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03226		+			0,40984		+
130		0,1173		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52277		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24916		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19612		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29645		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42133		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88535		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83486		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21418		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,1764		+			2,52773		+
140		0,92532		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63418		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12664		-			0,62787		+
143		0,2502		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59288		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34638		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,576		-			0,45016		+
147		0,17823		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18507		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78128		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55413		-		0,38993		+
151		0,1471		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23773		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05052		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19193		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20124		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53791		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15976		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56527		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20535		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17106		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19074		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67851		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12784		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06949		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08421		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85555		-			0,77728		-
167		0,3564		-			0,51008		-
168		0,2362		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39443		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64403		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69315		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20634		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96738		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82674		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60306		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49666		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03777		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56412		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61295		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,536		+			1,57998		+
181		0,79797		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58776		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74896		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78316		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28679		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,9462		-			0,44422		+
187		0,21881		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93418		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94967		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54654		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41998		+			3,77967		+
192		1,89559		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07189		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50855		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09109		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63816		-		0,359		+
197		0,1854		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,09532		+		-16,09532		+
2		1,6371		+			1,6371		+
3		-0,18206		-		-0,18206		-
4		0,02013		+			0,02013		+
5		-0,00223		-		-0,00223		-
6		0,00025		+			0,00025		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29717315080858114

 5.run Duration 	15 seconds 823 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@82764b ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 5.852071549202751E-4
train epoch 1: 3.609324468439315E-4
train epoch 2: 3.609017575905768E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6087105863158946E-4
train epoch 4: 3.608403687774196E-4
train epoch 5: 3.608096879709576E-4
train epoch 6: 3.607790161551964E-4
train epoch 7: 3.60748353273541E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6071769926962347E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6068705408605177E-4
train epoch 10: 3.606564176660968E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6062578995385683E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6059517089306095E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6056456042653283E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6053395849734216E-4
train epoch 15: 3.605033650491748E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6047278002578206E-4
train epoch 17: 3.604422033709959E-4
train epoch 18: 3.604116350287168E-4
train epoch 19: 3.603810749429318E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6035052305769677E-4
train epoch 21: 3.603199793171495E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6028944366549347E-4
train epoch 23: 3.602589160470094E-4
train epoch 24: 3.602283964060647E-4
train epoch 25: 3.601978846870785E-4
train epoch 26: 3.601673808345748E-4
train epoch 27: 3.6013688479312223E-4
train epoch 28: 3.601063965073833E-4
train epoch 29: 3.6007591592208195E-4
train epoch 30: 3.6004544298202067E-4
train epoch 31: 3.600149776320873E-4
train epoch 32: 3.59984519817223E-4
train epoch 33: 3.599540694824481E-4
train epoch 34: 3.599236265728613E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5989319103363186E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5986276281000333E-4
train epoch 37: 3.598323418472895E-4
train epoch 38: 3.598019280908652E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5977152148620095E-4
train epoch 40: 3.59741121978818E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5971072951432466E-4
train epoch 42: 3.596803440383863E-4
train epoch 43: 3.596499654967547E-4
train epoch 44: 3.596195938352359E-4
train epoch 45: 3.595892289997174E-4
train epoch 46: 3.595588709361669E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5952851959059973E-4
train epoch 48: 3.594981749091205E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5946783683789627E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5949163936500527
mae:0.7318129640605417
rmse:0.7713082351758295
mape:6.9548068760647626
corr:0.9711228597976456
theil coefficient:27.281964703785995
net profit:45.15013522655146
buy and hold:-6.870983859600516E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2291885036880785
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20686,75887		+		32155,21		+
1		20692,98778		+		32389,47		+
2		20696,74553		+		31833,73		-
3		20688,91948		-		31732,53		-
4		20687,89964		-		32205,37		+
5		20693,73616		+		32563,26		+
6		20699,96488		+		31042,99		-
7		20684,27885		-		30820,77		-
8		20684,34925		+		30789,2		-
9		20684,40819		+		30707,06		-
10		20684,61858		+		31258,97		+
11		20684,78846		+		31953,99		+
12		20690,29384		+		32325,14		+
13		20695,64706		+		32302,07		-
14		20695,2654		-		33048,99		+
15		20710,90913		+		33379,53		+
16		20719,99241		+		32684,23		-
17		20702,42258		-		32577,09		-
18		20700,23686		-		32979,02		+
19		20709,15606		+		32560,89		-
20		20699,91851		-		32814,31		+
21		20705,26377		+		32615,92		-
22		20701,01289		-		33044,36		+
23		20710,79129		+		33408,62		+
24		20720,8551		+		33914,45		+
25		20737,48854		+		33841,77		-
26		20734,90889		-		34090,39		+
27		20743,99617		+		34113,74		+
28		20744,88778		+		34177,52		+
29		20747,35653		+		34486,01		+
30		20759,9853		+		34517,06		+
31		20761,31945		+		33954		-
32		20738,91899		-		34229,07		+
33		20749,38755		+		34656,83		+
34		20767,4676		+		34473,76		-
35		20759,4621		-		35341,2		+
36		20800,92479		+		35436,38		+
37		20806,0171		+		34985,45		-
38		20782,83948		-		35477,06		+
39		20808,22616		+		35415,91		-
40		20804,9129		-		35599,13		+
41		20814,97183		+		35465,95		-
42		20807,62091		-		35235,93		-
43		20795,41719		-		35713,98		+
44		20821,47846		+		36318,81		+
45		20858,28985		+		36244,96		-
46		20853,56672		-		36238,27		-
47		20853,14199		-		36651,61		+
48		20880,35809		+		36690,84		+
49		20883,04374		+		37064,27		+
50		20909,49349		+		37341,66		+
51		20930,17264		+		37405,4		+
52		20935,04801		+		36616,43		-
53		20877,9648		-		37220		+
54		20920,99515		+		37442,67		+
55		20937,92007		+		37806,83		+
56		20966,80804		+		37986,17		+
57		20981,58249		+		37653,78		-
58		20954,48485		-		37864,77		+
59		20971,54189		+		38368,66		+
60		21014,29116		+		38115,81		-
61		20992,48639		-		38117,31		+
62		20992,61364		+		37812,55		-
63		20967,2737		-		37795,9		-
64		20965,91927		-		37120,78		-
65		20913,63514		-		35873,33		-
66		20830,76238		-		35801,57		-
67		20826,54473		-		35980,06		+
68		20837,14674		+		35563,59		-
69		20812,98976		-		35678,19		+
70		20819,43423		+		36278,29		+
71		20855,69053		+		36940,33		+
72		20900,53766		+		37308,42		+
73		20927,64846		+		37571,76		+
74		20947,98934		+		38213,14		+
75		21000,79572		+		38501,45		+
76		21026,0259		+		38524,92		+
77		21028,12015		+		39739,74		+
78		21144,70741		+		41191,35		+
79		21304,48662		+		40866,67		-
80		21266,86612		-		41116,03		+
81		21295,66434		+		41039,94		-
82		21286,81003		-		40415,4		-
83		21216,36468		-		40502,58		+
84		21225,95758		+		41505,67		+
85		21341,91746		+		42194,73		+
86		21427,39091		+		42002,34		-
87		21403,05929		-		42125,61		+
88		21418,60802		+		42951,75		+
89		21526,56881		+		42938,85		-
90		21524,83349		-		42724,09		-
91		21496,17287		-		43376,85		+
92		21584,61419		+		43571,25		+
93		21611,70986		+		42993,27		-
94		21532,16458		-		42621,33		-
95		21482,61236		-		43020,51		+
96		21535,84447		+		42818,62		-
97		21508,73501		-		42158,4		-
98		21422,76878		-		42992,3		+
99		21532,03362		+		42939,38		-
100		21524,9048		-		44230,97		+
101		21706,18639		+		45924,25		+
102		21965,70496		+		44714,51		-
103		21777,84998		-		42928,65		-
104		21523,46248		-		42756,7		-
105		21500,49695		-		42828,64		+
106		21510,07152		+		43542,17		+
107		21607,63488		+		42333,2		-
108		21445,12439		-		40959,96		-
109		21277,56614		-		40059,32		-
110		21178,00371		-		40613,38		+
111		21238,26272		+		40220,55		-
112		21195,20939		-		39180,23		-
113		21089,02913		-		40047,06		+
114		21176,70648		+		40115,67		+
115		21183,98616		+		40702,82		+
116		21248,2879		+		40465,11		-
117		21221,8249		-		40170,35		-
118		21189,82316		-		39875,77		-
119		21158,74827		-		39515,79		-
120		21122,0195		-		40789,03		+
121		21258,02862		+		41914,3		+
122		21392,04475		+		42429,06		+
123		21457,50875		+		43336,22		+
124		21578,99457		+		43169,58		-
125		21556,10443		-		43325,09		+
126		21577,45779		+		44489,37		+
127		21744,23268		+		43633,67		-
128		21620,48268		-		43683,33		+
129		21627,48713		+		43862,73		+
130		21652,97516		+		44641,85		+
131		21766,95328		+		45002,63		+
132		21821,49763		+		45282,32		+
133		21864,53068		+		45698,49		+
134		21929,74612		+		45104,65		-
135		21837,11937		-		46335,45		+
136		22032,22658		+		47443,65		+
137		22217,84817		+		47163,5		-
138		22170,07523		-		46930,71		-
139		22130,80867		-		48132,11		+
140		22337,5799		+		48930,72		+
141		22480,4271		+		49088,14		+
142		22509,06382		+		49397,32		+
143		22565,74891		+		50121,05		+
144		22700,64449		+		49699,67		-
145		22621,73528		-		48989,65		-
146		22491,12935		-		49210,68		+
147		22531,46078		+		47715,08		-
148		22264,6634		-		48708,09		+
149		22440,19271		+		48006,84		-
150		22315,55269		-		48194,4		+
151		22348,57208		+		47890,75		-
152		22295,2343		-		47955,51		+
153		22306,55746		+		48200,39		+
154		22349,63031		+		47943,58		-
155		22304,46941		-		48625,74		+
156		22425,38985		+		48825,83		+
157		22461,43206		+		49525,55		+
158		22589,42745		+		49776,82		+
159		22636,10675		+		49567,61		-
160		22597,21549		-		49800,83		+
161		22640,58626		+		50621,01		+
162		22795,54867		+		50467,53		-
163		22766,27059		-		50551,02		+
164		22782,18156		+		51837,65		+
165		23031,86838		+		52835,66		+
166		23230,83107		+		53247,94		+
167		23314,21987		+		53520,24		+
168		23369,64956		+		56253,95		+
169		23939,00832		+		56985,69		+
170		24094,48416		+		55060,42		-
171		23687,86438		-		56432,58		+
172		23976,86973		+		57532,02		+
173		24211,1494		+		56592,36		-
174		24010,78874		-		57277,66		+
175		24156,77751		+		58983,91		+
176		24522,89362		+		58940,68		-
177		24513,58638		-		58296,28		-
178		24375,00207		-		57598,15		-
179		24225,30002		-		56988,75		-
180		24095,13632		-		57896,31		+
181		24289,16852		+		57227,66		-
182		24146,10026		-		56376,62		-
183		23965,00208		-		57266,53		+
184		24154,4003		+		56940,58		-
185		24084,87209		-		55865,39		-
186		23856,88067		-		56114,11		+
187		23909,41354		+		57175,59		+
188		24134,98539		+		56096,5		-
189		23905,68986		-		55475		-
190		23774,71054		-		55952,65		+
191		23875,29557		+		58107,95		+
192		24334,56582		+		59333,17		+
193		24598,12195		+		59917,84		+
194		24724,14736		+		59812,92		-
195		24701,52716		-		59080,2		-
196		24543,62792		-		59292,68		+
197		24589,39778		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 103
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24589.39778315047
New Prediction 1	20929.00329650353
New Prediction 2	21280.655169385776
New Prediction 3	21240.688499211938
New Prediction 4	21245.167093370816
New Prediction 5	21244.664474796915
New Prediction 6	21244.72090161554
New Prediction 7	21244.714524481948
New Prediction 8	21244.715200843042
New Prediction 9	21244.715200843042
New Prediction 10	21244.715200843042
New Prediction 11	21244.715200843042
New Prediction 12	21244.715200843042
New Prediction 13	21244.715200843042
New Prediction 14	21244.715200843042
New Prediction 15	21244.715200843042
New Prediction 16	21244.715200843042
New Prediction 17	21244.715200843042
New Prediction 18	21244.715200843042
New Prediction 19	21244.715200843042
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03011		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01816		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03782		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00493		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02821		+			1,10515		-
6		0,0301		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07581		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00034		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00028		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00102		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00082		-			2,19907		+
12		0,02661		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02587		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00184		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07556		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04385		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08483		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01056		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04308		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04462		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02582		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02053		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04723		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04858		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08024		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01244		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04382		+			0,06847		-
28		0,0043		-			0,18679		+
29		0,0119		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06085		+			0,09		-
31		0,00643		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10795		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05047		+			1,24195		+
34		0,0871		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03856		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19953		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02448		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11146		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12208		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01592		-		0,516		+
41		0,04834		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03532		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05867		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12524		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17664		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02265		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00204		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13043		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01286		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12658		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09885		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02329		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27304		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20589		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08087		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13787		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07044		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12923		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08137		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20364		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10382		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12078		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00646		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24969		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39705		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02025		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05089		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,116		-			0,32172		+
70		0,03096		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17399		+			1,80844		+
72		0,2148		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12963		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09715		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25177		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12007		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00996		-			3,10464		+
78		0,5529		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75281		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17674		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13532		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04159		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33148		-		0,21548		+
84		0,0452		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54482		+			1,64653		-
86		0,3997		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11362		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07262		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50279		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00806		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13324		-		1,5163		+
92		0,41058		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12545		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36874		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,2304		+			0,93221		+
96		0,24749		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12596		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,40048		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50874		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03311		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83867		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18851		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,8589		-			-4,07586		-
104		-1,17498		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10676		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04452		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45255		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75494		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,7844		-			-2,22336		+
110		-0,46902		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28413		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20292		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50222		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41489		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03437		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30308		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12462		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15091		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14676		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17374		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64186		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62845		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30555		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56457		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10613		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09901		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76994		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,57074		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03239		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11778		+			1,76068		+
131		0,525		+			0,80492		-
132		0,25027		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19701		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29783		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42327		-		2,6922		+
136		0,8895		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83897		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21525		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17727		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92998		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63746		-			0,3212		-
142		0,1273		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25152		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59601		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34821		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57902		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17916		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,19118		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78528		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55698		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14786		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23895		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05077		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19291		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20227		-		1,41281		+
156		0,54067		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16059		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56823		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20643		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17196		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19175		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68211		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12852		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06986		+			2,51336		+
165		1,09001		+			1,90696		-
166		0,86015		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35831		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23747		-			4,98164		+
169		2,40711		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64737		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70201		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21267		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97236		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,831		-			1,20367		+
175		0,60617		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50421		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03796		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56694		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61606		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53875		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80205		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59076		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75284		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78721		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28826		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95113		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21996		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93902		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,9546		-			-1,1141		+
190		-0,54941		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42218		+			3,77967		+
192		1,90535		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07723		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51103		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09153		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64128		-		0,359		+
197		0,18631		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,11795		+		-16,11795		+
2		1,66625		+			1,66625		+
3		-0,18798		-		-0,18798		-
4		0,02108		+			0,02108		+
5		-0,00237		-		-0,00237		-
6		0,00027		+			0,00027		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29745819682502633

 6.run Duration 	15 seconds 870 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@12452e8 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.001123471074186172
train epoch 1: 3.5987611905689924E-4
train epoch 2: 3.597730448659288E-4
train epoch 3: 3.596700590442947E-4
train epoch 4: 3.59567161353409E-4
train epoch 5: 3.594643515489096E-4
train epoch 6: 3.5936162938722326E-4
train epoch 7: 3.592589946255598E-4
train epoch 8: 3.5915644702192595E-4
train epoch 9: 3.590539863351214E-4
train epoch 10: 3.589516123246982E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5884932475102854E-4
train epoch 12: 3.587471233752252E-4
train epoch 13: 3.5864500795920506E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5854297826563863E-4
train epoch 15: 3.584410340579683E-4
train epoch 16: 3.583391751003992E-4
train epoch 17: 3.582374011579194E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5813571199626575E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5803410738193106E-4
train epoch 20: 3.5793258708215995E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5783115086497163E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5772979849911345E-4
train epoch 23: 3.5762852975410134E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5752734440017337E-4
train epoch 25: 3.574262422083366E-4
train epoch 26: 3.57325222950328E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5722428639861257E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5712343232641706E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5702266050767836E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5692197071707156E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5682136273001286E-4
train epoch 32: 3.567208363226301E-4
train epoch 33: 3.56620391271783E-4
train epoch 34: 3.565200273550415E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5641974435070446E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5631954203778555E-4
train epoch 37: 3.562194201960197E-4
train epoch 38: 3.56119378605845E-4
train epoch 39: 3.560194170484093E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5591953530556485E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5581973315988014E-4
train epoch 42: 3.557200103946241E-4
train epoch 43: 3.556203667937587E-4
train epoch 44: 3.55520802141947E-4
train epoch 45: 3.554213162245412E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5532190882760684E-4
train epoch 47: 3.55222579737883E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5512332874278337E-4
train epoch 49: 3.550241556304548E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5924052625077741
mae:0.7298404144672308
rmse:0.7696786748428036
mape:6.915582593623753
corr:0.9724365178488549
theil coefficient:27.317559886832132
net profit:44.47172732157597
buy and hold:-6.975799436733508E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2257448087389643
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20751,75497		+		32155,21		+
1		20759,90591		+		32389,47		+
2		20764,42378		+		31833,73		-
3		20754,74419		-		31732,53		-
4		20753,36816		-		32205,37		+
5		20760,81965		+		32563,26		+
6		20768,18699		+		31042,99		-
7		20747,16879		-		30820,77		-
8		20746,35227		-		30789,2		-
9		20746,28301		-		30707,06		-
10		20746,15731		-		31258,97		+
11		20748,5144		+		31953,99		+
12		20756,53437		+		32325,14		+
13		20763,11966		+		32302,07		-
14		20762,66368		-		33048,99		+
15		20780,56036		+		33379,53		+
16		20790,53925		+		32684,23		-
17		20771,01316		-		32577,09		-
18		20768,50151		-		32979,02		+
19		20778,60971		+		32560,89		-
20		20768,13332		-		32814,31		+
21		20774,24128		+		32615,92		-
22		20769,39642		-		33044,36		+
23		20780,42953		+		33408,62		+
24		20791,47776		+		33914,45		+
25		20809,35214		+		33841,77		-
26		20806,60322		-		34090,39		+
27		20816,25695		+		34113,74		+
28		20817,19993		+		34177,52		+
29		20819,80741		+		34486,01		+
30		20833,0741		+		34517,06		+
31		20834,46943		+		33954		-
32		20810,87342		-		34229,07		+
33		20821,94884		+		34656,83		+
34		20840,88605		+		34473,76		-
35		20832,52662		-		35341,2		+
36		20875,49533		+		35436,38		+
37		20880,7265		+		34985,45		-
38		20856,84483		-		35477,06		+
39		20882,99331		+		35415,91		-
40		20879,59287		-		35599,13		+
41		20889,90658		+		35465,95		-
42		20882,37238		-		35235,93		-
43		20869,82807		-		35713,98		+
44		20896,56307		+		36318,81		+
45		20934,03873		+		36244,96		-
46		20929,24573		-		36238,27		-
47		20928,81452		-		36651,61		+
48		20956,38317		+		36690,84		+
49		20959,09721		+		37064,27		+
50		20985,77342		+		37341,66		+
51		21006,56961		+		37405,4		+
52		21011,46574		+		36616,43		-
53		20953,96367		-		37220		+
54		20997,34615		+		37442,67		+
55		21014,34886		+		37806,83		+
56		21043,30394		+		37986,17		+
57		21058,08414		+		37653,78		-
58		21030,96162		-		37864,77		+
59		21048,04161		+		38368,66		+
60		21090,74525		+		38115,81		-
61		21068,98102		-		38117,31		+
62		21069,10813		+		37812,55		-
63		21043,77006		-		37795,9		-
64		21042,41424		-		37120,78		-
65		20989,94245		-		35873,33		-
66		20906,04237		-		35801,57		-
67		20901,73854		-		35980,06		+
68		20912,54943		+		35563,59		-
69		20887,8766		-		35678,19		+
70		20894,47296		+		36278,29		+
71		20931,40146		+		36940,33		+
72		20976,75122		+		37308,42		+
73		21004,03369		+		37571,76		+
74		21024,45044		+		38213,14		+
75		21077,27894		+		38501,45		+
76		21102,44453		+		38524,92		+
77		21104,5315		+		39739,74		+
78		21220,33215		+		41191,35		+
79		21378,14576		+		40866,67		-
80		21341,0592		-		41116,03		+
81		21369,45209		+		41039,94		-
82		21360,72481		-		40415,4		-
83		21291,21043		-		40502,58		+
84		21300,68543		+		41505,67		+
85		21415,00914		+		42194,73		+
86		21499,06814		+		42002,34		-
87		21475,1547		-		42125,61		+
88		21490,43755		+		42951,75		+
89		21596,42989		+		42938,85		-
90		21594,72776		-		42724,09		-
91		21566,60837		-		43376,85		+
92		21653,33907		+		43571,25		+
93		21679,88801		+		42993,27		-
94		21601,91832		-		42621,33		-
95		21553,29924		-		43020,51		+
96		21605,52736		+		42818,62		-
97		21578,93491		-		42158,4		-
98		21494,52634		-		42992,3		+
99		21601,78988		+		42939,38		-
100		21594,79771		-		44230,97		+
101		21772,38555		+		45924,25		+
102		22026,001		+		44714,51		-
103		21842,48096		-		42928,65		-
104		21593,38294		-		42756,7		-
105		21570,85165		-		42828,64		+
106		21580,24621		+		43542,17		+
107		21675,89589		+		42333,2		-
108		21516,48964		-		40959,96		-
109		21351,61128		-		40059,32		-
110		21253,28992		-		40613,38		+
111		21312,83505		+		40220,55		-
112		21270,30438		-		39180,23		-
113		21165,11544		-		40047,06		+
114		21252,00667		+		40115,67		+
115		21259,20708		+		40702,82		+
116		21322,73007		+		40465,11		-
117		21296,60391		-		40170,35		-
118		21264,97914		-		39875,77		-
119		21234,23552		-		39515,79		-
120		21197,84914		-		40789,03		+
121		21332,34145		+		41914,3		+
122		21464,32556		+		42429,06		+
123		21528,65267		+		43336,22		+
124		21647,83158		+		43169,58		-
125		21625,39356		-		43325,09		+
126		21646,32539		+		44489,37		+
127		21809,60593		+		43633,67		-
128		21688,48173		-		43683,33		+
129		21695,34245		+		43862,73		+
130		21720,30224		+		44641,85		+
131		21831,8261		+		45002,63		+
132		21885,14846		+		45282,32		+
133		21927,19822		+		45698,49		+
134		21990,89407		+		45104,65		-
135		21900,41513		-		46335,45		+
136		22090,92267		+		47443,65		+
137		22271,93822		+		47163,5		-
138		22225,36855		-		46930,71		-
139		22187,08225		-		48132,11		+
140		22388,60815		+		48930,72		+
141		22527,72955		+		49088,14		+
142		22555,61126		+		49397,32		+
143		22610,79491		+		50121,05		+
144		22742,08495		+		49699,67		-
145		22665,29002		-		48989,65		-
146		22538,14992		-		49210,68		+
147		22577,41606		+		47715,08		-
148		22317,56372		-		48708,09		+
149		22488,55163		+		48006,84		-
150		22367,14879		-		48194,4		+
151		22399,31624		+		47890,75		-
152		22347,35244		-		47955,51		+
153		22358,38488		+		48200,39		+
154		22400,34709		+		47943,58		-
155		22356,35048		-		48625,74		+
156		22474,13614		+		48825,83		+
157		22509,23392		+		49525,55		+
158		22633,8437		+		49776,82		+
159		22679,27745		+		49567,61		-
160		22641,4243		-		49800,83		+
161		22683,63717		+		50621,01		+
162		22834,42976		+		50467,53		-
163		22805,94298		-		50551,02		+
164		22821,42411		+		51837,65		+
165		23064,31899		+		52835,66		+
166		23257,83024		+		53247,94		+
167		23338,93017		+		53520,24		+
168		23392,83826		+		56253,95		+
169		23946,65893		+		56985,69		+
170		24097,95154		+		55060,42		-
171		23702,33733		-		56432,58		+
172		23983,4984		+		57532,02		+
173		24211,50313		+		56592,36		-
174		24016,50359		-		57277,66		+
175		24158,57944		+		58983,91		+
176		24515,05638		+		58940,68		-
177		24505,99064		-		58296,28		-
178		24371,0253		-		57598,15		-
179		24225,27772		-		56988,75		-
180		24098,58623		-		57896,31		+
181		24287,4537		+		57227,66		-
182		24148,18719		-		56376,62		-
183		23971,95086		-		57266,53		+
184		24156,26566		+		56940,58		-
185		24088,59703		-		55865,39		-
186		23866,75449		-		56114,11		+
187		23917,8643		+		57175,59		+
188		24137,3692		+		56096,5		-
189		23914,24138		-		55475		-
190		23786,81668		-		55952,65		+
191		23884,67016		+		58107,95		+
192		24331,65279		+		59333,17		+
193		24588,34032		+		59917,84		+
194		24711,13995		+		59812,92		-
195		24689,09572		-		59080,2		-
196		24535,25342		-		59292,68		+
197		24579,84094		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24579.840938430138
New Prediction 1	20956.624620459675
New Prediction 2	21276.627615888792
New Prediction 3	21242.905344870185
New Prediction 4	21246.410874001172
New Prediction 5	21246.045891164533
New Prediction 6	21246.08388953418
New Prediction 7	21246.079946245125
New Prediction 8	21246.08039434541
New Prediction 9	21246.080304725354
New Prediction 10	21246.080304725354
New Prediction 11	21246.080304725354
New Prediction 12	21246.080304725354
New Prediction 13	21246.080304725354
New Prediction 14	21246.080304725354
New Prediction 15	21246.080304725354
New Prediction 16	21246.080304725354
New Prediction 17	21246.080304725354
New Prediction 18	21246.080304725354
New Prediction 19	21246.080304725354
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03927		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02176		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04663		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00663		+		1,47909		+
5		0,0359		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03548		-			-4,78116		-
7		-0,10126		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00394		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00033		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,00061		-		1,78138		+
11		0,01136		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03865		+			1,15482		-
13		0,03172		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,0022		-			2,28597		+
15		0,08616		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04801		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09396		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01209		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04866		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,05043		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02941		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02332		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05311		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05315		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08593		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01321		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04639		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00453		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01252		+			0,89856		+
30		0,0637		+			0,09		-
31		0,0067		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11332		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05321		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09091		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,04012		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20605		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02506		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11444		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12529		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01628		-		0,516		+
41		0,04938		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03607		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,06009		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12802		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17918		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,0229		-			-0,01846		+
47		-0,00206		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13164		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01295		-			1,01263		+
50		0,1272		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09905		-			0,17055		-
52		0,0233		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27405		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20682		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08094		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13769		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07021		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12888		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08118		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20268		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10325		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12033		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00644		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24967		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40052		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02059		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05171		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11805		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03157		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17658		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21642		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12998		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09716		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25096		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11933		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00989		-			3,10464		+
78		0,5472		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74094		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17363		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13296		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04085		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32596		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04449		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53528		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39176		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11129		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07114		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49199		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00788		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,1303		-			1,5163		+
92		0,40135		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12253		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36029		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22532		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24203		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12316		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39193		-		1,95871		+
99		0,49779		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03237		-		2,96359		+
101		0,819		+			3,75681		+
102		1,15812		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,83669		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,14698		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,1044		+			0,16811		+
106		0,04354		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44225		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,73813		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,76924		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46155		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27978		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19975		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49576		-		2,1883		+
114		0,4097		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03388		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29836		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,1226		-			-0,7311		-
118		-0,14861		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14468		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,1715		-			3,17128		+
121		0,63246		+			2,72139		-
122		0,6168		-			1,22064		-
123		0,29924		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55206		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,1037		-			0,35958		+
126		0,09675		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75148		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,55692		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03163		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11498		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51214		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24394		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19195		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29007		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41229		-		2,6922		+
136		0,86612		+			2,36354		-
137		0,81607		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,20931		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17241		+		2,52773		+
140		0,9042		+			1,64559		-
141		0,61947		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12369		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24436		+			1,45449		+
144		0,57897		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,33825		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,56253		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17407		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,15761		-		2,05976		+
149		0,76324		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54131		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14371		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23226		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04936		+			0,50934		+
154		0,1875		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,1966		-			1,41281		+
156		0,52547		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15605		-			1,42292		+
158		0,55207		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20053		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16705		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18627		+			1,63351		+
162		0,66256		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12483		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06786		+			2,51336		+
165		1,0587		+			1,90696		-
166		0,83551		-			0,77728		-
167		0,34809		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23071		-			4,98164		+
169		2,33989		+			1,29239		-
170		0,6298		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,65532		-		2,46155		+
172		1,17924		+			1,9295		-
173		0,94618		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,80866		-		1,20367		+
175		0,58983		+			2,9354		+
176		1,46479		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03699		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55227		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,59983		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,52434		+		1,57998		+
181		0,78067		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,57506		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,73249		-		1,56618		+
184		0,76594		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28052		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,92521		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21392		+			1,87398		+
188		0,91356		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,92871		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,53426		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41053		+			3,77967		+
192		1,85412		+			2,0866		-
193		1,04943		-			0,98058		-
194		0,49818		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,08925		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,62507		-		0,359		+
197		0,18156		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,94718		+		-15,94718		+
2		1,51544		+			1,51544		+
3		-0,15862		-		-0,15862		-
4		0,0165		+			0,0165		+
5		-0,00172		-		-0,00172		-
6		0,00018		+			0,00018		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29620263125388707

 7.run Duration 	16 seconds 510 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1bf3d87 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 5.024146809740408E-4
train epoch 1: 3.6099857855944624E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6095594485138375E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6091330862287116E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6087068893695144E-4
train epoch 5: 3.608280857052983E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6078549883973354E-4
train epoch 7: 3.607429282522277E-4
train epoch 8: 3.607003738549354E-4
train epoch 9: 3.606578355601444E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6061531328030643E-4
train epoch 11: 3.60572806928029E-4
train epoch 12: 3.605303164160847E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6048784165739134E-4
train epoch 14: 3.604453825650243E-4
train epoch 15: 3.604029390522155E-4
train epoch 16: 3.603605110323437E-4
train epoch 17: 3.603180984189562E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6027570112573604E-4
train epoch 19: 3.6023331906653546E-4
train epoch 20: 3.601909521553519E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6014860030632914E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6010626343377524E-4
train epoch 23: 3.6006394145213526E-4
train epoch 24: 3.6002163427602306E-4
train epoch 25: 3.59979341820187E-4
train epoch 26: 3.599370639995371E-4
train epoch 27: 3.598948007291325E-4
train epoch 28: 3.598525519241645E-4
train epoch 29: 3.598103175000009E-4
train epoch 30: 3.597680973721362E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5972589145622056E-4
train epoch 32: 3.596836996680573E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5964152192359495E-4
train epoch 34: 3.595993581389193E-4
train epoch 35: 3.595572082302818E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5951507211406486E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5947294970679704E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5943084092515654E-4
train epoch 39: 3.593887456859743E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5934666390621177E-4
train epoch 41: 3.593045955029927E-4
train epoch 42: 3.592625403935588E-4
train epoch 43: 3.592204984953245E-4
train epoch 44: 3.591784697258325E-4
train epoch 45: 3.591364540027665E-4
train epoch 46: 3.590944512439617E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5905246136739086E-4
train epoch 48: 3.59010484291167E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5896851993354455E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5952573986506018
mae:0.7319635972481908
rmse:0.7715292597501419
mape:6.95342959473622
corr:0.9710074090688675
theil coefficient:27.310573291663093
net profit:44.83772414957799
buy and hold:-6.918858088459328E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22760266065775628
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20690,01692		+		32155,21		+
1		20696,15794		+		32389,47		+
2		20699,87051		+		31833,73		-
3		20692,14386		-		31732,53		-
4		20691,13922		-		32205,37		+
5		20696,89705		+		32563,26		+
6		20703,05327		+		31042,99		-
7		20687,59822		-		30820,77		-
8		20687,68546		+		30789,2		-
9		20687,74644		+		30707,06		-
10		20687,96172		+		31258,97		+
11		20688,08732		+		31953,99		+
12		20693,49899		+		32325,14		+
13		20698,78492		+		32302,07		-
14		20698,4078		-		33048,99		+
15		20713,88143		+		33379,53		+
16		20722,87413		+		32684,23		-
17		20705,48397		-		32577,09		-
18		20703,32222		-		32979,02		+
19		20712,14634		+		32560,89		-
20		20703,00742		-		32814,31		+
21		20708,29469		+		32615,92		-
22		20704,08968		-		33044,36		+
23		20713,76479		+		33408,62		+
24		20723,72839		+		33914,45		+
25		20740,20395		+		33841,77		-
26		20737,64832		-		34090,39		+
27		20746,6516		+		34113,74		+
28		20747,53505		+		34177,52		+
29		20749,9813		+		34486,01		+
30		20762,49639		+		34517,06		+
31		20763,81866		+		33954		-
32		20741,62114		-		34229,07		+
33		20751,99387		+		34656,83		+
34		20769,91234		+		34473,76		-
35		20761,97786		-		35341,2		+
36		20803,07969		+		35436,38		+
37		20808,12868		+		34985,45		-
38		20785,14983		-		35477,06		+
39		20810,31899		+		35415,91		-
40		20807,03385		-		35599,13		+
41		20817,00764		+		35465,95		-
42		20809,71887		-		35235,93		-
43		20797,61915		-		35713,98		+
44		20823,45951		+		36318,81		+
45		20859,96537		+		36244,96		-
46		20855,28109		-		36238,27		-
47		20854,85986		-		36651,61		+
48		20881,85334		+		36690,84		+
49		20884,51717		+		37064,27		+
50		20910,75344		+		37341,66		+
51		20931,26723		+		37405,4		+
52		20936,1038		+		36616,43		-
53		20879,4795		-		37220		+
54		20922,16297		+		37442,67		+
55		20938,95302		+		37806,83		+
56		20967,6126		+		37986,17		+
57		20982,27106		+		37653,78		-
58		20955,38658		-		37864,77		+
59		20972,30923		+		38368,66		+
60		21014,72469		+		38115,81		-
61		20993,08967		-		38117,31		+
62		20993,21592		+		37812,55		-
63		20968,0746		-		37795,9		-
64		20966,73083		-		37120,78		-
65		20914,86187		-		35873,33		-
66		20832,66574		-		35801,57		-
67		20828,48333		-		35980,06		+
68		20838,99693		+		35563,59		-
69		20815,04229		-		35678,19		+
70		20821,43246		+		36278,29		+
71		20857,38742		+		36940,33		+
72		20901,86964		+		37308,42		+
73		20928,76316		+		37571,76		+
74		20948,94244		+		38213,14		+
75		21001,33419		+		38501,45		+
76		21026,36849		+		38524,92		+
77		21028,44654		+		39739,74		+
78		21144,14482		+		41191,35		+
79		21302,74042		+		40866,67		-
80		21265,39539		-		41116,03		+
81		21293,98256		+		41039,94		-
82		21285,19303		-		40415,4		-
83		21215,26677		-		40502,58		+
84		21224,78858		+		41505,67		+
85		21339,89899		+		42194,73		+
86		21424,75725		+		42002,34		-
87		21400,59986		-		42125,61		+
88		21416,03718		+		42951,75		+
89		21523,23215		+		42938,85		-
90		21521,50904		-		42724,09		-
91		21493,05047		-		43376,85		+
92		21580,87124		+		43571,25		+
93		21607,77851		+		42993,27		-
94		21528,78859		-		42621,33		-
95		21479,58588		-		43020,51		+
96		21532,44264		+		42818,62		-
97		21505,52393		-		42158,4		-
98		21420,16817		-		42992,3		+
99		21528,65856		+		42939,38		-
100		21521,57985		-		44230,97		+
101		21701,60431		+		45924,25		+
102		21959,38294		+		44714,51		-
103		21772,78056		-		42928,65		-
104		21520,14767		-		42756,7		-
105		21497,34401		-		42828,64		+
106		21506,85102		+		43542,17		+
107		21603,73182		+		42333,2		-
108		21442,3642		-		40959,96		-
109		21276,01687		-		40059,32		-
110		21177,19142		-		40613,38		+
111		21237,00272		+		40220,55		-
112		21194,26873		-		39180,23		-
113		21088,88809		-		40047,06		+
114		21175,90389		+		40115,67		+
115		21183,12918		+		40702,82		+
116		21246,95391		+		40465,11		-
117		21220,68651		-		40170,35		-
118		21188,92264		-		39875,77		-
119		21158,08018		-		39515,79		-
120		21121,62807		-		40789,03		+
121		21256,62288		+		41914,3		+
122		21389,66442		+		42429,06		+
123		21454,66041		+		43336,22		+
124		21575,29079		+		43169,58		-
125		21552,56057		-		43325,09		+
126		21573,76473		+		44489,37		+
127		21739,39121		+		43633,67		-
128		21616,49051		-		43683,33		+
129		21623,44645		+		43862,73		+
130		21648,75842		+		44641,85		+
131		21761,95762		+		45002,63		+
132		21816,13399		+		45282,32		+
133		21858,87885		+		45698,49		+
134		21923,66113		+		45104,65		-
135		21831,65089		-		46335,45		+
136		22025,46948		+		47443,65		+
137		22209,90003		+		47163,5		-
138		22162,4304		-		46930,71		-
139		22123,41482		-		48132,11		+
140		22328,88132		+		48930,72		+
141		22470,85137		+		49088,14		+
142		22499,31461		+		49397,32		+
143		22555,65868		+		50121,05		+
144		22689,75518		+		49699,67		-
145		22611,31126		-		48989,65		-
146		22481,48869		-		49210,68		+
147		22521,57646		+		47715,08		-
148		22256,42018		-		48708,09		+
149		22430,86204		+		48006,84		-
150		22306,99113		-		48194,4		+
151		22339,80531		+		47890,75		-
152		22286,79954		-		47955,51		+
153		22298,05198		+		48200,39		+
154		22340,85697		+		47943,58		-
155		22295,97696		-		48625,74		+
156		22416,14973		+		48825,83		+
157		22451,97183		+		49525,55		+
158		22579,19567		+		49776,82		+
159		22625,59753		+		49567,61		-
160		22586,93728		-		49800,83		+
161		22630,05053		+		50621,01		+
162		22784,10775		+		50467,53		-
163		22754,99891		-		50551,02		+
164		22770,8178		+		51837,65		+
165		23019,09208		+		52835,66		+
166		23216,97309		+		53247,94		+
167		23299,92025		+		53520,24		+
168		23355,06023		+		56253,95		+
169		23921,6253		+		56985,69		+
170		24076,3974		+		55060,42		-
171		23671,67228		-		56432,58		+
172		23959,31294		+		57532,02		+
173		24192,55174		+		56592,36		-
174		23993,07759		-		57277,66		+
175		24138,41611		+		58983,91		+
176		24503,00465		+		58940,68		-
177		24493,73438		-		58296,28		-
178		24355,71214		-		57598,15		-
179		24206,64141		-		56988,75		-
180		24077,04666		-		57896,31		+
181		24270,23753		+		57227,66		-
182		24127,78564		-		56376,62		-
183		23947,49959		-		57266,53		+
184		24136,0493		+		56940,58		-
185		24066,82809		-		55865,39		-
186		23839,87979		-		56114,11		+
187		23892,1674		+		57175,59		+
188		24116,71959		+		56096,5		-
189		23888,46101		-		55475		-
190		23758,09914		-		55952,65		+
191		23858,20838		+		58107,95		+
192		24315,44396		+		59333,17		+
193		24577,93781		+		59917,84		+
194		24703,48338		+		59812,92		-
195		24680,94794		-		59080,2		-
196		24523,65695		-		59292,68		+
197		24569,24754		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 103
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24569.247541961668
New Prediction 1	20932.602685977312
New Prediction 2	21280.15103919788
New Prediction 3	21240.90086142739
New Prediction 4	21245.272087567188
New Prediction 5	21244.78449891928
New Prediction 6	21244.838847186023
New Prediction 7	21244.832797700787
New Prediction 8	21244.833469864334
New Prediction 9	21244.833373840956
New Prediction 10	21244.833373840956
New Prediction 11	21244.833373840956
New Prediction 12	21244.833373840956
New Prediction 13	21244.833373840956
New Prediction 14	21244.833373840956
New Prediction 15	21244.833373840956
New Prediction 16	21244.833373840956
New Prediction 17	21244.833373840956
New Prediction 18	21244.833373840956
New Prediction 19	21244.833373840956
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02968		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01794		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03733		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00486		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02782		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02974		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07468		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00042		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00029		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00104		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00061		-			2,19907		+
12		0,02615		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02554		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00182		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07473		+			0,99518		-
16		0,0434		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08395		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01044		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04261		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04413		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02554		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02031		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04672		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04809		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07947		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01232		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04341		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00426		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01179		+			0,89856		+
30		0,0603		+			0,09		-
31		0,00637		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10696		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08631		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03821		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19777		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02427		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11049		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12102		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01579		-		0,516		+
41		0,04792		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03502		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05816		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12417		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17516		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02246		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00202		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12935		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01276		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12555		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09805		-			0,17055		-
52		0,0231		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27083		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20422		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08022		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13678		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06989		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12821		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08072		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20204		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,103		-			0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11983		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00641		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24769		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39378		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02008		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05046		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11502		-		0,32172		+
70		0,0307		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17253		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21304		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12858		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09637		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24978		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11913		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00988		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54869		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74727		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17546		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13434		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04129		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32906		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04487		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54087		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39686		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11282		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07211		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49929		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00801		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13232		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40777		+			0,44716		-
93		0,1246		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36623		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22881		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24578		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12509		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39769		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50521		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03289		-		2,96359		+
101		0,833		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18083		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85339		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,1671		-			-0,40135		+
105		-0,10602		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04421		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44945		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74975		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77881		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46557		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28203		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20143		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49845		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41177		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03411		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30085		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12371		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,1498		-			-0,73603		-
119		-0,14567		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17243		-		3,17128		+
121		0,6371		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62393		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30341		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56068		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10541		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09834		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76479		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56694		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03217		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11699		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52153		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24864		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19574		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29593		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42057		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88387		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83386		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21396		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,1762		+			2,52773		+
140		0,92444		+			1,64559		-
141		0,6338		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12659		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25011		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59275		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34632		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,5758		-			0,45016		+
147		0,17816		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18433		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78073		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55376		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14699		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23755		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05048		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19178		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20109		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53754		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15968		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56505		+			0,50607		-
159		0,2053		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17102		-		0,46941		+
161		0,1907		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67846		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12784		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06949		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08442		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85596		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35663		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23637		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39692		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64491		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69529		-		2,46155		+
172		1,2078		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96877		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82795		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60392		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49911		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03784		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56509		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61394		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53681		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79918		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58867		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75002		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78426		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28721		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94747		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21909		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93547		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95098		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54721		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42048		+			3,77967		+
192		1,89834		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07375		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50951		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09127		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63934		-		0,359		+
197		0,18573		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,01877		+		-16,01877		+
2		1,64669		+			1,64669		+
3		-0,18462		-		-0,18462		-
4		0,02058		+			0,02058		+
5		-0,0023		-			-0,0023		-
6		0,00026		+			0,00026		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2976286993253009

 8.run Duration 	16 seconds 526 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@60991f ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.007731082693353843
train epoch 1: 3.590452139392282E-4
train epoch 2: 3.5899697332978856E-4
train epoch 3: 3.589487499246508E-4
train epoch 4: 3.589005436956731E-4
train epoch 5: 3.588523545449231E-4
train epoch 6: 3.588041823746647E-4
train epoch 7: 3.5875602708733103E-4
train epoch 8: 3.587078885855669E-4
train epoch 9: 3.5865976677219104E-4
train epoch 10: 3.586116615502206E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5856357282285236E-4
train epoch 12: 3.5851550049348076E-4
train epoch 13: 3.5846744446567743E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5841940464319787E-4
train epoch 15: 3.583713809299981E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5832337323020804E-4
train epoch 17: 3.582753814481406E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5822740548830165E-4
train epoch 19: 3.581794452553911E-4
train epoch 20: 3.581315006542734E-4
train epoch 21: 3.58083571590008E-4
train epoch 22: 3.580356579678287E-4
train epoch 23: 3.579877596931552E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5793987667159013E-4
train epoch 25: 3.578920088089179E-4
train epoch 26: 3.5784415601111127E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5779631818431094E-4
train epoch 28: 3.577484952348417E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5770068706921697E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5765289359412456E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5760511471642824E-4
train epoch 32: 3.575573503431658E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5750960038157307E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5746186473905E-4
train epoch 35: 3.574141433231627E-4
train epoch 36: 3.573664360416797E-4
train epoch 37: 3.573187428025352E-4
train epoch 38: 3.572710635138273E-4
train epoch 39: 3.572233980838461E-4
train epoch 40: 3.571757464210455E-4
train epoch 41: 3.57128108434067E-4
train epoch 42: 3.57080484031723E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5703287312298967E-4
train epoch 44: 3.569852756170299E-4
train epoch 45: 3.569376914231663E-4
train epoch 46: 3.56890120450909E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5684256260993077E-4
train epoch 48: 3.567950178100824E-4
train epoch 49: 3.567474859613873E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5915175078015631
mae:0.7294645021047086
rmse:0.7691017538671739
mape:6.9201409792672175
corr:0.9726985705477535
theil coefficient:27.237992173488504
net profit:45.34895418476951
buy and hold:-6.84086008106016E-4
mean profit per trade:0.23019773697852544
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20741,5117		+		32155,21		+
1		20749,86957		+		32389,47		+
2		20754,49795		+		31833,73		-
3		20744,5785		-		31732,53		-
4		20743,16711		-		32205,37		+
5		20750,80582		+		32563,26		+
6		20758,35198		+		31042,99		-
7		20736,79517		-		30820,77		-
8		20735,94849		-		30789,2		-
9		20735,87596		-		30707,06		-
10		20735,74291		-		31258,97		+
11		20738,18199		+		31953,99		+
12		20746,41404		+		32325,14		+
13		20753,16212		+		32302,07		-
14		20752,69502		-		33048,99		+
15		20771,01892		+		33379,53		+
16		20781,23089		+		32684,23		-
17		20761,24579		-		32577,09		-
18		20758,67405		-		32979,02		+
19		20769,02238		+		32560,89		-
20		20758,29702		-		32814,31		+
21		20764,5507		+		32615,92		-
22		20759,59041		-		33044,36		+
23		20770,88502		+		33408,62		+
24		20782,1912		+		33914,45		+
25		20800,47768		+		33841,77		-
26		20797,66571		-		34090,39		+
27		20807,5404		+		34113,74		+
28		20808,50491		+		34177,52		+
29		20811,17184		+		34486,01		+
30		20824,7399		+		34517,06		+
31		20826,16683		+		33954		-
32		20802,0338		-		34229,07		+
33		20813,36204		+		34656,83		+
34		20832,72853		+		34473,76		-
35		20824,18002		-		35341,2		+
36		20868,11492		+		35436,38		+
37		20873,46287		+		34985,45		-
38		20849,0467		-		35477,06		+
39		20875,78023		+		35415,91		-
40		20872,30395		-		35599,13		+
41		20882,8475		+		35465,95		-
42		20875,14546		-		35235,93		-
43		20862,32097		-		35713,98		+
44		20889,65201		+		36318,81		+
45		20927,95689		+		36244,96		-
46		20923,0582		-		36238,27		-
47		20922,61748		-		36651,61		+
48		20950,79274		+		36690,84		+
49		20953,56633		+		37064,27		+
50		20980,8263		+		37341,66		+
51		21002,07572		+		37405,4		+
52		21007,07832		+		36616,43		-
53		20948,32013		-		37220		+
54		20992,65143		+		37442,67		+
55		21010,02411		+		37806,83		+
56		21039,60692		+		37986,17		+
57		21054,70646		+		37653,78		-
58		21026,99737		-		37864,77		+
59		21044,44703		+		38368,66		+
60		21088,07076		+		38115,81		-
61		21065,83833		-		38117,31		+
62		21065,96818		+		37812,55		-
63		21040,08312		-		37795,9		-
64		21038,69797		-		37120,78		-
65		20985,08631		-		35873,33		-
66		20899,3417		-		35801,57		-
67		20894,9424		-		35980,06		+
68		20905,99292		+		35563,59		-
69		20880,77232		-		35678,19		+
70		20887,51544		+		36278,29		+
71		20925,26148		+		36940,33		+
72		20971,60697		+		37308,42		+
73		20999,48462		+		37571,76		+
74		21020,34501		+		38213,14		+
75		21074,31494		+		38501,45		+
76		21100,02111		+		38524,92		+
77		21102,15283		+		39739,74		+
78		21220,41596		+		41191,35		+
79		21381,52504		+		40866,67		-
80		21343,67009		-		41116,03		+
81		21372,65157		+		41039,94		-
82		21363,7436		-		40415,4		-
83		21292,7827		-		40502,58		+
84		21302,45563		+		41505,67		+
85		21419,14858		+		42194,73		+
86		21504,92757		+		42002,34		-
87		21480,5267		-		42125,61		+
88		21496,12123		+		42951,75		+
89		21604,25852		+		42938,85		-
90		21602,52218		-		42724,09		-
91		21573,83645		-		43376,85		+
92		21662,30737		+		43571,25		+
93		21689,38513		+		42993,27		-
94		21609,85723		-		42621,33		-
95		21560,25856		-		43020,51		+
96		21613,53873		+		42818,62		-
97		21586,41151		-		42158,4		-
98		21500,29331		-		42992,3		+
99		21609,72621		+		42939,38		-
100		21602,59353		-		44230,97		+
101		21783,71088		+		45924,25		+
102		22042,22593		+		44714,51		-
103		21855,17707		-		42928,65		-
104		21601,15032		-		42756,7		-
105		21578,16532		-		42828,64		+
106		21587,74921		+		43542,17		+
107		21685,31361		+		42333,2		-
108		21522,70324		-		40959,96		-
109		21354,44117		-		40059,32		-
110		21254,06757		-		40613,38		+
111		21314,8587		+		40220,55		-
112		21271,43905		-		39180,23		-
113		21164,02994		-		40047,06		+
114		21252,75736		+		40115,67		+
115		21260,10899		+		40702,82		+
116		21324,95984		+		40465,11		-
117		21298,28887		-		40170,35		-
118		21266,00216		-		39875,77		-
119		21234,6124		-		39515,79		-
120		21197,45788		-		40789,03		+
121		21334,77118		+		41914,3		+
122		21469,47633		+		42429,06		+
123		21535,11307		+		43336,22		+
124		21656,68995		+		43169,58		-
125		21633,80327		-		43325,09		+
126		21655,15368		+		44489,37		+
127		21821,66072		+		43633,67		-
128		21698,14962		-		43683,33		+
129		21705,14655		+		43862,73		+
130		21730,60086		+		44641,85		+
131		21844,31466		+		45002,63		+
132		21898,67277		+		45282,32		+
133		21941,53414		+		45698,49		+
134		22006,45068		+		45104,65		-
135		21914,23463		-		46335,45		+
136		22108,37505		+		47443,65		+
137		22292,75487		+		47163,5		-
138		22245,32789		-		46930,71		-
139		22206,3325		-		48132,11		+
140		22411,54748		+		48930,72		+
141		22553,15267		+		49088,14		+
142		22581,52593		+		49397,32		+
143		22637,67625		+		50121,05		+
144		22771,23287		+		49699,67		-
145		22693,11786		-		48989,65		-
146		22563,757		-		49210,68		+
147		22603,71367		+		47715,08		-
148		22339,21477		-		48708,09		+
149		22513,28054		+		48006,84		-
150		22389,7004		-		48194,4		+
151		22422,44858		+		47890,75		-
152		22369,54529		-		47955,51		+
153		22380,7778		+		48200,39		+
154		22423,498		+		47943,58		-
155		22378,70653		-		48625,74		+
156		22498,60857		+		48825,83		+
157		22534,32982		+		49525,55		+
158		22661,12635		+		49776,82		+
159		22707,34694		+		49567,61		-
160		22668,83863		-		49800,83		+
161		22711,78186		+		50621,01		+
162		22865,14363		+		50467,53		-
163		22836,17629		-		50551,02		+
164		22851,91885		+		51837,65		+
165		23098,82816		+		52835,66		+
166		23295,41813		+		53247,94		+
167		23377,77624		+		53520,24		+
168		23432,51003		+		56253,95		+
169		23994,30919		+		56985,69		+
170		24147,61656		+		55060,42		-
171		23746,58276		-		56432,58		+
172		24031,64591		+		57532,02		+
173		24262,63225		+		56592,36		-
174		24065,09298		-		57277,66		+
175		24209,03135		+		58983,91		+
176		24569,89203		+		58940,68		-
177		24560,72005		-		58296,28		-
178		24424,14036		-		57598,15		-
179		24276,58162		-		56988,75		-
180		24148,25954		-		57896,31		+
181		24339,53877		+		57227,66		-
182		24198,50506		-		56376,62		-
183		24019,94297		-		57266,53		+
184		24206,68776		+		56940,58		-
185		24138,13958		-		55865,39		-
186		23913,31156		-		56114,11		+
187		23965,12291		+		57175,59		+
188		24187,54717		+		56096,5		-
189		23961,45053		-		55475		-
190		23832,26025		-		55952,65		+
191		23931,47407		+		58107,95		+
192		24384,28547		+		59333,17		+
193		24644,02455		+		59917,84		+
194		24768,20488		+		59812,92		-
195		24745,91663		-		59080,2		-
196		24590,32477		-		59292,68		+
197		24635,42769		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24635.4276938647
New Prediction 1	20946.447666050648
New Prediction 2	21277.86655523181
New Prediction 3	21242.235116736283
New Prediction 4	21246.01237574093
New Prediction 5	21245.611346322454
New Prediction 6	21245.653937945084
New Prediction 7	21245.64936794997
New Prediction 8	21245.649916348382
New Prediction 9	21245.649824948625
New Prediction 10	21245.649824948625
New Prediction 11	21245.649824948625
New Prediction 12	21245.649824948625
New Prediction 13	21245.649824948625
New Prediction 14	21245.649824948625
New Prediction 15	21245.649824948625
New Prediction 16	21245.649824948625
New Prediction 17	21245.649824948625
New Prediction 18	21245.649824948625
New Prediction 19	21245.649824948625
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,04029		+			0,72589		+
2		0,0223		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04781		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,0068		+			1,47909		+
5		0,03682		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03636		-			-4,78116		-
7		-0,1039		-			-0,71842		+
8		-0,00408		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00035		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,00064		-		1,78138		+
11		0,01176		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03969		+			1,15482		-
13		0,03252		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00225		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08826		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04915		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09622		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01239		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04984		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,05165		-		0,77528		+
21		0,03012		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02389		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05439		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05442		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08795		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01352		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04747		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00464		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01282		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06517		+			0,09		-
31		0,00685		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11595		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05444		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09301		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,04104		-		2,4851		+
36		0,21076		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02562		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11704		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12814		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01665		-		0,516		+
41		0,0505		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03689		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,06145		-		1,34759		+
44		0,13092		+			1,67936		+
45		0,1832		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02341		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00211		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13457		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01324		-			1,01263		+
50		0,13001		+			0,74562		-
51		0,10123		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02382		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,2801		-			1,63492		+
54		0,2114		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08272		-			0,96788		+
56		0,1407		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07174		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13169		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08295		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20708		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10548		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00062		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12295		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00658		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25515		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40943		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02105		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05287		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,12071		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03229		+			1,66799		+
71		0,18055		+			1,80844		+
72		0,22124		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13284		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09929		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25642		+			0,75165		-
76		0,1219		-			0,06094		-
77		0,0101		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55887		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75635		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,1772		-			0,60833		+
81		0,13569		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04169		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33271		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04542		+			2,44644		+
85		0,5463		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39968		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11353		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07257		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50179		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00804		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13288		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40925		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12492		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36734		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22978		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24682		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12559		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39974		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50769		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03301		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83491		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17975		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85221		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16913		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10646		+		0,16811		+
106		0,0444		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45093		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75269		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78486		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,47114		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28561		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20391		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50622		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41836		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03459		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30457		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12515		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15171		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14771		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17512		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64569		+			2,72139		-
122		0,6294		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30525		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56296		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10574		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09864		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76596		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56761		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03224		+			0,40984		+
130		0,1172		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52192		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24853		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19553		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29542		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41992		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88201		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83052		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21297		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17545		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91988		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62985		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12573		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24835		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58824		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34363		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57168		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17693		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17706		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77617		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55043		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14616		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23622		-		0,13513		+
153		0,0502		+			0,50934		+
154		0,1907		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19995		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53436		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15865		-			1,42292		+
158		0,5611		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20376		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16973		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18926		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67298		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12677		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06891		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07468		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84748		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35291		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23385		-			4,98164		+
169		2,36923		+			1,29239		-
170		0,6369		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,6747		-			2,46155		+
172		1,19329		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95659		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,8175		-			1,20367		+
175		0,59634		+			2,9354		+
176		1,4796		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03734		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55764		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60598		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,52999		+		1,57998		+
181		0,78898		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58113		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74064		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77445		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28358		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,93579		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21643		+			1,87398		+
188		0,92384		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,93916		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54062		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41544		+			3,77967		+
192		1,87444		+			2,0866		-
193		1,05956		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50263		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09003		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63074		-		0,359		+
197		0,18325		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,22165		+		-16,22165		+
2		1,56983		+			1,56983		+
3		-0,1676		-			-0,1676		-
4		0,01778		+			0,01778		+
5		-0,00189		-		-0,00189		-
6		0,0002		+			0,0002		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29575875390078155

 9.run Duration 	16 seconds 88 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1e4f7c2 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 4.999626614700552E-4
train epoch 1: 3.609964221890395E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6096953924696223E-4
train epoch 3: 3.609426502007616E-4
train epoch 4: 3.609157681614679E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6088889308056747E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6086202490957634E-4
train epoch 7: 3.608351636000915E-4
train epoch 8: 3.608083091037655E-4
train epoch 9: 3.607814613723049E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6075462035746665E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6072778601106285E-4
train epoch 12: 3.607009582849806E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6067413713114743E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6064732250156394E-4
train epoch 15: 3.606205143482833E-4
train epoch 16: 3.605937126234164E-4
train epoch 17: 3.605669172791202E-4
train epoch 18: 3.605401282676319E-4
train epoch 19: 3.60513345541229E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6048656905224085E-4
train epoch 21: 3.604597987530754E-4
train epoch 22: 3.604330345961669E-4
train epoch 23: 3.604062765340322E-4
train epoch 24: 3.6037952451922783E-4
train epoch 25: 3.6035277850438615E-4
train epoch 26: 3.6032603844216997E-4
train epoch 27: 3.602993042853133E-4
train epoch 28: 3.6027257598660755E-4
train epoch 29: 3.6024585349888764E-4
train epoch 30: 3.6021913677504593E-4
train epoch 31: 3.601924257680374E-4
train epoch 32: 3.6016572043088234E-4
train epoch 33: 3.6013902071663304E-4
train epoch 34: 3.6011232657841085E-4
train epoch 35: 3.6008563796939254E-4
train epoch 36: 3.600589548428032E-4
train epoch 37: 3.6003227715192184E-4
train epoch 38: 3.6000560485008814E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5997893789068656E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5995227622716644E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5992561981302586E-4
train epoch 42: 3.598989686018132E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5987232254713024E-4
train epoch 44: 3.598456816026452E-4
train epoch 45: 3.598190457220664E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5979241485915875E-4
train epoch 47: 3.597657889677381E-4
train epoch 48: 3.597391680016813E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5971255191491084E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5952312839232031
mae:0.7320262946816677
rmse:0.7715123355612683
mape:6.957792374173252
corr:0.9709773496071238
theil coefficient:27.287110376969455
net profit:45.11852294966659
buy and hold:-6.875798011971672E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22902803527749538
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20682,0922		+		32155,21		+
1		20688,13019		+		32389,47		+
2		20691,80945		+		31833,73		-
3		20684,17171		-		31732,53		-
4		20683,18694		-		32205,37		+
5		20688,86166		+		32563,26		+
6		20694,9714		+		31042,99		-
7		20679,81133		-		30820,77		-
8		20679,96301		+		30789,2		-
9		20680,03358		+		30707,06		-
10		20680,27434		+		31258,97		+
11		20680,24299		-		31953,99		+
12		20685,50471		+		32325,14		+
13		20690,7324		+		32302,07		-
14		20690,35845		-		33048,99		+
15		20705,75911		+		33379,53		+
16		20714,73917		+		32684,23		-
17		20697,38959		-		32577,09		-
18		20695,23884		-		32979,02		+
19		20704,02824		+		32560,89		-
20		20694,92581		-		32814,31		+
21		20700,18867		+		32615,92		-
22		20696,00217		-		33044,36		+
23		20705,64273		+		33408,62		+
24		20715,59289		+		33914,45		+
25		20732,074		+		33841,77		-
26		20729,51584		-		34090,39		+
27		20738,53016		+		34113,74		+
28		20739,415		+		34177,52		+
29		20741,86532		+		34486,01		+
30		20754,40643		+		34517,06		+
31		20755,7319		+		33954		-
32		20733,49281		-		34229,07		+
33		20743,88152		+		34656,83		+
34		20761,84125		+		34473,76		-
35		20753,88667		-		35341,2		+
36		20795,11583		+		35436,38		+
37		20800,18373		+		34985,45		-
38		20777,12392		-		35477,06		+
39		20802,38242		+		35415,91		-
40		20799,08476		-		35599,13		+
41		20809,09725		+		35465,95		-
42		20801,77999		-		35235,93		-
43		20789,63552		-		35713,98		+
44		20815,57523		+		36318,81		+
45		20852,24154		+		36244,96		-
46		20847,5356		-		36238,27		-
47		20847,11244		-		36651,61		+
48		20874,23417		+		36690,84		+
49		20876,91109		+		37064,27		+
50		20903,27997		+		37341,66		+
51		20923,9015		+		37405,4		+
52		20928,76393		+		36616,43		-
53		20871,84872		-		37220		+
54		20914,74902		+		37442,67		+
55		20931,62847		+		37806,83		+
56		20960,44501		+		37986,17		+
57		20975,18562		+		37653,78		-
58		20948,1514		-		37864,77		+
59		20965,16783		+		38368,66		+
60		21007,82508		+		38115,81		-
61		20986,06561		-		38117,31		+
62		20986,19259		+		37812,55		-
63		20960,90958		-		37795,9		-
64		20959,55833		-		37120,78		-
65		20907,40971		-		35873,33		-
66		20824,81998		-		35801,57		-
67		20820,61989		-		35980,06		+
68		20831,17848		+		35563,59		-
69		20807,12412		-		35678,19		+
70		20813,53989		+		36278,29		+
71		20849,65164		+		36940,33		+
72		20894,35056		+		37308,42		+
73		20921,38411		+		37571,76		+
74		20941,672		+		38213,14		+
75		20994,3573		+		38501,45		+
76		21019,53674		+		38524,92		+
77		21021,62696		+		39739,74		+
78		21138,02651		+		41191,35		+
79		21297,63495		+		40866,67		-
80		21260,04759		-		41116,03		+
81		21288,82009		+		41039,94		-
82		21279,97345		-		40415,4		-
83		21209,59706		-		40502,58		+
84		21219,17969		+		41505,67		+
85		21335,03644		+		42194,73		+
86		21420,45499		+		42002,34		-
87		21396,13741		-		42125,61		+
88		21411,67704		+		42951,75		+
89		21519,58739		+		42938,85		-
90		21517,85272		-		42724,09		-
91		21489,20352		-		43376,85		+
92		21577,61393		+		43571,25		+
93		21604,70258		+		42993,27		-
94		21525,18111		-		42621,33		-
95		21475,6489		-		43020,51		+
96		21528,85968		+		42818,62		-
97		21501,76048		-		42158,4		-
98		21415,83544		-		42992,3		+
99		21525,0502		+		42939,38		-
100		21517,924		-		44230,97		+
101		21699,16267		+		45924,25		+
102		21958,69003		+		44714,51		-
103		21770,82138		-		42928,65		-
104		21516,48222		-		42756,7		-
105		21493,52578		-		42828,64		+
106		21503,09645		+		43542,17		+
107		21600,62859		+		42333,2		-
108		21438,179		-		40959,96		-
109		21270,7378		-		40059,32		-
110		21171,28022		-		40613,38		+
111		21231,47208		+		40220,55		-
112		21188,46548		-		39180,23		-
113		21082,42961		-		40047,06		+
114		21169,98457		+		40115,67		+
115		21177,25545		+		40702,82		+
116		21241,48721		+		40465,11		-
117		21215,05139		-		40170,35		-
118		21183,08553		-		39875,77		-
119		21152,0489		-		39515,79		-
120		21115,37013		-		40789,03		+
121		21251,21846		+		41914,3		+
122		21385,12962		+		42429,06		+
123		21450,55711		+		43336,22		+
124		21571,9959		+		43169,58		-
125		21549,11276		-		43325,09		+
126		21570,45957		+		44489,37		+
127		21737,2056		+		43633,67		-
128		21613,47336		-		43683,33		+
129		21620,47626		+		43862,73		+
130		21645,95922		+		44641,85		+
131		21759,92503		+		45002,63		+
132		21814,46896		+		45282,32		+
133		21857,50394		+		45698,49		+
134		21922,72588		+		45104,65		-
135		21830,09117		-		46335,45		+
136		22025,22453		+		47443,65		+
137		22210,90088		+		47163,5		-
138		22163,11139		-		46930,71		-
139		22123,83246		-		48132,11		+
140		22330,68089		+		48930,72		+
141		22473,59721		+		49088,14		+
142		22502,24916		+		49397,32		+
143		22558,96569		+		50121,05		+
144		22693,94247		+		49699,67		-
145		22614,98469		-		48989,65		-
146		22484,3051		-		49210,68		+
147		22524,65835		+		47715,08		-
148		22257,73387		-		48708,09		+
149		22433,34217		+		48006,84		-
150		22308,64411		-		48194,4		+
151		22341,67797		+		47890,75		-
152		22288,31715		-		47955,51		+
153		22299,64505		+		48200,39		+
154		22342,73667		+		47943,58		-
155		22297,55612		-		48625,74		+
156		22418,53193		+		48825,83		+
157		22454,59231		+		49525,55		+
158		22582,65784		+		49776,82		+
159		22629,36479		+		49567,61		-
160		22590,45042		-		49800,83		+
161		22633,84701		+		50621,01		+
162		22788,90878		+		50467,53		-
163		22759,61111		-		50551,02		+
164		22775,53268		+		51837,65		+
165		23025,39915		+		52835,66		+
166		23224,52102		+		53247,94		+
167		23307,98026		+		53520,24		+
168		23363,45789		+		56253,95		+
169		23933,35371		+		56985,69		+
170		24088,98808		+		55060,42		-
171		23681,96367		-		56432,58		+
172		23971,25331		+		57532,02		+
173		24205,77504		+		56592,36		-
174		24005,20677		-		57277,66		+
175		24151,34614		+		58983,91		+
176		24517,85464		+		58940,68		-
177		24508,5372		-		58296,28		-
178		24369,80226		-		57598,15		-
179		24219,94057		-		56988,75		-
180		24089,64091		-		57896,31		+
181		24283,87677		+		57227,66		-
182		24140,65776		-		56376,62		-
183		23959,37366		-		57266,53		+
184		24148,96645		+		56940,58		-
185		24079,36609		-		55865,39		-
186		23851,14415		-		56114,11		+
187		23903,72926		+		57175,59		+
188		24129,53131		+		56096,5		-
189		23900,00186		-		55475		-
190		23768,89344		-		55952,65		+
191		23869,5773		+		58107,95		+
192		24329,32256		+		59333,17		+
193		24593,16586		+		59917,84		+
194		24719,33163		+		59812,92		-
195		24696,6861		-		59080,2		-
196		24538,61172		-		59292,68		+
197		24584,43205		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24584.43204874072
New Prediction 1	20927.654488880136
New Prediction 2	21280.87610034833
New Prediction 3	21240.552197099474
New Prediction 4	21245.091070040642
New Prediction 5	21244.57931550617
New Prediction 6	21244.636964676312
New Prediction 7	21244.630462026078
New Prediction 8	21244.631238460133
New Prediction 9	21244.631141405844
New Prediction 10	21244.631141405844
New Prediction 11	21244.631141405844
New Prediction 12	21244.631141405844
New Prediction 13	21244.631141405844
New Prediction 14	21244.631141405844
New Prediction 15	21244.631141405844
New Prediction 16	21244.631141405844
New Prediction 17	21244.631141405844
New Prediction 18	21244.631141405844
New Prediction 19	21244.631141405844
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02919		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01778		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03692		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00476		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02743		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02953		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07328		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00073		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00034		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00116		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00015		-		2,19907		+
12		0,02544		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02527		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00181		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07441		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04336		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08379		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01039		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04246		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04397		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02543		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02023		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04657		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04804		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07953		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01234		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04348		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00427		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01181		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06044		+			0,09		-
31		0,00639		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,1072		-			0,80686		+
33		0,05009		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08654		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03832		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19846		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02437		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11092		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12149		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01585		-		0,516		+
41		0,04813		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03517		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,0584		-			1,34759		+
44		0,12469		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17599		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02257		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00203		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13001		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01282		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12623		+			0,74562		-
51		0,0986		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02324		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27232		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20533		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08067		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13758		+			0,47324		-
57		0,0703		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12897		-		0,55878		+
59		0,0812		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20326		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10363		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12055		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00645		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24912		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39581		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02017		+		0,49731		+
68		0,0507		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11554		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03083		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17335		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21416		+			0,99151		-
73		0,1293		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09693		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25127		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11986		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00994		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55219		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75224		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17664		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13524		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04156		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33126		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04517		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54451		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39957		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11359		-		0,29305		+
88		0,0726		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50271		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00806		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13323		-		1,5163		+
92		0,41057		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12546		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36875		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,23038		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24747		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12595		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,40042		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50868		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03311		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83874		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18893		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85924		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,17513		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10675		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04452		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45255		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,7549		-			-3,29766		-
109		-0,78411		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46868		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28391		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20277		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,5017		-			2,1883		+
114		0,41444		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03434		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30285		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12453		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15079		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14662		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17356		-		3,17128		+
121		0,6413		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62816		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30548		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56454		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10613		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09901		+			2,65184		+
127		0,77006		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,57084		-		0,11375		+
129		0,0324		+			0,40984		+
130		0,1178		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52512		+			0,80492		-
132		0,25035		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19708		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29795		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42345		-		2,6922		+
136		0,8899		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83948		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21539		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17738		+		2,52773		+
140		0,93061		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63796		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12741		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25173		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59655		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34853		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57952		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17931		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,19211		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78588		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55741		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14797		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23913		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05081		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19305		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20242		-		1,41281		+
156		0,54109		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16072		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56871		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20661		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17211		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19192		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68275		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12864		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06993		+			2,51336		+
165		1,09111		+			1,90696		-
166		0,86107		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35871		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23774		-			4,98164		+
169		2,40999		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64818		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70411		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21416		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97359		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83205		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60694		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50615		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03801		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56768		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61685		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53944		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80307		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59152		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75378		-		1,56618		+
184		0,7882		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28863		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95231		-		0,44422		+
187		0,22023		+			1,87398		+
188		0,9402		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95579		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,55008		+		0,85733		+
191		0,4227		+			3,77967		+
192		1,90776		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07863		-			0,98058		-
194		0,5117		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09165		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64212		-		0,359		+
197		0,18655		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,10419		+		-16,10419		+
2		1,67374		+			1,67374		+
3		-0,18966		-		-0,18966		-
4		0,02137		+			0,02137		+
5		-0,00241		-		-0,00241		-
6		0,00027		+			0,00027		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29761564196160156

 10.run Duration 	15 seconds 870 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@c9d92c ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 5.06672931583028E-4
train epoch 1: 3.6116406968265664E-4
train epoch 2: 3.611130894841539E-4
train epoch 3: 3.610787519879729E-4
train epoch 4: 3.610444257639916E-4
train epoch 5: 3.610101107419876E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6097580685185717E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6094151402360015E-4
train epoch 8: 3.609072321873218E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6087296127322734E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6083870121162597E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6080445193294343E-4
train epoch 12: 3.60770213367694E-4
train epoch 13: 3.607359854465098E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6070176810011585E-4
train epoch 15: 3.606675612593486E-4
train epoch 16: 3.606333648551408E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6059917881853205E-4
train epoch 18: 3.605650030806675E-4
train epoch 19: 3.60530837572784E-4
train epoch 20: 3.604966822262324E-4
train epoch 21: 3.604625369724536E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6042840174299644E-4
train epoch 23: 3.603942764695122E-4
train epoch 24: 3.60360161083751E-4
train epoch 25: 3.60326055517572E-4
train epoch 26: 3.602919597029133E-4
train epoch 27: 3.602578735718281E-4
train epoch 28: 3.6022379705647644E-4
train epoch 29: 3.6018973008910865E-4
train epoch 30: 3.6015567260206695E-4
train epoch 31: 3.6012162452780727E-4
train epoch 32: 3.600875857988771E-4
train epoch 33: 3.6005355634792264E-4
train epoch 34: 3.600195361076899E-4
train epoch 35: 3.599855250110205E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5995152299091924E-4
train epoch 37: 3.599175299803667E-4
train epoch 38: 3.598835459124948E-4
train epoch 39: 3.598495707205357E-4
train epoch 40: 3.598156043378189E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5978164669777393E-4
train epoch 42: 3.597476977339154E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5971375737986906E-4
train epoch 44: 3.596798255693484E-4
train epoch 45: 3.596459022361644E-4
train epoch 46: 3.59611987314216E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5957808073751134E-4
train epoch 48: 3.595441824401396E-4
train epoch 49: 3.59510292356279E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5957012353389053
mae:0.7322863333327639
rmse:0.7718168405385473
mape:6.958905536187468
corr:0.9707892283072109
theil coefficient:27.31147669887918
net profit:44.86997403825267
buy and hold:-6.913885221683909E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2277663656764095
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20681,15332		+		32155,21		+
1		20686,9925		+		32389,47		+
2		20690,58346		+		31833,73		-
3		20683,15104		-		31732,53		-
4		20682,20211		-		32205,37		+
5		20687,70527		+		32563,26		+
6		20693,67828		+		31042,99		-
7		20679,05783		-		30820,77		-
8		20679,27925		+		30789,2		-
9		20679,35953		+		30707,06		-
10		20679,62534		+		31258,97		+
11		20679,41946		-		31953,99		+
12		20684,44082		+		32325,14		+
13		20689,53091		+		32302,07		-
14		20689,1657		-		33048,99		+
15		20704,27108		+		33379,53		+
16		20713,11244		+		32684,23		-
17		20696,04892		-		32577,09		-
18		20693,94032		-		32979,02		+
19		20702,56894		+		32560,89		-
20		20693,63361		-		32814,31		+
21		20698,79614		+		32615,92		-
22		20694,68843		-		33044,36		+
23		20704,15661		+		33408,62		+
24		20713,95373		+		33914,45		+
25		20730,21263		+		33841,77		-
26		20727,68708		-		34090,39		+
27		20736,5889		+		34113,74		+
28		20737,46303		+		34177,52		+
29		20739,88401		+		34486,01		+
30		20752,28072		+		34517,06		+
31		20753,59143		+		33954		-
32		20731,61359		-		34229,07		+
33		20741,87635		+		34656,83		+
34		20759,63386		+		34473,76		-
35		20751,76677		-		35341,2		+
36		20792,5692		+		35436,38		+
37		20797,58842		+		34985,45		-
38		20774,75601		-		35477,06		+
39		20799,7662		+		35415,91		-
40		20796,49995		-		35599,13		+
41		20806,41789		+		35465,95		-
42		20799,16949		-		35235,93		-
43		20787,1423		-		35713,98		+
44		20812,83592		+		36318,81		+
45		20849,17819		+		36244,96		-
46		20844,51256		-		36238,27		-
47		20844,09304		-		36651,61		+
48		20870,98668		+		36690,84		+
49		20873,64163		+		37064,27		+
50		20899,79859		+		37341,66		+
51		20920,25954		+		37405,4		+
52		20925,08469		+		36616,43		-
53		20868,62089		-		37220		+
54		20911,17782		+		37442,67		+
55		20927,92737		+		37806,83		+
56		20956,52788		+		37986,17		+
57		20971,1605		+		37653,78		-
58		20944,3256		-		37864,77		+
59		20961,21593		+		38368,66		+
60		21003,5662		+		38115,81		-
61		20981,96178		-		38117,31		+
62		20982,08784		+		37812,55		-
63		20956,98902		-		37795,9		-
64		20955,64775		-		37120,78		-
65		20903,89583		-		35873,33		-
66		20821,99665		-		35801,57		-
67		20817,83451		-		35980,06		+
68		20828,29833		+		35563,59		-
69		20804,4632		-		35678,19		+
70		20810,81932		+		36278,29		+
71		20846,61043		+		36940,33		+
72		20890,94007		+		37308,42		+
73		20917,76153		+		37571,76		+
74		20937,89483		+		38213,14		+
75		20990,19402		+		38501,45		+
76		21015,19564		+		38524,92		+
77		21017,27127		+		39739,74		+
78		21132,89387		+		41191,35		+
79		21291,52385		+		40866,67		-
80		21254,15956		-		41116,03		+
81		21282,76094		+		41039,94		-
82		21273,96666		-		40415,4		-
83		21204,01517		-		40502,58		+
84		21213,53902		+		41505,67		+
85		21328,7073		+		42194,73		+
86		21413,64126		+		42002,34		-
87		21389,45984		-		42125,61		+
88		21404,9123		+		42951,75		+
89		21512,23206		+		42938,85		-
90		21510,50669		-		42724,09		-
91		21482,01198		-		43376,85		+
92		21569,95087		+		43571,25		+
93		21596,89804		+		42993,27		-
94		21517,79583		-		42621,33		-
95		21468,53105		-		43020,51		+
96		21521,45474		+		42818,62		-
97		21494,50102		-		42158,4		-
98		21409,04747		-		42992,3		+
99		21517,66562		+		42939,38		-
100		21510,57759		-		44230,97		+
101		21690,87498		+		45924,25		+
102		21949,14773		+		44714,51		-
103		21762,17708		-		42928,65		-
104		21509,14355		-		42756,7		-
105		21486,31083		-		42828,64		+
106		21495,82979		+		43542,17		+
107		21592,84525		+		42333,2		-
108		21431,26688		-		40959,96		-
109		21264,78591		-		40059,32		-
110		21165,93651		-		40613,38		+
111		21225,75646		+		40220,55		-
112		21183,01432		-		39180,23		-
113		21077,65999		-		40047,06		+
114		21164,64901		+		40115,67		+
115		21171,87426		+		40702,82		+
116		21235,71087		+		40465,11		-
117		21209,43602		-		40170,35		-
118		21177,66789		-		39875,77		-
119		21146,82674		-		39515,79		-
120		21110,38382		-		40789,03		+
121		21245,38342		+		41914,3		+
122		21378,51414		+		42429,06		+
123		21443,57668		+		43336,22		+
124		21564,36236		+		43169,58		-
125		21541,60004		-		43325,09		+
126		21562,8341		+		44489,37		+
127		21728,72757		+		43633,67		-
128		21605,6233		-		43683,33		+
129		21612,58995		+		43862,73		+
130		21637,94175		+		44641,85		+
131		21751,33443		+		45002,63		+
132		21805,6114		+		45282,32		+
133		21848,43892		+		45698,49		+
134		21913,35157		+		45104,65		-
135		21821,15799		-		46335,45		+
136		22015,37605		+		47443,65		+
137		22200,22802		+		47163,5		-
138		22152,64661		-		46930,71		-
139		22113,54081		-		48132,11		+
140		22319,49834		+		48930,72		+
141		22461,82785		+		49088,14		+
142		22490,36486		+		49397,32		+
143		22546,85646		+		50121,05		+
144		22681,31154		+		49699,67		-
145		22602,65664		-		48989,65		-
146		22472,49268		-		49210,68		+
147		22512,68476		+		47715,08		-
148		22246,85972		-		48708,09		+
149		22421,7358		+		48006,84		-
150		22297,55408		-		48194,4		+
151		22330,44945		+		47890,75		-
152		22277,31295		-		47955,51		+
153		22288,59296		+		48200,39		+
154		22331,50373		+		47943,58		-
155		22286,51285		-		48625,74		+
156		22406,98599		+		48825,83		+
157		22442,89968		+		49525,55		+
158		22570,45566		+		49776,82		+
159		22616,98109		+		49567,61		-
160		22578,2178		-		49800,83		+
161		22621,44602		+		50621,01		+
162		22775,92201		+		50467,53		-
163		22746,73315		-		50551,02		+
164		22762,59548		+		51837,65		+
165		23011,56519		+		52835,66		+
166		23210,0156		+		53247,94		+
167		23293,20451		+		53520,24		+
168		23348,50606		+		56253,95		+
169		23916,75635		+		56985,69		+
170		24071,99258		+		55060,42		-
171		23666,05571		-		56432,58		+
172		23954,55698		+		57532,02		+
173		24188,49515		+		56592,36		-
174		23988,42288		-		57277,66		+
175		24134,19726		+		58983,91		+
176		24499,87549		+		58940,68		-
177		24490,57764		-		58296,28		-
178		24352,14381		-		57598,15		-
179		24202,62703		-		56988,75		-
180		24072,64378		-		57896,31		+
181		24266,41359		+		57227,66		-
182		24123,53492		-		56376,62		-
183		23942,70822		-		57266,53		+
184		24131,82336		+		56940,58		-
185		24062,39457		-		55865,39		-
186		23834,76594		-		56114,11		+
187		23887,21017		+		57175,59		+
188		24112,43569		+		56096,5		-
189		23883,49268		-		55475		-
190		23752,74061		-		55952,65		+
191		23853,14942		+		58107,95		+
192		24311,75527		+		59333,17		+
193		24575,03125		+		59917,84		+
194		24700,94824		+		59812,92		-
195		24678,34628		-		59080,2		-
196		24520,5892		-		59292,68		+
197		24566,3152		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24566.31519542991
New Prediction 1	20929.326511969924
New Prediction 2	21280.665877733823
New Prediction 3	21240.614166367624
New Prediction 4	21245.11647254033
New Prediction 5	21244.609568853462
New Prediction 6	21244.666559725738
New Prediction 7	21244.66016266047
New Prediction 8	21244.660938060573
New Prediction 9	21244.660841135534
New Prediction 10	21244.660841135534
New Prediction 11	21244.660841135534
New Prediction 12	21244.660841135534
New Prediction 13	21244.660841135534
New Prediction 14	21244.660841135534
New Prediction 15	21244.660841135534
New Prediction 16	21244.660841135534
New Prediction 17	21244.660841135534
New Prediction 18	21244.660841135534
New Prediction 19	21244.660841135534
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02823		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01736		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03593		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00459		+		1,47909		+
5		0,0266		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02887		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07068		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00107		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00039		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00129		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,001		-			2,19907		+
12		0,02428		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02461		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00177		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07298		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04269		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08241		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01019		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04169		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04317		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02494		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01985		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04574		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04731		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07846		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01218		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04294		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00422		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01167		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05975		+			0,09		-
31		0,00632		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10596		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04949		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08558		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,0379		-			2,4851		+
36		0,19643		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02414		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10984		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12031		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,0157		-			0,516		+
41		0,04768		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03484		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05784		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12353		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17446		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02238		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00201		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12894		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01272		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12523		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09785		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02306		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,2702		-			1,63492		+
54		0,20372		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08007		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13657		+			0,47324		-
57		0,0698		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12804		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08061		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20184		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10291		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11969		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,0064		+			-1,80237		-
65		-0,24726		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39256		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01999		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05025		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,1145		-			0,32172		+
70		0,03055		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17184		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21242		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12831		-			0,70337		-
74		0,0962		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24947		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11904		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00988		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54862		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74783		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17564		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13448		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04133		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32935		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04491		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54143		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39742		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11299		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07222		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50013		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00802		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13256		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40853		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12485		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36694		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22921		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24621		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12532		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39835		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50606		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03295		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83469		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18366		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85548		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16953		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10621		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04429		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45031		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75111		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77985		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46593		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28223		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20157		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49859		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41186		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03413		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30106		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12381		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,1499		-			-0,73603		-
119		-0,14574		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17248		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63746		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62468		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30387		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56169		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10561		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09852		+			2,65184		+
127		0,7664		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56816		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03224		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11723		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52268		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24922		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19621		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29666		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42161		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88611		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83614		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21456		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17668		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92705		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63567		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12697		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25087		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59457		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34739		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57754		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17869		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18781		-		2,05976		+
149		0,783		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55538		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14742		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23824		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05062		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19234		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20167		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53911		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16015		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56675		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20592		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17154		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19128		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68055		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12824		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06971		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08783		+			1,90696		-
166		0,8587		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35778		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23713		-			4,98164		+
169		2,40463		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64697		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70073		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21168		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97185		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83058		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60585		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50382		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03796		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56686		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61587		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53851		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80172		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59053		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75241		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78676		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28812		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,9505		-			0,44422		+
187		0,21979		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93845		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95402		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54896		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42183		+			3,77967		+
192		1,90437		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07709		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51107		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09154		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64131		-		0,359		+
197		0,18631		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,02248		+		-16,02248		+
2		1,66476		+			1,66476		+
3		-0,18838		-		-0,18838		-
4		0,02119		+			0,02119		+
5		-0,00239		-		-0,00239		-
6		0,00027		+			0,00027		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29785061766945264

 11.run Duration 	16 seconds 385 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1d0fafc ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.008840618548708993
train epoch 1: 3.5925268606554027E-4
train epoch 2: 3.5921035614200445E-4
train epoch 3: 3.591680448308917E-4
train epoch 4: 3.591257462098191E-4
train epoch 5: 3.5908346018433845E-4
train epoch 6: 3.5904118666015266E-4
train epoch 7: 3.5899892554312605E-4
train epoch 8: 3.5895667673929975E-4
train epoch 9: 3.5891444015487256E-4
train epoch 10: 3.5887221569620085E-4
train epoch 11: 3.588300032698087E-4
train epoch 12: 3.58787802782377E-4
train epoch 13: 3.5874561414075555E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5870343725196146E-4
train epoch 15: 3.586612720231588E-4
train epoch 16: 3.586191183616845E-4
train epoch 17: 3.585769761750213E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5853484537082454E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5849272585691014E-4
train epoch 20: 3.584506175412467E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5840852033195515E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5836643413733154E-4
train epoch 23: 3.5832435886581964E-4
train epoch 24: 3.582822944260247E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5824024072670345E-4
train epoch 26: 3.5819819767677485E-4
train epoch 27: 3.58156165185314E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5811414316154407E-4
train epoch 29: 3.580721315148582E-4
train epoch 30: 3.580301301547915E-4
train epoch 31: 3.57988138991043E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5794615793346176E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5790418689204745E-4
train epoch 34: 3.578622257769683E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5782027449852733E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5777833296719353E-4
train epoch 37: 3.577364010935845E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5769447878846713E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5765256596276187E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5761066252755236E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5756876839404924E-4
train epoch 42: 3.5752688347363E-4
train epoch 43: 3.574850076778298E-4
train epoch 44: 3.57443140918314E-4
train epoch 45: 3.574012831069176E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5735943415561556E-4
train epoch 47: 3.573175939765243E-4
train epoch 48: 3.572757624819258E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5723393958423863E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5921968981391242
mae:0.729920148172441
rmse:0.7695433049147554
mape:6.926257283516984
corr:0.9723957396131129
theil coefficient:27.250955836829867
net profit:45.258925772867215
buy and hold:-6.854467822707286E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22974073996379296
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20732,03358		+		32155,21		+
1		20739,98726		+		32389,47		+
2		20744,44878		+		31833,73		-
3		20734,92897		-		31732,53		-
4		20733,59175		-		32205,37		+
5		20740,88758		+		32563,26		+
6		20748,18055		+		31042,99		-
7		20727,73639		-		30820,77		-
8		20727,06025		-		30789,2		-
9		20727,0121		-		30707,06		-
10		20726,94268		-		31258,97		+
11		20728,95933		+		31953,99		+
12		20736,67692		+		32325,14		+
13		20743,15853		+		32302,07		-
14		20742,70782		-		33048,99		+
15		20760,5128		+		33379,53		+
16		20770,50301		+		32684,23		-
17		20750,99004		-		32577,09		-
18		20748,49294		-		32979,02		+
19		20758,56383		+		32560,89		-
20		20748,12724		-		32814,31		+
21		20754,20499		+		32615,92		-
22		20749,38219		-		33044,36		+
23		20760,38203		+		33408,62		+
24		20771,44404		+		33914,45		+
25		20789,40147		+		33841,77		-
26		20786,63606		-		34090,39		+
27		20796,35252		+		34113,74		+
28		20797,30231		+		34177,52		+
29		20799,92919		+		34486,01		+
30		20813,30621		+		34517,06		+
31		20814,71416		+		33954		-
32		20790,93237		-		34229,07		+
33		20802,08715		+		34656,83		+
34		20821,191		+		34473,76		-
35		20812,75383		-		35341,2		+
36		20856,17546		+		35436,38		+
37		20861,46931		+		34985,45		-
38		20837,31333		-		35477,06		+
39		20863,76369		+		35415,91		-
40		20860,32199		-		35599,13		+
41		20870,76248		+		35465,95		-
42		20863,13519		-		35235,93		-
43		20850,44185		-		35713,98		+
44		20877,50323		+		36318,81		+
45		20915,48319		+		36244,96		-
46		20910,6232		-		36238,27		-
47		20910,18599		-		36651,61		+
48		20938,14811		+		36690,84		+
49		20940,90191		+		37064,27		+
50		20967,97752		+		37341,66		+
51		20989,09462		+		37405,4		+
52		20994,06738		+		36616,43		-
53		20935,6933		-		37220		+
54		20979,72788		+		37442,67		+
55		20996,99581		+		37806,83		+
56		21026,41283		+		37986,17		+
57		21041,43325		+		37653,78		-
58		21013,87212		-		37864,77		+
59		21031,22719		+		38368,66		+
60		21074,63442		+		38115,81		-
61		21052,50897		-		38117,31		+
62		21052,63818		+		37812,55		-
63		21026,88648		-		37795,9		-
64		21025,50876		-		37120,78		-
65		20972,21025		-		35873,33		-
66		20887,10554		-		35801,57		-
67		20882,74544		-		35980,06		+
68		20893,69895		+		35563,59		-
69		20868,70717		-		35678,19		+
70		20875,38646		+		36278,29		+
71		20912,80898		+		36940,33		+
72		20958,81859		+		37308,42		+
73		20986,51917		+		37571,76		+
74		21007,25716		+		38213,14		+
75		21060,944		+		38501,45		+
76		21086,52992		+		38524,92		+
77		21088,65204		+		39739,74		+
78		21206,45797		+		41191,35		+
79		21367,12317		+		40866,67		-
80		21329,3578		-		41116,03		+
81		21358,26999		+		41039,94		-
82		21349,38281		-		40415,4		-
83		21278,60421		-		40502,58		+
84		21288,25045		+		41505,67		+
85		21404,66531		+		42194,73		+
86		21490,28411		+		42002,34		-
87		21465,92546		-		42125,61		+
88		21481,49272		+		42951,75		+
89		21589,46787		+		42938,85		-
90		21587,73379		-		42724,09		-
91		21559,08692		-		43376,85		+
92		21647,4472		+		43571,25		+
93		21674,49628		+		42993,27		-
94		21595,05938		-		42621,33		-
95		21545,52847		-		43020,51		+
96		21598,73621		+		42818,62		-
97		21571,64458		-		42158,4		-
98		21485,65768		-		42992,3		+
99		21594,92853		+		42939,38		-
100		21587,80505		-		44230,97		+
101		21768,73926		+		45924,25		+
102		22027,14273		+		44714,51		-
103		21840,1589		-		42928,65		-
104		21586,36372		-		42756,7		-
105		21563,40973		-		42828,64		+
106		21572,98046		+		43542,17		+
107		21670,42893		+		42333,2		-
108		21508,03061		-		40959,96		-
109		21340,10258		-		40059,32		-
110		21240,00227		-		40613,38		+
111		21300,62018		+		40220,55		-
112		21257,32167		-		39180,23		-
113		21150,27285		-		40047,06		+
114		21238,69608		+		40115,67		+
115		21246,02533		+		40702,82		+
116		21310,69488		+		40465,11		-
117		21284,09511		-		40170,35		-
118		21251,90085		-		39875,77		-
119		21220,60807		-		39515,79		-
120		21183,57832		-		40789,03		+
121		21320,48114		+		41914,3		+
122		21454,89505		+		42429,06		+
123		21520,42084		+		43336,22		+
124		21641,83602		+		43169,58		-
125		21618,97582		-		43325,09		+
126		21640,30148		+		44489,37		+
127		21806,66275		+		43633,67		-
128		21683,25199		-		43683,33		+
129		21690,24207		+		43862,73		+
130		21715,67268		+		44641,85		+
131		21829,30273		+		45002,63		+
132		21883,63249		+		45282,32		+
133		21926,47638		+		45698,49		+
134		21991,37411		+		45104,65		-
135		21899,18752		-		46335,45		+
136		22093,28617		+		47443,65		+
137		22277,69103		+		47163,5		-
138		22230,25224		-		46930,71		-
139		22191,24983		-		48132,11		+
140		22396,52804		+		48930,72		+
141		22538,2115		+		49088,14		+
142		22566,60349		+		49397,32		+
143		22622,79373		+		50121,05		+
144		22756,45955		+		49699,67		-
145		22678,2783		-		48989,65		-
146		22548,82271		-		49210,68		+
147		22588,80657		+		47715,08		-
148		22324,16584		-		48708,09		+
149		22498,31471		+		48006,84		-
150		22374,67127		-		48194,4		+
151		22407,43423		+		47890,75		-
152		22354,50782		-		47955,51		+
153		22365,7449		+		48200,39		+
154		22408,48414		+		47943,58		-
155		22363,67278		-		48625,74		+
156		22483,63418		+		48825,83		+
157		22519,37677		+		49525,55		+
158		22646,26158		+		49776,82		+
159		22692,51895		+		49567,61		-
160		22653,97982		-		49800,83		+
161		22696,95752		+		50621,01		+
162		22850,45832		+		50467,53		-
163		22821,46289		-		50551,02		+
164		22837,22061		+		51837,65		+
165		23084,39794		+		52835,66		+
166		23281,23801		+		53247,94		+
167		23363,70954		+		53520,24		+
168		23418,52134		+		56253,95		+
169		23981,2276		+		56985,69		+
170		24134,81165		+		55060,42		-
171		23733,07893		-		56432,58		+
172		24018,63068		+		57532,02		+
173		24250,04193		+		56592,36		-
174		24052,13776		-		57277,66		+
175		24196,3403		+		58983,91		+
176		24557,90152		+		58940,68		-
177		24548,71111		-		58296,28		-
178		24411,86074		-		57598,15		-
179		24264,01771		-		56988,75		-
180		24135,45582		-		57896,31		+
181		24327,09508		+		57227,66		-
182		24185,79438		-		56376,62		-
183		24006,90687		-		57266,53		+
184		24193,99234		+		56940,58		-
185		24125,31725		-		55865,39		-
186		23900,08839		-		56114,11		+
187		23951,98993		+		57175,59		+
188		24174,8161		+		56096,5		-
189		23948,31111		-		55475		-
190		23818,89879		-		55952,65		+
191		23918,28236		+		58107,95		+
192		24371,92821		+		59333,17		+
193		24632,18404		+		59917,84		+
194		24756,61981		+		59812,92		-
195		24734,28534		-		59080,2		-
196		24578,3754		-		59292,68		+
197		24623,56969		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24623.56968648927
New Prediction 1	20943.795961586053
New Prediction 2	21278.26439675179
New Prediction 3	21241.970424545303
New Prediction 4	21245.853820886077
New Prediction 5	21245.43760784892
New Prediction 6	21245.48225735131
New Prediction 7	21245.477460212496
New Prediction 8	21245.477921474943
New Prediction 9	21245.477921474943
New Prediction 10	21245.477921474943
New Prediction 11	21245.477921474943
New Prediction 12	21245.477921474943
New Prediction 13	21245.477921474943
New Prediction 14	21245.477921474943
New Prediction 15	21245.477921474943
New Prediction 16	21245.477921474943
New Prediction 17	21245.477921474943
New Prediction 18	21245.477921474943
New Prediction 19	21245.477921474943
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03836		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02151		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,0459		-			-0,31841		+
4		-0,00645		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03518		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03516		-			-4,78116		-
7		-0,09858		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00326		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00023		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,00033		-		1,78138		+
11		0,00973		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03722		+			1,15482		-
13		0,03125		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00217		-		2,28597		+
15		0,0858		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04811		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09399		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01203		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04853		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,05029		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02929		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02324		-		1,30504		+
23		0,053		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05327		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08642		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,0133		-			0,73197		+
27		0,04673		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00457		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01263		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06429		+			0,09		-
31		0,00676		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11432		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05364		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09179		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,04053		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20841		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02538		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11586		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12686		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,0165		-			0,516		+
41		0,05004		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03655		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,06086		-		1,34759		+
44		0,1297		+			1,67936		+
45		0,18175		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02324		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00209		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13364		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01315		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12921		+			0,74562		-
51		0,10066		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02369		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27844		-		1,63492		+
54		0,21011		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08227		-			0,96788		+
56		0,14		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07141		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13107		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08255		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20618		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10504		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,1224		-			-0,04404		+
64		-0,00655		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25382		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40662		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02088		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05244		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11969		-		0,32172		+
70		0,032		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17911		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21977		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13208		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09877		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25524		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12141		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01006		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55707		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75477		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,1769		-			0,60833		+
81		0,13546		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04162		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33208		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04532		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54536		+			1,64653		-
86		0,3992		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11341		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07249		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50138		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00803		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13279		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40901		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12487		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36717		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22963		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24665		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12551		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39941		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50729		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03299		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83464		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18005		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,8525		-			-4,07586		-
104		-1,16886		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10639		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04437		+			1,65229		+
107		0,4507		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75222		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78383		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,47017		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28499		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20348		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50486		-		2,1883		+
114		0,4172		+			0,17118		-
115		0,0345		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30392		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,1249		-			-0,7311		-
118		-0,15137		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14736		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17465		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64419		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62847		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30495		-			2,11553		+
124		0,5626		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10569		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09859		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76582		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56754		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03223		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11718		+			1,76068		+
131		0,5219		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24858		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19559		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29554		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42008		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88242		+			2,36354		-
137		0,8312		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21317		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,1756		+			2,52773		+
140		0,92079		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63062		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12589		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24869		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58911		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34415		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57247		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17716		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17847		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77706		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55108		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14632		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23648		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05026		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19091		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20018		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53498		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15885		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56187		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20405		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16998		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18953		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67403		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12697		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06902		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07653		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84908		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35361		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23433		-			4,98164		+
169		2,37441		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63839		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,67855		-		2,46155		+
172		1,196		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95885		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,81945		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59775		+			2,9354		+
176		1,48323		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03743		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55902		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60746		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53125		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79088		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58253		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74239		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77628		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28426		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,93796		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21692		+			1,87398		+
188		0,926		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94136		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54185		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41638		+			3,77967		+
192		1,87889		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06219		-			0,98058		-
194		0,5039		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09026		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63233		-		0,359		+
197		0,18371		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,18616		+		-16,18616		+
2		1,58436		+			1,58436		+
3		-0,17071		-		-0,17071		-
4		0,01828		+			0,01828		+
5		-0,00196		-		-0,00196		-
6		0,00021		+			0,00021		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2960984490695621

 12.run Duration 	16 seconds 89 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@170bea5 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 6.005613123967866E-4
train epoch 1: 3.613766434532893E-4
train epoch 2: 3.612809939156191E-4
train epoch 3: 3.611986938149539E-4
train epoch 4: 3.611370262083418E-4
train epoch 5: 3.610753911138766E-4
train epoch 6: 3.610137883642515E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6095221782433983E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6089067935932124E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6082917283471595E-4
train epoch 10: 3.607676981163479E-4
train epoch 11: 3.607062550703678E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6064484356324364E-4
train epoch 13: 3.605834634617608E-4
train epoch 14: 3.605221146330216E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6046079694442425E-4
train epoch 16: 3.603995102637073E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6033825445891556E-4
train epoch 18: 3.602770293984038E-4
train epoch 19: 3.6021583495083736E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6015467098519965E-4
train epoch 21: 3.600935373707647E-4
train epoch 22: 3.600324339771442E-4
train epoch 23: 3.5997136067424E-4
train epoch 24: 3.599103173322619E-4
train epoch 25: 3.598493038217304E-4
train epoch 26: 3.597883200134773E-4
train epoch 27: 3.597273657786246E-4
train epoch 28: 3.596664409886198E-4
train epoch 29: 3.596055455151907E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5954467923038634E-4
train epoch 31: 3.594838420065495E-4
train epoch 32: 3.594230337163255E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5936225423265663E-4
train epoch 34: 3.593015034288032E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5924078117828973E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5918008735497575E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5911942183299375E-4
train epoch 38: 3.590587844867808E-4
train epoch 39: 3.589981751910734E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5893759382088714E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5887704025155715E-4
train epoch 42: 3.588165143586934E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5875601601820657E-4
train epoch 44: 3.586955451062988E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5863510149945733E-4
train epoch 46: 3.585746850744638E-4
train epoch 47: 3.585142957083892E-4
train epoch 48: 3.584539332786038E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5839359766274556E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5965188216583638
mae:0.7326574376223469
rmse:0.772346309409428
mape:6.956197662989652
corr:0.9704961838004977
theil coefficient:27.377150187548683
net profit:44.16028935012167
buy and hold:-7.024995872214797E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22416390533056688
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20687,8918		+		32155,21		+
1		20693,50508		+		32389,47		+
2		20696,98268		+		31833,73		-
3		20689,80188		-		31732,53		-
4		20688,89231		-		32205,37		+
5		20694,19447		+		32563,26		+
6		20699,98655		+		31042,99		-
7		20685,9631		-		30820,77		-
8		20686,23402		+		30789,2		-
9		20686,32056		+		30707,06		-
10		20686,60172		+		31258,97		+
11		20686,26735		-		31953,99		+
12		20691,04229		+		32325,14		+
13		20695,96232		+		32302,07		-
14		20695,60845		-		33048,99		+
15		20710,29432		+		33379,53		+
16		20718,91592		+		32684,23		-
17		20702,29044		-		32577,09		-
18		20700,2411		-		32979,02		+
19		20708,63603		+		32560,89		-
20		20699,94316		-		32814,31		+
21		20704,96274		+		32615,92		-
22		20700,96799		-		33044,36		+
23		20710,18278		+		33408,62		+
24		20719,73688		+		33914,45		+
25		20735,6166		+		33841,77		-
26		20733,1485		-		34090,39		+
27		20741,84971		+		34113,74		+
28		20742,70441		+		34177,52		+
29		20745,07178		+		34486,01		+
30		20757,19856		+		34517,06		+
31		20758,48112		+		33954		-
32		20736,98589		-		34229,07		+
33		20747,02025		+		34656,83		+
34		20764,39466		+		34473,76		-
35		20756,69566		-		35341,2		+
36		20796,64745		+		35436,38		+
37		20801,56504		+		34985,45		-
38		20779,19968		-		35477,06		+
39		20803,69888		+		35415,91		-
40		20800,49856		-		35599,13		+
41		20810,21698		+		35465,95		-
42		20803,11421		-		35235,93		-
43		20791,33106		-		35713,98		+
44		20816,5069		+		36318,81		+
45		20852,13629		+		36244,96		-
46		20847,56111		-		36238,27		-
47		20847,14973		-		36651,61		+
48		20873,52552		+		36690,84		+
49		20876,1298		+		37064,27		+
50		20901,79151		+		37341,66		+
51		20921,86954		+		37405,4		+
52		20926,60492		+		36616,43		-
53		20871,20494		-		37220		+
54		20912,95733		+		37442,67		+
55		20929,3948		+		37806,83		+
56		20957,46757		+		37986,17		+
57		20971,83248		+		37653,78		-
58		20945,48969		-		37864,77		+
59		20962,06968		+		38368,66		+
60		21003,65035		+		38115,81		-
61		20982,43708		-		38117,31		+
62		20982,56085		+		37812,55		-
63		20957,92024		-		37795,9		-
64		20956,60359		-		37120,78		-
65		20905,81177		-		35873,33		-
66		20825,48602		-		35801,57		-
67		20821,40622		-		35980,06		+
68		20831,66357		+		35563,59		-
69		20808,30146		-		35678,19		+
70		20814,53047		+		36278,29		+
71		20849,61827		+		36940,33		+
72		20893,09995		+		37308,42		+
73		20919,41808		+		37571,76		+
74		20939,17763		+		38213,14		+
75		20990,51993		+		38501,45		+
76		21015,07041		+		38524,92		+
77		21017,10876		+		39739,74		+
78		21130,68983		+		41191,35		+
79		21286,61267		+		40866,67		-
80		21249,87752		-		41116,03		+
81		21277,99687		+		41039,94		-
82		21269,3505		-		40415,4		-
83		21200,58543		-		40502,58		+
84		21209,94668		+		41505,67		+
85		21323,17481		+		42194,73		+
86		21406,70647		+		42002,34		-
87		21382,92197		-		42125,61		+
88		21398,12058		+		42951,75		+
89		21503,69721		+		42938,85		-
90		21501,9996		-		42724,09		-
91		21473,96454		-		43376,85		+
92		21560,49233		+		43571,25		+
93		21587,01143		+		42993,27		-
94		21509,17153		-		42621,33		-
95		21460,7019		-		43020,51		+
96		21512,77166		+		42818,62		-
97		21486,25183		-		42158,4		-
98		21402,18794		-		42992,3		+
99		21509,04342		+		42939,38		-
100		21502,06936		-		44230,97		+
101		21679,51088		+		45924,25		+
102		21933,8405		+		44714,51		-
103		21749,70752		-		42928,65		-
104		21500,65839		-		42756,7		-
105		21478,19389		-		42828,64		+
106		21487,55916		+		43542,17		+
107		21583,02289		+		42333,2		-
108		21424,04391		-		40959,96		-
109		21260,32444		-		40059,32		-
110		21163,16044		-		40613,38		+
111		21221,95603		+		40220,55		-
112		21179,94436		-		39180,23		-
113		21076,42296		-		40047,06		+
114		21161,89513		+		40115,67		+
115		21168,99587		+		40702,82		+
116		21231,74131		+		40465,11		-
117		21205,91368		-		40170,35		-
118		21174,68981		-		39875,77		-
119		21144,38093		-		39515,79		-
120		21108,57218		-		40789,03		+
121		21241,24988		+		41914,3		+
122		21372,15654		+		42429,06		+
123		21436,15301		+		43336,22		+
124		21554,99284		+		43169,58		-
125		21532,59403		-		43325,09		+
126		21553,48894		+		44489,37		+
127		21716,77497		+		43633,67		-
128		21595,59851		-		43683,33		+
129		21602,45499		+		43862,73		+
130		21627,40695		+		44641,85		+
131		21739,03212		+		45002,63		+
132		21792,47483		+		45282,32		+
133		21834,64933		+		45698,49		+
134		21898,58091		+		45104,65		-
135		21807,78383		-		46335,45		+
136		21999,08431		+		47443,65		+
137		22181,24396		+		47163,5		-
138		22134,34783		-		46930,71		-
139		22095,80923		-		48132,11		+
140		22298,81987		+		48930,72		+
141		22439,17065		+		49088,14		+
142		22467,31656		+		49397,32		+
143		22523,03948		+		50121,05		+
144		22655,69456		+		49699,67		-
145		22578,0876		-		48989,65		-
146		22449,6891		-		49210,68		+
147		22489,33188		+		47715,08		-
148		22227,20924		-		48708,09		+
149		22399,63124		+		48006,84		-
150		22277,18487		-		48194,4		+
151		22309,61706		+		47890,75		-
152		22257,22999		-		47955,51		+
153		22268,35036		+		48200,39		+
154		22310,65654		+		47943,58		-
155		22266,29967		-		48625,74		+
156		22385,08567		+		48825,83		+
157		22420,50293		+		49525,55		+
158		22546,31974		+		49776,82		+
159		22592,22014		+		49567,61		-
160		22553,97726		-		49800,83		+
161		22596,62535		+		50621,01		+
162		22749,06333		+		50467,53		-
163		22720,25537		-		50551,02		+
164		22735,91046		+		51837,65		+
165		22981,70339		+		52835,66		+
166		23177,72421		+		53247,94		+
167		23259,92193		+		53520,24		+
168		23314,57352		+		56253,95		+
169		23876,56691		+		56985,69		+
170		24030,23036		+		55060,42		-
171		23628,53105		-		56432,58		+
172		23913,97906		+		57532,02		+
173		24145,59209		+		56592,36		-
174		23947,49992		-		57277,66		+
175		24091,82166		+		58983,91		+
176		24454,09293		+		58940,68		-
177		24444,87743		-		58296,28		-
178		24307,6963		-		57598,15		-
179		24159,58791		-		56988,75		-
180		24030,8751		-		57896,31		+
181		24222,76665		+		57227,66		-
182		24081,26377		-		56376,62		-
183		23902,25169		-		57266,53		+
184		24089,47099		+		56940,58		-
185		24020,72786		-		55865,39		-
186		23795,43116		-		56114,11		+
187		23847,32681		+		57175,59		+
188		24070,27357		+		56096,5		-
189		23843,64798		-		55475		-
190		23714,27727		-		55952,65		+
191		23813,62157		+		58107,95		+
192		24267,68257		+		59333,17		+
193		24528,59139		+		59917,84		+
194		24653,44067		+		59812,92		-
195		24631,02725		-		59080,2		-
196		24474,624		-		59292,68		+
197		24519,9508		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24519.950803541607
New Prediction 1	20937.294861314334
New Prediction 2	21279.563158917863
New Prediction 3	21241.07955527973
New Prediction 4	21245.347769615466
New Prediction 5	21244.873678075648
New Prediction 6	21244.92636709096
New Prediction 7	21244.920438268087
New Prediction 8	21244.92110764987
New Prediction 9	21244.921012023882
New Prediction 10	21244.92110764987
New Prediction 11	21244.921012023882
New Prediction 12	21244.92110764987
New Prediction 13	21244.921012023882
New Prediction 14	21244.92110764987
New Prediction 15	21244.921012023882
New Prediction 16	21244.92110764987
New Prediction 17	21244.921012023882
New Prediction 18	21244.92110764987
New Prediction 19	21244.921012023882
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02713		+			0,72589		+
2		0,0168		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,0347		-			-0,31841		+
4		-0,0044		+			1,47909		+
5		0,02562		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02798		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,06777		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00131		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00042		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00136		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00162		-		2,19907		+
12		0,02308		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02378		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00171		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07094		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04162		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08028		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,0099		+			1,22623		+
19		0,04055		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04199		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02425		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,0193		-			1,30504		+
23		0,0445		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04612		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07661		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,0119		-			0,73197		+
27		0,04196		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00412		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01141		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05844		+			0,09		-
31		0,00618		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,1036		-			0,80686		+
33		0,04838		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08371		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03708		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19229		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02364		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10758		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11783		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01538		-		0,516		+
41		0,04671		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03414		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05666		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12101		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17101		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02194		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00197		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12644		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01248		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12285		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09601		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02263		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26509		-		1,63492		+
54		0,19985		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07857		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13404		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06852		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12569		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07913		+			1,32199		+
60		0,19817		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10105		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00059		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,1175		-			-0,04404		+
64		-0,00628		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24266		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,38497		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01959		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04925		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11221		-		0,32172		+
70		0,02993		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16843		+			1,80844		+
72		0,20833		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12589		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09441		-			1,69267		+
75		0,2449		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11689		-			0,06094		-
77		0,0097		-			3,10464		+
78		0,53897		+			3,58766		+
79		0,73519		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17272		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13224		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04064		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32383		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04415		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53242		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39098		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11117		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07105		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49218		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00789		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13047		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40213		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12292		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36124		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,2256		+			0,93221		+
96		0,24233		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12335		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39201		-		1,95871		+
99		0,49803		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03243		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82184		+			3,75681		+
102		1,16631		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84304		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15168		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10454		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04359		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44329		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,73932		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,76712		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,45807		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27744		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19816		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,48997		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40471		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03355		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29596		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12172		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14735		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14324		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,1695		-			3,17128		+
121		0,62658		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61439		-			1,22064		-
123		0,29899		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55286		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10397		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09699		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75473		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,55955		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03174		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11544		+			1,76068		+
131		0,5148		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24554		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19334		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29237		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41549		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87339		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82462		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21165		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17426		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91458		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62744		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12535		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24771		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58725		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34314		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57031		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17643		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17239		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77273		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54814		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14548		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23509		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04995		+			0,50934		+
154		0,1898		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19901		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53206		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15809		-			1,42292		+
158		0,5596		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20338		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16942		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18891		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67234		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12671		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06888		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07528		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84933		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35401		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23468		-			4,98164		+
169		2,38189		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64151		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,68577		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20083		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96387		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82379		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60085		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49252		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03769		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56277		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61117		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53419		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79535		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58589		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74614		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78022		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28577		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94235		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21785		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93055		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94598		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54406		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41805		+			3,77967		+
192		1,88878		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06939		-			0,98058		-
194		0,5077		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09096		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63701		-		0,359		+
197		0,18503		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,79551		+		-15,79551		+
2		1,62151		+			1,62151		+
3		-0,18101		-		-0,18101		-
4		0,02009		+			0,02009		+
5		-0,00223		-		-0,00223		-
6		0,00025		+			0,00025		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		-0		-			-0		-
12		0		+			0		+
13		-0		-			-0		-
14		0		+			0		+
15		-0		-			-0		-
16		0		+			0		+
17		-0		-			-0		-
18		0		+			0		+
19		-0		-			-0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2982594108291819

 13.run Duration 	15 seconds 870 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@d0af9b ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.002293786690437701
train epoch 1: 3.600952757136994E-4
train epoch 2: 3.600548799980582E-4
train epoch 3: 3.600145031174852E-4
train epoch 4: 3.599741475466655E-4
train epoch 5: 3.59933806031503E-4
train epoch 6: 3.598934785056471E-4
train epoch 7: 3.5985316490290403E-4
train epoch 8: 3.5981286515716985E-4
train epoch 9: 3.597725792024629E-4
train epoch 10: 3.5973230697291625E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5969204840276785E-4
train epoch 12: 3.596518034263702E-4
train epoch 13: 3.5961157197820836E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5957135399284566E-4
train epoch 15: 3.595311494049859E-4
train epoch 16: 3.594909581494241E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5945078016108323E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5941061537498464E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5937046372626564E-4
train epoch 20: 3.5933032515017473E-4
train epoch 21: 3.592901995820714E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5925008695741754E-4
train epoch 23: 3.592099872117986E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5916990028089676E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5912982610051235E-4
train epoch 26: 3.590897646065515E-4
train epoch 27: 3.590497157350185E-4
train epoch 28: 3.590096794220494E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5896965560386796E-4
train epoch 30: 3.589296442168185E-4
train epoch 31: 3.588896451973443E-4
train epoch 32: 3.588496584820022E-4
train epoch 33: 3.588096840074461E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5876972171044926E-4
train epoch 35: 3.587297715278872E-4
train epoch 36: 3.586898333967469E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5864990725410897E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5860999303716896E-4
train epoch 39: 3.585700906832319E-4
train epoch 40: 3.585302001297018E-4
train epoch 41: 3.584903213140817E-4
train epoch 42: 3.5845045417400213E-4
train epoch 43: 3.584105986471681E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5837075467141233E-4
train epoch 45: 3.583309221846683E-4
train epoch 46: 3.582911011249662E-4
train epoch 47: 3.582512914304445E-4
train epoch 48: 3.582114930393476E-4
train epoch 49: 3.581717058900184E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5931867182095284
mae:0.7306364797264162
rmse:0.7701861581523836
mape:6.938190018222016
corr:0.9719180749301414
theil coefficient:27.254612496263906
net profit:45.31229832964151
buy and hold:-6.84639406598977E-4
mean profit per trade:0.23001166664792644
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20712,77997		+		32155,21		+
1		20720,06464		+		32389,47		+
2		20724,25606		+		31833,73		-
3		20715,38918		-		31732,53		-
4		20714,17536		-		32205,37		+
5		20720,9065		+		32563,26		+
6		20727,79232		+		31042,99		-
7		20709,19732		-		30820,77		-
8		20708,81733		-		30789,2		-
9		20708,81177		-		30707,06		-
10		20708,85378		+		31258,97		+
11		20710,13867		+		31953,99		+
12		20716,99228		+		32325,14		+
13		20723,03924		+		32302,07		-
14		20722,615		-		33048,99		+
15		20739,60024		+		33379,53		+
16		20749,25242		+		32684,23		-
17		20730,46817		-		32577,09		-
18		20728,08934		-		32979,02		+
19		20737,72478		+		32560,89		-
20		20727,74165		-		32814,31		+
21		20733,54168		+		32615,92		-
22		20728,93554		-		33044,36		+
23		20739,47432		+		33408,62		+
24		20750,16443		+		33914,45		+
25		20767,63632		+		33841,77		-
26		20764,93846		-		34090,39		+
27		20774,42696		+		34113,74		+
28		20775,35579		+		34177,52		+
29		20777,92581		+		34486,01		+
30		20791,036		+		34517,06		+
31		20792,41784		+		33954		-
32		20769,13078		-		34229,07		+
33		20780,03825		+		34656,83		+
34		20798,77887		+		34473,76		-
35		20790,49396		-		35341,2		+
36		20833,23661		+		35436,38		+
37		20838,46253		+		34985,45		-
38		20814,63991		-		35477,06		+
39		20840,72827		+		35415,91		-
40		20837,32971		-		35599,13		+
41		20847,64255		+		35465,95		-
42		20840,10756		-		35235,93		-
43		20827,57965		-		35713,98		+
44		20854,30575		+		36318,81		+
45		20891,90863		+		36244,96		-
46		20887,09186		-		36238,27		-
47		20886,6586		-		36651,61		+
48		20914,38853		+		36690,84		+
49		20917,12158		+		37064,27		+
50		20944,01067		+		37341,66		+
51		20965,0022		+		37405,4		+
52		20969,94766		+		36616,43		-
53		20911,95253		-		37220		+
54		20955,68917		+		37442,67		+
55		20972,86041		+		37806,83		+
56		21002,1346		+		37986,17		+
57		21017,09166		+		37653,78		-
58		20989,65161		-		37864,77		+
59		21006,92799		+		38368,66		+
60		21050,173		+		38115,81		-
61		21028,12443		-		38117,31		+
62		21028,25316		+		37812,55		-
63		21002,60616		-		37795,9		-
64		21001,23454		-		37120,78		-
65		20948,21692		-		35873,33		-
66		20863,80361		-		35801,57		-
67		20859,49009		-		35980,06		+
68		20870,32909		+		35563,59		-
69		20845,61162		-		35678,19		+
70		20852,21294		+		36278,29		+
71		20889,25804		+		36940,33		+
72		20934,91142		+		37308,42		+
73		20962,44121		+		37571,76		+
74		20983,06895		+		38213,14		+
75		21036,5288		+		38501,45		+
76		21062,03177		+		38524,92		+
77		21064,14766		+		39739,74		+
78		21181,73695		+		41191,35		+
79		21342,41102		+		40866,67		-
80		21304,61883		-		41116,03		+
81		21333,55036		+		41039,94		-
82		21324,65639		-		40415,4		-
83		21253,85157		-		40502,58		+
84		21263,4983		+		41505,67		+
85		21379,99253		+		42194,73		+
86		21465,74314		+		42002,34		-
87		21441,34146		-		42125,61		+
88		21456,93574		+		42951,75		+
89		21565,14221		+		42938,85		-
90		21563,40385		-		42724,09		-
91		21534,68887		-		43376,85		+
92		21623,274		+		43571,25		+
93		21650,40022		+		42993,27		-
94		21570,74762		-		42621,33		-
95		21521,09988		-		43020,51		+
96		21574,43369		+		42818,62		-
97		21547,27579		-		42158,4		-
98		21461,10822		-		42992,3		+
99		21570,61644		+		42939,38		-
100		21563,47529		-		44230,97		+
101		21744,93896		+		45924,25		+
102		22004,33129		+		44714,51		-
103		21816,60797		-		42928,65		-
104		21562,03042		-		42756,7		-
105		21539,02165		-		42828,64		+
106		21548,61485		+		43542,17		+
107		21646,32103		+		42333,2		-
108		21483,52357		-		40959,96		-
109		21315,36986		-		40059,32		-
110		21215,25846		-		40613,38		+
111		21275,87014		+		40220,55		-
112		21232,57171		-		39180,23		-
113		21125,62589		-		40047,06		+
114		21213,95288		+		40115,67		+
115		21221,27897		+		40702,82		+
116		21285,94776		+		40465,11		-
117		21259,34263		-		40170,35		-
118		21227,15242		-		39875,77		-
119		21195,87563		-		39515,79		-
120		21158,8817		-		40789,03		+
121		21295,73785		+		41914,3		+
122		21430,29296		+		42429,06		+
123		21495,93872		+		43336,22		+
124		21617,64729		+		43169,58		-
125		21594,72549		-		43325,09		+
126		21616,10852		+		44489,37		+
127		21782,99233		+		43633,67		-
128		21659,18167		-		43683,33		+
129		21666,19257		+		43862,73		+
130		21691,70087		+		44641,85		+
131		21805,7126		+		45002,63		+
132		21860,24292		+		45282,32		+
133		21903,25239		+		45698,49		+
134		21968,4125		+		45104,65		-
135		21875,85734		-		46335,45		+
136		22070,7621		+		47443,65		+
137		22256,0269		+		47163,5		-
138		22208,3593		-		46930,71		-
139		22169,17256		-		48132,11		+
140		22375,45745		+		48930,72		+
141		22517,88229		+		49088,14		+
142		22546,42679		+		49397,32		+
143		22602,92239		+		50121,05		+
144		22737,33208		+		49699,67		-
145		22658,71288		-		48989,65		-
146		22528,55035		-		49210,68		+
147		22568,74997		+		47715,08		-
148		22302,73049		-		48708,09		+
149		22477,77333		+		48006,84		-
150		22353,48945		-		48194,4		+
151		22386,41947		+		47890,75		-
152		22333,22419		-		47955,51		+
153		22344,51792		+		48200,39		+
154		22387,47476		+		47943,58		-
155		22342,43533		-		48625,74		+
156		22463,01538		+		48825,83		+
157		22498,94708		+		49525,55		+
158		22626,51912		+		49776,82		+
159		22673,03272		+		49567,61		-
160		22634,27991		-		49800,83		+
161		22677,49603		+		50621,01		+
162		22831,86716		+		50467,53		-
163		22802,70523		-		50551,02		+
164		22818,55333		+		51837,65		+
165		23067,18115		+		52835,66		+
166		23265,21311		+		53247,94		+
167		23348,19173		+		53520,24		+
168		23403,3427		+		56253,95		+
169		23969,60008		+		56985,69		+
170		24124,16593		+		55060,42		-
171		23719,87321		-		56432,58		+
172		24007,24203		+		57532,02		+
173		24240,13385		+		56592,36		-
174		24040,96324		-		57277,66		+
175		24186,08841		+		58983,91		+
176		24549,96201		+		58940,68		-
177		24540,71297		-		58296,28		-
178		24402,98834		-		57598,15		-
179		24254,19911		-		56988,75		-
180		24124,81422		-		57896,31		+
181		24317,6803		+		57227,66		-
182		24175,47497		-		56376,62		-
183		23995,44332		-		57266,53		+
184		24183,72542		+		56940,58		-
185		24114,61078		-		55865,39		-
186		23887,94342		-		56114,11		+
187		23940,17582		+		57175,59		+
188		24164,42642		+		56096,5		-
189		23936,47354		-		55475		-
190		23806,2373		-		55952,65		+
191		23906,25332		+		58107,95		+
192		24362,80035		+		59333,17		+
193		24624,71789		+		59917,84		+
194		24749,94423		+		59812,92		-
195		24727,46811		-		59080,2		-
196		24570,56645		-		59292,68		+
197		24616,04869		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 105
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)53
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24616.048692900345
New Prediction 1	20936.712984936046
New Prediction 2	21279.39704477132
New Prediction 3	21241.423766093423
New Prediction 4	21245.572557566
New Prediction 5	21245.118617453558
New Prediction 6	21245.168261514802
New Prediction 7	21245.162797738783
New Prediction 8	21245.163457158655
New Prediction 9	21245.163362955795
New Prediction 10	21245.163362955795
New Prediction 11	21245.163362955795
New Prediction 12	21245.163362955795
New Prediction 13	21245.163362955795
New Prediction 14	21245.163362955795
New Prediction 15	21245.163362955795
New Prediction 16	21245.163362955795
New Prediction 17	21245.163362955795
New Prediction 18	21245.163362955795
New Prediction 19	21245.163362955795
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03516		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02023		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04279		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00586		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03249		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03323		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,08975		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00183		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00003		+		-0,26714		-
10		0,0002		+			1,78138		+
11		0,0062		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03309		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02918		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00205		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08193		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04653		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09057		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01148		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04647		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04815		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02798		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02222		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05083		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05153		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08417		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01299		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04568		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00447		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01237		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06308		+			0,09		-
31		0,00665		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11206		-		0,80686		+
33		0,0525		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09015		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03984		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20538		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02508		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11439		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12526		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01631		-		0,516		+
41		0,04948		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03615		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,06013		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12824		+			1,67936		+
45		0,18015		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02306		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00207		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13268		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01307		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12847		+			0,74562		-
51		0,10018		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02359		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27695		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20893		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08191		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13948		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07119		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13065		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08228		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20565		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,1048		-			0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12204		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00653		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25277		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40378		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02068		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05195		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,1185		-			0,32172		+
70		0,03166		+			1,66799		+
71		0,1775		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21831		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13142		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09835		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25445		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12116		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01005		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55669		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75569		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17723		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13571		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,0417		-			-1,53348		-
83		-0,33259		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04538		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54636		+			1,64653		-
86		0,40028		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11374		-		0,29305		+
88		0,0727		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50303		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00806		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13325		-		1,5163		+
92		0,41052		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12537		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36858		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,23043		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24751		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12596		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,4007		-			1,95871		+
99		0,50897		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03311		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83801		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18583		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85678		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,17376		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10677		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04453		+			1,65229		+
107		0,4524		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75492		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78579		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,47077		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28529		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20372		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50496		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41723		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03453		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30427		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12507		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15153		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14745		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17469		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64472		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62985		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30585		-			2,11553		+
124		0,5646		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10609		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09897		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76907		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,57		-			0,11375		+
129		0,03236		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11766		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52422		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24976		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19655		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29705		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,4222		-			2,6922		+
136		0,88701		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83591		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21441		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17661		+		2,52773		+
140		0,9262		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63451		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12668		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25026		+			1,45449		+
144		0,5929		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34637		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,5761		-			0,45016		+
147		0,17828		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18571		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78179		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55445		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14721		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23791		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05056		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19206		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20138		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53824		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15983		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56541		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20536		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17107		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19075		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67842		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12781		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06948		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08369		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85484		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35603		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23593		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39075		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64277		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69008		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20423		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96541		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82505		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60184		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49327		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03768		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56279		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61158		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53488		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79627		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,5865		-			-1,49828		-
183		-0,74747		-		1,56618		+
184		0,7816		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,2862		-			-1,90632		-
186		-0,9444		-			0,44422		+
187		0,21842		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93235		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94782		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54558		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41925		+			3,77967		+
192		1,89173		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06933		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50725		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09085		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63655		-		0,359		+
197		0,18494		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,18944		+		-16,18944		+
2		1,62351		+			1,62351		+
3		-0,17861		-		-0,17861		-
4		0,01953		+			0,01953		+
5		-0,00214		-		-0,00214		-
6		0,00023		+			0,00023		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2965933591047642

 14.run Duration 	16 seconds 448 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1de17f4 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0018356242943490593
train epoch 1: 3.5998366148078413E-4
train epoch 2: 3.599279668303951E-4
train epoch 3: 3.5987229835242514E-4
train epoch 4: 3.598166558917669E-4
train epoch 5: 3.597610393298787E-4
train epoch 6: 3.5970544855098806E-4
train epoch 7: 3.596498834395801E-4
train epoch 8: 3.5959434388040915E-4
train epoch 9: 3.595388297584665E-4
train epoch 10: 3.5948334095900887E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5942787736753203E-4
train epoch 12: 3.593724388698081E-4
train epoch 13: 3.593170253518317E-4
train epoch 14: 3.59261636699877E-4
train epoch 15: 3.592062728004438E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5915093354029756E-4
train epoch 17: 3.590956188064464E-4
train epoch 18: 3.590403284861444E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5898506246690934E-4
train epoch 20: 3.589298206364895E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5887460288287906E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5881940909432815E-4
train epoch 23: 3.587642391593414E-4
train epoch 24: 3.587090929666252E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5865397040517696E-4
train epoch 26: 3.5859887136421745E-4
train epoch 27: 3.58543795733208E-4
train epoch 28: 3.584887434018653E-4
train epoch 29: 3.584337142601313E-4
train epoch 30: 3.583787081981951E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5832372510648643E-4
train epoch 32: 3.582687648756723E-4
train epoch 33: 3.582138273966645E-4
train epoch 34: 3.581589125606182E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5810402025890446E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5804915038315714E-4
train epoch 37: 3.579943028252443E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5793947747724637E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5788467423148834E-4
train epoch 40: 3.578298929805272E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5777513361717403E-4
train epoch 42: 3.5772039603445063E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5766568012563757E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5761098578421566E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5755631290391787E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5750166137871805E-4
train epoch 47: 3.574470311027973E-4
train epoch 48: 3.573924219705695E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5733783387669415E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5930737434084604
mae:0.7304780811173437
rmse:0.7701128121310932
mape:6.932437877265778
corr:0.9720179193906997
theil coefficient:27.27610566628675
net profit:45.04023731215726
buy and hold:-6.88774901984541E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22863064625460539
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20722,89212		+		32155,21		+
1		20730,36625		+		32389,47		+
2		20734,6264		+		31833,73		-
3		20725,58552		-		31732,53		-
4		20724,33596		-		32205,37		+
5		20731,22339		+		32563,26		+
6		20738,2093		+		31042,99		-
7		20719,08104		-		30820,77		-
8		20718,59951		-		30789,2		-
9		20718,57904		-		30707,06		-
10		20718,58169		+		31258,97		+
11		20720,11534		+		31953,99		+
12		20727,22948		+		32325,14		+
13		20733,39138		+		32302,07		-
14		20732,96049		-		33048,99		+
15		20750,12789		+		33379,53		+
16		20759,83882		+		32684,23		-
17		20740,91542		-		32577,09		-
18		20738,50986		-		32979,02		+
19		20748,23828		+		32560,89		-
20		20738,15802		-		32814,31		+
21		20744,01948		+		32615,92		-
22		20739,36591		-		33044,36		+
23		20750,00106		+		33408,62		+
24		20760,75536		+		33914,45		+
25		20778,28939		+		33841,77		-
26		20775,58452		-		34090,39		+
27		20785,09429		+		34113,74		+
28		20786,02473		+		34177,52		+
29		20788,5988		+		34486,01		+
30		20801,72159		+		34517,06		+
31		20803,10406		+		33954		-
32		20779,78738		-		34229,07		+
33		20790,71415		+		34656,83		+
34		20809,46645		+		34473,76		-
35		20801,17927		-		35341,2		+
36		20843,89662		+		35436,38		+
37		20849,11422		+		34985,45		-
38		20825,32133		-		35477,06		+
39		20851,37608		+		35415,91		-
40		20847,98328		-		35599,13		+
41		20858,2775		+		35465,95		-
42		20850,75645		-		35235,93		-
43		20838,24759		-		35713,98		+
44		20864,92698		+		36318,81		+
45		20902,43161		+		36244,96		-
46		20897,62916		-		36238,27		-
47		20897,19717		-		36651,61		+
48		20924,83897		+		36690,84		+
49		20927,56261		+		37064,27		+
50		20954,35316		+		37341,66		+
51		20975,26101		+		37405,4		+
52		20980,186		+		36616,43		-
53		20922,41125		-		37220		+
54		20965,98578		+		37442,67		+
55		20983,08655		+		37806,83		+
56		21012,23328		+		37986,17		+
57		21027,12204		+		37653,78		-
58		20999,8057		-		37864,77		+
59		21017,005		+		38368,66		+
60		21060,04564		+		38115,81		-
61		21038,10318		-		38117,31		+
62		21038,2313		+		37812,55		-
63		21012,70272		-		37795,9		-
64		21011,33727		-		37120,78		-
65		20958,54309		-		35873,33		-
66		20874,40317		-		35801,57		-
67		20870,09979		-		35980,06		+
68		20880,91246		+		35563,59		-
69		20856,2505		-		35678,19		+
70		20862,83862		+		36278,29		+
71		20899,78895		+		36940,33		+
72		20945,28841		+		37308,42		+
73		20972,71052		+		37571,76		+
74		20993,25164		+		38213,14		+
75		21046,46755		+		38501,45		+
76		21071,84584		+		38524,92		+
77		21073,95118		+		39739,74		+
78		21190,91255		+		41191,35		+
79		21350,63509		+		40866,67		-
80		21313,07398		-		41116,03		+
81		21341,82895		+		41039,94		-
82		21332,9895		-		40415,4		-
83		21262,61066		-		40502,58		+
84		21272,20025		+		41505,67		+
85		21387,98323		+		42194,73		+
86		21473,18987		+		42002,34		-
87		21448,94445		-		42125,61		+
88		21464,43899		+		42951,75		+
89		21571,94218		+		42938,85		-
90		21570,21526		-		42724,09		-
91		21541,68858		-		43376,85		+
92		21629,6893		+		43571,25		+
93		21656,63464		+		42993,27		-
94		21577,51068		-		42621,33		-
95		21528,1883		-		43020,51		+
96		21581,17246		+		42818,62		-
97		21554,19311		-		42158,4		-
98		21468,58471		-		42992,3		+
99		21577,38037		+		42939,38		-
100		21570,28623		-		44230,97		+
101		21750,53724		+		45924,25		+
102		22008,15169		+		44714,51		-
103		21821,719		-		42928,65		-
104		21568,85086		-		42756,7		-
105		21545,99303		-		42828,64		+
106		21555,52338		+		43542,17		+
107		21652,58271		+		42333,2		-
108		21490,85576		-		40959,96		-
109		21323,75967		-		40059,32		-
110		21224,24291		-		40613,38		+
111		21284,49838		+		40220,55		-
112		21241,45571		-		39180,23		-
113		21135,11038		-		40047,06		+
114		21222,94486		+		40115,67		+
115		21230,22861		+		40702,82		+
116		21294,51561		+		40465,11		-
117		21268,06923		-		40170,35		-
118		21236,06798		-		39875,77		-
119		21204,97116		-		39515,79		-
120		21168,18492		-		40789,03		+
121		21304,24674		+		41914,3		+
122		21437,96634		+		42429,06		+
123		21503,19062		+		43336,22		+
124		21624,09999		+		43169,58		-
125		21601,33022		-		43325,09		+
126		21622,57145		+		44489,37		+
127		21788,33238		+		43633,67		-
128		21665,35737		-		43683,33		+
129		21672,32133		+		43862,73		+
130		21697,65842		+		44641,85		+
131		21810,89795		+		45002,63		+
132		21865,05559		+		45282,32		+
133		21907,7699		+		45698,49		+
134		21972,4811		+		45104,65		-
135		21880,56296		-		46335,45		+
136		22074,12235		+		47443,65		+
137		22258,09901		+		47163,5		-
138		22210,76327		-		46930,71		-
139		22171,84918		-		48132,11		+
140		22376,69784		+		48930,72		+
141		22518,13203		+		49088,14		+
142		22546,47832		+		49397,32		+
143		22602,5821		+		50121,05		+
144		22736,0627		+		49699,67		-
145		22657,98636		-		48989,65		-
146		22528,726		-		49210,68		+
147		22568,6466		+		47715,08		-
148		22304,47735		-		48708,09		+
149		22478,3018		+		48006,84		-
150		22354,88281		-		48194,4		+
151		22387,58354		+		47890,75		-
152		22334,75868		-		47955,51		+
153		22345,97375		+		48200,39		+
154		22388,63149		+		47943,58		-
155		22343,90567		-		48625,74		+
156		22463,64646		+		48825,83		+
157		22499,32837		+		49525,55		+
158		22626,01538		+		49776,82		+
159		22672,2072		+		49567,61		-
160		22633,72245		-		49800,83		+
161		22676,63966		+		50621,01		+
162		22829,94755		+		50467,53		-
163		22800,98588		-		50551,02		+
164		22816,72511		+		51837,65		+
165		23063,65786		+		52835,66		+
166		23260,36026		+		53247,94		+
167		23342,78807		+		53520,24		+
168		23397,57519		+		56253,95		+
169		23960,21484		+		56985,69		+
170		24113,83545		+		55060,42		-
171		23712,05522		-		56432,58		+
172		23997,62478		+		57532,02		+
173		24229,10747		+		56592,36		-
174		24031,13913		-		57277,66		+
175		24175,38489		+		58983,91		+
176		24537,13622		+		58940,68		-
177		24527,93958		-		58296,28		-
178		24391,00494		-		57598,15		-
179		24243,08913		-		56988,75		-
180		24114,47982		-		57896,31		+
181		24306,1952		+		57227,66		-
182		24164,83516		-		56376,62		-
183		23985,89867		-		57266,53		+
184		24173,03607		+		56940,58		-
185		24104,33816		-		55865,39		-
186		23879,06537		-		56114,11		+
187		23930,97274		+		57175,59		+
188		24153,85303		+		56096,5		-
189		23927,29342		-		55475		-
190		23797,87194		-		55952,65		+
191		23897,26109		+		58107,95		+
192		24351,05086		+		59333,17		+
193		24611,47169		+		59917,84		+
194		24736,00642		+		59812,92		-
195		24713,65325		-		59080,2		-
196		24557,62424		-		59292,68		+
197		24602,85096		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 105
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)53
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24602.850963823836
New Prediction 1	20942.31724920711
New Prediction 2	21278.593747373074
New Prediction 3	21241.82452358129
New Prediction 4	21245.789143812195
New Prediction 5	21245.360976066528
New Prediction 6	21245.40727183951
New Prediction 7	21245.40225172555
New Prediction 8	21245.402809514926
New Prediction 9	21245.402716549994
New Prediction 10	21245.402716549994
New Prediction 11	21245.402716549994
New Prediction 12	21245.402716549994
New Prediction 13	21245.402716549994
New Prediction 14	21245.402716549994
New Prediction 15	21245.402716549994
New Prediction 16	21245.402716549994
New Prediction 17	21245.402716549994
New Prediction 18	21245.402716549994
New Prediction 19	21245.402716549994
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03606		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02055		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04361		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00603		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03323		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03369		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,09228		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00232		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,0001		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00001		+			1,78138		+
11		0,0074		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03433		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02972		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00208		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08277		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04679		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,0912		-			-0,32834		+
18		-0,0116		+			1,22623		+
19		0,0469		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,0486		-			0,77528		+
21		0,02826		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02244		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05127		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05181		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08442		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01302		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04576		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00448		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01238		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06311		+			0,09		-
31		0,00665		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11215		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05257		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09015		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03983		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20515		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02503		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11418		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12503		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01627		-		0,516		+
41		0,04937		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03606		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,06001		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12795		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17959		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02298		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00207		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13219		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01302		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12793		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09973		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02348		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27576		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20805		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08153		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13881		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07083		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12999		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08187		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20458		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10424		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12142		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,0065		+			-1,80237		-
65		-0,25158		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40227		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02062		+		0,49731		+
68		0,0518		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11818		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03158		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17695		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21747		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13084		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09789		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25317		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12051		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00999		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55347		+			3,58766		+
79		0,7509		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17608		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13483		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04143		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33045		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04509		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54282		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39759		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11297		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07221		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49959		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00801		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13234		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40768		+			0,44716		-
93		0,1245		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36603		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22884		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24581		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12509		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39797		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50549		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03288		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83217		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17745		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85072		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16556		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10603		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04422		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44927		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74972		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78056		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46779		+		1,37362		+
111		0,2835		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20243		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50191		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41472		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03431		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30235		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12427		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15058		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14654		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17363		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64071		+			2,72139		-
122		0,6257		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30378		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56071		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10535		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09828		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76369		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56601		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03214		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11684		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52054		+			0,80492		-
132		0,248		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19516		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29494		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41921		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88073		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21289		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17536		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91967		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63007		-			0,3212		-
142		0,1258		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24853		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58882		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34399		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57212		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17704		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17742		-		2,05976		+
149		0,7763		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55057		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14617		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23623		-		0,13513		+
153		0,0502		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19071		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19997		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53447		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15872		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56149		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20395		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16989		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18944		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67379		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12694		-		0,1653		+
164		0,069		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07643		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84925		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35374		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23443		-			4,98164		+
169		2,37623		+			1,29239		-
170		0,6391		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,68022		-		2,46155		+
172		1,19713		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95998		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82042		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59845		+			2,9354		+
176		1,48528		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03749		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55984		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60828		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53191		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79188		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58328		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74324		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77717		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,2846		-			-1,90632		-
186		-0,93897		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21714		+			1,87398		+
188		0,92704		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94241		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54236		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41677		+			3,77967		+
192		1,88112		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06377		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50473		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09041		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63335		-		0,359		+
197		0,184		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,10905		+		-16,10905		+
2		1,59297		+			1,59297		+
3		-0,17295		-		-0,17295		-
4		0,01866		+			0,01866		+
5		-0,00202		-		-0,00202		-
6		0,00022		+			0,00022		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2965368717042302

 15.run Duration 	22 seconds 96 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1f6ba0f ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.010014720268588757
train epoch 1: 3.601369426032075E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6011726156345646E-4
train epoch 3: 3.60097583093266E-4
train epoch 4: 3.600779072217207E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6005823391366693E-4
train epoch 6: 3.600385631339776E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6001889484756197E-4
train epoch 8: 3.599992290193538E-4
train epoch 9: 3.5997956561432167E-4
train epoch 10: 3.599599045974574E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5994024593378955E-4
train epoch 12: 3.5992058958837103E-4
train epoch 13: 3.59900935526289E-4
train epoch 14: 3.598812837126565E-4
train epoch 15: 3.598616341126189E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5984198669134496E-4
train epoch 17: 3.598223414140414E-4
train epoch 18: 3.598026982459433E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5978305715230635E-4
train epoch 20: 3.597634180984224E-4
train epoch 21: 3.59743781049613E-4
train epoch 22: 3.597241459712219E-4
train epoch 23: 3.59704512828627E-4
train epoch 24: 3.596848815872347E-4
train epoch 25: 3.596652522124748E-4
train epoch 26: 3.5964562466981416E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5962599892473874E-4
train epoch 28: 3.596063749427703E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5958675268945206E-4
train epoch 30: 3.59567132130366E-4
train epoch 31: 3.595475132311178E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5952789595733204E-4
train epoch 33: 3.595082802746663E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5948866614881226E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5946905354548587E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5944944243042625E-4
train epoch 37: 3.594298327694026E-4
train epoch 38: 3.594102245282201E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5939061767269447E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5937101216868195E-4
train epoch 41: 3.593514079820603E-4
train epoch 42: 3.593318050787361E-4
train epoch 43: 3.593122034246495E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5929260298575577E-4
train epoch 45: 3.59273003728045E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5925340561753367E-4
train epoch 47: 3.592338086202611E-4
train epoch 48: 3.592142127022918E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5919461782971975E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5931587181049299
mae:0.7307135463830122
rmse:0.7701679804464283
mape:6.943435384699173
corr:0.9718761210248281
theil coefficient:27.22673579992455
net profit:45.648972909271464
buy and hold:-6.795899899368992E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2317206746663526
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20703,25694		+		32155,21		+
1		20710,41813		+		32389,47		+
2		20714,56958		+		31833,73		-
3		20705,80932		-		31732,53		-
4		20704,61931		-		32205,37		+
5		20711,25082		+		32563,26		+
6		20718,08086		+		31042,99		-
7		20699,83936		-		30820,77		-
8		20699,53652		-		30789,2		-
9		20699,54245		+		30707,06		-
10		20699,61496		+		31258,97		+
11		20700,71193		+		31953,99		+
12		20707,38589		+		32325,14		+
13		20713,36301		+		32302,07		-
14		20712,94259		-		33048,99		+
15		20729,84012		+		33379,53		+
16		20739,47696		+		32684,23		-
17		20720,74168		-		32577,09		-
18		20718,37606		-		32979,02		+
19		20727,96975		+		32560,89		-
20		20718,03051		-		32814,31		+
21		20723,80118		+		32615,92		-
22		20719,2173		-		33044,36		+
23		20729,71451		+		33408,62		+
24		20740,38831		+		33914,45		+
25		20757,86649		+		33841,77		-
26		20755,16566		-		34090,39		+
27		20764,66717		+		34113,74		+
28		20765,59764		+		34177,52		+
29		20768,1725		+		34486,01		+
30		20781,31356		+		34517,06		+
31		20782,6992		+		33954		-
32		20759,36285		-		34229,07		+
33		20770,28923		+		34656,83		+
34		20789,07886		+		34473,76		-
35		20780,77005		-		35341,2		+
36		20823,66425		+		35436,38		+
37		20828,91269		+		34985,45		-
38		20804,99366		-		35477,06		+
39		20831,18842		+		35415,91		-
40		20827,77493		-		35599,13		+
41		20838,13391		+		35465,95		-
42		20830,56496		-		35235,93		-
43		20817,98374		-		35713,98		+
44		20844,82821		+		36318,81		+
45		20882,6224		+		36244,96		-
46		20877,7798		-		36238,27		-
47		20877,34424		-		36651,61		+
48		20905,22712		+		36690,84		+
49		20907,97579		+		37064,27		+
50		20935,02307		+		37341,66		+
51		20956,14314		+		37405,4		+
52		20961,11946		+		36616,43		-
53		20902,77727		-		37220		+
54		20946,77259		+		37442,67		+
55		20964,05048		+		37806,83		+
56		20993,51197		+		37986,17		+
57		21008,56708		+		37653,78		-
58		20980,94832		-		37864,77		+
59		20998,33662		+		38368,66		+
60		21041,8702		+		38115,81		-
61		21019,6731		-		38117,31		+
62		21019,80268		+		37812,55		-
63		20993,9866		-		37795,9		-
64		20992,60606		-		37120,78		-
65		20939,25475		-		35873,33		-
66		20854,37199		-		35801,57		-
67		20850,0374		-		35980,06		+
68		20860,93003		+		35563,59		-
69		20836,0937		-		35678,19		+
70		20842,72553		+		36278,29		+
71		20879,95756		+		36940,33		+
72		20925,86941		+		37308,42		+
73		20953,56625		+		37571,76		+
74		20974,3236		+		38213,14		+
75		21028,13375		+		38501,45		+
76		21053,80995		+		38524,92		+
77		21055,94036		+		39739,74		+
78		21174,36672		+		41191,35		+
79		21336,24998		+		40866,67		-
80		21298,16848		-		41116,03		+
81		21327,32127		+		41039,94		-
82		21318,35913		-		40415,4		-
83		21247,01689		-		40502,58		+
84		21256,73623		+		41505,67		+
85		21374,12153		+		42194,73		+
86		21460,54112		+		42002,34		-
87		21435,94816		-		42125,61		+
88		21451,6646		+		42951,75		+
89		21560,72526		+		42938,85		-
90		21558,9731		-		42724,09		-
91		21530,03049		-		43376,85		+
92		21619,3197		+		43571,25		+
93		21646,6625		+		42993,27		-
94		21566,37518		-		42621,33		-
95		21516,33401		-		43020,51		+
96		21570,09053		+		42818,62		-
97		21542,71711		-		42158,4		-
98		21455,86981		-		42992,3		+
99		21566,24296		+		42939,38		-
100		21559,0451		-		44230,97		+
101		21741,95864		+		45924,25		+
102		22003,43919		+		44714,51		-
103		21814,20375		-		42928,65		-
104		21557,58876		-		42756,7		-
105		21534,39757		-		42828,64		+
106		21544,06678		+		43542,17		+
107		21642,55071		+		42333,2		-
108		21478,46131		-		40959,96		-
109		21309,00155		-		40059,32		-
110		21208,13548		-		40613,38		+
111		21269,20149		+		40220,55		-
112		21225,57761		-		39180,23		-
113		21117,8496		-		40047,06		+
114		21206,82022		+		40115,67		+
115		21214,20072		+		40702,82		+
116		21279,35544		+		40465,11		-
117		21252,54925		-		40170,35		-
118		21220,1179		-		39875,77		-
119		21188,6093		-		39515,79		-
120		21151,3448		-		40789,03		+
121		21289,21989		+		41914,3		+
122		21424,81328		+		42429,06		+
123		21490,97425		+		43336,22		+
124		21613,64811		+		43169,58		-
125		21590,54371		-		43325,09		+
126		21612,09708		+		44489,37		+
127		21780,31775		+		43633,67		-
128		21655,51414		-		43683,33		+
129		21662,5811		+		43862,73		+
130		21688,29358		+		44641,85		+
131		21803,22073		+		45002,63		+
132		21858,18996		+		45282,32		+
133		21901,54588		+		45698,49		+
134		21967,23101		+		45104,65		-
135		21873,93014		-		46335,45		+
136		22070,40494		+		47443,65		+
137		22257,15744		+		47163,5		-
138		22209,10786		-		46930,71		-
139		22169,60663		-		48132,11		+
140		22377,5418		+		48930,72		+
141		22521,09667		+		49088,14		+
142		22549,86651		+		49397,32		+
143		22606,80691		+		50121,05		+
144		22742,26783		+		49699,67		-
145		22663,03499		-		48989,65		-
146		22531,849		-		49210,68		+
147		22572,36565		+		47715,08		-
148		22304,23462		-		48708,09		+
149		22480,6704		+		48006,84		-
150		22355,39875		-		48194,4		+
151		22388,59111		+		47890,75		-
152		22334,97184		-		47955,51		+
153		22346,35567		+		48200,39		+
154		22389,6548		+		47943,58		-
155		22344,25647		-		48625,74		+
156		22465,7955		+		48825,83		+
157		22502,01175		+		49525,55		+
158		22630,58892		+		49776,82		+
159		22677,46686		+		49567,61		-
160		22638,4106		-		49800,83		+
161		22681,96507		+		50621,01		+
162		22837,53583		+		50467,53		-
163		22808,1484		-		50551,02		+
164		22824,11911		+		51837,65		+
165		23074,64831		+		52835,66		+
166		23274,16208		+		53247,94		+
167		23357,75221		+		53520,24		+
168		23413,30639		+		56253,95		+
169		23983,54118		+		56985,69		+
170		24139,13669		+		55060,42		-
171		23732,09832		-		56432,58		+
172		24021,43624		+		57532,02		+
173		24255,86002		+		56592,36		-
174		24055,38292		-		57277,66		+
175		24201,46439		+		58983,91		+
176		24567,6306		+		58940,68		-
177		24558,32523		-		58296,28		-
178		24419,74958		-		57598,15		-
179		24270,01588		-		56988,75		-
180		24139,78924		-		57896,31		+
181		24333,90316		+		57227,66		-
182		24190,7818		-		56376,62		-
183		24009,55836		-		57266,53		+
184		24199,08601		+		56940,58		-
185		24129,51863		-		55865,39		-
186		23901,33038		-		56114,11		+
187		23953,91804		+		57175,59		+
188		24179,66113		+		56096,5		-
189		23950,19067		-		55475		-
190		23819,06296		-		55952,65		+
191		23919,76514		+		58107,95		+
192		24379,30902		+		59333,17		+
193		24642,83791		+		59917,84		+
194		24768,8048		+		59812,92		-
195		24746,19724		-		59080,2		-
196		24588,36016		-		59292,68		+
197		24634,11672		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24634.116720489128
New Prediction 1	20930.751001279168
New Prediction 2	21280.204844378895
New Prediction 3	21240.96907033599
New Prediction 4	21245.311798838775
New Prediction 5	21244.83034415272
New Prediction 6	21244.883691654068
New Prediction 7	21244.877774639815
New Prediction 8	21244.878442688336
New Prediction 9	21244.87834725281
New Prediction 10	21244.87834725281
New Prediction 11	21244.87834725281
New Prediction 12	21244.87834725281
New Prediction 13	21244.87834725281
New Prediction 14	21244.87834725281
New Prediction 15	21244.87834725281
New Prediction 16	21244.87834725281
New Prediction 17	21244.87834725281
New Prediction 18	21244.87834725281
New Prediction 19	21244.87834725281
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03458		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02004		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,0423		-			-0,31841		+
4		-0,00575		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03202		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03297		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,08809		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00146		+		-0,10248		+
9		0,00003		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00035		+			1,78138		+
11		0,0053		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03224		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02886		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00203		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08155		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04648		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09038		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01142		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04629		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04796		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02785		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02212		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05065		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05148		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08424		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01301		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04577		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00448		-			0,18679		+
29		0,0124		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06326		+			0,09		-
31		0,00667		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11235		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05262		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09042		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03998		-		2,4851		+
36		0,2062		+			0,26896		-
37		0,0252		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,1149		-			1,3954		+
39		0,12583		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01639		-		0,516		+
41		0,04972		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03633		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,06042		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12887		+			1,67936		+
45		0,18115		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02319		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00209		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13347		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01315		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12928		+			0,74562		-
51		0,10083		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02374		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27872		-		1,63492		+
54		0,21025		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08245		-			0,96788		+
56		0,14043		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07169		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13155		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08284		+			1,32199		+
60		0,2071		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10555		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00062		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12289		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00658		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25447		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,4062		-			-0,20024		+
67		-0,02079		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05223		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11913		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03182		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17847		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21964		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13227		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09901		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25622		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12203		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01012		-			3,10464		+
78		0,56086		+			3,58766		+
79		0,76162		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17864		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13679		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04203		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33521		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04573		+			2,44644		+
85		0,55071		+			1,64653		-
86		0,4035		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11466		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07329		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50711		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00813		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13434		-		1,5163		+
92		0,41386		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12639		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,37159		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,2323		+			0,93221		+
96		0,24953		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12699		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,40395		-		1,95871		+
99		0,5131		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03338		-		2,96359		+
101		0,84485		+			3,75681		+
102		1,19548		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,86375		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,18334		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10764		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04489		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45609		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,76107		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,7921		-			-2,22336		+
110		-0,47447		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28752		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20531		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50883		-		2,1883		+
114		0,42042		+			0,17118		-
115		0,0348		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30666		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12605		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15272		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14859		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17603		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64973		+			2,72139		-
122		0,63489		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30833		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56919		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10695		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09978		+			2,65184		+
127		0,77535		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,57466		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03263		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11862		+			1,76068		+
131		0,5285		+			0,80492		-
132		0,2518		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19815		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29946		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42563		-		2,6922		+
136		0,8942		+			2,36354		-
137		0,84261		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21612		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17802		+		2,52773		+
140		0,93356		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63946		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12766		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25219		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59742		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,349		-			-1,43892		-
146		-0,58054		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17966		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,19498		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78793		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,5588		-			0,38993		+
151		0,14837		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23978		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05096		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19358		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20297		-		1,41281		+
156		0,54246		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16108		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56978		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20693		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17237		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19221		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68354		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12876		-		0,1653		+
164		0,07		+			2,51336		+
165		1,09167		+			1,90696		-
166		0,86093		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35851		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23756		-			4,98164		+
169		2,40633		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64666		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,7006		-			2,46155		+
172		1,21181		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97116		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82994		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60543		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50166		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03788		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56587		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61505		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53802		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80091		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58989		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75196		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78628		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28789		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95018		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21978		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93799		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95355		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54901		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42189		+			3,77967		+
192		1,90297		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07515		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50987		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09132		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63987		-		0,359		+
197		0,18592		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,29129		+		-16,29129		+
2		1,65579		+			1,65579		+
3		-0,18455		-		-0,18455		-
4		0,02044		+			0,02044		+
5		-0,00227		-		-0,00227		-
6		0,00025		+			0,00025		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29657935905246496

 16.run Duration 	18 seconds 195 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@96cf11 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.006367914763354844
train epoch 1: 3.5863517628735326E-4
train epoch 2: 3.585757042628868E-4
train epoch 3: 3.5851626010637564E-4
train epoch 4: 3.584568434969798E-4
train epoch 5: 3.5839745430991227E-4
train epoch 6: 3.5833809242068567E-4
train epoch 7: 3.5827875770509524E-4
train epoch 8: 3.5821945003922285E-4
train epoch 9: 3.581601692994513E-4
train epoch 10: 3.581009153624394E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5804168810513285E-4
train epoch 12: 3.579824874047799E-4
train epoch 13: 3.5792331313888625E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5786416518526553E-4
train epoch 15: 3.578050434220097E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5774594772749167E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5768687798036806E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5762783405959034E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5756881584449266E-4
train epoch 20: 3.575098232144377E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5745085604921485E-4
train epoch 22: 3.573919142288738E-4
train epoch 23: 3.5733299763375184E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5727410614445887E-4
train epoch 25: 3.572152396418865E-4
train epoch 26: 3.57156398007196E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5709758112183643E-4
train epoch 28: 3.570387888675247E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5698002112623516E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5692127778023827E-4
train epoch 31: 3.568625587120666E-4
train epoch 32: 3.568038638045319E-4
train epoch 33: 3.567451929407068E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5668654600394826E-4
train epoch 35: 3.566279228778617E-4
train epoch 36: 3.565693234463383E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5651074759353015E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5645219520387297E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5639366616204164E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5633516035300035E-4
train epoch 41: 3.562766776619707E-4
train epoch 42: 3.562182179744414E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5615978117615923E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5610136715314046E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5604297579166827E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5598460697828534E-4
train epoch 47: 3.559262605997903E-4
train epoch 48: 3.558679365432446E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5580963469598404E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5903122589128857
mae:0.7286427241658947
rmse:0.7683178111386497
mape:6.9085532396269596
corr:0.9732400393596949
theil coefficient:27.2185775383067
net profit:45.46488844738053
buy and hold:-6.823416068851908E-4
mean profit per trade:0.23078623577350524
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20759,65233		+		32155,21		+
1		20768,74681		+		32389,47		+
2		20773,67783		+		31833,73		-
3		20763,0321		-		31732,53		-
4		20761,48537		-		32205,37		+
5		20769,74829		+		32563,26		+
6		20777,75303		+		31042,99		-
7		20754,16666		-		30820,77		-
8		20753,00586		-		30789,2		-
9		20752,88835		-		30707,06		-
10		20752,63787		-		31258,97		+
11		20755,85461		+		31953,99		+
12		20765,02724		+		32325,14		+
13		20772,2594		+		32302,07		-
14		20771,76259		-		33048,99		+
15		20791,02285		+		33379,53		+
16		20801,63201		+		32684,23		-
17		20780,79911		-		32577,09		-
18		20778,09258		-		32979,02		+
19		20788,94087		+		32560,89		-
20		20777,69507		-		32814,31		+
21		20784,26619		+		32615,92		-
22		20779,05792		-		33044,36		+
23		20790,88331		+		33408,62		+
24		20802,62676		+		33914,45		+
25		20821,49878		+		33841,77		-
26		20818,60425		-		34090,39		+
27		20828,7592		+		34113,74		+
28		20829,7497		+		34177,52		+
29		20832,48737		+		34486,01		+
30		20846,39179		+		34517,06		+
31		20847,85203		+		33954		-
32		20823,09962		-		34229,07		+
33		20834,73445		+		34656,83		+
34		20854,5625		+		34473,76		-
35		20845,81873		-		35341,2		+
36		20890,64826		+		35436,38		+
37		20896,08963		+		34985,45		-
38		20871,22253		-		35477,06		+
39		20898,44663		+		35415,91		-
40		20894,9107		-		35599,13		+
41		20905,6318		+		35465,95		-
42		20897,80105		-		35235,93		-
43		20884,74989		-		35713,98		+
44		20912,54581		+		36318,81		+
45		20951,40442		+		36244,96		-
46		20946,4402		-		36238,27		-
47		20945,99351		-		36651,61		+
48		20974,5284		+		36690,84		+
49		20977,33516		+		37064,27		+
50		21004,90276		+		37341,66		+
51		21026,371		+		37405,4		+
52		21031,42271		+		36616,43		-
53		20972,02588		-		37220		+
54		21016,85176		+		37442,67		+
55		21034,39701		+		37806,83		+
56		21064,25051		+		37986,17		+
57		21079,47809		+		37653,78		-
58		21051,52894		-		37864,77		+
59		21069,13236		+		38368,66		+
60		21113,1038		+		38115,81		-
61		21090,70034		-		38117,31		+
62		21090,83122		+		37812,55		-
63		21064,73085		-		37795,9		-
64		21063,33365		-		37120,78		-
65		21009,20802		-		35873,33		-
66		20922,38514		-		35801,57		-
67		20917,91879		-		35980,06		+
68		20929,13508		+		35563,59		-
69		20903,52246		-		35678,19		+
70		20910,37527		+		36278,29		+
71		20948,67313		+		36940,33		+
72		20995,58299		+		37308,42		+
73		21023,75411		+		37571,76		+
74		21044,81551		+		38213,14		+
75		21099,2436		+		38501,45		+
76		21125,14119		+		38524,92		+
77		21127,28809		+		39739,74		+
78		21246,25534		+		41191,35		+
79		21407,99562		+		40866,67		-
80		21370,01927		-		41116,03		+
81		21399,09501		+		41039,94		-
82		21390,15899		-		40415,4		-
83		21318,94426		-		40502,58		+
84		21328,65515		+		41505,67		+
85		21445,72589		+		42194,73		+
86		21531,70191		+		42002,34		-
87		21507,25112		-		42125,61		+
88		21522,87809		+		42951,75		+
89		21631,19137		+		42938,85		-
90		21629,45283		-		42724,09		-
91		21600,72797		-		43376,85		+
92		21689,30295		+		43571,25		+
93		21716,40316		+		42993,27		-
94		21636,79703		-		42621,33		-
95		21587,12964		-		43020,51		+
96		21640,48301		+		42818,62		-
97		21613,32084		-		42158,4		-
98		21527,05852		-		42992,3		+
99		21636,66585		+		42939,38		-
100		21629,52428		-		44230,97		+
101		21810,77625		+		45924,25		+
102		22069,2138		+		44714,51		-
103		21882,24916		-		42928,65		-
104		21628,07922		-		42756,7		-
105		21605,06309		-		42828,64		+
106		21614,66039		+		43542,17		+
107		21712,32852		+		42333,2		-
108		21549,51108		-		40959,96		-
109		21380,8264		-		40059,32		-
110		21280,06551		-		40613,38		+
111		21341,10528		+		40220,55		-
112		21297,51278		-		39180,23		-
113		21189,56497		-		40047,06		+
114		21278,74943		+		40115,67		+
115		21286,13374		+		40702,82		+
116		21351,24345		+		40465,11		-
117		21324,47218		-		40170,35		-
118		21292,0526		-		39875,77		-
119		21260,52063		-		39515,79		-
120		21223,17953		-		40789,03		+
121		21361,08965		+		41914,3		+
122		21496,17659		+		42429,06		+
123		21561,94292		+		43336,22		+
124		21683,68035		+		43169,58		-
125		21660,7706		-		43325,09		+
126		21682,14263		+		44489,37		+
127		21848,7326		+		43633,67		-
128		21725,17404		-		43683,33		+
129		21732,17576		+		43862,73		+
130		21757,64527		+		44641,85		+
131		21871,38724		+		45002,63		+
132		21925,73779		+		45282,32		+
133		21968,58447		+		45698,49		+
134		22033,46505		+		45104,65		-
135		21941,29518		-		46335,45		+
136		22135,30221		+		47443,65		+
137		22319,44038		+		47163,5		-
138		22272,08504		-		46930,71		-
139		22233,1438		-		48132,11		+
140		22438,02743		+		48930,72		+
141		22579,34329		+		49088,14		+
142		22607,65326		+		49397,32		+
143		22663,67344		+		50121,05		+
144		22796,89591		+		49699,67		-
145		22718,98042		-		48989,65		-
146		22589,92416		-		49210,68		+
147		22629,79034		+		47715,08		-
148		22365,82419		-		48708,09		+
149		22539,55718		+		48006,84		-
150		22416,22083		-		48194,4		+
151		22448,9079		+		47890,75		-
152		22396,10202		-		47955,51		+
153		22407,31442		+		48200,39		+
154		22449,95532		+		47943,58		-
155		22405,24688		-		48625,74		+
156		22524,91599		+		48825,83		+
157		22560,56148		+		49525,55		+
158		22687,06732		+		49776,82		+
159		22733,17399		+		49567,61		-
160		22694,76087		-		49800,83		+
161		22737,59777		+		50621,01		+
162		22890,55247		+		50467,53		-
163		22861,66515		-		50551,02		+
164		22877,3644		+		51837,65		+
165		23123,54332		+		52835,66		+
166		23319,49036		+		53247,94		+
167		23401,56489		+		53520,24		+
168		23456,10593		+		56253,95		+
169		24015,75727		+		56985,69		+
170		24168,43365		+		55060,42		-
171		23769,0128		-		56432,58		+
172		24052,94186		+		57532,02		+
173		24282,96563		+		56592,36		-
174		24086,25178		-		57277,66		+
175		24229,5912		+		58983,91		+
176		24588,89543		+		58940,68		-
177		24579,76385		-		58296,28		-
178		24443,78101		-		57598,15		-
179		24296,85576		-		56988,75		-
180		24169,07396		-		57896,31		+
181		24359,54416		+		57227,66		-
182		24219,10917		-		56376,62		-
183		24041,28671		-		57266,53		+
184		24227,25747		+		56940,58		-
185		24158,99616		-		55865,39		-
186		23935,08611		-		56114,11		+
187		23986,68921		+		57175,59		+
188		24208,19729		+		56096,5		-
189		23983,03166		-		55475		-
190		23854,35634		-		55952,65		+
191		23953,17585		+		58107,95		+
192		24404,09844		+		59333,17		+
193		24662,69983		+		59917,84		+
194		24786,32508		+		59812,92		-
195		24764,13693		-		59080,2		-
196		24609,23798		-		59292,68		+
197		24654,14116		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24654.141157081413
New Prediction 1	20952.002560308854
New Prediction 2	21277.05049557164
New Prediction 3	21242.747348554578
New Prediction 4	21246.31684738395
New Prediction 5	21245.94483441954
New Prediction 6	21245.983590939933
New Prediction 7	21245.979553736783
New Prediction 8	21245.98000231415
New Prediction 9	21245.98000231415
New Prediction 10	21245.98000231415
New Prediction 11	21245.98000231415
New Prediction 12	21245.98000231415
New Prediction 13	21245.98000231415
New Prediction 14	21245.98000231415
New Prediction 15	21245.98000231415
New Prediction 16	21245.98000231415
New Prediction 17	21245.98000231415
New Prediction 18	21245.98000231415
New Prediction 19	21245.98000231415
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,0438		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02374		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,05126		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00745		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03979		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03853		-			-4,78116		-
7		-0,11358		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00559		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00057		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,00121		-		1,78138		+
11		0,0155		+			2,19907		+
12		0,04418		+			1,15482		-
13		0,03482		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00239		-		2,28597		+
15		0,09268		+			0,99518		-
16		0,05101		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,1002		-			-0,32834		+
18		-0,01303		+		1,22623		+
19		0,0522		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,05411		-		0,77528		+
21		0,03162		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02506		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05689		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05647		-			1,50272		+
25		0,09068		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,0139		-			0,73197		+
27		0,04877		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00476		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01314		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06672		+			0,09		-
31		0,007		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,1188		-			0,80686		+
33		0,05586		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09512		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,04194		-		2,4851		+
36		0,21482		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02604		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11907		-		1,3954		+
39		0,13035		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01692		-		0,516		+
41		0,0513		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03746		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,06247		-		1,34759		+
44		0,133		+			1,67936		+
45		0,18564		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,0237		-			-0,01846		+
47		-0,00213		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13614		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01338		-			1,01263		+
50		0,13133		+			0,74562		-
51		0,10215		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02402		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,28282		-		1,63492		+
54		0,21351		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08345		-			0,96788		+
56		0,14183		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07226		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13268		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08359		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20848		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10617		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00062		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12383		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00663		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,2573		-			-3,41828		-
66		-0,41412		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02135		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05361		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,12245		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03278		+			1,66799		+
71		0,18298		+			1,80844		+
72		0,22368		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13409		-			0,70337		-
74		0,10013		-			1,69267		+
75		0,2583		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12267		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01016		-			3,10464		+
78		0,56152		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75838		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17755		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13597		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04177		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33349		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04554		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54739		+			1,64653		-
86		0,4001		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11362		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07263		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50199		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00804		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13289		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40922		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12487		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36724		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22981		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24685		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12559		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39992		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50787		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03301		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83449		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17794		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85078		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16833		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10647		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04441		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45084		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75271		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78586		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,47238		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28643		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20447		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50815		-		2,1883		+
114		0,42001		+			0,17118		-
115		0,0347		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30541		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12546		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15215		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,1482		+			-0,90685		-
120		-0,17579		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64771		+			2,72139		-
122		0,63041		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30548		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56301		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10571		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09862		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76539		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56712		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03222		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11713		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52141		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24819		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19523		-			0,91486		+
134		0,2949		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41919		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88032		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82843		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,2124		-			-0,4948		+
139		-0,175		+			2,52773		+
140		0,9173		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62783		-			0,3212		-
142		0,1253		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24749		+			1,45449		+
144		0,5861		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34237		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,56967		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17632		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17331		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77378		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,5487		-			0,38993		+
151		0,14571		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,2355		-			0,13513		+
153		0,05005		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19012		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19935		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53269		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15812		-			1,42292		+
158		0,55917		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20302		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16912		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18857		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67044		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12628		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06865		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07033		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84382		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35134		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23279		-			4,98164		+
169		2,35793		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63372		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,66646		-		2,46155		+
172		1,18746		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95178		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,81339		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59335		+			2,9354		+
176		1,47203		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03714		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55477		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60289		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,52731		+		1,57998		+
181		0,78498		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,57818		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,73693		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77057		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28215		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,93114		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21536		+			1,87398		+
188		0,91922		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,93447		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,53797		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41341		+			3,77967		+
192		1,86502		+			2,0866		-
193		1,05409		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50001		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,08956		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,62746		-		0,359		+
197		0,1823		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,27107		+		-16,27107		+
2		1,53948		+			1,53948		+
3		-0,16135		-		-0,16135		-
4		0,0168		+			0,0168		+
5		-0,00175		-		-0,00175		-
6		0,00018		+			0,00018		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2951561294564429

 17.run Duration 	16 seconds 697 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@f47bf5 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.014011533561605836
train epoch 1: 3.6014414111592793E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6012585493553625E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6010757088755785E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6008928893753244E-4
train epoch 5: 3.600710090533184E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6005273120280016E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6003445535388753E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6001618147451435E-4
train epoch 9: 3.599979095326522E-4
train epoch 10: 3.5997963949627914E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5996137133341145E-4
train epoch 12: 3.5994310501208566E-4
train epoch 13: 3.599248405003696E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5990657776634335E-4
train epoch 15: 3.598883167781205E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5987005750385225E-4
train epoch 17: 3.598517999116914E-4
train epoch 18: 3.598335439698295E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5981528964647974E-4
train epoch 20: 3.59797036909873E-4
train epoch 21: 3.597787857282778E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5976053606997827E-4
train epoch 23: 3.597422879032893E-4
train epoch 24: 3.597240411965396E-4
train epoch 25: 3.597057959180913E-4
train epoch 26: 3.596875520363376E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5966930951967884E-4
train epoch 28: 3.59651068336546E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5963282845540305E-4
train epoch 30: 3.596145898447265E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5959635247302576E-4
train epoch 32: 3.595781163088229E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5955988132067764E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5954164747715534E-4
train epoch 35: 3.595234147468674E-4
train epoch 36: 3.595051830984313E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5948695250049125E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5946872292172026E-4
train epoch 39: 3.594504943308204E-4
train epoch 40: 3.594322666964973E-4
train epoch 41: 3.594140399874945E-4
train epoch 42: 3.593958141725751E-4
train epoch 43: 3.593775892205224E-4
train epoch 44: 3.593593651001561E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5934114178029687E-4
train epoch 46: 3.593229192298035E-4
train epoch 47: 3.593046974175522E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5928647631245E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5926825588341953E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5928701424439703
mae:0.7305439468454512
rmse:0.76998061173251
mape:6.942201981484515
corr:0.9719916007839415
theil coefficient:27.214504225093798
net profit:45.769808214911315
buy and hold:-6.777958276420034E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2323340518523417
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20704,82223		+		32155,21		+
1		20712,12055		+		32389,47		+
2		20716,33133		+		31833,73		-
3		20707,43166		-		31732,53		-
4		20706,21677		-		32205,37		+
5		20712,96588		+		32563,26		+
6		20719,88715		+		31042,99		-
7		20701,27153		-		30820,77		-
8		20700,91703		-		30789,2		-
9		20700,91569		-		30707,06		-
10		20700,96934		+		31258,97		+
11		20702,19507		+		31953,99		+
12		20709,038		+		32325,14		+
13		20715,10839		+		32302,07		-
14		20714,68211		-		33048,99		+
15		20731,77322		+		33379,53		+
16		20741,49827		+		32684,23		-
17		20722,57924		-		32577,09		-
18		20720,18592		-		32979,02		+
19		20729,88438		+		32560,89		-
20		20719,83619		-		32814,31		+
21		20725,67259		+		32615,92		-
22		20721,03718		-		33044,36		+
23		20731,6464		+		33408,62		+
24		20742,41746		+		33914,45		+
25		20760,0337		+		33841,77		-
26		20757,31282		-		34090,39		+
27		20766,8832		+		34113,74		+
28		20767,82018		+		34177,52		+
29		20770,41285		+		34486,01		+
30		20783,64082		+		34517,06		+
31		20785,03526		+		33954		-
32		20761,541		-		34229,07		+
33		20772,54402		+		34656,83		+
34		20791,45474		+		34473,76		-
35		20783,09384		-		35341,2		+
36		20826,23848		+		35436,38		+
37		20831,51494		+		34985,45		-
38		20807,4641		-		35477,06		+
39		20833,80267		+		35415,91		-
40		20830,37115		-		35599,13		+
41		20840,7843		+		35465,95		-
42		20833,17594		-		35235,93		-
43		20820,5271		-		35713,98		+
44		20847,51275		+		36318,81		+
45		20885,48909		+		36244,96		-
46		20880,62404		-		36238,27		-
47		20880,18645		-		36651,61		+
48		20908,19562		+		36690,84		+
49		20910,95636		+		37064,27		+
50		20938,11927		+		37341,66		+
51		20959,32606		+		37405,4		+
52		20964,3224		+		36616,43		-
53		20905,73496		-		37220		+
54		20949,91739		+		37442,67		+
55		20967,26514		+		37806,83		+
56		20996,84177		+		37986,17		+
57		21011,95397		+		37653,78		-
58		20984,2296		-		37864,77		+
59		21001,68483		+		38368,66		+
60		21045,37966		+		38115,81		-
61		21023,10141		-		38117,31		+
62		21023,23147		+		37812,55		-
63		20997,31821		-		37795,9		-
64		20995,93238		-		37120,78		-
65		20942,36856		-		35873,33		-
66		20857,10414		-		35801,57		-
67		20852,74807		-		35980,06		+
68		20863,69423		+		35563,59		-
69		20838,73355		-		35678,19		+
70		20845,39941		+		36278,29		+
71		20882,81192		+		36940,33		+
72		20928,9271		+		37308,42		+
73		20956,73875		+		37571,76		+
74		20977,57895		+		38213,14		+
75		21031,59324		+		38501,45		+
76		21057,36221		+		38524,92		+
77		21059,5002		+		39739,74		+
78		21178,3234		+		41191,35		+
79		21340,69009		+		40866,67		-
80		21302,49981		-		41116,03		+
81		21331,73612		+		41039,94		-
82		21322,74847		-		40415,4		-
83		21251,19761		-		40502,58		+
84		21260,94598		+		41505,67		+
85		21378,66719		+		42194,73		+
86		21465,3188		+		42002,34		-
87		21440,66099		-		42125,61		+
88		21456,41898		+		42951,75		+
89		21565,75829		+		42938,85		-
90		21564,00178		-		42724,09		-
91		21534,98672		-		43376,85		+
92		21624,49608		+		43571,25		+
93		21651,90437		+		42993,27		-
94		21571,42222		-		42621,33		-
95		21521,25558		-		43020,51		+
96		21575,14676		+		42818,62		-
97		21547,70524		-		42158,4		-
98		21460,63524		-		42992,3		+
99		21571,28967		+		42939,38		-
100		21564,07397		-		44230,97		+
101		21747,42229		+		45924,25		+
102		22009,46588		+		44714,51		-
103		21819,82928		-		42928,65		-
104		21562,614		-		42756,7		-
105		21539,36481		-		42828,64		+
106		21549,05829		+		43542,17		+
107		21647,78279		+		42333,2		-
108		21483,28568		-		40959,96		-
109		21313,36411		-		40059,32		-
110		21212,19788		-		40613,38		+
111		21273,4482		+		40220,55		-
112		21229,69352		-		39180,23		-
113		21121,62243		-		40047,06		+
114		21210,87855		+		40115,67		+
115		21218,2818		+		40702,82		+
116		21283,63201		+		40465,11		-
117		21256,74652		-		40170,35		-
118		21224,21713		-		39875,77		-
119		21192,61092		-		39515,79		-
120		21155,2277		-		40789,03		+
121		21293,52527		+		41914,3		+
122		21429,49645		+		42429,06		+
123		21495,83095		+		43336,22		+
124		21618,8108		+		43169,58		-
125		21595,65021		-		43325,09		+
126		21617,25601		+		44489,37		+
127		21785,86799		+		43633,67		-
128		21660,77703		-		43683,33		+
129		21667,86071		+		43862,73		+
130		21693,63355		+		44641,85		+
131		21808,82198		+		45002,63		+
132		21863,91159		+		45282,32		+
133		21907,36049		+		45698,49		+
134		21973,18334		+		45104,65		-
135		21879,68572		-		46335,45		+
136		22076,56637		+		47443,65		+
137		22263,6766		+		47163,5		-
138		22215,5374		-		46930,71		-
139		22175,96127		-		48132,11		+
140		22384,27855		+		48930,72		+
141		22528,08053		+		49088,14		+
142		22556,89836		+		49397,32		+
143		22613,93225		+		50121,05		+
144		22749,60792		+		49699,67		-
145		22670,25075		-		48989,65		-
146		22538,85085		-		49210,68		+
147		22579,43466		+		47715,08		-
148		22310,84003		-		48708,09		+
149		22487,58598		+		48006,84		-
150		22362,0962		-		48194,4		+
151		22395,34734		+		47890,75		-
152		22341,63275		-		47955,51		+
153		22353,03698		+		48200,39		+
154		22396,41291		+		47943,58		-
155		22350,93402		-		48625,74		+
156		22472,6857		+		48825,83		+
157		22508,9635		+		49525,55		+
158		22637,75273		+		49776,82		+
159		22684,70554		+		49567,61		-
160		22645,58699		-		49800,83		+
161		22689,21087		+		50621,01		+
162		22845,02073		+		50467,53		-
163		22815,58917		-		50551,02		+
164		22831,58392		+		51837,65		+
165		23082,47228		+		52835,66		+
166		23282,24882		+		53247,94		+
167		23365,94313		+		53520,24		+
168		23421,56468		+		56253,95		+
169		23992,40668		+		56985,69		+
170		24148,14196		+		55060,42		-
171		23740,7147		-		56432,58		+
172		24030,33679		+		57532,02		+
173		24264,96302		+		56592,36		-
174		24064,31431		-		57277,66		+
175		24210,52261		+		58983,91		+
176		24576,96486		+		58940,68		-
177		24567,65322		-		58296,28		-
178		24428,97953		-		57598,15		-
179		24279,13031		-		56988,75		-
180		24148,79508		-		57896,31		+
181		24343,0681		+		57227,66		-
182		24199,83107		-		56376,62		-
183		24018,44799		-		57266,53		+
184		24208,14224		+		56940,58		-
185		24138,51558		-		55865,39		-
186		23910,11761		-		56114,11		+
187		23962,75569		+		57175,59		+
188		24188,70102		+		56096,5		-
189		23959,02479		-		55475		-
190		23827,76877		-		55952,65		+
191		23928,57018		+		58107,95		+
192		24388,50875		+		59333,17		+
193		24652,22151		+		59917,84		+
194		24778,26542		+		59812,92		-
195		24755,64454		-		59080,2		-
196		24597,70827		-		59292,68		+
197		24643,49472		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 105
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)53
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24643.49472073004
New Prediction 1	20930.34762005817
New Prediction 2	21280.22330159317
New Prediction 3	21240.958465699652
New Prediction 4	21245.302190570677
New Prediction 5	21244.820886627276
New Prediction 6	21244.874206830722
New Prediction 7	21244.868292843916
New Prediction 8	21244.86896055063
New Prediction 9	21244.86886516394
New Prediction 10	21244.86886516394
New Prediction 11	21244.86886516394
New Prediction 12	21244.86886516394
New Prediction 13	21244.86886516394
New Prediction 14	21244.86886516394
New Prediction 15	21244.86886516394
New Prediction 16	21244.86886516394
New Prediction 17	21244.86886516394
New Prediction 18	21244.86886516394
New Prediction 19	21244.86886516394
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03524		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02033		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04297		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00587		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03259		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03341		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,08988		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00171		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00001		+		-0,26714		-
10		0,00026		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00592		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03305		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02931		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00206		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08247		+			0,99518		-
16		0,0469		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09126		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01155		+		1,22623		+
19		0,0468		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04848		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02816		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02237		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05119		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05194		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08489		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01311		-		0,73197		+
27		0,0461		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00451		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01248		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06367		+			0,09		-
31		0,00671		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,1131		-			0,80686		+
33		0,05298		+			1,24195		+
34		0,091		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,04022		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20738		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02533		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11552		-		1,3954		+
39		0,1265		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01647		-		0,516		+
41		0,04998		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03651		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,06073		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12953		+			1,67936		+
45		0,182		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,0233		-			-0,01846		+
47		-0,0021		+			1,13416		+
48		0,13405		+			0,10698		-
49		0,0132		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12981		+			0,74562		-
51		0,10123		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02384		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27985		-		1,63492		+
54		0,21112		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08277		-			0,96788		+
56		0,14096		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07195		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13203		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08315		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20784		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10591		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00062		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12334		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,0066		+			-1,80237		-
65		-0,25544		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40797		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02089		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05248		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11971		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03198		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17932		+			1,80844		+
72		0,22058		+			0,99151		-
73		0,1328		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09939		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25715		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12245		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01015		-			3,10464		+
78		0,56264		+			3,58766		+
79		0,76374		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17912		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13715		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04214		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33613		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04586		+			2,44644		+
85		0,55217		+			1,64653		-
86		0,4045		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11494		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07347		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50829		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00815		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13464		-		1,5163		+
92		0,41478		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12667		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,3724		-			-0,86888		+
95		-0,23283		+		0,93221		+
96		0,2501		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12727		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,4049		-			1,95871		+
99		0,51429		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03346		-		2,96359		+
101		0,84665		+			3,75681		+
102		1,19774		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,86535		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,18582		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10788		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04499		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45709		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,76278		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,79409		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,47579		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28833		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20589		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,51036		-		2,1883		+
114		0,42169		+			0,17118		-
115		0,0349		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30752		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,1264		-			-0,7311		-
118		-0,15315		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14903		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17655		-		3,17128		+
121		0,6516		+			2,72139		-
122		0,63653		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30907		-			2,11553		+
124		0,57048		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10719		-		0,35958		+
126		0,1		+			2,65184		+
127		0,77696		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,57584		-		0,11375		+
129		0,0327		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11887		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52957		+			0,80492		-
132		0,25228		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19853		-			0,91486		+
134		0,30001		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42642		-		2,6922		+
136		0,89581		+			2,36354		-
137		0,84398		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21646		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17831		+		2,52773		+
140		0,935		+			1,64559		-
141		0,64037		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12784		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25253		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59817		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34944		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,5813		-			0,45016		+
147		0,1799		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,19669		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78908		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,5596		-			0,38993		+
151		0,14858		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,24014		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05103		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19386		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20327		-		1,41281		+
156		0,54325		+			0,41065		-
157		0,1613		-			1,42292		+
158		0,57054		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20719		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17259		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19245		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68437		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12891		-		0,1653		+
164		0,07008		+			2,51336		+
165		1,09287		+			1,90696		-
166		0,86177		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35883		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23776		-			4,98164		+
169		2,40802		+			1,29239		-
170		0,647		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70159		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21256		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97164		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83034		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60573		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50223		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03789		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56606		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,6153		-			-1,06366		+
180		-0,53827		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80126		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59015		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75235		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78668		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28803		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,9507		-			0,44422		+
187		0,21991		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93848		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95406		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54934		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42215		+			3,77967		+
192		1,90389		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07549		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50999		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09133		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64002		-		0,359		+
197		0,18597		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,33128		+		-16,33128		+
2		1,6578		+			1,6578		+
3		-0,18468		-		-0,18468		-
4		0,02045		+			0,02045		+
5		-0,00227		-		-0,00227		-
6		0,00025		+			0,00025		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29643507122198515

 18.run Duration 	16 seconds 42 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@f6438d ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 8.68091073187435E-4
train epoch 1: 3.60752251224E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6072304258072835E-4
train epoch 3: 3.606938367744418E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6066462864295476E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6063542813984383E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6060623520141647E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6057704976313643E-4
train epoch 8: 3.605478717605494E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6051870112929687E-4
train epoch 10: 3.604895378050749E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6046038172368245E-4
train epoch 12: 3.604312328210009E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6040209103298015E-4
train epoch 14: 3.603729562956591E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6034382854515713E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6031470771767166E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6028559374948167E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6025648657694745E-4
train epoch 19: 3.6022738613650777E-4
train epoch 20: 3.601982923646784E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6016920519806164E-4
train epoch 22: 3.601401245733291E-4
train epoch 23: 3.601110504272422E-4
train epoch 24: 3.6008198269664015E-4
train epoch 25: 3.6005292131842165E-4
train epoch 26: 3.6002386622958557E-4
train epoch 27: 3.599948173672069E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5996577466842713E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5993673807047067E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5990770751063983E-4
train epoch 31: 3.598786829263138E-4
train epoch 32: 3.598496642549491E-4
train epoch 33: 3.598206514340818E-4
train epoch 34: 3.597916444013219E-4
train epoch 35: 3.597626430943559E-4
train epoch 36: 3.597336474509449E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5970465740893173E-4
train epoch 38: 3.59675672906223E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5964669388081753E-4
train epoch 40: 3.596177202707758E-4
train epoch 41: 3.595887520142393E-4
train epoch 42: 3.595597890494176E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5953083131460125E-4
train epoch 44: 3.595018787481587E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5947293128853067E-4
train epoch 46: 3.594439888742209E-4
train epoch 47: 3.594150514438213E-4
train epoch 48: 3.593861189359855E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5935719128945735E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5948321241354915
mae:0.7317446259678221
rmse:0.7712536055899457
mape:6.953364488896831
corr:0.9711680741863827
theil coefficient:27.283809812124083
net profit:45.119653752314285
buy and hold:-6.875625688605902E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2290337753924583
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20689,16684		+		32155,21		+
1		20695,46392		+		32389,47		+
2		20699,24844		+		31833,73		-
3		20691,35692		-		31732,53		-
4		20690,32442		-		32205,37		+
5		20696,21814		+		32563,26		+
6		20702,48686		+		31042,99		-
7		20686,61146		-		30820,77		-
8		20686,64996		+		30789,2		-
9		20686,70428		+		30707,06		-
10		20686,90255		+		31258,97		+
11		20687,15106		+		31953,99		+
12		20692,74602		+		32325,14		+
13		20698,14274		+		32302,07		-
14		20697,75847		-		33048,99		+
15		20713,48084		+		33379,53		+
16		20722,59496		+		32684,23		-
17		20704,95744		-		32577,09		-
18		20702,76032		-		32979,02		+
19		20711,72094		+		32560,89		-
20		20702,44023		-		32814,31		+
21		20707,81211		+		32615,92		-
22		20703,54051		-		33044,36		+
23		20713,36255		+		33408,62		+
24		20723,46024		+		33914,45		+
25		20740,1358		+		33841,77		-
26		20737,55045		-		34090,39		+
27		20746,65673		+		34113,74		+
28		20747,55006		+		34177,52		+
29		20750,02342		+		34486,01		+
30		20762,67323		+		34517,06		+
31		20764,00938		+		33954		-
32		20741,5693		-		34229,07		+
33		20752,05811		+		34656,83		+
34		20770,16626		+		34473,76		-
35		20762,14924		-		35341,2		+
36		20803,65986		+		35436,38		+
37		20808,75641		+		34985,45		-
38		20785,55694		-		35477,06		+
39		20810,96721		+		35415,91		-
40		20807,65131		-		35599,13		+
41		20817,7179		+		35465,95		-
42		20810,36149		-		35235,93		-
43		20798,14734		-		35713,98		+
44		20824,22895		+		36318,81		+
45		20861,05873		+		36244,96		-
46		20856,3338		-		36238,27		-
47		20855,9089		-		36651,61		+
48		20883,13363		+		36690,84		+
49		20885,81989		+		37064,27		+
50		20912,27387		+		37341,66		+
51		20932,95417		+		37405,4		+
52		20937,82957		+		36616,43		-
53		20880,73975		-		37220		+
54		20923,77639		+		37442,67		+
55		20940,7016		+		37806,83		+
56		20969,58772		+		37986,17		+
57		20984,36021		+		37653,78		-
58		20957,26566		-		37864,77		+
59		20974,32101		+		38368,66		+
60		21017,06236		+		38115,81		-
61		20995,26225		-		38117,31		+
62		20995,38948		+		37812,55		-
63		20970,05333		-		37795,9		-
64		20968,69905		-		37120,78		-
65		20916,41589		-		35873,33		-
66		20833,51851		-		35801,57		-
67		20829,29839		-		35980,06		+
68		20839,90632		+		35563,59		-
69		20815,73441		-		35678,19		+
70		20822,18338		+		36278,29		+
71		20858,45844		+		36940,33		+
72		20903,31698		+		37308,42		+
73		20930,42994		+		37571,76		+
74		20950,77055		+		38213,14		+
75		21003,56995		+		38501,45		+
76		21028,79411		+		38524,92		+
77		21030,88779		+		39739,74		+
78		21147,4298		+		41191,35		+
79		21307,11542		+		40866,67		-
80		21269,51948		-		41116,03		+
81		21298,29901		+		41039,94		-
82		21289,45054		-		40415,4		-
83		21219,04874		-		40502,58		+
84		21228,63602		+		41505,67		+
85		21344,52054		+		42194,73		+
86		21429,93107		+		42002,34		-
87		21405,61791		-		42125,61		+
88		21421,1549		+		42951,75		+
89		21529,02981		+		42938,85		-
90		21527,29593		-		42724,09		-
91		21498,65876		-		43376,85		+
92		21587,02631		+		43571,25		+
93		21614,09858		+		42993,27		-
94		21534,62095		-		42621,33		-
95		21485,10918		-		43020,51		+
96		21538,29778		+		42818,62		-
97		21511,21068		-		42158,4		-
98		21425,31248		-		42992,3		+
99		21534,4901		+		42939,38		-
100		21527,36719		-		44230,97		+
101		21708,49102		+		45924,25		+
102		21967,76253		+		44714,51		-
103		21780,08851		-		42928,65		-
104		21525,92605		-		42756,7		-
105		21502,97933		-		42828,64		+
106		21512,5461		+		43542,17		+
107		21610,02715		+		42333,2		-
108		21447,65085		-		40959,96		-
109		21280,21266		-		40059,32		-
110		21180,70913		-		40613,38		+
111		21240,93381		+		40220,55		-
112		21197,90545		-		39180,23		-
113		21091,7762		-		40047,06		+
114		21179,41258		+		40115,67		+
115		21186,68836		+		40702,82		+
116		21250,95287		+		40465,11		-
117		21224,50578		-		40170,35		-
118		21192,52219		-		39875,77		-
119		21161,46369		-		39515,79		-
120		21124,75255		-		40789,03		+
121		21260,68755		+		41914,3		+
122		21394,61158		+		42429,06		+
123		21460,02552		+		43336,22		+
124		21581,41149		+		43169,58		-
125		21558,54078		-		43325,09		+
126		21579,87602		+		44489,37		+
127		21746,50245		+		43633,67		-
128		21622,86376		-		43683,33		+
129		21629,86208		+		43862,73		+
130		21655,32761		+		44641,85		+
131		21769,20198		+		45002,63		+
132		21823,69504		+		45282,32		+
133		21866,68697		+		45698,49		+
134		21931,83909		+		45104,65		-
135		21839,30192		-		46335,45		+
136		22034,21788		+		47443,65		+
137		22219,64981		+		47163,5		-
138		22171,92627		-		46930,71		-
139		22132,70003		-		48132,11		+
140		22339,25625		+		48930,72		+
141		22481,95165		+		49088,14		+
142		22510,55769		+		49397,32		+
143		22567,18185		+		50121,05		+
144		22701,93146		+		49699,67		-
145		22623,10778		-		48989,65		-
146		22492,64244		-		49210,68		+
147		22532,93061		+		47715,08		-
148		22266,41629		-		48708,09		+
149		22441,76023		+		48006,84		-
150		22317,25224		-		48194,4		+
151		22350,23683		+		47890,75		-
152		22296,95518		-		47955,51		+
153		22308,26646		+		48200,39		+
154		22351,29393		+		47943,58		-
155		22306,1806		-		48625,74		+
156		22426,97314		+		48825,83		+
157		22462,97692		+		49525,55		+
158		22590,83485		+		49776,82		+
159		22637,4637		+		49567,61		-
160		22598,61449		-		49800,83		+
161		22641,93837		+		50621,01		+
162		22796,73232		+		50467,53		-
163		22767,48616		-		50551,02		+
164		22783,37979		+		51837,65		+
165		23032,79339		+		52835,66		+
166		23231,53775		+		53247,94		+
167		23314,83511		+		53520,24		+
168		23370,20409		+		56253,95		+
169		23938,94596		+		56985,69		+
170		24094,25661		+		55060,42		-
171		23688,07221		-		56432,58		+
172		23976,76697		+		57532,02		+
173		24210,79914		+		56592,36		-
174		24010,64989		-		57277,66		+
175		24156,4843		+		58983,91		+
176		24522,22154		+		58940,68		-
177		24512,92377		-		58296,28		-
178		24374,48149		-		57598,15		-
179		24224,93496		-		56988,75		-
180		24094,90808		-		57896,31		+
181		24288,73686		+		57227,66		-
182		24145,81829		-		56376,62		-
183		23964,91197		-		57266,53		+
184		24154,10959		+		56940,58		-
185		24084,6547		-		55865,39		-
186		23856,90624		-		56114,11		+
187		23909,38281		+		57175,59		+
188		24134,71512		+		56096,5		-
189		23905,66312		-		55475		-
190		23774,82452		-		55952,65		+
191		23875,30138		+		58107,95		+
192		24334,08704		+		59333,17		+
193		24597,37369		+		59917,84		+
194		24723,27289		+		59812,92		-
195		24700,6752		-		59080,2		-
196		24542,93479		-		59292,68		+
197		24588,65832		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 103
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24588.658323271866
New Prediction 1	20930.063247525624
New Prediction 2	21280.47792725727
New Prediction 3	21240.761928981377
New Prediction 4	21245.200237827907
New Prediction 5	21244.70343469947
New Prediction 6	21244.75903191432
New Prediction 7	21244.752865027385
New Prediction 8	21244.753539529127
New Prediction 9	21244.7534431717
New Prediction 10	21244.7534431717
New Prediction 11	21244.7534431717
New Prediction 12	21244.7534431717
New Prediction 13	21244.7534431717
New Prediction 14	21244.7534431717
New Prediction 15	21244.7534431717
New Prediction 16	21244.7534431717
New Prediction 17	21244.7534431717
New Prediction 18	21244.7534431717
New Prediction 19	21244.7534431717
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03043		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01829		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03813		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00499		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02848		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03028		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07671		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00019		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00026		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00096		+			1,78138		+
11		0,0012		+			2,19907		+
12		0,02704		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02608		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00186		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07593		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04399		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08515		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01061		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04327		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04482		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02594		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02063		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04743		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04874		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08043		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01247		-		0,73197		+
27		0,0439		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00431		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01192		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06094		+			0,09		-
31		0,00644		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10813		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05056		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08722		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03861		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19973		+			0,26896		-
37		0,0245		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11155		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12217		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01593		-		0,516		+
41		0,04837		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03534		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05871		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12532		+			1,67936		+
45		0,1767		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02265		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00204		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13045		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01286		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12658		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09884		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02329		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27304		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20589		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08086		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13785		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07042		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,1292		-			0,55878		+
59		0,08135		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20357		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10378		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12075		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00646		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24965		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39711		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02026		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05091		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11606		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03098		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17406		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21483		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12962		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09713		-			1,69267		+
75		0,2517		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12002		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00996		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55262		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75227		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,1766		-			0,60833		+
81		0,13522		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04155		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33124		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04517		+			2,44644		+
85		0,5444		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39935		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11352		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07256		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50233		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00805		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13312		-		1,5163		+
92		0,4102		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12533		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36839		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,23018		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24725		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12584		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,40012		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50828		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03308		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83785		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18726		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85799		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,17381		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10666		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04448		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45211		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75423		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78375		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46868		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28393		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20278		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50192		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41464		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03435		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30287		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12453		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15081		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14666		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17363		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64143		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62794		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30528		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56404		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10603		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09892		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76917		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,57017		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03236		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11766		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52447		+			0,80492		-
132		0,25001		-			0,61957		-
133		0,1968		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29751		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42282		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88854		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83804		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21501		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17708		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92893		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63673		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12716		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25123		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59533		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34782		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57836		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17896		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18983		-		2,05976		+
149		0,7844		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55635		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14769		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23868		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05072		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19269		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20204		-		1,41281		+
156		0,54006		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16041		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56758		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20619		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17176		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19153		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68133		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12837		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06978		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08877		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85917		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35791		-			0,51008		-
168		0,2372		-			4,98164		+
169		2,40448		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64668		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70019		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21137		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97135		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83013		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60554		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50269		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03792		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56637		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61543		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53819		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80122		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59015		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75204		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78638		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28796		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95012		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21972		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93803		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95359		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54882		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42173		+			3,77967		+
192		1,90336		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07616		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51053		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09144		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64066		-		0,359		+
197		0,18613		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,10987		+		-16,10987		+
2		1,66036		+			1,66036		+
3		-0,18681		-		-0,18681		-
4		0,02089		+			0,02089		+
5		-0,00234		-		-0,00234		-
6		0,00026		+			0,00026		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
