MoE_30_10TR30_50_LR_1.0E-4_LDR_0.99_MR_0.9

Datasets are ready ... Initializing the process ...
 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1ec8909 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 5.113546694421736E-4
train epoch 1: 3.6085786043915435E-4
train epoch 2: 3.607830743228047E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6070830426080265E-4
train epoch 4: 3.606335809101829E-4
train epoch 5: 3.60558904102237E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6048427366871513E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6040968944181875E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6033515125418895E-4
train epoch 9: 3.602606589389515E-4
train epoch 10: 3.601862123296613E-4
train epoch 11: 3.601118112603538E-4
train epoch 12: 3.600374555654881E-4
train epoch 13: 3.599631450799948E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5988887963923677E-4
train epoch 15: 3.598146590790348E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5974048323564724E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5966635194578824E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5959226504661605E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5951822237571395E-4
train epoch 20: 3.5944422377112765E-4
train epoch 21: 3.593702690713288E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5929635811524167E-4
train epoch 23: 3.5922249074220666E-4
train epoch 24: 3.591486667920251E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5907488610491657E-4
train epoch 26: 3.590011485215382E-4
train epoch 27: 3.589274538829752E-4
train epoch 28: 3.588538020307564E-4
train epoch 29: 3.587801928068307E-4
train epoch 30: 3.587066260535822E-4
train epoch 31: 3.586331016138269E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5855961933079254E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5848617904814386E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5841278060996524E-4
train epoch 35: 3.583394238607615E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5826610864546837E-4
train epoch 37: 3.581928348094312E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5811960219842546E-4
train epoch 39: 3.580464106586381E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5797326003667273E-4
train epoch 41: 3.579001501795558E-4
train epoch 42: 3.578270809347231E-4
train epoch 43: 3.577540521500212E-4
train epoch 44: 3.576810636737118E-4
train epoch 45: 3.576081153544757E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5753520704138574E-4
train epoch 47: 3.574623385839365E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5738950983203797E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5731672063599754E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5953242817780534
mae:0.7318429029870579
rmse:0.7715726030504539
mape:6.944554924214889
corr:0.971064061860826
theil coefficient:27.35926350543756
net profit:44.25831108212847
buy and hold:-7.009437161412269E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2246614775742562
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20706,16783		+		32155,21		+
1		20712,51349		+		32389,47		+
2		20716,29156		+		31833,73		-
3		20708,38925		-		31732,53		-
4		20707,34509		-		32205,37		+
5		20713,26767		+		32563,26		+
6		20719,51488		+		31042,99		-
7		20703,47305		-		30820,77		-
8		20703,43072		-		30789,2		-
9		20703,47239		+		30707,06		-
10		20703,63639		+		31258,97		+
11		20704,0774		+		31953,99		+
12		20709,78833		+		32325,14		+
13		20715,18923		+		32302,07		-
14		20714,80586		-		33048,99		+
15		20730,42005		+		33379,53		+
16		20739,4346		+		32684,23		-
17		20721,96975		-		32577,09		-
18		20719,78676		-		32979,02		+
19		20728,67716		+		32560,89		-
20		20719,46851		-		32814,31		+
21		20724,80278		+		32615,92		-
22		20720,56222		-		33044,36		+
23		20730,30293		+		33408,62		+
24		20740,2896		+		33914,45		+
25		20756,7475		+		33841,77		-
26		20754,19795		-		34090,39		+
27		20763,1755		+		34113,74		+
28		20764,05583		+		34177,52		+
29		20766,49289		+		34486,01		+
30		20778,95075		+		34517,06		+
31		20780,26609		+		33954		-
32		20758,16088		-		34229,07		+
33		20768,49739		+		34656,83		+
34		20786,32587		+		34473,76		-
35		20778,4349		-		35341,2		+
36		20819,26464		+		35436,38		+
37		20824,27365		+		34985,45		-
38		20801,46654		-		35477,06		+
39		20826,44627		+		35415,91		-
40		20823,1876		-		35599,13		+
41		20833,07965		+		35465,95		-
42		20825,85103		-		35235,93		-
43		20813,846		-		35713,98		+
44		20839,47655		+		36318,81		+
45		20875,64562		+		36244,96		-
46		20871,0067		-		36238,27		-
47		20870,58952		-		36651,61		+
48		20897,3147		+		36690,84		+
49		20899,95118		+		37064,27		+
50		20925,91073		+		37341,66		+
51		20946,20001		+		37405,4		+
52		20950,98272		+		36616,43		-
53		20894,96513		-		37220		+
54		20937,19619		+		37442,67		+
55		20953,80006		+		37806,83		+
56		20982,13308		+		37986,17		+
57		20996,62073		+		37653,78		-
58		20970,04763		-		37864,77		+
59		20986,77524		+		38368,66		+
60		21028,68837		+		38115,81		-
61		21007,31181		-		38117,31		+
62		21007,43657		+		37812,55		-
63		20982,58973		-		37795,9		-
64		20981,2615		-		37120,78		-
65		20929,97472		-		35873,33		-
66		20848,60174		-		35801,57		-
67		20844,45651		-		35980,06		+
68		20854,87557		+		35563,59		-
69		20831,13073		-		35678,19		+
70		20837,46694		+		36278,29		+
71		20873,09271		+		36940,33		+
72		20917,12203		+		37308,42		+
73		20943,72369		+		37571,76		+
74		20963,67684		+		38213,14		+
75		21015,45836		+		38501,45		+
76		21040,19131		+		38524,92		+
77		21042,24411		+		39739,74		+
78		21156,4888		+		41191,35		+
79		21312,98907		+		40866,67		-
80		21276,14502		-		41116,03		+
81		21304,34904		+		41039,94		-
82		21295,67756		-		40415,4		-
83		21226,68223		-		40502,58		+
84		21236,07822		+		41505,67		+
85		21349,64558		+		42194,73		+
86		21433,3464		+		42002,34		-
87		21409,51986		-		42125,61		+
88		21424,74587		+		42951,75		+
89		21530,46383		+		42938,85		-
90		21528,76457		-		42724,09		-
91		21500,69951		-		43376,85		+
92		21587,30331		+		43571,25		+
93		21613,83635		+		42993,27		-
94		21535,94333		-		42621,33		-
95		21487,42077		-		43020,51		+
96		21539,54675		+		42818,62		-
97		21513,00061		-		42158,4		-
98		21428,82024		-		42992,3		+
99		21535,81509		+		42939,38		-
100		21528,8344		-		44230,97		+
101		21706,35376		+		45924,25		+
102		21960,5275		+		44714,51		-
103		21776,53515		-		42928,65		-
104		21527,42205		-		42756,7		-
105		21504,93374		-		42828,64		+
106		21514,30935		+		43542,17		+
107		21609,84597		+		42333,2		-
108		21450,71161		-		40959,96		-
109		21286,62442		-		40059,32		-
110		21189,10661		-		40613,38		+
111		21248,1305		+		40220,55		-
112		21205,96049		-		39180,23		-
113		21101,93677		-		40047,06		+
114		21187,83587		+		40115,67		+
115		21194,96682		+		40702,82		+
116		21257,94944		+		40465,11		-
117		21232,03039		-		40170,35		-
118		21200,68447		-		39875,77		-
119		21170,24394		-		39515,79		-
120		21134,26121		-		40789,03		+
121		21267,48962		+		41914,3		+
122		21398,73386		+		42429,06		+
123		21462,83873		+		43336,22		+
124		21581,8004		+		43169,58		-
125		21559,38577		-		43325,09		+
126		21580,29554		+		44489,37		+
127		21743,61265		+		43633,67		-
128		21622,42707		-		43683,33		+
129		21629,28614		+		43862,73		+
130		21654,24536		+		44641,85		+
131		21765,86356		+		45002,63		+
132		21819,28213		+		45282,32		+
133		21861,42895		+		45698,49		+
134		21925,30507		+		45104,65		-
135		21834,58194		-		46335,45		+
136		22025,69105		+		47443,65		+
137		22207,55559		+		47163,5		-
138		22160,7447		-		46930,71		-
139		22122,27151		-		48132,11		+
140		22324,89232		+		48930,72		+
141		22464,91455		+		49088,14		+
142		22492,98943		+		49397,32		+
143		22548,56699		+		50121,05		+
144		22680,85228		+		49699,67		-
145		22603,46558		-		48989,65		-
146		22475,40665		-		49210,68		+
147		22514,94806		+		47715,08		-
148		22253,43155		-		48708,09		+
149		22425,47212		+		48006,84		-
150		22303,30393		-		48194,4		+
151		22335,66584		+		47890,75		-
152		22283,39104		-		47955,51		+
153		22294,48813		+		48200,39		+
154		22336,70302		+		47943,58		-
155		22292,44175		-		48625,74		+
156		22410,96138		+		48825,83		+
157		22446,29303		+		49525,55		+
158		22571,78472		+		49776,82		+
159		22617,55883		+		49567,61		-
160		22579,42143		-		49800,83		+
161		22621,9517		+		50621,01		+
162		22773,94233		+		50467,53		-
163		22745,2219		-		50551,02		+
164		22760,82959		+		51837,65		+
165		23005,82941		+		52835,66		+
166		23201,15943		+		53247,94		+
167		23283,05408		+		53520,24		+
168		23337,50014		+		56253,95		+
169		23897,22325		+		56985,69		+
170		24050,22511		+		55060,42		-
171		23650,22139		-		56432,58		+
172		23934,4757		+		57532,02		+
173		24165,08096		+		56592,36		-
174		23967,85269		-		57277,66		+
175		24111,54724		+		58983,91		+
176		24472,19615		+		58940,68		-
177		24463,02265		-		58296,28		-
178		24326,46254		-		57598,15		-
179		24179,01491		-		56988,75		-
180		24050,86703		-		57896,31		+
181		24241,91311		+		57227,66		-
182		24101,03564		-		56376,62		-
183		23922,79848		-		57266,53		+
184		24109,20688		+		56940,58		-
185		24040,76393		-		55865,39		-
186		23816,43063		-		56114,11		+
187		23868,10733		+		57175,59		+
188		24090,09357		+		56096,5		-
189		23864,44408		-		55475		-
190		23735,6153		-		55952,65		+
191		23834,54451		+		58107,95		+
192		24286,62837		+		59333,17		+
193		24546,35385		+		59917,84		+
194		24670,62754		+		59812,92		-
195		24648,31785		-		59080,2		-
196		24492,63352		-		59292,68		+
197		24537,75289		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24537.75289189454
New Prediction 1	20942.669250506406
New Prediction 2	21278.71375529449
New Prediction 3	21241.604964700302
New Prediction 4	21245.647153466518
New Prediction 5	21245.2061539099
New Prediction 6	21245.254237884285
New Prediction 7	21245.24907251983
New Prediction 8	21245.249636013046
New Prediction 9	21245.249542097485
New Prediction 10	21245.249542097485
New Prediction 11	21245.249542097485
New Prediction 12	21245.249542097485
New Prediction 13	21245.249542097485
New Prediction 14	21245.249542097485
New Prediction 15	21245.249542097485
New Prediction 16	21245.249542097485
New Prediction 17	21245.249542097485
New Prediction 18	21245.249542097485
New Prediction 19	21245.249542097485
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03064		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01824		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03815		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00504		+		1,47909		+
5		0,0286		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03016		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07745		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,0002		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,0002		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00079		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00213		+			2,19907		+
12		0,02758		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02608		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00185		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07535		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04348		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08425		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01054		+		1,22623		+
19		0,0429		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04443		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02574		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02046		-		1,30504		+
23		0,047		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04816		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07932		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01228		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04325		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00424		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01174		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05997		+			0,09		-
31		0,00633		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10643		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04978		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08581		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03797		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19631		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02406		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10958		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12001		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01565		-		0,516		+
41		0,04749		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,0347		-			-0,65068		-
43		-0,05766		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12307		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17341		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02222		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,002		+			1,13416		+
48		0,12797		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01262		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12413		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09691		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02283		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26773		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20191		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07927		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13513		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06902		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12664		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07974		+			1,32199		+
60		0,19951		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10171		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00059		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11835		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00633		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24474		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,38954		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01988		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04997		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11392		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03041		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17082		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21072		+			0,99151		-
73		0,1271		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09522		-			1,69267		+
75		0,2467		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11762		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00976		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54146		+			3,58766		+
79		0,737		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17302		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13247		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04071		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32451		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04426		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53336		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39128		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11123		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07109		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49223		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00789		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13045		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40199		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12283		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36104		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22556		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24229		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12332		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39207		-		1,95871		+
99		0,49806		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03242		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82118		+			3,75681		+
102		1,16416		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84136		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15055		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10452		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04359		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44308		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,73912		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,76789		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,45917		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27817		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19866		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49175		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40624		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03365		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29672		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,122		-			-0,7311		-
118		-0,14774		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14369		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17011		-		3,17128		+
121		0,62841		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61522		-			1,22064		-
123		0,29913		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55274		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10391		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09694		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75394		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,5589		-			0,11375		+
129		0,03172		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11533		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51413		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24512		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19298		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29176		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41464		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87145		+			2,36354		-
137		0,8223		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21101		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17376		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91174		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62524		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12489		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24678		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58495		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34178		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,56816		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17578		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,16832		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77012		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54626		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14499		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23432		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04979		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18917		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19835		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53025		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15753		-			1,42292		+
158		0,55752		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20259		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16876		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18818		+			1,63351		+
162		0,66963		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12619		-		0,1653		+
164		0,0686		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07066		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84546		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35236		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23357		-			4,98164		+
169		2,37008		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63821		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,67719		-		2,46155		+
172		1,19474		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95887		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,81952		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59774		+			2,9354		+
176		1,48468		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03749		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55979		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60796		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53141		+		1,57998		+
181		0,7912		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58283		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74229		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77619		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28429		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,93752		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21674		+			1,87398		+
188		0,92576		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,9411		-			-1,1141		+
190		-0,5413		+			0,85733		+
191		0,41593		+			3,77967		+
192		1,87899		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06374		-			0,98058		-
194		0,505		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09047		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63363		-		0,359		+
197		0,18405		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,84242		+		-15,84242		+
2		1,59186		+			1,59186		+
3		-0,17455		-		-0,17455		-
4		0,01903		+			0,01903		+
5		-0,00208		-		-0,00208		-
6		0,00023		+			0,00023		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2976621408890267

 0.run Duration 	24 seconds 737 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@4aa0ce ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0056595098537390405
train epoch 1: 3.595087023014484E-4
train epoch 2: 3.594665212372537E-4
train epoch 3: 3.59424354053781E-4
train epoch 4: 3.5938220061898155E-4
train epoch 5: 3.5934006085607277E-4
train epoch 6: 3.592979346884292E-4
train epoch 7: 3.5925582203953475E-4
train epoch 8: 3.592137228330147E-4
train epoch 9: 3.591716369926322E-4
train epoch 10: 3.591295644422857E-4
train epoch 11: 3.590875051059947E-4
train epoch 12: 3.590454589079249E-4
train epoch 13: 3.590034257723693E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5896140562375104E-4
train epoch 15: 3.589193983866276E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5887740398568785E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5883542234574334E-4
train epoch 18: 3.587934533917483E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5875149704877826E-4
train epoch 20: 3.587095532420473E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5866762189689456E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5862570293878585E-4
train epoch 23: 3.5858379629332115E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5854190188622833E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5850001964336857E-4
train epoch 26: 3.584581494907257E-4
train epoch 27: 3.584162913544044E-4
train epoch 28: 3.583744451606518E-4
train epoch 29: 3.583326108358352E-4
train epoch 30: 3.582907883064474E-4
train epoch 31: 3.582489774991136E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5820717834059195E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5816539075775154E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5812361467759426E-4
train epoch 35: 3.580818500272497E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5804009673396823E-4
train epoch 37: 3.579983547251329E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5795662392823887E-4
train epoch 39: 3.579149042709201E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5787319568093595E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5783149808616023E-4
train epoch 42: 3.577898114146001E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5774813559438003E-4
train epoch 44: 3.577064705537466E-4
train epoch 45: 3.576648162210635E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5762317252483014E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5758153939367094E-4
train epoch 48: 3.575399167563291E-4
train epoch 49: 3.574983045416511E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5922701141630231
mae:0.7300040282476737
rmse:0.7695908745320614
mape:6.928904791457545
corr:0.97234081971754
theil coefficient:27.24240394948456
net profit:45.37015636184433
buy and hold:-6.837663241145702E-4
mean profit per trade:0.23030536224286463
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20727,4295		+		32155,21		+
1		20735,28731		+		32389,47		+
2		20739,71325		+		31833,73		-
3		20730,28262		-		31732,53		-
4		20728,9634		-		32205,37		+
5		20736,17978		+		32563,26		+
6		20743,42052		+		31042,99		-
7		20723,24517		-		30820,77		-
8		20722,61857		-		30789,2		-
9		20722,57767		-		30707,06		-
10		20722,52735		-		31258,97		+
11		20724,42246		+		31953,99		+
12		20732,00988		+		32325,14		+
13		20738,43249		+		32302,07		-
14		20737,98523		-		33048,99		+
15		20755,69283		+		33379,53		+
16		20765,64947		+		32684,23		-
17		20746,2139		-		32577,09		-
18		20743,73103		-		32979,02		+
19		20753,75172		+		32560,89		-
20		20743,36754		-		32814,31		+
21		20749,41241		+		32615,92		-
22		20744,61505		-		33044,36		+
23		20755,56258		+		33408,62		+
24		20766,58782		+		33914,45		+
25		20784,50596		+		33841,77		-
26		20781,74535		-		34090,39		+
27		20791,44654		+		34113,74		+
28		20792,39507		+		34177,52		+
29		20795,01864		+		34486,01		+
30		20808,38272		+		34517,06		+
31		20809,78964		+		33954		-
32		20786,03436		-		34229,07		+
33		20797,17408		+		34656,83		+
34		20816,26252		+		34473,76		-
35		20807,83075		-		35341,2		+
36		20851,24249		+		35436,38		+
37		20856,53768		+		34985,45		-
38		20832,37961		-		35477,06		+
39		20858,83277		+		35415,91		-
40		20855,39003		-		35599,13		+
41		20865,83423		+		35465,95		-
42		20858,20407		-		35235,93		-
43		20845,50797		-		35713,98		+
44		20872,5782		+		36318,81		+
45		20910,58648		+		36244,96		-
46		20905,72201		-		36238,27		-
47		20905,28441		-		36651,61		+
48		20933,27506		+		36690,84		+
49		20936,03203		+		37064,27		+
50		20963,1417		+		37341,66		+
51		20984,28869		+		37405,4		+
52		20989,26886		+		36616,43		-
53		20930,81748		-		37220		+
54		20974,90836		+		37442,67		+
55		20992,20173		+		37806,83		+
56		21021,66571		+		37986,17		+
57		21036,71168		+		37653,78		-
58		21009,10445		-		37864,77		+
59		21026,48815		+		38368,66		+
60		21069,97264		+		38115,81		-
61		21047,80687		-		38117,31		+
62		21047,9363		+		37812,55		-
63		21022,14015		-		37795,9		-
64		21020,76013		-		37120,78		-
65		20967,38021		-		35873,33		-
66		20882,18613		-		35801,57		-
67		20877,82333		-		35980,06		+
68		20888,78403		+		35563,59		-
69		20863,77806		-		35678,19		+
70		20870,46035		+		36278,29		+
71		20907,90978		+		36940,33		+
72		20953,97067		+		37308,42		+
73		20981,70945		+		37571,76		+
74		21002,47896		+		38213,14		+
75		21056,25705		+		38501,45		+
76		21081,89058		+		38524,92		+
77		21084,01675		+		39739,74		+
78		21202,0684		+		41191,35		+
79		21363,1159		+		40866,67		-
80		21325,25696		-		41116,03		+
81		21354,24061		+		41039,94		-
82		21345,33134		-		40415,4		-
83		21274,38093		-		40502,58		+
84		21284,05012		+		41505,67		+
85		21400,7529		+		42194,73		+
86		21486,594		+		42002,34		-
87		21462,17133		-		42125,61		+
88		21477,77943		+		42951,75		+
89		21586,04379		+		42938,85		-
90		21584,30499		-		42724,09		-
91		21555,5805		-		43376,85		+
92		21644,18207		+		43571,25		+
93		21671,30605		+		42993,27		-
94		21591,65052		-		42621,33		-
95		21541,98554		-		43020,51		+
96		21595,33738		+		42818,62		-
97		21568,1721		-		42158,4		-
98		21481,95536		-		42992,3		+
99		21591,51931		+		42939,38		-
100		21584,37644		-		44230,97		+
101		21765,81318		+		45924,25		+
102		22024,95972		+		44714,51		-
103		21837,43582		-		42928,65		-
104		21582,93119		-		42756,7		-
105		21559,91498		-		42828,64		+
106		21569,51161		+		43542,17		+
107		21667,2274		+		42333,2		-
108		21504,38749		-		40959,96		-
109		21336,02815		-		40059,32		-
110		21235,68878		-		40613,38		+
111		21296,44951		+		40220,55		-
112		21253,04831		-		39180,23		-
113		21145,76145		-		40047,06		+
114		21234,37958		+		40115,67		+
115		21241,72573		+		40702,82		+
116		21306,54855		+		40465,11		-
117		21279,88488		-		40170,35		-
118		21247,61487		-		39875,77		-
119		21216,25031		-		39515,79		-
120		21179,13823		-		40789,03		+
121		21316,3586		+		41914,3		+
122		21451,11213		+		42429,06		+
123		21516,81069		+		43336,22		+
124		21638,55541		+		43169,58		-
125		21615,63235		-		43325,09		+
126		21637,01663		+		44489,37		+
127		21803,84419		+		43633,67		-
128		21680,08609		-		43683,33		+
129		21687,09563		+		43862,73		+
130		21712,59728		+		44641,85		+
131		21826,54865		+		45002,63		+
132		21881,03397		+		45282,32		+
133		21924,00127		+		45698,49		+
134		21989,087		+		45104,65		-
135		21896,63374		-		46335,45		+
136		22091,29642		+		47443,65		+
137		22276,24394		+		47163,5		-
138		22228,66513		-		46930,71		-
139		22189,54779		-		48132,11		+
140		22395,43248		+		48930,72		+
141		22537,5357		+		49088,14		+
142		22566,0118		+		49397,32		+
143		22622,36842		+		50121,05		+
144		22756,42939		+		49699,67		-
145		22678,01715		-		48989,65		-
146		22548,17835		-		49210,68		+
147		22588,28063		+		47715,08		-
148		22322,85612		-		48708,09		+
149		22497,5207		+		48006,84		-
150		22373,511		-		48194,4		+
151		22406,37097		+		47890,75		-
152		22353,28786		-		47955,51		+
153		22364,55821		+		48200,39		+
154		22407,42399		+		47943,58		-
155		22362,47995		-		48625,74		+
156		22482,79667		+		48825,83		+
157		22518,64516		+		49525,55		+
158		22645,90572		+		49776,82		+
159		22692,29991		+		49567,61		-
160		22653,64681		-		49800,83		+
161		22696,7516		+		50621,01		+
162		22850,70517		+		50467,53		-
163		22821,62439		-		50551,02		+
164		22837,42851		+		51837,65		+
165		23085,3296		+		52835,66		+
166		23282,73906		+		53247,94		+
167		23365,44688		+		53520,24		+
168		23420,41491		+		56253,95		+
169		23984,68013		+		56985,69		+
170		24138,67322		+		55060,42		-
171		23735,85484		-		56432,58		+
172		24022,18354		+		57532,02		+
173		24254,20512		+		56592,36		-
174		24055,78011		-		57277,66		+
175		24200,36351		+		58983,91		+
176		24562,8466		+		58940,68		-
177		24553,63338		-		58296,28		-
178		24416,43941		-		57598,15		-
179		24268,21716		-		56988,75		-
180		24139,31908		-		57896,31		+
181		24331,45732		+		57227,66		-
182		24189,78997		-		56376,62		-
183		24010,42833		-		57266,53		+
184		24198,0094		+		56940,58		-
185		24129,15377		-		55865,39		-
186		23903,32174		-		56114,11		+
187		23955,36371		+		57175,59		+
188		24178,78291		+		56096,5		-
189		23951,67497		-		55475		-
190		23821,91078		-		55952,65		+
191		23921,56503		+		58107,95		+
192		24376,40525		+		59333,17		+
193		24637,31223		+		59917,84		+
194		24762,04963		+		59812,92		-
195		24739,6615		-		59080,2		-
196		24583,37118		-		59292,68		+
197		24628,67676		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24628.676760693976
New Prediction 1	20941.360266370095
New Prediction 2	21278.64311297587
New Prediction 3	21241.82154504205
New Prediction 4	21245.78498677646
New Prediction 5	21245.357727082654
New Prediction 6	21245.403759081928
New Prediction 7	21245.398840251146
New Prediction 8	21245.39939709884
New Prediction 9	21245.399304290877
New Prediction 10	21245.399304290877
New Prediction 11	21245.399304290877
New Prediction 12	21245.399304290877
New Prediction 13	21245.399304290877
New Prediction 14	21245.399304290877
New Prediction 15	21245.399304290877
New Prediction 16	21245.399304290877
New Prediction 17	21245.399304290877
New Prediction 18	21245.399304290877
New Prediction 19	21245.399304290877
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,0379		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02134		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04548		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00636		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03481		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03491		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,09731		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00302		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,0002		+			-0,26714		-
10		-0,00024		-		1,78138		+
11		0,00914		+			2,19907		+
12		0,0366		+			1,15482		-
13		0,03097		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00216		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08535		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04796		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09364		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01197		+		1,22623		+
19		0,0483		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,05005		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02914		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02312		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05276		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05311		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08625		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01328		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04667		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00456		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01262		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06425		+			0,09		-
31		0,00676		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11422		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05358		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09174		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,04051		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20841		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02539		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,1159		-			1,3954		+
39		0,1269		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01651		-		0,516		+
41		0,05007		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03657		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,06089		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12978		+			1,67936		+
45		0,18193		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02327		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00209		+		1,13416		+
48		0,1338		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01317		-			1,01263		+
50		0,1294		+			0,74562		-
51		0,10083		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02373		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27887		-		1,63492		+
54		0,21043		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08241		-			0,96788		+
56		0,14026		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07155		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13132		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08271		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20659		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10526		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12263		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00656		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25426		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40714		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02089		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05249		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11978		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03202		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17928		+			1,80844		+
72		0,22006		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13229		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09894		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25573		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12166		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01008		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55835		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75671		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17737		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13582		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04173		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33295		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04544		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54681		+			1,64653		-
86		0,40031		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11373		-		0,29305		+
88		0,0727		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50281		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00806		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13317		-		1,5163		+
92		0,4102		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12524		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36824		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,23028		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24736		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12587		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,40054		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50873		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03309		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83708		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18358		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85506		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,1723		-			-0,40135		+
105		-0,1067		+			0,16811		+
106		0,0445		+			1,65229		+
107		0,452		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75439		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78599		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,47139		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28572		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,204		-			-2,62058		-
113		-0,50609		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41821		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03459		-			1,45303		+
116		0,3047		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12522		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15176		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14772		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17508		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64581		+			2,72139		-
122		0,63017		-			1,22064		-
123		0,3058		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56422		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10599		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09888		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76807		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56921		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03233		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11752		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52344		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24932		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19618		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29643		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42134		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88508		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83371		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21381		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17613		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92357		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63251		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12627		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24943		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59085		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34517		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57418		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17769		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18201		-		2,05976		+
149		0,7794		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55274		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14676		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23719		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05041		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19148		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20078		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53659		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15932		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56354		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20466		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17048		-		0,46941		+
161		0,1901		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67602		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12735		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06923		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07965		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85149		-			0,77728		-
167		0,3546		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23498		-			4,98164		+
169		2,38072		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,68285		-		2,46155		+
172		1,1991		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96123		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82147		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59923		+			2,9354		+
176		1,48673		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03752		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56032		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60891		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53256		+		1,57998		+
181		0,7928		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58394		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74424		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77821		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28496		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94034		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21748		+			1,87398		+
188		0,92833		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94373		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54325		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41746		+			3,77967		+
192		1,88353		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06464		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50502		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09045		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63374		-		0,359		+
197		0,18412		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,21853		+		-16,21853		+
2		1,59777		+			1,59777		+
3		-0,17319		-		-0,17319		-
4		0,01866		+			0,01866		+
5		-0,00201		-		-0,00201		-
6		0,00022		+			0,00022		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29613505708151155

 1.run Duration 	16 seconds 414 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@18f5824 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.002402263495101265
train epoch 1: 3.5959371909439477E-4
train epoch 2: 3.59528094214463E-4
train epoch 3: 3.5946250448247203E-4
train epoch 4: 3.59396949764683E-4
train epoch 5: 3.593314299276978E-4
train epoch 6: 3.5926594483844224E-4
train epoch 7: 3.592004943641827E-4
train epoch 8: 3.591350783725325E-4
train epoch 9: 3.5906969673140684E-4
train epoch 10: 3.5900434930906996E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5893903597411384E-4
train epoch 12: 3.588737565954476E-4
train epoch 13: 3.5880851104232284E-4
train epoch 14: 3.587432991843117E-4
train epoch 15: 3.5867812089130984E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5861297603354095E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5854786448154296E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5848278610618864E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5841774077867173E-4
train epoch 20: 3.583527283704982E-4
train epoch 21: 3.582877487535045E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5822280179984635E-4
train epoch 23: 3.581578873819869E-4
train epoch 24: 3.580930053727217E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5802815564514264E-4
train epoch 26: 3.579633380726765E-4
train epoch 27: 3.578985525290711E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5783379888837077E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5776907702494173E-4
train epoch 30: 3.577043868134607E-4
train epoch 31: 3.576397281289208E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5757510084662023E-4
train epoch 33: 3.575105048421756E-4
train epoch 34: 3.574459399915125E-4
train epoch 35: 3.573814061708411E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5731690325671486E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5725243112596963E-4
train epoch 38: 3.571879896557691E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5712357872357106E-4
train epoch 40: 3.570591982071335E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5699484798452317E-4
train epoch 42: 3.569305279340999E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5686623793454734E-4
train epoch 44: 3.568019778648402E-4
train epoch 45: 3.567377476042474E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5667354703234965E-4
train epoch 47: 3.566093760290113E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5654523447441904E-4
train epoch 49: 3.564811222490342E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.592632292389123
mae:0.7301182596050945
rmse:0.7698261442618866
mape:6.924806951218079
corr:0.9722562922840444
theil coefficient:27.285995998148593
net profit:44.8765209155622
buy and hold:-6.912876579361486E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2277995985561533
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20735,64245		+		32155,21		+
1		20743,47398		+		32389,47		+
2		20747,87434		+		31833,73		-
3		20738,49039		-		31732,53		-
4		20737,17447		-		32205,37		+
5		20744,36168		+		32563,26		+
6		20751,55709		+		31042,99		-
7		20731,43592		-		30820,77		-
8		20730,78688		-		30789,2		-
9		20730,74216		-		30707,06		-
10		20730,68117		-		31258,97		+
11		20732,62759		+		31953,99		+
12		20740,21165		+		32325,14		+
13		20746,60145		+		32302,07		-
14		20746,15687		-		33048,99		+
15		20763,73592		+		33379,53		+
16		20773,60799		+		32684,23		-
17		20754,33063		-		32577,09		-
18		20751,86546		-		32979,02		+
19		20761,81054		+		32560,89		-
20		20751,50448		-		32814,31		+
21		20757,50525		+		32615,92		-
22		20752,74327		-		33044,36		+
23		20763,60674		+		33408,62		+
24		20774,5381		+		33914,45		+
25		20792,29188		+		33841,77		-
26		20789,55731		-		34090,39		+
27		20799,1661		+		34113,74		+
28		20800,10546		+		34177,52		+
29		20802,70357		+		34486,01		+
30		20815,93579		+		34517,06		+
31		20817,32865		+		33954		-
32		20793,80578		-		34229,07		+
33		20804,83799		+		34656,83		+
34		20823,73637		+		34473,76		-
35		20815,38934		-		35341,2		+
36		20858,355		+		35436,38		+
37		20863,5944		+		34985,45		-
38		20839,68869		-		35477,06		+
39		20865,86525		+		35415,91		-
40		20862,45887		-		35599,13		+
41		20872,79247		+		35465,95		-
42		20865,24319		-		35235,93		-
43		20852,6806		-		35713,98		+
44		20879,46461		+		36318,81		+
45		20917,06285		+		36244,96		-
46		20912,25128		-		36238,27		-
47		20911,81844		-		36651,61		+
48		20939,50336		+		36690,84		+
49		20942,23004		+		37064,27		+
50		20969,04062		+		37341,66		+
51		20989,95285		+		37405,4		+
52		20994,87758		+		36616,43		-
53		20937,07275		-		37220		+
54		20980,6768		+		37442,67		+
55		20997,77777		+		37806,83		+
56		21026,91249		+		37986,17		+
57		21041,78974		+		37653,78		-
58		21014,49181		-		37864,77		+
59		21031,6809		+		38368,66		+
60		21074,67655		+		38115,81		-
61		21052,76028		-		38117,31		+
62		21052,88826		+		37812,55		-
63		21027,38162		-		37795,9		-
64		21026,01706		-		37120,78		-
65		20973,23217		-		35873,33		-
66		20888,96966		-		35801,57		-
67		20884,65365		-		35980,06		+
68		20895,49659		+		35563,59		-
69		20870,75814		-		35678,19		+
70		20877,36936		+		36278,29		+
71		20914,41528		+		36940,33		+
72		20959,97103		+		37308,42		+
73		20987,4023		+		37571,76		+
74		21007,94035		+		38213,14		+
75		21061,11542		+		38501,45		+
76		21086,4601		+		38524,92		+
77		21088,56228		+		39739,74		+
78		21205,27688		+		41191,35		+
79		21364,49556		+		40866,67		-
80		21327,06632		-		41116,03		+
81		21355,72097		+		41039,94		-
82		21346,91282		-		40415,4		-
83		21276,76811		-		40502,58		+
84		21286,32746		+		41505,67		+
85		21401,70578		+		42194,73		+
86		21486,57556		+		42002,34		-
87		21462,42891		-		42125,61		+
88		21477,86058		+		42951,75		+
89		21584,90479		+		42938,85		-
90		21583,18553		-		42724,09		-
91		21554,78413		-		43376,85		+
92		21642,39086		+		43571,25		+
93		21669,21137		+		42993,27		-
94		21590,44852		-		42621,33		-
95		21541,34225		-		43020,51		+
96		21594,09397		+		42818,62		-
97		21567,23404		-		42158,4		-
98		21481,98933		-		42992,3		+
99		21590,31879		+		42939,38		-
100		21583,25618		-		44230,97		+
101		21762,66549		+		45924,25		+
102		22018,96407		+		44714,51		-
103		21833,49495		-		42928,65		-
104		21581,82717		-		42756,7		-
105		21559,06982		-		42828,64		+
106		21568,55848		+		43542,17		+
107		21665,17833		+		42333,2		-
108		21504,16815		-		40959,96		-
109		21337,71522		-		40059,32		-
110		21238,51547		-		40613,38		+
111		21298,58601		+		40220,55		-
112		21255,67782		-		39180,23		-
113		21149,60864		-		40047,06		+
114		21237,22115		+		40115,67		+
115		21244,48385		+		40702,82		+
116		21308,57035		+		40465,11		-
117		21282,20954		-		40170,35		-
118		21250,3061		-		39875,77		-
119		21219,29777		-		39515,79		-
120		21182,60696		-		40789,03		+
121		21318,26899		+		41914,3		+
122		21451,49478		+		42429,06		+
123		21516,45118		+		43336,22		+
124		21636,82722		+		43169,58		-
125		21614,16113		-		43325,09		+
126		21635,30569		+		44489,37		+
127		21800,27479		+		43633,67		-
128		21677,8933		-		43683,33		+
129		21684,82455		+		43862,73		+
130		21710,04168		+		44641,85		+
131		21822,72807		+		45002,63		+
132		21876,61247		+		45282,32		+
133		21919,10777		+		45698,49		+
134		21983,48184		+		45104,65		-
135		21892,04068		-		46335,45		+
136		22084,58205		+		47443,65		+
137		22267,55011		+		47163,5		-
138		22220,477		-		46930,71		-
139		22181,77729		-		48132,11		+
140		22385,483		+		48930,72		+
141		22526,11074		+		49088,14		+
142		22554,29408		+		49397,32		+
143		22610,07423		+		50121,05		+
144		22742,77985		+		49699,67		-
145		22665,15761		-		48989,65		-
146		22536,64386		-		49210,68		+
147		22576,33466		+		47715,08		-
148		22313,66931		-		48708,09		+
149		22486,50879		+		48006,84		-
150		22363,79124		-		48194,4		+
151		22396,30706		+		47890,75		-
152		22343,78053		-		47955,51		+
153		22354,93243		+		48200,39		+
154		22397,34907		+		47943,58		-
155		22352,876		-		48625,74		+
156		22471,93723		+		48825,83		+
157		22507,41496		+		49525,55		+
158		22633,37194		+		49776,82		+
159		22679,29589		+		49567,61		-
160		22641,03437		-		49800,83		+
161		22683,7026		+		50621,01		+
162		22836,1163		+		50467,53		-
163		22807,32404		-		50551,02		+
164		22822,97122		+		51837,65		+
165		23068,45425		+		52835,66		+
166		23263,99874		+		53247,94		+
167		23345,94176		+		53520,24		+
168		23400,40703		+		56253,95		+
169		23959,77806		+		56985,69		+
170		24112,524		+		55060,42		-
171		23713,04967		-		56432,58		+
172		23996,97412		+		57532,02		+
173		24227,14641		+		56592,36		-
174		24030,29733		-		57277,66		+
175		24173,72582		+		58983,91		+
176		24533,47203		+		58940,68		-
177		24524,32548		-		58296,28		-
178		24388,1424		-		57598,15		-
179		24241,04969		-		56988,75		-
180		24113,16472		-		57896,31		+
181		24303,80323		+		57227,66		-
182		24163,23555		-		56376,62		-
183		23985,315		-		57266,53		+
184		24171,39023		+		56940,58		-
185		24103,08049		-		55865,39		-
186		23879,09434		-		56114,11		+
187		23930,70351		+		57175,59		+
188		24152,31537		+		56096,5		-
189		23927,0453		-		55475		-
190		23798,3692		-		55952,65		+
191		23897,18542		+		58107,95		+
192		24348,40954		+		59333,17		+
193		24607,40446		+		59917,84		+
194		24731,27163		+		59812,92		-
195		24709,03755		-		59080,2		-
196		24553,84864		-		59292,68		+
197		24598,83031		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24598.830306688236
New Prediction 1	20947.980114324266
New Prediction 2	21277.769004750877
New Prediction 3	21242.255813399846
New Prediction 4	21246.027348531075
New Prediction 5	21245.626245410902
New Prediction 6	21245.66882145228
New Prediction 7	21245.66433486828
New Prediction 8	21245.664792682124
New Prediction 9	21245.664792682124
New Prediction 10	21245.664792682124
New Prediction 11	21245.664792682124
New Prediction 12	21245.664792682124
New Prediction 13	21245.664792682124
New Prediction 14	21245.664792682124
New Prediction 15	21245.664792682124
New Prediction 16	21245.664792682124
New Prediction 17	21245.664792682124
New Prediction 18	21245.664792682124
New Prediction 19	21245.664792682124
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03776		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02121		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04524		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00635		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03465		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03468		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,09701		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00313		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00022		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,00029		-		1,78138		+
11		0,00939		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03657		+			1,15482		-
13		0,0308		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00214		-		2,28597		+
15		0,0847		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04753		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09284		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01188		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04791		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04965		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02891		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02294		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05233		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05263		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08542		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01315		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04621		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00452		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01249		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06359		+			0,09		-
31		0,00669		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11306		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05304		+			1,24195		+
34		0,0908		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,04009		-		2,4851		+
36		0,2062		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02512		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11465		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12553		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01633		-		0,516		+
41		0,04952		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03617		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,06023		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12836		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17991		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02301		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00207		+		1,13416		+
48		0,1323		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01302		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12794		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09968		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02346		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27571		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20805		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08147		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13866		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07073		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12982		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08176		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20422		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10405		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12123		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00649		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25136		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40257		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02066		+		0,49731		+
68		0,0519		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11846		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03167		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17729		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21758		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13079		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09781		-			1,69267		+
75		0,2528		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12027		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00997		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55192		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74804		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17535		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13427		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04125		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32914		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04492		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54057		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39577		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11244		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07188		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49716		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00797		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13168		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40561		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12385		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36414		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,2277		+			0,93221		+
96		0,24459		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12446		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39603		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50301		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03272		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82781		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17082		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84588		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15936		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,1055		+			0,16811		+
106		0,044		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44697		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74595		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77706		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46599		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28244		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20166		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50027		-		2,1883		+
114		0,4134		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03419		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30121		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12379		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15002		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14603		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17306		-		3,17128		+
121		0,6384		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62299		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30235		-			2,11553		+
124		0,5579		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10481		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09778		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75961		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56296		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03197		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11622		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51771		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24661		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19406		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29326		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41682		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87566		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82507		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21162		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17431		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91416		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62624		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12504		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24701		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58522		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34189		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,56862		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17596		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17028		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77161		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54723		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14529		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23481		-		0,13513		+
153		0,0499		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18956		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19876		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53123		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15775		-			1,42292		+
158		0,55806		+			0,50607		-
159		0,2027		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16885		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18828		+			1,63351		+
162		0,66966		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12616		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06858		+			2,51336		+
165		1,06985		+			1,90696		-
166		0,8441		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35161		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23302		-			4,98164		+
169		2,36231		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63549		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,67059		-		2,46155		+
172		1,19022		+			1,9295		-
173		0,9546		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,81583		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59509		+			2,9354		+
176		1,47721		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03729		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55685		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60496		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,52895		+		1,57998		+
181		0,78749		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58006		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,73905		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77279		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28301		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,93363		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21589		+			1,87398		+
188		0,92179		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,93708		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,53924		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41436		+			3,77967		+
192		1,87058		+			2,0866		-
193		1,05809		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50211		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,08994		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63005		-		0,359		+
197		0,18303		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,06567		+		-16,06567		+
2		1,56206		+			1,56206		+
3		-0,16704		-		-0,16704		-
4		0,01775		+			0,01775		+
5		-0,00189		-		-0,00189		-
6		0,0002		+			0,0002		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2963161461945615

 2.run Duration 	16 seconds 555 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@11671b2 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 9.186941015818935E-4
train epoch 1: 3.6152946148237724E-4
train epoch 2: 3.614555670844395E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6138237803832036E-4
train epoch 4: 3.613121270281779E-4
train epoch 5: 3.612525608639372E-4
train epoch 6: 3.612062510817307E-4
train epoch 7: 3.611629697220834E-4
train epoch 8: 3.611197052644097E-4
train epoch 9: 3.610764576197452E-4
train epoch 10: 3.610332266992578E-4
train epoch 11: 3.609900124143051E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6094681467638403E-4
train epoch 13: 3.609036333971589E-4
train epoch 14: 3.608604684884596E-4
train epoch 15: 3.608173198622603E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6077418743070026E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6073107110608373E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6068797080086233E-4
train epoch 19: 3.6064488642763726E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6060181789918994E-4
train epoch 21: 3.605587651284372E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6051572802845924E-4
train epoch 23: 3.604727065124972E-4
train epoch 24: 3.6042970049394253E-4
train epoch 25: 3.603867098863386E-4
train epoch 26: 3.6034373460337726E-4
train epoch 27: 3.6030077455892137E-4
train epoch 28: 3.60257829666967E-4
train epoch 29: 3.6021489984168E-4
train epoch 30: 3.60171984997368E-4
train epoch 31: 3.6012908504850984E-4
train epoch 32: 3.60086199909706E-4
train epoch 33: 3.600433294957248E-4
train epoch 34: 3.600004737214946E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5995763250207307E-4
train epoch 36: 3.59914805752695E-4
train epoch 37: 3.598719933887211E-4
train epoch 38: 3.598291953256747E-4
train epoch 39: 3.597864114792274E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5974364176519805E-4
train epoch 41: 3.597008860995533E-4
train epoch 42: 3.596581443984123E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5961541657802916E-4
train epoch 44: 3.595727025548223E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5953000224535407E-4
train epoch 46: 3.594873155663188E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5944464243457266E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5940198276711267E-4
train epoch 49: 3.593593364810729E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5966309651464728
mae:0.7328275842669646
rmse:0.7724189052233722
mape:6.962661464605585
corr:0.9703967047416765
theil coefficient:27.351897182035227
net profit:44.473790745870225
buy and hold:-6.975475784672637E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22575528297396052
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20676,49363		+		32155,21		+
1		20681,89961		+		32389,47		+
2		20685,30255		+		31833,73		-
3		20678,31136		-		31732,53		-
4		20677,44097		-		32205,37		+
5		20682,57236		+		32563,26		+
6		20688,25602		+		31042,99		-
7		20674,81675		-		30820,77		-
8		20675,20005		+		30789,2		-
9		20675,3031		+		30707,06		-
10		20675,62789		+		31258,97		+
11		20675,01835		-		31953,99		+
12		20679,50707		+		32325,14		+
13		20684,30193		+		32302,07		-
14		20683,95528		-		33048,99		+
15		20698,44539		+		33379,53		+
16		20707,00536		+		32684,23		-
17		20690,52733		-		32577,09		-
18		20688,50674		-		32979,02		+
19		20696,80212		+		32560,89		-
20		20688,21329		-		32814,31		+
21		20693,16689		+		32615,92		-
22		20689,22302		-		33044,36		+
23		20698,33483		+		33408,62		+
24		20707,82163		+		33914,45		+
25		20723,63875		+		33841,77		-
26		20721,17744		-		34090,39		+
27		20729,85848		+		34113,74		+
28		20730,71173		+		34177,52		+
29		20733,07553		+		34486,01		+
30		20745,19303		+		34517,06		+
31		20746,4754		+		33954		-
32		20725,00466		-		34229,07		+
33		20735,02153		+		34656,83		+
34		20752,3897		+		34473,76		-
35		20744,69025		-		35341,2		+
36		20784,6853		+		35436,38		+
37		20789,61396		+		34985,45		-
38		20767,2072		-		35477,06		+
39		20791,75292		+		35415,91		-
40		20788,545		-		35599,13		+
41		20798,28772		+		35465,95		-
42		20791,16683		-		35235,93		-
43		20779,35812		-		35713,98		+
44		20804,59522		+		36318,81		+
45		20840,3468		+		36244,96		-
46		20835,75405		-		36238,27		-
47		20835,34112		-		36651,61		+
48		20861,82435		+		36690,84		+
49		20864,44003		+		37064,27		+
50		20890,2204		+		37341,66		+
51		20910,39853		+		37405,4		+
52		20915,15834		+		36616,43		-
53		20859,49374		-		37220		+
54		20901,44117		+		37442,67		+
55		20917,96275		+		37806,83		+
56		20946,18702		+		37986,17		+
57		20960,63286		+		37653,78		-
58		20934,14338		-		37864,77		+
59		20950,81482		+		38368,66		+
60		20992,63706		+		38115,81		-
61		20971,29852		-		38117,31		+
62		20971,42301		+		37812,55		-
63		20946,64222		-		37795,9		-
64		20945,31824		-		37120,78		-
65		20894,26024		-		35873,33		-
66		20813,60171		-		35801,57		-
67		20809,50916		-		35980,06		+
68		20819,79952		+		35563,59		-
69		20796,36713		-		35678,19		+
70		20802,61312		+		36278,29		+
71		20837,81905		+		36940,33		+
72		20881,48741		+		37308,42		+
73		20907,93455		+		37571,76		+
74		20927,79732		+		38213,14		+
75		20979,42863		+		38501,45		+
76		21004,12615		+		38524,92		+
77		21006,17693		+		39739,74		+
78		21120,49445		+		41191,35		+
79		21277,52647		+		40866,67		-
80		21240,52246		-		41116,03		+
81		21268,84726		+		41039,94		-
82		21260,13746		-		40415,4		-
83		21190,8763		-		40502,58		+
84		21200,30414		+		41505,67		+
85		21314,35989		+		42194,73		+
86		21398,52307		+		42002,34		-
87		21374,55726		-		42125,61		+
88		21389,8716		+		42951,75		+
89		21496,26345		+		42938,85		-
90		21494,55259		-		42724,09		-
91		21466,29938		-		43376,85		+
92		21553,50395		+		43571,25		+
93		21580,23235		+		42993,27		-
94		21501,78052		-		42621,33		-
95		21452,93395		-		43020,51		+
96		21505,40878		+		42818,62		-
97		21478,68214		-		42158,4		-
98		21393,97001		-		42992,3		+
99		21501,6514		+		42939,38		-
100		21494,6229		-		44230,97		+
101		21673,46743		+		45924,25		+
102		21929,84963		+		44714,51		-
103		21744,22704		-		42928,65		-
104		21493,20092		-		42756,7		-
105		21470,56157		-		42828,64		+
106		21479,99964		+		43542,17		+
107		21576,21228		+		42333,2		-
108		21415,99335		-		40959,96		-
109		21251,04543		-		40059,32		-
110		21153,18839		-		40613,38		+
111		21212,39939		+		40220,55		-
112		21170,08954		-		39180,23		-
113		21065,86596		-		40047,06		+
114		21151,9143		+		40115,67		+
115		21159,06445		+		40702,82		+
116		21222,25503		+		40465,11		-
117		21196,24241		-		40170,35		-
118		21164,79817		-		39875,77		-
119		21134,27914		-		39515,79		-
120		21098,22753		-		40789,03		+
121		21231,83226		+		41914,3		+
122		21363,71013		+		42429,06		+
123		21428,19555		+		43336,22		+
124		21547,96115		+		43169,58		-
125		21525,38636		-		43325,09		+
126		21546,44542		+		44489,37		+
127		21711,02993		+		43633,67		-
128		21588,88737		-		43683,33		+
129		21595,79815		+		43862,73		+
130		21620,94813		+		44641,85		+
131		21733,4658		+		45002,63		+
132		21787,33891		+		45282,32		+
133		21829,85416		+		45698,49		+
134		21894,30374		+		45104,65		-
135		21802,7715		-		46335,45		+
136		21995,62405		+		47443,65		+
137		22179,26791		+		47163,5		-
138		22131,98956		-		46930,71		-
139		22093,13685		-		48132,11		+
140		22297,80133		+		48930,72		+
141		22439,29189		+		49088,14		+
142		22467,66575		+		49397,32		+
143		22523,83922		+		50121,05		+
144		22657,56221		+		49699,67		-
145		22579,33135		-		48989,65		-
146		22449,89556		-		49210,68		+
147		22489,8592		+		47715,08		-
148		22225,6077		-		48708,09		+
149		22399,43187		+		48006,84		-
150		22275,99027		-		48194,4		+
151		22308,68636		+		47890,75		-
152		22255,87295		-		47955,51		+
153		22267,08385		+		48200,39		+
154		22309,73429		+		47943,58		-
155		22265,01646		-		48625,74		+
156		22384,76825		+		48825,83		+
157		22420,47285		+		49525,55		+
158		22547,30739		+		49776,82		+
159		22593,57769		+		49567,61		-
160		22555,02667		-		49800,83		+
161		22598,01835		+		50621,01		+
162		22751,67804		+		50467,53		-
163		22722,64002		-		50551,02		+
164		22738,42019		+		51837,65		+
165		22986,15947		+		52835,66		+
166		23183,7058		+		53247,94		+
167		23266,5352		+		53520,24		+
168		23321,60398		+		56253,95		+
169		23887,74148		+		56985,69		+
170		24042,48651		+		55060,42		-
171		23637,91123		-		56432,58		+
172		23925,41916		+		57532,02		+
173		24158,64418		+		56592,36		-
174		23959,17673		-		57277,66		+
175		24104,50451		+		58983,91		+
176		24469,20171		+		58940,68		-
177		24459,92634		-		58296,28		-
178		24321,84248		-		57598,15		-
179		24172,7356		-		56988,75		-
180		24043,13573		-		57896,31		+
181		24236,34323		+		57227,66		-
182		24093,87376		-		56376,62		-
183		23913,6087		-		57266,53		+
184		24102,13763		+		56940,58		-
185		24032,91782		-		55865,39		-
186		23806,02518		-		56114,11		+
187		23858,2929		+		57175,59		+
188		24082,80759		+		56096,5		-
189		23854,58778		-		55475		-
190		23724,28431		-		55952,65		+
191		23824,34631		+		58107,95		+
192		24281,56139		+		59333,17		+
193		24544,18037		+		59917,84		+
194		24669,81938		+		59812,92		-
195		24647,2656		-		59080,2		-
196		24489,86578		-		59292,68		+
197		24535,48443		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24535.484432816993
New Prediction 1	20930.94490840976
New Prediction 2	21280.500020283063
New Prediction 3	21240.614940148607
New Prediction 4	21245.10336689472
New Prediction 5	21244.59747162082
New Prediction 6	21244.654426767956
New Prediction 7	21244.64802282284
New Prediction 8	21244.648799056864
New Prediction 9	21244.64870202759
New Prediction 10	21244.64870202759
New Prediction 11	21244.64870202759
New Prediction 12	21244.64870202759
New Prediction 13	21244.64870202759
New Prediction 14	21244.64870202759
New Prediction 15	21244.64870202759
New Prediction 16	21244.64870202759
New Prediction 17	21244.64870202759
New Prediction 18	21244.64870202759
New Prediction 19	21244.64870202759
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02614		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01645		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,0338		-			-0,31841		+
4		-0,00421		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02481		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02748		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,06498		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00185		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,0005		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00157		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00295		-		2,19907		+
12		0,02171		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02318		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00168		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07003		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04135		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,07961		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00977		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04009		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04151		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02394		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01906		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04403		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04582		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07635		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01188		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04189		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00412		-			0,18679		+
29		0,0114		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05843		+			0,09		-
31		0,00618		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10354		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04832		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08373		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03711		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19261		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02371		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10784		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11812		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01543		-		0,516		+
41		0,04685		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03424		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05681		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12138		+			1,67936		+
45		0,1717		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02204		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00198		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12703		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01254		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12349		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09654		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02276		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,2665		-			1,63492		+
54		0,20089		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07901		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13484		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06894		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12646		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07961		+			1,32199		+
60		0,19942		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,1017		-			0,00394		+
62		0,00059		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11823		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00632		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24407		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,38678		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01966		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04944		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11261		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03003		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16909		+			1,80844		+
72		0,20934		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12657		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09496		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24641		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11765		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00976		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54273		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74076		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17406		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13326		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04096		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32631		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04448		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53655		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39409		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11206		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07162		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49616		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00796		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13153		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40542		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12393		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,3642		-			-0,86888		+
95		-0,22743		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24431		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12436		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39518		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50206		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03269		-		2,96359		+
101		0,8286		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17599		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85004		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16116		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10539		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04395		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44692		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74534		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77319		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46154		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27952		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19966		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49353		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40764		+			0,17118		-
115		0,0338		-			1,45303		+
116		0,2982		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12265		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14846		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,1443		+			-0,90685		-
120		-0,17073		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63125		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61921		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30139		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55736		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10482		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09779		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76096		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56417		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03201		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11639		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51906		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24757		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19495		-			0,91486		+
134		0,2948		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41894		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88064		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83144		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21339		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,1757		+			2,52773		+
140		0,92211		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63254		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12637		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24971		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59194		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34587		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,5749		-			0,45016		+
147		0,17785		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18194		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77905		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55262		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14667		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23702		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05036		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19136		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20064		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53641		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15938		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56411		+			0,50607		-
159		0,205		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17077		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19043		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67767		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12771		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06942		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08363		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85574		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35664		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23641		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39853		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64571		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69707		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20896		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97008		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82908		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60473		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50165		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03791		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56613		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61494		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53758		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80038		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58957		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75099		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78528		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28761		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94858		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21932		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93663		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95216		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54774		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42088		+			3,77967		+
192		1,90093		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07575		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51058		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09146		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64066		-		0,359		+
197		0,1861		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,88917		+		-15,88917		+
2		1,65625		+			1,65625		+
3		-0,1876		-			-0,1876		-
4		0,02113		+			0,02113		+
5		-0,00238		-		-0,00238		-
6		0,00027		+			0,00027		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2983154825732364

 3.run Duration 	16 seconds 304 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@82764b ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.002976432358308418
train epoch 1: 3.5923948271305087E-4
train epoch 2: 3.591694443320067E-4
train epoch 3: 3.590994458015821E-4
train epoch 4: 3.590294877548755E-4
train epoch 5: 3.589595727493729E-4
train epoch 6: 3.5888970153717794E-4
train epoch 7: 3.5881987040478353E-4
train epoch 8: 3.587500781570233E-4
train epoch 9: 3.586803246498631E-4
train epoch 10: 3.5861060973961436E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5854093328299133E-4
train epoch 12: 3.5847129513706547E-4
train epoch 13: 3.5840169515929157E-4
train epoch 14: 3.58332133207492E-4
train epoch 15: 3.5826260913986364E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5819312281496385E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5812367409173313E-4
train epoch 18: 3.580542628294779E-4
train epoch 19: 3.579848888878552E-4
train epoch 20: 3.579155521269087E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5784625240703385E-4
train epoch 22: 3.57776989589002E-4
train epoch 23: 3.5770776353393304E-4
train epoch 24: 3.576385741033123E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5756942115901876E-4
train epoch 26: 3.5750030456324015E-4
train epoch 27: 3.574312241785465E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5736217986787874E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5729317149451787E-4
train epoch 30: 3.57224198922111E-4
train epoch 31: 3.571552620146535E-4
train epoch 32: 3.570863606364978E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5701749465236E-4
train epoch 34: 3.569486639272946E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5687986832671153E-4
train epoch 36: 3.568111077163743E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5674238196239884E-4
train epoch 38: 3.566736909312411E-4
train epoch 39: 3.566050344897196E-4
train epoch 40: 3.565364125049858E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5646782484455183E-4
train epoch 42: 3.5639927137625694E-4
train epoch 43: 3.563307519682919E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5626226648920715E-4
train epoch 45: 3.561938148078748E-4
train epoch 46: 3.561253967935095E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5605701231568705E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5598866124429403E-4
train epoch 49: 3.559203434495866E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5917844763601695
mae:0.7295480786796814
rmse:0.7692752929609591
mape:6.9170805274254255
corr:0.9726393019487308
theil coefficient:27.27031600848834
net profit:44.9821556840214
buy and hold:-6.896642583774937E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22833581565493097
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20747,63894		+		32155,21		+
1		20755,9777		+		32389,47		+
2		20760,58727		+		31833,73		-
3		20750,70207		-		31732,53		-
4		20749,29305		-		32205,37		+
5		20756,91046		+		32563,26		+
6		20764,42323		+		31042,99		-
7		20742,9055		-		30820,77		-
8		20742,042		-		30789,2		-
9		20741,96661		-		30707,06		-
10		20741,82558		-		31258,97		+
11		20744,30316		+		31953,99		+
12		20752,53324		+		32325,14		+
13		20759,25724		+		32302,07		-
14		20758,7921		-		33048,99		+
15		20777,02113		+		33379,53		+
16		20787,17055		+		32684,23		-
17		20767,3024		-		32577,09		-
18		20764,74371		-		32979,02		+
19		20775,03622		+		32560,89		-
20		20764,36854		-		32814,31		+
21		20770,58968		+		32615,92		-
22		20765,6555		-		33044,36		+
23		20776,88801		+		33408,62		+
24		20788,12476		+		33914,45		+
25		20806,28958		+		33841,77		-
26		20803,4969		-		34090,39		+
27		20813,30316		+		34113,74		+
28		20814,26088		+		34177,52		+
29		20816,90896		+		34486,01		+
30		20830,37934		+		34517,06		+
31		20831,79584		+		33954		-
32		20807,83497		-		34229,07		+
33		20819,08358		+		34656,83		+
34		20838,30927		+		34473,76		-
35		20829,82354		-		35341,2		+
36		20873,42786		+		35436,38		+
37		20878,73446		+		34985,45		-
38		20854,50534		-		35477,06		+
39		20881,03385		+		35415,91		-
40		20877,58452		-		35599,13		+
41		20888,04609		+		35465,95		-
42		20880,404		-		35235,93		-
43		20867,67848		-		35713,98		+
44		20894,79734		+		36318,81		+
45		20932,7982		+		36244,96		-
46		20927,93874		-		36238,27		-
47		20927,50154		-		36651,61		+
48		20955,45009		+		36690,84		+
49		20958,20122		+		37064,27		+
50		20985,23938		+		37341,66		+
51		21006,31468		+		37405,4		+
52		21011,27616		+		36616,43		-
53		20952,99748		-		37220		+
54		20996,96773		+		37442,67		+
55		21014,19771		+		37806,83		+
56		21043,53629		+		37986,17		+
57		21058,51067		+		37653,78		-
58		21031,03102		-		37864,77		+
59		21048,33631		+		38368,66		+
60		21091,59742		+		38115,81		-
61		21069,55008		-		38117,31		+
62		21069,67885		+		37812,55		-
63		21044,00855		-		37795,9		-
64		21042,63487		-		37120,78		-
65		20989,46456		-		35873,33		-
66		20904,41076		-		35801,57		-
67		20900,04615		-		35980,06		+
68		20911,00936		+		35563,59		-
69		20885,9871		-		35678,19		+
70		20892,67752		+		36278,29		+
71		20930,12439		+		36940,33		+
72		20976,09528		+		37308,42		+
73		21003,74486		+		37571,76		+
74		21024,43357		+		38213,14		+
75		21077,95618		+		38501,45		+
76		21103,44808		+		38524,92		+
77		21105,562		+		39739,74		+
78		21222,83315		+		41191,35		+
79		21382,5852		+		40866,67		-
80		21345,04911		-		41116,03		+
81		21373,78647		+		41039,94		-
82		21364,95352		-		40415,4		-
83		21294,59048		-		40502,58		+
84		21304,18191		+		41505,67		+
85		21419,89204		+		42194,73		+
86		21504,95021		+		42002,34		-
87		21480,75418		-		42125,61		+
88		21496,21778		+		42951,75		+
89		21603,44955		+		42938,85		-
90		21601,72771		-		42724,09		-
91		21573,28177		-		43376,85		+
92		21661,01437		+		43571,25		+
93		21687,8669		+		42993,27		-
94		21609,00151		-		42621,33		-
95		21559,81749		-		43020,51		+
96		21612,65228		+		42818,62		-
97		21585,75167		-		42158,4		-
98		21500,35484		-		42992,3		+
99		21608,87158		+		42939,38		-
100		21601,79847		-		44230,97		+
101		21781,41112		+		45924,25		+
102		22037,81234		+		44714,51		-
103		21852,2886		-		42928,65		-
104		21600,36731		-		42756,7		-
105		21577,57443		-		42828,64		+
106		21587,07819		+		43542,17		+
107		21683,82922		+		42333,2		-
108		21522,57679		-		40959,96		-
109		21355,72945		-		40059,32		-
110		21256,20148		-		40613,38		+
111		21316,48047		+		40220,55		-
112		21273,42665		-		39180,23		-
113		21166,92102		-		40047,06		+
114		21254,90231		+		40115,67		+
115		21262,19202		+		40702,82		+
116		21326,4965		+		40465,11		-
117		21300,05026		-		40170,35		-
118		21268,03556		-		39875,77		-
119		21236,91012		-		39515,79		-
120		21200,06817		-		40789,03		+
121		21336,22518		+		41914,3		+
122		21469,79663		+		42429,06		+
123		21534,88259		+		43336,22		+
124		21655,44372		+		43169,58		-
125		21632,74775		-		43325,09		+
126		21653,92025		+		44489,37		+
127		21819,04796		+		43633,67		-
128		21696,55857		-		43683,33		+
129		21703,49739		+		43862,73		+
130		21728,74053		+		44641,85		+
131		21841,51547		+		45002,63		+
132		21895,42757		+		45282,32		+
133		21937,93861		+		45698,49		+
134		22002,32693		+		45104,65		-
135		21910,86209		-		46335,45		+
136		22103,42799		+		47443,65		+
137		22286,33854		+		47163,5		-
138		22239,28692		-		46930,71		-
139		22200,60152		-		48132,11		+
140		22404,19909		+		48930,72		+
141		22544,70905		+		49088,14		+
142		22572,86498		+		49397,32		+
143		22628,58739		+		50121,05		+
144		22761,13793		+		49699,67		-
145		22683,60933		-		48989,65		-
146		22555,23206		-		49210,68		+
147		22594,88329		+		47715,08		-
148		22332,43251		-		48708,09		+
149		22505,14352		+		48006,84		-
150		22382,52253		-		48194,4		+
151		22415,01526		+		47890,75		-
152		22362,5251		-		47955,51		+
153		22373,66969		+		48200,39		+
154		22416,0565		+		47943,58		-
155		22371,61463		-		48625,74		+
156		22490,58473		+		48825,83		+
157		22526,03076		+		49525,55		+
158		22651,85964		+		49776,82		+
159		22697,73116		+		49567,61		-
160		22659,51353		-		49800,83		+
161		22702,13269		+		50621,01		+
162		22854,35139		+		50467,53		-
163		22825,59823		-		50551,02		+
164		22841,22429		+		51837,65		+
165		23086,3386		+		52835,66		+
166		23281,54415		+		53247,94		+
167		23363,33452		+		53520,24		+
168		23417,6951		+		56253,95		+
169		23975,86109		+		56985,69		+
170		24128,24265		+		55060,42		-
171		23729,69128		-		56432,58		+
172		24012,96966		+		57532,02		+
173		24242,58319		+		56592,36		-
174		24046,21379		-		57277,66		+
175		24189,29483		+		58983,91		+
176		24548,12383		+		58940,68		-
177		24539,00134		-		58296,28		-
178		24403,17206		-		57598,15		-
179		24256,45182		-		56988,75		-
180		24128,88181		-		57896,31		+
181		24319,04775		+		57227,66		-
182		24178,83035		-		56376,62		-
183		24001,33805		-		57266,53		+
184		24186,96499		+		56940,58		-
185		24118,82205		-		55865,39		-
186		23895,3643		-		56114,11		+
187		23946,85436		+		57175,59		+
188		24167,93696		+		56096,5		-
189		23943,20465		-		55475		-
190		23814,82211		-		55952,65		+
191		23913,41381		+		58107,95		+
192		24363,54084		+		59333,17		+
193		24621,86054		+		59917,84		+
194		24745,39486		+		59812,92		-
195		24723,22097		-		59080,2		-
196		24568,44672		-		59292,68		+
197		24613,3092		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24613.30919732465
New Prediction 1	20951.36015636105
New Prediction 2	21277.25262076632
New Prediction 3	21242.57516575026
New Prediction 4	21246.214202993804
New Prediction 5	21245.831802420886
New Prediction 6	21245.871972622237
New Prediction 7	21245.867720301292
New Prediction 8	21245.868172675087
New Prediction 9	21245.8680822003
New Prediction 10	21245.868172675087
New Prediction 11	21245.8680822003
New Prediction 12	21245.868172675087
New Prediction 13	21245.8680822003
New Prediction 14	21245.868172675087
New Prediction 15	21245.8680822003
New Prediction 16	21245.868172675087
New Prediction 17	21245.8680822003
New Prediction 18	21245.868172675087
New Prediction 19	21245.8680822003
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,04018		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02221		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04763		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00679		+		1,47909		+
5		0,0367		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03619		-			-4,78116		-
7		-0,10368		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00416		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00036		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,00068		-		1,78138		+
11		0,01194		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03967		+			1,15482		-
13		0,0324		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00224		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08777		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04884		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09562		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01232		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04955		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,05136		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02996		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02376		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05408		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05407		-			1,50272		+
25		0,08734		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01342		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04713		+			0,06847		-
28		0,0046		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01272		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06469		+			0,09		-
31		0,0068		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11509		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05404		+			1,24195		+
34		0,0923		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,04073		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20912		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02542		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11611		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12713		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01652		-		0,516		+
41		0,0501		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03659		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,06096		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12987		+			1,67936		+
45		0,1817		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02322		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00209		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13346		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01313		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12893		+			0,74562		-
51		0,10038		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02362		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27775		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20963		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08203		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13952		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07113		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13058		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08225		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20532		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10459		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12191		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00653		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,253		-			-3,41828		-
66		-0,40604		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02088		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05244		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11973		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03203		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17907		+			1,80844		+
72		0,2194		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13173		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09845		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25425		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12087		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01002		-			3,10464		+
78		0,5541		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74992		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,1757		-			0,60833		+
81		0,13454		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04133		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32988		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04503		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54166		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39631		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11258		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07196		+			1,94215		+
89		0,4976		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00797		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13177		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40585		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12389		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,3643		-			-0,86888		+
95		-0,22787		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24476		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12454		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,3964		-			1,95871		+
99		0,50345		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03274		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82803		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17028		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84541		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15953		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10558		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04403		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44719		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74643		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77824		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46714		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28318		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20218		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50191		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41479		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03429		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30198		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12408		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15042		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14646		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17363		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64019		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62408		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30269		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55828		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10486		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09782		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75968		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56297		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03198		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11624		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51767		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24653		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19397		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29307		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41657		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87502		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82412		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21135		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,1741		+			2,52773		+
140		0,9129		+			1,64559		-
141		0,6252		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12481		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24655		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58406		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,3412		-			-1,43892		-
146		-0,56755		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17564		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,16835		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77039		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54635		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14506		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23445		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04982		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18927		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19846		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53038		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15748		-			1,42292		+
158		0,55704		+			0,50607		-
159		0,2023		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16852		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18791		+			1,63351		+
162		0,66827		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12589		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06844		+			2,51336		+
165		1,06741		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84199		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35069		-			0,51008		-
168		0,2324		-			4,98164		+
169		2,35556		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63355		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,6656		-			2,46155		+
172		1,1867		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95166		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,81332		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59326		+			2,9354		+
176		1,47253		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03717		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55506		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60305		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,52731		+		1,57998		+
181		0,78504		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,57824		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,73679		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77043		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28213		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,93081		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21525		+			1,87398		+
188		0,91899		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,93423		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,53764		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41314		+			3,77967		+
192		1,86482		+			2,0866		-
193		1,05469		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50047		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,08965		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,628		-			0,359		+
197		0,18244		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,10838		+		-16,10838		+
2		1,5435		+			1,5435		+
3		-0,16311		-		-0,16311		-
4		0,01713		+			0,01713		+
5		-0,0018		-			-0,0018		-
6		0,00019		+			0,00019		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		-0		-			-0		-
12		0		+			0		+
13		-0		-			-0		-
14		0		+			0		+
15		-0		-			-0		-
16		0		+			0		+
17		-0		-			-0		-
18		0		+			0		+
19		-0		-			-0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29589223818008475

 4.run Duration 	16 seconds 163 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@12452e8 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0013964362783741502
train epoch 1: 3.600725129612354E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6000578060377183E-4
train epoch 3: 3.5993908520710855E-4
train epoch 4: 3.598724266278161E-4
train epoch 5: 3.5980580472351085E-4
train epoch 6: 3.597392193515386E-4
train epoch 7: 3.5967267036805437E-4
train epoch 8: 3.5960615763043746E-4
train epoch 9: 3.595396809968064E-4
train epoch 10: 3.594732403256255E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5940683547571546E-4
train epoch 12: 3.593404663062636E-4
train epoch 13: 3.592741326767858E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5920783444718415E-4
train epoch 15: 3.5914157147769454E-4
train epoch 16: 3.590753436288988E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5900915076174063E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5894299273751037E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5887686941784604E-4
train epoch 20: 3.5881078066473857E-4
train epoch 21: 3.587447263405111E-4
train epoch 22: 3.586787063078354E-4
train epoch 23: 3.586127204297441E-4
train epoch 24: 3.585467685695887E-4
train epoch 25: 3.584808505910892E-4
train epoch 26: 3.5841496635828754E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5834911573556826E-4
train epoch 28: 3.582832985876738E-4
train epoch 29: 3.582175147796688E-4
train epoch 30: 3.581517641769537E-4
train epoch 31: 3.580860466452827E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5802036205072194E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5795471025970463E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5788909113896916E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5782350455558926E-4
train epoch 36: 3.577579503769942E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5769242847093316E-4
train epoch 38: 3.576269387054793E-4
train epoch 39: 3.575614809490337E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5749605507034044E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5743066093846953E-4
train epoch 42: 3.573652984228111E-4
train epoch 43: 3.572999673930763E-4
train epoch 44: 3.57234667719324E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5716939927191025E-4
train epoch 46: 3.571041619215338E-4
train epoch 47: 3.570389555392145E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5697377999628806E-4
train epoch 49: 3.56908635164415E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5934029469767328
mae:0.7306304281853039
rmse:0.7703265197153301
mape:6.931496144465827
corr:0.9719086962950325
theil coefficient:27.30184795055556
net profit:44.761049859191615
buy and hold:-6.93070987781381E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22721345106188637
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20725,33913		+		32155,21		+
1		20732,71814		+		32389,47		+
2		20736,93121		+		31833,73		-
3		20727,99536		-		31732,53		-
4		20726,76244		-		32205,37		+
5		20733,56554		+		32563,26		+
6		20740,47655		+		31042,99		-
7		20721,60048		-		30820,77		-
8		20721,14128		-		30789,2		-
9		20721,12369		-		30707,06		-
10		20721,13346		+		31258,97		+
11		20722,6095		+		31953,99		+
12		20729,61855		+		32325,14		+
13		20735,70952		+		32302,07		-
14		20735,28334		-		33048,99		+
15		20752,27833		+		33379,53		+
16		20761,89985		+		32684,23		-
17		20743,15521		-		32577,09		-
18		20740,77403		-		32979,02		+
19		20750,40662		+		32560,89		-
20		20740,4258		-		32814,31		+
21		20746,22853		+		32615,92		-
22		20741,62135		-		33044,36		+
23		20752,15269		+		33408,62		+
24		20762,80814		+		33914,45		+
25		20780,18889		+		33841,77		-
26		20777,50719		-		34090,39		+
27		20786,93615		+		34113,74		+
28		20787,85877		+		34177,52		+
29		20790,41129		+		34486,01		+
30		20803,42574		+		34517,06		+
31		20804,79693		+		33954		-
32		20781,67411		-		34229,07		+
33		20792,509		+		34656,83		+
34		20811,10771		+		34473,76		-
35		20802,88785		-		35341,2		+
36		20845,26543		+		35436,38		+
37		20850,44257		+		34985,45		-
38		20826,83583		-		35477,06		+
39		20852,68694		+		35415,91		-
40		20849,32038		-		35599,13		+
41		20859,53522		+		35465,95		-
42		20852,0721		-		35235,93		-
43		20839,66042		-		35713,98		+
44		20866,13377		+		36318,81		+
45		20903,35558		+		36244,96		-
46		20898,58897		-		36238,27		-
47		20898,16021		-		36651,61		+
48		20925,59698		+		36690,84		+
49		20928,30057		+		37064,27		+
50		20954,89539		+		37341,66		+
51		20975,6521		+		37405,4		+
52		20980,54167		+		36616,43		-
53		20923,18714		-		37220		+
54		20966,44375		+		37442,67		+
55		20983,42139		+		37806,83		+
56		21012,36012		+		37986,17		+
57		21027,14345		+		37653,78		-
58		21000,02095		-		37864,77		+
59		21017,09799		+		38368,66		+
60		21059,83575		+		38115,81		-
61		21038,04718		-		38117,31		+
62		21038,17439		+		37812,55		-
63		21012,82622		-		37795,9		-
64		21011,47046		-		37120,78		-
65		20959,05492		-		35873,33		-
66		20875,53784		-		35801,57		-
67		20871,26715		-		35980,06		+
68		20881,99785		+		35563,59		-
69		20857,5238		-		35678,19		+
70		20864,06138		+		36278,29		+
71		20900,73263		+		36940,33		+
72		20945,8966		+		37308,42		+
73		20973,11997		+		37571,76		+
74		20993,51369		+		38213,14		+
75		21046,35275		+		38501,45		+
76		21071,55363		+		38524,92		+
77		21073,6443		+		39739,74		+
78		21189,80438		+		41191,35		+
79		21348,46734		+		40866,67		-
80		21311,15223		-		41116,03		+
81		21339,71871		+		41039,94		-
82		21330,93709		-		40415,4		-
83		21261,02239		-		40502,58		+
84		21270,54833		+		41505,67		+
85		21385,57267		+		42194,73		+
86		21470,23173		+		42002,34		-
87		21446,14125		-		42125,61		+
88		21461,5367		+		42951,75		+
89		21568,3599		+		42938,85		-
90		21566,64379		-		42724,09		-
91		21538,29635		-		43376,85		+
92		21625,74698		+		43571,25		+
93		21652,52555		+		42993,27		-
94		21573,89352		-		42621,33		-
95		21524,88121		-		43020,51		+
96		21577,53239		+		42818,62		-
97		21550,7222		-		42158,4		-
98		21465,65595		-		42992,3		+
99		21573,76402		+		42939,38		-
100		21566,71432		-		44230,97		+
101		21745,8528		+		45924,25		+
102		22001,93375		+		44714,51		-
103		21816,60435		-		42928,65		-
104		21565,28794		-		42756,7		-
105		21542,5737		-		42828,64		+
106		21552,04412		+		43542,17		+
107		21648,49864		+		42333,2		-
108		21487,78516		-		40959,96		-
109		21321,76774		-		40059,32		-
110		21222,91059		-		40613,38		+
111		21282,76503		+		40220,55		-
112		21240,0083		-		39180,23		-
113		21134,38147		-		40047,06		+
114		21221,62124		+		40115,67		+
115		21228,85622		+		40702,82		+
116		21292,71609		+		40465,11		-
117		21266,44472		-		40170,35		-
118		21234,65655		-		39875,77		-
119		21203,76823		-		39515,79		-
120		21167,23059		-		40789,03		+
121		21302,38307		+		41914,3		+
122		21435,23352		+		42429,06		+
123		21500,04171		+		43336,22		+
124		21620,19237		+		43169,58		-
125		21597,56427		-		43325,09		+
126		21618,67332		+		44489,37		+
127		21783,41888		+		43633,67		-
128		21661,19444		-		43683,33		+
129		21668,11549		+		43862,73		+
130		21693,29686		+		44641,85		+
131		21805,84837		+		45002,63		+
132		21859,68148		+		45282,32		+
133		21902,14184		+		45698,49		+
134		21966,47167		+		45104,65		-
135		21875,09645		-		46335,45		+
136		22067,52195		+		47443,65		+
137		22250,45344		+		47163,5		-
138		22203,38362		-		46930,71		-
139		22164,68969		-		48132,11		+
140		22368,39504		+		48930,72		+
141		22509,0622		+		49088,14		+
142		22537,25695		+		49397,32		+
143		22593,06294		+		50121,05		+
144		22725,84652		+		49699,67		-
145		22648,17593		-		48989,65		-
146		22519,59945		-		49210,68		+
147		22559,30723		+		47715,08		-
148		22296,57324		-		48708,09		+
149		22469,44615		+		48006,84		-
150		22346,69994		-		48194,4		+
151		22379,22106		+		47890,75		-
152		22326,68682		-		47955,51		+
153		22337,83998		+		48200,39		+
154		22380,26327		+		47943,58		-
155		22335,78331		-		48625,74		+
156		22454,86997		+		48825,83		+
157		22490,35948		+		49525,55		+
158		22616,37269		+		49776,82		+
159		22662,32245		+		49567,61		-
160		22624,03924		-		49800,83		+
161		22666,73179		+		50621,01		+
162		22819,25078		+		50467,53		-
163		22790,4365		-		50551,02		+
164		22806,09553		+		51837,65		+
165		23051,79954		+		52835,66		+
166		23247,56306		+		53247,94		+
167		23329,60806		+		53520,24		+
168		23384,14423		+		56253,95		+
169		23944,37102		+		56985,69		+
170		24097,38606		+		55060,42		-
171		23697,23833		-		56432,58		+
172		23981,63135		+		57532,02		+
173		24212,21909		+		56592,36		-
174		24015,01283		-		57277,66		+
175		24158,69945		+		58983,91		+
176		24519,14094		+		58940,68		-
177		24509,97593		-		58296,28		-
178		24373,52265		-		57598,15		-
179		24226,14841		-		56988,75		-
180		24098,02794		-		57896,31		+
181		24289,0207		+		57227,66		-
182		24148,18991		-		56376,62		-
183		23969,95199		-		57266,53		+
184		24156,35956		+		56940,58		-
185		24087,92553		-		55865,39		-
186		23863,5508		-		56114,11		+
187		23915,24682		+		57175,59		+
188		24137,24973		+		56096,5		-
189		23911,5824		-		55475		-
190		23782,69319		-		55952,65		+
191		23881,67213		+		58107,95		+
192		24333,71265		+		59333,17		+
193		24593,22399		+		59917,84		+
194		24717,34892		+		59812,92		-
195		24695,06809		-		59080,2		-
196		24539,55881		-		59292,68		+
197		24584,63224		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 105
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)53
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24584.63223903758
New Prediction 1	20945.304346506113
New Prediction 2	21278.201264094343
New Prediction 3	21241.99707310329
New Prediction 4	21245.88033749046
New Prediction 5	21245.46311723479
New Prediction 6	21245.507967334874
New Prediction 7	21245.503158579937
New Prediction 8	21245.503620959356
New Prediction 9	21245.503620959356
New Prediction 10	21245.503620959356
New Prediction 11	21245.503620959356
New Prediction 12	21245.503620959356
New Prediction 13	21245.503620959356
New Prediction 14	21245.503620959356
New Prediction 15	21245.503620959356
New Prediction 16	21245.503620959356
New Prediction 17	21245.503620959356
New Prediction 18	21245.503620959356
New Prediction 19	21245.503620959356
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,0356		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02032		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,0431		-			-0,31841		+
4		-0,00595		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03282		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03333		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,09105		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00222		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00008		+		-0,26714		-
10		0,00005		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00712		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03382		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02938		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00206		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08193		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04635		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09032		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01148		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04643		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04811		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02797		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02221		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05076		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05133		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08368		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01291		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04537		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00444		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01228		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06258		+			0,09		-
31		0,00659		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,1112		-			0,80686		+
33		0,05212		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08941		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03951		-		2,4851		+
36		0,2035		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02483		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11328		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12405		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01615		-		0,516		+
41		0,04898		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03578		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05954		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12695		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17822		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02281		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00205		+		1,13416		+
48		0,1312		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01292		-			1,01263		+
50		0,127		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09901		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02331		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27374		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20653		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08094		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13782		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07033		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12907		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08129		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20314		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10351		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12056		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00645		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24977		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39927		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02046		+		0,49731		+
68		0,0514		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11727		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03134		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17561		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21585		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12989		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09719		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25138		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11967		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00992		-			3,10464		+
78		0,5497		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74598		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17494		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13395		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04116		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,3283		-			0,21548		+
84		0,04479		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53931		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39509		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11227		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07176		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49651		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00796		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13153		-		1,5163		+
92		0,4052		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12375		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36382		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22744		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24431		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12433		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39551		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50237		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03268		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82719		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17073		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,8459		-			-4,07586		-
104		-1,15864		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10538		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04395		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44654		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74515		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77561		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46472		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28163		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,2011		-			-2,62058		-
113		-0,49854		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41194		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03409		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30036		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12346		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14959		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14557		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17247		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63647		+			2,72139		-
122		0,6217		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30189		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55728		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10472		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09769		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75916		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56267		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03195		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11615		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51749		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24657		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19405		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29328		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41684		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87581		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82555		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21177		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17442		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91486		+			1,64559		-
141		0,6269		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12518		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24731		+			1,45449		+
144		0,586		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34236		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,56933		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17617		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17147		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77234		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54778		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14542		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23502		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04994		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18974		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19894		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53175		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15792		-			1,42292		+
158		0,55873		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20296		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16907		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18853		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67062		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12635		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06869		+			2,51336		+
165		1,0716		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84565		-			0,77728		-
167		0,3523		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23349		-			4,98164		+
169		2,36751		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63701		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,67449		-		2,46155		+
172		1,19297		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95692		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,81783		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59654		+			2,9354		+
176		1,48095		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03739		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55828		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60648		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53026		+		1,57998		+
181		0,78944		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,5815		-			-1,49828		-
183		-0,74084		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77466		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,2837		-			-1,90632		-
186		-0,93585		-		0,44422		+
187		0,2164		+			1,87398		+
188		0,92401		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,93933		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54048		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41532		+			3,77967		+
192		1,87514		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06082		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50344		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09018		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63171		-		0,359		+
197		0,18351		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,02071		+		-16,02071		+
2		1,57686		+			1,57686		+
3		-0,17029		-		-0,17029		-
4		0,01828		+			0,01828		+
5		-0,00196		-		-0,00196		-
6		0,00021		+			0,00021		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2967014734883664

 5.run Duration 	16 seconds 304 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1bf3d87 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.004322312686227013
train epoch 1: 3.592501197297944E-4
train epoch 2: 3.591916100594786E-4
train epoch 3: 3.591331271917084E-4
train epoch 4: 3.5907467099862805E-4
train epoch 5: 3.5901624135266694E-4
train epoch 6: 3.589578381265693E-4
train epoch 7: 3.588994611933423E-4
train epoch 8: 3.588411104263149E-4
train epoch 9: 3.587827856991019E-4
train epoch 10: 3.587244868855902E-4
train epoch 11: 3.586662138599777E-4
train epoch 12: 3.58607966496748E-4
train epoch 13: 3.585497446706715E-4
train epoch 14: 3.584915482568096E-4
train epoch 15: 3.584333771305008E-4
train epoch 16: 3.583752311673846E-4
train epoch 17: 3.583171102433757E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5825901423468167E-4
train epoch 19: 3.582009430177847E-4
train epoch 20: 3.581428964694539E-4
train epoch 21: 3.580848744667452E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5802687688701006E-4
train epoch 23: 3.579689036078545E-4
train epoch 24: 3.579109545071767E-4
train epoch 25: 3.578530294631582E-4
train epoch 26: 3.577951283542615E-4
train epoch 27: 3.577372510592197E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5767939745704695E-4
train epoch 29: 3.57621567427042E-4
train epoch 30: 3.575637608487792E-4
train epoch 31: 3.575059776021025E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5744821756712356E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5739048062423916E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5733276665412254E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5727507553770207E-4
train epoch 36: 3.572174071561962E-4
train epoch 37: 3.571597613910861E-4
train epoch 38: 3.571021381241436E-4
train epoch 39: 3.570445372373878E-4
train epoch 40: 3.569869586131113E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5692940213388497E-4
train epoch 42: 3.568718676825442E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5681435514218443E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5675686439616707E-4
train epoch 45: 3.566993953281445E-4
train epoch 46: 3.566419478220441E-4
train epoch 47: 3.565845217619947E-4
train epoch 48: 3.565271170324306E-4
train epoch 49: 3.564697335180237E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5922447031548566
mae:0.729875299583218
rmse:0.7695743649283392
mape:6.922286550064793
corr:0.9724213552693419
theil coefficient:27.273806670256104
net profit:44.98587213624468
buy and hold:-6.896072826172239E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22835468089464306
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20739,30179		+		32155,21		+
1		20747,33974		+		32389,47		+
2		20751,82726		+		31833,73		-
3		20742,23649		-		31732,53		-
4		20740,88289		-		32205,37		+
5		20748,24612		+		32563,26		+
6		20755,57462		+		31042,99		-
7		20734,88757		-		30820,77		-
8		20734,15582		-		30789,2		-
9		20734,09936		-		30707,06		-
10		20734,00781		-		31258,97		+
11		20736,15966		+		31953,99		+
12		20744,00252		+		32325,14		+
13		20750,53045		+		32302,07		-
14		20750,07728		-		33048,99		+
15		20767,93378		+		33379,53		+
16		20777,9283		+		32684,23		-
17		20758,39311		-		32577,09		-
18		20755,88812		-		32979,02		+
19		20765,98245		+		32560,89		-
20		20755,52113		-		32814,31		+
21		20761,61604		+		32615,92		-
22		20756,78037		-		33044,36		+
23		20767,80288		+		33408,62		+
24		20778,86916		+		33914,45		+
25		20796,80974		+		33841,77		-
26		20794,04838		-		34090,39		+
27		20803,74874		+		34113,74		+
28		20804,69669		+		34177,52		+
29		20807,31825		+		34486,01		+
30		20820,6637		+		34517,06		+
31		20822,06793		+		33954		-
32		20798,3382		-		34229,07		+
33		20809,47162		+		34656,83		+
34		20828,52681		+		34473,76		-
35		20820,11275		-		35341,2		+
36		20863,39465		+		35436,38		+
37		20868,66854		+		34985,45		-
38		20844,59908		-		35477,06		+
39		20870,9541		+		35415,91		-
40		20867,52559		-		35599,13		+
41		20877,92545		+		35465,95		-
42		20870,32802		-		35235,93		-
43		20857,68207		-		35713,98		+
44		20884,63902		+		36318,81		+
45		20922,4542		+		36244,96		-
46		20917,61626		-		36238,27		-
47		20917,18103		-		36651,61		+
48		20945,01308		+		36690,84		+
49		20947,75367		+		37064,27		+
50		20974,69605		+		37341,66		+
51		20995,70552		+		37405,4		+
52		21000,65251		+		36616,43		-
53		20942,56999		-		37220		+
54		20986,38689		+		37442,67		+
55		21003,5657		+		37806,83		+
56		21032,82685		+		37986,17		+
57		21047,76596		+		37653,78		-
58		21020,35317		-		37864,77		+
59		21037,61528		+		38368,66		+
60		21080,78377		+		38115,81		-
61		21058,78104		-		38117,31		+
62		21058,90954		+		37812,55		-
63		21033,29796		-		37795,9		-
64		21031,92764		-		37120,78		-
65		20978,90745		-		35873,33		-
66		20894,20144		-		35801,57		-
67		20889,85962		-		35980,06		+
68		20900,76671		+		35563,59		-
69		20875,87828		-		35678,19		+
70		20882,53086		+		36278,29		+
71		20919,79216		+		36940,33		+
72		20965,58283		+		37308,42		+
73		20993,14335		+		37571,76		+
74		21013,77322		+		38213,14		+
75		21067,16953		+		38501,45		+
76		21092,61249		+		38524,92		+
77		21094,72263		+		39739,74		+
78		21211,8422		+		41191,35		+
79		21371,52368		+		40866,67		-
80		21333,99308		-		41116,03		+
81		21362,7257		+		41039,94		-
82		21353,89383		-		40415,4		-
83		21283,55189		-		40502,58		+
84		21293,13906		+		41505,67		+
85		21408,83076		+		42194,73		+
86		21493,90839		+		42002,34		-
87		21469,70433		-		42125,61		+
88		21485,17284		+		42951,75		+
89		21592,45851		+		42938,85		-
90		21590,73555		-		42724,09		-
91		21562,27226		-		43376,85		+
92		21650,06505		+		43571,25		+
93		21676,93976		+		42993,27		-
94		21598,01413		-		42621,33		-
95		21548,80055		-		43020,51		+
96		21601,66735		+		42818,62		-
97		21574,7495		-		42158,4		-
98		21489,31135		-		42992,3		+
99		21597,88412		+		42939,38		-
100		21590,80636		-		44230,97		+
101		21770,57356		+		45924,25		+
102		22027,30164		+		44714,51		-
103		21841,53041		-		42928,65		-
104		21589,37427		-		42756,7		-
105		21566,5674		-		42828,64		+
106		21576,07683		+		43542,17		+
107		21672,89864		+		42333,2		-
108		21511,54197		-		40959,96		-
109		21344,67124		-		40059,32		-
110		21245,18476		-		40613,38		+
111		21305,43282		+		40220,55		-
112		21262,39914		-		39180,23		-
113		21155,98929		-		40047,06		+
114		21243,88647		+		40115,67		+
115		21251,17136		+		40702,82		+
116		21315,44548		+		40465,11		-
117		21289,00919		-		40170,35		-
118		21257,01125		-		39875,77		-
119		21225,90749		-		39515,79		-
120		21189,09877		-		40789,03		+
121		21325,17133		+		41914,3		+
122		21458,74378		+		42429,06		+
123		21523,85323		+		43336,22		+
124		21644,49001		+		43169,58		-
125		21621,77691		-		43325,09		+
126		21642,96534		+		44489,37		+
127		21808,25139		+		43633,67		-
128		21685,63897		-		43683,33		+
129		21692,58393		+		43862,73		+
130		21717,85027		+		44641,85		+
131		21830,74463		+		45002,63		+
132		21884,72207		+		45282,32		+
133		21927,28805		+		45698,49		+
134		21991,76488		+		45104,65		-
135		21900,1762		-		46335,45		+
136		22093,01671		+		47443,65		+
137		22276,23171		+		47163,5		-
138		22229,09824		-		46930,71		-
139		22190,34729		-		48132,11		+
140		22394,30688		+		48930,72		+
141		22535,08868		+		49088,14		+
142		22563,30097		+		49397,32		+
143		22619,13661		+		50121,05		+
144		22751,96495		+		49699,67		-
145		22674,27248		-		48989,65		-
146		22545,63269		-		49210,68		+
147		22585,36376		+		47715,08		-
148		22322,40804		-		48708,09		+
149		22495,44498		+		48006,84		-
150		22372,58988		-		48194,4		+
151		22405,14339		+		47890,75		-
152		22352,55551		-		47955,51		+
153		22363,72064		+		48200,39		+
154		22406,18659		+		47943,58		-
155		22361,66178		-		48625,74		+
156		22480,85774		+		48825,83		+
157		22516,37334		+		49525,55		+
158		22642,4568		+		49776,82		+
159		22688,42387		+		49567,61		-
160		22650,12653		-		49800,83		+
161		22692,83465		+		50621,01		+
162		22845,38023		+		50467,53		-
163		22816,56429		-		50551,02		+
164		22832,22441		+		51837,65		+
165		23077,88946		+		52835,66		+
166		23273,55243		+		53247,94		+
167		23355,53856		+		53520,24		+
168		23410,03042		+		56253,95		+
169		23969,58558		+		56985,69		+
170		24122,35539		+		55060,42		-
171		23722,7953		-		56432,58		+
172		24006,78845		+		57532,02		+
173		24236,98871		+		56592,36		-
174		24040,11721		-		57277,66		+
175		24183,56377		+		58983,91		+
176		24543,31503		+		58940,68		-
177		24534,16905		-		58296,28		-
178		24397,99015		-		57598,15		-
179		24250,89292		-		56988,75		-
180		24122,99618		-		57896,31		+
181		24313,64955		+		57227,66		-
182		24173,07249		-		56376,62		-
183		23995,12726		-		57266,53		+
184		24181,22796		+		56940,58		-
185		24112,91072		-		55865,39		-
186		23888,88485		-		56114,11		+
187		23940,50526		+		57175,59		+
188		24162,15122		+		56096,5		-
189		23936,84629		-		55475		-
190		23808,13957		-		55952,65		+
191		23906,98001		+		58107,95		+
192		24358,257		+		59333,17		+
193		24617,24159		+		59917,84		+
194		24741,09376		+		59812,92		-
195		24718,86285		-		59080,2		-
196		24563,69025		-		59292,68		+
197		24608,66823		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24608.668230786523
New Prediction 1	20948.41163736736
New Prediction 2	21277.659725845508
New Prediction 3	21242.30632508778
New Prediction 4	21246.049954385126
New Prediction 5	21245.652937571984
New Prediction 6	21245.695024856166
New Prediction 7	21245.69064259167
New Prediction 8	21245.69109907675
New Prediction 9	21245.691007779722
New Prediction 10	21245.691007779722
New Prediction 11	21245.691007779722
New Prediction 12	21245.691007779722
New Prediction 13	21245.691007779722
New Prediction 14	21245.691007779722
New Prediction 15	21245.691007779722
New Prediction 16	21245.691007779722
New Prediction 17	21245.691007779722
New Prediction 18	21245.691007779722
New Prediction 19	21245.691007779722
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03875		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02163		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04623		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00653		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03549		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03531		-			-4,78116		-
7		-0,09972		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00353		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00027		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,00044		-		1,78138		+
11		0,01038		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03782		+			1,15482		-
13		0,03146		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00218		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08602		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04811		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09406		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01207		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04862		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,05039		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02936		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02329		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05309		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05327		+			1,50272		+
25		0,0863		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01328		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04664		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00456		-			0,18679		+
29		0,0126		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06412		+			0,09		-
31		0,00674		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11403		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05352		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09153		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,0404		-			2,4851		+
36		0,20767		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02527		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,1154		-			1,3954		+
39		0,12636		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01643		-		0,516		+
41		0,04983		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,0364		-			-0,65068		-
43		-0,06061		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12916		+			1,67936		+
45		0,1809		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02313		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00208		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13297		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01308		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12853		+			0,74562		-
51		0,10012		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02356		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27696		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20901		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08182		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13922		+			0,47324		-
57		0,071		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13033		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08209		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20499		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10443		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12169		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00652		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25241		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40458		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02078		+		0,49731		+
68		0,0522		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11915		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03186		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17827		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21865		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13137		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09822		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25378		+			0,75165		-
76		0,1207		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55367		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74997		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17576		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13459		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04135		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32995		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04503		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54186		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39661		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11267		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07202		+			1,94215		+
89		0,4981		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00798		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13192		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40633		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12406		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36476		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22812		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24503		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12469		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,3968		-			1,95871		+
99		0,50397		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03278		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82916		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17234		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84694		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,1612		-			-0,40135		+
105		-0,1057		+			0,16811		+
106		0,04408		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44774		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74729		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77875		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46718		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28318		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20219		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50172		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41461		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03429		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30199		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,1241		-			-0,7311		-
118		-0,15042		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14643		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17356		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64013		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62441		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30296		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55891		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10499		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09795		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76079		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56382		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03202		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11641		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51848		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24695		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19431		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29362		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41734		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87669		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82587		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21181		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17448		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91494		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62668		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12511		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24716		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58552		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34206		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,56895		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17607		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17111		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77218		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54763		-		0,38993		+
151		0,1454		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23499		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04994		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18971		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19891		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53162		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15786		-			1,42292		+
158		0,5584		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20281		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16894		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18838		+			1,63351		+
162		0,66997		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12621		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06861		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07021		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84426		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35165		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23304		-			4,98164		+
169		2,36212		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63533		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,67026		-		2,46155		+
172		1,19002		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95433		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,81559		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59492		+			2,9354		+
176		1,47663		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03727		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,5566		-			-1,20478		-
179		-0,60473		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,52879		+		1,57998		+
181		0,78723		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,57986		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,73885		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77258		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28292		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,93341		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21585		+			1,87398		+
188		0,92156		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,93685		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,53914		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41429		+			3,77967		+
192		1,87004		+			2,0866		-
193		1,05762		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50185		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,08989		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,62973		-		0,359		+
197		0,18294		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,10359		+		-16,10359		+
2		1,55949		+			1,55949		+
3		-0,16629		-		-0,16629		-
4		0,01762		+			0,01762		+
5		-0,00187		-		-0,00187		-
6		0,0002		+			0,0002		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2961223515774283

 6.run Duration 	16 seconds 289 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@60991f ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 5.087142979037552E-4
train epoch 1: 3.612785396568989E-4
train epoch 2: 3.612104709125461E-4
train epoch 3: 3.611728147061633E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6113517235382295E-4
train epoch 5: 3.610975437540012E-4
train epoch 6: 3.610599288365712E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6102232753152687E-4
train epoch 8: 3.609847397689869E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6094716547916604E-4
train epoch 10: 3.609096045924013E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6087205703914135E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6083452274993463E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6079700165545187E-4
train epoch 14: 3.607594936864767E-4
train epoch 15: 3.607219987739012E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6068451684872783E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6064704784206876E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6060959168514767E-4
train epoch 19: 3.60572148309293E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6053471764594395E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6049729962666467E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6045989418309913E-4
train epoch 23: 3.604225012470248E-4
train epoch 24: 3.6038512075031894E-4
train epoch 25: 3.603477526249687E-4
train epoch 26: 3.60310396803062E-4
train epoch 27: 3.6027305321680166E-4
train epoch 28: 3.602357217984954E-4
train epoch 29: 3.6019840248056114E-4
train epoch 30: 3.6016109519552535E-4
train epoch 31: 3.6012379987600707E-4
train epoch 32: 3.600865164547453E-4
train epoch 33: 3.60049244864587E-4
train epoch 34: 3.600119850384716E-4
train epoch 35: 3.599747369094566E-4
train epoch 36: 3.59937500410691E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5990027547544673E-4
train epoch 38: 3.598630620370841E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5982586002907755E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5978866938500916E-4
train epoch 41: 3.597514900385547E-4
train epoch 42: 3.597143219235052E-4
train epoch 43: 3.596771649737388E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5964001912324703E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5960288430612723E-4
train epoch 46: 3.595657604565709E-4
train epoch 47: 3.595286475088804E-4
train epoch 48: 3.594915453974506E-4
train epoch 49: 3.594544540567952E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5956106315332825
mae:0.7322329366666195
rmse:0.7717581431596835
mape:6.958501836160184
corr:0.9708269493190219
theil coefficient:27.307708834464368
net profit:44.90654977836959
buy and hold:-6.90825396142645E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22795202933182532
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20681,67622		+		32155,21		+
1		20687,55807		+		32389,47		+
2		20691,16747		+		31833,73		-
3		20683,6917		-		31732,53		-
4		20682,73503		-		32205,37		+
5		20688,27477		+		32563,26		+
6		20694,27613		+		31042,99		-
7		20679,53923		-		30820,77		-
8		20679,74451		+		30789,2		-
9		20679,82252		+		30707,06		-
10		20680,08244		+		31258,97		+
11		20679,91676		-		31953,99		+
12		20684,99075		+		32325,14		+
13		20690,10984		+		32302,07		-
14		20689,7428		-		33048,99		+
15		20704,90827		+		33379,53		+
16		20713,77696		+		32684,23		-
17		20696,65647		-		32577,09		-
18		20694,53927		-		32979,02		+
19		20703,2004		+		32560,89		-
20		20694,23127		-		32814,31		+
21		20699,4142		+		32615,92		-
22		20695,2905		-		33044,36		+
23		20704,79342		+		33408,62		+
24		20714,62068		+		33914,45		+
25		20730,9223		+		33841,77		-
26		20728,39056		-		34090,39		+
27		20737,31367		+		34113,74		+
28		20738,18982		+		34177,52		+
29		20740,6163		+		34486,01		+
30		20753,03985		+		34517,06		+
31		20754,35329		+		33954		-
32		20732,32665		-		34229,07		+
33		20742,61311		+		34656,83		+
34		20760,40801		+		34473,76		-
35		20752,52483		-		35341,2		+
36		20793,40452		+		35436,38		+
37		20798,43237		+		34985,45		-
38		20775,55933		-		35477,06		+
39		20800,61385		+		35415,91		-
40		20797,34204		-		35599,13		+
41		20807,27667		+		35465,95		-
42		20800,01613		-		35235,93		-
43		20787,96811		-		35713,98		+
44		20813,70521		+		36318,81		+
45		20850,10354		+		36244,96		-
46		20845,431		-		36238,27		-
47		20845,01085		-		36651,61		+
48		20871,94331		+		36690,84		+
49		20874,60197		+		37064,27		+
50		20900,79445		+		37341,66		+
51		20921,28201		+		37405,4		+
52		20926,11331		+		36616,43		-
53		20869,57421		-		37220		+
54		20912,1886		+		37442,67		+
55		20928,95958		+		37806,83		+
56		20957,5954		+		37986,17		+
57		20972,24552		+		37653,78		-
58		20945,37825		-		37864,77		+
59		20962,28909		+		38368,66		+
60		21004,68877		+		38115,81		-
61		20983,05949		-		38117,31		+
62		20983,1857		+		37812,55		-
63		20958,0571		-		37795,9		-
64		20956,71421		-		37120,78		-
65		20904,8971		-		35873,33		-
66		20822,88061		-		35801,57		-
67		20818,71186		-		35980,06		+
68		20829,19215		+		35563,59		-
69		20805,31874		-		35678,19		+
70		20811,68533		+		36278,29		+
71		20847,53198		+		36940,33		+
72		20891,9241		+		37308,42		+
73		20918,7808		+		37571,76		+
74		20938,93952		+		38213,14		+
75		20991,30129		+		38501,45		+
76		21016,33131		+		38524,92		+
77		21018,40926		+		39739,74		+
78		21134,15323		+		41191,35		+
79		21292,93072		+		40866,67		-
80		21255,53327		-		41116,03		+
81		21284,16012		+		41039,94		-
82		21275,35806		-		40415,4		-
83		21205,34294		-		40502,58		+
84		21214,87565		+		41505,67		+
85		21330,14634		+		42194,73		+
86		21415,15095		+		42002,34		-
87		21390,94979		-		42125,61		+
88		21406,41489		+		42951,75		+
89		21513,81942		+		42938,85		-
90		21512,09273		-		42724,09		-
91		21483,57599		-		43376,85		+
92		21571,58181		+		43571,25		+
93		21598,54887		+		42993,27		-
94		21519,38746		-		42621,33		-
95		21470,08452		-		43020,51		+
96		21523,04916		+		42818,62		-
97		21496,07473		-		42158,4		-
98		21410,55343		-		42992,3		+
99		21519,25715		+		42939,38		-
100		21512,16369		-		44230,97		+
101		21692,59315		+		45924,25		+
102		21951,03659		+		44714,51		-
103		21763,94437		-		42928,65		-
104		21510,72854		-		42756,7		-
105		21487,87819		-		42828,64		+
106		21497,40453		+		43542,17		+
107		21594,4931		+		42333,2		-
108		21432,79077		-		40959,96		-
109		21266,16914		-		40059,32		-
110		21167,22816		-		40613,38		+
111		21227,10435		+		40220,55		-
112		21184,3223		-		39180,23		-
113		21078,86316		-		40047,06		+
114		21165,93941		+		40115,67		+
115		21173,17161		+		40702,82		+
116		21237,06788		+		40465,11		-
117		21210,76883		-		40170,35		-
118		21178,97078		-		39875,77		-
119		21148,09982		-		39515,79		-
120		21111,62063		-		40789,03		+
121		21246,74922		+		41914,3		+
122		21379,99506		+		42429,06		+
123		21445,11042		+		43336,22		+
124		21565,98913		+		43169,58		-
125		21543,20974		-		43325,09		+
126		21564,45973		+		44489,37		+
127		21730,47201		+		43633,67		-
128		21607,28052		-		43683,33		+
129		21614,25225		+		43862,73		+
130		21639,62237		+		44641,85		+
131		21753,09435		+		45002,63		+
132		21807,40783		+		45282,32		+
133		21850,26354		+		45698,49		+
134		21915,21791		+		45104,65		-
135		21822,96471		-		46335,45		+
136		22017,3057		+		47443,65		+
137		22202,26588		+		47163,5		-
138		22154,65738		-		46930,71		-
139		22115,52892		-		48132,11		+
140		22321,60193		+		48930,72		+
141		22464,00604		+		49088,14		+
142		22492,55752		+		49397,32		+
143		22549,07731		+		50121,05		+
144		22683,59712		+		49699,67		-
145		22604,90476		-		48989,65		-
146		22474,67629		-		49210,68		+
147		22514,88864		+		47715,08		-
148		22248,92365		-		48708,09		+
149		22423,89339		+		48006,84		-
150		22299,64581		-		48194,4		+
151		22332,55893		+		47890,75		-
152		22279,39365		-		47955,51		+
153		22290,67981		+		48200,39		+
154		22333,61377		+		47943,58		-
155		22288,59857		-		48625,74		+
156		22409,13591		+		48825,83		+
157		22445,06818		+		49525,55		+
158		22572,68812		+		49776,82		+
159		22619,23612		+		49567,61		-
160		22580,45405		-		49800,83		+
161		22623,70319		+		50621,01		+
162		22778,25119		+		50467,53		-
163		22749,04905		-		50551,02		+
164		22764,91862		+		51837,65		+
165		23013,99637		+		52835,66		+
166		23212,52569		+		53247,94		+
167		23295,74587		+		53520,24		+
168		23351,06761		+		56253,95		+
169		23919,49953		+		56985,69		+
170		24074,77741		+		55060,42		-
171		23668,72448		-		56432,58		+
172		23957,31061		+		57532,02		+
173		24191,30906		+		56592,36		-
174		23991,1857		-		57277,66		+
175		24136,99785		+		58983,91		+
176		24502,75801		+		58940,68		-
177		24493,4583		-		58296,28		-
178		24354,99542		-		57598,15		-
179		24205,44434		-		56988,75		-
180		24075,42878		-		57896,31		+
181		24269,24591		+		57227,66		-
182		24126,33284		-		56376,62		-
183		23945,45859		-		57266,53		+
184		24134,62335		+		56940,58		-
185		24065,17692		-		55865,39		-
186		23837,48576		-		56114,11		+
187		23889,94503		+		57175,59		+
188		24115,23082		+		56096,5		-
189		23886,22649		-		55475		-
190		23755,43611		-		55952,65		+
191		23855,87455		+		58107,95		+
192		24314,59792		+		59333,17		+
193		24577,92835		+		59917,84		+
194		24703,86808		+		59812,92		-
195		24681,2622		-		59080,2		-
196		24523,47582		-		59292,68		+
197		24569,21065		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24569.21064998247
New Prediction 1	20929.22067952738
New Prediction 2	21280.69048905166
New Prediction 3	21240.630628718267
New Prediction 4	21245.132986552722
New Prediction 5	21244.626077432258
New Prediction 6	21244.68315491672
New Prediction 7	21244.676759006554
New Prediction 8	21244.67743735911
New Prediction 9	21244.67734045157
New Prediction 10	21244.67743735911
New Prediction 11	21244.67734045157
New Prediction 12	21244.67743735911
New Prediction 13	21244.67734045157
New Prediction 14	21244.67743735911
New Prediction 15	21244.67734045157
New Prediction 16	21244.67743735911
New Prediction 17	21244.67734045157
New Prediction 18	21244.67743735911
New Prediction 19	21244.67734045157
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02844		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01745		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03614		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00463		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02678		+			1,10515		-
6		0,029		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07124		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00099		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00038		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00126		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,0008		-			2,19907		+
12		0,02453		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02474		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00177		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07327		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04282		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08269		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01023		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04184		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04333		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02504		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01992		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04591		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04745		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07867		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01221		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04304		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00422		-			0,18679		+
29		0,0117		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05988		+			0,09		-
31		0,00633		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10619		-		0,80686		+
33		0,0496		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08575		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03798		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19679		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02418		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11004		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12052		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01573		-		0,516		+
41		0,04776		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,0349		-			-0,65068		-
43		-0,05794		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12373		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17472		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02241		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00202		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12912		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01274		-			1,01263		+
50		0,1254		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09797		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02309		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27055		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20399		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08017		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13673		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06988		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12819		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08071		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20206		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10303		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11983		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00641		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24756		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,3931		-			-0,20024		+
67		-0,02002		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05033		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11468		-		0,32172		+
70		0,0306		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17209		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21271		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12847		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09632		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24976		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11917		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00989		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54917		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74848		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17579		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13459		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04136		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32963		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04494		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54188		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39773		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11307		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07227		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50049		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00803		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13265		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40881		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12493		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36719		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22937		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24639		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12541		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39864		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50643		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03297		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83523		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18435		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85597		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,17029		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10628		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04432		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45061		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75163		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78045		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46634		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28247		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20175		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49906		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41225		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03416		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30132		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12391		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15003		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14587		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17264		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63803		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62518		-			1,22064		-
123		0,3041		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56208		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10568		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09859		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76689		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56852		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03226		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11731		+			1,76068		+
131		0,523		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24937		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19633		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29683		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42184		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88659		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83656		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21466		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17677		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92749		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63594		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12702		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25097		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59479		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34752		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57777		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17876		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18832		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78334		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55563		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14749		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23835		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05064		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19242		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20176		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53935		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16022		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56698		+			0,50607		-
159		0,206		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,1716		-			0,46941		+
161		0,19135		+			1,63351		+
162		0,6808		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12828		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06973		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08819		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85895		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35787		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23719		-			4,98164		+
169		2,40513		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64707		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70102		-		2,46155		+
172		1,2119		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97199		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83069		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60593		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50398		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03796		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56691		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61594		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53858		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80182		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59061		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75252		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78688		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28816		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95065		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21983		+			1,87398		+
188		0,9386		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95416		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54906		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42191		+			3,77967		+
192		1,90464		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07719		-			0,98058		-
194		0,5111		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09155		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64135		-		0,359		+
197		0,18632		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,03478		+		-16,03478		+
2		1,66538		+			1,66538		+
3		-0,18842		-		-0,18842		-
4		0,02119		+			0,02119		+
5		-0,00239		-		-0,00239		-
6		0,00027		+			0,00027		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		-0		-			-0		-
12		0		+			0		+
13		-0		-			-0		-
14		0		+			0		+
15		-0		-			-0		-
16		0		+			0		+
17		-0		-			-0		-
18		0		+			0		+
19		-0		-			-0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29780531576664127

 7.run Duration 	15 seconds 897 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1e4f7c2 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.002799513584092164
train epoch 1: 3.6221033291910257E-4
train epoch 2: 3.621320401282866E-4
train epoch 3: 3.620546119543901E-4
train epoch 4: 3.619772832546916E-4
train epoch 5: 3.618999966252453E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6182275180772223E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6174585399751817E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6167239323459333E-4
train epoch 9: 3.616110901419093E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6156541817430616E-4
train epoch 11: 3.615224986578858E-4
train epoch 12: 3.614795961979416E-4
train epoch 13: 3.61436710710676E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6139384211243415E-4
train epoch 15: 3.613509903197104E-4
train epoch 16: 3.613081552491374E-4
train epoch 17: 3.612653368175208E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6122253494181043E-4
train epoch 19: 3.611797495390892E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6113698052658475E-4
train epoch 21: 3.610942278216817E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6105149134190806E-4
train epoch 23: 3.610087710049422E-4
train epoch 24: 3.609660667286052E-4
train epoch 25: 3.609233784308754E-4
train epoch 26: 3.608807060298504E-4
train epoch 27: 3.608380494438024E-4
train epoch 28: 3.607954085911338E-4
train epoch 29: 3.6075278339039475E-4
train epoch 30: 3.607101737602771E-4
train epoch 31: 3.60667579619618E-4
train epoch 32: 3.606250008874015E-4
train epoch 33: 3.605824374827434E-4
train epoch 34: 3.6053988932491926E-4
train epoch 35: 3.6049735633332953E-4
train epoch 36: 3.6045483842752604E-4
train epoch 37: 3.6041233552720623E-4
train epoch 38: 3.6036984755220033E-4
train epoch 39: 3.6032737442248013E-4
train epoch 40: 3.6028491605816075E-4
train epoch 41: 3.6024247237949434E-4
train epoch 42: 3.6020004330687905E-4
train epoch 43: 3.601576287608488E-4
train epoch 44: 3.601152286620754E-4
train epoch 45: 3.6007284293137305E-4
train epoch 46: 3.600304714896905E-4
train epoch 47: 3.599881142581218E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5994577115788914E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5990344211035593E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5980669903549835
mae:0.7337457924557811
rmse:0.7733479102932802
mape:6.9732199058253315
corr:0.9697376610987124
theil coefficient:27.390404052759443
net profit:44.151015432354
buy and hold:-7.026471472116615E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22411682960585788
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20660,71675		+		32155,21		+
1		20665,33148		+		32389,47		+
2		20668,40317		+		31833,73		-
3		20662,2008		-		31732,53		-
4		20661,47514		-		32205,37		+
5		20665,93316		+		32563,26		+
6		20671,11211		+		31042,99		-
7		20659,84528		-		30820,77		-
8		20660,55191		+		30789,2		-
9		20660,70101		+		30707,06		-
10		20661,14571		+		31258,97		+
11		20659,73393		-		31953,99		+
12		20663,22496		+		32325,14		+
13		20667,49333		+		32302,07		-
14		20667,17927		-		33048,99		+
15		20680,6238		+		33379,53		+
16		20688,72767		+		32684,23		-
17		20673,21384		-		32577,09		-
18		20671,34341		-		32979,02		+
19		20679,07761		+		32560,89		-
20		20671,0727		-		32814,31		+
21		20675,67163		+		32615,92		-
22		20672,00523		-		33044,36		+
23		20680,51965		+		33408,62		+
24		20689,504		+		33914,45		+
25		20704,63215		+		33841,77		-
26		20702,26919		-		34090,39		+
27		20710,61472		+		34113,74		+
28		20711,4366		+		34177,52		+
29		20713,71481		+		34486,01		+
30		20725,42088		+		34517,06		+
31		20726,66207		+		33954		-
32		20705,94463		-		34229,07		+
33		20715,59177		+		34656,83		+
34		20732,39155		+		34473,76		-
35		20724,93436		-		35341,2		+
36		20763,79519		+		35436,38		+
37		20768,60157		+		34985,45		-
38		20746,778		-		35477,06		+
39		20770,6884		+		35415,91		-
40		20767,55887		-		35599,13		+
41		20777,06725		+		35465,95		-
42		20770,11653		-		35235,93		-
43		20758,60377		-		35713,98		+
44		20783,22871		+		36318,81		+
45		20818,22224		+		36244,96		-
46		20813,72103		-		36238,27		-
47		20813,31641		-		36651,61		+
48		20839,29082		+		36690,84		+
49		20841,85868		+		37064,27		+
50		20867,18809		+		37341,66		+
51		20887,03624		+		37405,4		+
52		20891,72084		+		36616,43		-
53		20837,00316		-		37220		+
54		20878,22307		+		37442,67		+
55		20894,48137		+		37806,83		+
56		20922,28118		+		37986,17		+
57		20936,52081		+		37653,78		-
58		20910,41499		-		37864,77		+
59		20926,84216		+		38368,66		+
60		20968,09159		+		38115,81		-
61		20947,0386		-		38117,31		+
62		20947,16138		+		37812,55		-
63		20922,72977		-		37795,9		-
64		20921,42503		-		37120,78		-
65		20871,16035		-		35873,33		-
66		20792,03367		-		35801,57		-
67		20788,03171		-		35980,06		+
68		20798,09722		+		35563,59		-
69		20775,19199		-		35678,19		+
70		20781,29205		+		36278,29		+
71		20815,74468		+		36940,33		+
72		20858,60392		+		37308,42		+
73		20884,61157		+		37571,76		+
74		20904,1646		+		38213,14		+
75		20955,05834		+		38501,45		+
76		20979,43227		+		38524,92		+
77		20981,45693		+		39739,74		+
78		21094,46927		+		41191,35		+
79		21250,06757		+		40866,67		-
80		21213,37193		-		41116,03		+
81		21241,45926		+		41039,94		-
82		21232,82147		-		40415,4		-
83		21164,16625		-		40502,58		+
84		21173,50793		+		41505,67		+
85		21286,60939		+		42194,73		+
86		21370,15748		+		42002,34		-
87		21346,36003		-		42125,61		+
88		21361,5662		+		42951,75		+
89		21467,26112		+		42938,85		-
90		21465,56076		-		42724,09		-
91		21437,48419		-		43376,85		+
92		21524,16228		+		43571,25		+
93		21550,73992		+		42993,27		-
94		21472,74446		-		42621,33		-
95		21424,20446		-		43020,51		+
96		21476,35066		+		42818,62		-
97		21449,78879		-		42158,4		-
98		21365,63601		-		42992,3		+
99		21472,61613		+		42939,38		-
100		21465,63064		-		44230,97		+
101		21643,48425		+		45924,25		+
102		21898,7568		+		44714,51		-
103		21713,90483		-		42928,65		-
104		21464,21741		-		42756,7		-
105		21441,71934		-		42828,64		+
106		21451,09804		+		43542,17		+
107		21546,74222		+		42333,2		-
108		21387,50821		-		40959,96		-
109		21223,80556		-		40059,32		-
110		21126,83553		-		40613,38		+
111		21185,4944		+		40220,55		-
112		21143,57391		-		39180,23		-
113		21040,43036		-		40047,06		+
114		21125,57389		+		40115,67		+
115		21132,6545		+		40702,82		+
116		21195,26284		+		40465,11		-
117		21169,48317		-		40170,35		-
118		21138,33303		-		39875,77		-
119		21108,11366		-		39515,79		-
120		21072,43593		-		40789,03		+
121		21204,75653		+		41914,3		+
122		21335,59083		+		42429,06		+
123		21399,62846		+		43336,22		+
124		21518,65135		+		43169,58		-
125		21496,20849		-		43325,09		+
126		21517,14436		+		44489,37		+
127		21680,86339		+		43633,67		-
128		21559,34713		-		43683,33		+
129		21566,22007		+		43862,73		+
130		21591,23489		+		44641,85		+
131		21703,19342		+		45002,63		+
132		21756,82308		+		45282,32		+
133		21799,15638		+		45698,49		+
134		21863,34626		+		45104,65		-
135		21772,18861		-		46335,45		+
136		21964,29476		+		47443,65		+
137		22147,36619		+		47163,5		-
138		22100,22358		-		46930,71		-
139		22061,48829		-		48132,11		+
140		22265,59181		+		48930,72		+
141		22406,77129		+		49088,14		+
142		22435,08964		+		49397,32		+
143		22491,15966		+		50121,05		+
144		22624,66927		+		49699,67		-
145		22546,55775		-		48989,65		-
146		22417,35395		-		49210,68		+
147		22457,24121		+		47715,08		-
148		22193,58024		-		48708,09		+
149		22366,99303		+		48006,84		-
150		22243,83402		-		48194,4		+
151		22276,4508		+		47890,75		-
152		22223,76716		-		47955,51		+
153		22234,94979		+		48200,39		+
154		22277,49624		+		47943,58		-
155		22232,88758		-		48625,74		+
156		22352,36062		+		48825,83		+
157		22387,99029		+		49525,55		+
158		22514,58709		+		49776,82		+
159		22560,78123		+		49567,61		-
160		22522,29328		-		49800,83		+
161		22565,21486		+		50621,01		+
162		22718,66112		+		50467,53		-
163		22689,65913		-		50551,02		+
164		22705,41948		+		51837,65		+
165		22952,92008		+		52835,66		+
166		23150,36657		+		53247,94		+
167		23233,17611		+		53520,24		+
168		23288,23853		+		56253,95		+
169		23854,60123		+		56985,69		+
170		24009,49215		+		55060,42		-
171		23604,60921		-		56432,58		+
172		23892,31131		+		57532,02		+
173		24125,78113		+		56592,36		-
174		23926,09963		-		57277,66		+
175		24071,57798		+		58983,91		+
176		24436,77694		+		58940,68		-
177		24427,48671		-		58296,28		-
178		24289,1943		-		57598,15		-
179		24139,88972		-		56988,75		-
180		24010,14206		-		57896,31		+
181		24203,57813		+		57227,66		-
182		24060,93523		-		56376,62		-
183		23880,49048		-		57266,53		+
184		24069,20841		+		56940,58		-
185		23999,91346		-		55865,39		-
186		23772,82175		-		56114,11		+
187		23825,12876		+		57175,59		+
188		24049,85673		+		56096,5		-
189		23821,42072		-		55475		-
190		23691,02757		-		55952,65		+
191		23791,15619		+		58107,95		+
192		24248,85695		+		59333,17		+
193		24511,87966		+		59917,84		+
194		24637,74184		+		59812,92		-
195		24615,1466		-		59080,2		-
196		24457,47451		-		59292,68		+
197		24503,16898		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24503.168979352842
New Prediction 1	20928.317386145347
New Prediction 2	21281.006683133877
New Prediction 3	21240.24509535969
New Prediction 4	21244.8917383664
New Prediction 5	21244.361266793625
New Prediction 6	21244.421813636098
New Prediction 7	21244.414834877272
New Prediction 8	21244.41562121443
New Prediction 9	21244.41562121443
New Prediction 10	21244.41562121443
New Prediction 11	21244.41562121443
New Prediction 12	21244.41562121443
New Prediction 13	21244.41562121443
New Prediction 14	21244.41562121443
New Prediction 15	21244.41562121443
New Prediction 16	21244.41562121443
New Prediction 17	21244.41562121443
New Prediction 18	21244.41562121443
New Prediction 19	21244.41562121443
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02233		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01486		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03001		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00351		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02157		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02506		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,05452		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00342		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00072		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00215		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00683		-		2,19907		+
12		0,0169		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02065		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00152		-		2,28597		+
15		0,06503		+			0,99518		-
16		0,03918		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,07502		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00905		+		1,22623		+
19		0,03741		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,03872		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02225		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01773		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04118		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04343		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07309		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01141		-		0,73197		+
27		0,0403		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00397		-			0,18679		+
29		0,011		+			0,89856		+
30		0,0565		+			0,09		-
31		0,00599		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10001		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04658		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08106		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03598		-		2,4851		+
36		0,18733		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02315		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10513		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11518		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01507		-		0,516		+
41		0,04577		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03346		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05544		-		1,34759		+
44		0,11855		+			1,67936		+
45		0,16823		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02162		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00194		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12472		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01232		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12146		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09507		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02243		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26225		-		1,63492		+
54		0,19763		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07784		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13296		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06804		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12477		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07853		+			1,32199		+
60		0,19692		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10046		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00059		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,1167		-			-0,04404		+
64		-0,00624		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24054		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,37984		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01925		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04841		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11019		-		0,32172		+
70		0,02936		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16565		+			1,80844		+
72		0,20569		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12461		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09358		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24317		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11625		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00965		-			3,10464		+
78		0,53718		+			3,58766		+
79		0,73492		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17283		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13232		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04067		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32387		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04413		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53274		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39172		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11142		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07121		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49357		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00792		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13088		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40351		+			0,44716		-
93		0,1234		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36257		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22631		+		0,93221		+
96		0,2431		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12376		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,3931		-			1,95871		+
99		0,49946		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03254		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82514		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17254		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,8477		-			-4,07586		-
104		-1,15656		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10487		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04373		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44488		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74176		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,76836		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,45794		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27727		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19807		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,48902		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40385		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03351		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29583		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,1217		-			-0,7311		-
118		-0,14725		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14306		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,16917		-		3,17128		+
121		0,62597		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61511		-			1,22064		-
123		0,2997		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55465		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10435		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09735		+			2,65184		+
127		0,758		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56205		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03187		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11592		+			1,76068		+
131		0,5172		+			0,80492		-
132		0,2468		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19439		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29403		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41781		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87848		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83004		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21309		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17542		+		2,52773		+
140		0,9209		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63207		-			0,3212		-
142		0,1263		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24961		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59185		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34585		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,5747		-			0,45016		+
147		0,17777		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,181		-			2,05976		+
149		0,77833		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55215		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14653		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23678		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05031		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19117		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20044		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53593		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15927		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56387		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20496		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17074		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19039		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67771		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12774		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06944		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08415		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85654		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35706		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23672		-			4,98164		+
169		2,40287		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64721		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70073		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21147		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97243		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83111		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60619		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50574		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03802		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56774		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61659		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53893		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80242		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59109		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75278		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78715		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28831		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95072		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21979		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93882		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95438		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54888		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42175		+			3,77967		+
192		1,90556		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07884		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51216		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09175		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64261		-		0,359		+
197		0,18666		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,76993		+		-15,76993		+
2		1,67118		+			1,67118		+
3		-0,19172		-		-0,19172		-
4		0,02187		+			0,02187		+
5		-0,0025		-			-0,0025		-
6		0,00029		+			0,00029		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2990334951774917

 8.run Duration 	15 seconds 960 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@145f0e3 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0012607493381186728
train epoch 1: 3.6054737701394655E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6051175753102607E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6047614900445253E-4
train epoch 4: 3.604405510732027E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6040496363983626E-4
train epoch 6: 3.603693866269611E-4
train epoch 7: 3.603338200638745E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6029826495168353E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6026272425622154E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6022719911259855E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6019168495049204E-4
train epoch 12: 3.601561807388632E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6012068640118607E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6008520186106633E-4
train epoch 15: 3.600497270422032E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6001426186841744E-4
train epoch 17: 3.599788062636499E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5994336015194374E-4
train epoch 19: 3.599079234574669E-4
train epoch 20: 3.5987249610448655E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5983707801739723E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5980166912069465E-4
train epoch 23: 3.5976626933899525E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5973087859701177E-4
train epoch 25: 3.596954968195902E-4
train epoch 26: 3.596601239316655E-4
train epoch 27: 3.596247598582987E-4
train epoch 28: 3.595894045246624E-4
train epoch 29: 3.595540578560287E-4
train epoch 30: 3.595187197777848E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5948339021543295E-4
train epoch 32: 3.594480690945759E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5941275634092406E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5937745188030805E-4
train epoch 35: 3.593421556386594E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5930686754202074E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5927158751654245E-4
train epoch 38: 3.592363154884839E-4
train epoch 39: 3.592010513842043E-4
train epoch 40: 3.591657951301838E-4
train epoch 41: 3.591305466529986E-4
train epoch 42: 3.590953058793372E-4
train epoch 43: 3.590600727359923E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5902484714986306E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5898962904795596E-4
train epoch 46: 3.589544183573812E-4
train epoch 47: 3.589192150053543E-4
train epoch 48: 3.588840189191967E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5884883002627795E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5946970305766689
mae:0.7316072174733921
rmse:0.7711660201128346
mape:6.94945450392107
corr:0.9712552689739439
theil coefficient:27.294729182549364
net profit:44.97442402137206
buy and hold:-6.89782820237998E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22829656863640638
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20695,90827		+		32155,21		+
1		20702,35535		+		32389,47		+
2		20706,19637		+		31833,73		-
3		20698,16415		-		31732,53		-
4		20697,10356		-		32205,37		+
5		20703,122		+		32563,26		+
6		20709,47408		+		31042,99		-
7		20693,17911		-		30820,77		-
8		20693,142		-		30789,2		-
9		20693,18529		+		30707,06		-
10		20693,35451		+		31258,97		+
11		20693,78871		+		31953,99		+
12		20699,58564		+		32325,14		+
13		20705,07556		+		32302,07		-
14		20704,68579		-		33048,99		+
15		20720,56592		+		33379,53		+
16		20729,73657		+		32684,23		-
17		20711,97068		-		32577,09		-
18		20709,75057		-		32979,02		+
19		20718,79301		+		32560,89		-
20		20709,42693		-		32814,31		+
21		20714,85211		+		32615,92		-
22		20710,5392		-		33044,36		+
23		20720,44678		+		33408,62		+
24		20730,60643		+		33914,45		+
25		20747,3516		+		33841,77		-
26		20744,75742		-		34090,39		+
27		20753,89227		+		34113,74		+
28		20754,78804		+		34177,52		+
29		20757,26788		+		34486,01		+
30		20769,94471		+		34517,06		+
31		20771,28319		+		33954		-
32		20748,78973		-		34229,07		+
33		20759,30757		+		34656,83		+
34		20777,44966		+		34473,76		-
35		20769,41978		-		35341,2		+
36		20810,96931		+		35436,38		+
37		20816,06673		+		34985,45		-
38		20792,85718		-		35477,06		+
39		20818,27771		+		35415,91		-
40		20814,96151		-		35599,13		+
41		20825,02819		+		35465,95		-
42		20817,67195		-		35235,93		-
43		20805,45504		-		35713,98		+
44		20831,53803		+		36318,81		+
45		20868,34556		+		36244,96		-
46		20863,62477		-		36238,27		-
47		20863,20023		-		36651,61		+
48		20890,39688		+		36690,84		+
49		20893,07983		+		37064,27		+
50		20919,49679		+		37341,66		+
51		20940,14314		+		37405,4		+
52		20945,00996		+		36616,43		-
53		20888,00587		-		37220		+
54		20930,98092		+		37442,67		+
55		20947,87685		+		37806,83		+
56		20976,70754		+		37986,17		+
57		20991,44931		+		37653,78		-
58		20964,40991		-		37864,77		+
59		20981,43115		+		38368,66		+
60		21024,0785		+		38115,81		-
61		21002,32776		-		38117,31		+
62		21002,4547		+		37812,55		-
63		20977,1722		-		37795,9		-
64		20975,82067		-		37120,78		-
65		20923,63234		-		35873,33		-
66		20840,82432		-		35801,57		-
67		20836,60591		-		35980,06		+
68		20847,20891		+		35563,59		-
69		20823,04487		-		35678,19		+
70		20829,49294		+		36278,29		+
71		20865,7476		+		36940,33		+
72		20910,5533		+		37308,42		+
73		20937,62326		+		37571,76		+
74		20957,92721		+		38213,14		+
75		21010,61698		+		38501,45		+
76		21035,78256		+		38524,92		+
77		21037,87122		+		39739,74		+
78		21154,10282		+		41191,35		+
79		21313,29219		+		40866,67		-
80		21275,81865		-		41116,03		+
81		21304,50475		+		41039,94		-
82		21295,68519		-		40415,4		-
83		21225,50725		-		40502,58		+
84		21235,06475		+		41505,67		+
85		21350,57275		+		42194,73		+
86		21435,68988		+		42002,34		-
87		21411,4614		-		42125,61		+
88		21426,94437		+		42951,75		+
89		21534,43529		+		42938,85		-
90		21532,7077		-		42724,09		-
91		21504,17381		-		43376,85		+
92		21592,21977		+		43571,25		+
93		21619,19194		+		42993,27		-
94		21540,00615		-		42621,33		-
95		21490,67277		-		43020,51		+
96		21543,66962		+		42818,62		-
97		21516,68058		-		42158,4		-
98		21431,08744		-		42992,3		+
99		21539,87577		+		42939,38		-
100		21532,77869		-		44230,97		+
101		21713,23042		+		45924,25		+
102		21971,50031		+		44714,51		-
103		21784,55506		-		42928,65		-
104		21531,34278		-		42756,7		-
105		21508,47886		-		42828,64		+
106		21518,01118		+		43542,17		+
107		21615,1356		+		42333,2		-
108		21453,34741		-		40959,96		-
109		21286,47732		-		40059,32		-
110		21187,28433		-		40613,38		+
111		21247,32398		+		40220,55		-
112		21204,42882		-		39180,23		-
113		21098,60441		-		40047,06		+
114		21185,99166		+		40115,67		+
115		21193,24564		+		40702,82		+
116		21257,31136		+		40465,11		-
117		21230,94736		-		40170,35		-
118		21199,06187		-		39875,77		-
119		21168,09589		-		39515,79		-
120		21131,49016		-		40789,03		+
121		21267,01504		+		41914,3		+
122		21400,49312		+		42429,06		+
123		21465,67835		+		43336,22		+
124		21586,62563		+		43169,58		-
125		21563,83881		-		43325,09		+
126		21585,09581		+		44489,37		+
127		21751,09741		+		43633,67		-
128		21627,92456		-		43683,33		+
129		21634,89684		+		43862,73		+
130		21660,26726		+		44641,85		+
131		21773,71023		+		45002,63		+
132		21827,99385		+		45282,32		+
133		21870,81937		+		45698,49		+
134		21935,71762		+		45104,65		-
135		21843,54043		-		46335,45		+
136		22037,69401		+		47443,65		+
137		22222,38929		+		47163,5		-
138		22174,85608		-		46930,71		-
139		22135,78594		-		48132,11		+
140		22341,51718		+		48930,72		+
141		22483,63997		+		49088,14		+
142		22512,13112		+		49397,32		+
143		22568,52788		+		50121,05		+
144		22702,73677		+		49699,67		-
145		22624,22928		-		48989,65		-
146		22494,28782		-		49210,68		+
147		22534,41419		+		47715,08		-
148		22268,96888		-		48708,09		+
149		22443,60993		+		48006,84		-
150		22319,60134		-		48194,4		+
151		22352,45375		+		47890,75		-
152		22299,38557		-		47955,51		+
153		22310,65155		+		48200,39		+
154		22353,50661		+		47943,58		-
155		22308,57404		-		48625,74		+
156		22428,8822		+		48825,83		+
157		22464,74143		+		49525,55		+
158		22592,08591		+		49776,82		+
159		22638,52759		+		49567,61		-
160		22599,83431		-		49800,83		+
161		22642,9843		+		50621,01		+
162		22797,15802		+		50467,53		-
163		22768,02888		-		50551,02		+
164		22783,8589		+		51837,65		+
165		23032,27894		+		52835,66		+
166		23230,2399		+		53247,94		+
167		23313,21171		+		53520,24		+
168		23368,36533		+		56253,95		+
169		23934,95243		+		56985,69		+
170		24089,69606		+		55060,42		-
171		23685,01513		-		56432,58		+
172		23972,63443		+		57532,02		+
173		24205,82002		+		56592,36		-
174		24006,3933		-		57277,66		+
175		24151,69949		+		58983,91		+
176		24516,15557		+		58940,68		-
177		24506,88955		-		58296,28		-
178		24368,92517		-		57598,15		-
179		24219,90549		-		56988,75		-
180		24090,34516		-		57896,31		+
181		24283,48131		+		57227,66		-
182		24141,07179		-		56376,62		-
183		23960,82294		-		57266,53		+
184		24149,3333		+		56940,58		-
185		24080,1289		-		55865,39		-
186		23853,21628		-		56114,11		+
187		23905,49836		+		57175,59		+
188		24130,00856		+		56096,5		-
189		23901,79242		-		55475		-
190		23771,44091		-		55952,65		+
191		23871,54312		+		58107,95		+
192		24328,67197		+		59333,17		+
193		24591,05279		+		59917,84		+
194		24716,53174		+		59812,92		-
195		24694,00884		-		59080,2		-
196		24536,79826		-		59292,68		+
197		24582,36684		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24582.36684018069
New Prediction 1	20933.52103577744
New Prediction 2	21279.954581109203
New Prediction 3	21241.015904818007
New Prediction 4	21245.331551805037
New Prediction 5	21244.852512550446
New Prediction 6	21244.905644794795
New Prediction 7	21244.899719860194
New Prediction 8	21244.900388802962
New Prediction 9	21244.900388802962
New Prediction 10	21244.900388802962
New Prediction 11	21244.900388802962
New Prediction 12	21244.900388802962
New Prediction 13	21244.900388802962
New Prediction 14	21244.900388802962
New Prediction 15	21244.900388802962
New Prediction 16	21244.900388802962
New Prediction 17	21244.900388802962
New Prediction 18	21244.900388802962
New Prediction 19	21244.900388802962
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03115		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01855		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,0388		-			-0,31841		+
4		-0,00512		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02907		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03068		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07871		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00018		+		-0,10248		+
9		0,00021		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00082		+			1,78138		+
11		0,0021		+			2,19907		+
12		0,02801		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02652		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00188		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07667		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04425		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08574		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01072		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04365		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04522		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02619		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02082		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04783		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04902		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08074		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,0125		-			0,73197		+
27		0,04402		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00432		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01195		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06105		+			0,09		-
31		0,00644		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10835		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05068		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08735		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03865		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19985		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02449		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11156		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12218		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01593		-		0,516		+
41		0,04835		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03533		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,0587		-			1,34759		+
44		0,12529		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17654		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02262		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00203		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13027		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01284		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12636		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09865		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02324		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27253		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20553		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08069		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13754		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07025		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12889		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08116		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20306		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10351		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12045		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00644		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24911		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39655		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02024		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05087		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11598		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03096		+			1,66799		+
71		0,1739		+			1,80844		+
72		0,2145		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12937		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09693		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25109		+			0,75165		-
76		0,1197		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00993		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55097		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74971		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17598		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13474		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04141		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33008		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04502		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54248		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39787		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11309		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07229		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50041		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00802		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,1326		-			1,5163		+
92		0,4086		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12484		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36695		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22929		+		0,93221		+
96		0,2463		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12535		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39859		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50634		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03295		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83454		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18244		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85449		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16916		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10625		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04431		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45035		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75131		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78087		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46708		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28298		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20209		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50032		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41333		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03423		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30184		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,1241		-			-0,7311		-
118		-0,1503		-			-0,73603		-
119		-0,14618		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17308		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63929		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62567		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30413		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56186		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10562		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09853		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76611		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56789		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03223		+			0,40984		+
130		0,1172		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52237		+			0,80492		-
132		0,249		-			0,61957		-
133		0,196		-			0,91486		+
134		0,2963		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,4211		-			2,6922		+
136		0,88491		+			2,36354		-
137		0,8346		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21413		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17635		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92511		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63412		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12664		-			0,62787		+
143		0,2502		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59291		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34641		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,576		-			0,45016		+
147		0,17823		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18495		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78118		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55407		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14708		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,2377		-			0,13513		+
153		0,05051		+			0,50934		+
154		0,1919		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20121		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53784		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15975		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56526		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20536		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17106		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19075		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67858		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12786		-		0,1653		+
164		0,0695		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08443		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85582		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35654		-			0,51008		-
168		0,2363		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39566		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64444		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69416		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20704		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96802		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82729		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60346		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49776		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,0378		-			-1,09932		-
178		-0,56455		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61339		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53637		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79852		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58817		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74945		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78367		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28698		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94679		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21894		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93477		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95028		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54686		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42022		+			3,77967		+
192		1,89685		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07271		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50897		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09117		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63867		-		0,359		+
197		0,18554		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,06776		+		-16,06776		+
2		1,64138		+			1,64138		+
3		-0,18315		-		-0,18315		-
4		0,02032		+			0,02032		+
5		-0,00225		-		-0,00225		-
6		0,00025		+			0,00025		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29734851528833445

 9.run Duration 	16 seconds 727 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@c9d92c ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.005359971679980558
train epoch 1: 3.588244763287259E-4
train epoch 2: 3.587624661974204E-4
train epoch 3: 3.587004866486003E-4
train epoch 4: 3.58638537566594E-4
train epoch 5: 3.5857661883608144E-4
train epoch 6: 3.585147303420467E-4
train epoch 7: 3.5845287196977394E-4
train epoch 8: 3.583910436051747E-4
train epoch 9: 3.5832924513511344E-4
train epoch 10: 3.582674764460793E-4
train epoch 11: 3.582057374228594E-4
train epoch 12: 3.5814402795174104E-4
train epoch 13: 3.580823479196169E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5802069721365234E-4
train epoch 15: 3.5795907572129E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5789748333023855E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5783591992845587E-4
train epoch 18: 3.577743854041941E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5771287964596424E-4
train epoch 20: 3.576514025425406E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5758995398297216E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5752853385656927E-4
train epoch 23: 3.5746714205290577E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5740577846182195E-4
train epoch 25: 3.573444429734172E-4
train epoch 26: 3.572831354780617E-4
train epoch 27: 3.572218558663852E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5716060402928116E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5709937985790434E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5703818324366255E-4
train epoch 31: 3.569770140782292E-4
train epoch 32: 3.569158722535458E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5685475766178426E-4
train epoch 34: 3.567936701954076E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5673260974711853E-4
train epoch 36: 3.566715762098767E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5661056947690177E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5654958944167993E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5648863599792996E-4
train epoch 40: 3.564277090396344E-4
train epoch 41: 3.563668084610383E-4
train epoch 42: 3.563059341566244E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5624508602113356E-4
train epoch 44: 3.561842639495612E-4
train epoch 45: 3.561234678371582E-4
train epoch 46: 3.560626975794174E-4
train epoch 47: 3.560019530720795E-4
train epoch 48: 3.559412342111472E-4
train epoch 49: 3.558805408928597E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5908551776399689
mae:0.7289807996642498
rmse:0.768671046443125
mape:6.9119316688049475
corr:0.9730175717100944
theil coefficient:27.236502948352804
net profit:45.30059170610504
buy and hold:-6.848163317889013E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22995224216296975
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20754,80117		+		32155,21		+
1		20763,61087		+		32389,47		+
2		20768,42129		+		31833,73		-
3		20758,06141		-		31732,53		-
4		20756,56662		-		32205,37		+
5		20764,58655		+		32563,26		+
6		20772,40695		+		31042,99		-
7		20749,60079		-		30820,77		-
8		20748,55325		-		30789,2		-
9		20748,45181		-		30707,06		-
10		20748,24312		-		31258,97		+
11		20751,17843		+		31953,99		+
12		20759,99476		+		32325,14		+
13		20767,036		+		32302,07		-
14		20766,55106		-		33048,99		+
15		20785,42619		+		33379,53		+
16		20795,86467		+		32684,23		-
17		20775,39065		-		32577,09		-
18		20772,73937		-		32979,02		+
19		20783,38032		+		32560,89		-
20		20772,35021		-		32814,31		+
21		20778,79064		+		32615,92		-
22		20773,68468		-		33044,36		+
23		20785,28904		+		33408,62		+
24		20796,8444		+		33914,45		+
25		20815,45516		+		33841,77		-
26		20812,59817		-		34090,39		+
27		20822,62472		+		34113,74		+
28		20823,60317		+		34177,52		+
29		20826,30792		+		34486,01		+
30		20840,05315		+		34517,06		+
31		20841,49738		+		33954		-
32		20817,03557		-		34229,07		+
33		20828,52839		+		34656,83		+
34		20848,13579		+		34473,76		-
35		20839,48642		-		35341,2		+
36		20883,86936		+		35436,38		+
37		20889,26185		+		34985,45		-
38		20864,62655		-		35477,06		+
39		20891,59798		+		35415,91		-
40		20888,09343		-		35599,13		+
41		20898,72054		+		35465,95		-
42		20890,9581		-		35235,93		-
43		20878,02508		-		35713,98		+
44		20905,57569		+		36318,81		+
45		20944,12532		+		36244,96		-
46		20939,19873		-		36238,27		-
47		20938,75545		-		36651,61		+
48		20967,08007		+		36690,84		+
49		20969,86694		+		37064,27		+
50		20997,24553		+		37341,66		+
51		21018,57399		+		37405,4		+
52		21023,59365		+		36616,43		-
53		20964,59542		-		37220		+
54		21009,11599		+		37442,67		+
55		21026,54923		+		37806,83		+
56		21056,22035		+		37986,17		+
57		21071,35851		+		37653,78		-
58		21043,57531		-		37864,77		+
59		21061,07329		+		38368,66		+
60		21104,79443		+		38115,81		-
61		21082,51628		-		38117,31		+
62		21082,64642		+		37812,55		-
63		21056,69783		-		37795,9		-
64		21055,30895		-		37120,78		-
65		21001,52227		-		35873,33		-
66		20915,33345		-		35801,57		-
67		20910,90382		-		35980,06		+
68		20922,02883		+		35563,59		-
69		20896,62942		-		35678,19		+
70		20903,42349		+		36278,29		+
71		20941,41467		+		36940,33		+
72		20987,98839		+		37308,42		+
73		21015,97382		+		37571,76		+
74		21036,90296		+		38213,14		+
75		21091,01124		+		38501,45		+
76		21116,76624		+		38524,92		+
77		21118,90157		+		39739,74		+
78		21237,27754		+		41191,35		+
79		21398,33451		+		40866,67		-
80		21360,50854		-		41116,03		+
81		21389,46865		+		41039,94		-
82		21380,56782		-		40415,4		-
83		21309,64496		-		40502,58		+
84		21319,31479		+		41505,67		+
85		21435,92065		+		42194,73		+
86		21521,58599		+		42002,34		-
87		21497,22119		-		42125,61		+
88		21512,793		+		42951,75		+
89		21620,74304		+		42938,85		-
90		21619,01008		-		42724,09		-
91		21590,37858		-		43376,85		+
92		21678,6723		+		43571,25		+
93		21705,69023		+		42993,27		-
94		21626,33075		-		42621,33		-
95		21576,8252		-		43020,51		+
96		21630,00497		+		42818,62		-
97		21602,93026		-		42158,4		-
98		21516,9588		-		42992,3		+
99		21626,19999		+		42939,38		-
100		21619,0813		-		44230,97		+
101		21799,78936		+		45924,25		+
102		22057,56367		+		44714,51		-
103		21871,06685		-		42928,65		-
104		21617,64088		-		42756,7		-
105		21594,69947		-		42828,64		+
106		21604,26545		+		43542,17		+
107		21701,62786		+		42333,2		-
108		21539,33364		-		40959,96		-
109		21371,27231		-		40059,32		-
110		21270,93494		-		40613,38		+
111		21331,71289		+		40220,55		-
112		21288,30561		-		39180,23		-
113		21180,85754		-		40047,06		+
114		21269,62469		+		40115,67		+
115		21276,97636		+		40702,82		+
116		21341,80917		+		40465,11		-
117		21315,14946		-		40170,35		-
118		21282,86924		-		39875,77		-
119		21251,47766		-		39515,79		-
120		21214,30953		-		40789,03		+
121		21351,6151		+		41914,3		+
122		21486,18621		+		42429,06		+
123		21551,72308		+		43336,22		+
124		21673,06699		+		43169,58		-
125		21650,22845		-		43325,09		+
126		21671,53401		+		44489,37		+
127		21837,6407		+		43633,67		-
128		21714,43483		-		43683,33		+
129		21721,41571		+		43862,73		+
130		21746,81028		+		44641,85		+
131		21860,23399		+		45002,63		+
132		21914,44127		+		45282,32		+
133		21957,17873		+		45698,49		+
134		22021,89985		+		45104,65		-
135		21929,95864		-		46335,45		+
136		22123,50027		+		47443,65		+
137		22307,24847		+		47163,5		-
138		22259,98901		-		46930,71		-
139		22221,12885		-		48132,11		+
140		22425,60792		+		48930,72		+
141		22566,67443		+		49088,14		+
142		22594,93715		+		49397,32		+
143		22650,86638		+		50121,05		+
144		22783,88567		+		49699,67		-
145		22706,0868		-		48989,65		-
146		22577,23753		-		49210,68		+
147		22617,03789		+		47715,08		-
148		22353,54118		-		48708,09		+
149		22526,95622		+		48006,84		-
150		22403,84188		-		48194,4		+
151		22436,46838		+		47890,75		-
152		22383,761		-		47955,51		+
153		22394,9522		+		48200,39		+
154		22437,51387		+		47943,58		-
155		22392,88856		-		48625,74		+
156		22512,34047		+		48825,83		+
157		22547,92446		+		49525,55		+
158		22674,22326		+		49776,82		+
159		22720,25867		+		49567,61		-
160		22681,90477		-		49800,83		+
161		22724,67573		+		50621,01		+
162		22877,40998		+		50467,53		-
163		22848,56254		-		50551,02		+
164		22864,24002		+		51837,65		+
165		23110,10727		+		52835,66		+
166		23305,84409		+		53247,94		+
167		23387,83995		+		53520,24		+
168		23442,33168		+		56253,95		+
169		24001,6059		+		56985,69		+
170		24154,2179		+		55060,42		-
171		23754,99961		-		56432,58		+
172		24038,77334		+		57532,02		+
173		24268,71187		+		56592,36		-
174		24072,06871		-		57277,66		+
175		24215,35407		+		58983,91		+
176		24574,58218		+		58940,68		-
177		24565,45152		-		58296,28		-
178		24429,48846		-		57598,15		-
179		24282,59799		-		56988,75		-
180		24154,85797		-		57896,31		+
181		24345,26982		+		57227,66		-
182		24204,87553		-		56376,62		-
183		24027,12347		-		57266,53		+
184		24213,02111		+		56940,58		-
185		24144,78393		-		55865,39		-
186		23920,9752		-		56114,11		+
187		23972,55189		+		57175,59		+
188		24193,96736		+		56096,5		-
189		23968,89616		-		55475		-
190		23840,29048		-		55952,65		+
191		23939,05548		+		58107,95		+
192		24389,8139		+		59333,17		+
193		24648,3812		+		59917,84		+
194		24772,00508		+		59812,92		-
195		24749,81648		-		59080,2		-
196		24594,92291		-		59292,68		+
197		24639,82297		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24639.82297279871
New Prediction 1	20951.500612326527
New Prediction 2	21277.160475504646
New Prediction 3	21242.666694048043
New Prediction 4	21246.269452502667
New Prediction 5	21245.892541669535
New Prediction 6	21245.931982795024
New Prediction 7	21245.927840508542
New Prediction 8	21245.928290756296
New Prediction 9	21245.928290756296
New Prediction 10	21245.928290756296
New Prediction 11	21245.928290756296
New Prediction 12	21245.928290756296
New Prediction 13	21245.928290756296
New Prediction 14	21245.928290756296
New Prediction 15	21245.928290756296
New Prediction 16	21245.928290756296
New Prediction 17	21245.928290756296
New Prediction 18	21245.928290756296
New Prediction 19	21245.928290756296
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,04244		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02316		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,0499		-			-0,31841		+
4		-0,0072		+			1,47909		+
5		0,03863		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03766		-			-4,78116		-
7		-0,10985		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00505		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00049		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,00101		-		1,78138		+
11		0,01415		+			2,19907		+
12		0,04248		+			1,15482		-
13		0,03391		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00234		-		2,28597		+
15		0,09085		+			0,99518		-
16		0,05021		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,0985		-			-0,32834		+
18		-0,01276		+		1,22623		+
19		0,05121		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,05309		-		0,77528		+
21		0,031		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02458		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05585		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05558		-			1,50272		+
25		0,08945		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01373		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04816		+			0,06847		-
28		0,0047		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01299		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06598		+			0,09		-
31		0,00693		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11744		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05519		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09409		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,0415		-			2,4851		+
36		0,21275		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02582		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,118		-			1,3954		+
39		0,12919		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01678		-		0,516		+
41		0,05086		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03715		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,06193		-		1,34759		+
44		0,13187		+			1,67936		+
45		0,18423		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02353		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00212		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13518		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01329		-			1,01263		+
50		0,13048		+			0,74562		-
51		0,10153		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02388		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,28102		-		1,63492		+
54		0,21214		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08294		-			0,96788		+
56		0,14101		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07187		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13194		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08312		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20738		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10562		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00062		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12316		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,0066		+			-1,80237		-
65		-0,25578		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,41124		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02118		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05319		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,12147		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03251		+			1,66799		+
71		0,18158		+			1,80844		+
72		0,22215		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13325		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09954		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25688		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12204		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01011		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55896		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75551		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17693		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13549		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04162		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33227		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04537		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54546		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39884		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11328		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07241		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50054		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00802		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13252		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40812		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12455		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36629		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22918		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24616		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12525		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39876		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50641		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03292		-		2,96359		+
101		0,8324		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17553		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,8491		-			-4,07586		-
104		-1,16549		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10618		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04429		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44965		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75065		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78331		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,4706		+			1,37362		+
111		0,28532		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20369		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50601		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41822		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03456		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30425		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,125		-			-0,7311		-
118		-0,15156		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14761		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17505		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64515		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62828		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30455		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56146		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10543		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09836		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76355		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56579		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03214		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11684		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52021		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24767		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19483		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29433		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41837		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87867		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82713		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21208		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17473		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91599		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62707		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12516		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24722		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58554		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34205		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,56908		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17613		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17188		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77279		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54802		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14552		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23519		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04998		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18987		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19909		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53202		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15794		-			1,42292		+
158		0,55857		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20282		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16895		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18839		+			1,63351		+
162		0,66986		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12618		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06859		+			2,51336		+
165		1,06959		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84341		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35121		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23272		-			4,98164		+
169		2,35773		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63383		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,6666		-			2,46155		+
172		1,18751		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95199		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,81357		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59347		+			2,9354		+
176		1,47258		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03716		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55501		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,6031		-			-1,06366		+
180		-0,52744		+		1,57998		+
181		0,78521		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,57835		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,73707		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77072		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28222		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,93127		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21538		+			1,87398		+
188		0,91938		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,93463		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,538		+			0,85733		+
191		0,41342		+			3,77967		+
192		1,86543		+			2,0866		-
193		1,05456		-			0,98058		-
194		0,5003		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,08961		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,6278		-			0,359		+
197		0,18239		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,21537		+		-16,21537		+
2		1,54239		+			1,54239		+
3		-0,16225		-		-0,16225		-
4		0,01696		+			0,01696		+
5		-0,00177		-		-0,00177		-
6		0,00019		+			0,00019		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29542758881998443

 10.run Duration 	16 seconds 742 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1d0fafc ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.001885535976368459
train epoch 1: 3.601774443701874E-4
train epoch 2: 3.60129512326369E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6008159873068357E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6003370356653603E-4
train epoch 5: 3.599858267268153E-4
train epoch 6: 3.599379681045958E-4
train epoch 7: 3.598901275931753E-4
train epoch 8: 3.5984230508605606E-4
train epoch 9: 3.5979450047694686E-4
train epoch 10: 3.5974671365976635E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5969894452863227E-4
train epoch 12: 3.596511929778706E-4
train epoch 13: 3.59603458902016E-4
train epoch 14: 3.595557421958162E-4
train epoch 15: 3.595080427541973E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5946036047231056E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5941269524549836E-4
train epoch 18: 3.593650469693126E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5931741553951025E-4
train epoch 20: 3.592698008520344E-4
train epoch 21: 3.592222028030466E-4
train epoch 22: 3.591746212889042E-4
train epoch 23: 3.59127056206156E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5907950745155977E-4
train epoch 25: 3.590319749220669E-4
train epoch 26: 3.5898445851482785E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5893695812718807E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5888947365669675E-4
train epoch 29: 3.588420050010999E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5879455205833547E-4
train epoch 31: 3.587471147265397E-4
train epoch 32: 3.586996929040421E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5865228648937004E-4
train epoch 34: 3.586048953812412E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5855751947857503E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5851015868047244E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5846281288624257E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5841548199537005E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5836816590755253E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5832086452265287E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5827357774074553E-4
train epoch 42: 3.5822630546209573E-4
train epoch 43: 3.581790475871359E-4
train epoch 44: 3.58131804016518E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5808457465106815E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5803735939179374E-4
train epoch 47: 3.579901581399083E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5794297079680214E-4
train epoch 49: 3.578957972640626E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5942032374876997
mae:0.7312069267154487
rmse:0.7708457935850073
mape:6.941016884996202
corr:0.9715201590027331
theil coefficient:27.305400176890327
net profit:44.79712487793531
buy and hold:-6.925128593536516E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2273965729844432
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20709,99576		+		32155,21		+
1		20716,83967		+		32389,47		+
2		20720,8365		+		31833,73		-
3		20712,42318		-		31732,53		-
4		20711,28894		-		32205,37		+
5		20717,64028		+		32563,26		+
6		20724,22522		+		31042,99		-
7		20706,82793		-		30820,77		-
8		20706,60512		-		30789,2		-
9		20706,62152		+		30707,06		-
10		20706,7202		+		31258,97		+
11		20707,61207		+		31953,99		+
12		20713,9305		+		32325,14		+
13		20719,67361		+		32302,07		-
14		20719,26862		-		33048,99		+
15		20735,6066		+		33379,53		+
16		20744,95675		+		32684,23		-
17		20726,79679		-		32577,09		-
18		20724,51038		-		32979,02		+
19		20733,79386		+		32560,89		-
20		20724,17658		-		32814,31		+
21		20729,75671		+		32615,92		-
22		20725,3232		-		33044,36		+
23		20735,48485		+		33408,62		+
24		20745,84172		+		33914,45		+
25		20762,83207		+		33841,77		-
26		20760,20473		-		34090,39		+
27		20769,45019		+		34113,74		+
28		20770,35593		+		34177,52		+
29		20772,86265		+		34486,01		+
30		20785,66198		+		34517,06		+
31		20787,0121		+		33954		-
32		20764,28797		-		34229,07		+
33		20774,92368		+		34656,83		+
34		20793,2294		+		34473,76		-
35		20785,13243		-		35341,2		+
36		20826,96106		+		35436,38		+
37		20832,08312		+		34985,45		-
38		20808,74637		-		35477,06		+
39		20834,30427		+		35415,91		-
40		20830,9727		-		35599,13		+
41		20841,08397		+		35465,95		-
42		20833,69576		-		35235,93		-
43		20821,41816		-		35713,98		+
44		20847,61953		+		36318,81		+
45		20884,53422		+		36244,96		-
46		20879,80289		-		36238,27		-
47		20879,37736		-		36651,61		+
48		20906,62428		+		36690,84		+
49		20909,31086		+		37064,27		+
50		20935,75243		+		37341,66		+
51		20956,4055		+		37405,4		+
52		20961,27248		+		36616,43		-
53		20904,22985		-		37220		+
54		20947,24154		+		37442,67		+
55		20964,13922		+		37806,83		+
56		20992,95921		+		37986,17		+
57		21007,68955		+		37653,78		-
58		20980,66812		-		37864,77		+
59		20997,67957		+		38368,66		+
60		21040,28088		+		38115,81		-
61		21018,55721		-		38117,31		+
62		21018,68402		+		37812,55		-
63		20993,42357		-		37795,9		-
64		20992,0729		-		37120,78		-
65		20939,89014		-		35873,33		-
66		20856,93867		-		35801,57		-
67		20852,70587		-		35980,06		+
68		20863,3434		+		35563,59		-
69		20839,09234		-		35678,19		+
70		20845,56661		+		36278,29		+
71		20881,93055		+		36940,33		+
72		20926,80275		+		37308,42		+
73		20953,88534		+		37571,76		+
74		20974,18771		+		38213,14		+
75		21026,83696		+		38501,45		+
76		21051,96753		+		38524,92		+
77		21054,05289		+		39739,74		+
78		21170,02126		+		41191,35		+
79		21328,66599		+		40866,67		-
80		21291,33538		-		41116,03		+
81		21319,91277		+		41039,94		-
82		21311,12713		-		40415,4		-
83		21241,20262		-		40502,58		+
84		21250,72744		+		41505,67		+
85		21365,79689		+		42194,73		+
86		21450,54788		+		42002,34		-
87		21426,42682		-		42125,61		+
88		21441,84142		+		42951,75		+
89		21548,83265		+		42938,85		-
90		21547,1134		-		42724,09		-
91		21518,71598		-		43376,85		+
92		21606,33259		+		43571,25		+
93		21633,16862		+		42993,27		-
94		21554,37652		-		42621,33		-
95		21505,27855		-		43020,51		+
96		21558,02219		+		42818,62		-
97		21531,16327		-		42158,4		-
98		21445,96603		-		42992,3		+
99		21554,24678		+		42939,38		-
100		21547,18405		-		44230,97		+
101		21726,71773		+		45924,25		+
102		21983,54977		+		44714,51		-
103		21797,65766		-		42928,65		-
104		21545,75507		-		42756,7		-
105		21523,00062		-		42828,64		+
106		21532,48751		+		43542,17		+
107		21629,13289		+		42333,2		-
108		21468,12565		-		40959,96		-
109		21301,95421		-		40059,32		-
110		21203,10397		-		40613,38		+
111		21262,94387		+		40220,55		-
112		21220,19403		-		39180,23		-
113		21114,6664		-		40047,06		+
114		21201,81531		+		40115,67		+
115		21209,0466		+		40702,82		+
116		21272,89567		+		40465,11		-
117		21246,62421		-		40170,35		-
118		21214,84436		-		39875,77		-
119		21183,97375		-		39515,79		-
120		21147,47058		-		40789,03		+
121		21282,56417		+		41914,3		+
122		21415,50636		+		42429,06		+
123		21480,40018		+		43336,22		+
124		21600,76643		+		43169,58		-
125		21578,09264		-		43325,09		+
126		21599,24425		+		44489,37		+
127		21764,38181		+		43633,67		-
128		21641,85674		-		43683,33		+
129		21648,79334		+		43862,73		+
130		21674,03288		+		44641,85		+
131		21786,872		+		45002,63		+
132		21840,85713		+		45282,32		+
133		21883,44333		+		45698,49		+
134		21947,97304		+		45104,65		-
135		21856,3172		-		46335,45		+
136		22049,35774		+		47443,65		+
137		22232,94925		+		47163,5		-
138		22185,70353		-		46930,71		-
139		22146,86803		-		48132,11		+
140		22351,34792		+		48930,72		+
141		22492,58728		+		49088,14		+
142		22520,89988		+		49397,32		+
143		22576,94198		+		50121,05		+
144		22710,30137		+		49699,67		-
145		22632,29167		-		48989,65		-
146		22503,16845		-		49210,68		+
147		22543,043		+		47715,08		-
148		22279,24511		-		48708,09		+
149		22452,80735		+		48006,84		-
150		22329,56709		-		48194,4		+
151		22362,21699		+		47890,75		-
152		22309,47553		-		47955,51		+
153		22320,67233		+		48200,39		+
154		22363,26335		+		47943,58		-
155		22318,60759		-		48625,74		+
156		22438,1714		+		48825,83		+
157		22473,80693		+		49525,55		+
158		22600,35142		+		49776,82		+
159		22646,49949		+		49567,61		-
160		22608,0509		-		49800,83		+
161		22650,92797		+		50621,01		+
162		22804,12131		+		50467,53		-
163		22775,17794		-		50551,02		+
164		22790,90703		+		51837,65		+
165		23037,73691		+		52835,66		+
166		23234,42721		+		53247,94		+
167		23316,86688		+		53520,24		+
168		23371,66716		+		56253,95		+
169		23934,66398		+		56985,69		+
170		24088,44626		+		55060,42		-
171		23686,29919		-		56432,58		+
172		23972,11092		+		57532,02		+
173		24203,85608		+		56592,36		-
174		24005,65973		-		57277,66		+
175		24150,06756		+		58983,91		+
176		24512,31867		+		58940,68		-
177		24503,10775		-		58296,28		-
178		24365,96998		-		57598,15		-
179		24217,85539		-		56988,75		-
180		24089,09136		-		57896,31		+
181		24281,04359		+		57227,66		-
182		24139,50523		-		56376,62		-
183		23960,37305		-		57266,53		+
184		24147,71592		+		56940,58		-
185		24078,93823		-		55865,39		-
186		23853,43961		-		56114,11		+
187		23905,39403		+		57175,59		+
188		24128,5101		+		56096,5		-
189		23901,71128		-		55475		-
190		23772,17877		-		55952,65		+
191		23871,65148		+		58107,95		+
192		24325,96005		+		59333,17		+
193		24586,77252		+		59917,84		+
194		24711,51696		+		59812,92		-
195		24689,12511		-		59080,2		-
196		24532,8388		-		59292,68		+
197		24578,1378		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24578.137797180163
New Prediction 1	20939.736919316834
New Prediction 2	21279.016170180832
New Prediction 3	21241.501808952416
New Prediction 4	21245.592572822265
New Prediction 5	21245.1458300468
New Prediction 6	21245.194530015557
New Prediction 7	21245.189265056702
New Prediction 8	21245.189829158317
New Prediction 9	21245.189735141354
New Prediction 10	21245.189735141354
New Prediction 11	21245.189735141354
New Prediction 12	21245.189735141354
New Prediction 13	21245.189735141354
New Prediction 14	21245.189735141354
New Prediction 15	21245.189735141354
New Prediction 16	21245.189735141354
New Prediction 17	21245.189735141354
New Prediction 18	21245.189735141354
New Prediction 19	21245.189735141354
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03304		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01929		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04061		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00548		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03066		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03178		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,08398		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00108		+		-0,10248		+
9		0,00008		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00048		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00431		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03051		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02772		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00195		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07882		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04508		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08758		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01103		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04478		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,0464		-			0,77528		+
21		0,02692		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02139		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04902		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04994		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08186		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01265		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04452		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00436		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01207		+			0,89856		+
30		0,0616		+			0,09		-
31		0,0065		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10938		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05121		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08808		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03895		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20104		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02459		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11209		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12275		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01599		-		0,516		+
41		0,04853		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03546		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05895		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12576		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17691		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02266		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00204		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13041		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01285		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12638		+			0,74562		-
51		0,0986		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02322		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,2725		-			1,63492		+
54		0,20554		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08064		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13738		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07014		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12871		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08105		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20268		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,1033		-			0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12025		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00643		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24889		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39693		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,0203		+			0,49731		+
68		0,051		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11631		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03106		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17429		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21465		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12933		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09684		-			1,69267		+
75		0,2507		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11945		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00991		-			3,10464		+
78		0,5493		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74659		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17518		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13413		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04122		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32865		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04483		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54002		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39588		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11251		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07192		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49774		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00798		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13188		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40634		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12413		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36488		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22805		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24496		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12467		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39648		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50363		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03277		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82976		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17517		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84919		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16237		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10567		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04407		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44783		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74718		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77705		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46512		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28182		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20126		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49854		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41189		+			0,17118		-
115		0,0341		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30059		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12357		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14969		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14562		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17246		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63679		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62271		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30256		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55879		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10502		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09798		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76164		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56455		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03205		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11652		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51927		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24748		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19479		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29445		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41848		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87935		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82919		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21273		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,1752		+			2,52773		+
140		0,91905		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62992		-			0,3212		-
142		0,1258		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24854		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58895		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34409		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57216		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17704		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,1771		-			2,05976		+
149		0,77601		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,5504		-			0,38993		+
151		0,14611		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23613		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05018		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19063		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19988		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53428		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15869		-			1,42292		+
158		0,5615		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20398		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16992		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18947		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67405		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,127		-			0,1653		+
164		0,06904		+			2,51336		+
165		1,0772		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85015		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35419		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23475		-			4,98164		+
169		2,38033		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64045		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,68355		-		2,46155		+
172		1,19943		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96209		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82223		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59976		+			2,9354		+
176		1,48886		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03758		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56125		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60973		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53311		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79368		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58462		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74484		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77885		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28523		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94091		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21757		+			1,87398		+
188		0,929		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94441		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54341		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41757		+			3,77967		+
192		1,88525		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06645		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50608		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09065		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63503		-		0,359		+
197		0,18448		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,02087		+		-16,02087		+
2		1,60728		+			1,60728		+
3		-0,17645		-		-0,17645		-
4		0,01926		+			0,01926		+
5		-0,0021		-			-0,0021		-
6		0,00023		+			0,00023		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2971016187438498

 11.run Duration 	16 seconds 210 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@10dc6b5 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.003576234026200596
train epoch 1: 3.6197298088565813E-4
train epoch 2: 3.619205050856898E-4
train epoch 3: 3.618688891332293E-4
train epoch 4: 3.618173734319621E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6176587719484487E-4
train epoch 6: 3.617144002590112E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6166294246189385E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6161203572949145E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6156477405256915E-4
train epoch 10: 3.615250836053617E-4
train epoch 11: 3.61494008244443E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6146722950176587E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6144045814027207E-4
train epoch 14: 3.614136941112212E-4
train epoch 15: 3.613869373659449E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6136018785582993E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6133344553233003E-4
train epoch 18: 3.613067103469412E-4
train epoch 19: 3.612799822512287E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6125326119680834E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6122654713536075E-4
train epoch 22: 3.611998400186296E-4
train epoch 23: 3.6117313979839395E-4
train epoch 24: 3.6114644642652597E-4
train epoch 25: 3.6111975985492325E-4
train epoch 26: 3.610930800355602E-4
train epoch 27: 3.610664069204584E-4
train epoch 28: 3.6103974046170314E-4
train epoch 29: 3.6101308061142973E-4
train epoch 30: 3.6098642732184E-4
train epoch 31: 3.609597805451808E-4
train epoch 32: 3.609331402337587E-4
train epoch 33: 3.6090650633994586E-4
train epoch 34: 3.608798788161639E-4
train epoch 35: 3.608532576148867E-4
train epoch 36: 3.6082664268865454E-4
train epoch 37: 3.6080003399005506E-4
train epoch 38: 3.6077343147173415E-4
train epoch 39: 3.607468350863868E-4
train epoch 40: 3.6072024478676895E-4
train epoch 41: 3.6069366052570497E-4
train epoch 42: 3.6066708225605067E-4
train epoch 43: 3.606405099307302E-4
train epoch 44: 3.606139435027192E-4
train epoch 45: 3.605873829250434E-4
train epoch 46: 3.605608281508013E-4
train epoch 47: 3.6053427913312604E-4
train epoch 48: 3.605077358252108E-4
train epoch 49: 3.604811981803061E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5974199425803662
mae:0.7334166046678177
rmse:0.7729294551124095
mape:6.973307965882312
corr:0.9699975712983189
theil coefficient:27.348803606671257
net profit:44.58686663711372
buy and hold:-6.957785415272632E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2263292722696128
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20659,08965		+		32155,21		+
1		20663,93622		+		32389,47		+
2		20667,1154		+		31833,73		-
3		20660,66724		-		31732,53		-
4		20659,90026		-		32205,37		+
5		20664,56044		+		32563,26		+
6		20669,90772		+		31042,99		-
7		20658,01723		-		30820,77		-
8		20658,65287		+		30789,2		-
9		20658,7923		+		30707,06		-
10		20659,21235		+		31258,97		+
11		20657,97983		-		31953,99		+
12		20661,74188		+		32325,14		+
13		20666,17548		+		32302,07		-
14		20665,85074		-		33048,99		+
15		20679,66879		+		33379,53		+
16		20687,956		+		32684,23		-
17		20672,06932		-		32577,09		-
18		20670,1458		-		32979,02		+
19		20678,0852		+		32560,89		-
20		20669,86716		-		32814,31		+
21		20674,59315		+		32615,92		-
22		20670,82672		-		33044,36		+
23		20679,56215		+		33408,62		+
24		20688,74899		+		33914,45		+
25		20704,18028		+		33841,77		-
26		20701,77221		-		34090,39		+
27		20710,27423		+		34113,74		+
28		20711,11111		+		34177,52		+
29		20713,43059		+		34486,01		+
30		20725,34183		+		34517,06		+
31		20726,60418		+		33954		-
32		20705,51753		-		34229,07		+
33		20715,34119		+		34656,83		+
34		20732,43006		+		34473,76		-
35		20724,84698		-		35341,2		+
36		20764,33254		+		35436,38		+
37		20769,21177		+		34985,45		-
38		20747,05052		-		35477,06		+
39		20771,32999		+		35415,91		-
40		20768,15333		-		35599,13		+
41		20777,80398		+		35465,95		-
42		20770,74954		-		35235,93		-
43		20759,06151		-		35713,98		+
44		20784,05618		+		36318,81		+
45		20819,54737		+		36244,96		-
46		20814,98364		-		36238,27		-
47		20814,57337		-		36651,61		+
48		20840,90366		+		36690,84		+
49		20843,50607		+		37064,27		+
50		20869,17103		+		37341,66		+
51		20889,2761		+		37405,4		+
52		20894,02064		+		36616,43		-
53		20838,58513		-		37220		+
54		20880,34945		+		37442,67		+
55		20896,81638		+		37806,83		+
56		20924,9662		+		37986,17		+
57		20939,38215		+		37653,78		-
58		20912,95159		-		37864,77		+
59		20929,58386		+		38368,66		+
60		20971,3375		+		38115,81		-
61		20950,02899		-		38117,31		+
62		20950,15327		+		37812,55		-
63		20925,42037		-		37795,9		-
64		20924,09939		-		37120,78		-
65		20873,19511		-		35873,33		-
66		20792,98906		-		35801,57		-
67		20788,92921		-		35980,06		+
68		20799,13956		+		35563,59		-
69		20775,90088		-		35678,19		+
70		20782,09112		+		36278,29		+
71		20817,03545		+		36940,33		+
72		20860,47417		+		37308,42		+
73		20886,8203		+		37571,76		+
74		20906,62244		+		38213,14		+
75		20958,1465		+		38501,45		+
76		20982,81435		+		38524,92		+
77		20984,86322		+		39739,74		+
78		21099,18424		+		41191,35		+
79		21256,47795		+		40866,67		-
80		21219,39163		-		41116,03		+
81		21247,77844		+		41039,94		-
82		21239,04888		-		40415,4		-
83		21169,65365		-		40502,58		+
84		21179,09717		+		41505,67		+
85		21293,40384		+		42194,73		+
86		21377,813		+		42002,34		-
87		21353,7726		-		42125,61		+
88		21369,13421		+		42951,75		+
89		21475,89039		+		42938,85		-
90		21474,17321		-		42724,09		-
91		21445,81775		-		43376,85		+
92		21533,34988		+		43571,25		+
93		21560,1854		+		42993,27		-
94		21481,42791		-		42621,33		-
95		21432,40534		-		43020,51		+
96		21485,06971		+		42818,62		-
97		21458,24485		-		42158,4		-
98		21373,24551		-		42992,3		+
99		21481,29832		+		42939,38		-
100		21474,24378		-		44230,97		+
101		21653,81582		+		45924,25		+
102		21911,42629		+		44714,51		-
103		21724,8956		-		42928,65		-
104		21472,81656		-		42756,7		-
105		21450,09512		-		42828,64		+
106		21459,56711		+		43542,17		+
107		21556,14903		+		42333,2		-
108		21395,33976		-		40959,96		-
109		21229,93686		-		40059,32		-
110		21131,91207		-		40613,38		+
111		21191,21376		+		40220,55		-
112		21148,83546		-		39180,23		-
113		21044,5293		-		40047,06		+
114		21130,63643		+		40115,67		+
115		21137,79551		+		40702,82		+
116		21201,0878		+		40465,11		-
117		21175,02858		-		40170,35		-
118		21143,53679		-		39875,77		-
119		21112,98169		-		39515,79		-
120		21076,90168		-		40789,03		+
121		21210,68375		+		41914,3		+
122		21342,89286		+		42429,06		+
123		21407,58243		+		43336,22		+
124		21527,78525		+		43169,58		-
125		21505,12289		-		43325,09		+
126		21526,26357		+		44489,37		+
127		21691,54628		+		43633,67		-
128		21568,87574		-		43683,33		+
129		21575,81492		+		43862,73		+
130		21601,06985		+		44641,85		+
131		21714,08465		+		45002,63		+
132		21768,21012		+		45282,32		+
133		21810,93035		+		45698,49		+
134		21875,69972		+		45104,65		-
135		21783,71655		-		46335,45		+
136		21977,54252		+		47443,65		+
137		22162,18537		+		47163,5		-
138		22114,64414		-		46930,71		-
139		22075,57821		-		48132,11		+
140		22281,39293		+		48930,72		+
141		22423,71261		+		49088,14		+
142		22452,25552		+		49397,32		+
143		22508,76614		+		50121,05		+
144		22643,30363		+		49699,67		-
145		22564,59434		-		48989,65		-
146		22434,37934		-		49210,68		+
147		22474,58179		+		47715,08		-
148		22208,78626		-		48708,09		+
149		22383,61659		+		48006,84		-
150		22259,45631		-		48194,4		+
151		22292,34085		+		47890,75		-
152		22239,22377		-		47955,51		+
153		22250,49881		+		48200,39		+
154		22293,39485		+		47943,58		-
155		22248,41958		-		48625,74		+
156		22368,86661		+		48825,83		+
157		22404,78192		+		49525,55		+
158		22532,3761		+		49776,82		+
159		22578,92742		+		49567,61		-
160		22540,14212		-		49800,83		+
161		22583,39515		+		50621,01		+
162		22738,00142		+		50467,53		-
163		22708,78315		-		50551,02		+
164		22724,6612		+		51837,65		+
165		22973,95737		+		52835,66		+
166		23172,76601		+		53247,94		+
167		23256,12847		+		53520,24		+
168		23311,55256		+		56253,95		+
169		23881,35856		+		56985,69		+
170		24037,10304		+		55060,42		-
171		23629,90887		-		56432,58		+
172		23919,27995		+		57532,02		+
173		24154,00776		+		56592,36		-
174		23953,2557		-		57277,66		+
175		24099,5203		+		58983,91		+
176		24466,54338		+		58940,68		-
177		24457,20943		-		58296,28		-
178		24318,24954		-		57598,15		-
179		24168,18958		-		56988,75		-
180		24037,75645		-		57896,31		+
181		24232,2046		+		57227,66		-
182		24088,82117		-		56376,62		-
183		23907,39312		-		57266,53		+
184		24097,13819		+		56940,58		-
185		24027,47268		-		55865,39		-
186		23799,11308		-		56114,11		+
187		23851,71936		+		57175,59		+
188		24077,6838		+		56096,5		-
189		23847,99026		-		55475		-
190		23716,84226		-		55952,65		+
191		23817,55292		+		58107,95		+
192		24277,71165		+		59333,17		+
193		24541,99439		+		59917,84		+
194		24668,41941		+		59812,92		-
195		24645,72506		-		59080,2		-
196		24487,33786		-		59292,68		+
197		24533,24378		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24533.24378453358
New Prediction 1	20924.17590160895
New Prediction 2	21281.56529278715
New Prediction 3	21240.021550110196
New Prediction 4	21244.783820733937
New Prediction 5	21244.237027007777
New Prediction 6	21244.29979121894
New Prediction 7	21244.29257565021
New Prediction 8	21244.293366395483
New Prediction 9	21244.293366395483
New Prediction 10	21244.293366395483
New Prediction 11	21244.293366395483
New Prediction 12	21244.293366395483
New Prediction 13	21244.293366395483
New Prediction 14	21244.293366395483
New Prediction 15	21244.293366395483
New Prediction 16	21244.293366395483
New Prediction 17	21244.293366395483
New Prediction 18	21244.293366395483
New Prediction 19	21244.293366395483
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02346		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01538		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,0312		-			-0,31841		+
4		-0,00371		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02255		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02587		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,05754		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00308		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00067		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00203		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00597		-		2,19907		+
12		0,01821		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02146		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00157		-		2,28597		+
15		0,06684		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04007		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,07682		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00931		+		1,22623		+
19		0,0384		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,03975		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02286		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01822		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04225		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04441		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07456		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01163		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04106		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00404		-			0,18679		+
29		0,0112		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05749		+			0,09		-
31		0,00609		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10179		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04743		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08246		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03658		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19034		+			0,26896		-
37		0,0235		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10676		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11696		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01529		-		0,516		+
41		0,04646		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03396		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05629		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12033		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17062		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02192		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00197		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12642		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01249		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12306		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09629		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02271		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26567		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20022		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07883		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13462		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06887		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,1263		-			0,55878		+
59		0,0795		+			1,32199		+
60		0,1993		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10166		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00059		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11813		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00631		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24358		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,38499		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01953		+		0,49731		+
68		0,0491		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11179		-		0,32172		+
70		0,02979		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16801		+			1,80844		+
72		0,20845		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12622		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09476		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24615		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11763		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00976		-			3,10464		+
78		0,5433		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74273		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17462		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13369		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04109		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32727		-		0,21548		+
84		0,0446		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53826		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39563		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11252		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07191		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49834		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,008		-			-0,50141		-
91		-0,13213		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40732		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12455		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36596		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22847		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24542		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12493		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,3969		-			1,95871		+
99		0,50428		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03285		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83274		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18266		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85494		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16711		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10587		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04415		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44905		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,7488		-			-3,29766		-
109		-0,77608		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,4628		+			1,37362		+
111		0,28023		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20018		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49442		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40833		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03387		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29898		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12299		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14883		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14462		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17104		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63273		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62138		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30264		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55993		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10533		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09826		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76489		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56713		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03217		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11698		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52183		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24895		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19606		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29652		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42137		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88584		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83663		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21475		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17681		+		2,52773		+
140		0,928		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63671		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12721		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25138		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59593		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34821		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57875		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17904		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,1897		-			2,05976		+
149		0,78413		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55624		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14762		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23856		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05069		+			0,50934		+
154		0,1926		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20195		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53991		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16043		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56788		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20638		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17192		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19171		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68227		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12858		-		0,1653		+
164		0,0699		+			2,51336		+
165		1,09106		+			1,90696		-
166		0,86164		-			0,77728		-
167		0,3591		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23804		-			4,98164		+
169		2,41491		+			1,29239		-
170		0,65004		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70854		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21716		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97655		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83461		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60877		+			2,9354		+
176		1,51147		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03816		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,5698		-			-1,20478		-
179		-0,61898		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,54115		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80567		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59346		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75601		-		1,56618		+
184		0,79053		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28952		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95496		-		0,44422		+
187		0,2208		+			1,87398		+
188		0,94291		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95855		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,55145		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42374		+			3,77967		+
192		1,91359		+			2,0866		-
193		1,0827		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51382		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09204		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64473		-		0,359		+
197		0,18729		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,91239		+		-15,91239		+
2		1,6936		+			1,6936		+
3		-0,1954		-			-0,1954		-
4		0,02242		+			0,02242		+
5		-0,00257		-		-0,00257		-
6		0,0003		+			0,0003		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2987099712901831

 12.run Duration 	15 seconds 960 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@170bea5 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.004808233421396761
train epoch 1: 3.6239203717305593E-4
train epoch 2: 3.623304911548485E-4
train epoch 3: 3.622696118848746E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6220875935048173E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6214793332569754E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6208713361308027E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6202636001560104E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6196561252227884E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6190489201648745E-4
train epoch 10: 3.618454351255513E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6179168492966656E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6174771850789244E-4
train epoch 13: 3.617156372420416E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6168778280734344E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6165993648913154E-4
train epoch 16: 3.616320982360343E-4
train epoch 17: 3.616042679967299E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6157644571996485E-4
train epoch 19: 3.615486313545618E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6152082484939034E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6149302615339494E-4
train epoch 22: 3.614652352155755E-4
train epoch 23: 3.614374519850143E-4
train epoch 24: 3.6140967641083287E-4
train epoch 25: 3.613819084422317E-4
train epoch 26: 3.613541480284652E-4
train epoch 27: 3.613263951188469E-4
train epoch 28: 3.612986496627674E-4
train epoch 29: 3.612709116096724E-4
train epoch 30: 3.612431809090563E-4
train epoch 31: 3.6121545751050335E-4
train epoch 32: 3.6118774136363775E-4
train epoch 33: 3.6116003241814913E-4
train epoch 34: 3.611323306237937E-4
train epoch 35: 3.611046359303867E-4
train epoch 36: 3.610769482878076E-4
train epoch 37: 3.6104926764598464E-4
train epoch 38: 3.610215939549218E-4
train epoch 39: 3.609939271646788E-4
train epoch 40: 3.6096626722537394E-4
train epoch 41: 3.609386140871883E-4
train epoch 42: 3.609109677003548E-4
train epoch 43: 3.608833280151774E-4
train epoch 44: 3.608556949820167E-4
train epoch 45: 3.608280685512967E-4
train epoch 46: 3.608004486734838E-4
train epoch 47: 3.6077283529912466E-4
train epoch 48: 3.6074522837881373E-4
train epoch 49: 3.607176278632113E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5980930270091164
mae:0.7338455519662567
rmse:0.7733647438363843
mape:6.978182501869558
corr:0.9696893042807871
theil coefficient:27.36718178328482
net profit:44.431091454256226
buy and hold:-6.982179375895077E-4
mean profit per trade:0.225538535300793
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20651,82836		+		32155,21		+
1		20656,30602		+		32389,47		+
2		20659,33059		+		31833,73		-
3		20653,25044		-		31732,53		-
4		20652,55092		-		32205,37		+
5		20656,89706		+		32563,26		+
6		20662,00873		+		31042,99		-
7		20651,13094		-		30820,77		-
8		20651,91698		+		30789,2		-
9		20652,07783		+		30707,06		-
10		20652,55363		+		31258,97		+
11		20650,94789		-		31953,99		+
12		20654,24508		+		32325,14		+
13		20658,43305		+		32302,07		-
14		20658,12352		-		33048,99		+
15		20671,45306		+		33379,53		+
16		20679,52688		+		32684,23		-
17		20664,0911		-		32577,09		-
18		20662,23773		-		32979,02		+
19		20669,91488		+		32560,89		-
20		20661,96972		-		32814,31		+
21		20666,52999		+		32615,92		-
22		20662,89321		-		33044,36		+
23		20671,34943		+		33408,62		+
24		20680,30117		+		33914,45		+
25		20695,40973		+		33841,77		-
26		20693,04775		-		34090,39		+
27		20701,39248		+		34113,74		+
28		20702,21464		+		34177,52		+
29		20704,49398		+		34486,01		+
30		20716,21213		+		34517,06		+
31		20717,45515		+		33954		-
32		20696,72194		-		34229,07		+
33		20706,37219		+		34656,83		+
34		20723,19422		+		34473,76		-
35		20715,72492		-		35341,2		+
36		20754,67729		+		35436,38		+
37		20759,49896		+		34985,45		-
38		20737,61211		-		35477,06		+
39		20761,59264		+		35415,91		-
40		20758,45288		-		35599,13		+
41		20767,99318		+		35465,95		-
42		20761,01888		-		35235,93		-
43		20749,47016		-		35713,98		+
44		20774,17658		+		36318,81		+
45		20809,31023		+		36244,96		-
46		20804,78971		-		36238,27		-
47		20804,38337		-		36651,61		+
48		20830,47335		+		36690,84		+
49		20833,05316		+		37064,27		+
50		20858,50483		+		37341,66		+
51		20878,45366		+		37405,4		+
52		20883,16257		+		36616,43		-
53		20828,17512		-		37220		+
54		20869,5953		+		37442,67		+
55		20885,93753		+		37806,83		+
56		20913,88608		+		37986,17		+
57		20928,20417		+		37653,78		-
58		20901,95565		-		37864,77		+
59		20918,47203		+		38368,66		+
60		20959,95361		+		38115,81		-
61		20938,78079		-		38117,31		+
62		20938,90426		+		37812,55		-
63		20914,33712		-		37795,9		-
64		20913,02526		-		37120,78		-
65		20862,49692		-		35873,33		-
66		20783,01447		-		35801,57		-
67		20778,99733		-		35980,06		+
68		20789,10166		+		35563,59		-
69		20766,11143		-		35678,19		+
70		20772,23292		+		36278,29		+
71		20806,822		+		36940,33		+
72		20849,87838		+		37308,42		+
73		20876,01648		+		37571,76		+
74		20895,67185		+		38213,14		+
75		20946,84586		+		38501,45		+
76		20971,35988		+		38524,92		+
77		20973,39633		+		39739,74		+
78		21087,09504		+		41191,35		+
79		21243,70134		+		40866,67		-
80		21206,76325		-		41116,03		+
81		21235,03594		+		41039,94		-
82		21226,34099		-		40415,4		-
83		21157,23664		-		40502,58		+
84		21166,63885		+		41505,67		+
85		21280,48684		+		42194,73		+
86		21364,5991		+		42002,34		-
87		21340,64007		-		42125,61		+
88		21355,9494		+		42951,75		+
89		21462,36791		+		42938,85		-
90		21460,65584		-		42724,09		-
91		21432,38611		-		43376,85		+
92		21519,66238		+		43571,25		+
93		21546,42443		+		42993,27		-
94		21467,88905		-		42621,33		-
95		21419,01525		-		43020,51		+
96		21471,52013		+		42818,62		-
97		21444,77528		-		42158,4		-
98		21360,04688		-		42992,3		+
99		21467,75984		+		42939,38		-
100		21460,72619		-		44230,97		+
101		21639,81501		+		45924,25		+
102		21896,8782		+		44714,51		-
103		21710,7284		-		42928,65		-
104		21459,30322		-		42756,7		-
105		21436,65036		-		42828,64		+
106		21446,09354		+		43542,17		+
107		21542,39897		+		42333,2		-
108		21382,06802		-		40959,96		-
109		21217,26557		-		40059,32		-
110		21119,66616		-		40613,38		+
111		21178,70327		+		40220,55		-
112		21136,51161		-		39180,23		-
113		21032,72158		-		40047,06		+
114		21118,39647		+		40115,67		+
115		21125,52227		+		40702,82		+
116		21188,53546		+		40465,11		-
117		21162,58799		-		40170,35		-
118		21131,23713		-		39875,77		-
119		21100,82543		-		39515,79		-
120		21064,92408		-		40789,03		+
121		21198,09131		+		41914,3		+
122		21329,79796		+		42429,06		+
123		21394,27102		+		43336,22		+
124		21514,11326		+		43169,58		-
125		21491,5151		-		43325,09		+
126		21512,59584		+		44489,37		+
127		21677,45555		+		43633,67		-
128		21555,09144		-		43683,33		+
129		21562,01216		+		43862,73		+
130		21587,2011		+		44641,85		+
131		21699,94194		+		45002,63		+
132		21753,94759		+		45282,32		+
133		21796,57804		+		45698,49		+
134		21861,21884		+		45104,65		-
135		21769,42095		-		46335,45		+
136		21962,87661		+		47443,65		+
137		22147,23171		+		47163,5		-
138		22099,7591		-		46930,71		-
139		22060,75233		-		48132,11		+
140		22266,2825		+		48930,72		+
141		22408,44155		+		49088,14		+
142		22436,95549		+		49397,32		+
143		22493,41178		+		50121,05		+
144		22627,83542		+		49699,67		-
145		22549,19015		-		48989,65		-
146		22419,09734		-		49210,68		+
147		22459,25982		+		47715,08		-
148		22193,76878		-		48708,09		+
149		22368,38802		+		48006,84		-
150		22244,37315		-		48194,4		+
151		22277,21708		+		47890,75		-
152		22224,16638		-		47955,51		+
153		22235,42699		+		48200,39		+
154		22278,2698		+		47943,58		-
155		22233,35041		-		48625,74		+
156		22353,65421		+		48825,83		+
157		22389,53066		+		49525,55		+
158		22517,0002		+		49776,82		+
159		22563,51104		+		49567,61		-
160		22524,75929		-		49800,83		+
161		22567,97502		+		50621,01		+
162		22722,46545		+		50467,53		-
163		22693,26704		-		50551,02		+
164		22709,13418		+		51837,65		+
165		22958,29341		+		52835,66		+
166		23157,03566		+		53247,94		+
167		23240,38071		+		53520,24		+
168		23295,79648		+		56253,95		+
169		23865,6552		+		56985,69		+
170		24021,45434		+		55060,42		-
171		23614,15252		-		56432,58		+
172		23903,58841		+		57532,02		+
173		24138,41052		+		56592,36		-
174		23937,57556		-		57277,66		+
175		24083,89798		+		58983,91		+
176		24451,12557		+		58940,68		-
177		24441,78541		-		58296,28		-
178		24302,73916		-		57598,15		-
179		24152,59918		-		56988,75		-
180		24022,10801		-		57896,31		+
181		24216,64663		+		57227,66		-
182		24073,19414		-		56376,62		-
183		23891,69777		-		57266,53		+
184		24081,51482		+		56940,58		-
185		24011,82012		-		55865,39		-
186		23783,38749		-		56114,11		+
187		23836,00746		+		57175,59		+
188		24062,05196		+		56096,5		-
189		23832,27731		-		55475		-
190		23701,09915		-		55952,65		+
191		23801,8319		+		58107,95		+
192		24262,17828		+		59333,17		+
193		24526,62867		+		59917,84		+
194		24653,14835		+		59812,92		-
195		24630,43634		-		59080,2		-
196		24471,93408		-		59292,68		+
197		24517,87186		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24517.87185794672
New Prediction 1	20923.041808974005
New Prediction 2	21281.796443444393
New Prediction 3	21239.85376172789
New Prediction 4	21244.689791600213
New Prediction 5	21244.13126473718
New Prediction 6	21244.19578590303
New Prediction 7	21244.18832951905
New Prediction 8	21244.18922428289
New Prediction 9	21244.18902544643
New Prediction 10	21244.18912486466
New Prediction 11	21244.18912486466
New Prediction 12	21244.18912486466
New Prediction 13	21244.18912486466
New Prediction 14	21244.18912486466
New Prediction 15	21244.18912486466
New Prediction 16	21244.18912486466
New Prediction 17	21244.18912486466
New Prediction 18	21244.18912486466
New Prediction 19	21244.18912486466
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02168		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01464		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,02943		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00339		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02104		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02474		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,05266		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00381		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00078		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,0023		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00778		-		2,19907		+
12		0,01597		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02027		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,0015		-			2,28597		+
15		0,0645		+			0,99518		-
16		0,03905		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,07467		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00897		+		1,22623		+
19		0,03715		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,03845		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02207		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,0176		-			1,30504		+
23		0,04092		+			1,0963		-
24		0,0433		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07303		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01141		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04032		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00397		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01101		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05658		+			0,09		-
31		0,006		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10013		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04662		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08121		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03605		-		2,4851		+
36		0,18786		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02323		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10549		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11557		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01512		-		0,516		+
41		0,04595		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03359		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05564		-		1,34759		+
44		0,119		+			1,67936		+
45		0,16898		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02173		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00195		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12533		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01238		-			1,01263		+
50		0,1221		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09559		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02255		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26366		-		1,63492		+
54		0,19867		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07828		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13373		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06844		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,1255		-			0,55878		+
59		0,07899		+			1,32199		+
60		0,1981		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10107		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00059		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,1174		-			-0,04404		+
64		-0,00627		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,2419		-			-3,41828		-
66		-0,38171		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01933		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04862		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11065		-		0,32172		+
70		0,02947		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16638		+			1,80844		+
72		0,20672		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12528		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09411		-			1,69267		+
75		0,2446		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11696		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00971		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54065		+			3,58766		+
79		0,73992		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17403		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13323		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04095		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32609		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04443		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53642		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39448		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11221		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07171		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49707		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00798		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13182		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40639		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12428		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36516		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22792		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24483		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12464		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39588		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50301		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03277		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83103		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18092		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85375		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16483		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10562		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04404		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44805		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74704		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77374		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46106		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27915		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19942		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49226		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40651		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03374		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29784		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12254		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14825		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14402		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17029		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63019		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61939		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30181		-			2,11553		+
124		0,5586		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10509		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09804		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76342		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56608		-		0,11375		+
129		0,0321		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11675		+			1,76068		+
131		0,5209		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24857		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19577		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29613		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,4208		-			2,6922		+
136		0,88473		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83589		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21458		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17666		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92734		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63642		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12717		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25131		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59583		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34817		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,5786		-			0,45016		+
147		0,17898		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18914		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78371		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55596		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14754		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23842		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05066		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19249		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20183		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53964		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16037		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56771		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20635		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17189		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19167		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68222		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12858		-		0,1653		+
164		0,0699		+			2,51336		+
165		1,0912		+			1,90696		-
166		0,86194		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35927		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23816		-			4,98164		+
169		2,41675		+			1,29239		-
170		0,6507		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,71011		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21824		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97758		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83549		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60941		+			2,9354		+
176		1,51328		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03821		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,57051		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61971		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,54174		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80657		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59413		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75679		-		1,56618		+
184		0,79135		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28983		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95589		-		0,44422		+
187		0,221		+			1,87398		+
188		0,94386		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95951		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,55194		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42411		+			3,77967		+
192		1,91561		+			2,0866		-
193		1,08407		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51452		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09217		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,6456		-			0,359		+
197		0,18754		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,85513		+		-15,85513		+
2		1,7001		+			1,7001		+
3		-0,19728		-		-0,19728		-
4		0,02277		+			0,02277		+
5		-0,00263		-		-0,00263		-
6		0,0003		+			0,0003		+
7		-0,00004		-		-0,00004		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2990465135045582

 13.run Duration 	19 seconds 74 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@f47396 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 4.9484547922372E-4
train epoch 1: 3.610473316892232E-4
train epoch 2: 3.610018693496593E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6095641158481983E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6091097255083054E-4
train epoch 5: 3.608655521565453E-4
train epoch 6: 3.60820150311002E-4
train epoch 7: 3.607747669234186E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6072940190323444E-4
train epoch 9: 3.606840551603735E-4
train epoch 10: 3.606387270360999E-4
train epoch 11: 3.605934189906475E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6054813235669156E-4
train epoch 13: 3.605028677777296E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6045762249208154E-4
train epoch 15: 3.604123949383899E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6036718502740583E-4
train epoch 17: 3.603219926700595E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6027681777745044E-4
train epoch 19: 3.6023166026083713E-4
train epoch 20: 3.601865200316424E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6014139700144096E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6009629108199836E-4
train epoch 23: 3.6005120218520745E-4
train epoch 24: 3.600061302231483E-4
train epoch 25: 3.599610751080542E-4
train epoch 26: 3.5991603675232287E-4
train epoch 27: 3.598710150685035E-4
train epoch 28: 3.598260099693147E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5978102136763416E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5973604917649923E-4
train epoch 31: 3.596910933091001E-4
train epoch 32: 3.596461536787963E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5960123019909343E-4
train epoch 34: 3.595563227836622E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5951143134632413E-4
train epoch 36: 3.594665558010776E-4
train epoch 37: 3.594216960620481E-4
train epoch 38: 3.593768520435296E-4
train epoch 39: 3.593320236599896E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5928721082602945E-4
train epoch 41: 3.592424134564122E-4
train epoch 42: 3.591976314660505E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5915286477002507E-4
train epoch 44: 3.591081132835618E-4
train epoch 45: 3.590633769220367E-4
train epoch 46: 3.590186556009706E-4
train epoch 47: 3.589739492360684E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5892925774315355E-4
train epoch 49: 3.588845810382259E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5951789983316184
mae:0.7319111689801974
rmse:0.7714784496871046
mape:6.952724674951507
corr:0.971043249894599
theil coefficient:27.309089726182652
net profit:44.84793541101127
buy and hold:-6.917282759113315E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22765449447213842
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20691,11011		+		32155,21		+
1		20697,2974		+		32389,47		+
2		20701,02907		+		31833,73		-
3		20693,25667		-		31732,53		-
4		20692,24354		-		32205,37		+
5		20698,04062		+		32563,26		+
6		20704,22583		+		31042,99		-
7		20688,64339		-		30820,77		-
8		20688,7111		+		30789,2		-
9		20688,76929		+		30707,06		-
10		20688,97729		+		31258,97		+
11		20689,15125		+		31953,99		+
12		20694,62182		+		32325,14		+
13		20699,93827		+		32302,07		-
14		20699,55926		-		33048,99		+
15		20715,09229		+		33379,53		+
16		20724,11037		+		32684,23		-
17		20706,66617		-		32577,09		-
18		20704,49589		-		32979,02		+
19		20713,35176		+		32560,89		-
20		20704,17978		-		32814,31		+
21		20709,4872		+		32615,92		-
22		20705,26645		-		33044,36		+
23		20714,97529		+		33408,62		+
24		20724,96684		+		33914,45		+
25		20741,48006		+		33841,77		-
26		20738,9191		-		34090,39		+
27		20747,94049		+		34113,74		+
28		20748,82563		+		34177,52		+
29		20751,27645		+		34486,01		+
30		20763,8134		+		34517,06		+
31		20765,13785		+		33954		-
32		20742,90014		-		34229,07		+
33		20753,29271		+		34656,83		+
34		20771,24124		+		34473,76		-
35		20763,29401		-		35341,2		+
36		20804,45457		+		35436,38		+
37		20809,50974		+		34985,45		-
38		20786,50113		-		35477,06		+
39		20811,70269		+		35415,91		-
40		20808,4136		-		35599,13		+
41		20818,39917		+		35465,95		-
42		20811,10185		-		35235,93		-
43		20798,98713		-		35713,98		+
44		20824,85834		+		36318,81		+
45		20861,40136		+		36244,96		-
46		20856,71265		-		36238,27		-
47		20856,29102		-		36651,61		+
48		20883,30887		+		36690,84		+
49		20885,97496		+		37064,27		+
50		20912,23232		+		37341,66		+
51		20932,76124		+		37405,4		+
52		20937,60122		+		36616,43		-
53		20880,933		-		37220		+
54		20923,6504		+		37442,67		+
55		20940,45243		+		37806,83		+
56		20969,13096		+		37986,17		+
57		20983,79846		+		37653,78		-
58		20956,89707		-		37864,77		+
59		20973,83053		+		38368,66		+
60		21016,27073		+		38115,81		-
61		20994,62349		-		38117,31		+
62		20994,74982		+		37812,55		-
63		20969,59325		-		37795,9		-
64		20968,24863		-		37120,78		-
65		20916,34387		-		35873,33		-
66		20834,07456		-		35801,57		-
67		20829,88766		-		35980,06		+
68		20840,41236		+		35563,59		-
69		20816,43155		-		35678,19		+
70		20822,82902		+		36278,29		+
71		20858,82098		+		36940,33		+
72		20903,34161		+		37308,42		+
73		20930,25538		+		37571,76		+
74		20950,44865		+		38213,14		+
75		21002,87276		+		38501,45		+
76		21027,9208		+		38524,92		+
77		21029,99995		+		39739,74		+
78		21145,75048		+		41191,35		+
79		21304,39676		+		40866,67		-
80		21267,0415		-		41116,03		+
81		21295,63659		+		41039,94		-
82		21286,84468		-		40415,4		-
83		21216,89761		-		40502,58		+
84		21226,42246		+		41505,67		+
85		21341,56462		+		42194,73		+
86		21426,44116		+		42002,34		-
87		21402,27895		-		42125,61		+
88		21417,71938		+		42951,75		+
89		21524,93284		+		42938,85		-
90		21523,20947		-		42724,09		-
91		21494,74648		-		43376,85		+
92		21582,57985		+		43571,25		+
93		21609,49039		+		42993,27		-
94		21530,49011		-		42621,33		-
95		21481,27967		-		43020,51		+
96		21534,14468		+		42818,62		-
97		21507,22192		-		42158,4		-
98		21421,85118		-		42992,3		+
99		21530,36005		+		42939,38		-
100		21523,28029		-		44230,97		+
101		21703,32562		+		45924,25		+
102		21961,1169		+		44714,51		-
103		21774,50716		-		42928,65		-
104		21521,8479		-		42756,7		-
105		21499,0407		-		42828,64		+
106		21508,54922		+		43542,17		+
107		21605,44323		+		42333,2		-
108		21444,05144		-		40959,96		-
109		21277,66599		-		40059,32		-
110		21178,80933		-		40613,38		+
111		21238,64041		+		40220,55		-
112		21195,89259		-		39180,23		-
113		21090,47079		-		40047,06		+
114		21177,52134		+		40115,67		+
115		21184,74919		+		40702,82		+
116		21248,59462		+		40465,11		-
117		21222,31909		-		40170,35		-
118		21190,54466		-		39875,77		-
119		21159,69113		-		39515,79		-
120		21123,22476		-		40789,03		+
121		21258,26645		+		41914,3		+
122		21391,34123		+		42429,06		+
123		21456,34989		+		43336,22		+
124		21576,99869		+		43169,58		-
125		21554,26546		-		43325,09		+
126		21575,47244		+		44489,37		+
127		21741,11551		+		43633,67		-
128		21618,20339		-		43683,33		+
129		21625,16012		+		43862,73		+
130		21650,47478		+		44641,85		+
131		21763,68351		+		45002,63		+
132		21817,86309		+		45282,32		+
133		21860,60994		+		45698,49		+
134		21925,39434		+		45104,65		-
135		21833,38077		-		46335,45		+
136		22027,20406		+		47443,65		+
137		22211,63168		+		47163,5		-
138		22164,16342		-		46930,71		-
139		22125,14866		-		48132,11		+
140		22330,60786		+		48930,72		+
141		22472,56893		+		49088,14		+
142		22501,03003		+		49397,32		+
143		22557,36951		+		50121,05		+
144		22691,45351		+		49699,67		-
145		22613,01717		-		48989,65		-
146		22483,20546		-		49210,68		+
147		22523,29012		+		47715,08		-
148		22258,15011		-		48708,09		+
149		22432,58243		+		48006,84		-
150		22308,71879		-		48194,4		+
151		22341,53127		+		47890,75		-
152		22288,52815		-		47955,51		+
153		22299,78007		+		48200,39		+
154		22342,58287		+		47943,58		-
155		22297,70515		-		48625,74		+
156		22417,87111		+		48825,83		+
157		22453,69075		+		49525,55		+
158		22580,90448		+		49776,82		+
159		22627,30213		+		49567,61		-
160		22588,6454		-		49800,83		+
161		22631,75471		+		50621,01		+
162		22785,79601		+		50467,53		-
163		22756,69038		-		50551,02		+
164		22772,50754		+		51837,65		+
165		23020,75116		+		52835,66		+
166		23218,60359		+		53247,94		+
167		23301,53779		+		53520,24		+
168		23356,66886		+		56253,95		+
169		23923,13038		+		56985,69		+
170		24077,87092		+		55060,42		-
171		23673,22555		-		56432,58		+
172		23960,81045		+		57532,02		+
173		24194,00079		+		56592,36		-
174		23994,56825		-		57277,66		+
175		24139,87664		+		58983,91		+
176		24504,38531		+		58940,68		-
177		24495,11714		-		58296,28		-
178		24357,12575		-		57598,15		-
179		24208,08744		-		56988,75		-
180		24078,52004		-		57896,31		+
181		24271,66985		+		57227,66		-
182		24129,24841		-		56376,62		-
183		23948,99949		-		57266,53		+
184		24137,51033		+		56940,58		-
185		24068,30359		-		55865,39		-
186		23841,40103		-		56114,11		+
187		23893,67835		+		57175,59		+
188		24118,18469		+		56096,5		-
189		23889,97269		-		55475		-
190		23759,63616		-		55952,65		+
191		23859,72603		+		58107,95		+
192		24316,86643		+		59333,17		+
193		24579,30137		+		59917,84		+
194		24704,81783		+		59812,92		-
195		24682,28766		-		59080,2		-
196		24525,03292		-		59292,68		+
197		24570,6131		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 103
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24570.61309613163
New Prediction 1	20932.89964485543
New Prediction 2	21280.11059303837
New Prediction 3	21240.938348992488
New Prediction 4	21245.296411338895
New Prediction 5	21244.810854482115
New Prediction 6	21244.86485962766
New Prediction 7	21244.858912229523
New Prediction 8	21244.85958370851
New Prediction 9	21244.85948778291
New Prediction 10	21244.85948778291
New Prediction 11	21244.85948778291
New Prediction 12	21244.85948778291
New Prediction 13	21244.85948778291
New Prediction 14	21244.85948778291
New Prediction 15	21244.85948778291
New Prediction 16	21244.85948778291
New Prediction 17	21244.85948778291
New Prediction 18	21244.85948778291
New Prediction 19	21244.85948778291
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,0299		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01803		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03755		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,0049		+			1,47909		+
5		0,02801		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02988		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07529		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00033		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00028		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00101		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00084		-			2,19907		+
12		0,02644		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02569		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00183		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07501		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04352		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08421		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01048		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04276		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04429		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02563		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02038		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04688		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04822		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07965		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01235		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04349		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00427		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01181		+			0,89856		+
30		0,0604		+			0,09		-
31		0,00638		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10715		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05009		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08645		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03827		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19804		+			0,26896		-
37		0,0243		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11063		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12117		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01581		-		0,516		+
41		0,04798		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03506		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05823		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12431		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17532		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02248		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00202		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12946		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01277		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12564		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09812		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02312		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27102		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20437		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08027		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13686		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06992		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12828		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08077		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20214		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10306		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11989		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00641		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24785		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,3941		-			-0,20024		+
67		-0,0201		+			0,49731		+
68		0,05051		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11514		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03073		+			1,66799		+
71		0,1727		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21321		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12867		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09643		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24992		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11919		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00989		-			3,10464		+
78		0,5489		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74745		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17549		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13437		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04129		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32913		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04488		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54098		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39692		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11283		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07212		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49933		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00801		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13233		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40779		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12461		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36625		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22882		+		0,93221		+
96		0,2458		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,1251		-			-1,55391		-
98		-0,39773		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50526		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03289		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83303		+			3,75681		+
102		1,1808		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85336		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16713		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10603		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04422		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44948		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,7498		-			-3,29766		-
109		-0,77893		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46569		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28211		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20148		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49861		-		2,1883		+
114		0,4119		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03412		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30092		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12373		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14983		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14571		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17249		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63727		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62404		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30344		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56072		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10541		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09834		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76481		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56695		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03217		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11699		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52153		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24864		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19573		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29591		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42055		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88382		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83379		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21394		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17618		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92434		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63371		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12657		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25007		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59265		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34626		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57571		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17813		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18417		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78062		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55369		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14698		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23752		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05047		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19176		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20106		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53747		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15965		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56496		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20526		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17099		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19066		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67834		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12782		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06948		+			2,51336		+
165		1,0842		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85578		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35655		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23632		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39632		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64474		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69485		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20749		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96851		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82772		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60376		+			2,9354		+
176		1,4987		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03783		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56494		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61377		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53666		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79897		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58851		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74982		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78405		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28713		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94722		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21903		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93522		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95073		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54706		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42038		+			3,77967		+
192		1,89783		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07345		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50936		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09124		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63915		-		0,359		+
197		0,18568		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,02291		+		-16,02291		+
2		1,64508		+			1,64508		+
3		-0,18425		-		-0,18425		-
4		0,02052		+			0,02052		+
5		-0,00229		-		-0,00229		-
6		0,00025		+			0,00025		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2975894991658092

 14.run Duration 	21 seconds 890 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@d0af9b ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 8.827805905400303E-4
train epoch 1: 3.6078668087612825E-4
train epoch 2: 3.607641495690538E-4
train epoch 3: 3.607416229731392E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6071910105412114E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6069658377146474E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6067407108469E-4
train epoch 7: 3.60651562953352E-4
train epoch 8: 3.606290593370418E-4
train epoch 9: 3.606065601954075E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6058406548827095E-4
train epoch 11: 3.605615751758962E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6053908921854184E-4
train epoch 13: 3.605166075762695E-4
train epoch 14: 3.604941302079793E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6047165707304665E-4
train epoch 16: 3.604491881313966E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6042672334299017E-4
train epoch 18: 3.604042626678381E-4
train epoch 19: 3.6038180606597574E-4
train epoch 20: 3.603593534975013E-4
train epoch 21: 3.603369049225309E-4
train epoch 22: 3.60314460301227E-4
train epoch 23: 3.6029201959380104E-4
train epoch 24: 3.6026958276049516E-4
train epoch 25: 3.602471497615921E-4
train epoch 26: 3.602247205574183E-4
train epoch 27: 3.6020229510833654E-4
train epoch 28: 3.6017987337475036E-4
train epoch 29: 3.601574553170978E-4
train epoch 30: 3.60135040895858E-4
train epoch 31: 3.60112630071557E-4
train epoch 32: 3.6009022280474983E-4
train epoch 33: 3.6006781905603756E-4
train epoch 34: 3.600454187860507E-4
train epoch 35: 3.600230219554662E-4
train epoch 36: 3.6000062852499433E-4
train epoch 37: 3.599782384553906E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5995585170744705E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5993346824198967E-4
train epoch 40: 3.599110880198802E-4
train epoch 41: 3.598887110020275E-4
train epoch 42: 3.5986633714937073E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5984396642289504E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5982159878361153E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5979923419257706E-4
train epoch 46: 3.597768726108844E-4
train epoch 47: 3.597545139996671E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5973215832008656E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5970980553335367E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.594909167395927
mae:0.7318298160642652
rmse:0.7713035507476463
mape:6.955986911249052
corr:0.9711148430240536
theil coefficient:27.275621798384265
net profit:45.226235207170554
buy and hold:-6.859422390109313E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22957479800594188
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20684,61439		+		32155,21		+
1		20690,81586		+		32389,47		+
2		20694,56477		+		31833,73		-
3		20686,76235		-		31732,53		-
4		20685,7478		-		32205,37		+
5		20691,56221		+		32563,26		+
6		20697,77861		+		31042,99		-
7		20682,17122		-		30820,77		-
8		20682,25888		+		30789,2		-
9		20682,32039		+		30707,06		-
10		20682,5376		+		31258,97		+
11		20682,66547		+		31953,99		+
12		20688,13081		+		32325,14		+
13		20693,46856		+		32302,07		-
14		20693,08774		-		33048,99		+
15		20708,71226		+		33379,53		+
16		20717,79235		+		32684,23		-
17		20700,23302		-		32577,09		-
18		20698,05019		-		32979,02		+
19		20706,96029		+		32560,89		-
20		20697,73231		-		32814,31		+
21		20703,07114		+		32615,92		-
22		20698,82513		-		33044,36		+
23		20708,59449		+		33408,62		+
24		20718,65491		+		33914,45		+
25		20735,29019		+		33841,77		-
26		20732,70981		-		34090,39		+
27		20741,80024		+		34113,74		+
28		20742,69224		+		34177,52		+
29		20745,16214		+		34486,01		+
30		20757,79813		+		34517,06		+
31		20759,13317		+		33954		-
32		20736,7211		-		34229,07		+
33		20747,19417		+		34656,83		+
34		20765,28564		+		34473,76		-
35		20757,2746		-		35341,2		+
36		20798,77225		+		35436,38		+
37		20803,86973		+		34985,45		-
38		20780,66995		-		35477,06		+
39		20806,08107		+		35415,91		-
40		20802,76439		-		35599,13		+
41		20812,8339		+		35465,95		-
42		20805,4752		-		35235,93		-
43		20793,25923		-		35713,98		+
44		20819,34765		+		36318,81		+
45		20856,20277		+		36244,96		-
46		20851,47375		-		36238,27		-
47		20851,04849		-		36651,61		+
48		20878,2995		+		36690,84		+
49		20880,9887		+		37064,27		+
50		20907,47451		+		37341,66		+
51		20928,18294		+		37405,4		+
52		20933,06533		+		36616,43		-
53		20875,90305		-		37220		+
54		20918,99235		+		37442,67		+
55		20935,94155		+		37806,83		+
56		20964,87214		+		37986,17		+
57		20979,6689		+		37653,78		-
58		20952,5306		-		37864,77		+
59		20969,6131		+		38368,66		+
60		21012,42799		+		38115,81		-
61		20990,58946		-		38117,31		+
62		20990,7169		+		37812,55		-
63		20965,3385		-		37795,9		-
64		20963,98204		-		37120,78		-
65		20911,62195		-		35873,33		-
66		20828,64208		-		35801,57		-
67		20824,41961		-		35980,06		+
68		20835,03388		+		35563,59		-
69		20810,84971		-		35678,19		+
70		20817,30116		+		36278,29		+
71		20853,6002		+		36940,33		+
72		20898,50629		+		37308,42		+
73		20925,65513		+		37571,76		+
74		20946,02552		+		38213,14		+
75		20998,91159		+		38501,45		+
76		21024,18114		+		38524,92		+
77		21026,27869		+		39739,74		+
78		21143,05609		+		41191,35		+
79		21303,10972		+		40866,67		-
80		21265,42358		-		41116,03		+
81		21294,272		+		41039,94		-
82		21285,40222		-		40415,4		-
83		21214,83493		-		40502,58		+
84		21224,44431		+		41505,67		+
85		21340,60635		+		42194,73		+
86		21426,23151		+		42002,34		-
87		21401,85652		-		42125,61		+
88		21417,43296		+		42951,75		+
89		21525,58742		+		42938,85		-
90		21523,84897		-		42724,09		-
91		21495,13674		-		43376,85		+
92		21583,73768		+		43571,25		+
93		21610,88244		+		42993,27		-
94		21531,19328		-		42621,33		-
95		21481,55186		-		43020,51		+
96		21534,87981		+		42818,62		-
97		21507,72149		-		42158,4		-
98		21421,60114		-		42992,3		+
99		21531,06209		+		42939,38		-
100		21523,92041		-		44230,97		+
101		21705,53063		+		45924,25		+
102		21965,52237		+		44714,51		-
103		21777,32478		-		42928,65		-
104		21522,47549		-		42756,7		-
105		21499,4686		-		42828,64		+
106		21509,0604		+		43542,17		+
107		21606,80007		+		42333,2		-
108		21443,99669		-		40959,96		-
109		21276,14222		-		40059,32		-
110		21176,40853		-		40613,38		+
111		21236,77065		+		40220,55		-
112		21193,64346		-		39180,23		-
113		21087,28561		-		40047,06		+
114		21175,1091		+		40115,67		+
115		21182,40113		+		40702,82		+
116		21246,81315		+		40465,11		-
117		21220,30453		-		40170,35		-
118		21188,24806		-		39875,77		-
119		21157,12055		-		39515,79		-
120		21120,33035		-		40789,03		+
121		21256,57074		+		41914,3		+
122		21390,82239		+		42429,06		+
123		21456,40323		+		43336,22		+
124		21578,10788		+		43169,58		-
125		21555,17636		-		43325,09		+
126		21576,56832		+		44489,37		+
127		21743,64621		+		43633,67		-
128		21619,67117		-		43683,33		+
129		21626,68833		+		43862,73		+
130		21652,22263		+		44641,85		+
131		21766,40821		+		45002,63		+
132		21821,05203		+		45282,32		+
133		21864,16357		+		45698,49		+
134		21929,49797		+		45104,65		-
135		21836,70226		-		46335,45		+
136		22032,16518		+		47443,65		+
137		22218,12377		+		47163,5		-
138		22170,26431		-		46930,71		-
139		22130,92652		-		48132,11		+
140		22338,07154		+		48930,72		+
141		22481,17468		+		49088,14		+
142		22509,86242		+		49397,32		+
143		22566,64825		+		50121,05		+
144		22701,78189		+		49699,67		-
145		22622,73371		-		48989,65		-
146		22491,896		-		49210,68		+
147		22532,29924		+		47715,08		-
148		22265,02362		-		48708,09		+
149		22440,86842		+		48006,84		-
150		22316,00469		-		48194,4		+
151		22349,0835		+		47890,75		-
152		22295,64968		-		47955,51		+
153		22306,99325		+		48200,39		+
154		22350,14362		+		47943,58		-
155		22304,90143		-		48625,74		+
156		22426,03907		+		48825,83		+
157		22462,14573		+		49525,55		+
158		22590,36875		+		49776,82		+
159		22637,13055		+		49567,61		-
160		22598,17058		-		49800,83		+
161		22641,61797		+		50621,01		+
162		22796,85204		+		50467,53		-
163		22767,5229		-		50551,02		+
164		22783,46163		+		51837,65		+
165		23033,57899		+		52835,66		+
166		23232,8772		+		53247,94		+
167		23316,40445		+		53520,24		+
168		23371,92543		+		56253,95		+
169		23942,18469		+		56985,69		+
170		24097,89364		+		55060,42		-
171		23690,65225		-		56432,58		+
172		23980,10339		+		57532,02		+
173		24214,7299		+		56592,36		-
174		24014,07345		-		57277,66		+
175		24160,27873		+		58983,91		+
176		24526,91387		+		58940,68		-
177		24517,59387		-		58296,28		-
178		24378,81689		-		57598,15		-
179		24228,90103		-		56988,75		-
180		24098,54676		-		57896,31		+
181		24292,86147		+		57227,66		-
182		24149,58582		-		56376,62		-
183		23968,21782		-		57266,53		+
184		24157,89803		+		56940,58		-
185		24088,26733		-		55865,39		-
186		23859,93158		-		56114,11		+
187		23912,54488		+		57175,59		+
188		24138,45463		+		56096,5		-
189		23908,81553		-		55475		-
190		23777,63438		-		55952,65		+
191		23878,37474		+		58107,95		+
192		24338,32347		+		59333,17		+
193		24602,24439		+		59917,84		+
194		24728,43746		+		59812,92		-
195		24705,7875		-		59080,2		-
196		24547,67649		-		59292,68		+
197		24593,50846		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 103
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24593.508456653435
New Prediction 1	20927.653861748793
New Prediction 2	21280.84253388957
New Prediction 3	21240.584388388106
New Prediction 4	21245.10863504991
New Prediction 5	21244.59943283473
New Prediction 6	21244.656700309923
New Prediction 7	21244.65030482527
New Prediction 8	21244.650983132677
New Prediction 9	21244.650886231597
New Prediction 10	21244.650886231597
New Prediction 11	21244.650886231597
New Prediction 12	21244.650886231597
New Prediction 13	21244.650886231597
New Prediction 14	21244.650886231597
New Prediction 15	21244.650886231597
New Prediction 16	21244.650886231597
New Prediction 17	21244.650886231597
New Prediction 18	21244.650886231597
New Prediction 19	21244.650886231597
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02998		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01812		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03771		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,0049		+			1,47909		+
5		0,0281		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03004		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07543		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00042		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,0003		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00105		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00062		-			2,19907		+
12		0,02642		+			1,15482		-
13		0,0258		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00184		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07548		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04384		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08479		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01055		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04304		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04457		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02579		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02051		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04719		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04857		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08026		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01245		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04384		+			0,06847		-
28		0,0043		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01191		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06089		+			0,09		-
31		0,00643		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10802		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05049		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08716		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03859		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19972		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02451		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11158		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12221		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01594		-		0,516		+
41		0,04839		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03536		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05873		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12539		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17687		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02268		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00204		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13061		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01288		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12676		+			0,74562		-
51		0,099		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02333		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27345		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20619		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08099		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13809		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07055		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12944		-		0,55878		+
59		0,0815		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20397		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10399		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12098		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00647		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25007		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,3976		-			-0,20024		+
67		-0,02027		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05096		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11614		-		0,32172		+
70		0,031		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17422		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21511		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12982		-			0,70337		-
74		0,0973		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25217		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12027		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00998		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55385		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75415		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17706		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13557		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04166		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33208		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04529		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54581		+			1,64653		-
86		0,40043		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11383		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07275		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50371		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00808		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13349		-		1,5163		+
92		0,41134		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12569		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36943		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,23082		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24794		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12619		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,40122		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50968		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03317		-		2,96359		+
101		0,84022		+			3,75681		+
102		1,1907		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,86048		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,17715		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10695		+		0,16811		+
106		0,0446		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45338		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75634		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78584		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46986		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28464		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20328		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,5031		-			2,1883		+
114		0,41561		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03443		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30362		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12484		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15118		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14702		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17404		-		3,17128		+
121		0,643		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62959		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30611		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56562		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10633		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09919		+			2,65184		+
127		0,77137		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,5718		-			0,11375		+
129		0,03245		+			0,40984		+
130		0,118		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52598		+			0,80492		-
132		0,25073		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19737		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29837		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42405		-		2,6922		+
136		0,89113		+			2,36354		-
137		0,84049		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21564		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17759		+		2,52773		+
140		0,93164		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63858		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12753		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25195		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59703		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34881		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,58003		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17947		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,19328		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78668		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55797		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14812		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23937		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05087		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19325		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20263		-		1,41281		+
156		0,54163		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16087		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56922		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20678		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17225		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19208		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68327		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12874		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06998		+			2,51336		+
165		1,09182		+			1,90696		-
166		0,86153		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35888		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23784		-			4,98164		+
169		2,41064		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64825		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70439		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21439		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97367		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83211		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60699		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50611		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03801		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56764		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61684		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53946		+		1,57998		+
181		0,8031		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59153		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75385		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78827		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28865		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95243		-		0,44422		+
187		0,22027		+			1,87398		+
188		0,9403		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,9559		-			-1,1141		+
190		-0,55018		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42278		+			3,77967		+
192		1,9079		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07855		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51162		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09164		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64203		-		0,359		+
197		0,18653		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,14111		+		-16,14111		+
2		1,67358		+			1,67358		+
3		-0,18935		-		-0,18935		-
4		0,0213		+			0,0213		+
5		-0,0024		-			-0,0024		-
6		0,00027		+			0,00027		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2974545836979635

 15.run Duration 	16 seconds 304 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@b8f8eb ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 5.242076445200705E-4
train epoch 1: 3.6099633228304357E-4
train epoch 2: 3.609494428102097E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6090255290376164E-4
train epoch 4: 3.608556830667687E-4
train epoch 5: 3.608088332074736E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6076200323431655E-4
train epoch 7: 3.607151930559029E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6066840258101884E-4
train epoch 9: 3.606216317186397E-4
train epoch 10: 3.605748803778895E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6052814846808856E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6048143589873194E-4
train epoch 13: 3.604347425794856E-4
train epoch 14: 3.603880684201779E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6034141333083015E-4
train epoch 16: 3.602947772216297E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6024816000293286E-4
train epoch 18: 3.602015615852633E-4
train epoch 19: 3.601549818793362E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6010842079602535E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6006187824636697E-4
train epoch 22: 3.600153541415846E-4
train epoch 23: 3.599688483930695E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5992236091236937E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5987589161121797E-4
train epoch 26: 3.5982944040150524E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5978300719530503E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5973659190484115E-4
train epoch 29: 3.596901944425186E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5964381472089674E-4
train epoch 31: 3.595974526527206E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5955110815089113E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5950478112846206E-4
train epoch 34: 3.59458471498675E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5941217917492417E-4
train epoch 36: 3.593659040707732E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5931964609995385E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5927340517635537E-4
train epoch 39: 3.592271812140236E-4
train epoch 40: 3.591809741271886E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5913478383022533E-4
train epoch 42: 3.5908861023767585E-4
train epoch 43: 3.590424532642477E-4
train epoch 44: 3.589963128248069E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5895018883437893E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5890408120815403E-4
train epoch 47: 3.588579898614888E-4
train epoch 48: 3.588119147098867E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5876585566901593E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5949723982649892
mae:0.7317758316058455
rmse:0.7713445392721654
mape:6.951031899154698
corr:0.9711367674550389
theil coefficient:27.304381481047635
net profit:44.884617450208104
buy and hold:-6.911629596588607E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2278406977167924
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20693,6923		+		32155,21		+
1		20699,998		+		32389,47		+
2		20703,77888		+		31833,73		-
3		20695,88894		-		31732,53		-
4		20694,85412		-		32205,37		+
5		20700,75179		+		32563,26		+
6		20707,01181		+		31042,99		-
7		20691,10383		-		30820,77		-
8		20691,12232		+		30789,2		-
9		20691,17348		+		30707,06		-
10		20691,36317		+		31258,97		+
11		20691,65914		+		31953,99		+
12		20697,27976		+		32325,14		+
13		20702,67461		+		32302,07		-
14		20702,29077		-		33048,99		+
15		20717,97791		+		33379,53		+
16		20727,0625		+		32684,23		-
17		20709,47718		-		32577,09		-
18		20707,28474		-		32979,02		+
19		20716,22316		+		32560,89		-
20		20706,96528		-		32814,31		+
21		20712,32496		+		32615,92		-
22		20708,06334		-		33044,36		+
23		20717,85997		+		33408,62		+
24		20727,92477		+		33914,45		+
25		20744,53753		+		33841,77		-
26		20741,96242		-		34090,39		+
27		20751,03198		+		34113,74		+
28		20751,92161		+		34177,52		+
29		20754,38467		+		34486,01		+
30		20766,98022		+		34517,06		+
31		20768,31051		+		33954		-
32		20745,96528		-		34229,07		+
33		20756,41079		+		34656,83		+
34		20774,44007		+		34473,76		-
35		20766,45852		-		35341,2		+
36		20807,77854		+		35436,38		+
37		20812,85072		+		34985,45		-
38		20789,76068		-		35477,06		+
39		20815,0509		+		35415,91		-
40		20811,75092		-		35599,13		+
41		20821,76897		+		35465,95		-
42		20814,44809		-		35235,93		-
43		20802,29218		-		35713,98		+
44		20828,24831		+		36318,81		+
45		20864,8951		+		36244,96		-
46		20860,19394		-		36238,27		-
47		20859,77118		-		36651,61		+
48		20886,85792		+		36690,84		+
49		20889,53044		+		37064,27		+
50		20915,84814		+		37341,66		+
51		20936,42081		+		37405,4		+
52		20941,27071		+		36616,43		-
53		20884,47626		-		37220		+
54		20927,2909		+		37442,67		+
55		20944,1277		+		37806,83		+
56		20972,86183		+		37986,17		+
57		20987,55611		+		37653,78		-
58		20960,60477		-		37864,77		+
59		20977,57009		+		38368,66		+
60		21020,0842		+		38115,81		-
61		20998,40026		-		38117,31		+
62		20998,52681		+		37812,55		-
63		20973,32498		-		37795,9		-
64		20971,97785		-		37120,78		-
65		20919,96867		-		35873,33		-
66		20837,49227		-		35801,57		-
67		20833,29292		-		35980,06		+
68		20843,8485		+		35563,59		-
69		20819,79509		-		35678,19		+
70		20826,21273		+		36278,29		+
71		20862,3079		+		36940,33		+
72		20906,93758		+		37308,42		+
73		20933,90976		+		37571,76		+
74		20954,14382		+		38213,14		+
75		21006,66375		+		38501,45		+
76		21031,75322		+		38524,92		+
77		21033,8357		+		39739,74		+
78		21149,74899		+		41191,35		+
79		21308,565		+		40866,67		-
80		21271,17416		-		41116,03		+
81		21299,7967		+		41039,94		-
82		21290,9965		-		40415,4		-
83		21220,97852		-		40502,58		+
84		21230,51358		+		41505,67		+
85		21345,76601		+		42194,73		+
86		21430,71066		+		42002,34		-
87		21406,53007		-		42125,61		+
88		21421,98233		+		42951,75		+
89		21529,26995		+		42938,85		-
90		21527,5455		-		42724,09		-
91		21499,06405		-		43376,85		+
92		21586,95161		+		43571,25		+
93		21613,87719		+		42993,27		-
94		21534,83071		-		42621,33		-
95		21485,58821		-		43020,51		+
96		21538,48756		+		42818,62		-
97		21511,5477		-		42158,4		-
98		21426,11725		-		42992,3		+
99		21534,70057		+		42939,38		-
100		21527,61636		-		44230,97		+
101		21707,75975		+		45924,25		+
102		21965,64629		+		44714,51		-
103		21778,97234		-		42928,65		-
104		21526,18306		-		42756,7		-
105		21503,36112		-		42828,64		+
106		21512,87585		+		43542,17		+
107		21609,82781		+		42333,2		-
108		21448,33387		-		40959,96		-
109		21281,80901		-		40059,32		-
110		21182,84755		-		40613,38		+
111		21242,74435		+		40220,55		-
112		21199,95034		-		39180,23		-
113		21094,39666		-		40047,06		+
114		21181,55806		+		40115,67		+
115		21188,79427		+		40702,82		+
116		21252,70879		+		40465,11		-
117		21226,40583		-		40170,35		-
118		21194,59637		-		39875,77		-
119		21163,7067		-		39515,79		-
120		21127,19468		-		40789,03		+
121		21262,3904		+		41914,3		+
122		21395,58377		+		42429,06		+
123		21460,64112		+		43336,22		+
124		21581,36724		+		43169,58		-
125		21558,62062		-		43325,09		+
126		21579,8401		+		44489,37		+
127		21745,56662		+		43633,67		-
128		21622,59492		-		43683,33		+
129		21629,55537		+		43862,73		+
130		21654,8832		+		44641,85		+
131		21768,14422		+		45002,63		+
132		21822,34531		+		45282,32		+
133		21865,10764		+		45698,49		+
134		21929,9132		+		45104,65		-
135		21837,86876		-		46335,45		+
136		22031,75093		+		47443,65		+
137		22216,21481		+		47163,5		-
138		22168,73887		-		46930,71		-
139		22129,71696		-		48132,11		+
140		22335,20566		+		48930,72		+
141		22477,17634		+		49088,14		+
142		22505,6384		+		49397,32		+
143		22561,97892		+		50121,05		+
144		22696,06084		+		49699,67		-
145		22617,62647		-		48989,65		-
146		22487,81327		-		49210,68		+
147		22527,89904		+		47715,08		-
148		22262,73974		-		48708,09		+
149		22437,18795		+		48006,84		-
150		22313,31436		-		48194,4		+
151		22346,13009		+		47890,75		-
152		22293,12148		-		47955,51		+
153		22304,37467		+		48200,39		+
154		22347,1818		+		47943,58		-
155		22302,29952		-		48625,74		+
156		22422,47577		+		48825,83		+
157		22458,29734		+		49525,55		+
158		22585,51397		+		49776,82		+
159		22631,91122		+		49567,61		-
160		22593,25488		-		49800,83		+
161		22636,36373		+		50621,01		+
162		22790,3983		+		50467,53		-
163		22761,29453		-		50551,02		+
164		22777,11071		+		51837,65		+
165		23025,32923		+		52835,66		+
166		23223,14959		+		53247,94		+
167		23306,06746		+		53520,24		+
168		23361,18678		+		56253,95		+
169		23927,49068		+		56985,69		+
170		24082,1777		+		55060,42		-
171		23677,66323		-		56432,58		+
172		23965,1581		+		57532,02		+
173		24198,26477		+		56592,36		-
174		23998,90435		-		57277,66		+
175		24144,16085		+		58983,91		+
176		24508,52466		+		58940,68		-
177		24499,26042		-		58296,28		-
178		24361,32604		-		57598,15		-
179		24212,34609		-		56988,75		-
180		24082,82659		-		57896,31		+
181		24275,90402		+		57227,66		-
182		24133,53653		-		56376,62		-
183		23953,35112		-		57266,53		+
184		24141,79541		+		56940,58		-
185		24072,6138		-		55865,39		-
186		23845,78791		-		56114,11		+
187		23898,04836		+		57175,59		+
188		24122,47686		+		56096,5		-
189		23894,34392		-		55475		-
190		23764,0484		-		55952,65		+
191		23864,10705		+		58107,95		+
192		24321,08282		+		59333,17		+
193		24583,40853		+		59917,84		+
194		24708,86933		+		59812,92		-
195		24686,34931		-		59080,2		-
196		24529,16348		-		59292,68		+
197		24574,72403		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 103
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24574.7240319472
New Prediction 1	20933.491539496274
New Prediction 2	21280.010990539588
New Prediction 3	21241.006498151182
New Prediction 4	21245.33587585084
New Prediction 5	21244.854598597267
New Prediction 6	21244.908096305597
New Prediction 7	21244.90216263284
New Prediction 8	21244.90273685796
New Prediction 9	21244.90273685796
New Prediction 10	21244.90273685796
New Prediction 11	21244.90273685796
New Prediction 12	21244.90273685796
New Prediction 13	21244.90273685796
New Prediction 14	21244.90273685796
New Prediction 15	21244.90273685796
New Prediction 16	21244.90273685796
New Prediction 17	21244.90273685796
New Prediction 18	21244.90273685796
New Prediction 19	21244.90273685796
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03047		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01826		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03812		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,005		+			1,47909		+
5		0,02849		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03024		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07685		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00009		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00025		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00092		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00143		+			2,19907		+
12		0,02716		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02606		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00185		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07575		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04384		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08488		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01059		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04316		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,0447		-			0,77528		+
21		0,02588		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02058		-		1,30504		+
23		0,0473		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04857		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08011		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01241		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04372		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00429		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01187		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06067		+			0,09		-
31		0,00641		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10765		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05034		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08682		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03843		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19878		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02437		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,111		-			1,3954		+
39		0,12157		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01586		-		0,516		+
41		0,04812		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03517		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05842		-		1,34759		+
44		0,1247		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17579		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02253		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00203		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12977		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01279		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12591		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09831		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02316		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27158		-		1,63492		+
54		0,2048		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08042		-			0,96788		+
56		0,1371		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07004		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,1285		-			0,55878		+
59		0,08091		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20246		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10321		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12009		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00642		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,2483		-			-3,41828		-
66		-0,39503		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02015		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05065		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11546		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03082		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17317		+			1,80844		+
72		0,2137		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12893		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09661		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25033		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11936		-			0,06094		-
77		0,0099		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54957		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74811		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17563		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13447		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04132		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,3294		-			0,21548		+
84		0,04492		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54139		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39716		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,1129		-			0,29305		+
88		0,07216		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49958		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00801		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13239		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40796		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12465		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36639		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22893		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24591		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12516		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39793		-		1,95871		+
99		0,5055		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,0329		-			2,96359		+
101		0,83332		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18099		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85348		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16749		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10608		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04424		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44966		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75012		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77943		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46609		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28236		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20166		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49914		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41235		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03416		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30119		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12384		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14997		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14585		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17267		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63787		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62447		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30361		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56097		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10545		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09838		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76504		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56711		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03219		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11703		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52166		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24868		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19576		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29595		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,4206		-			2,6922		+
136		0,88391		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83378		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21393		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17618		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92428		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63362		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12655		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25003		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59252		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34618		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,5756		-			0,45016		+
147		0,1781		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18401		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78053		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55362		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14696		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,2375		-			0,13513		+
153		0,05047		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19174		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20104		-		1,41281		+
156		0,5374		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15963		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56486		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20522		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17095		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19062		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67817		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12778		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06946		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08388		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85547		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35641		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23622		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39521		+			1,29239		-
170		0,6444		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69399		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20689		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96799		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82727		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60344		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49784		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03781		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56461		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61342		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53637		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79853		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58818		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74942		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78364		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28698		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94672		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21892		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93473		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95023		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54679		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42017		+			3,77967		+
192		1,8968		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07282		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50905		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09118		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63877		-		0,359		+
197		0,18557		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,03681		+		-16,03681		+
2		1,64178		+			1,64178		+
3		-0,18346		-		-0,18346		-
4		0,02038		+			0,02038		+
5		-0,00227		-		-0,00227		-
6		0,00025		+			0,00025		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2974861991324946

 16.run Duration 	18 seconds 245 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1de17f4 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 5.628064487089076E-4
train epoch 1: 3.6094840081685604E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6089541579603364E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6084242806233997E-4
train epoch 4: 3.607894657712305E-4
train epoch 5: 3.607365288194983E-4
train epoch 6: 3.606836171041967E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6063073052256293E-4
train epoch 8: 3.605778689720675E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6052503235039373E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6047222055546503E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6041943348538084E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6036667103849754E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6031393311337267E-4
train epoch 14: 3.602612196087849E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6020853042370885E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6015586545736546E-4
train epoch 17: 3.601032246091618E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6005060777873267E-4
train epoch 19: 3.599980148659214E-4
train epoch 20: 3.59945445770791E-4
train epoch 21: 3.598929003936015E-4
train epoch 22: 3.598403786348424E-4
train epoch 23: 3.597878803952037E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5973540557558676E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5968295407710763E-4
train epoch 26: 3.5963052580108225E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5957812064904023E-4
train epoch 28: 3.595257385227254E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5947337932408025E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5942104295526105E-4
train epoch 31: 3.593687293186279E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5931643831673565E-4
train epoch 33: 3.592641698523621E-4
train epoch 34: 3.592119238284888E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5915970014829157E-4
train epoch 36: 3.591074987151541E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5905531943266705E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5900316220461377E-4
train epoch 39: 3.589510269349911E-4
train epoch 40: 3.588989135280014E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5884682188803583E-4
train epoch 42: 3.587947519196919E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5874270352777255E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5869067661726677E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5863867109337325E-4
train epoch 46: 3.585866868614855E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5853472382720117E-4
train epoch 48: 3.584827818963177E-4
train epoch 49: 3.584308609748146E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5947304994035114
mae:0.731597240055135
rmse:0.7711877199511876
mape:6.947897473829385
corr:0.9712568391586404
theil coefficient:27.304621034767333
net profit:44.858087326478405
buy and hold:-6.915717296249915E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22770602703796144
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20698,79325		+		32155,21		+
1		20705,26727		+		32389,47		+
2		20709,11571		+		31833,73		-
3		20701,06206		-		31732,53		-
4		20699,99614		-		32205,37		+
5		20706,03571		+		32563,26		+
6		20712,39739		+		31042,99		-
7		20696,02367		-		30820,77		-
8		20695,96674		-		30789,2		-
9		20696,00704		+		30707,06		-
10		20696,1683		+		31258,97		+
11		20696,6505		+		31953,99		+
12		20702,48931		+		32325,14		+
13		20707,9931		+		32302,07		-
14		20707,60264		-		33048,99		+
15		20723,49348		+		33379,53		+
16		20732,66123		+		32684,23		-
17		20714,89599		-		32577,09		-
18		20712,67414		-		32979,02		+
19		20721,72057		+		32560,89		-
20		20712,3502		-		32814,31		+
21		20717,77887		+		32615,92		-
22		20713,46346		-		33044,36		+
23		20723,37434		+		33408,62		+
24		20733,53061		+		33914,45		+
25		20750,26169		+		33841,77		-
26		20747,67021		-		34090,39		+
27		20756,79491		+		34113,74		+
28		20757,68959		+		34177,52		+
29		20760,16634		+		34486,01		+
30		20772,82581		+		34517,06		+
31		20774,16233		+		33954		-
32		20751,69827		-		34229,07		+
33		20762,20341		+		34656,83		+
34		20780,31942		+		34473,76		-
35		20772,30165		-		35341,2		+
36		20813,78139		+		35436,38		+
37		20818,86925		+		34985,45		-
38		20795,70169		-		35477,06		+
39		20821,07602		+		35415,91		-
40		20817,76611		-		35599,13		+
41		20827,81349		+		35465,95		-
42		20820,47142		-		35235,93		-
43		20808,27726		-		35713,98		+
44		20834,31052		+		36318,81		+
45		20871,0417		+		36244,96		-
46		20866,33103		-		36238,27		-
47		20865,90739		-		36651,61		+
48		20893,04469		+		36690,84		+
49		20895,72166		+		37064,27		+
50		20922,07855		+		37341,66		+
51		20942,67672		+		37405,4		+
52		20947,53205		+		36616,43		-
53		20890,659		-		37220		+
54		20933,536		+		37442,67		+
55		20950,39214		+		37806,83		+
56		20979,15362		+		37986,17		+
57		20993,85943		+		37653,78		-
58		20966,8857		-		37864,77		+
59		20983,86575		+		38368,66		+
60		21026,40787		+		38115,81		-
61		21004,71113		-		38117,31		+
62		21004,83776		+		37812,55		-
63		20979,61715		-		37795,9		-
64		20978,2689		-		37120,78		-
65		20926,20453		-		35873,33		-
66		20843,57814		-		35801,57		-
67		20839,36826		-		35980,06		+
68		20849,94964		+		35563,59		-
69		20825,83402		-		35678,19		+
70		20832,26947		+		36278,29		+
71		20868,44931		+		36940,33		+
72		20913,1556		+		37308,42		+
73		20940,16277		+		37571,76		+
74		20960,41855		+		38213,14		+
75		21012,97985		+		38501,45		+
76		21038,08261		+		38524,92		+
77		21040,16603		+		39739,74		+
78		21156,0986		+		41191,35		+
79		21314,86385		+		40866,67		-
80		21277,49118		-		41116,03		+
81		21306,10011		+		41039,94		-
82		21297,3043		-		40415,4		-
83		21227,31432		-		40502,58		+
84		21236,84634		+		41505,67		+
85		21352,04358		+		42194,73		+
86		21436,92916		+		42002,34		-
87		21412,76676		-		42125,61		+
88		21428,20752		+		42951,75		+
89		21535,40431		+		42938,85		-
90		21533,68145		-		42724,09		-
91		21505,22579		-		43376,85		+
92		21593,03013		+		43571,25		+
93		21619,92818		+		42993,27		-
94		21540,95988		-		42621,33		-
95		21491,76172		-		43020,51		+
96		21544,6133		+		42818,62		-
97		21517,69828		-		42158,4		-
98		21432,33928		-		42992,3		+
99		21540,82987		+		42939,38		-
100		21533,75225		-		44230,97		+
101		21713,70806		+		45924,25		+
102		21971,26914		+		44714,51		-
103		21784,83658		-		42928,65		-
104		21532,32028		-		42756,7		-
105		21509,51905		-		42828,64		+
106		21519,02524		+		43542,17		+
107		21615,88299		+		42333,2		-
108		21454,53846		-		40959,96		-
109		21288,12121		-		40059,32		-
110		21189,19279		-		40613,38		+
111		21249,07285		+		40220,55		-
112		21206,2919		-		39180,23		-
113		21100,74449		-		40047,06		+
114		21187,90353		+		40115,67		+
115		21195,13834		+		40702,82		+
116		21259,03351		+		40465,11		-
117		21232,73994		-		40170,35		-
118		21200,93917		-		39875,77		-
119		21170,05492		-		39515,79		-
120		21133,54502		-		40789,03		+
121		21268,71119		+		41914,3		+
122		21401,82835		+		42429,06		+
123		21466,8357		+		43336,22		+
124		21587,45137		+		43169,58		-
125		21564,72713		-		43325,09		+
126		21585,92575		+		44489,37		+
127		21751,47091		+		43633,67		-
128		21628,63679		-		43683,33		+
129		21635,5899		+		43862,73		+
130		21660,89056		+		44641,85		+
131		21774,02156		+		45002,63		+
132		21828,15602		+		45282,32		+
133		21870,86399		+		45698,49		+
134		21935,58436		+		45104,65		-
135		21843,65991		-		46335,45		+
136		22037,28208		+		47443,65		+
137		22221,47613		+		47163,5		-
138		22174,07143		-		46930,71		-
139		22135,10718		-		48132,11		+
140		22340,28367		+		48930,72		+
141		22482,02785		+		49088,14		+
142		22510,44361		+		49397,32		+
143		22566,69166		+		50121,05		+
144		22700,54964		+		49699,67		-
145		22622,24691		-		48989,65		-
146		22492,64751		-		49210,68		+
147		22532,66784		+		47715,08		-
148		22267,93016		-		48708,09		+
149		22442,10403		+		48006,84		-
150		22318,42657		-		48194,4		+
151		22351,19096		+		47890,75		-
152		22298,26507		-		47955,51		+
153		22309,5008		+		48200,39		+
154		22352,24101		+		47943,58		-
155		22307,42887		-		48625,74		+
156		22427,41547		+		48825,83		+
157		22463,17942		+		49525,55		+
158		22590,18779		+		49776,82		+
159		22636,50781		+		49567,61		-
160		22597,91586		-		49800,83		+
161		22640,95287		+		50621,01		+
162		22794,72664		+		50467,53		-
163		22765,67261		-		50551,02		+
164		22781,46179		+		51837,65		+
165		23029,24959		+		52835,66		+
166		23226,71927		+		53247,94		+
167		23309,48871		+		53520,24		+
168		23364,50899		+		56253,95		+
169		23929,78567		+		56985,69		+
170		24084,19151		+		55060,42		-
171		23680,41266		-		56432,58		+
172		23967,38457		+		57532,02		+
173		24200,06806		+		56592,36		-
174		24001,06947		-		57277,66		+
175		24146,06218		+		58983,91		+
176		24509,76908		+		58940,68		-
177		24500,52142		-		58296,28		-
178		24362,83477		-		57598,15		-
179		24214,12388		-		56988,75		-
180		24084,83922		-		57896,31		+
181		24277,56686		+		57227,66		-
182		24135,45713		-		56376,62		-
183		23955,59908		-		57266,53		+
184		24143,70103		+		56940,58		-
185		24074,64498		-		55865,39		-
186		23848,23156		-		56114,11		+
187		23900,39691		+		57175,59		+
188		24124,41753		+		56096,5		-
189		23896,69921		-		55475		-
190		23766,64076		-		55952,65		+
191		23866,51736		+		58107,95		+
192		24322,66409		+		59333,17		+
193		24584,5192		+		59917,84		+
194		24709,75715		+		59812,92		-
195		24687,277		-		59080,2		-
196		24530,37098		-		59292,68		+
197		24575,85018		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24575.8501806383
New Prediction 1	20935.44803595598
New Prediction 2	21279.713776664343
New Prediction 3	21241.176431645454
New Prediction 4	21245.43055977394
New Prediction 5	21244.960208622775
New Prediction 6	21245.01217521914
New Prediction 7	21245.006464494
New Prediction 8	21245.007035565286
New Prediction 9	21245.007035565286
New Prediction 10	21245.007035565286
New Prediction 11	21245.007035565286
New Prediction 12	21245.007035565286
New Prediction 13	21245.007035565286
New Prediction 14	21245.007035565286
New Prediction 15	21245.007035565286
New Prediction 16	21245.007035565286
New Prediction 17	21245.007035565286
New Prediction 18	21245.007035565286
New Prediction 19	21245.007035565286
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03127		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01859		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,0389		-			-0,31841		+
4		-0,00515		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02917		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03072		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07908		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00028		+		-0,10248		+
9		0,00019		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00078		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00233		+			2,19907		+
12		0,02821		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02658		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00189		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07671		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04423		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08572		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01073		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04367		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04523		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02621		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02083		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04784		+			1,0963		-
24		0,049		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08066		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01249		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04397		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00431		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01193		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06096		+			0,09		-
31		0,00643		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10819		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05061		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08722		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03859		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19949		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02444		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11134		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12194		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,0159		-			0,516		+
41		0,04825		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03526		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05859		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12503		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17615		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02257		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00203		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12997		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01281		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12606		+			0,74562		-
51		0,0984		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02318		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27187		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20503		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08049		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13719		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07007		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12857		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08095		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20253		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10324		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12014		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00643		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24849		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39563		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,0202		+			0,49731		+
68		0,05076		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11573		-		0,32172		+
70		0,0309		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17352		+			1,80844		+
72		0,214		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12906		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09668		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25045		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11939		-			0,06094		-
77		0,0099		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54949		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74764		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17549		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13437		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04129		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32917		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04489		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54097		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39676		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11278		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07208		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49901		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,008		-			-0,50141		-
91		-0,13223		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40746		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12449		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36593		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22865		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24561		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12501		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39748		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50492		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03286		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83222		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17919		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85215		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16591		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10595		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04419		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44909		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74922		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,7787		-			-2,22336		+
110		-0,4658		+			1,37362		+
111		0,2822		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20153		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49896		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41221		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03414		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30101		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12376		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14988		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14578		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17261		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63754		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62393		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30329		-			2,11553		+
124		0,5603		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10532		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09825		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76399		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56632		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03214		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11687		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52092		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24831		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19546		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29548		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41995		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88249		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83236		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21356		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17587		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92266		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63247		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12631		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24956		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59141		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34553		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57453		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17777		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18186		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77913		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55262		-		0,38993		+
151		0,1467		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23707		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05038		+			0,50934		+
154		0,1914		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20068		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53644		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15934		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56381		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20483		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17063		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19027		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67689		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12754		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06933		+			2,51336		+
165		1,0818		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85382		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35572		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23576		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39058		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64317		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69074		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20457		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96615		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82571		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60229		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49505		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03774		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56356		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61227		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53535		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79702		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58707		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74799		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78214		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28643		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94491		-		0,44422		+
187		0,2185		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93294		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94842		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54574		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41936		+			3,77967		+
192		1,89321		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07083		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50812		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09102		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,6376		-			0,359		+
197		0,18523		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,03205		+		-16,03205		+
2		1,63104		+			1,63104		+
3		-0,18126		-		-0,18126		-
4		0,02003		+			0,02003		+
5		-0,00221		-		-0,00221		-
6		0,00024		+			0,00024		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2973652497017557

 17.run Duration 	17 seconds 102 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1f6ba0f ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 4.767913198330748E-4
train epoch 1: 3.61095565411327E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6103680691733126E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6097805591793524E-4
train epoch 4: 3.609193342687281E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6086064182722587E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6080197845127535E-4
train epoch 7: 3.60743343999039E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6068473832902124E-4
train epoch 9: 3.606261613000332E-4
train epoch 10: 3.605676127712317E-4
train epoch 11: 3.605090926020694E-4
train epoch 12: 3.60450600652341E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6039213678215403E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6033370085194083E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6027529272243566E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6021691225472685E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6015855931018396E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6010023375050894E-4
train epoch 19: 3.600419354377222E-4
train epoch 20: 3.599836642341508E-4
train epoch 21: 3.599254200024399E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5986720260555493E-4
train epoch 23: 3.5980901190676073E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5975084776963904E-4
train epoch 25: 3.596927100580894E-4
train epoch 26: 3.596345986363005E-4
train epoch 27: 3.595765133687955E-4
train epoch 28: 3.595184541203899E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5946042075621094E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5940241314170285E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5934443114259357E-4
train epoch 32: 3.592864746249297E-4
train epoch 33: 3.592285434550591E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5917063749964164E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5911275662561706E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5905490070025123E-4
train epoch 37: 3.589970695911006E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5893926316601574E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5888148129316035E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5882372384097905E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5876599067822173E-4
train epoch 42: 3.587082816739509E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5865059669750425E-4
train epoch 44: 3.585929356185196E-4
train epoch 45: 3.585352983069386E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5847768463297765E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5842009446717397E-4
train epoch 48: 3.583625276803368E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5830498414357153E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5958585782358485
mae:0.7322490278665506
rmse:0.771918764013318
mape:6.95215222901893
corr:0.9707894893407554
theil coefficient:27.35531671285109
net profit:44.35791138910743
buy and hold:-6.993698320895134E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2251670628888702
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20693,68501		+		32155,21		+
1		20699,64172		+		32389,47		+
2		20703,26484		+		31833,73		-
3		20695,73921		-		31732,53		-
4		20694,76701		-		32205,37		+
5		20700,36225		+		32563,26		+
6		20706,37682		+		31042,99		-
7		20691,41262		-		30820,77		-
8		20691,54719		+		30789,2		-
9		20691,61439		+		30707,06		-
10		20691,84526		+		31258,97		+
11		20691,84973		+		31953,99		+
12		20697,05412		+		32325,14		+
13		20702,2045		+		32302,07		-
14		20701,8363		-		33048,99		+
15		20716,98726		+		33379,53		+
16		20725,81516		+		32684,23		-
17		20708,75602		-		32577,09		-
18		20706,63997		-		32979,02		+
19		20715,28533		+		32560,89		-
20		20706,33195		-		32814,31		+
21		20711,50936		+		32615,92		-
22		20707,39104		-		33044,36		+
23		20716,87283		+		33408,62		+
24		20726,65428		+		33914,45		+
25		20742,85004		+		33841,77		-
26		20740,33652		-		34090,39		+
27		20749,19311		+		34113,74		+
28		20750,06241		+		34177,52		+
29		20752,46964		+		34486,01		+
30		20764,7892		+		34517,06		+
31		20766,09117		+		33954		-
32		20744,24405		-		34229,07		+
33		20754,45033		+		34656,83		+
34		20772,09202		+		34473,76		-
35		20764,27865		-		35341,2		+
36		20804,77181		+		35436,38		+
37		20809,74869		+		34985,45		-
38		20787,1022		-		35477,06		+
39		20811,90787		+		35415,91		-
40		20808,66946		-		35599,13		+
41		20818,50195		+		35465,95		-
42		20811,31627		-		35235,93		-
43		20799,38981		-		35713,98		+
44		20824,8633		+		36318,81		+
45		20860,86796		+		36244,96		-
46		20856,24706		-		36238,27		-
47		20855,83154		-		36651,61		+
48		20882,46288		+		36690,84		+
49		20885,09137		+		37064,27		+
50		20910,98295		+		37341,66		+
51		20931,2311		+		37405,4		+
52		20936,00549		+		36616,43		-
53		20880,12059		-		37220		+
54		20922,24435		+		37442,67		+
55		20938,81816		+		37806,83		+
56		20967,11304		+		37986,17		+
57		20981,58691		+		37653,78		-
58		20955,04195		-		37864,77		+
59		20971,75038		+		38368,66		+
60		21013,63613		+		38115,81		-
61		20992,27008		-		38117,31		+
62		20992,39476		+		37812,55		-
63		20967,5692		-		37795,9		-
64		20966,24241		-		37120,78		-
65		20915,03792		-		35873,33		-
66		20833,94146		-		35801,57		-
67		20829,81708		-		35980,06		+
68		20840,18527		+		35563,59		-
69		20816,56431		-		35678,19		+
70		20822,86462		+		36278,29		+
71		20858,32486		+		36940,33		+
72		20902,2152		+		37308,42		+
73		20928,75929		+		37571,76		+
74		20948,67986		+		38213,14		+
75		21000,41182		+		38501,45		+
76		21025,13616		+		38524,92		+
77		21027,18863		+		39739,74		+
78		21141,49165		+		41191,35		+
79		21298,25081		+		40866,67		-
80		21261,33143		-		41116,03		+
81		21289,59243		+		41039,94		-
82		21280,90294		-		40415,4		-
83		21211,78047		-		40502,58		+
84		21221,19197		+		41505,67		+
85		21334,98964		+		42194,73		+
86		21418,90252		+		42002,34		-
87		21395,01246		-		42125,61		+
88		21410,27878		+		42951,75		+
89		21516,30172		+		42938,85		-
90		21514,59724		-		42724,09		-
91		21486,4474		-		43376,85		+
92		21573,32112		+		43571,25		+
93		21599,94152		+		42993,27		-
94		21521,79811		-		42621,33		-
95		21473,12951		-		43020,51		+
96		21525,41271		+		42818,62		-
97		21498,78533		-		42158,4		-
98		21414,36411		-		42992,3		+
99		21521,66948		+		42939,38		-
100		21514,66729		-		44230,97		+
101		21692,77851		+		45924,25		+
102		21947,92742		+		44714,51		-
103		21763,21623		-		42928,65		-
104		21513,2506		-		42756,7		-
105		21490,69425		-		42828,64		+
106		21500,09802		+		43542,17		+
107		21595,93787		+		42333,2		-
108		21436,31551		-		40959,96		-
109		21271,83146		-		40059,32		-
110		21174,14906		-		40613,38		+
111		21233,26502		+		40220,55		-
112		21191,02668		-		39180,23		-
113		21086,89449		-		40047,06		+
114		21172,87662		+		40115,67		+
115		21180,01728		+		40702,82		+
116		21243,10159		+		40465,11		-
117		21217,13739		-		40170,35		-
118		21185,743		-		39875,77		-
119		21155,26243		-		39515,79		-
120		21119,24228		-		40789,03		+
121		21252,65947		+		41914,3		+
122		21384,19849		+		42429,06		+
123		21448,47669		+		43336,22		+
124		21567,80036		+		43169,58		-
125		21545,31394		-		43325,09		+
126		21566,29063		+		44489,37		+
127		21730,17211		+		43633,67		-
128		21608,56095		-		43683,33		+
129		21615,4431		+		43862,73		+
130		21640,48737		+		44641,85		+
131		21752,50496		+		45002,63		+
132		21806,12454		+		45282,32		+
133		21848,43398		+		45698,49		+
134		21912,56273		+		45104,65		-
135		21821,48299		-		46335,45		+
136		22013,35925		+		47443,65		+
137		22196,00278		+		47163,5		-
138		22148,98754		-		46930,71		-
139		22110,34829		-		48132,11		+
140		22313,86182		+		48930,72		+
141		22454,52353		+		49088,14		+
142		22482,72845		+		49397,32		+
143		22538,56506		+		50121,05		+
144		22671,47459		+		49699,67		-
145		22593,72149		-		48989,65		-
146		22465,06416		-		49210,68		+
147		22504,78918		+		47715,08		-
148		22242,08132		-		48708,09		+
149		22414,89937		+		48006,84		-
150		22292,17632		-		48194,4		+
151		22324,68395		+		47890,75		-
152		22272,17425		-		47955,51		+
153		22283,321		+		48200,39		+
154		22325,72582		+		47943,58		-
155		22281,26545		-		48625,74		+
156		22400,32207		+		48825,83		+
157		22435,81606		+		49525,55		+
158		22561,89161		+		49776,82		+
159		22607,88121		+		49567,61		-
160		22569,56419		-		49800,83		+
161		22612,29483		+		50621,01		+
162		22765,00942		+		50467,53		-
163		22736,15133		-		50551,02		+
164		22751,83379		+		51837,65		+
165		22998,01952		+		52835,66		+
166		23194,307		+		53247,94		+
167		23276,605		+		53520,24		+
168		23331,31961		+		56253,95		+
169		23893,80286		+		56985,69		+
170		24047,553		+		55060,42		-
171		23645,58527		-		56432,58		+
172		23931,23792		+		57532,02		+
173		24162,96719		+		56592,36		-
174		23964,7783		-		57277,66		+
175		24109,17364		+		58983,91		+
176		24471,55682		+		58940,68		-
177		24462,33973		-		58296,28		-
178		24325,12727		-		57598,15		-
179		24176,96865		-		56988,75		-
180		24048,19806		-		57896,31		+
181		24240,17092		+		57227,66		-
182		24098,61093		-		56376,62		-
183		23919,50349		-		57266,53		+
184		24106,8219		+		56940,58		-
185		24038,04569		-		55865,39		-
186		23812,61344		-		56114,11		+
187		23864,54406		+		57175,59		+
188		24087,61563		+		56096,5		-
189		23860,86282		-		55475		-
190		23731,40029		-		55952,65		+
191		23830,81637		+		58107,95		+
192		24285,10167		+		59333,17		+
193		24546,06573		+		59917,84		+
194		24670,92316		+		59812,92		-
195		24648,50914		-		59080,2		-
196		24492,09119		-		59292,68		+
197		24537,42415		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 103
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24537.42415208261
New Prediction 1	20937.65862950692
New Prediction 2	21279.453997838915
New Prediction 3	21241.178912480784
New Prediction 4	21245.40653361049
New Prediction 5	21244.938870191523
New Prediction 6	21244.990580498794
New Prediction 7	21244.984866544095
New Prediction 8	21244.98543793834
New Prediction 9	21244.98543793834
New Prediction 10	21244.98543793834
New Prediction 11	21244.98543793834
New Prediction 12	21244.98543793834
New Prediction 13	21244.98543793834
New Prediction 14	21244.98543793834
New Prediction 15	21244.98543793834
New Prediction 16	21244.98543793834
New Prediction 17	21244.98543793834
New Prediction 18	21244.98543793834
New Prediction 19	21244.98543793834
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02878		+			0,72589		+
2		0,0175		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03636		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,0047		+			1,47909		+
5		0,02703		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02905		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07229		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00065		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00032		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00112		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00002		-			2,19907		+
12		0,02515		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02488		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00178		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07316		+			0,99518		-
16		0,0426		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08234		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01022		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04174		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04323		-		0,77528		+
21		0,025		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01989		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04578		+			1,0963		-
24		0,0472		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07811		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01212		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04269		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00419		-			0,18679		+
29		0,0116		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05935		+			0,09		-
31		0,00627		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10526		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04919		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08497		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03762		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19482		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02392		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10889		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11926		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01556		-		0,516		+
41		0,04724		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03452		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05732		-		1,34759		+
44		0,1224		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17274		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02215		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00199		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12761		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01259		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12389		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09678		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02281		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26729		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20154		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07918		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13504		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06901		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,1266		-			0,55878		+
59		0,0797		+			1,32199		+
60		0,19953		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10173		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00059		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11833		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00633		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24452		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,3885		-			-0,20024		+
67		-0,0198		+			0,49731		+
68		0,04976		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11341		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03026		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17015		+			1,80844		+
72		0,2102		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12691		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09514		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24664		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11766		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00976		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54212		+			3,58766		+
79		0,73874		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,1735		-			0,60833		+
81		0,13283		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04082		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32534		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04436		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53481		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39254		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,1116		-			0,29305		+
88		0,07133		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49397		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00792		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13093		-		1,5163		+
92		0,4035		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12332		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36243		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22639		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24319		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12378		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39345		-		1,95871		+
99		0,49984		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03254		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82445		+			3,75681		+
102		1,16933		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84515		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15522		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,1049		+			0,16811		+
106		0,04375		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44477		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74188		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77027		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46027		+		1,37362		+
111		0,2788		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19912		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49261		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40692		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03372		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29741		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,1223		-			-0,7311		-
118		-0,14808		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14398		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17041		-		3,17128		+
121		0,62975		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61702		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30014		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55479		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10431		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09731		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75702		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56121		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03184		+			0,40984		+
130		0,1158		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51629		+			0,80492		-
132		0,2462		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19384		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29309		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41652		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87546		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82627		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21204		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,1746		+			2,52773		+
140		0,91623		+			1,64559		-
141		0,6284		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12553		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24805		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58797		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34355		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57107		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17667		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17421		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77398		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54901		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14572		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23549		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05004		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19012		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19934		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53291		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15833		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56037		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20363		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16963		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18915		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67309		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12685		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06895		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07624		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84988		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35419		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23479		-			4,98164		+
169		2,38225		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64141		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,68568		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20082		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96365		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,8236		-			1,20367		+
175		0,60072		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49191		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03767		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56249		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61094		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53404		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79511		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,5857		-			-1,49828		-
183		-0,746		-			1,56618		+
184		0,78007		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28571		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94224		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21784		+			1,87398		+
188		0,9304		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94583		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54405		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41805		+			3,77967		+
192		1,88835		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06885		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50738		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09089		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63662		-		0,359		+
197		0,18492		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,86501		+		-15,86501		+
2		1,61926		+			1,61926		+
3		-0,18003		-		-0,18003		-
4		0,0199		+			0,0199		+
5		-0,0022		-			-0,0022		-
6		0,00024		+			0,00024		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29792928911792427

 18.run Duration 	16 seconds 226 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1313906 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0034040187402588494
train epoch 1: 3.6278097864940933E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6267449043985285E-4
train epoch 3: 3.625689463910481E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6246436526581705E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6235986008192726E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6225579366889625E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6215398475901E-4
train epoch 8: 3.62058201914091E-4
train epoch 9: 3.619719352135081E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6188918728495556E-4
train epoch 11: 3.618132616931285E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6175237326292373E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6169236300909446E-4
train epoch 14: 3.616323844658552E-4
train epoch 15: 3.615724375102033E-4
train epoch 16: 3.615125220194053E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6145263787103795E-4
train epoch 18: 3.613927849429297E-4
train epoch 19: 3.613329631132115E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6127317226030266E-4
train epoch 21: 3.612134122628815E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6115368299992465E-4
train epoch 23: 3.610939843506855E-4
train epoch 24: 3.6103431619469194E-4
train epoch 25: 3.6097467841175626E-4
train epoch 26: 3.609150708819627E-4
train epoch 27: 3.6085549348567164E-4
train epoch 28: 3.6079594610352253E-4
train epoch 29: 3.607364286164347E-4
train epoch 30: 3.6067694090559095E-4
train epoch 31: 3.606174828524633E-4
train epoch 32: 3.6055805433878274E-4
train epoch 33: 3.60498655246559E-4
train epoch 34: 3.6043928545808E-4
train epoch 35: 3.603799448558942E-4
train epoch 36: 3.603206333228149E-4
train epoch 37: 3.602613507419545E-4
train epoch 38: 3.6020209699665605E-4
train epoch 39: 3.6014287197055667E-4
train epoch 40: 3.6008367554754984E-4
train epoch 41: 3.60024507611804E-4
train epoch 42: 3.599653680477427E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5990625674006335E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5984717357373676E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5978811843398017E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5972909120628274E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5967009177639695E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5961112003033113E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5955217585435887E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5994782675519723
mae:0.7345549644497611
rmse:0.7742598191511505
mape:6.978299599232279
corr:0.9691143469567696
theil coefficient:27.454725259032614
net profit:43.520682115283094
buy and hold:-7.128239616710286E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22091716809788373
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20654,75744		+		32155,21		+
1		20658,73158		+		32389,47		+
2		20661,5237		+		31833,73		-
3		20655,97596		-		31732,53		-
4		20655,36629		-		32205,37		+
5		20659,27383		+		32563,26		+
6		20664,02186		+		31042,99		-
7		20654,49979		-		30820,77		-
8		20655,44229		+		30789,2		-
9		20655,62449		+		30707,06		-
10		20656,15485		+		31258,97		+
11		20654,15443		-		31953,99		+
12		20656,86098		+		32325,14		+
13		20660,69115		+		32302,07		-
14		20660,40471		-		33048,99		+
15		20672,92947		+		33379,53		+
16		20680,60987		+		32684,23		-
17		20665,9752		-		32577,09		-
18		20664,23627		-		32979,02		+
19		20671,47165		+		32560,89		-
20		20663,98535		-		32814,31		+
21		20668,2719		+		32615,92		-
22		20664,85055		-		33044,36		+
23		20672,83119		+		33408,62		+
24		20681,34846		+		33914,45		+
25		20695,80833		+		33841,77		-
26		20693,54277		-		34090,39		+
27		20701,55322		+		34113,74		+
28		20702,34335		+		34177,52		+
29		20704,53462		+		34486,01		+
30		20715,81527		+		34517,06		+
31		20717,0132		+		33954		-
32		20697,06761		-		34229,07		+
33		20706,34104		+		34656,83		+
34		20722,54695		+		34473,76		-
35		20715,3458		-		35341,2		+
36		20752,96939		+		35436,38		+
37		20757,63637		+		34985,45		-
38		20736,46693		-		35477,06		+
39		20759,6634		+		35415,91		-
40		20756,6237		-		35599,13		+
41		20765,86208		+		35465,95		-
42		20759,10788		-		35235,93		-
43		20747,93131		-		35713,98		+
44		20771,85298		+		36318,81		+
45		20805,9322		+		36244,96		-
46		20801,54405		-		36238,27		-
47		20801,14965		-		36651,61		+
48		20826,48653		+		36690,84		+
49		20828,99327		+		37064,27		+
50		20853,73566		+		37341,66		+
51		20873,14185		+		37405,4		+
52		20877,7242		+		36616,43		-
53		20824,2536		-		37220		+
54		20864,52313		+		37442,67		+
55		20880,42483		+		37806,83		+
56		20907,63483		+		37986,17		+
57		20921,58108		+		37653,78		-
58		20896,01751		-		37864,77		+
59		20912,10123		+		38368,66		+
60		20952,51997		+		38115,81		-
61		20931,88562		-		38117,31		+
62		20932,00593		+		37812,55		-
63		20908,07409		-		37795,9		-
64		20906,7965		-		37120,78		-
65		20857,61829		-		35873,33		-
66		20780,41966		-		35801,57		-
67		20776,52524		-		35980,06		+
68		20786,32255		+		35563,59		-
69		20764,03939		-		35678,19		+
70		20769,96957		+		36278,29		+
71		20803,51672		+		36940,33		+
72		20845,34735		+		37308,42		+
73		20870,7704		+		37571,76		+
74		20889,8999		+		38213,14		+
75		20939,74463		+		38501,45		+
76		20963,63937		+		38524,92		+
77		20965,62482		+		39739,74		+
78		21076,56998		+		41191,35		+
79		21229,61621		+		40866,67		-
80		21193,49786		-		41116,03		+
81		21221,14211		+		41039,94		-
82		21212,63974		-		40415,4		-
83		21145,08872		-		40502,58		+
84		21154,27708		+		41505,67		+
85		21265,59614		+		42194,73		+
86		21347,90348		+		42002,34		-
87		21324,45358		-		42125,61		+
88		21339,43715		+		42951,75		+
89		21443,63281		+		42938,85		-
90		21441,95595		-		42724,09		-
91		21414,27018		-		43376,85		+
92		21499,75858		+		43571,25		+
93		21525,98102		+		42993,27		-
94		21449,04051		-		42621,33		-
95		21401,1772		-		43020,51		+
96		21452,59708		+		42818,62		-
97		21426,40284		-		42158,4		-
98		21343,4477		-		42992,3		+
99		21448,91395		+		42939,38		-
100		21442,02486		-		44230,97		+
101		21617,51821		+		45924,25		+
102		21869,69643		+		44714,51		-
103		21687,05351		-		42928,65		-
104		21440,63117		-		42756,7		-
105		21418,44604		-		42828,64		+
106		21427,69386		+		43542,17		+
107		21522,03648		+		42333,2		-
108		21365,0036		-		40959,96		-
109		21203,76596		-		40059,32		-
110		21108,38123		-		40613,38		+
111		21166,0683		+		40220,55		-
112		21124,83802		-		39180,23		-
113		21023,49199		-		40047,06		+
114		21107,14096		+		40115,67		+
115		21114,10191		+		40702,82		+
116		21175,67881		+		40465,11		-
117		21150,31826		-		40170,35		-
118		21119,68493		-		39875,77		-
119		21089,97865		-		39515,79		-
120		21054,92296		-		40789,03		+
121		21185,02001		+		41914,3		+
122		21313,84314		+		42429,06		+
123		21376,95012		+		43336,22		+
124		21494,32184		+		43169,58		-
125		21472,18312		-		43325,09		+
126		21492,83518		+		44489,37		+
127		21654,42423		+		43633,67		-
128		21534,47411		-		43683,33		+
129		21541,25624		+		43862,73		+
130		21565,94289		+		44641,85		+
131		21676,4751		+		45002,63		+
132		21729,44455		+		45282,32		+
133		21771,26656		+		45698,49		+
134		21834,69699		+		45104,65		-
135		21744,62352		-		46335,45		+
136		21934,48763		+		47443,65		+
137		22115,56417		+		47163,5		-
138		22068,92299		-		46930,71		-
139		22030,60595		-		48132,11		+
140		22232,56768		+		48930,72		+
141		22372,35075		+		49088,14		+
142		22400,39691		+		49397,32		+
143		22455,93554		+		50121,05		+
144		22588,21914		+		49699,67		-
145		22510,81828		-		48989,65		-
146		22382,83139		-		49210,68		+
147		22422,33735		+		47715,08		-
148		22161,29458		-		48708,09		+
149		22332,95924		+		48006,84		-
150		22211,0311		-		48194,4		+
151		22243,31688		+		47890,75		-
152		22191,16972		-		47955,51		+
153		22202,23767		+		48200,39		+
154		22244,35178		+		47943,58		-
155		22200,19658		-		48625,74		+
156		22318,4704		+		48825,83		+
157		22353,75171		+		49525,55		+
158		22479,14387		+		49776,82		+
159		22524,91097		+		49567,61		-
160		22486,77837		-		49800,83		+
161		22529,30396		+		50621,01		+
162		22681,38004		+		50467,53		-
163		22652,63167		-		50551,02		+
164		22668,25389		+		51837,65		+
165		22913,67849		+		52835,66		+
166		23109,58985		+		53247,94		+
167		23191,78638		+		53520,24		+
168		23246,45108		+		56253,95		+
169		23809,16708		+		56985,69		+
170		23963,19811		+		55060,42		-
171		23560,68628		-		56432,58		+
172		23846,66245		+		57532,02		+
173		24078,87955		+		56592,36		-
174		23880,26133		-		57277,66		+
175		24024,95553		+		58983,91		+
176		24388,40985		+		58940,68		-
177		24379,16005		-		58296,28		-
178		24241,49383		-		57598,15		-
179		24092,91664		-		56988,75		-
180		23963,84452		-		57896,31		+
181		24156,28824		+		57227,66		-
182		24014,36841		-		56376,62		-
183		23834,90854		-		57266,53		+
184		24022,59832		+		56940,58		-
185		23953,67091		-		55865,39		-
186		23727,8651		-		56114,11		+
187		23779,86481		+		57175,59		+
188		24003,34812		+		56096,5		-
189		23776,17834		-		55475		-
190		23646,56487		-		55952,65		+
191		23746,09107		+		58107,95		+
192		24201,34773		+		59333,17		+
193		24463,19331		+		59917,84		+
194		24588,55065		+		59812,92		-
195		24566,04325		-		59080,2		-
196		24409,01809		-		59292,68		+
197		24454,51897		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24454.518965231848
New Prediction 1	20931.59641396012
New Prediction 2	21280.64068987237
New Prediction 3	21240.303102207552
New Prediction 4	21244.90241883829
New Prediction 5	21244.377163197918
New Prediction 6	21244.43713110446
New Prediction 7	21244.43034771055
New Prediction 8	21244.431035879315
New Prediction 9	21244.431035879315
New Prediction 10	21244.431035879315
New Prediction 11	21244.431035879315
New Prediction 12	21244.431035879315
New Prediction 13	21244.431035879315
New Prediction 14	21244.431035879315
New Prediction 15	21244.431035879315
New Prediction 16	21244.431035879315
New Prediction 17	21244.431035879315
New Prediction 18	21244.431035879315
New Prediction 19	21244.431035879315
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,01924		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01351		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,02685		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00295		+		1,47909		+
5		0,01892		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02298		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,04609		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00456		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00088		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00257		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00968		-		2,19907		+
12		0,0131		+			1,15482		-
13		0,01854		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00139		-		2,28597		+
15		0,0606		+			0,99518		-
16		0,03715		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,07079		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00841		+		1,22623		+
19		0,03501		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,03622		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02074		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01656		-		1,30504		+
23		0,03861		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04119		+			1,50272		+
25		0,06989		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01095		-		0,73197		+
27		0,0387		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00382		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01058		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05447		+			0,09		-
31		0,00578		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,09632		-		0,80686		+
33		0,0448		+			1,24195		+
34		0,07823		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03476		-		2,4851		+
36		0,18146		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02249		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10204		-		1,3954		+
39		0,1118		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01464		-		0,516		+
41		0,0445		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03253		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05385		-		1,34759		+
44		0,11523		+			1,67936		+
45		0,16393		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02109		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,0019		+			1,13416		+
48		0,12173		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01204		-			1,01263		+
50		0,11872		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09302		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02195		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,25644		-		1,63492		+
54		0,19319		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07619		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13023		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06668		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12226		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07694		+			1,32199		+
60		0,19309		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,09853		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00057		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,1144		-			-0,04404		+
64		-0,00611		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,2355		-			-3,41828		-
66		-0,37081		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01874		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04714		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,10726		-		0,32172		+
70		0,02856		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16139		+			1,80844		+
72		0,20087		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12189		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09161		-			1,69267		+
75		0,23832		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11405		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00947		-			3,10464		+
78		0,52778		+			3,58766		+
79		0,72352		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17028		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13035		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04007		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,31896		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04344		+			2,44644		+
85		0,52485		+			1,64653		-
86		0,3863		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,10991		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07024		+			1,94215		+
89		0,48709		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00782		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,1292		-			1,5163		+
92		0,39842		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12189		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,35807		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,2234		+			0,93221		+
96		0,23998		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12218		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,38791		-		1,95871		+
99		0,49292		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03212		-		2,96359		+
101		0,81512		+			3,75681		+
102		1,15979		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,83865		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,14277		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10353		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04317		+			1,65229		+
107		0,43932		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,73231		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,75754		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,45086		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27292		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19498		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,4809		-			2,1883		+
114		0,39709		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03297		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29121		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,11983		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14494		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14076		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,16636		-		3,17128		+
121		0,61599		+			2,72139		-
122		0,60624		-			1,22064		-
123		0,29565		-			2,11553		+
124		0,54756		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10305		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09613		+			2,65184		+
127		0,74902		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,55547		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03149		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11454		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51122		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24407		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19228		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29093		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41338		-		2,6922		+
136		0,86936		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82214		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21112		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17378		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91256		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62676		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12528		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24763		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58735		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34325		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57018		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17635		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17104		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77163		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54745		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14525		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23471		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04986		+			0,50934		+
154		0,1895		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,1987		-			1,41281		+
156		0,53135		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15796		-			1,42292		+
158		0,55938		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20339		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16943		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18894		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67275		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12683		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06894		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07686		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85136		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35505		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23543		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39182		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64486		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69398		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20648		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96908		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82829		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60409		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50149		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03793		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56629		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61479		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53717		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79985		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58924		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75011		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78437		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28734		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94715		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21891		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93541		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95092		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54663		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42001		+			3,77967		+
192		1,89904		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07614		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51112		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09158		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64125		-		0,359		+
197		0,18624		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,55552		+		-15,55552		+
2		1,6538		+			1,6538		+
3		-0,18973		-		-0,18973		-
4		0,02165		+			0,02165		+
5		-0,00247		-		-0,00247		-
6		0,00028		+			0,00028		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29973913377598616

 19.run Duration 	16 seconds 132 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@96cf11 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.004672263856799274
train epoch 1: 3.5872445088378397E-4
train epoch 2: 3.5865191475244364E-4
train epoch 3: 3.585794198680879E-4
train epoch 4: 3.5850696597921044E-4
train epoch 5: 3.5843455261594506E-4
train epoch 6: 3.583621797449334E-4
train epoch 7: 3.582898478412383E-4
train epoch 8: 3.5821755806069073E-4
train epoch 9: 3.58145311462381E-4
train epoch 10: 3.580731057954797E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5800094205486676E-4
train epoch 12: 3.5792882294946197E-4
train epoch 13: 3.5785674338196616E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5778470290051713E-4
train epoch 15: 3.577127013489515E-4
train epoch 16: 3.576407385715437E-4
train epoch 17: 3.575688144129841E-4
train epoch 18: 3.574969287183834E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5742508133326394E-4
train epoch 20: 3.5735327210357663E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5728150087566954E-4
train epoch 22: 3.572097674963285E-4
train epoch 23: 3.5713807181273854E-4
train epoch 24: 3.570664136725021E-4
train epoch 25: 3.569947929236278E-4
train epoch 26: 3.5692320941452704E-4
train epoch 27: 3.568516629940477E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5678015351141176E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5670868081628764E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5663724475869756E-4
train epoch 31: 3.565658451891088E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5649448195837865E-4
train epoch 33: 3.564231549177673E-4
train epoch 34: 3.563518639189915E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5628060881421226E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5620938945573455E-4
train epoch 37: 3.561382056964143E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5606705738950483E-4
train epoch 39: 3.559959443886658E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5592486654793386E-4
train epoch 41: 3.558538237217615E-4
train epoch 42: 3.557828157649707E-4
train epoch 43: 3.557118425327872E-4
train epoch 44: 3.55640903880827E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5556999966509026E-4
train epoch 46: 3.554991297419745E-4
train epoch 47: 3.554282939682522E-4
train epoch 48: 3.553574922010947E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5528672429805156E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5912868536091636
mae:0.7291709493174616
rmse:0.7689517888718145
mape:6.910131425370497
corr:0.9728909261647339
theil coefficient:27.273157452076077
net profit:44.8977888150636
buy and hold:-6.909601977911489E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22790755743687105
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20759,02961		+		32155,21		+
1		20767,72933		+		32389,47		+
2		20772,48297		+		31833,73		-
3		20762,24782		-		31732,53		-
4		20760,77204		-		32205,37		+
5		20768,69337		+		32563,26		+
6		20776,42255		+		31042,99		-
7		20753,90505		-		30820,77		-
8		20752,87797		-		30789,2		-
9		20752,77899		-		30707,06		-
10		20752,57616		-		31258,97		+
11		20755,45747		+		31953,99		+
12		20764,15711		+		32325,14		+
13		20771,11388		+		32302,07		-
14		20770,63464		-		33048,99		+
15		20789,29526		+		33379,53		+
16		20799,61915		+		32684,23		-
17		20779,37221		-		32577,09		-
18		20776,75116		-		32979,02		+
19		20787,27211		+		32560,89		-
20		20776,36647		-		32814,31		+
21		20782,73376		+		32615,92		-
22		20777,68567		-		33044,36		+
23		20789,15963		+		33408,62		+
24		20800,58822		+		33914,45		+
25		20818,99889		+		33841,77		-
26		20816,17236		-		34090,39		+
27		20826,09235		+		34113,74		+
28		20827,06044		+		34177,52		+
29		20829,73662		+		34486,01		+
30		20843,33749		+		34517,06		+
31		20844,76663		+		33954		-
32		20820,56248		-		34229,07		+
33		20831,93367		+		34656,83		+
34		20851,33582		+		34473,76		-
35		20842,77668		-		35341,2		+
36		20886,70076		+		35436,38		+
37		20892,03811		+		34985,45		-
38		20867,6557		-		35477,06		+
39		20894,35038		+		35415,91		-
40		20890,88163		-		35599,13		+
41		20901,40034		+		35465,95		-
42		20893,71703		-		35235,93		-
43		20880,91637		-		35713,98		+
44		20908,18579		+		36318,81		+
45		20946,3462		+		36244,96		-
46		20941,46911		-		36238,27		-
47		20941,03029		-		36651,61		+
48		20969,07117		+		36690,84		+
49		20971,83023		+		37064,27		+
50		20998,9366		+		37341,66		+
51		21020,05413		+		37405,4		+
52		21025,0243		+		36616,43		-
53		20966,61133		-		37220		+
54		21010,68955		+		37442,67		+
55		21027,95075		+		37806,83		+
56		21057,33043		+		37986,17		+
57		21072,32054		+		37653,78		-
58		21044,80938		-		37864,77		+
59		21062,13586		+		38368,66		+
60		21105,4309		+		38115,81		-
61		21083,36946		-		38117,31		+
62		21083,49833		+		37812,55		-
63		21057,80324		-		37795,9		-
64		21056,42796		-		37120,78		-
65		21003,17097		-		35873,33		-
66		20917,8446		-		35801,57		-
67		20913,45985		-		35980,06		+
68		20924,47226		+		35563,59		-
69		20899,33052		-		35678,19		+
70		20906,05545		+		36278,29		+
71		20943,66278		+		36940,33		+
72		20989,77131		+		37308,42		+
73		21017,47963		+		37571,76		+
74		21038,20259		+		38213,14		+
75		21091,78168		+		38501,45		+
76		21117,2866		+		38524,92		+
77		21119,40124		+		39739,74		+
78		21236,64169		+		41191,35		+
79		21396,18574		+		40866,67		-
80		21358,71198		-		41116,03		+
81		21387,40226		+		41039,94		-
82		21378,58424		-		40415,4		-
83		21308,32497		-		40502,58		+
84		21317,90394		+		41505,67		+
85		21433,42374		+		42194,73		+
86		21518,30231		+		42002,34		-
87		21494,16035		-		42125,61		+
88		21509,58965		+		42951,75		+
89		21616,56004		+		42938,85		-
90		21614,8427		-		42724,09		-
91		21586,4697		-		43376,85		+
92		21673,96946		+		43571,25		+
93		21700,74632		+		42993,27		-
94		21622,09743		-		42621,33		-
95		21573,03904		-		43020,51		+
96		21625,73858		+		42818,62		-
97		21598,90794		-		42158,4		-
98		21513,71738		-		42992,3		+
99		21621,96785		+		42939,38		-
100		21614,91327		-		44230,97		+
101		21794,01267		+		45924,25		+
102		22049,55959		+		44714,51		-
103		21864,66639		-		42928,65		-
104		21613,48584		-		42756,7		-
105		21590,75151		-		42828,64		+
106		21600,23106		+		43542,17		+
107		21696,72014		+		42333,2		-
108		21535,88811		-		40959,96		-
109		21369,37533		-		40059,32		-
110		21269,98		-		40613,38		+
111		21330,18571		+		40220,55		-
112		21287,18661		-		39180,23		-
113		21180,76024		-		40047,06		+
114		21268,68214		+		40115,67		+
115		21275,96431		+		40702,82		+
116		21340,18741		+		40465,11		-
117		21313,77773		-		40170,35		-
118		21281,80154		-		39875,77		-
119		21250,70698		-		39515,79		-
120		21213,89235		-		40789,03		+
121		21349,90162		+		41914,3		+
122		21483,22654		+		42429,06		+
123		21548,16479		+		43336,22		+
124		21668,41427		+		43169,58		-
125		21645,78035		-		43325,09		+
126		21666,895		+		44489,37		+
127		21831,53201		+		43633,67		-
128		21709,41309		-		43683,33		+
129		21716,33189		+		43862,73		+
130		21741,50116		+		44641,85		+
131		21853,92794		+		45002,63		+
132		21907,66418		+		45282,32		+
133		21950,03271		+		45698,49		+
134		22014,19925		+		45104,65		-
135		21923,04734		-		46335,45		+
136		22114,93907		+		47443,65		+
137		22297,16191		+		47163,5		-
138		22250,29094		-		46930,71		-
139		22211,75221		-		48132,11		+
140		22414,56009		+		48930,72		+
141		22554,50282		+		49088,14		+
142		22582,54328		+		49397,32		+
143		22638,03552		+		50121,05		+
144		22770,03082		+		49699,67		-
145		22692,82823		-		48989,65		-
146		22564,98274		-		49210,68		+
147		22604,47089		+		47715,08		-
148		22343,07666		-		48708,09		+
149		22515,0986		+		48006,84		-
150		22392,96956		-		48194,4		+
151		22425,33318		+		47890,75		-
152		22373,05111		-		47955,51		+
153		22384,15173		+		48200,39		+
154		22426,37026		+		47943,58		-
155		22382,10478		-		48625,74		+
156		22500,59887		+		48825,83		+
157		22535,90084		+		49525,55		+
158		22661,21104		+		49776,82		+
159		22706,89093		+		49567,61		-
160		22668,83305		-		49800,83		+
161		22711,27401		+		50621,01		+
162		22862,84817		+		50467,53		-
163		22834,21765		-		50551,02		+
164		22849,77711		+		51837,65		+
165		23093,8337		+		52835,66		+
166		23288,18365		+		53247,94		+
167		23369,61319		+		53520,24		+
168		23423,73339		+		56253,95		+
169		23979,42372		+		56985,69		+
170		24131,13256		+		55060,42		-
171		23734,34547		-		56432,58		+
172		24016,36818		+		57532,02		+
173		24244,97074		+		56592,36		-
174		24049,46544		-		57277,66		+
175		24191,91621		+		58983,91		+
176		24549,18305		+		58940,68		-
177		24540,09986		-		58296,28		-
178		24404,85856		-		57598,15		-
179		24258,7786		-		56988,75		-
180		24131,76891		-		57896,31		+
181		24321,10076		+		57227,66		-
182		24181,49771		-		56376,62		-
183		24004,78798		-		57266,53		+
184		24189,5966		+		56940,58		-
185		24121,75346		-		55865,39		-
186		23899,2834		-		56114,11		+
187		23950,54537		+		57175,59		+
188		24170,6522		+		56096,5		-
189		23946,91181		-		55475		-
190		23819,0984		-		55952,65		+
191		23917,25292		+		58107,95		+
192		24365,39979		+		59333,17		+
193		24622,60297		+		59917,84		+
194		24745,61047		+		59812,92		-
195		24723,53076		-		59080,2		-
196		24569,41846		-		59292,68		+
197		24614,08828		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24614.088276509272
New Prediction 1	20955.952551343515
New Prediction 2	21276.580322342765
New Prediction 3	21242.91693412143
New Prediction 4	21246.402793770943
New Prediction 5	21246.041356696136
New Prediction 6	21246.078762616664
New Prediction 7	21246.07492376258
New Prediction 8	21246.07528086471
New Prediction 9	21246.07528086471
New Prediction 10	21246.07528086471
New Prediction 11	21246.07528086471
New Prediction 12	21246.07528086471
New Prediction 13	21246.07528086471
New Prediction 14	21246.07528086471
New Prediction 15	21246.07528086471
New Prediction 16	21246.07528086471
New Prediction 17	21246.07528086471
New Prediction 18	21246.07528086471
New Prediction 19	21246.07528086471
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,0419		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02289		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04928		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00711		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03815		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03721		-			-4,78116		-
7		-0,10844		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00495		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00048		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,00098		-		1,78138		+
11		0,01388		+			2,19907		+
12		0,04191		+			1,15482		-
13		0,0335		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00231		-		2,28597		+
15		0,0898		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04965		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09739		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01261		+		1,22623		+
19		0,05063		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,05248		-		0,77528		+
21		0,03064		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02429		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05521		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05496		-			1,50272		+
25		0,08847		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01358		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04764		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00465		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01285		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06527		+			0,09		-
31		0,00686		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11618		-		0,80686		+
33		0,0546		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09309		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,04106		-		2,4851		+
36		0,21052		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02555		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11677		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12784		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,0166		-			0,516		+
41		0,05034		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03677		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,06128		-		1,34759		+
44		0,13051		+			1,67936		+
45		0,18235		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02329		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,0021		+			1,13416		+
48		0,13381		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01316		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12917		+			0,74562		-
51		0,10051		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02364		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27821		-		1,63492		+
54		0,21001		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08212		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13962		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07116		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13064		-		0,55878		+
59		0,0823		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20535		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10458		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12195		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00653		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25325		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40708		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02096		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05264		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,12023		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03217		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17973		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21991		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13192		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09855		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25435		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12085		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01001		-			3,10464		+
78		0,5536		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74846		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,1753		-			0,60833		+
81		0,13424		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04124		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32918		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04494		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54043		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39523		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11226		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07176		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49608		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00794		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13135		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40453		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12347		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36308		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22715		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24399		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12415		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,3952		-			1,95871		+
99		0,50191		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03263		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82518		+			3,75681		+
102		1,16573		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84207		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15545		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10524		+		0,16811		+
106		0,0439		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44571		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74403		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77619		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46621		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28265		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20179		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50121		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41424		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03423		-			1,45303		+
116		0,3014		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12383		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15014		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14622		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17339		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63909		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62253		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30182		-			2,11553		+
124		0,5565		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10451		-		0,35958		+
126		0,0975		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75698		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56094		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03186		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11583		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51577		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24559		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19321		-			0,91486		+
134		0,2919		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41492		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87149		+			2,36354		-
137		0,8206		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21043		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17336		+		2,52773		+
140		0,90892		+			1,64559		-
141		0,6224		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12425		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24543		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58138		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,33963		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,56497		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17484		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,16312		-		2,05976		+
149		0,76696		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54391		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14442		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23341		-		0,13513		+
153		0,0496		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18843		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19758		-		1,41281		+
156		0,52802		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15677		-			1,42292		+
158		0,55451		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20137		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16775		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18705		+			1,63351		+
162		0,66518		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12531		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06812		+			2,51336		+
165		1,06243		+			1,90696		-
166		0,83804		-			0,77728		-
167		0,34905		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23132		-			4,98164		+
169		2,34464		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63067		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,65796		-		2,46155		+
172		1,18124		+			1,9295		-
173		0,94736		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,80964		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59058		+			2,9354		+
176		1,466		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03701		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55263		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60037		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,52494		+		1,57998		+
181		0,78151		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,57565		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,73345		-		1,56618		+
184		0,76693		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28086		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,92656		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21426		+			1,87398		+
188		0,91481		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,92998		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,53517		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41124		+			3,77967		+
192		1,8564		+			2,0866		-
193		1,05008		-			0,98058		-
194		0,49833		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,08927		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,62529		-		0,359		+
197		0,18165		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,08962		+		-16,08962		+
2		1,51842		+			1,51842		+
3		-0,15834		-		-0,15834		-
4		0,01641		+			0,01641		+
5		-0,0017		-			-0,0017		-
6		0,00018		+			0,00018		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2956434268045818

 20.run Duration 	16 seconds 195 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@f47bf5 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.002380407035237203
train epoch 1: 3.602730355630458E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6023983355494305E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6020664074449437E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6017345706815484E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6014028246239896E-4
train epoch 6: 3.601071168639359E-4
train epoch 7: 3.600739602097564E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6004081243717065E-4
train epoch 9: 3.60007673483542E-4
train epoch 10: 3.599745432851763E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5994142177959293E-4
train epoch 12: 3.599083089050094E-4
train epoch 13: 3.598752045969911E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5984210879282997E-4
train epoch 15: 3.598090214299997E-4
train epoch 16: 3.597759424460672E-4
train epoch 17: 3.597428717786851E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5970980936559825E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5967675514462756E-4
train epoch 20: 3.5964370905369687E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5961067103080276E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5957764101404016E-4
train epoch 23: 3.595446189415932E-4
train epoch 24: 3.595116047517108E-4
train epoch 25: 3.594785983827532E-4
train epoch 26: 3.594455997731523E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5941260886143526E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5937962558620724E-4
train epoch 29: 3.59346649886162E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5931368170007903E-4
train epoch 31: 3.592807209668201E-4
train epoch 32: 3.592477676253444E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5921482161467935E-4
train epoch 34: 3.591818828739387E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5914895134232826E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5911602695913136E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5908310966372575E-4
train epoch 38: 3.590501993955582E-4
train epoch 39: 3.590172960941784E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5898439969919563E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5895151015031504E-4
train epoch 42: 3.589186273873316E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5888575135010635E-4
train epoch 44: 3.588528819785978E-4
train epoch 45: 3.588200192128344E-4
train epoch 46: 3.587871629929336E-4
train epoch 47: 3.587543132590912E-4
train epoch 48: 3.587214699515894E-4
train epoch 49: 3.586886330107915E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5939294759577103
mae:0.7311316067049265
rmse:0.7706682009514277
mape:6.944739019604082
corr:0.9715839884540588
theil coefficient:27.269333433816904
net profit:45.20672363850157
buy and hold:-6.862382969426328E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22947575451016025
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20702,66342		+		32155,21		+
1		20709,51024		+		32389,47		+
2		20713,52065		+		31833,73		-
3		20705,08705		-		31732,53		-
4		20703,95357		-		32205,37		+
5		20710,31315		+		32563,26		+
6		20716,92418		+		31042,99		-
7		20699,53419		-		30820,77		-
8		20699,33836		-		30789,2		-
9		20699,35913		+		30707,06		-
10		20699,46981		+		31258,97		+
11		20700,29845		+		31953,99		+
12		20706,59526		+		32325,14		+
13		20712,3533		+		32302,07		-
14		20711,94685		-		33048,99		+
15		20728,36829		+		33379,53		+
16		20737,77903		+		32684,23		-
17		20719,50844		-		32577,09		-
18		20717,21069		-		32979,02		+
19		20726,54458		+		32560,89		-
20		20716,87532		-		32814,31		+
21		20722,48418		+		32615,92		-
22		20718,02745		-		33044,36		+
23		20728,24579		+		33408,62		+
24		20738,67004		+		33914,45		+
25		20755,78299		+		33841,77		-
26		20753,13596		-		34090,39		+
27		20762,45163		+		34113,74		+
28		20763,36438		+		34177,52		+
29		20765,8906		+		34486,01		+
30		20778,79177		+		34517,06		+
31		20780,15283		+		33954		-
32		20757,24989		-		34229,07		+
33		20767,96779		+		34656,83		+
34		20786,42089		+		34473,76		-
35		20778,25794		-		35341,2		+
36		20820,43739		+		35436,38		+
37		20825,6038		+		34985,45		-
38		20802,06714		-		35477,06		+
39		20827,84425		+		35415,91		-
40		20824,48374		-		35599,13		+
41		20834,68314		+		35465,95		-
42		20827,23045		-		35235,93		-
43		20814,84678		-		35713,98		+
44		20841,27609		+		36318,81		+
45		20878,52023		+		36244,96		-
46		20873,74624		-		36238,27		-
47		20873,31688		-		36651,61		+
48		20900,81083		+		36690,84		+
49		20903,52194		+		37064,27		+
50		20930,20632		+		37341,66		+
51		20951,05057		+		37405,4		+
52		20955,96277		+		36616,43		-
53		20898,39456		-		37220		+
54		20941,80164		+		37442,67		+
55		20958,85616		+		37806,83		+
56		20987,94522		+		37986,17		+
57		21002,81372		+		37653,78		-
58		20975,53917		-		37864,77		+
59		20992,70981		+		38368,66		+
60		21035,712		+		38115,81		-
61		21013,78356		-		38117,31		+
62		21013,91156		+		37812,55		-
63		20988,41393		-		37795,9		-
64		20987,05061		-		37120,78		-
65		20934,38224		-		35873,33		-
66		20850,67761		-		35801,57		-
67		20846,40732		-		35980,06		+
68		20857,13929		+		35563,59		-
69		20832,67408		-		35678,19		+
70		20839,20511		+		36278,29		+
71		20875,89308		+		36940,33		+
72		20921,1742		+		37308,42		+
73		20948,50701		+		37571,76		+
74		20968,99827		+		38213,14		+
75		21022,14127		+		38501,45		+
76		21047,50908		+		38524,92		+
77		21049,61416		+		39739,74		+
78		21166,68541		+		41191,35		+
79		21326,84728		+		40866,67		-
80		21289,15951		-		41116,03		+
81		21318,01032		+		41039,94		-
82		21309,14062		-		40415,4		-
83		21238,54711		-		40502,58		+
84		21248,16303		+		41505,67		+
85		21364,33327		+		42194,73		+
86		21449,89363		+		42002,34		-
87		21425,54242		-		42125,61		+
88		21441,10412		+		42951,75		+
89		21549,11391		+		42938,85		-
90		21547,37833		-		42724,09		-
91		21518,71101		-		43376,85		+
92		21607,15911		+		43571,25		+
93		21634,24902		+		42993,27		-
94		21554,71042		-		42621,33		-
95		21505,14573		-		43020,51		+
96		21558,3907		+		42818,62		-
97		21531,27664		-		42158,4		-
98		21445,26807		-		42992,3		+
99		21554,57944		+		42939,38		-
100		21547,44965		-		44230,97		+
101		21728,67987		+		45924,25		+
102		21987,90198		+		44714,51		-
103		21800,28472		-		42928,65		-
104		21546,0071		-		42756,7		-
105		21523,03639		-		42828,64		+
106		21532,61347		+		43542,17		+
107		21630,17513		+		42333,2		-
108		21467,63899		-		40959,96		-
109		21299,87994		-		40059,32		-
110		21200,08414		-		40613,38		+
111		21260,49634		+		40220,55		-
112		21217,33759		-		39180,23		-
113		21110,80287		-		40047,06		+
114		21198,78317		+		40115,67		+
115		21206,08358		+		40702,82		+
116		21270,54336		+		40465,11		-
117		21244,02055		-		40170,35		-
118		21211,93677		-		39875,77		-
119		21180,77114		-		39515,79		-
120		21143,91956		-		40789,03		+
121		21280,30437		+		41914,3		+
122		21414,5177		+		42429,06		+
123		21480,03049		+		43336,22		+
124		21601,54024		+		43169,58		-
125		21578,65157		-		43325,09		+
126		21600,00364		+		44489,37		+
127		21766,69739		+		43633,67		-
128		21643,01925		-		43683,33		+
129		21650,02137		+		43862,73		+
130		21675,49909		+		44641,85		+
131		21789,39819		+		45002,63		+
132		21843,88739		+		45282,32		+
133		21886,86975		+		45698,49		+
134		21951,99714		+		45104,65		-
135		21859,49143		-		46335,45		+
136		22054,31417		+		47443,65		+
137		22239,57174		+		47163,5		-
138		22191,90013		-		46930,71		-
139		22152,71304		-		48132,11		+
140		22359,02861		+		48930,72		+
141		22501,51264		+		49088,14		+
142		22530,07236		+		49397,32		+
143		22586,6012		+		50121,05		+
144		22721,10569		+		49699,67		-
145		22642,42842		-		48989,65		-
146		22512,18627		-		49210,68		+
147		22552,40819		+		47715,08		-
148		22286,28294		-		48708,09		+
149		22461,38414		+		48006,84		-
150		22337,0541		-		48194,4		+
151		22369,99415		+		47890,75		-
152		22316,78348		-		47955,51		+
153		22328,08012		+		48200,39		+
154		22371,04979		+		47943,58		-
155		22325,99698		-		48625,74		+
156		22446,61955		+		48825,83		+
157		22482,56793		+		49525,55		+
158		22610,213		+		49776,82		+
159		22656,7583		+		49567,61		-
160		22617,9789		-		49800,83		+
161		22661,22479		+		50621,01		+
162		22815,71984		+		50467,53		-
163		22786,53247		-		50551,02		+
164		22802,39428		+		51837,65		+
165		23051,27058		+		52835,66		+
166		23249,54124		+		53247,94		+
167		23332,62952		+		53520,24		+
168		23387,85633		+		56253,95		+
169		23955,01225		+		56985,69		+
170		24109,8565		+		55060,42		-
171		23704,86394		-		56432,58		+
172		23992,72082		+		57532,02		+
173		24226,04137		+		56592,36		-
174		24026,50237		-		57277,66		+
175		24171,89399		+		58983,91		+
176		24536,47997		+		58940,68		-
177		24527,2121		-		58296,28		-
178		24389,21137		-		57598,15		-
179		24240,13339		-		56988,75		-
180		24110,50598		-		57896,31		+
181		24303,73652		+		57227,66		-
182		24161,26071		-		56376,62		-
183		23980,90115		-		57266,53		+
184		24169,52657		+		56940,58		-
185		24100,28378		-		55865,39		-
186		23873,21377		-		56114,11		+
187		23925,53646		+		57175,59		+
188		24150,19155		+		56096,5		-
189		23921,82772		-		55475		-
190		23791,36959		-		55952,65		+
191		23891,55514		+		58107,95		+
192		24348,94439		+		59333,17		+
193		24611,38932		+		59917,84		+
194		24736,8777		+		59812,92		-
195		24714,35411		-		59080,2		-
196		24557,12648		-		59292,68		+
197		24602,70221		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24602.702209569103
New Prediction 1	20934.020112328035
New Prediction 2	21279.82546018477
New Prediction 3	21241.140675627474
New Prediction 4	21245.407584301884
New Prediction 5	21244.93617085099
New Prediction 6	21244.98828730006
New Prediction 7	21244.982485903696
New Prediction 8	21244.98315163628
New Prediction 9	21244.983056531608
New Prediction 10	21244.983056531608
New Prediction 11	21244.983056531608
New Prediction 12	21244.983056531608
New Prediction 13	21244.983056531608
New Prediction 14	21244.983056531608
New Prediction 15	21244.983056531608
New Prediction 16	21244.983056531608
New Prediction 17	21244.983056531608
New Prediction 18	21244.983056531608
New Prediction 19	21244.983056531608
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03307		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01936		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04072		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00547		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03071		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03192		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,08398		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00095		+		-0,10248		+
9		0,0001		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00053		+			1,78138		+
11		0,004		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03041		+			1,15482		-
13		0,0278		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00196		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07925		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04539		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08814		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01109		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04504		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04666		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02707		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02151		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04931		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05028		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08248		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01275		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04488		+			0,06847		-
28		0,0044		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01217		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06211		+			0,09		-
31		0,00655		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11028		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05162		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08881		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03928		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20279		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02481		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11308		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12384		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01614		-		0,516		+
41		0,04897		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03578		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05948		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12689		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17854		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02287		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00206		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13163		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01297		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12757		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09954		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02344		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27509		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20749		+			0,59647		-
55		0,0814		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13869		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07082		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12995		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08183		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20463		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,1043		-			0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12141		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,0065		+			-1,80237		-
65		-0,25127		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40064		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02048		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05147		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11737		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03134		+			1,66799		+
71		0,1759		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21667		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13056		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09777		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25312		+			0,75165		-
76		0,1206		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55463		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75382		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17687		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13543		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04162		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33183		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04527		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54524		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39968		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11359		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07261		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50249		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00805		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13313		-		1,5163		+
92		0,41019		+			0,44716		-
93		0,1253		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36833		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,23021		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24729		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12585		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,40026		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50843		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03308		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83756		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18594		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85694		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,17325		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10667		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04449		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45206		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75427		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78452		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46963		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28456		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20321		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50338		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41589		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03443		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30351		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12477		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15114		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14703		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17414		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64296		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62871		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30546		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56409		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10601		-		0,35958		+
126		0,0989		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76877		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56982		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03235		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11761		+			1,76068		+
131		0,5241		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24976		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19658		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29712		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42229		-		2,6922		+
136		0,8873		+			2,36354		-
137		0,8365		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21458		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17674		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92702		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63523		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12684		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25059		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59374		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34687		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57687		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17851		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18705		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78262		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55507		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14736		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23815		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05061		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19226		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20159		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53882		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16002		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56615		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20565		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17131		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19102		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67945		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12801		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06959		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08553		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85645		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35674		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23641		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39607		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64432		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69405		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20702		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96777		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82707		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60331		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49704		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03778		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56423		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61312		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,5362		+			1,57998		+
181		0,79824		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58796		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74928		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78349		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,2869		-			-1,90632		-
186		-0,94665		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21893		+			1,87398		+
188		0,9346		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,9501		-			-1,1141		+
190		-0,54684		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42022		+			3,77967		+
192		1,89634		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07208		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50858		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09109		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63821		-		0,359		+
197		0,18542		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,14807		+		-16,14807		+
2		1,63839		+			1,63839		+
3		-0,18196		-		-0,18196		-
4		0,02009		+			0,02009		+
5		-0,00222		-		-0,00222		-
6		0,00025		+			0,00025		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29696473797885514

 21.run Duration 	16 seconds 241 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@f6438d ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.007501676138930702
train epoch 1: 3.593227460536618E-4
train epoch 2: 3.592781703974013E-4
train epoch 3: 3.592336086948311E-4
train epoch 4: 3.591890610242251E-4
train epoch 5: 3.591445272832892E-4
train epoch 6: 3.591000073699089E-4
train epoch 7: 3.5905550118215475E-4
train epoch 8: 3.59011008618288E-4
train epoch 9: 3.5896652957674715E-4
train epoch 10: 3.589220639561528E-4
train epoch 11: 3.588776116553092E-4
train epoch 12: 3.588331725732103E-4
train epoch 13: 3.587887466090205E-4
train epoch 14: 3.58744333662091E-4
train epoch 15: 3.5869993363194983E-4
train epoch 16: 3.586555464183104E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5861117192106435E-4
train epoch 18: 3.585668100402832E-4
train epoch 19: 3.585224606762145E-4
train epoch 20: 3.5847812372928904E-4
train epoch 21: 3.584337991001049E-4
train epoch 22: 3.583894866894565E-4
train epoch 23: 3.583451863983005E-4
train epoch 24: 3.583008981277683E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5825662178555343E-4
train epoch 26: 3.582123572747442E-4
train epoch 27: 3.581681044890992E-4
train epoch 28: 3.581238633304519E-4
train epoch 29: 3.580796337008109E-4
train epoch 30: 3.580354155023712E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5799120863749654E-4
train epoch 32: 3.579470130087222E-4
train epoch 33: 3.579028285187568E-4
train epoch 34: 3.578586550704868E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5781449256696245E-4
train epoch 36: 3.577703409114047E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5772620000721516E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5768206975795235E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5763795006741266E-4
train epoch 40: 3.575938408395035E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5754974197825404E-4
train epoch 42: 3.5750565338790404E-4
train epoch 43: 3.574615749728628E-4
train epoch 44: 3.57417506637718E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5737344828721916E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5732939982628865E-4
train epoch 47: 3.572853611600097E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5724133219363106E-4
train epoch 49: 3.571973128325726E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5926244187874388
mae:0.7301732899936686
rmse:0.7698210303618879
mape:6.9281894874891625
corr:0.9722240960073251
theil coefficient:27.26863872313605
net profit:45.086475312382376
buy and hold:-6.880685355220406E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22886535691564658
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20729,52439		+		32155,21		+
1		20737,27296		+		32389,47		+
2		20741,64598		+		31833,73		-
3		20732,33436		-		31732,53		-
4		20731,03438		-		32205,37		+
5		20738,15443		+		32563,26		+
6		20745,3114		+		31042,99		-
7		20725,42712		-		30820,77		-
8		20724,82879		-		30789,2		-
9		20724,79161		-		30707,06		-
10		20724,75062		-		31258,97		+
11		20726,57342		+		31953,99		+
12		20734,03778		+		32325,14		+
13		20740,38015		+		32302,07		-
14		20739,93817		-		33048,99		+
15		20757,45514		+		33379,53		+
16		20767,31457		+		32684,23		-
17		20748,07436		-		32577,09		-
18		20745,61849		-		32979,02		+
19		20755,5336		+		32560,89		-
20		20745,259		-		32814,31		+
21		20751,23897		+		32615,92		-
22		20746,49282		-		33044,36		+
23		20757,3262		+		33408,62		+
24		20768,244		+		33914,45		+
25		20785,99724		+		33841,77		-
26		20783,26144		-		34090,39		+
27		20792,87624		+		34113,74		+
28		20793,81642		+		34177,52		+
29		20796,41702		+		34486,01		+
30		20809,66601		+		34517,06		+
31		20811,06099		+		33954		-
32		20787,51199		-		34229,07		+
33		20798,5537		+		34656,83		+
34		20817,47925		+		34473,76		-
35		20809,11874		-		35341,2		+
36		20852,17248		+		35436,38		+
37		20857,42528		+		34985,45		-
38		20833,46263		-		35477,06		+
39		20859,70207		+		35415,91		-
40		20856,2868		-		35599,13		+
41		20866,64794		+		35465,95		-
42		20859,07837		-		35235,93		-
43		20846,48413		-		35713,98		+
44		20873,33872		+		36318,81		+
45		20911,05256		+		36244,96		-
46		20906,22531		-		36238,27		-
47		20905,79107		-		36651,61		+
48		20933,56904		+		36690,84		+
49		20936,30526		+		37064,27		+
50		20963,21257		+		37341,66		+
51		20984,20364		+		37405,4		+
52		20989,14733		+		36616,43		-
53		20931,12999		-		37220		+
54		20974,89228		+		37442,67		+
55		20992,05874		+		37806,83		+
56		21021,30871		+		37986,17		+
57		21036,2464		+		37653,78		-
58		21008,83837		-		37864,77		+
59		21026,09638		+		38368,66		+
60		21069,27013		+		38115,81		-
61		21047,26212		-		38117,31		+
62		21047,39063		+		37812,55		-
63		21021,77973		-		37795,9		-
64		21020,40967		-		37120,78		-
65		20967,4197		-		35873,33		-
66		20882,87139		-		35801,57		-
67		20878,5427		-		35980,06		+
68		20889,41796		+		35563,59		-
69		20864,60806		-		35678,19		+
70		20871,23755		+		36278,29		+
71		20908,39633		+		36940,33		+
72		20954,10967		+		37308,42		+
73		20981,64333		+		37571,76		+
74		21002,26102		+		38213,14		+
75		21055,65201		+		38501,45		+
76		21081,10374		+		38524,92		+
77		21083,21491		+		39739,74		+
78		21200,44848		+		41191,35		+
79		21360,41981		+		40866,67		-
80		21322,81025		-		41116,03		+
81		21351,6028		+		41039,94		-
82		21342,75215		-		40415,4		-
83		21272,27272		-		40502,58		+
84		21281,87727		+		41505,67		+
85		21397,81091		+		42194,73		+
86		21483,09827		+		42002,34		-
87		21458,83217		-		42125,61		+
88		21474,34012		+		42951,75		+
89		21581,91811		+		42938,85		-
90		21580,19021		-		42724,09		-
91		21551,64651		-		43376,85		+
92		21639,69354		+		43571,25		+
93		21666,64956		+		42993,27		-
94		21587,48967		-		42621,33		-
95		21538,13746		-		43020,51		+
96		21591,15343		+		42818,62		-
97		21564,15875		-		42158,4		-
98		21478,48931		-		42992,3		+
99		21587,35929		+		42939,38		-
100		21580,26122		-		44230,97		+
101		21760,57782		+		45924,25		+
102		22018,18523		+		44714,51		-
103		21831,76815		-		42928,65		-
104		21578,82504		-		42756,7		-
105		21555,95365		-		42828,64		+
106		21565,48982		+		43542,17		+
107		21662,59611		+		42333,2		-
108		21500,77816		-		40959,96		-
109		21333,51028		-		40059,32		-
110		21233,84074		-		40613,38		+
111		21294,19399		+		40220,55		-
112		21251,08324		-		39180,23		-
113		21144,52819		-		40047,06		+
114		21232,54039		+		40115,67		+
115		21239,83693		+		40702,82		+
116		21304,22586		+		40465,11		-
117		21277,73986		-		40170,35		-
118		21245,68638		-		39875,77		-
119		21214,53393		-		39515,79		-
120		21177,67505		-		40789,03		+
121		21313,97081		+		41914,3		+
122		21447,84412		+		42429,06		+
123		21513,12228		+		43336,22		+
124		21634,10183		+		43169,58		-
125		21611,32151		-		43325,09		+
126		21632,57261		+		44489,37		+
127		21798,3786		+		43633,67		-
128		21675,37541		-		43683,33		+
129		21682,34175		+		43862,73		+
130		21707,68667		+		44641,85		+
131		21820,94635		+		45002,63		+
132		21875,10578		+		45282,32		+
133		21917,81824		+		45698,49		+
134		21982,5215		+		45104,65		-
135		21890,6128		-		46335,45		+
136		22084,13882		+		47443,65		+
137		22268,04078		+		47163,5		-
138		22220,72781		-		46930,71		-
139		22181,83065		-		48132,11		+
140		22386,57281		+		48930,72		+
141		22527,91073		+		49088,14		+
142		22556,23573		+		49397,32		+
143		22612,29555		+		50121,05		+
144		22745,66233		+		49699,67		-
145		22667,6541		-		48989,65		-
146		22538,49682		-		49210,68		+
147		22578,38694		+		47715,08		-
148		22314,39461		-		48708,09		+
149		22488,10932		+		48006,84		-
150		22364,77107		-		48194,4		+
151		22397,45171		+		47890,75		-
152		22344,6588		-		47955,51		+
153		22355,86731		+		48200,39		+
154		22398,499		+		47943,58		-
155		22353,80044		-		48625,74		+
156		22473,46426		+		48825,83		+
157		22509,12084		+		49525,55		+
158		22635,70977		+		49776,82		+
159		22681,86285		+		49567,61		-
160		22643,41048		-		49800,83		+
161		22686,29151		+		50621,01		+
162		22839,4599		+		50467,53		-
163		22810,52575		-		50551,02		+
164		22826,25008		+		51837,65		+
165		23072,92991		+		52835,66		+
166		23269,40767		+		53247,94		+
167		23351,73596		+		53520,24		+
168		23406,45531		+		56253,95		+
169		23968,3345		+		56985,69		+
170		24121,73028		+		55060,42		-
171		23720,5236		-		56432,58		+
172		24005,69028		+		57532,02		+
173		24236,82961		+		56592,36		-
174		24039,15578		-		57277,66		+
175		24183,18792		+		58983,91		+
176		24544,38216		+		58940,68		-
177		24535,20001		-		58296,28		-
178		24398,47929		-		57598,15		-
179		24250,7901		-		56988,75		-
180		24122,37369		-		57896,31		+
181		24313,80008		+		57227,66		-
182		24172,65399		-		56376,62		-
183		23993,98119		-		57266,53		+
184		24180,84262		+		56940,58		-
185		24112,24707		-		55865,39		-
186		23887,30114		-		56114,11		+
187		23939,13446		+		57175,59		+
188		24161,68828		+		56096,5		-
189		23935,46042		-		55475		-
190		23806,2219		-		55952,65		+
191		23905,47099		+		58107,95		+
192		24358,58689		+		59333,17		+
193		24618,59987		+		59917,84		+
194		24742,93514		+		59812,92		-
195		24720,61796		-		59080,2		-
196		24564,83782		-		59292,68		+
197		24609,99285		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24609.99284909457
New Prediction 1	20944.23196310119
New Prediction 2	21278.235657402765
New Prediction 3	21241.95727447606
New Prediction 4	21245.843018254152
New Prediction 5	21245.426193590538
New Prediction 6	21245.470888911594
New Prediction 7	21245.466086850312
New Prediction 8	21245.466548586097
New Prediction 9	21245.466548586097
New Prediction 10	21245.466548586097
New Prediction 11	21245.466548586097
New Prediction 12	21245.466548586097
New Prediction 13	21245.466548586097
New Prediction 14	21245.466548586097
New Prediction 15	21245.466548586097
New Prediction 16	21245.466548586097
New Prediction 17	21245.466548586097
New Prediction 18	21245.466548586097
New Prediction 19	21245.466548586097
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03737		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02109		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,0449		-			-0,31841		+
4		-0,00627		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03434		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03451		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,0959		-			-0,71842		+
8		-0,00289		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00018		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,0002		-			1,78138		+
11		0,00879		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03601		+			1,15482		-
13		0,03058		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00213		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08442		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04749		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09269		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01184		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04778		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04952		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02882		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02287		-		1,30504		+
23		0,0522		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05258		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08545		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01316		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04625		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00452		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01251		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06369		+			0,09		-
31		0,0067		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11322		-		0,80686		+
33		0,0531		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09095		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,04017		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20668		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02519		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11495		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12587		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01637		-		0,516		+
41		0,04967		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03628		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,0604		-			1,34759		+
44		0,12874		+			1,67936		+
45		0,18052		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02309		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00208		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13278		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01307		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12844		+			0,74562		-
51		0,10008		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02356		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,2768		-			1,63492		+
54		0,20886		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08181		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13924		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07103		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13037		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08211		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20512		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10451		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12176		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00652		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25241		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40405		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02073		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05207		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11884		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03177		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17788		+			1,80844		+
72		0,2184		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13131		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09822		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25389		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12081		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01001		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55451		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75173		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17623		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13494		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04146		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33077		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04514		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54327		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39779		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11302		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07224		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49971		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00801		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13236		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40771		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12449		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36602		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22888		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24585		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,1251		-			-1,55391		-
98		-0,39807		-		1,95871		+
99		0,5056		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03289		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83209		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17687		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85025		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16537		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10605		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04423		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44927		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,7498		-			-3,29766		-
109		-0,781		-			-2,22336		+
110		-0,46829		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28383		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20266		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50267		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41538		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03436		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30269		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,1244		-			-0,7311		-
118		-0,15076		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14674		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17389		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64152		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62614		-			1,22064		-
123		0,3039		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56078		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10535		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09828		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76354		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56587		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03213		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11682		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52039		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24789		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19507		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29477		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41898		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88017		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82929		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,2127		-			-0,4948		+
139		-0,1752		+			2,52773		+
140		0,91878		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62937		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12565		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24823		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58807		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34355		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57142		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17683		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17611		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77547		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54997		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14602		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23599		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05015		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19051		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19976		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53389		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15854		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56081		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20369		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16967		-		0,46941		+
161		0,1892		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67289		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12677		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06891		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07489		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84795		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35318		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23405		-			4,98164		+
169		2,37217		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63795		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,67725		-		2,46155		+
172		1,19502		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95825		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,81894		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59737		+			2,9354		+
176		1,48253		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03742		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,5588		-			-1,20478		-
179		-0,60716		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53094		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79043		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58221		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,7419		-			1,56618		+
184		0,77577		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28408		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,93729		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21676		+			1,87398		+
188		0,92537		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94072		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54141		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41604		+			3,77967		+
192		1,87771		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06178		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50377		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09024		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63216		-		0,359		+
197		0,18365		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,12893		+		-16,12893		+
2		1,58215		+			1,58215		+
3		-0,17064		-		-0,17064		-
4		0,01829		+			0,01829		+
5		-0,00196		-		-0,00196		-
6		0,00021		+			0,00021		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2963122093937194

 22.run Duration 	16 seconds 289 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1cd0888 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 5.862310778596455E-4
train epoch 1: 3.608908560014266E-4
train epoch 2: 3.608259008026718E-4
train epoch 3: 3.607609432867583E-4
train epoch 4: 3.606960221744849E-4
train epoch 5: 3.60631137327377E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6056628860731013E-4
train epoch 7: 3.605014758764804E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6043669899744624E-4
train epoch 9: 3.603719578331039E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6030725224668456E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6024258210175274E-4
train epoch 12: 3.60177947262229E-4
train epoch 13: 3.601133475923466E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6004878295668497E-4
train epoch 15: 3.5998425322016287E-4
train epoch 16: 3.599197582480299E-4
train epoch 17: 3.598552979058623E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5979087205956694E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5972648057539485E-4
train epoch 20: 3.5966212331991836E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5959780016003683E-4
train epoch 22: 3.595335109629842E-4
train epoch 23: 3.5946925559631626E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5940503392792127E-4
train epoch 25: 3.593408458260009E-4
train epoch 26: 3.592766911590941E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5921256979606203E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5914848160608287E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5908442645866636E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5902040422362575E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5895641477110566E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5889245797157286E-4
train epoch 33: 3.588285336958204E-4
train epoch 34: 3.587646418149284E-4
train epoch 35: 3.587007822003336E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5863695472375645E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5857315925725365E-4
train epoch 38: 3.585093956731853E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5844566384421694E-4
train epoch 40: 3.583819636433492E-4
train epoch 41: 3.583182949438767E-4
train epoch 42: 3.582546576194176E-4
train epoch 43: 3.581910515438925E-4
train epoch 44: 3.581274765915181E-4
train epoch 45: 3.580639326368526E-4
train epoch 46: 3.580004195547344E-4
train epoch 47: 3.579369372203157E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5787348550905937E-4
train epoch 49: 3.578100642967283E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5948055152093435
mae:0.7315733281181152
rmse:0.7712363549582861
mape:6.9443275971148255
corr:0.9712628128778645
theil coefficient:27.327267875922548
net profit:44.592293909395515
buy and hold:-6.956938591917824E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22635682187510414
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20705,39895		+		32155,21		+
1		20711,93813		+		32389,47		+
2		20715,80497		+		31833,73		-
3		20707,69884		-		31732,53		-
4		20706,62009		-		32205,37		+
5		20712,71097		+		32563,26		+
6		20719,0968		+		31042,99		-
7		20702,53321		-		30820,77		-
8		20702,42943		-		30789,2		-
9		20702,46268		+		30707,06		-
10		20702,60513		+		31258,97		+
11		20703,20092		+		31953,99		+
12		20709,14004		+		32325,14		+
13		20714,67784		+		32302,07		-
14		20714,28567		-		33048,99		+
15		20730,20543		+		33379,53		+
16		20739,36842		+		32684,23		-
17		20721,6007		-		32577,09		-
18		20719,37423		-		32979,02		+
19		20728,43215		+		32560,89		-
20		20719,04948		-		32814,31		+
21		20724,48767		+		32615,92		-
22		20720,16535		-		33044,36		+
23		20730,08628		+		33408,62		+
24		20740,23687		+		33914,45		+
25		20756,93845		+		33841,77		-
26		20754,35275		-		34090,39		+
27		20763,45554		+		34113,74		+
28		20764,34786		+		34177,52		+
29		20766,81787		+		34486,01		+
30		20779,43917		+		34517,06		+
31		20780,77133		+		33954		-
32		20758,37167		-		34229,07		+
33		20768,84921		+		34656,83		+
34		20786,90768		+		34473,76		-
35		20778,9167		-		35341,2		+
36		20820,24088		+		35436,38		+
37		20825,30729		+		34985,45		-
38		20802,23372		-		35477,06		+
39		20827,50463		+		35415,91		-
40		20824,20884		-		35599,13		+
41		20834,21283		+		35465,95		-
42		20826,90262		-		35235,93		-
43		20814,75948		-		35713,98		+
44		20840,68106		+		36318,81		+
45		20877,24006		+		36244,96		-
46		20872,55224		-		36238,27		-
47		20872,13065		-		36651,61		+
48		20899,13378		+		36690,84		+
49		20901,79719		+		37064,27		+
50		20928,01802		+		37341,66		+
51		20948,50694		+		37405,4		+
52		20953,33619		+		36616,43		-
53		20896,76012		-		37220		+
54		20939,415		+		37442,67		+
55		20956,18086		+		37806,83		+
56		20984,78517		+		37986,17		+
57		20999,40928		+		37653,78		-
58		20972,58474		-		37864,77		+
59		20989,47121		+		38368,66		+
60		21031,77411		+		38115,81		-
61		21010,20017		-		38117,31		+
62		21010,32609		+		37812,55		-
63		20985,24614		-		37795,9		-
64		20983,90534		-		37120,78		-
65		20932,12231		-		35873,33		-
66		20849,90665		-		35801,57		-
67		20845,71599		-		35980,06		+
68		20856,24866		+		35563,59		-
69		20832,24203		-		35678,19		+
70		20838,64912		+		36278,29		+
71		20874,66027		+		36940,33		+
72		20919,14165		+		37308,42		+
73		20946,00645		+		37571,76		+
74		20966,15291		+		38213,14		+
75		21018,42227		+		38501,45		+
76		21043,38215		+		38524,92		+
77		21045,45362		+		39739,74		+
78		21160,70503		+		41191,35		+
79		21318,50253		+		40866,67		-
80		21281,36017		-		41116,03		+
81		21309,79291		+		41039,94		-
82		21301,05135		-		40415,4		-
83		21231,49035		-		40502,58		+
84		21240,96426		+		41505,67		+
85		21355,45202		+		42194,73		+
86		21439,80859		+		42002,34		-
87		21415,79717		-		42125,61		+
88		21431,14148		+		42951,75		+
89		21537,66598		+		42938,85		-
90		21535,95395		-		42724,09		-
91		21507,67712		-		43376,85		+
92		21594,92904		+		43571,25		+
93		21621,65756		+		42993,27		-
94		21543,18661		-		42621,33		-
95		21494,29758		-		43020,51		+
96		21546,81705		+		42818,62		-
97		21520,07126		-		42158,4		-
98		21435,24741		-		42992,3		+
99		21543,05741		+		42939,38		-
100		21536,02431		-		44230,97		+
101		21714,84589		+		45924,25		+
102		21970,78477		+		44714,51		-
103		21785,52569		-		42928,65		-
104		21534,60134		-		42756,7		-
105		21511,94341		-		42828,64		+
106		21521,38987		+		43542,17		+
107		21617,63787		+		42333,2		-
108		21457,30769		-		40959,96		-
109		21291,92482		-		40059,32		-
110		21193,6001		-		40613,38		+
111		21253,11607		+		40220,55		-
112		21210,59571		-		39180,23		-
113		21105,6798		-		40047,06		+
114		21192,31864		+		40115,67		+
115		21199,50971		+		40702,82		+
116		21263,01576		+		40465,11		-
117		21236,8829		-		40170,35		-
118		21205,27543		-		39875,77		-
119		21174,57759		-		39515,79		-
120		21138,28614		-		40789,03		+
121		21272,63409		+		41914,3		+
122		21404,92701		+		42429,06		+
123		21469,52789		+		43336,22		+
124		21589,38542		+		43169,58		-
125		21566,80429		-		43325,09		+
126		21587,86941		+		44489,37		+
127		21752,37049		+		43633,67		-
128		21630,31127		-		43683,33		+
129		21637,22053		+		43862,73		+
130		21662,36162		+		44641,85		+
131		21774,77888		+		45002,63		+
132		21828,57201		+		45282,32		+
133		21871,01093		+		45698,49		+
134		21935,32414		+		45104,65		-
135		21843,9782		-		46335,45		+
136		22036,38388		+		47443,65		+
137		22219,43007		+		47163,5		-
138		22172,31969		-		46930,71		-
139		22133,59796		-		48132,11		+
140		22337,50381		+		48930,72		+
141		22478,38056		+		49088,14		+
142		22506,62357		+		49397,32		+
143		22562,53086		+		50121,05		+
144		22695,58464		+		49699,67		-
145		22617,75116		-		48989,65		-
146		22488,93561		-		49210,68		+
147		22528,71297		+		47715,08		-
148		22265,5965		-		48708,09		+
149		22438,70012		+		48006,84		-
150		22315,78127		-		48194,4		+
151		22348,34403		+		47890,75		-
152		22295,74407		-		47955,51		+
153		22306,91051		+		48200,39		+
154		22349,38762		+		47943,58		-
155		22304,85135		-		48625,74		+
156		22424,10128		+		48825,83		+
157		22459,64693		+		49525,55		+
158		22585,88513		+		49776,82		+
159		22631,92635		+		49567,61		-
160		22593,5666		-		49800,83		+
161		22636,34472		+		50621,01		+
162		22789,20184		+		50467,53		-
163		22760,31996		-		50551,02		+
164		22776,01552		+		51837,65		+
165		23022,35404		+		52835,66		+
166		23218,69735		+		53247,94		+
167		23301,00273		+		53520,24		+
168		23355,71727		+		56253,95		+
169		23917,98843		+		56985,69		+
170		24071,61939		+		55060,42		-
171		23669,90976		-		56432,58		+
172		23955,39673		+		57532,02		+
173		24186,92832		+		56592,36		-
174		23988,9119		-		57277,66		+
175		24133,18548		+		58983,91		+
176		24495,17346		+		58940,68		-
177		24485,96794		-		58296,28		-
178		24348,91855		-		57598,15		-
179		24200,91612		-		56988,75		-
180		24072,26389		-		57896,31		+
181		24264,05433		+		57227,66		-
182		24122,63239		-		56376,62		-
183		23943,67084		-		57266,53		+
184		24130,83589		+		56940,58		-
185		24062,12015		-		55865,39		-
186		23836,8519		-		56114,11		+
187		23888,7495		+		57175,59		+
188		24111,64699		+		56096,5		-
189		23885,0707		-		55475		-
190		23755,68448		-		55952,65		+
191		23855,04358		+		58107,95		+
192		24308,9372		+		59333,17		+
193		24569,58603		+		59917,84		+
194		24694,27097		+		59812,92		-
195		24671,88891		-		59080,2		-
196		24515,68178		-		59292,68		+
197		24560,95588		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24560.955875903095
New Prediction 1	20939.789011772573
New Prediction 2	21279.090034687608
New Prediction 3	21241.467069985665
New Prediction 4	21245.581516436003
New Prediction 5	21245.130834288033
New Prediction 6	21245.180241580387
New Prediction 7	21245.174772732826
New Prediction 8	21245.17543276481
New Prediction 9	21245.175338474502
New Prediction 10	21245.175338474502
New Prediction 11	21245.175338474502
New Prediction 12	21245.175338474502
New Prediction 13	21245.175338474502
New Prediction 14	21245.175338474502
New Prediction 15	21245.175338474502
New Prediction 16	21245.175338474502
New Prediction 17	21245.175338474502
New Prediction 18	21245.175338474502
New Prediction 19	21245.175338474502
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03158		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01867		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03914		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00521		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02941		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03083		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07998		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,0005		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00016		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00069		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00288		+			2,19907		+
12		0,02868		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02674		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00189		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07682		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04419		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08571		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01075		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04371		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04527		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02624		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02086		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04787		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04895		+			1,50272		+
25		0,0805		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01246		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04385		+			0,06847		-
28		0,0043		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01189		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06076		+			0,09		-
31		0,00641		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10785		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05046		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08691		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03845		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19868		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02433		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11086		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12141		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01583		-		0,516		+
41		0,04803		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03509		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05832		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12446		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17527		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02246		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00202		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12929		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01274		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12537		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09785		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02305		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27038		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20391		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08004		-			0,96788		+
56		0,1364		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06966		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12782		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08048		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20134		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10263		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11944		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00639		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24708		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39355		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,0201		+			0,49731		+
68		0,05051		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11517		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03075		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17266		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21286		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12834		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09614		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24899		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11868		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00984		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54614		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74294		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17438		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13351		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04103		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,3271		-			0,21548		+
84		0,04461		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53755		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39423		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11206		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07162		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49582		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00795		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13139		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40486		+			0,44716		-
93		0,1237		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36359		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22719		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24404		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12421		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39494		-		1,95871		+
99		0,5017		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03265		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82691		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17174		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84678		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15848		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10527		+		0,16811		+
106		0,0439		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44622		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74443		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77374		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46286		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28043		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20027		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49587		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40966		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03393		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29912		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12298		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14894		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14487		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17154		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63356		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61997		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30135		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55672		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10465		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09763		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75912		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56271		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03194		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11613		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51761		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24674		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19423		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29363		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,4173		-			2,6922		+
136		0,87696		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82722		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21225		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17479		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91703		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62869		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12557		-			0,62787		+
143		0,2481		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58798		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34353		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57116		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17672		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17479		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77444		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,5493		-			0,38993		+
151		0,14581		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23564		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05007		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19024		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19947		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53321		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15839		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56049		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20364		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16964		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18916		+			1,63351		+
162		0,673		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12682		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06894		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07576		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84922		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35385		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23454		-			4,98164		+
169		2,3789		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64027		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,68289		-		2,46155		+
172		1,1989		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96187		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82206		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59962		+			2,9354		+
176		1,48882		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03759		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56128		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60969		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53302		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79357		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58455		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74465		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77865		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28517		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,9406		-			0,44422		+
187		0,21748		+			1,87398		+
188		0,92874		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94414		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54318		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41738		+			3,77967		+
192		1,88484		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06653		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50619		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09068		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63515		-		0,359		+
197		0,1845		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,95069		+		-15,95069		+
2		1,60738		+			1,60738		+
3		-0,17696		-		-0,17696		-
4		0,01937		+			0,01937		+
5		-0,00212		-		-0,00212		-
6		0,00023		+			0,00023		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2974027576046718

 23.run Duration 	16 seconds 664 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1eb2c1b ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 6.282095403401265E-4
train epoch 1: 3.608944546130104E-4
train epoch 2: 3.60866266118506E-4
train epoch 3: 3.608380851926651E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6080991180001247E-4
train epoch 5: 3.607817458915732E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6075358741843194E-4
train epoch 7: 3.607254363317284E-4
train epoch 8: 3.606972925826832E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6066915612256544E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6064102690269863E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6061290487448465E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6058478998937356E-4
train epoch 13: 3.605566821988797E-4
train epoch 14: 3.605285814545817E-4
train epoch 15: 3.605004877081069E-4
train epoch 16: 3.604724009111596E-4
train epoch 17: 3.604443210154919E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6041624797292785E-4
train epoch 19: 3.60388181735332E-4
train epoch 20: 3.603601222546457E-4
train epoch 21: 3.603320694828616E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6030402337203655E-4
train epoch 23: 3.6027598387428414E-4
train epoch 24: 3.602479509417783E-4
train epoch 25: 3.6021992452675106E-4
train epoch 26: 3.60191904581486E-4
train epoch 27: 3.6016389105834434E-4
train epoch 28: 3.601358839097283E-4
train epoch 29: 3.601078830880966E-4
train epoch 30: 3.6007988854598686E-4
train epoch 31: 3.600519002359726E-4
train epoch 32: 3.600239181106992E-4
train epoch 33: 3.599959421228698E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5996797222522865E-4
train epoch 35: 3.599400083705952E-4
train epoch 36: 3.599120505118428E-4
train epoch 37: 3.598840986018953E-4
train epoch 38: 3.598561525937436E-4
train epoch 39: 3.598282124404278E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5980027809504105E-4
train epoch 41: 3.597723495107483E-4
train epoch 42: 3.597444266407556E-4
train epoch 43: 3.597165094383308E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5968859785680756E-4
train epoch 45: 3.59660691849564E-4
train epoch 46: 3.596327913700399E-4
train epoch 47: 3.596048963717208E-4
train epoch 48: 3.595770068081625E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5954912263296316E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5949454175920085
mae:0.7318378362145386
rmse:0.7713270496955286
mape:6.955380882041223
corr:0.9711067066296427
theil coefficient:27.280947421449035
net profit:45.16526758446845
buy and hold:-6.868681776770809E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22926531768765712
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20685,78988		+		32155,21		+
1		20691,99357		+		32389,47		+
2		20695,74154		+		31833,73		-
3		20687,93953		-		31732,53		-
4		20686,92439		-		32205,37		+
5		20692,73981		+		32563,26		+
6		20698,95396		+		31042,99		-
7		20683,33813		-		30820,77		-
8		20683,4206		+		30789,2		-
9		20683,48128		+		30707,06		-
10		20683,69627		+		31258,97		+
11		20683,83645		+		31953,99		+
12		20689,30844		+		32325,14		+
13		20694,6457		+		32302,07		-
14		20694,265		-		33048,99		+
15		20709,88038		+		33379,53		+
16		20718,95281		+		32684,23		-
17		20701,40701		-		32577,09		-
18		20699,2254		-		32979,02		+
19		20708,12974		+		32560,89		-
20		20698,90768		-		32814,31		+
21		20704,24335		+		32615,92		-
22		20699,99993		-		33044,36		+
23		20709,7627		+		33408,62		+
24		20719,81459		+		33914,45		+
25		20736,43358		+		33841,77		-
26		20733,85586		-		34090,39		+
27		20742,93676		+		34113,74		+
28		20743,8278		+		34177,52		+
29		20746,29503		+		34486,01		+
30		20758,91696		+		34517,06		+
31		20760,25048		+		33954		-
32		20737,863		-		34229,07		+
33		20748,32484		+		34656,83		+
34		20766,39586		+		34473,76		-
35		20758,39402		-		35341,2		+
36		20799,84224		+		35436,38		+
37		20804,9334		+		34985,45		-
38		20781,762		-		35477,06		+
39		20807,14199		+		35415,91		-
40		20803,82944		-		35599,13		+
41		20813,88637		+		35465,95		-
42		20806,53687		-		35235,93		-
43		20794,33601		-		35713,98		+
44		20820,39189		+		36318,81		+
45		20857,19956		+		36244,96		-
46		20852,4767		-		36238,27		-
47		20852,052		-		36651,61		+
48		20879,26722		+		36690,84		+
49		20881,95287		+		37064,27		+
50		20908,40334		+		37341,66		+
51		20929,08386		+		37405,4		+
52		20933,95964		+		36616,43		-
53		20876,87394		-		37220		+
54		20919,90568		+		37442,67		+
55		20936,83196		+		37806,83		+
56		20965,72314		+		37986,17		+
57		20980,49962		+		37653,78		-
58		20953,39845		-		37864,77		+
59		20970,45761		+		38368,66		+
60		21013,21358		+		38115,81		-
61		20991,40516		-		38117,31		+
62		20991,53243		+		37812,55		-
63		20966,18886		-		37795,9		-
64		20964,83426		-		37120,78		-
65		20912,54521		-		35873,33		-
66		20829,6745		-		35801,57		-
67		20825,45741		-		35980,06		+
68		20836,05811		+		35563,59		-
69		20811,90466		-		35678,19		+
70		20818,348		+		36278,29		+
71		20854,60039		+		36940,33		+
72		20899,44713		+		37308,42		+
73		20926,55947		+		37571,76		+
74		20946,90223		+		38213,14		+
75		20999,71583		+		38501,45		+
76		21024,95046		+		38524,92		+
77		21027,04511		+		39739,74		+
78		21143,65948		+		41191,35		+
79		21303,48763		+		40866,67		-
80		21265,85467		-		41116,03		+
81		21294,66238		+		41039,94		-
82		21285,80512		-		40415,4		-
83		21215,33735		-		40502,58		+
84		21224,93319		+		41505,67		+
85		21340,93134		+		42194,73		+
86		21426,4357		+		42002,34		-
87		21402,09508		-		42125,61		+
88		21417,64955		+		42951,75		+
89		21525,65173		+		42938,85		-
90		21523,91572		-		42724,09		-
91		21495,24388		-		43376,85		+
92		21583,72035		+		43571,25		+
93		21610,82708		+		42993,27		-
94		21531,24971		-		42621,33		-
95		21481,67811		-		43020,51		+
96		21534,93106		+		42818,62		-
97		21507,81092		-		42158,4		-
98		21421,81185		-		42992,3		+
99		21531,1187		+		42939,38		-
100		21523,98707		-		44230,97		+
101		21705,34307		+		45924,25		+
102		21964,9757		+		44714,51		-
103		21777,03741		-		42928,65		-
104		21522,54417		-		42756,7		-
105		21499,56964		-		42828,64		+
106		21509,14795		+		43542,17		+
107		21606,75043		+		42333,2		-
108		21444,17584		-		40959,96		-
109		21276,55819		-		40059,32		-
110		21176,96505		-		40613,38		+
111		21237,24216		+		40220,55		-
112		21194,17573		-		39180,23		-
113		21087,96711		-		40047,06		+
114		21175,66744		+		40115,67		+
115		21182,94922		+		40702,82		+
116		21247,27049		+		40465,11		-
117		21220,79924		-		40170,35		-
118		21188,78792		-		39875,77		-
119		21157,70419		-		39515,79		-
120		21120,96561		-		40789,03		+
121		21257,01432		+		41914,3		+
122		21391,07651		+		42429,06		+
123		21456,56489		+		43336,22		+
124		21578,09845		+		43169,58		-
125		21555,1991		-		43325,09		+
126		21576,56105		+		44489,37		+
127		21743,4056		+		43633,67		-
128		21619,60351		-		43683,33		+
129		21626,61085		+		43862,73		+
130		21652,10945		+		44641,85		+
131		21766,13599		+		45002,63		+
132		21820,7041		+		45282,32		+
133		21863,75611		+		45698,49		+
134		21929,00065		+		45104,65		-
135		21836,3327		-		46335,45		+
136		22031,52757		+		47443,65		+
137		22217,23516		+		47163,5		-
138		22169,43989		-		46930,71		-
139		22130,15508		-		48132,11		+
140		22337,02331		+		48930,72		+
141		22479,93853		+		49088,14		+
142		22508,58895		+		49397,32		+
143		22565,30124		+		50121,05		+
144		22700,26175		+		49699,67		-
145		22621,31452		-		48989,65		-
146		22490,6459		-		49210,68		+
147		22530,99665		+		47715,08		-
148		22264,07237		-		48708,09		+
149		22439,68492		+		48006,84		-
150		22314,98568		-		48194,4		+
151		22348,02071		+		47890,75		-
152		22294,65768		-		47955,51		+
153		22305,98619		+		48200,39		+
154		22349,07943		+		47943,58		-
155		22303,89716		-		48625,74		+
156		22424,875		+		48825,83		+
157		22460,93441		+		49525,55		+
158		22588,99115		+		49776,82		+
159		22635,6929		+		49567,61		-
160		22596,78293		-		49800,83		+
161		22640,17457		+		50621,01		+
162		22795,21174		+		50467,53		-
163		22765,91952		-		50551,02		+
164		22781,83817		+		51837,65		+
165		23031,64566		+		52835,66		+
166		23230,70429		+		53247,94		+
167		23314,13314		+		53520,24		+
168		23369,58939		+		56253,95		+
169		23939,21652		+		56985,69		+
170		24094,76376		+		55060,42		-
171		23687,95536		-		56432,58		+
172		23977,09539		+		57532,02		+
173		24211,48192		+		56592,36		-
174		24011,03001		-		57277,66		+
175		24157,08544		+		58983,91		+
176		24523,36447		+		58940,68		-
177		24514,05317		-		58296,28		-
178		24375,40788		-		57598,15		-
179		24225,63893		-		56988,75		-
180		24095,41621		-		57896,31		+
181		24289,5361		+		57227,66		-
182		24146,40335		-		56376,62		-
183		23965,22227		-		57266,53		+
184		24154,70715		+		56940,58		-
185		24085,14731		-		55865,39		-
186		23857,05077		-		56114,11		+
187		23909,60803		+		57175,59		+
188		24135,28343		+		56096,5		-
189		23905,88263		-		55475		-
190		23774,8423		-		55952,65		+
191		23875,47423		+		58107,95		+
192		24334,95366		+		59333,17		+
193		24598,62543		+		59917,84		+
194		24724,70483		+		59812,92		-
195		24702,075		-		59080,2		-
196		24544,10779		-		59292,68		+
197		24589,8975		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 103
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24589.897497876314
New Prediction 1	20928.548365810497
New Prediction 2	21280.721301381724
New Prediction 3	21240.65014450618
New Prediction 4	21245.145547662225
New Prediction 5	21244.640428712235
New Prediction 6	21244.697112435257
New Prediction 7	21244.690824862642
New Prediction 8	21244.691501984293
New Prediction 9	21244.69140525261
New Prediction 10	21244.69140525261
New Prediction 11	21244.69140525261
New Prediction 12	21244.69140525261
New Prediction 13	21244.69140525261
New Prediction 14	21244.69140525261
New Prediction 15	21244.69140525261
New Prediction 16	21244.69140525261
New Prediction 17	21244.69140525261
New Prediction 18	21244.69140525261
New Prediction 19	21244.69140525261
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02999		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01811		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03771		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00491		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02811		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03003		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07547		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,0004		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00029		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00104		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00068		-			2,19907		+
12		0,02645		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02579		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00184		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07543		+			0,99518		-
16		0,0438		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08472		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01054		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04301		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04454		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02577		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,0205		-			1,30504		+
23		0,04715		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04853		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08018		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01243		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04379		+			0,06847		-
28		0,0043		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01189		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06082		+			0,09		-
31		0,00642		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,1079		-			0,80686		+
33		0,05044		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08706		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03854		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19947		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02447		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11144		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12205		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01592		-		0,516		+
41		0,04833		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03532		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05866		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12522		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17663		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02265		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00204		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13043		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01286		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12659		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09886		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02329		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27307		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20591		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08088		-			0,96788		+
56		0,1379		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07045		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12926		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08138		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20368		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10384		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12081		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00646		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24972		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39706		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02025		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05089		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11599		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03096		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17399		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21481		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12964		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09716		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25181		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12009		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00996		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55306		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75307		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17681		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13537		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,0416		-			-1,53348		-
83		-0,3316		-			0,21548		+
84		0,04522		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54503		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39986		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11367		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07265		+			1,94215		+
89		0,503		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00807		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,1333		-			1,5163		+
92		0,41076		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12551		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36891		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,2305		+			0,93221		+
96		0,24759		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12601		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,40065		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50896		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03313		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83905		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18907		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85931		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,17551		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,1068		+			0,16811		+
106		0,04454		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45275		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75527		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78472		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46919		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28423		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20299		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50238		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41502		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03438		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30319		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12466		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15096		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14681		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17379		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64207		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62869		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30568		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56482		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10618		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09905		+			2,65184		+
127		0,77029		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,571		-			0,11375		+
129		0,03241		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11783		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52525		+			0,80492		-
132		0,25039		-			0,61957		-
133		0,1971		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29797		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42348		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88993		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83938		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21536		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17736		+		2,52773		+
140		0,93044		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63778		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12737		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25164		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59631		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34839		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57931		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17925		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,19177		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78568		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55726		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14793		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23907		-		0,13513		+
153		0,0508		+			0,50934		+
154		0,193		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20237		-		1,41281		+
156		0,54094		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16067		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56851		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20653		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17204		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19184		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68245		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12858		-		0,1653		+
164		0,0699		+			2,51336		+
165		1,09055		+			1,90696		-
166		0,86057		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35849		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23758		-			4,98164		+
169		2,40824		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64766		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70278		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21323		+			1,9295		-
173		0,9728		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83137		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60644		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50486		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03798		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56718		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61632		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53899		+		1,57998		+
181		0,8024		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59102		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75317		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78756		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28839		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95156		-		0,44422		+
187		0,22006		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93944		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95502		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54966		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42238		+			3,77967		+
192		1,9062		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07768		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51124		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09157		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64154		-		0,359		+
197		0,18639		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,12215		+		-16,12215		+
2		1,66874		+			1,66874		+
3		-0,18848		-		-0,18848		-
4		0,02116		+			0,02116		+
5		-0,00238		-		-0,00238		-
6		0,00027		+			0,00027		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29747270879600424

 24.run Duration 	16 seconds 226 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@9cbd4b ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.001390639581693824
train epoch 1: 3.597487290046505E-4
train epoch 2: 3.5965376495927846E-4
train epoch 3: 3.595588731498869E-4
train epoch 4: 3.594640533299096E-4
train epoch 5: 3.593693052535779E-4
train epoch 6: 3.5927462867590493E-4
train epoch 7: 3.591800233527147E-4
train epoch 8: 3.5908548904059923E-4
train epoch 9: 3.589910254969422E-4
train epoch 10: 3.5889663247991766E-4
train epoch 11: 3.588023097484682E-4
train epoch 12: 3.587080570623098E-4
train epoch 13: 3.5861387418193325E-4
train epoch 14: 3.585197608686117E-4
train epoch 15: 3.5842571688438307E-4
train epoch 16: 3.58331741992046E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5823783595517424E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5814399853809276E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5805022950588706E-4
train epoch 20: 3.5795652862440286E-4
train epoch 21: 3.578628956602501E-4
train epoch 22: 3.577693303807742E-4
train epoch 23: 3.576758325540681E-4
train epoch 24: 3.575824019489782E-4
train epoch 25: 3.574890383350952E-4
train epoch 26: 3.5739574148276493E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5730251116304894E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5720934714776457E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5711624920945606E-4
train epoch 30: 3.570232171214037E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5693025065761E-4
train epoch 32: 3.568373495928048E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5674451370247225E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5665174276279196E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5655903655066316E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5646639484371566E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5637381742027903E-4
train epoch 38: 3.56281304059416E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5618885454089574E-4
train epoch 40: 3.560964686451961E-4
train epoch 41: 3.560041461535032E-4
train epoch 42: 3.5591188684770014E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5581969051038395E-4
train epoch 44: 3.557275569248473E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5563548587508656E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5554347714577736E-4
train epoch 47: 3.55451530522303E-4
train epoch 48: 3.553596457907387E-4
train epoch 49: 3.552678227378547E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5932599328884036
mae:0.7303623474554198
rmse:0.7702336871939603
mape:6.920367200940247
corr:0.9720778314461236
theil coefficient:27.348431518420572
net profit:44.18486743859596
buy and hold:-7.021088177565294E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22428866720099472
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20745,07342		+		32155,21		+
1		20752,79216		+		32389,47		+
2		20757,12579		+		31833,73		-
3		20747,88172		-		31732,53		-
4		20746,5844		-		32205,37		+
5		20753,66653		+		32563,26		+
6		20760,75172		+		31042,99		-
7		20740,91609		-		30820,77		-
8		20740,26868		-		30789,2		-
9		20740,22336		-		30707,06		-
10		20740,15984		-		31258,97		+
11		20742,09637		+		31953,99		+
12		20749,57812		+		32325,14		+
13		20755,87236		+		32302,07		-
14		20755,43454		-		33048,99		+
15		20772,73886		+		33379,53		+
16		20782,45289		+		32684,23		-
17		20763,48204		-		32577,09		-
18		20761,0553		-		32979,02		+
19		20770,84407		+		32560,89		-
20		20760,69993		-		32814,31		+
21		20766,60684		+		32615,92		-
22		20761,91946		-		33044,36		+
23		20772,61173		+		33408,62		+
24		20783,36802		+		33914,45		+
25		20800,83405		+		33841,77		-
26		20798,144		-		34090,39		+
27		20807,59607		+		34113,74		+
28		20808,52008		+		34177,52		+
29		20811,07569		+		34486,01		+
30		20824,09089		+		34517,06		+
31		20825,46085		+		33954		-
32		20802,32326		-		34229,07		+
33		20813,17517		+		34656,83		+
34		20831,76316		+		34473,76		-
35		20823,55341		-		35341,2		+
36		20865,81014		+		35436,38		+
37		20870,96281		+		34985,45		-
38		20847,45243		-		35477,06		+
39		20873,19605		+		35415,91		-
40		20869,84607		-		35599,13		+
41		20880,00852		+		35465,95		-
42		20872,58429		-		35235,93		-
43		20860,22963		-		35713,98		+
44		20886,57007		+		36318,81		+
45		20923,54455		+		36244,96		-
46		20918,81285		-		36238,27		-
47		20918,38719		-		36651,61		+
48		20945,61254		+		36690,84		+
49		20948,29397		+		37064,27		+
50		20974,65955		+		37341,66		+
51		20995,22485		+		37405,4		+
52		21000,06791		+		36616,43		-
53		20943,22228		-		37220		+
54		20986,10266		+		37442,67		+
55		21002,92001		+		37806,83		+
56		21031,57191		+		37986,17		+
57		21046,20284		+		37653,78		-
58		21019,357		-		37864,77		+
59		21036,26135		+		38368,66		+
60		21078,54579		+		38115,81		-
61		21056,99185		-		38117,31		+
62		21057,11771		+		37812,55		-
63		21032,03327		-		37795,9		-
64		21030,69131		-		37120,78		-
65		20978,78155		-		35873,33		-
66		20895,91752		-		35801,57		-
67		20891,67309		-		35980,06		+
68		20902,33618		+		35563,59		-
69		20878,0079		-		35678,19		+
70		20884,50955		+		36278,29		+
71		20920,94092		+		36940,33		+
72		20965,74048		+		37308,42		+
73		20992,7166		+		37571,76		+
74		21012,91411		+		38213,14		+
75		21065,20881		+		38501,45		+
76		21090,13471		+		38524,92		+
77		21092,20218		+		39739,74		+
78		21206,99715		+		41191,35		+
79		21363,62457		+		40866,67		-
80		21326,80137		-		41116,03		+
81		21354,99188		+		41039,94		-
82		21346,32627		-		40415,4		-
83		21277,32065		-		40502,58		+
84		21286,72437		+		41505,67		+
85		21400,2343		+		42194,73		+
86		21483,74215		+		42002,34		-
87		21459,98187		-		42125,61		+
88		21475,16652		+		42951,75		+
89		21580,50732		+		42938,85		-
90		21578,81527		-		42724,09		-
91		21550,86415		-		43376,85		+
92		21637,08612		+		43571,25		+
93		21663,48517		+		42993,27		-
94		21585,96333		-		42621,33		-
95		21537,63583		-		43020,51		+
96		21589,55111		+		42818,62		-
97		21563,11652		-		42158,4		-
98		21479,22923		-		42992,3		+
99		21585,83565		+		42939,38		-
100		21578,88481		-		44230,97		+
101		21755,48005		+		45924,25		+
102		22007,85326		+		44714,51		-
103		21825,21334		-		42928,65		-
104		21577,47842		-		42756,7		-
105		21555,08182		-		42828,64		+
106		21564,41996		+		43542,17		+
107		21659,51543		+		42333,2		-
108		21501,05379		-		40959,96		-
109		21337,27765		-		40059,32		-
110		21239,69201		-		40613,38		+
111		21298,78352		+		40220,55		-
112		21256,57416		-		39180,23		-
113		21152,24259		-		40047,06		+
114		21238,41883		+		40115,67		+
115		21245,5629		+		40702,82		+
116		21308,60561		+		40465,11		-
117		21282,67347		-		40170,35		-
118		21251,29009		-		39875,77		-
119		21220,78851		-		39515,79		-
120		21184,69887		-		40789,03		+
121		21318,14678		+		41914,3		+
122		21449,223		+		42429,06		+
123		21513,14095		+		43336,22		+
124		21631,61005		+		43169,58		-
125		21609,30126		-		43325,09		+
126		21630,11248		+		44489,37		+
127		21792,50623		+		43633,67		-
128		21672,03092		-		43683,33		+
129		21678,85355		+		43862,73		+
130		21703,67615		+		44641,85		+
131		21814,61254		+		45002,63		+
132		21867,66777		+		45282,32		+
133		21909,51271		+		45698,49		+
134		21972,9076		+		45104,65		-
135		21882,85949		-		46335,45		+
136		22072,48489		+		47443,65		+
137		22252,74408		+		47163,5		-
138		22206,36199		-		46930,71		-
139		22168,23346		-		48132,11		+
140		22368,96401		+		48930,72		+
141		22507,58387		+		49088,14		+
142		22535,36941		+		49397,32		+
143		22590,36685		+		50121,05		+
144		22721,23513		+		49699,67		-
145		22644,68332		-		48989,65		-
146		22517,96813		-		49210,68		+
147		22557,09999		+		47715,08		-
148		22298,19028		-		48708,09		+
149		22468,54349		+		48006,84		-
150		22347,58535		-		48194,4		+
151		22379,63218		+		47890,75		-
152		22327,86426		-		47955,51		+
153		22338,85466		+		48200,39		+
154		22380,6592		+		47943,58		-
155		22336,82799		-		48625,74		+
156		22454,17932		+		48825,83		+
157		22489,15282		+		49525,55		+
158		22613,33946		+		49776,82		+
159		22658,62573		+		49567,61		-
160		22620,89521		-		49800,83		+
161		22662,97148		+		50621,01		+
162		22813,30051		+		50467,53		-
163		22784,89845		-		50551,02		+
164		22800,33337		+		51837,65		+
165		23042,55222		+		52835,66		+
166		23235,58739		+		53247,94		+
167		23316,50342		+		53520,24		+
168		23370,29422		+		56253,95		+
169		23923,1275		+		56985,69		+
170		24074,21606		+		55060,42		-
171		23679,19384		-		56432,58		+
172		23959,91476		+		57532,02		+
173		24187,63224		+		56592,36		-
174		23992,87457		-		57277,66		+
175		24134,76978		+		58983,91		+
176		24490,89654		+		58940,68		-
177		24481,83791		-		58296,28		-
178		24346,98943		-		57598,15		-
179		24201,39143		-		56988,75		-
180		24074,84994		-		57896,31		+
181		24263,50061		+		57227,66		-
182		24124,38994		-		56376,62		-
183		23948,38341		-		57266,53		+
184		24132,45876		+		56940,58		-
185		24064,87337		-		55865,39		-
186		23843,34189		-		56114,11		+
187		23894,3748		+		57175,59		+
188		24113,58501		+		56096,5		-
189		23890,75722		-		55475		-
190		23763,53075		-		55952,65		+
191		23861,23024		+		58107,95		+
192		24307,65493		+		59333,17		+
193		24564,12638		+		59917,84		+
194		24686,84885		+		59812,92		-
195		24664,81723		-		59080,2		-
196		24511,07807		-		59292,68		+
197		24555,63297		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24555.63296808078
New Prediction 1	20956.453247180798
New Prediction 2	21276.65974188187
New Prediction 3	21242.769527104807
New Prediction 4	21246.308183668545
New Prediction 5	21245.938157754754
New Prediction 6	21245.976865080796
New Prediction 7	21245.972814250075
New Prediction 8	21245.973264341657
New Prediction 9	21245.9731743233
New Prediction 10	21245.973264341657
New Prediction 11	21245.9731743233
New Prediction 12	21245.973264341657
New Prediction 13	21245.9731743233
New Prediction 14	21245.973264341657
New Prediction 15	21245.9731743233
New Prediction 16	21245.973264341657
New Prediction 17	21245.9731743233
New Prediction 18	21245.973264341657
New Prediction 19	21245.9731743233
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,0372		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02088		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04454		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00625		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03413		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03413		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,09559		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00312		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00022		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,00031		-		1,78138		+
11		0,00934		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03606		+			1,15482		-
13		0,03033		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00211		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08334		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04675		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09132		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01169		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04714		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04885		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02845		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02257		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05149		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05177		+			1,50272		+
25		0,084		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01293		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04544		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00444		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01228		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06252		+			0,09		-
31		0,00658		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11116		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05215		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08927		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03942		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20272		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02469		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11271		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12341		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01605		-		0,516		+
41		0,04868		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03556		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05921		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12619		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17687		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02262		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00203		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13007		+			0,10698		-
49		0,0128		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12578		+			0,74562		-
51		0,098		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02306		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27106		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20454		+			0,59647		-
55		0,0801		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13633		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06954		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12764		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08039		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20081		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10231		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,1192		-			-0,04404		+
64		-0,00638		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24713		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39577		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02031		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05103		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11646		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03114		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17429		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21391		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12858		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09617		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24856		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11826		-			0,06094		-
77		0,0098		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54278		+			3,58766		+
79		0,73585		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17251		-		0,60833		+
81		0,1321		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04059		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32379		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04419		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53183		+			1,64653		-
86		0,38946		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11066		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07073		+			1,94215		+
89		0,48932		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00784		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,12961		-		1,5163		+
92		0,39929		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12193		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,35849		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22413		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24075		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12252		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,38979		-		1,95871		+
99		0,4951		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03221		-		2,96359		+
101		0,81504		+			3,75681		+
102		1,15337		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,83335		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,14158		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10385		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04331		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44001		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,73429		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,76463		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,4584		+			1,37362		+
111		0,27783		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19837		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49203		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40658		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03363		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29629		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12177		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14757		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14363		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17021		-		3,17128		+
121		0,62795		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61297		-			1,22064		-
123		0,29755		-			2,11553		+
124		0,54917		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10318		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09626		+			2,65184		+
127		0,74797		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,55436		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03148		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11444		+			1,76068		+
131		0,50984		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24291		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19117		-			0,91486		+
134		0,28893		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41066		-		2,6922		+
136		0,86281		+			2,36354		-
137		0,81335		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,20865		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17185		+		2,52773		+
140		0,90141		+			1,64559		-
141		0,61779		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12337		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24375		+			1,45449		+
144		0,57764		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,33749		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,56115		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17363		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,15443		-		2,05976		+
149		0,76107		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,5398		-			0,38993		+
151		0,1433		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23159		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04921		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18696		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19604		-		1,41281		+
156		0,524		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15563		-			1,42292		+
158		0,55069		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20006		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16666		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18583		+			1,63351		+
162		0,66113		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12458		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06772		+			2,51336		+
165		1,05674		+			1,90696		-
166		0,83424		-			0,77728		-
167		0,34764		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23043		-			4,98164		+
169		2,33799		+			1,29239		-
170		0,62957		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,65446		-		2,46155		+
172		1,17855		+			1,9295		-
173		0,94592		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,80845		-		1,20367		+
175		0,58966		+			2,9354		+
176		1,46479		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03699		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55233		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,59981		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,52424		+		1,57998		+
181		0,78055		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,57498		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,73225		-		1,56618		+
184		0,76569		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28045		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,92482		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21381		+			1,87398		+
188		0,91323		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,92837		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,53396		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41029		+			3,77967		+
192		1,85363		+			2,0866		-
193		1,04958		-			0,98058		-
194		0,49836		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,08928		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,62526		-		0,359		+
197		0,18161		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,84946		+		-15,84946		+
2		1,51641		+			1,51641		+
3		-0,15941		-		-0,15941		-
4		0,01666		+			0,01666		+
5		-0,00174		-		-0,00174		-
6		0,00018		+			0,00018		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		-0		-			-0		-
12		0		+			0		+
13		-0		-			-0		-
14		0		+			0		+
15		-0		-			-0		-
16		0		+			0		+
17		-0		-			-0		-
18		0		+			0		+
19		-0		-			-0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2966299664442018

 25.run Duration 	16 seconds 992 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@4f9fdc ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0014404475870590254
train epoch 1: 3.595322286930464E-4
train epoch 2: 3.5942515000801797E-4
train epoch 3: 3.5931816288455433E-4
train epoch 4: 3.5921126702950806E-4
train epoch 5: 3.5910446215074563E-4
train epoch 6: 3.5899774795713314E-4
train epoch 7: 3.588911241585374E-4
train epoch 8: 3.587845904658341E-4
train epoch 9: 3.58678146590877E-4
train epoch 10: 3.585717922465253E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5846552714662987E-4
train epoch 12: 3.583593510060125E-4
train epoch 13: 3.582532635404984E-4
train epoch 14: 3.581472644668611E-4
train epoch 15: 3.5804135350287473E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5793553036727807E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5782979477977584E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5772414646103305E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5761858513268236E-4
train epoch 20: 3.5751311051731384E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5740772233847334E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5730242032064416E-4
train epoch 23: 3.571972041892881E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5709207367077596E-4
train epoch 25: 3.569870284924474E-4
train epoch 26: 3.56882068382566E-4
train epoch 27: 3.567771930703389E-4
train epoch 28: 3.566724022858938E-4
train epoch 29: 3.565676957603073E-4
train epoch 30: 3.564630732255517E-4
train epoch 31: 3.563585344145401E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5625407906111E-4
train epoch 33: 3.561497069000015E-4
train epoch 34: 3.560454176668719E-4
train epoch 35: 3.559412110982972E-4
train epoch 36: 3.558370869317405E-4
train epoch 37: 3.557330449055886E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5562908475911714E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5552520623250865E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5542140906682937E-4
train epoch 41: 3.55317693004042E-4
train epoch 42: 3.552140577869919E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5511050315941507E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5500702886593233E-4
train epoch 45: 3.549036346520419E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5480032026410734E-4
train epoch 47: 3.546970854493883E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5459392995599437E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5449085353290316E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5927147338842691
mae:0.7299527927127105
rmse:0.7698796879281002
mape:6.912943266944403
corr:0.9723557787389855
theil coefficient:27.350678178541315
net profit:44.103350921847266
buy and hold:-7.034065301526572E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22387487777587445
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20757,21441		+		32155,21		+
1		20765,32254		+		32389,47		+
2		20769,81188		+		31833,73		-
3		20760,18988		-		31732,53		-
4		20758,82058		-		32205,37		+
5		20766,23069		+		32563,26		+
6		20773,54993		+		31042,99		-
7		20752,63615		-		30820,77		-
8		20751,81295		-		30789,2		-
9		20751,74229		-		30707,06		-
10		20751,61241		-		31258,97		+
11		20753,98287		+		31953,99		+
12		20761,97056		+		32325,14		+
13		20768,51621		+		32302,07		-
14		20768,06315		-		33048,99		+
15		20785,83495		+		33379,53		+
16		20795,73861		+		32684,23		-
17		20776,35657		-		32577,09		-
18		20773,8623		-		32979,02		+
19		20783,89866		+		32560,89		-
20		20773,49662		-		32814,31		+
21		20779,56186		+		32615,92		-
22		20774,75106		-		33044,36		+
23		20785,70509		+		33408,62		+
24		20796,66991		+		33914,45		+
25		20814,40401		+		33841,77		-
26		20811,67699		-		34090,39		+
27		20821,25339		+		34113,74		+
28		20822,18876		+		34177,52		+
29		20824,77514		+		34486,01		+
30		20837,93349		+		34517,06		+
31		20839,31734		+		33954		-
32		20815,91312		-		34229,07		+
33		20826,89919		+		34656,83		+
34		20845,68099		+		34473,76		-
35		20837,39051		-		35341,2		+
36		20880,00045		+		35436,38		+
37		20885,18734		+		34985,45		-
38		20861,50689		-		35477,06		+
39		20887,43494		+		35415,91		-
40		20884,06332		-		35599,13		+
41		20894,28949		+		35465,95		-
42		20886,81928		-		35235,93		-
43		20874,38104		-		35713,98		+
44		20900,8893		+		36318,81		+
45		20938,04368		+		36244,96		-
46		20933,29194		-		36238,27		-
47		20932,86444		-		36651,61		+
48		20960,19524		+		36690,84		+
49		20962,8858		+		37064,27		+
50		20989,33072		+		37341,66		+
51		21009,94609		+		37405,4		+
52		21014,79959		+		36616,43		-
53		20957,79666		-		37220		+
54		21000,80287		+		37442,67		+
55		21017,65761		+		37806,83		+
56		21046,36022		+		37986,17		+
57		21061,01138		+		37653,78		-
58		21034,12557		-		37864,77		+
59		21051,05654		+		38368,66		+
60		21093,38707		+		38115,81		-
61		21071,81307		-		38117,31		+
62		21071,93907		+		37812,55		-
63		21046,82227		-		37795,9		-
64		21045,47828		-		37120,78		-
65		20993,46353		-		35873,33		-
66		20910,28765		-		35801,57		-
67		20906,0206		-		35980,06		+
68		20916,73901		+		35563,59		-
69		20892,27677		-		35678,19		+
70		20898,817		+		36278,29		+
71		20935,42913		+		36940,33		+
72		20980,38683		+		37308,42		+
73		21007,43224		+		37571,76		+
74		21027,67117		+		38213,14		+
75		21080,03848		+		38501,45		+
76		21104,98405		+		38524,92		+
77		21107,05277		+		39739,74		+
78		21221,84074		+		41191,35		+
79		21378,27972		+		40866,67		-
80		21341,51529		-		41116,03		+
81		21369,6615		+		41039,94		-
82		21361,01		-		40415,4		-
83		21292,10047		-		40502,58		+
84		21301,4929		+		41505,67		+
85		21414,82361		+		42194,73		+
86		21498,15688		+		42002,34		-
87		21474,44948		-		42125,61		+
88		21489,60061		+		42951,75		+
89		21594,68359		+		42938,85		-
90		21592,99601		-		42724,09		-
91		21565,11717		-		43376,85		+
92		21651,10769		+		43571,25		+
93		21677,43113		+		42993,27		-
94		21600,12514		-		42621,33		-
95		21551,92209		-		43020,51		+
96		21603,70336		+		42818,62		-
97		21577,3382		-		42158,4		-
98		21493,65419		-		42992,3		+
99		21599,9978		+		42939,38		-
100		21593,06536		-		44230,97		+
101		21769,14716		+		45924,25		+
102		22020,65547		+		44714,51		-
103		21838,65483		-		42928,65		-
104		21591,66268		-		42756,7		-
105		21569,32411		-		42828,64		+
106		21578,63827		+		43542,17		+
107		21673,47288		+		42333,2		-
108		21515,42851		-		40959,96		-
109		21351,97565		-		40059,32		-
110		21254,51069		-		40613,38		+
111		21313,53671		+		40220,55		-
112		21271,37669		-		39180,23		-
113		21167,10677		-		40047,06		+
114		21253,23864		+		40115,67		+
115		21260,37622		+		40702,82		+
116		21323,3456		+		40465,11		-
117		21297,44694		-		40170,35		-
118		21266,09792		-		39875,77		-
119		21235,62266		-		39515,79		-
120		21199,55423		-		40789,03		+
121		21332,87335		+		41914,3		+
122		21463,71375		+		42429,06		+
123		21527,48702		+		43336,22		+
124		21645,64704		+		43169,58		-
125		21623,40009		-		43325,09		+
126		21644,15366		+		44489,37		+
127		21806,05496		+		43633,67		-
128		21685,95196		-		43683,33		+
129		21692,75454		+		43862,73		+
130		21717,50309		+		44641,85		+
131		21828,08905		+		45002,63		+
132		21880,96653		+		45282,32		+
133		21922,66713		+		45698,49		+
134		21985,83695		+		45104,65		-
135		21896,10626		-		46335,45		+
136		22085,04667		+		47443,65		+
137		22264,60356		+		47163,5		-
138		22218,40623		-		46930,71		-
139		22180,42757		-		48132,11		+
140		22380,34983		+		48930,72		+
141		22518,38738		+		49088,14		+
142		22546,05422		+		49397,32		+
143		22600,81494		+		50121,05		+
144		22731,11149		+		49699,67		-
145		22654,89548		-		48989,65		-
146		22528,72735		-		49210,68		+
147		22567,69153		+		47715,08		-
148		22309,86628		-		48708,09		+
149		22479,51272		+		48006,84		-
150		22359,05937		-		48194,4		+
151		22390,97382		+		47890,75		-
152		22339,41923		-		47955,51		+
153		22350,36457		+		48200,39		+
154		22391,99657		+		47943,58		-
155		22348,34622		-		48625,74		+
156		22465,2092		+		48825,83		+
157		22500,03472		+		49525,55		+
158		22623,68801		+		49776,82		+
159		22668,77701		+		49567,61		-
160		22631,21094		-		49800,83		+
161		22673,10376		+		50621,01		+
162		22822,76846		+		50467,53		-
163		22794,49289		-		50551,02		+
164		22809,85913		+		51837,65		+
165		23050,9857		+		52835,66		+
166		23243,13558		+		53247,94		+
167		23323,67784		+		53520,24		+
168		23377,21953		+		56253,95		+
169		23927,48172		+		56985,69		+
170		24077,8701		+		55060,42		-
171		23684,68285		-		56432,58		+
172		23964,09824		+		57532,02		+
173		24190,76299		+		56592,36		-
174		23996,9052		-		57277,66		+
175		24138,14414		+		58983,91		+
176		24492,64197		+		58940,68		-
177		24483,62436		-		58296,28		-
178		24349,38935		-		57598,15		-
179		24204,45886		-		56988,75		-
180		24078,50105		-		57896,31		+
181		24266,2827		+		57227,66		-
182		24127,8122		-		56376,62		-
183		23952,6204		-		57266,53		+
184		24135,84378		+		56940,58		-
185		24068,57062		-		55865,39		-
186		23848,06689		-		56114,11		+
187		23898,86258		+		57175,59		+
188		24117,05714		+		56096,5		-
189		23895,26181		-		55475		-
190		23768,6271		-		55952,65		+
191		23865,87207		+		58107,95		+
192		24310,23469		+		59333,17		+
193		24565,54108		+		59917,84		+
194		24687,71324		+		59812,92		-
195		24665,78003		-		59080,2		-
196		24512,73218		-		59292,68		+
197		24557,08594		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24557.08593831797
New Prediction 1	20961.22647975859
New Prediction 2	21276.00043282899
New Prediction 3	21243.155748843426
New Prediction 4	21246.537067157777
New Prediction 5	21246.188495518858
New Prediction 6	21246.224350464534
New Prediction 7	21246.220711665253
New Prediction 8	21246.22106666953
New Prediction 9	21246.22106666953
New Prediction 10	21246.22106666953
New Prediction 11	21246.22106666953
New Prediction 12	21246.22106666953
New Prediction 13	21246.22106666953
New Prediction 14	21246.22106666953
New Prediction 15	21246.22106666953
New Prediction 16	21246.22106666953
New Prediction 17	21246.22106666953
New Prediction 18	21246.22106666953
New Prediction 19	21246.22106666953
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03905		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02162		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04634		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,0066		+			1,47909		+
5		0,03569		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03524		-			-4,78116		-
7		-0,10073		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00397		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00034		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,00063		-		1,78138		+
11		0,01142		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03848		+			1,15482		-
13		0,03152		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00218		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08554		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04763		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09325		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01201		+		1,22623		+
19		0,0483		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,05006		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02919		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02315		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05271		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05274		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08524		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,0131		-			0,73197		+
27		0,046		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00449		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01242		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06317		+			0,09		-
31		0,00664		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11237		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05276		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09014		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03978		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20428		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02484		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11345		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12421		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01614		-		0,516		+
41		0,04895		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03576		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05957		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12691		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17761		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,0227		-			-0,01846		+
47		-0,00204		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13048		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01284		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12607		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09817		-			0,17055		-
52		0,0231		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27162		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20499		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08023		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13647		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06959		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12774		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08046		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20088		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10233		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11927		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00639		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24746		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39699		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02041		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05126		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11702		-		0,32172		+
70		0,0313		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17503		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21451		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12883		-			0,70337		-
74		0,0963		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24873		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11827		-			0,06094		-
77		0,0098		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54236		+			3,58766		+
79		0,73446		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17212		-		0,60833		+
81		0,1318		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04049		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32312		-		0,21548		+
84		0,0441		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53062		+			1,64653		-
86		0,38838		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11034		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07053		+			1,94215		+
89		0,4878		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00782		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,12919		-		1,5163		+
92		0,39796		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12151		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,35726		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22341		+		0,93221		+
96		0,23997		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12211		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,38859		-		1,95871		+
99		0,49355		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,0321		-			2,96359		+
101		0,81215		+			3,75681		+
102		1,14872		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,82993		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,13743		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10351		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04317		+			1,65229		+
107		0,43852		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,73188		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,7626		-			-2,22336		+
110		-0,45751		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27733		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,198		-			-2,62058		-
113		-0,49139		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40609		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03358		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29574		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12153		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,1473		-			-0,73603		-
119		-0,14341		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,16999		-		3,17128		+
121		0,62691		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61145		-			1,22064		-
123		0,29668		-			2,11553		+
124		0,54738		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10283		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09593		+			2,65184		+
127		0,74523		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,5523		-			0,11375		+
129		0,03136		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11402		+			1,76068		+
131		0,50791		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24195		-			0,61957		-
133		0,1904		-			0,91486		+
134		0,28773		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,40896		-		2,6922		+
136		0,85919		+			2,36354		-
137		0,80974		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,20771		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17108		+		2,52773		+
140		0,89731		+			1,64559		-
141		0,61489		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12279		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24259		+			1,45449		+
144		0,57486		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,33586		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,55847		-		0,45016		+
147		0,1728		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,14903		-		2,05976		+
149		0,75753		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,53728		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14263		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23051		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04898		+			0,50934		+
154		0,1861		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19513		-		1,41281		+
156		0,52155		+			0,41065		-
157		0,1549		-			1,42292		+
158		0,54806		+			0,50607		-
159		0,1991		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16585		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18494		+			1,63351		+
162		0,65793		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12397		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06739		+			2,51336		+
165		1,05157		+			1,90696		-
166		0,83013		-			0,77728		-
167		0,34592		-			0,51008		-
168		0,2293		-			4,98164		+
169		2,32656		+			1,29239		-
170		0,62655		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,64646		-		2,46155		+
172		1,17283		+			1,9295		-
173		0,94141		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,8046		-			1,20367		+
175		0,58685		+			2,9354		+
176		1,45794		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03682		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,54977		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,59699		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,52175		+		1,57998		+
181		0,77685		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,57226		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,72875		-		1,56618		+
184		0,76203		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,27912		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,92037		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21277		+			1,87398		+
188		0,90885		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,92392		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,53137		+		0,85733		+
191		0,4083		+			3,77967		+
192		1,8448		+			2,0866		-
193		1,04472		-			0,98058		-
194		0,4961		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,08888		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,62242		-		0,359		+
197		0,18078		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,83261		+		-15,83261		+
2		1,49053		+			1,49053		+
3		-0,15449		-		-0,15449		-
4		0,01592		+			0,01592		+
5		-0,00164		-		-0,00164		-
6		0,00017		+			0,00017		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29635736694213455

 26.run Duration 	17 seconds 228 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@18825b3 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0033606091259235525
train epoch 1: 3.6267474129811946E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6258242383075887E-4
train epoch 3: 3.624901374226134E-4
train epoch 4: 3.623979098327949E-4
train epoch 5: 3.623068314230045E-4
train epoch 6: 3.622181297324645E-4
train epoch 7: 3.62129489540588E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6204090367267786E-4
train epoch 9: 3.619523718283944E-4
train epoch 10: 3.618668897313019E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6179701600231245E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6174769385843955E-4
train epoch 13: 3.617021118527077E-4
train epoch 14: 3.616565493386698E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6161100622644993E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6156548242637776E-4
train epoch 17: 3.61519977848926E-4
train epoch 18: 3.614744924047536E-4
train epoch 19: 3.6142902600467684E-4
train epoch 20: 3.613835785596836E-4
train epoch 21: 3.613381499809208E-4
train epoch 22: 3.61292740179727E-4
train epoch 23: 3.612473490675974E-4
train epoch 24: 3.612019765561853E-4
train epoch 25: 3.6115662255731935E-4
train epoch 26: 3.611112869829759E-4
train epoch 27: 3.610659697453293E-4
train epoch 28: 3.610206707566923E-4
train epoch 29: 3.6097538992954496E-4
train epoch 30: 3.609301271765396E-4
train epoch 31: 3.608848824104886E-4
train epoch 32: 3.608396555443734E-4
train epoch 33: 3.6079444649131826E-4
train epoch 34: 3.6074925516463405E-4
train epoch 35: 3.6070408147778296E-4
train epoch 36: 3.606589253443912E-4
train epoch 37: 3.60613786678246E-4
train epoch 38: 3.6056866539328753E-4
train epoch 39: 3.6052356140363166E-4
train epoch 40: 3.604784746235394E-4
train epoch 41: 3.604334049674392E-4
train epoch 42: 3.6038835234991347E-4
train epoch 43: 3.6034331668570875E-4
train epoch 44: 3.6029829788972965E-4
train epoch 45: 3.602532958770376E-4
train epoch 46: 3.6020831056285147E-4
train epoch 47: 3.601633418625422E-4
train epoch 48: 3.601183896916473E-4
train epoch 49: 3.600734539658569E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5987400844127603
mae:0.7341697179220618
rmse:0.7737829698389338
mape:6.977815752552136
corr:0.969426903673552
theil coefficient:27.410166872746206
net profit:43.9796779806243
buy and hold:-7.053845426905785E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22324709634834672
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20653,95741		+		32155,21		+
1		20658,21036		+		32389,47		+
2		20661,12984		+		31833,73		-
3		20655,2892		-		31732,53		-
4		20654,62963		-		32205,37		+
5		20658,77941		+		32563,26		+
6		20663,72613		+		31042,99		-
7		20653,45168		-		30820,77		-
8		20654,30446		+		30789,2		-
9		20654,47434		+		30707,06		-
10		20654,97312		+		31258,97		+
11		20653,19851		-		31953,99		+
12		20656,23489		+		32325,14		+
13		20660,26175		+		32302,07		-
14		20659,96268		-		33048,99		+
15		20672,92433		+		33379,53		+
16		20680,8161		+		32684,23		-
17		20665,74959		-		32577,09		-
18		20663,94848		-		32979,02		+
19		20671,42317		+		32560,89		-
20		20663,68826		-		32814,31		+
21		20668,12337		+		32615,92		-
22		20664,58516		-		33044,36		+
23		20672,82316		+		33408,62		+
24		20681,57381		+		33914,45		+
25		20696,3797		+		33841,77		-
26		20694,06287		-		34090,39		+
27		20702,25084		+		34113,74		+
28		20703,05795		+		34177,52		+
29		20705,29588		+		34486,01		+
30		20716,80777		+		34517,06		+
31		20718,02949		+		33954		-
32		20697,6671		-		34229,07		+
33		20707,14031		+		34656,83		+
34		20723,67143		+		34473,76		-
35		20716,32894		-		35341,2		+
36		20754,65025		+		35436,38		+
37		20759,39807		+		34985,45		-
38		20737,85309		-		35477,06		+
39		20761,4599		+		35415,91		-
40		20758,36795		-		35599,13		+
41		20767,76393		+		35465,95		-
42		20760,89486		-		35235,93		-
43		20749,52375		-		35713,98		+
44		20773,85517		+		36318,81		+
45		20808,48238		+		36244,96		-
46		20804,02558		-		36238,27		-
47		20803,62499		-		36651,61		+
48		20829,35196		+		36690,84		+
49		20831,89649		+		37064,27		+
50		20857,00514		+		37341,66		+
51		20876,69094		+		37405,4		+
52		20881,33844		+		36616,43		-
53		20827,08525		-		37220		+
54		20867,9488		+		37442,67		+
55		20884,07732		+		37806,83		+
56		20911,6669		+		37986,17		+
57		20925,80395		+		37653,78		-
58		20899,88875		-		37864,77		+
59		20916,19466		+		38368,66		+
60		20957,15813		+		38115,81		-
61		20936,24798		-		38117,31		+
62		20936,36992		+		37812,55		-
63		20912,11221		-		37795,9		-
64		20910,81702		-		37120,78		-
65		20860,94422		-		35873,33		-
66		20782,56306		-		35801,57		-
67		20778,60477		-		35980,06		+
68		20788,56181		+		35563,59		-
69		20765,91042		-		35678,19		+
70		20771,94037		+		36278,29		+
71		20806,02918		+		36940,33		+
72		20848,49396		+		37308,42		+
73		20874,28565		+		37571,76		+
74		20893,68572		+		38213,14		+
75		20944,21258		+		38501,45		+
76		20968,42431		+		38524,92		+
77		20970,43584		+		39739,74		+
78		21082,7851		+		41191,35		+
79		21237,63656		+		40866,67		-
80		21201,10341		-		41116,03		+
81		21229,0657		+		41039,94		-
82		21220,4659		-		40415,4		-
83		21152,12801		-		40502,58		+
84		21161,42481		+		41505,67		+
85		21274,02366		+		42194,73		+
86		21357,24176		+		42002,34		-
87		21333,53516		-		42125,61		+
88		21348,683		+		42951,75		+
89		21453,99787		+		42938,85		-
90		21452,3033		-		42724,09		-
91		21424,32376		-		43376,85		+
92		21510,711		+		43571,25		+
93		21537,20441		+		42993,27		-
94		21459,46262		-		42621,33		-
95		21411,09093		-		43020,51		+
96		21463,05665		+		42818,62		-
97		21436,58549		-		42158,4		-
98		21352,73737		-		42992,3		+
99		21459,33472		+		42939,38		-
100		21452,37294		-		44230,97		+
101		21629,67117		+		45924,25		+
102		21884,2921		+		44714,51		-
103		21699,89662		-		42928,65		-
104		21450,96453		-		42756,7		-
105		21428,5441		-		42828,64		+
106		21437,89022		+		43542,17		+
107		21533,21924		+		42333,2		-
108		21374,52773		-		40959,96		-
109		21211,49008		-		40059,32		-
110		21114,98253		-		40613,38		+
111		21173,35451		+		40220,55		-
112		21131,63665		-		39180,23		-
113		21029,0475		-		40047,06		+
114		21113,72732		+		40115,67		+
115		21120,77199		+		40702,82		+
116		21183,07735		+		40465,11		-
117		21157,41932		-		40170,35		-
118		21126,42194		-		39875,77		-
119		21096,35734		-		39515,79		-
120		21060,87151		-		40789,03		+
121		21192,52727		+		41914,3		+
122		21322,80786		+		42429,06		+
123		21386,60345		+		43336,22		+
124		21505,21782		+		43169,58		-
125		21482,84825		-		43325,09		+
126		21503,71571		+		44489,37		+
127		21666,94515		+		43633,67		-
128		21545,7848		-		43683,33		+
129		21552,63649		+		43862,73		+
130		21577,57514		+		44641,85		+
131		21689,21407		+		45002,63		+
132		21742,702		+		45282,32		+
133		21784,92819		+		45698,49		+
134		21848,96325		+		45104,65		-
135		21758,02818		-		46335,45		+
136		21949,68544		+		47443,65		+
137		22132,39448		+		47163,5		-
138		22085,33969		-		46930,71		-
139		22046,67933		-		48132,11		+
140		22250,41541		+		48930,72		+
141		22391,37738		+		49088,14		+
142		22419,65541		+		49397,32		+
143		22475,64869		+		50121,05		+
144		22608,99144		+		49699,67		-
145		22530,97488		-		48989,65		-
146		22401,94485		-		49210,68		+
147		22441,77617		+		47715,08		-
148		22178,52595		-		48708,09		+
149		22351,65759		+		48006,84		-
150		22228,69369		-		48194,4		+
151		22261,25666		+		47890,75		-
152		22208,66072		-		47955,51		+
153		22219,82438		+		48200,39		+
154		22262,30041		+		47943,58		-
155		22217,76566		-		48625,74		+
156		22337,04724		+		48825,83		+
157		22372,62372		+		49525,55		+
158		22499,04525		+		49776,82		+
159		22545,18052		+		49567,61		-
160		22506,74144		-		49800,83		+
161		22549,60864		+		50621,01		+
162		22702,87853		+		50467,53		-
163		22673,90778		-		50551,02		+
164		22689,65103		+		51837,65		+
165		22936,91856		+		52835,66		+
166		23134,22362		+		53247,94		+
167		23216,98475		+		53520,24		+
168		23272,01839		+		56253,95		+
169		23838,23152		+		56985,69		+
170		23993,12457		+		55060,42		-
171		23588,27389		-		56432,58		+
172		23875,94051		+		57532,02		+
173		24109,42643		+		56592,36		-
174		23909,72874		-		57277,66		+
175		24055,2161		+		58983,91		+
176		24420,50228		+		58940,68		-
177		24411,20873		-		58296,28		-
178		24272,87355		-		57598,15		-
179		24123,53723		-		56988,75		-
180		23993,77452		-		57896,31		+
181		24187,23732		+		57227,66		-
182		24044,57217		-		56376,62		-
183		23864,1199		-		57266,53		+
184		24052,84626		+		56940,58		-
185		23983,54525		-		55865,39		-
186		23756,45804		-		56114,11		+
187		23808,76064		+		57175,59		+
188		24033,49254		+		56096,5		-
189		23805,05285		-		55475		-
190		23674,67493		-		55952,65		+
191		23774,7907		+		58107,95		+
192		24232,52612		+		59333,17		+
193		24495,63397		+		59917,84		+
194		24621,55281		+		59812,92		-
195		24598,94666		-		59080,2		-
196		24441,20747		-		59292,68		+
197		24486,91974		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24486.91973677474
New Prediction 1	20927.50995632454
New Prediction 2	21281.192267552025
New Prediction 3	21240.105798542434
New Prediction 4	21244.8139135429
New Prediction 5	21244.273566345044
New Prediction 6	21244.33561383334
New Prediction 7	21244.328401154766
New Prediction 8	21244.32929038695
New Prediction 9	21244.32919158334
New Prediction 10	21244.32919158334
New Prediction 11	21244.32919158334
New Prediction 12	21244.32919158334
New Prediction 13	21244.32919158334
New Prediction 14	21244.32919158334
New Prediction 15	21244.32919158334
New Prediction 16	21244.32919158334
New Prediction 17	21244.32919158334
New Prediction 18	21244.32919158334
New Prediction 19	21244.32919158334
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02059		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01413		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,02827		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00319		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02009		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02394		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,04973		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00413		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00082		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00241		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00859		-		2,19907		+
12		0,0147		+			1,15482		-
13		0,01949		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00145		-		2,28597		+
15		0,06272		+			0,99518		-
16		0,03817		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,07288		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00872		+		1,22623		+
19		0,03617		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,03743		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02146		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01712		-		1,30504		+
23		0,03986		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04232		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07156		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01119		-		0,73197		+
27		0,03956		+			0,06847		-
28		0,0039		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01081		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05558		+			0,09		-
31		0,0059		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,09833		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04576		+			1,24195		+
34		0,0798		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03544		-		2,4851		+
36		0,18481		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02287		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10384		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11377		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01489		-		0,516		+
41		0,04525		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03308		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05479		-		1,34759		+
44		0,11719		+			1,67936		+
45		0,16655		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02142		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00193		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12359		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01222		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12046		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09434		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02226		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26015		-		1,63492		+
54		0,19601		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07726		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13202		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06758		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12392		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07799		+			1,32199		+
60		0,19565		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,09983		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00058		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11593		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00619		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,23879		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,37644		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01905		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04791		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,10902		-		0,32172		+
70		0,02903		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16398		+			1,80844		+
72		0,20389		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12363		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09289		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24154		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11553		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00959		-			3,10464		+
78		0,53432		+			3,58766		+
79		0,73181		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17217		-		0,60833		+
81		0,1318		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04052		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32256		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04394		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53068		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39041		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11106		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07098		+			1,94215		+
89		0,4921		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,0079		-			-0,50141		-
91		-0,13051		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40241		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12309		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36162		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22566		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24241		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12341		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39191		-		1,95871		+
99		0,49798		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03245		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82308		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17031		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84616		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15379		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10457		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04361		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44369		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,73969		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,76569		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,45602		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27607		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19722		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,48666		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40187		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03336		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29456		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,1212		-			-0,7311		-
118		-0,14662		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14241		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,16835		-		3,17128		+
121		0,62317		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61287		-			1,22064		-
123		0,29874		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55309		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10407		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09709		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75621		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56076		-		0,11375		+
129		0,0318		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11564		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51605		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24631		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19402		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29351		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41707		-		2,6922		+
136		0,877		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82895		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21283		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,1752		+			2,52773		+
140		0,91987		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63153		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12621		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24944		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59152		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34567		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57432		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17765		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17997		-		2,05976		+
149		0,7776		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55165		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14638		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23655		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05025		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19098		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20025		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53544		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15914		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56348		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20484		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17064		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19028		+			1,63351		+
162		0,6774		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12769		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06941		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08389		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85653		-			0,77728		-
167		0,3571		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23676		-			4,98164		+
169		2,40389		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64767		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70176		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21216		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97316		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83175		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60664		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50712		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03806		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,5683		-			-1,20478		-
179		-0,61714		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53936		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80307		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59158		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75332		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78773		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28854		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95136		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21992		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93948		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95505		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,5492		+			0,85733		+
191		0,42199		+			3,77967		+
192		1,907		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07991		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51273		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09186		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64331		-		0,359		+
197		0,18685		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,70745		+		-15,70745		+
2		1,67591		+			1,67591		+
3		-0,19325		-		-0,19325		-
4		0,02216		+			0,02216		+
5		-0,00254		-		-0,00254		-
6		0,00029		+			0,00029		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29937004220638014

 27.run Duration 	16 seconds 288 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1632847 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0013745445458624309
train epoch 1: 3.618746805544261E-4
train epoch 2: 3.617999442624774E-4
train epoch 3: 3.617252272154872E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6165054718594676E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6157590431029423E-4
train epoch 6: 3.615027444513451E-4
train epoch 7: 3.614432529949774E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6140810188076404E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6137676388957996E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6134543691423537E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6131412528217315E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6128283066374736E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6125154713878896E-4
train epoch 14: 3.612202733548214E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6118900925762064E-4
train epoch 16: 3.611577547930296E-4
train epoch 17: 3.611265099069665E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6109527454542803E-4
train epoch 19: 3.610640486544857E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6103283218027983E-4
train epoch 21: 3.610016250690278E-4
train epoch 22: 3.609704272670118E-4
train epoch 23: 3.609392387206069E-4
train epoch 24: 3.6090805937625604E-4
train epoch 25: 3.608768891804587E-4
train epoch 26: 3.608457280797997E-4
train epoch 27: 3.608145760209378E-4
train epoch 28: 3.6078343295059914E-4
train epoch 29: 3.607522988155825E-4
train epoch 30: 3.607211735627595E-4
train epoch 31: 3.6069005713907997E-4
train epoch 32: 3.6065894949155176E-4
train epoch 33: 3.6062785056727696E-4
train epoch 34: 3.6059676031340607E-4
train epoch 35: 3.605656786771633E-4
train epoch 36: 3.6053460560586664E-4
train epoch 37: 3.6050354104687503E-4
train epoch 38: 3.604724849476365E-4
train epoch 39: 3.6044143725566286E-4
train epoch 40: 3.6041039791854157E-4
train epoch 41: 3.6037936688392865E-4
train epoch 42: 3.6034834409953215E-4
train epoch 43: 3.6031732951316336E-4
train epoch 44: 3.6028632307267427E-4
train epoch 45: 3.602553247260021E-4
train epoch 46: 3.6022433442115074E-4
train epoch 47: 3.6019335210618267E-4
train epoch 48: 3.6016237772924884E-4
train epoch 49: 3.60131411238552E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5967610598347983
mae:0.7329927920201242
rmse:0.7725031131554088
mape:6.968320333223875
corr:0.9702978313995262
theil coefficient:27.331838393033227
net profit:44.727192657338875
buy and hold:-6.935956226385554E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22704158709309075
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20666,58769		+		32155,21		+
1		20671,80027		+		32389,47		+
2		20675,13238		+		31833,73		-
3		20668,31975		-		31732,53		-
4		20667,4858		-		32205,37		+
5		20672,45732		+		32563,26		+
6		20678,03748		+		31042,99		-
7		20665,14174		-		30820,77		-
8		20665,62714		+		30789,2		-
9		20665,74517		+		30707,06		-
10		20666,10945		+		31258,97		+
11		20665,2496		-		31953,99		+
12		20669,47374		+		32325,14		+
13		20674,15056		+		32302,07		-
14		20673,81078		-		33048,99		+
15		20688,11057		+		33379,53		+
16		20696,60734		+		32684,23		-
17		20680,27722		-		32577,09		-
18		20678,2845		-		32979,02		+
19		20686,48233		+		32560,89		-
20		20677,99538		-		32814,31		+
21		20682,88476		+		32615,92		-
22		20678,99053		-		33044,36		+
23		20688,00098		+		33408,62		+
24		20697,41866		+		33914,45		+
25		20713,16577		+		33841,77		-
26		20710,71267		-		34090,39		+
27		20719,36823		+		34113,74		+
28		20720,21946		+		34177,52		+
29		20722,57807		+		34486,01		+
30		20734,67722		+		34517,06		+
31		20735,95836		+		33954		-
32		20714,52748		-		34229,07		+
33		20724,52022		+		34656,83		+
34		20741,86853		+		34473,76		-
35		20734,17496		-		35341,2		+
36		20774,17686		+		35436,38		+
37		20779,1116		+		34985,45		-
38		20756,68532		-		35477,06		+
39		20781,25349		+		35415,91		-
40		20778,04124		-		35599,13		+
41		20787,7982		+		35465,95		-
42		20780,66657		-		35235,93		-
43		20768,84417		-		35713,98		+
44		20794,1166		+		36318,81		+
45		20829,95061		+		36244,96		-
46		20825,34555		-		36238,27		-
47		20824,93153		-		36651,61		+
48		20851,49131		+		36690,84		+
49		20854,11526		+		37064,27		+
50		20879,98305		+		37341,66		+
51		20900,23621		+		37405,4		+
52		20905,01447		+		36616,43		-
53		20849,15343		-		37220		+
54		20891,24488		+		37442,67		+
55		20907,82987		+		37806,83		+
56		20936,16963		+		37986,17		+
57		20950,67767		+		37653,78		-
58		20924,07567		-		37864,77		+
59		20940,81714		+		38368,66		+
60		20982,8262		+		38115,81		-
61		20961,39048		-		38117,31		+
62		20961,51553		+		37812,55		-
63		20936,62675		-		37795,9		-
64		20935,29717		-		37120,78		-
65		20884,03747		-		35873,33		-
66		20803,14074		-		35801,57		-
67		20799,03988		-		35980,06		+
68		20809,352		+		35563,59		-
69		20785,87454		-		35678,19		+
70		20792,13094		+		36278,29		+
71		20827,41603		+		36940,33		+
72		20871,2193		+		37308,42		+
73		20897,76278		+		37571,76		+
74		20917,7037		+		38213,14		+
75		20969,55718		+		38501,45		+
76		20994,36907		+		38524,92		+
77		20996,42955		+		39739,74		+
78		21111,32802		+		41191,35		+
79		21269,24874		+		40866,67		-
80		21232,0283		-		41116,03		+
81		21260,51844		+		41039,94		-
82		21251,75757		-		40415,4		-
83		21182,09801		-		40502,58		+
84		21191,57921		+		41505,67		+
85		21306,30105		+		42194,73		+
86		21390,97541		+		42002,34		-
87		21366,86262		-		42125,61		+
88		21382,27076		+		42951,75		+
89		21489,325		+		42938,85		-
90		21487,60336		-		42724,09		-
91		21459,17263		-		43376,85		+
92		21546,92844		+		43571,25		+
93		21573,82763		+		42993,27		-
94		21494,87687		-		42621,33		-
95		21445,72362		-		43020,51		+
96		21498,52804		+		42818,62		-
97		21471,63305		-		42158,4		-
98		21386,39434		-		42992,3		+
99		21494,74693		+		42939,38		-
100		21487,67411		-		44230,97		+
101		21667,66399		+		45924,25		+
102		21925,73063		+		44714,51		-
103		21738,8847		-		42928,65		-
104		21486,24317		-		42756,7		-
105		21463,46153		-		42828,64		+
106		21472,95883		+		43542,17		+
107		21569,78182		+		42333,2		-
108		21408,55347		-		40959,96		-
109		21242,61244		-		40059,32		-
110		21144,1999		-		40613,38		+
111		21203,74333		+		40220,55		-
112		21161,19468		-		39180,23		-
113		21056,41294		-		40047,06		+
114		21142,91879		+		40115,67		+
115		21150,10839		+		40702,82		+
116		21213,65544		+		40465,11		-
117		21187,49446		-		40170,35		-
118		21155,87388		-		39875,77		-
119		21125,1872		-		39515,79		-
120		21088,94255		-		40789,03		+
121		21223,28782		+		41914,3		+
122		21355,94932		+		42429,06		+
123		21420,83125		+		43336,22		+
124		21541,35033		+		43169,58		-
125		21518,63206		-		43325,09		+
126		21539,82495		+		44489,37		+
127		21705,47082		+		43633,67		-
128		21582,53812		-		43683,33		+
129		21589,49324		+		43862,73		+
130		21614,805		+		44641,85		+
131		21728,05312		+		45002,63		+
132		21782,27915		+		45282,32		+
133		21825,07409		+		45698,49		+
134		21889,94929		+		45104,65		-
135		21797,81316		-		46335,45		+
136		21991,9418		+		47443,65		+
137		22176,80959		+		47163,5		-
138		22129,21575		-		46930,71		-
139		22090,10392		-		48132,11		+
140		22296,13421		+		48930,72		+
141		22438,56801		+		49088,14		+
142		22467,13068		+		49397,32		+
143		22523,6775		+		50121,05		+
144		22658,28628		+		49699,67		-
145		22579,53778		-		48989,65		-
146		22449,24225		-		49210,68		+
147		22489,47172		+		47715,08		-
148		22223,45871		-		48708,09		+
149		22398,44251		+		48006,84		-
150		22274,17759		-		48194,4		+
151		22307,09188		+		47890,75		-
152		22253,92599		-		47955,51		+
153		22265,21172		+		48200,39		+
154		22308,1468		+		47943,58		-
155		22263,13053		-		48625,74		+
156		22383,68117		+		48825,83		+
157		22419,62366		+		49525,55		+
158		22547,30146		+		49776,82		+
159		22593,87851		+		49567,61		-
160		22555,07195		-		49800,83		+
161		22598,34858		+		50621,01		+
162		22753,02241		+		50467,53		-
163		22723,79332		-		50551,02		+
164		22739,67735		+		51837,65		+
165		22989,03492		+		52835,66		+
166		23187,85187		+		53247,94		+
167		23271,20796		+		53520,24		+
168		23326,62477		+		56253,95		+
169		23896,22681		+		56985,69		+
170		24051,8783		+		55060,42		-
171		23644,89477		-		56432,58		+
172		23934,12693		+		57532,02		+
173		24168,70366		+		56592,36		-
174		23968,08287		-		57277,66		+
175		24114,25418		+		58983,91		+
176		24480,98903		+		58940,68		-
177		24471,66333		-		58296,28		-
178		24332,82066		-		57598,15		-
179		24182,87531		-		56988,75		-
180		24052,53129		-		57896,31		+
181		24246,84299		+		57227,66		-
182		24103,56231		-		56376,62		-
183		23922,24686		-		57266,53		+
184		24111,8737		+		56940,58		-
185		24042,25411		-		55865,39		-
186		23814,02434		-		56114,11		+
187		23866,60361		+		57175,59		+
188		24092,43242		+		56096,5		-
189		23862,87647		-		55475		-
190		23731,79219		-		55952,65		+
191		23832,45491		+		58107,95		+
192		24292,31497		+		59333,17		+
193		24556,37169		+		59917,84		+
194		24682,67557		+		59812,92		-
195		24660,00356		-		59080,2		-
196		24501,76497		-		59292,68		+
197		24547,62917		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24547.62916590873
New Prediction 1	20925.55920638823
New Prediction 2	21281.325825417105
New Prediction 3	21240.224092292614
New Prediction 4	21244.90664530419
New Prediction 5	21244.372268421575
New Prediction 6	21244.43326976712
New Prediction 7	21244.42629523005
New Prediction 8	21244.427081091468
New Prediction 9	21244.426982858764
New Prediction 10	21244.426982858764
New Prediction 11	21244.426982858764
New Prediction 12	21244.426982858764
New Prediction 13	21244.426982858764
New Prediction 14	21244.426982858764
New Prediction 15	21244.426982858764
New Prediction 16	21244.426982858764
New Prediction 17	21244.426982858764
New Prediction 18	21244.426982858764
New Prediction 19	21244.426982858764
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02522		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01612		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03296		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00404		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02405		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02699		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,06238		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00235		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00057		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00176		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00416		-		2,19907		+
12		0,02044		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02262		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00164		-		2,28597		+
15		0,06914		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04106		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,07893		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00964		+		1,22623		+
19		0,03964		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04103		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02364		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01883		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04356		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04551		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07605		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01184		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04178		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00411		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01138		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05837		+			0,09		-
31		0,00618		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,1034		-			0,80686		+
33		0,04823		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08367		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,0371		-			2,4851		+
36		0,19274		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02375		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10799		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11829		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01546		-		0,516		+
41		0,04695		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03431		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05691		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12161		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17218		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02211		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00199		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12746		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01258		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12396		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09695		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02286		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26757		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20168		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07936		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13545		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06927		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12706		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07998		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20041		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10221		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11881		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00635		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24515		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,38811		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01971		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04957		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11289		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03009		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16956		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21009		+			0,99151		-
73		0,1271		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09538		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24759		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11825		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00981		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54574		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74525		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17515		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13409		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04122		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32832		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04475		+			2,44644		+
85		0,5399		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39663		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11279		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07209		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49942		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00801		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,1324		-			1,5163		+
92		0,40811		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12476		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36663		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22894		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24592		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12518		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39777		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50536		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03291		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83415		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18399		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85583		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16897		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10609		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04424		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44989		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75028		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77814		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46436		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28121		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20087		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49639		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40999		+			0,17118		-
115		0,034		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30001		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,1234		-			-0,7311		-
118		-0,14935		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14516		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17172		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63502		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62313		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30335		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56105		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10552		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09844		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76608		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56798		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03222		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11717		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52257		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24926		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19627		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29681		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42179		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88665		+			2,36354		-
137		0,8371		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21484		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,1769		+			2,52773		+
140		0,92836		+			1,64559		-
141		0,6368		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12721		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25137		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59585		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34815		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57872		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17904		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18988		-		2,05976		+
149		0,7843		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55634		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14766		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23862		-		0,13513		+
153		0,0507		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19265		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,202		-			1,41281		+
156		0,54002		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16045		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56788		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20636		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,1719		-			0,46941		+
161		0,19169		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68212		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12855		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06988		+			2,51336		+
165		1,09061		+			1,90696		-
166		0,86112		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35884		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23785		-			4,98164		+
169		2,41252		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64925		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70659		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21581		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97532		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83355		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60801		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50937		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,0381		-			-1,09932		-
178		-0,56898		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61813		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,54045		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80462		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59268		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75508		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78955		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28915		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95382		-		0,44422		+
187		0,22055		+			1,87398		+
188		0,94176		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95738		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,55084		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42327		+			3,77967		+
192		1,91117		+			2,0866		-
193		1,08113		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51302		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,0919		-			-1,23258		-
196		-0,64375		-		0,359		+
197		0,18701		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,96439		+		-15,96439		+
2		1,68586		+			1,68586		+
3		-0,19332		-		-0,19332		-
4		0,02204		+			0,02204		+
5		-0,00252		-		-0,00252		-
6		0,00029		+			0,00029		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29838052991739916

 28.run Duration 	16 seconds 633 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@e95a56 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 4.7658761186931205E-4
train epoch 1: 3.6119208187788986E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6113034696560044E-4
train epoch 3: 3.610686396898128E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6100696600387626E-4
train epoch 5: 3.609453257853321E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6088371941648726E-4
train epoch 7: 3.60822151027133E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6076062421928445E-4
train epoch 9: 3.606991317092939E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6063767204949794E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6057624512064593E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6051485080286456E-4
train epoch 13: 3.604534889739058E-4
train epoch 14: 3.603921595134027E-4
train epoch 15: 3.603308623017252E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6026959721953384E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6020836414775366E-4
train epoch 18: 3.601471629676019E-4
train epoch 19: 3.6008599356059687E-4
train epoch 20: 3.600248558085068E-4
train epoch 21: 3.599637495934036E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5990267479761687E-4
train epoch 23: 3.598416313037781E-4
train epoch 24: 3.597806189947813E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5971963775379367E-4
train epoch 26: 3.596586874642672E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5959776800993746E-4
train epoch 28: 3.595368792747824E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5947602114309087E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5941519349941395E-4
train epoch 31: 3.593543962285674E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5929362921564145E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5923289234601546E-4
train epoch 34: 3.591721855053051E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5911150857941704E-4
train epoch 36: 3.590508614545369E-4
train epoch 37: 3.58990244017096E-4
train epoch 38: 3.589296561538056E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5886909775164445E-4
train epoch 40: 3.588085686978505E-4
train epoch 41: 3.58748068879938E-4
train epoch 42: 3.586875981856809E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5862715650311584E-4
train epoch 44: 3.585667437205424E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5850635972653147E-4
train epoch 46: 3.584460044099011E-4
train epoch 47: 3.58385677659741E-4
train epoch 48: 3.583253793654127E-4
train epoch 49: 3.582651094165165E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5955638368923357
mae:0.7320801631730801
rmse:0.7717278256563875
mape:6.951117476121927
corr:0.9709114569285575
theil coefficient:27.341666444824533
net profit:44.493058983221815
buy and hold:-6.972454973648832E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2258530912853899
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20694,88253		+		32155,21		+
1		20700,97168		+		32389,47		+
2		20704,65271		+		31833,73		-
3		20696,99159		-		31732,53		-
4		20695,99542		-		32205,37		+
5		20701,70452		+		32563,26		+
6		20707,80838		+		31042,99		-
7		20692,48359		-		30820,77		-
8		20692,56963		+		30789,2		-
9		20692,63001		+		30707,06		-
10		20692,84328		+		31258,97		+
11		20692,9689		+		31953,99		+
12		20698,33526		+		32325,14		+
13		20703,57636		+		32302,07		-
14		20703,20243		-		33048,99		+
15		20718,54422		+		33379,53		+
16		20727,46018		+		32684,23		-
17		20710,21837		-		32577,09		-
18		20708,07504		-		32979,02		+
19		20716,82394		+		32560,89		-
20		20707,76292		-		32814,31		+
21		20713,00514		+		32615,92		-
22		20708,83596		-		33044,36		+
23		20718,42858		+		33408,62		+
24		20728,30715		+		33914,45		+
25		20744,64208		+		33841,77		-
26		20742,10826		-		34090,39		+
27		20751,03471		+		34113,74		+
28		20751,91062		+		34177,52		+
29		20754,336		+		34486,01		+
30		20766,74435		+		34517,06		+
31		20768,05535		+		33954		-
32		20746,04718		-		34229,07		+
33		20756,3314		+		34656,83		+
34		20774,09709		+		34473,76		-
35		20766,23024		-		35341,2		+
36		20806,9821		+		35436,38		+
37		20811,98817		+		34985,45		-
38		20789,20479		-		35477,06		+
39		20814,15987		+		35415,91		-
40		20810,90265		-		35599,13		+
41		20820,79169		+		35465,95		-
42		20813,56485		-		35235,93		-
43		20801,568		-		35713,98		+
44		20827,18879		+		36318,81		+
45		20863,38522		+		36244,96		-
46		20858,74059		-		36238,27		-
47		20858,32292		-		36651,61		+
48		20885,08812		+		36690,84		+
49		20887,72945		+		37064,27		+
50		20913,74442		+		37341,66		+
51		20934,08554		+		37405,4		+
52		20938,88144		+		36616,43		-
53		20882,73434		-		37220		+
54		20925,05787		+		37442,67		+
55		20941,70672		+		37806,83		+
56		20970,12578		+		37986,17		+
57		20984,66146		+		37653,78		-
58		20958,00228		-		37864,77		+
59		20974,78304		+		38368,66		+
60		21016,84388		+		38115,81		-
61		20995,38957		-		38117,31		+
62		20995,51477		+		37812,55		-
63		20970,5839		-		37795,9		-
64		20969,25139		-		37120,78		-
65		20917,81824		-		35873,33		-
66		20836,31689		-		35801,57		-
67		20832,16996		-		35980,06		+
68		20842,59439		+		35563,59		-
69		20818,84304		-		35678,19		+
70		20825,17894		+		36278,29		+
71		20860,82909		+		36940,33		+
72		20904,93549		+		37308,42		+
73		20931,60253		+		37571,76		+
74		20951,61223		+		38213,14		+
75		21003,56518		+		38501,45		+
76		21028,39058		+		38524,92		+
77		21030,45131		+		39739,74		+
78		21145,19093		+		41191,35		+
79		21302,4904		+		40866,67		-
80		21265,44867		-		41116,03		+
81		21293,80357		+		41039,94		-
82		21285,08538		-		40415,4		-
83		21215,72903		-		40502,58		+
84		21225,17299		+		41505,67		+
85		21339,34836		+		42194,73		+
86		21423,52455		+		42002,34		-
87		21399,5607		-		42125,61		+
88		21414,87428		+		42951,75		+
89		21521,21571		+		42938,85		-
90		21519,50624		-		42724,09		-
91		21491,27334		-		43376,85		+
92		21578,4		+			43571,25		+
93		21605,09596		+		42993,27		-
94		21526,72819		-		42621,33		-
95		21477,91577		-		43020,51		+
96		21530,35333		+		42818,62		-
97		21503,64781		-		42158,4		-
98		21418,97219		-		42992,3		+
99		21526,59918		+		42939,38		-
100		21519,57649		-		44230,97		+
101		21698,18993		+		45924,25		+
102		21953,99867		+		44714,51		-
103		21768,81625		-		42928,65		-
104		21518,15566		-		42756,7		-
105		21495,53279		-		42828,64		+
106		21504,96437		+		43542,17		+
107		21601,081		+		42333,2		-
108		21440,99075		-		40959,96		-
109		21275,98377		-		40059,32		-
110		21177,96572		-		40613,38		+
111		21237,28738		+		40220,55		-
112		21194,90292		-		39180,23		-
113		21090,39069		-		40047,06		+
114		21176,68876		+		40115,67		+
115		21183,85474		+		40702,82		+
116		21247,1574		+		40465,11		-
117		21221,10445		-		40170,35		-
118		21189,60066		-		39875,77		-
119		21159,01156		-		39515,79		-
120		21122,85989		-		40789,03		+
121		21256,74758		+		41914,3		+
122		21388,71303		+		42429,06		+
123		21453,18883		+		43336,22		+
124		21572,86345		+		43169,58		-
125		21550,31236		-		43325,09		+
126		21571,3494		+		44489,37		+
127		21735,68431		+		43633,67		-
128		21613,73967		-		43683,33		+
129		21620,64115		+		43862,73		+
130		21645,75526		+		44641,85		+
131		21758,07664		+		45002,63		+
132		21811,83695		+		45282,32		+
133		21854,25543		+		45698,49		+
134		21918,54622		+		45104,65		-
135		21827,23519		-		46335,45		+
136		22019,58997		+		47443,65		+
137		22202,65999		+		47163,5		-
138		22155,53749		-		46930,71		-
139		22116,80881		-		48132,11		+
140		22320,78064		+		48930,72		+
141		22461,74159		+		49088,14		+
142		22490,00488		+		49397,32		+
143		22545,95547		+		50121,05		+
144		22679,12819		+		49699,67		-
145		22601,2225		-		48989,65		-
146		22472,30409		-		49210,68		+
147		22512,11089		+		47715,08		-
148		22248,84203		-		48708,09		+
149		22422,03452		+		48006,84		-
150		22299,04778		-		48194,4		+
151		22331,62629		+		47890,75		-
152		22279,00171		-		47955,51		+
153		22290,17301		+		48200,39		+
154		22332,67042		+		47943,58		-
155		22288,11294		-		48625,74		+
156		22407,42645		+		48825,83		+
157		22442,99511		+		49525,55		+
158		22569,32903		+		49776,82		+
159		22615,41029		+		49567,61		-
160		22577,017		-		49800,83		+
161		22619,83264		+		50621,01		+
162		22772,84157		+		50467,53		-
163		22743,92897		-		50551,02		+
164		22759,64111		+		51837,65		+
165		23006,27348		+		52835,66		+
166		23202,89184		+		53247,94		+
167		23285,32213		+		53520,24		+
168		23340,12263		+		56253,95		+
169		23903,39566		+		56985,69		+
170		24057,33279		+		55060,42		-
171		23654,85021		-		56432,58		+
172		23940,87737		+		57532,02		+
173		24172,87933		+		56592,36		-
174		23974,45894		-		57277,66		+
175		24119,02494		+		58983,91		+
176		24481,78921		+		58940,68		-
177		24472,56326		-		58296,28		-
178		24335,21379		-		57598,15		-
179		24186,89638		-		56988,75		-
180		24057,9786		-		57896,31		+
181		24250,16777		+		57227,66		-
182		24108,45011		-		56376,62		-
183		23929,12839		-		57266,53		+
184		24116,67051		+		56940,58		-
185		24047,81427		-		55865,39		-
186		23822,10254		-		56114,11		+
187		23874,09988		+		57175,59		+
188		24097,44214		+		56096,5		-
189		23870,41396		-		55475		-
190		23740,78223		-		55952,65		+
191		23840,32902		+		58107,95		+
192		24295,1464		+		59333,17		+
193		24556,36814		+		59917,84		+
194		24681,33648		+		59812,92		-
195		24658,90314		-		59080,2		-
196		24502,34316		-		59292,68		+
197		24547,71858		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 103
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24547.718579447745
New Prediction 1	20937.00592842394
New Prediction 2	21279.553712617737
New Prediction 3	21241.190163731095
New Prediction 4	21245.42779524508
New Prediction 5	21244.958961830493
New Prediction 6	21245.01077031431
New Prediction 7	21245.005056034242
New Prediction 8	21245.00572269885
New Prediction 9	21245.005627461036
New Prediction 10	21245.005627461036
New Prediction 11	21245.005627461036
New Prediction 12	21245.005627461036
New Prediction 13	21245.005627461036
New Prediction 14	21245.005627461036
New Prediction 15	21245.005627461036
New Prediction 16	21245.005627461036
New Prediction 17	21245.005627461036
New Prediction 18	21245.005627461036
New Prediction 19	21245.005627461036
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02942		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01778		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03701		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00481		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02758		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02948		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07403		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00042		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00029		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00103		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00061		-			2,19907		+
12		0,02593		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02532		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00181		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07408		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04302		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08322		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01035		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04224		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04375		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02531		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02013		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04631		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04767		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07877		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01222		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04303		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00422		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01169		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05977		+			0,09		-
31		0,00631		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10603		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04956		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08556		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03788		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19605		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02406		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10953		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11997		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01565		-		0,516		+
41		0,04751		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03472		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05766		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12309		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17364		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02226		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,002		+			1,13416		+
48		0,12824		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01265		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12447		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09721		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02291		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26851		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20247		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07953		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13561		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06929		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12712		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08004		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20033		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10213		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11881		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00635		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24558		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39039		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,0199		+			0,49731		+
68		0,05003		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11402		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03043		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17104		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21121		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12748		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09555		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24766		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11813		-			0,06094		-
77		0,0098		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54411		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74115		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17404		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13325		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04095		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32638		-		0,21548		+
84		0,0445		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53648		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39369		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11192		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07153		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49535		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00794		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13128		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40459		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12364		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36339		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22701		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24385		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12411		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39455		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50123		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03263		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82658		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17205		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84708		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15815		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10519		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04387		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44596		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74388		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77256		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46176		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27972		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19978		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49432		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40835		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03383		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29838		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12269		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14857		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14446		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,171		-			3,17128		+
121		0,63185		+			2,72139		-
122		0,6189		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30099		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55629		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10459		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09757		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75893		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56261		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03193		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11609		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51757		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24678		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19429		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29375		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41746		-		2,6922		+
136		0,8774		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82796		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21246		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17496		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91802		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62954		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12575		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24847		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58893		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,3441		-			-1,43892		-
146		-0,57204		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17698		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17635		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77542		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55002		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14599		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23593		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05013		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19047		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19972		-		1,41281		+
156		0,5339		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15861		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56133		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20397		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16991		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18946		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67416		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12704		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06906		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07781		+			1,90696		-
166		0,851		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35463		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23507		-			4,98164		+
169		2,38466		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64193		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,68717		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20192		+			1,9295		-
173		0,9644		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82423		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60119		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49286		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03769		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56282		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61134		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53443		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79568		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58611		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74659		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78068		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28592		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94303		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21804		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93115		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94659		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54454		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41843		+			3,77967		+
192		1,8898		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06946		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50761		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09093		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63693		-		0,359		+
197		0,18502		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,91007		+		-15,91007		+
2		1,62285		+			1,62285		+
3		-0,18045		-		-0,18045		-
4		0,01995		+			0,01995		+
5		-0,00221		-		-0,00221		-
6		0,00024		+			0,00024		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29778191844616786

 29.run Duration 	16 seconds 132 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@29e357 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.002201420893829566
train epoch 1: 3.6026266931865863E-4
train epoch 2: 3.602271201238749E-4
train epoch 3: 3.601915814907015E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6015605335341136E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6012053564425195E-4
train epoch 6: 3.600850282957519E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6004953124184997E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6001404441639794E-4
train epoch 9: 3.5997856774956286E-4
train epoch 10: 3.599431011736374E-4
train epoch 11: 3.59907644621486E-4
train epoch 12: 3.598721980260758E-4
train epoch 13: 3.5983676132047204E-4
train epoch 14: 3.598013344378927E-4
train epoch 15: 3.5976591731154536E-4
train epoch 16: 3.597305098747997E-4
train epoch 17: 3.596951120611138E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5965972380405214E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5962434503728164E-4
train epoch 20: 3.595889756945581E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5955361570974624E-4
train epoch 22: 3.595182650168147E-4
train epoch 23: 3.594829235498131E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5944759124290494E-4
train epoch 25: 3.594122680303415E-4
train epoch 26: 3.593769538464672E-4
train epoch 27: 3.593416486257369E-4
train epoch 28: 3.593063523027032E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5927106481200015E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5923578608837404E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5920051606666E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5916525468178884E-4
train epoch 33: 3.591300018687923E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5909475756279723E-4
train epoch 35: 3.590595216990258E-4
train epoch 36: 3.590242942127906E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5898907503949544E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5895386411465057E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5891866137386275E-4
train epoch 40: 3.588834667528028E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5884828018727826E-4
train epoch 42: 3.5881310161316816E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5877793096645476E-4
train epoch 44: 3.587427681832046E-4
train epoch 45: 3.587076131995795E-4
train epoch 46: 3.586724659518385E-4
train epoch 47: 3.586373263763295E-4
train epoch 48: 3.586021944094914E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5856706998786615E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5938976851340325
mae:0.7311001205459333
rmse:0.7706475751820884
mape:6.943868304176742
corr:0.9716041071072096
theil coefficient:27.27164894876372
net profit:45.17551775994788
buy and hold:-6.867123295606335E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22931734903526843
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20704,1609		+		32155,21		+
1		20711,04165		+		32389,47		+
2		20715,06489		+		31833,73		-
3		20706,5994		-		31732,53		-
4		20705,45956		-		32205,37		+
5		20711,84737		+		32563,26		+
6		20718,47737		+		31042,99		-
7		20700,99253		-		30820,77		-
8		20700,77971		-		30789,2		-
9		20700,79801		+		30707,06		-
10		20700,90217		+		31258,97		+
11		20701,77253		+		31953,99		+
12		20708,11493		+		32325,14		+
13		20713,89411		+		32302,07		-
14		20713,4864		-		33048,99		+
15		20729,94386		+		33379,53		+
16		20739,36763		+		32684,23		-
17		20721,06755		-		32577,09		-
18		20718,76457		-		32979,02		+
19		20728,11717		+		32560,89		-
20		20718,42838		-		32814,31		+
21		20724,04941		+		32615,92		-
22		20719,58325		-		33044,36		+
23		20729,82116		+		33408,62		+
24		20740,2597		+		33914,45		+
25		20757,38889		+		33841,77		-
26		20754,73978		-		34090,39		+
27		20764,0622		+		34113,74		+
28		20764,97553		+		34177,52		+
29		20767,5033		+		34486,01		+
30		20780,411		+		34517,06		+
31		20781,77263		+		33954		-
32		20758,85689		-		34229,07		+
33		20769,58168		+		34656,83		+
34		20788,04307		+		34473,76		-
35		20779,87693		-		35341,2		+
36		20822,06662		+		35436,38		+
37		20827,23342		+		34985,45		-
38		20803,69366		-		35477,06		+
39		20829,47398		+		35415,91		-
40		20826,11329		-		35599,13		+
41		20836,31306		+		35465,95		-
42		20828,86015		-		35235,93		-
43		20816,47542		-		35713,98		+
44		20842,90598		+		36318,81		+
45		20880,14644		+		36244,96		-
46		20875,37322		-		36238,27		-
47		20874,94392		-		36651,61		+
48		20902,43253		+		36690,84		+
49		20905,14299		+		37064,27		+
50		20931,82		+		37341,66		+
51		20952,65735		+		37405,4		+
52		20957,5678		+		36616,43		-
53		20900,01682		-		37220		+
54		20943,41159		+		37442,67		+
55		20960,46014		+		37806,83		+
56		20989,53776		+		37986,17		+
57		21004,39989		+		37653,78		-
58		20977,13676		-		37864,77		+
59		20994,30034		+		38368,66		+
60		21037,28293		+		38115,81		-
61		21015,36481		-		38117,31		+
62		21015,49275		+		37812,55		-
63		20990,00627		-		37795,9		-
64		20988,64353		-		37120,78		-
65		20935,99461		-		35873,33		-
66		20852,30709		-		35801,57		-
67		20848,03704		-		35980,06		+
68		20858,76828		+		35563,59		-
69		20834,30398		-		35678,19		+
70		20840,83503		+		36278,29		+
71		20877,51972		+		36940,33		+
72		20922,79056		+		37308,42		+
73		20950,11468		+		37571,76		+
74		20970,59842		+		38213,14		+
75		21023,71866		+		38501,45		+
76		21049,0742		+		38524,92		+
77		21051,17822		+		39739,74		+
78		21168,1838		+		41191,35		+
79		21328,23967		+		40866,67		-
80		21290,57812		-		41116,03		+
81		21319,40892		+		41039,94		-
82		21310,54542		-		40415,4		-
83		21239,99978		-		40502,58		+
84		21249,60934		+		41505,67		+
85		21365,69895		+		42194,73		+
86		21451,19628		+		42002,34		-
87		21426,86327		-		42125,61		+
88		21442,41336		+		42951,75		+
89		21550,34049		+		42938,85		-
90		21548,60627		-		42724,09		-
91		21519,9612		-		43376,85		+
92		21608,33998		+		43571,25		+
93		21635,4083		+		42993,27		-
94		21555,93263		-		42621,33		-
95		21506,40637		-		43020,51		+
96		21559,61003		+		42818,62		-
97		21532,5171		-		42158,4		-
98		21446,5742		-		42992,3		+
99		21555,80176		+		42939,38		-
100		21548,67753		-		44230,97		+
101		21729,76272		+		45924,25		+
102		21988,76811		+		44714,51		-
103		21801,30859		-		42928,65		-
104		21547,23611		-		42756,7		-
105		21524,28324		-		42828,64		+
106		21533,8529		+		43542,17		+
107		21631,33767		+		42333,2		-
108		21468,92825		-		40959,96		-
109		21301,29116		-		40059,32		-
110		21201,56171		-		40613,38		+
111		21261,93442		+		40220,55		-
112		21218,8041		-		39180,23		-
113		21112,3342		-		40047,06		+
114		21200,26156		+		40115,67		+
115		21207,55733		+		40702,82		+
116		21271,97466		+		40465,11		-
117		21245,46961		-		40170,35		-
118		21213,40676		-		39875,77		-
119		21182,26084		-		39515,79		-
120		21145,43168		-		40789,03		+
121		21281,72904		+		41914,3		+
122		21415,84673		+		42429,06		+
123		21481,31034		+		43336,22		+
124		21602,72557		+		43169,58		-
125		21579,855		-		43325,09		+
126		21601,19019		+		44489,37		+
127		21767,74903		+		43633,67		-
128		21644,1715		-		43683,33		+
129		21651,168		+		43862,73		+
130		21676,62519		+		44641,85		+
131		21790,43107		+		45002,63		+
132		21844,87498		+		45282,32		+
133		21887,82133		+		45698,49		+
134		21952,89376		+		45104,65		-
135		21860,46598		-		46335,45		+
136		22055,12361		+		47443,65		+
137		22240,22142		+		47163,5		-
138		22192,59111		-		46930,71		-
139		22153,43788		-		48132,11		+
140		22359,5744		+		48930,72		+
141		22501,93404		+		49088,14		+
142		22530,46879		+		49397,32		+
143		22586,94819		+		50121,05		+
144		22721,3351		+		49699,67		-
145		22642,7266		-		48989,65		-
146		22512,59834		-		49210,68		+
147		22552,78509		+		47715,08		-
148		22286,89205		-		48708,09		+
149		22461,84061		+		48006,84		-
150		22337,61904		-		48194,4		+
151		22370,53038		+		47890,75		-
152		22317,36607		-		47955,51		+
153		22328,65287		+		48200,39		+
154		22371,58511		+		47943,58		-
155		22326,57154		-		48625,74		+
156		22447,08891		+		48825,83		+
157		22483,00589		+		49525,55		+
158		22610,53934		+		49776,82		+
159		22657,04395		+		49567,61		-
160		22618,29846		-		49800,83		+
161		22661,50653		+		50621,01		+
162		22815,86665		+		50467,53		-
163		22786,70475		-		50551,02		+
164		22802,55271		+		51837,65		+
165		23051,2127		+		52835,66		+
166		23249,31267		+		53247,94		+
167		23332,32998		+		53520,24		+
168		23387,50983		+		56253,95		+
169		23954,19546		+		56985,69		+
170		24108,91582		+		55060,42		-
171		23704,25163		-		56432,58		+
172		23991,87366		+		57532,02		+
173		24225,0092		+		56592,36		-
174		24025,62811		-		57277,66		+
175		24170,9043		+		58983,91		+
176		24535,21008		+		58940,68		-
177		24525,94915		-		58296,28		-
178		24388,05298		-		57598,15		-
179		24239,09021		-		56988,75		-
180		24109,56479		-		57896,31		+
181		24302,64391		+		57227,66		-
182		24160,27939		-		56376,62		-
183		23980,0635		-		57266,53		+
184		24168,53874		+		56940,58		-
185		24099,35069		-		55865,39		-
186		23872,46329		-		56114,11		+
187		23924,7435		+		57175,59		+
188		24149,21896		+		56096,5		-
189		23921,03777		-		55475		-
190		23790,686		-		55952,65		+
191		23890,78974		+		58107,95		+
192		24347,81689		+		59333,17		+
193		24610,06363		+		59917,84		+
194		24735,46001		+		59812,92		-
195		24712,9528		-		59080,2		-
196		24555,84115		-		59292,68		+
197		24601,38296		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24601.382962498003
New Prediction 1	20934.7825156946
New Prediction 2	21279.714689567292
New Prediction 3	21241.199154825583
New Prediction 4	21245.43964574508
New Prediction 5	21244.972043919013
New Prediction 6	21245.023589774933
New Prediction 7	21245.017893990316
New Prediction 8	21245.01855849711
New Prediction 9	21245.018463567536
New Prediction 10	21245.018463567536
New Prediction 11	21245.018463567536
New Prediction 12	21245.018463567536
New Prediction 13	21245.018463567536
New Prediction 14	21245.018463567536
New Prediction 15	21245.018463567536
New Prediction 16	21245.018463567536
New Prediction 17	21245.018463567536
New Prediction 18	21245.018463567536
New Prediction 19	21245.018463567536
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03323		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01942		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04087		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,0055		+			1,47909		+
5		0,03085		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03201		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,08443		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00103		+		-0,10248		+
9		0,00009		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,0005		+			1,78138		+
11		0,0042		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03063		+			1,15482		-
13		0,0279		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00197		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07942		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04545		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08828		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01111		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04513		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04675		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02713		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02155		-		1,30504		+
23		0,0494		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05034		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08256		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01276		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04491		+			0,06847		-
28		0,0044		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01217		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06213		+			0,09		-
31		0,00655		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11033		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05165		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08885		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03929		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20283		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02481		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11309		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12385		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01614		-		0,516		+
41		0,04896		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03578		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05948		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12689		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17851		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02286		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00206		+		1,13416		+
48		0,1316		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01297		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12753		+			0,74562		-
51		0,0995		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02343		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27498		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20742		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08137		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13863		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07078		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12988		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08179		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20453		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10424		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12135		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00649		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25116		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40053		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02048		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05146		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11735		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03134		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17587		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21661		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13051		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09773		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25299		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12053		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55428		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75327		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17674		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13532		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04158		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33159		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04523		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54483		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39936		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,1135		-			0,29305		+
88		0,07255		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50207		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00805		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13302		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40984		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12519		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36802		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,23002		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24708		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12574		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39993		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50801		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03306		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83684		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18489		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85618		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,17224		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10658		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04445		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45168		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75364		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,7839		-			-2,22336		+
110		-0,46928		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28435		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20306		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50303		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41561		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03441		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30329		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12468		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15103		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14693		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17402		-		3,17128		+
121		0,6425		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62822		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30521		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56362		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10593		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09882		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76811		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56933		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03232		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11751		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52364		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24954		-			0,61957		-
133		0,1964		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29686		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42192		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88651		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83575		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21439		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17658		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92619		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63466		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12673		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25037		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59321		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34657		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57636		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17835		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18599		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78192		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55457		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14723		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23794		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05056		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19209		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20141		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53834		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15988		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56564		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20547		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17115		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19085		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67885		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,1279		-			0,1653		+
164		0,06953		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08459		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85572		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35644		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23622		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39414		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64382		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69273		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20607		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96704		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82644		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60285		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49596		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03775		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56383		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61268		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,5358		+			1,57998		+
181		0,79765		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58752		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74871		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78289		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28668		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94593		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21876		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93388		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94937		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54642		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41989		+			3,77967		+
192		1,89492		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07133		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50824		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09103		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63778		-		0,359		+
197		0,18529		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,13906		+		-16,13906		+
2		1,63422		+			1,63422		+
3		-0,18116		-		-0,18116		-
4		0,01996		+			0,01996		+
5		-0,0022		-			-0,0022		-
6		0,00024		+			0,00024		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29694884256701626

 30.run Duration 	15 seconds 960 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@ca470 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 4.980128226297519E-4
train epoch 1: 3.6111261108683773E-4
train epoch 2: 3.610761768237217E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6104978589666497E-4
train epoch 4: 3.610234018614177E-4
train epoch 5: 3.609970246722803E-4
train epoch 6: 3.60970654283607E-4
train epoch 7: 3.609442906498085E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6091793372535516E-4
train epoch 9: 3.608915834647591E-4
train epoch 10: 3.608652398226008E-4
train epoch 11: 3.608389027535047E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6081257221215457E-4
train epoch 13: 3.607862481532803E-4
train epoch 14: 3.607599305316758E-4
train epoch 15: 3.607336193021833E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6070731441969686E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6068101583916647E-4
train epoch 18: 3.606547235156001E-4
train epoch 19: 3.606284374040456E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6060215745961605E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6057588363746975E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6054961589281726E-4
train epoch 23: 3.605233541809303E-4
train epoch 24: 3.6049709845711896E-4
train epoch 25: 3.6047084867675696E-4
train epoch 26: 3.6044460479526673E-4
train epoch 27: 3.604183667681252E-4
train epoch 28: 3.6039213455085105E-4
train epoch 29: 3.603659080990248E-4
train epoch 30: 3.60339687368278E-4
train epoch 31: 3.603134723142849E-4
train epoch 32: 3.60287262892779E-4
train epoch 33: 3.602610590595446E-4
train epoch 34: 3.602348607704153E-4
train epoch 35: 3.6020866798126524E-4
train epoch 36: 3.601824806480425E-4
train epoch 37: 3.6015629872673246E-4
train epoch 38: 3.601301221733637E-4
train epoch 39: 3.6010395094402417E-4
train epoch 40: 3.600777849948565E-4
train epoch 41: 3.600516242820406E-4
train epoch 42: 3.600254687618134E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5999931839046607E-4
train epoch 44: 3.599731731243315E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5994703291979726E-4
train epoch 46: 3.599208977332951E-4
train epoch 47: 3.598947675213167E-4
train epoch 48: 3.598686422403921E-4
train epoch 49: 3.598425218471048E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5955551306063053
mae:0.7322345593402884
rmse:0.771722184860786
mape:6.960226443727908
corr:0.9708329484400827
theil coefficient:27.29556881254182
net profit:45.04773703311511
buy and hold:-6.886602320830571E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22866871590413762
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20678,44004		+		32155,21		+
1		20684,29799		+		32389,47		+
2		20687,90198		+		31833,73		-
3		20680,44358		-		31732,53		-
4		20679,49175		-		32205,37		+
5		20685,0133		+		32563,26		+
6		20691,00841		+		31042,99		-
7		20676,34279		-		30820,77		-
8		20676,56828		+		30789,2		-
9		20676,64937		+		30707,06		-
10		20676,91752		+		31258,97		+
11		20676,70306		-		31953,99		+
12		20681,73754		+		32325,14		+
13		20686,84556		+		32302,07		-
14		20686,47901		-		33048,99		+
15		20701,64243		+		33379,53		+
16		20710,51922		+		32684,23		-
17		20693,38811		-		32577,09		-
18		20691,27144		-		32979,02		+
19		20699,93357		+		32560,89		-
20		20690,96357		-		32814,31		+
21		20696,14597		+		32615,92		-
22		20692,02241		-		33044,36		+
23		20701,52751		+		33408,62		+
24		20711,36391		+		33914,45		+
25		20727,68928		+		33841,77		-
26		20725,15333		-		34090,39		+
27		20734,0919		+		34113,74		+
28		20734,96966		+		34177,52		+
29		20737,40068		+		34486,01		+
30		20749,84903		+		34517,06		+
31		20751,16522		+		33954		-
32		20729,09602		-		34229,07		+
33		20739,4013		+		34656,83		+
34		20757,23294		+		34473,76		-
35		20749,33293		-		35341,2		+
36		20790,30699		+		35436,38		+
37		20795,34743		+		34985,45		-
38		20772,41863		-		35477,06		+
39		20797,53443		+		35415,91		-
40		20794,25436		-		35599,13		+
41		20804,21429		+		35465,95		-
42		20796,9352		-		35235,93		-
43		20784,85716		-		35713,98		+
44		20810,65952		+		36318,81		+
45		20847,15615		+		36244,96		-
46		20842,47068		-		36238,27		-
47		20842,04937		-		36651,61		+
48		20869,05743		+		36690,84		+
49		20871,72368		+		37064,27		+
50		20897,99201		+		37341,66		+
51		20918,5401		+		37405,4		+
52		20923,3858		+		36616,43		-
53		20866,68157		-		37220		+
54		20909,4197		+		37442,67		+
55		20926,24058		+		37806,83		+
56		20954,96284		+		37986,17		+
57		20969,65771		+		37653,78		-
58		20942,70862		-		37864,77		+
59		20959,67083		+		38368,66		+
60		21002,20118		+		38115,81		-
61		20980,50493		-		38117,31		+
62		20980,63152		+		37812,55		-
63		20955,42594		-		37795,9		-
64		20954,07896		-		37120,78		-
65		20902,10671		-		35873,33		-
66		20819,85911		-		35801,57		-
67		20815,67931		-		35980,06		+
68		20826,18755		+		35563,59		-
69		20802,25132		-		35678,19		+
70		20808,63437		+		36278,29		+
71		20844,57747		+		36940,33		+
72		20889,09577		+		37308,42		+
73		20916,03145		+		37571,76		+
74		20936,25048		+		38213,14		+
75		20988,77217		+		38501,45		+
76		21013,88001		+		38524,92		+
77		21015,96446		+		39739,74		+
78		21132,07646		+		41191,35		+
79		21291,37167		+		40866,67		-
80		21253,85142		-		41116,03		+
81		21282,57223		+		41039,94		-
82		21273,74125		-		40415,4		-
83		21203,497		-		40502,58		+
84		21213,0608		+		41505,67		+
85		21328,70986		+		42194,73		+
86		21413,99539		+		42002,34		-
87		21389,71414		-		42125,61		+
88		21405,23042		+		42951,75		+
89		21512,99093		+		42938,85		-
90		21511,25851		-		42724,09		-
91		21482,64718		-		43376,85		+
92		21570,94494		+		43571,25		+
93		21598,00147		+		42993,27		-
94		21518,57743		-		42621,33		-
95		21469,11098		-		43020,51		+
96		21522,25128		+		42818,62		-
97		21495,18738		-		42158,4		-
98		21409,38265		-		42992,3		+
99		21518,44669		+		42939,38		-
100		21511,3297		-		44230,97		+
101		21692,35747		+		45924,25		+
102		21951,65287		+		44714,51		-
103		21763,94474		-		42928,65		-
104		21509,88979		-		42756,7		-
105		21486,96365		-		42828,64		+
106		21496,52158		+		43542,17		+
107		21593,93224		+		42333,2		-
108		21431,69363		-		40959,96		-
109		21264,52217		-		40059,32		-
110		21165,25831		-		40613,38		+
111		21225,32945		+		40220,55		-
112		21182,40794		-		39180,23		-
113		21076,6092		-		40047,06		+
114		21163,96539		+		40115,67		+
115		21171,22104		+		40702,82		+
116		21235,32555		+		40465,11		-
117		21208,94059		-		40170,35		-
118		21177,03904		-		39875,77		-
119		21146,06807		-		39515,79		-
120		21109,47139		-		40789,03		+
121		21245,03858		+		41914,3		+
122		21378,72319		+		42429,06		+
123		21444,05409		+		43336,22		+
124		21565,33371		+		43169,58		-
125		21542,47875		-		43325,09		+
126		21563,79924		+		44489,37		+
127		21730,36171		+		43633,67		-
128		21606,76207		-		43683,33		+
129		21613,75692		+		43862,73		+
130		21639,21117		+		44641,85		+
131		21753,05886		+		45002,63		+
132		21807,55173		+		45282,32		+
133		21850,54871		+		45698,49		+
134		21915,7167		+		45104,65		-
135		21823,15992		-		46335,45		+
136		22018,13876		+		47443,65		+
137		22203,69919		+		47163,5		-
138		22155,93692		-		46930,71		-
139		22116,68168		-		48132,11		+
140		22323,41827		+		48930,72		+
141		22466,27452		+		49088,14		+
142		22494,91596		+		49397,32		+
143		22551,61315		+		50121,05		+
144		22686,55123		+		49699,67		-
145		22607,61487		-		48989,65		-
146		22476,97842		-		49210,68		+
147		22517,31728		+		47715,08		-
148		22250,50714		-		48708,09		+
149		22426,03508		+		48006,84		-
150		22301,39195		-		48194,4		+
151		22334,41025		+		47890,75		-
152		22281,07492		-		47955,51		+
153		22292,39725		+		48200,39		+
154		22335,46846		+		47943,58		-
155		22290,30934		-		48625,74		+
156		22411,23084		+		48825,83		+
157		22447,27685		+		49525,55		+
158		22575,29777		+		49776,82		+
159		22621,99081		+		49567,61		-
160		22583,08794		-		49800,83		+
161		22626,47176		+		50621,01		+
162		22781,49618		+		50467,53		-
163		22752,20461		-		50551,02		+
164		22768,12281		+		51837,65		+
165		23017,9526		+		52835,66		+
166		23217,06539		+		53247,94		+
167		23300,52569		+		53520,24		+
168		23356,00556		+		56253,95		+
169		23925,98853		+		56985,69		+
170		24081,66527		+		55060,42		-
171		23674,54628		-		56432,58		+
172		23963,89776		+		57532,02		+
173		24198,4888		+		56592,36		-
174		23997,86023		-		57277,66		+
175		24144,04236		+		58983,91		+
176		24510,68522		+		58940,68		-
177		24501,3639		-		58296,28		-
178		24362,57405		-		57598,15		-
179		24212,65904		-		56988,75		-
180		24082,31829		-		57896,31		+
181		24276,61721		+		57227,66		-
182		24133,35063		-		56376,62		-
183		23952,01504		-		57266,53		+
184		24141,66192		+		56940,58		-
185		24072,04044		-		55865,39		-
186		23843,75963		-		56114,11		+
187		23896,35686		+		57175,59		+
188		24122,22074		+		56096,5		-
189		23892,62858		-		55475		-
190		23761,49175		-		55952,65		+
191		23862,19693		+		58107,95		+
192		24322,07932		+		59333,17		+
193		24586,02861		+		59917,84		+
194		24712,2516		+		59812,92		-
195		24689,59549		-		59080,2		-
196		24531,45101		-		59292,68		+
197		24577,29099		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24577.290985219315
New Prediction 1	20926.974768101274
New Prediction 2	21281.003932689644
New Prediction 3	21240.465281990204
New Prediction 4	21245.042228086397
New Prediction 5	21244.5246245854
New Prediction 6	21244.583131429823
New Prediction 7	21244.576511549116
New Prediction 8	21244.57729035678
New Prediction 9	21244.577193005793
New Prediction 10	21244.577193005793
New Prediction 11	21244.577193005793
New Prediction 12	21244.577193005793
New Prediction 13	21244.577193005793
New Prediction 14	21244.577193005793
New Prediction 15	21244.577193005793
New Prediction 16	21244.577193005793
New Prediction 17	21244.577193005793
New Prediction 18	21244.577193005793
New Prediction 19	21244.577193005793
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02832		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01742		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03606		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,0046		+			1,47909		+
5		0,0267		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02898		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,0709		-			-0,71842		+
8		0,00109		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00039		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,0013		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00104		-		2,19907		+
12		0,02435		+			1,15482		-
13		0,0247		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00177		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07327		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04287		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08275		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01023		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04185		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04334		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02504		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01993		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04593		+			1,0963		-
24		0,0475		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07879		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01224		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04312		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00423		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01172		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06001		+			0,09		-
31		0,00634		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10641		-		0,80686		+
33		0,0497		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08594		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03807		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19728		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02424		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11032		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12084		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01577		-		0,516		+
41		0,04789		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03499		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05809		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12406		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17522		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02248		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00202		+		1,13416		+
48		0,1295		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01278		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12578		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09828		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02316		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27138		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20461		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08041		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13716		+			0,47324		-
57		0,0701		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,1286		-			0,55878		+
59		0,08096		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20271		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10336		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12021		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00643		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24834		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39427		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02008		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05047		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,115		-			0,32172		+
70		0,03068		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17258		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21334		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12886		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09662		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25055		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11955		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00992		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55097		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75098		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17638		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13504		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,0415		-			-1,53348		-
83		-0,33074		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04509		+			2,44644		+
85		0,5437		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39907		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11345		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07251		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50217		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00805		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13309		-		1,5163		+
92		0,41018		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12535		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36842		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,23014		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24721		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12583		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39998		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50813		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03308		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83802		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18824		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85877		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,17419		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10664		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04447		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45212		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75415		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78308		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,4679		+			1,37362		+
111		0,28342		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20242		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50072		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41361		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03428		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30233		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12433		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15053		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14635		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17322		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64016		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62728		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30512		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56397		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10604		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09892		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76945		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,57041		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03237		+			0,40984		+
130		0,1177		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52474		+			0,80492		-
132		0,25019		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19697		-			0,91486		+
134		0,2978		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42322		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88948		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83923		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21534		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17733		+		2,52773		+
140		0,93041		+			1,64559		-
141		0,6379		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12741		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25173		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59657		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34855		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57952		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17931		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,19199		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78578		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55735		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14795		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23909		-		0,13513		+
153		0,0508		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19302		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20239		-		1,41281		+
156		0,54102		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16071		-			1,42292		+
158		0,5687		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20662		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17212		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19192		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68281		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12866		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06994		+			2,51336		+
165		1,0913		+			1,90696		-
166		0,86131		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35883		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23782		-			4,98164		+
169		2,41111		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64855		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70503		-		2,46155		+
172		1,2148		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97417		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83255		-		1,20367		+
175		0,6073		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50715		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03804		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56807		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61725		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53977		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80357		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59189		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75423		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78866		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,2888		-			-1,90632		-
186		-0,95285		-		0,44422		+
187		0,22035		+			1,87398		+
188		0,94074		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95635		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,55037		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42292		+			3,77967		+
192		1,90891		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07938		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51208		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09172		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64259		-		0,359		+
197		0,18669		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,07839		+		-16,07839		+
2		1,67759		+			1,67759		+
3		-0,19067		-		-0,19067		-
4		0,02155		+			0,02155		+
5		-0,00244		-		-0,00244		-
6		0,00028		+			0,00028		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29777756530315264

 31.run Duration 	15 seconds 944 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1ffc686 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 6.729095642509783E-4
train epoch 1: 3.6142204836907434E-4
train epoch 2: 3.613417844886768E-4
train epoch 3: 3.612665644658386E-4
train epoch 4: 3.612078072580819E-4
train epoch 5: 3.611631041741035E-4
train epoch 6: 3.611184192603943E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6107375242903835E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6102910359227496E-4
train epoch 9: 3.609844726625097E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6093985955231676E-4
train epoch 11: 3.608952641744223E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6085068644172254E-4
train epoch 13: 3.608061262672683E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6076158356427315E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6071705824611207E-4
train epoch 16: 3.606725502263252E-4
train epoch 17: 3.606280594186043E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6058358573680003E-4
train epoch 19: 3.605391290949244E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6049468940715E-4
train epoch 21: 3.604502665878049E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6040586055137517E-4
train epoch 23: 3.6036147121250187E-4
train epoch 24: 3.603170984859929E-4
train epoch 25: 3.602727422868051E-4
train epoch 26: 3.602284025300518E-4
train epoch 27: 3.601840791309931E-4
train epoch 28: 3.601397720050577E-4
train epoch 29: 3.600954810678241E-4
train epoch 30: 3.600512062350278E-4
train epoch 31: 3.6000694742255367E-4
train epoch 32: 3.599627045464479E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5991847752290347E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5987426626826947E-4
train epoch 35: 3.598300706990415E-4
train epoch 36: 3.597858907318806E-4
train epoch 37: 3.59741726283583E-4
train epoch 38: 3.596975772711032E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5965344361155134E-4
train epoch 40: 3.596093252221884E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5956522202042294E-4
train epoch 42: 3.5952113392381373E-4
train epoch 43: 3.594770608500658E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5943300271703833E-4
train epoch 45: 3.593889594427424E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5934493094532397E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5930091714309753E-4
train epoch 48: 3.592569179544991E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5921293329814035E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5963005675163221
mae:0.7326161819448168
rmse:0.7722050035556116
mape:6.9602308374197595
corr:0.9705464238190435
theil coefficient:27.343015611902427
net profit:44.54844859489929
buy and hold:-6.963785725097866E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22613425682689994
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20680,12575		+		32155,21		+
1		20685,71372		+		32389,47		+
2		20689,19287		+		31833,73		-
3		20682,02023		-		31732,53		-
4		20681,11655		-		32205,37		+
5		20686,40283		+		32563,26		+
6		20692,20259		+		31042,99		-
7		20678,26363		-		30820,77		-
8		20678,57255		+		30789,2		-
9		20678,66502		+		30707,06		-
10		20678,96222		+		31258,97		+
11		20678,5372		-		31953,99		+
12		20683,2554		+		32325,14		+
13		20688,17136		+		32302,07		-
14		20687,81722		-		33048,99		+
15		20702,54786		+		33379,53		+
16		20711,21275		+		32684,23		-
17		20694,51291		-		32577,09		-
18		20692,45777		-		32979,02		+
19		20700,88225		+		32560,89		-
20		20692,15909		-		32814,31		+
21		20697,19427		+		32615,92		-
22		20693,18659		-		33044,36		+
23		20702,43581		+		33408,62		+
24		20712,0382		+		33914,45		+
25		20728,01383		+		33841,77		-
26		20725,52989		-		34090,39		+
27		20734,28812		+		34113,74		+
28		20735,14859		+		34177,52		+
29		20737,53208		+		34486,01		+
30		20749,74424		+		34517,06		+
31		20751,03609		+		33954		-
32		20729,39202		-		34229,07		+
33		20739,49396		+		34656,83		+
34		20756,99292		+		34473,76		-
35		20749,23772		-		35341,2		+
36		20789,49375		+		35436,38		+
37		20794,45055		+		34985,45		-
38		20771,90959		-		35477,06		+
39		20796,6015		+		35415,91		-
40		20793,37554		-		35599,13		+
41		20803,17219		+		35465,95		-
42		20796,01213		-		35235,93		-
43		20784,13533		-		35713,98		+
44		20809,51329		+		36318,81		+
45		20845,43932		+		36244,96		-
46		20840,8255		-		36238,27		-
47		20840,41066		-		36651,61		+
48		20867,01099		+		36690,84		+
49		20869,63767		+		37064,27		+
50		20895,52184		+		37341,66		+
51		20915,77592		+		37405,4		+
52		20920,55305		+		36616,43		-
53		20864,67049		-		37220		+
54		20906,78537		+		37442,67		+
55		20923,36755		+		37806,83		+
56		20951,68952		+		37986,17		+
57		20966,18282		+		37653,78		-
58		20939,60503		-		37864,77		+
59		20956,33271		+		38368,66		+
60		20998,2868		+		38115,81		-
61		20976,88253		-		38117,31		+
62		20977,00741		+		37812,55		-
63		20952,14624		-		37795,9		-
64		20950,81784		-		37120,78		-
65		20899,57723		-		35873,33		-
66		20818,56616		-		35801,57		-
67		20814,45276		-		35980,06		+
68		20824,79487		+		35563,59		-
69		20801,24116		-		35678,19		+
70		20807,52073		+		36278,29		+
71		20842,90002		+		36940,33		+
72		20886,75459		+		37308,42		+
73		20913,30289		+		37571,76		+
74		20933,23695		+		38213,14		+
75		20985,03804		+		38501,45		+
76		21009,81005		+		38524,92		+
77		21011,86684		+		39739,74		+
78		21126,48487		+		41191,35		+
79		21283,84706		+		40866,67		-
80		21246,77203		-		41116,03		+
81		21275,15153		+		41039,94		-
82		21266,42514		-		40415,4		-
83		21197,02442		-		40502,58		+
84		21206,47211		+		41505,67		+
85		21320,74765		+		42194,73		+
86		21405,05253		+		42002,34		-
87		21381,04793		-		42125,61		+
88		21396,38719		+		42951,75		+
89		21502,93962		+		42938,85		-
90		21501,22634		-		42724,09		-
91		21472,93242		-		43376,85		+
92		21560,25831		+		43571,25		+
93		21587,02146		+		42993,27		-
94		21508,46446		-		42621,33		-
95		21459,54725		-		43020,51		+
96		21512,0978		+		42818,62		-
97		21485,3332		-		42158,4		-
98		21400,49219		-		42992,3		+
99		21508,33516		+		42939,38		-
100		21501,29675		-		44230,97		+
101		21680,36966		+		45924,25		+
102		21937,00775		+		44714,51		-
103		21751,20743		-		42928,65		-
104		21499,87275		-		42756,7		-
105		21477,20085		-		42828,64		+
106		21486,6526		+		43542,17		+
107		21582,99623		+		42333,2		-
108		21422,55035		-		40959,96		-
109		21257,31558		-		40059,32		-
110		21159,25427		-		40613,38		+
111		21218,59241		+		40220,55		-
112		21176,1929		-		39180,23		-
113		21071,72062		-		40047,06		+
114		21157,97731		+		40115,67		+
115		21165,14347		+		40702,82		+
116		21228,46813		+		40465,11		-
117		21202,40187		-		40170,35		-
118		21170,8899		-		39875,77		-
119		21140,30186		-		39515,79		-
120		21104,16416		-		40789,03		+
121		21238,0646		+		41914,3		+
122		21370,18285		+		42429,06		+
123		21434,77143		+		43336,22		+
124		21554,70818		+		43169,58		-
125		21532,10298		-		43325,09		+
126		21553,19043		+		44489,37		+
127		21717,97443		+		43633,67		-
128		21595,6875		-		43683,33		+
129		21602,607		+		43862,73		+
130		21627,78814		+		44641,85		+
131		21740,43471		+		45002,63		+
132		21794,36395		+		45282,32		+
133		21836,92115		+		45698,49		+
134		21901,43064		+		45104,65		-
135		21809,81201		-		46335,45		+
136		22002,83673		+		47443,65		+
137		22186,61271		+		47163,5		-
138		22139,30302		-		46930,71		-
139		22100,42321		-		48132,11		+
140		22305,21723		+		48930,72		+
141		22446,7797		+		49088,14		+
142		22475,16639		+		49397,32		+
143		22531,36379		+		50121,05		+
144		22665,13619		+		49699,67		-
145		22586,87769		-		48989,65		-
146		22457,38822		-		49210,68		+
147		22497,36953		+		47715,08		-
148		22232,98154		-		48708,09		+
149		22406,90077		+		48006,84		-
150		22283,39386		-		48194,4		+
151		22316,10827		+		47890,75		-
152		22263,26488		-		47955,51		+
153		22274,48232		+		48200,39		+
154		22317,15678		+		47943,58		-
155		22272,41373		-		48625,74		+
156		22392,22993		+		48825,83		+
157		22427,95186		+		49525,55		+
158		22554,84139		+		49776,82		+
159		22601,12933		+		49567,61		-
160		22562,5637		-		49800,83		+
161		22605,57161		+		50621,01		+
162		22759,28077		+		50467,53		-
163		22730,23439		-		50551,02		+
164		22746,01916		+		51837,65		+
165		22993,81393		+		52835,66		+
166		23191,38368		+		53247,94		+
167		23274,21785		+		53520,24		+
168		23329,28821		+		56253,95		+
169		23895,37518		+		56985,69		+
170		24050,08699		+		55060,42		-
171		23645,5816		-		56432,58		+
172		23933,04549		+		57532,02		+
173		24166,21469		+		56592,36		-
174		23966,79606		-		57277,66		+
175		24112,08951		+		58983,91		+
176		24476,67204		+		58940,68		-
177		24467,40007		-		58296,28		-
178		24329,36391		-		57598,15		-
179		24180,30219		-		56988,75		-
180		24050,73605		-		57896,31		+
181		24243,89137		+		57227,66		-
182		24101,46149		-		56376,62		-
183		23921,23739		-		57266,53		+
184		24109,72324		+		56940,58		-
185		24040,52057		-		55865,39		-
186		23813,67323		-		56114,11		+
187		23865,93203		+		57175,59		+
188		24090,39814		+		56096,5		-
189		23862,22757		-		55475		-
190		23731,94444		-		55952,65		+
191		23831,99134		+		58107,95		+
192		24289,09568		+		59333,17		+
193		24551,62232		+		59917,84		+
194		24677,21023		+		59812,92		-
195		24654,66594		-		59080,2		-
196		24497,32844		-		59292,68		+
197		24542,92975		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24542.92974856879
New Prediction 1	20931.567920174464
New Prediction 2	21280.38740765176
New Prediction 3	21240.704327147705
New Prediction 4	21245.156631339545
New Prediction 5	21244.656313435058
New Prediction 6	21244.7125177877
New Prediction 7	21244.706229738826
New Prediction 8	21244.7069069118
New Prediction 9	21244.70681017277
New Prediction 10	21244.70681017277
New Prediction 11	21244.70681017277
New Prediction 12	21244.70681017277
New Prediction 13	21244.70681017277
New Prediction 14	21244.70681017277
New Prediction 15	21244.70681017277
New Prediction 16	21244.70681017277
New Prediction 17	21244.70681017277
New Prediction 18	21244.70681017277
New Prediction 19	21244.70681017277
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02702		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01682		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03467		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00437		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02556		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02803		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,06739		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00149		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00045		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00144		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00206		-		2,19907		+
12		0,02281		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02377		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00171		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07118		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04185		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08066		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00993		+		1,22623		+
19		0,0407		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04215		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02433		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01937		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04469		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04637		+			1,50272		+
25		0,0771		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01198		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04225		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00415		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01149		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05887		+			0,09		-
31		0,00623		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10436		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04872		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08434		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03737		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19382		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02384		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10846		-		1,3954		+
39		0,1188		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01551		-		0,516		+
41		0,0471		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03442		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05713		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12203		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17249		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02214		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00199		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12756		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01259		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12395		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09688		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02284		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26748		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20164		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07928		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13527		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06915		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12685		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07985		+			1,32199		+
60		0,2		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10199		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11859		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00634		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24488		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,38837		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01976		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04967		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11317		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03018		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16989		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21018		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12703		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09527		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24715		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11798		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00979		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54401		+			3,58766		+
79		0,7421		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17435		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13348		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04103		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32687		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04456		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53742		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39463		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11221		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07172		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49676		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00797		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13168		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40585		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12405		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36457		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22769		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24458		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12449		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39566		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50266		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03273		-		2,96359		+
101		0,8294		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17678		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85058		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16223		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10551		+		0,16811		+
106		0,044		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44739		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74617		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,7743		-			-2,22336		+
110		-0,46237		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28004		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20002		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49457		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40851		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03386		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29875		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12286		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14874		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14459		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17109		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63247		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62016		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30178		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55798		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10493		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09789		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76164		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56466		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03204		+			0,40984		+
130		0,1165		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51949		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24775		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19508		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29498		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,4192		-			2,6922		+
136		0,88114		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83177		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21346		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17577		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92238		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63266		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12638		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24973		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59196		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34588		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57494		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17787		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18216		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77921		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55273		-		0,38993		+
151		0,1467		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23708		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05037		+			0,50934		+
154		0,1914		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20069		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53652		+			0,41065		-
157		0,1594		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56417		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20501		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17078		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19043		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67766		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12771		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06942		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08351		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85556		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35654		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23634		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39754		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64537		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69623		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20839		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96954		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82862		-		1,20367		+
175		0,6044		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50071		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03789		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56576		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61457		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53727		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79991		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58922		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75058		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78486		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28744		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94808		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21921		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93613		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95166		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54748		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42068		+			3,77967		+
192		1,89987		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07504		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51022		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,0914		-			-1,23258		-
196		-0,64021		-		0,359		+
197		0,18598		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,91654		+		-15,91654		+
2		1,65274		+			1,65274		+
3		-0,18665		-		-0,18665		-
4		0,02096		+			0,02096		+
5		-0,00236		-		-0,00236		-
6		0,00026		+			0,00026		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29815028375816105

 32.run Duration 	16 seconds 117 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@142bece ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 9.025992926177056E-4
train epoch 1: 3.6165071370421664E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6155709180820425E-4
train epoch 3: 3.614643863326919E-4
train epoch 4: 3.613764925539724E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6130285701669923E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6124660178522724E-4
train epoch 7: 3.61191159673824E-4
train epoch 8: 3.611357443400699E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6108035566722967E-4
train epoch 10: 3.610249935388335E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6096965783864325E-4
train epoch 12: 3.609143484506876E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6085906525926256E-4
train epoch 14: 3.608038081488944E-4
train epoch 15: 3.607485770043793E-4
train epoch 16: 3.606933717107606E-4
train epoch 17: 3.606381921533358E-4
train epoch 18: 3.605830382176472E-4
train epoch 19: 3.6052790978947837E-4
train epoch 20: 3.604728067548917E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6041772900017216E-4
train epoch 22: 3.603626764118655E-4
train epoch 23: 3.603076488767597E-4
train epoch 24: 3.6025264628189457E-4
train epoch 25: 3.6019766851455104E-4
train epoch 26: 3.6014271546224965E-4
train epoch 27: 3.6008778701278153E-4
train epoch 28: 3.6003288305415664E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5997800347463795E-4
train epoch 30: 3.599231481627368E-4
train epoch 31: 3.598683170071936E-4
train epoch 32: 3.598135098969979E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5975872672138035E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5970396736981984E-4
train epoch 35: 3.596492317320272E-4
train epoch 36: 3.59594519697959E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5953983115779306E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5948516600197035E-4
train epoch 39: 3.594305241211537E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5937590540625626E-4
train epoch 41: 3.593213097484066E-4
train epoch 42: 3.59266737038987E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5921218716961117E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5915766003212556E-4
train epoch 45: 3.59103155518604E-4
train epoch 46: 3.590486735213776E-4
train epoch 47: 3.589942139329844E-4
train epoch 48: 3.58939776646204E-4
train epoch 49: 3.588853615540548E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5969701723909047
mae:0.7329817966707283
rmse:0.7726384486879389
mape:6.961557253856649
corr:0.9702721009713237
theil coefficient:27.37904616257166
net profit:44.18126746756737
buy and hold:-7.021660268758625E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2242703932363826
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20679,25442		+		32155,21		+
1		20684,56612		+		32389,47		+
2		20687,92185		+		31833,73		-
3		20681,03554		-		31732,53		-
4		20680,18159		-		32205,37		+
5		20685,22914		+		32563,26		+
6		20690,83746		+		31042,99		-
7		20677,64746		-		30820,77		-
8		20678,05163		+		30789,2		-
9		20678,15733		+		30707,06		-
10		20678,48861		+		31258,97		+
11		20677,82496		-		31953,99		+
12		20682,21065		+		32325,14		+
13		20686,93463		+		32302,07		-
14		20686,59271		-		33048,99		+
15		20700,90834		+		33379,53		+
16		20709,37704		+		32684,23		-
17		20693,08101		-		32577,09		-
18		20691,08507		-		32979,02		+
19		20699,28328		+		32560,89		-
20		20690,79526		-		32814,31		+
21		20695,68941		+		32615,92		-
22		20691,79252		-		33044,36		+
23		20700,79899		+		33408,62		+
24		20710,18486		+		33914,45		+
25		20725,84463		+		33841,77		-
26		20723,40715		-		34090,39		+
27		20732,00499		+		34113,74		+
28		20732,85018		+		34177,52		+
29		20735,19175		+		34486,01		+
30		20747,19735		+		34517,06		+
31		20748,46806		+		33954		-
32		20727,1974		-		34229,07		+
33		20737,11956		+		34656,83		+
34		20754,32895		+		34473,76		-
35		20746,69916		-		35341,2		+
36		20786,3418		+		35436,38		+
37		20791,22837		+		34985,45		-
38		20769,01504		-		35477,06		+
39		20793,34914		+		35415,91		-
40		20790,16852		-		35599,13		+
41		20799,82862		+		35465,95		-
42		20792,76802		-		35235,93		-
43		20781,06038		-		35713,98		+
44		20806,08308		+		36318,81		+
45		20841,5396		+		36244,96		-
46		20836,98428		-		36238,27		-
47		20836,57472		-		36651,61		+
48		20862,84367		+		36690,84		+
49		20865,43838		+		37064,27		+
50		20891,01387		+		37341,66		+
51		20911,03363		+		37405,4		+
52		20915,75631		+		36616,43		-
53		20860,53176		-		37220		+
54		20902,14637		+		37442,67		+
55		20918,53888		+		37806,83		+
56		20946,5449		+		37986,17		+
57		20960,88004		+		37653,78		-
58		20934,59405		-		37864,77		+
59		20951,13717		+		38368,66		+
60		20992,64121		+		38115,81		-
61		20971,46439		-		38117,31		+
62		20971,58793		+		37812,55		-
63		20946,9966		-		37795,9		-
64		20945,6828		-		37120,78		-
65		20895,02187		-		35873,33		-
66		20815,0144		-		35801,57		-
67		20810,95593		-		35980,06		+
68		20821,16082		+		35563,59		-
69		20797,92425		-		35678,19		+
70		20804,11761		+		36278,29		+
71		20839,03243		+		36940,33		+
72		20882,34995		+		37308,42		+
73		20908,58889		+		37571,76		+
74		20928,29708		+		38213,14		+
75		20979,53273		+		38501,45		+
76		21004,04374		+		38524,92		+
77		21006,0791		+		39739,74		+
78		21119,55284		+		41191,35		+
79		21275,46638		+		40866,67		-
80		21238,72227		-		41116,03		+
81		21266,84794		+		41039,94		-
82		21258,19924		-		40415,4		-
83		21189,42822		-		40502,58		+
84		21198,78889		+		41505,67		+
85		21312,04315		+		42194,73		+
86		21395,62713		+		42002,34		-
87		21371,82525		-		42125,61		+
88		21387,03475		+		42951,75		+
89		21492,70672		+		42938,85		-
90		21491,00732		-		42724,09		-
91		21462,94393		-		43376,85		+
92		21549,56578		+		43571,25		+
93		21576,11743		+		42993,27		-
94		21498,18685		-		42621,33		-
95		21449,66864		-		43020,51		+
96		21501,79084		+		42818,62		-
97		21475,24338		-		42158,4		-
98		21391,10516		-		42992,3		+
99		21498,0586		+		42939,38		-
100		21491,07716		-		44230,97		+
101		21668,74247		+		45924,25		+
102		21923,49686		+		44714,51		-
103		21739,04568		-		42928,65		-
104		21489,66471		-		42756,7		-
105		21467,17742		-		42828,64		+
106		21476,55202		+		43542,17		+
107		21572,12389		+		42333,2		-
108		21412,97839		-		40959,96		-
109		21249,17112		-		40059,32		-
110		21152,01041		-		40613,38		+
111		21210,79817		+		40220,55		-
112		21168,79013		-		39180,23		-
113		21065,32398		-		40047,06		+
114		21150,74549		+		40115,67		+
115		21157,84419		+		40702,82		+
116		21220,58393		+		40465,11		-
117		21194,75609		-		40170,35		-
118		21163,53672		-		39875,77		-
119		21133,23762		-		39515,79		-
120		21097,44808		-		40789,03		+
121		21230,09342		+		41914,3		+
122		21361,05258		+		42429,06		+
123		21425,0977		+		43336,22		+
124		21544,05975		+		43169,58		-
125		21521,63507		-		43325,09		+
126		21542,55408		+		44489,37		+
127		21706,062		+		43633,67		-
128		21584,7154		-		43683,33		+
129		21591,58068		+		43862,73		+
130		21616,56557		+		44641,85		+
131		21728,3535		+		45002,63		+
132		21781,88219		+		45282,32		+
133		21824,12785		+		45698,49		+
134		21888,17245		+		45104,65		-
135		21797,2167		-		46335,45		+
136		21988,8649		+		47443,65		+
137		22171,39754		+		47163,5		-
138		22124,40201		-		46930,71		-
139		22085,78341		-		48132,11		+
140		22289,23168		+		48930,72		+
141		22429,9057		+		49088,14		+
142		22458,11817		+		49397,32		+
143		22513,97445		+		50121,05		+
144		22646,95474		+		49699,67		-
145		22569,15626		-		48989,65		-
146		22440,44896		-		49210,68		+
147		22480,18594		+		47715,08		-
148		22217,46229		-		48708,09		+
149		22390,27372		+		48006,84		-
150		22267,54825		-		48194,4		+
151		22300,0532		+		47890,75		-
152		22247,54906		-		47955,51		+
153		22258,69408		+		48200,39		+
154		22301,09502		+		47943,58		-
155		22256,63883		-		48625,74		+
156		22375,69439		+		48825,83		+
157		22411,19413		+		49525,55		+
158		22537,31102		+		49776,82		+
159		22583,32342		+		49567,61		-
160		22544,98713		-		49800,83		+
161		22587,73944		+		50621,01		+
162		22740,55825		+		50467,53		-
163		22711,67738		-		50551,02		+
164		22727,37205		+		51837,65		+
165		22973,8007		+		52835,66		+
166		23170,34477		+		53247,94		+
167		23252,7653		+		53520,24		+
168		23307,56598		+		56253,95		+
169		23871,12292		+		56985,69		+
170		24025,21939		+		55060,42		-
171		23622,39165		-		56432,58		+
172		23908,6404		+		57532,02		+
173		24140,90662		+		56592,36		-
174		23942,25569		-		57277,66		+
175		24086,98446		+		58983,91		+
176		24450,27692		+		58940,68		-
177		24441,0355		-		58296,28		-
178		24303,46812		-		57598,15		-
179		24154,94194		-		56988,75		-
180		24025,86594		-		57896,31		+
181		24218,29895		+		57227,66		-
182		24076,39677		-		56376,62		-
183		23896,88		-		57266,53		+
184		24084,62715		+		56940,58		-
185		24015,69007		-		55865,39		-
186		23789,75907		-		56114,11		+
187		23841,80056		+		57175,59		+
188		24065,37556		+		56096,5		-
189		23838,11139		-		55475		-
190		23708,37759		-		55952,65		+
191		23808,00058		+		58107,95		+
192		24263,34157		+		59333,17		+
193		24524,9846		+		59917,84		+
194		24650,18344		+		59812,92		-
195		24627,70738		-		59080,2		-
196		24470,86569		-		59292,68		+
197		24516,31977		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24516.31976878883
New Prediction 1	20934.239840241687
New Prediction 2	21280.04630011727
New Prediction 3	21240.810759087068
New Prediction 4	21245.201832046456
New Prediction 5	21244.709628254648
New Prediction 6	21244.764822583864
New Prediction 7	21244.75864687274
New Prediction 8	21244.75932233967
New Prediction 9	21244.759225844373
New Prediction 10	21244.759225844373
New Prediction 11	21244.759225844373
New Prediction 12	21244.759225844373
New Prediction 13	21244.759225844373
New Prediction 14	21244.759225844373
New Prediction 15	21244.759225844373
New Prediction 16	21244.759225844373
New Prediction 17	21244.759225844373
New Prediction 18	21244.759225844373
New Prediction 19	21244.759225844373
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02568		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01622		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03329		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00413		+		1,47909		+
5		0,0244		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02711		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,06377		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00195		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00051		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,0016		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00321		-		2,19907		+
12		0,02121		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02284		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00165		-		2,28597		+
15		0,06918		+			0,99518		-
16		0,0409		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,07872		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00965		+		1,22623		+
19		0,03961		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04101		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02365		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01883		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04352		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04533		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07559		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01176		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04148		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00408		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01129		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05788		+			0,09		-
31		0,00612		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10257		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04786		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08295		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03677		-		2,4851		+
36		0,1909		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02351		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,1069		-			1,3954		+
39		0,1171		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,0153		-			0,516		+
41		0,04645		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03395		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05632		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12034		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17027		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02186		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00197		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12599		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01244		-			1,01263		+
50		0,1225		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09578		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02258		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26438		-		1,63492		+
54		0,19929		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07839		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13379		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06841		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12548		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07899		+			1,32199		+
60		0,1979		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10093		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00059		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11733		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00627		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24216		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,38364		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,0195		+			0,49731		+
68		0,04902		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11166		-		0,32172		+
70		0,02977		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16769		+			1,80844		+
72		0,20765		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12557		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09421		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24452		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11676		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00969		-			3,10464		+
78		0,53874		+			3,58766		+
79		0,73553		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17286		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13234		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04068		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32403		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04417		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53283		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39142		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11131		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07114		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49288		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00791		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13067		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40278		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12314		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36184		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22594		+		0,93221		+
96		0,2427		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12354		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39256		-		1,95871		+
99		0,49874		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03248		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82329		+			3,75681		+
102		1,16882		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,8449		-			-4,07586		-
104		-1,15379		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,1047		+			0,16811		+
106		0,04366		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44402		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74047		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,76793		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,45829		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27754		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19825		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,48997		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40469		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03356		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29609		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12179		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14741		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14327		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,1695		-			3,17128		+
121		0,62676		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61496		-			1,22064		-
123		0,29937		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55371		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10414		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09715		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75613		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56061		-		0,11375		+
129		0,0318		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11565		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51581		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24605		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19376		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29303		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41641		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87539		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82669		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21219		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,1747		+			2,52773		+
140		0,91696		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62915		-			0,3212		-
142		0,1257		-			0,62787		+
143		0,2484		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58892		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34412		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57191		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17692		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17557		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77481		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54963		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14587		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23572		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05008		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19031		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19954		-		1,41281		+
156		0,5335		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15853		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56116		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20395		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,1699		-			0,46941		+
161		0,18945		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67428		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12708		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06908		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07845		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85188		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35508		-			0,51008		-
168		0,2354		-			4,98164		+
169		2,38915		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64346		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,6909		-			2,46155		+
172		1,20449		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96679		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82629		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60267		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49699		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,0378		-			-1,09932		-
178		-0,56444		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61301		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,5358		+			1,57998		+
181		0,79775		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58765		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74841		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78259		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28664		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94522		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21852		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93337		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94885		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54571		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41932		+			3,77967		+
192		1,8945		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07257		-			0,98058		-
194		0,5092		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09122		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63889		-		0,359		+
197		0,18558		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,79529		+		-15,79529		+
2		1,63838		+			1,63838		+
3		-0,18455		-		-0,18455		-
4		0,02067		+			0,02067		+
5		-0,00232		-		-0,00232		-
6		0,00026		+			0,00026		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29848508619545233

 33.run Duration 	16 seconds 867 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@fcfa52 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 4.97002731706983E-4
train epoch 1: 3.6110141772504234E-4
train epoch 2: 3.610224371382889E-4
train epoch 3: 3.609434993303057E-4
train epoch 4: 3.608646166428086E-4
train epoch 5: 3.607857921971118E-4
train epoch 6: 3.607070269083191E-4
train epoch 7: 3.606283148220844E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6054965549075455E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6047104874151485E-4
train epoch 10: 3.603924944020136E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6031399230038543E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6023554226526696E-4
train epoch 13: 3.601571441257433E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6007879771141044E-4
train epoch 15: 3.600005028523158E-4
train epoch 16: 3.599222593789872E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5984406712243663E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5976592591414045E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5968783558605556E-4
train epoch 20: 3.596097959706052E-4
train epoch 21: 3.595318069006759E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5945386820962564E-4
train epoch 23: 3.593759797312816E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5929814129992383E-4
train epoch 25: 3.592203527503012E-4
train epoch 26: 3.59142613917625E-4
train epoch 27: 3.59064924637459E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5898728474605015E-4
train epoch 29: 3.589096940799824E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5883215247630823E-4
train epoch 31: 3.587546597725329E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5867721580660225E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5859982041692355E-4
train epoch 34: 3.585224734423596E-4
train epoch 35: 3.584451747222225E-4
train epoch 36: 3.583679240962681E-4
train epoch 37: 3.582907214047011E-4
train epoch 38: 3.58213566488166E-4
train epoch 39: 3.581364591877719E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5805939934504155E-4
train epoch 41: 3.579823868019612E-4
train epoch 42: 3.579054214009582E-4
train epoch 43: 3.57828502984889E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5775163139704783E-4
train epoch 45: 3.576748064811821E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5759802808145723E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5752129604248303E-4
train epoch 48: 3.574446102092912E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5736797042735716E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5950755156513561
mae:0.7316952173939951
rmse:0.7714113790004371
mape:6.943389390045163
corr:0.9711693689308842
theil coefficient:27.349197703692877
net profit:44.35480081585027
buy and hold:-6.994188784397743E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22515127317690492
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20707,70487		+		32155,21		+
1		20714,16995		+		32389,47		+
2		20717,99948		+		31833,73		-
3		20709,97606		-		31732,53		-
4		20708,91021		-		32205,37		+
5		20714,9351		+		32563,26		+
6		20721,26133		+		31042,99		-
7		20704,89339		-		30820,77		-
8		20704,80555		-		30789,2		-
9		20704,8408		+		30707,06		-
10		20704,98815		+		31258,97		+
11		20705,54251		+		31953,99		+
12		20711,40107		+		32325,14		+
13		20716,88295		+		32302,07		-
14		20716,49451		-		33048,99		+
15		20732,27583		+		33379,53		+
16		20741,36612		+		32684,23		-
17		20723,74321		-		32577,09		-
18		20721,53629		-		32979,02		+
19		20730,51705		+		32560,89		-
20		20721,21443		-		32814,31		+
21		20726,60545		+		32615,92		-
22		20722,32041		-		33044,36		+
23		20732,15766		+		33408,62		+
24		20742,22784		+		33914,45		+
25		20758,80378		+		33841,77		-
26		20756,23713		-		34090,39		+
27		20765,2734		+		34113,74		+
28		20766,15926		+		34177,52		+
29		20768,61149		+		34486,01		+
30		20781,1432		+		34517,06		+
31		20782,46601		+		33954		-
32		20760,2265		-		34229,07		+
33		20770,62827		+		34656,83		+
34		20788,55955		+		34473,76		-
35		20780,6244		-		35341,2		+
36		20821,6659		+		35436,38		+
37		20826,69851		+		34985,45		-
38		20803,78022		-		35477,06		+
39		20828,88123		+		35415,91		-
40		20825,60737		-		35599,13		+
41		20835,545		+		35465,95		-
42		20828,28322		-		35235,93		-
43		20816,22125		-		35713,98		+
44		20841,9706		+		36318,81		+
45		20878,29232		+		36244,96		-
46		20873,63462		-		36238,27		-
47		20873,21575		-		36651,61		+
48		20900,04642		+		36690,84		+
49		20902,69296		+		37064,27		+
50		20928,7488		+		37341,66		+
51		20949,11011		+		37405,4		+
52		20953,90944		+		36616,43		-
53		20897,68782		-		37220		+
54		20940,07465		+		37442,67		+
55		20956,7365		+		37806,83		+
56		20985,16489		+		37986,17		+
57		20999,69974		+		37653,78		-
58		20973,03927		-		37864,77		+
59		20989,82228		+		38368,66		+
60		21031,86853		+		38115,81		-
61		21010,42504		-		38117,31		+
62		21010,55019		+		37812,55		-
63		20985,62304		-		37795,9		-
64		20984,29044		-		37120,78		-
65		20932,82743		-		35873,33		-
66		20851,13576		-		35801,57		-
67		20846,97251		-		35980,06		+
68		20857,43646		+		35563,59		-
69		20833,58723		-		35678,19		+
70		20839,95204		+		36278,29		+
71		20875,7291		+		36940,33		+
72		20919,92805		+		37308,42		+
73		20946,62514		+		37571,76		+
74		20966,64701		+		38213,14		+
75		21018,59732		+		38501,45		+
76		21043,40673		+		38524,92		+
77		21045,46576		+		39739,74		+
78		21160,03593		+		41191,35		+
79		21316,92946		+		40866,67		-
80		21279,99723		-		41116,03		+
81		21308,26897		+		41039,94		-
82		21299,57682		-		40415,4		-
83		21230,41203		-		40502,58		+
84		21239,83164		+		41505,67		+
85		21353,67141		+		42194,73		+
86		21437,55946		+		42002,34		-
87		21413,68067		-		42125,61		+
88		21428,94016		+		42951,75		+
89		21534,88214		+		42938,85		-
90		21533,17939		-		42724,09		-
91		21505,05618		-		43376,85		+
92		21591,83646		+		43571,25		+
93		21618,42188		+		42993,27		-
94		21540,37287		-		42621,33		-
95		21491,7496		-		43020,51		+
96		21543,98367		+		42818,62		-
97		21517,38289		-		42158,4		-
98		21433,02344		-		42992,3		+
99		21540,24438		+		42939,38		-
100		21533,24937		-		44230,97		+
101		21711,11627		+		45924,25		+
102		21965,73647		+		44714,51		-
103		21781,42643		-		42928,65		-
104		21531,83411		-		42756,7		-
105		21509,29925		-		42828,64		+
106		21518,69434		+		43542,17		+
107		21614,42368		+		42333,2		-
108		21454,96227		-		40959,96		-
109		21290,50196		-		40059,32		-
110		21192,74003		-		40613,38		+
111		21251,91397		+		40220,55		-
112		21209,63752		-		39180,23		-
113		21105,33343		-		40047,06		+
114		21191,46598		+		40115,67		+
115		21198,61548		+		40702,82		+
116		21261,75718		+		40465,11		-
117		21235,77366		-		40170,35		-
118		21204,34792		-		39875,77		-
119		21173,82778		-		39515,79		-
120		21137,74801		-		40789,03		+
121		21271,32075		+		41914,3		+
122		21402,87074		+		42429,06		+
123		21467,1154		+		43336,22		+
124		21586,3226		+		43169,58		-
125		21563,86298		-		43325,09		+
126		21584,81473		+		44489,37		+
127		21748,44409		+		43633,67		-
128		21627,0294		-		43683,33		+
129		21633,90183		+		43862,73		+
130		21658,90925		+		44641,85		+
131		21770,73555		+		45002,63		+
132		21824,24969		+		45282,32		+
133		21866,47022		+		45698,49		+
134		21930,4553		+		45104,65		-
135		21839,57643		-		46335,45		+
136		22031,00624		+		47443,65		+
137		22213,15167		+		47163,5		-
138		22166,27057		-		46930,71		-
139		22127,73862		-		48132,11		+
140		22330,6584		+		48930,72		+
141		22470,8729		+		49088,14		+
142		22498,985		+		49397,32		+
143		22554,63499		+		50121,05		+
144		22687,08618		+		49699,67		-
145		22609,60353		-		48989,65		-
146		22481,37895		-		49210,68		+
147		22520,97244		+		47715,08		-
148		22259,0951		-		48708,09		+
149		22431,37742		+		48006,84		-
150		22309,03936		-		48194,4		+
151		22341,44711		+		47890,75		-
152		22289,09794		-		47955,51		+
153		22300,21096		+		48200,39		+
154		22342,48575		+		47943,58		-
155		22298,16165		-		48625,74		+
156		22416,84695		+		48825,83		+
157		22452,22644		+		49525,55		+
158		22577,8825		+		49776,82		+
159		22623,71448		+		49567,61		-
160		22585,52894		-		49800,83		+
161		22628,11285		+		50621,01		+
162		22780,28765		+		50467,53		-
163		22751,5333		-		50551,02		+
164		22767,15948		+		51837,65		+
165		23012,43421		+		52835,66		+
166		23207,96377		+		53247,94		+
167		23289,93711		+		53520,24		+
168		23344,43391		+		56253,95		+
169		23904,60834		+		56985,69		+
170		24057,71205		+		55060,42		-
171		23657,42281		-		56432,58		+
172		23941,88642		+		57532,02		+
173		24172,63847		+		56592,36		-
174		23975,28592		-		57277,66		+
175		24119,07249		+		58983,91		+
176		24479,91792		+		58940,68		-
177		24470,74002		-		58296,28		-
178		24334,11078		-		57598,15		-
179		24186,58065		-		56988,75		-
180		24058,35438		-		57896,31		+
181		24249,51504		+		57227,66		-
182		24108,55442		-		56376,62		-
183		23930,20122		-		57266,53		+
184		24116,73069		+		56940,58		-
185		24048,24484		-		55865,39		-
186		23823,75828		-		56114,11		+
187		23875,47201		+		57175,59		+
188		24097,60558		+		56096,5		-
189		23871,80617		-		55475		-
190		23742,88294		-		55952,65		+
191		23841,88526		+		58107,95		+
192		24294,25513		+		59333,17		+
193		24554,10999		+		59917,84		+
194		24678,4367		+		59812,92		-
195		24656,11791		-		59080,2		-
196		24500,36497		-		59292,68		+
197		24545,50515		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24545.505151037632
New Prediction 1	20942.445744933917
New Prediction 2	21278.75041448864
New Prediction 3	21241.63635607827
New Prediction 4	21245.676477730114
New Prediction 5	21245.235961446684
New Prediction 6	21245.284013184406
New Prediction 7	21245.27875743018
New Prediction 8	21245.27932054559
New Prediction 9	21245.279226693005
New Prediction 10	21245.27932054559
New Prediction 11	21245.279226693005
New Prediction 12	21245.27932054559
New Prediction 13	21245.279226693005
New Prediction 14	21245.27932054559
New Prediction 15	21245.279226693005
New Prediction 16	21245.27932054559
New Prediction 17	21245.279226693005
New Prediction 18	21245.27932054559
New Prediction 19	21245.279226693005
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03122		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01849		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03873		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00515		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02909		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03053		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07902		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00042		+		-0,10248		+
9		0,00017		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00071		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00268		+			2,19907		+
12		0,02829		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02646		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00188		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07615		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04384		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,085		-			-0,32834		+
18		-0,01065		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04333		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04488		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02601		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02068		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04746		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04856		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07988		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01236		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04353		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00427		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01181		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06032		+			0,09		-
31		0,00637		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10707		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05009		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08629		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03818		-		2,4851		+
36		0,1973		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02417		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,1101		-			1,3954		+
39		0,12058		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01572		-		0,516		+
41		0,04771		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03486		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05793		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12362		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17412		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02231		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00201		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12846		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01266		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12458		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09724		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02291		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26867		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20262		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07954		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13556		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06924		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12704		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07999		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20012		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10201		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11871		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00635		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24555		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39102		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01997		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05018		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11441		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03055		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17153		+			1,80844		+
72		0,2115		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12753		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09554		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24747		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11797		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00978		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54292		+			3,58766		+
79		0,73873		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,1734		-			0,60833		+
81		0,13277		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,0408		-			-1,53348		-
83		-0,32525		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04436		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53454		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39208		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11145		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07124		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49317		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00791		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13069		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40272		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12305		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36168		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22599		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24275		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12355		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39282		-		1,95871		+
99		0,49901		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03248		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82262		+			3,75681		+
102		1,16594		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84262		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15251		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10471		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04367		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44388		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74049		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,76949		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46024		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27883		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19913		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49299		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40728		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03373		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29741		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12228		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14809		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14404		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17054		-		3,17128		+
121		0,62993		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61653		-			1,22064		-
123		0,29972		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55377		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,1041		-			0,35958		+
126		0,09711		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75522		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,55983		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03177		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11553		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51498		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24551		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19327		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29219		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41526		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87271		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82337		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21127		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17398		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91286		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62594		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12503		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24704		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58553		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34211		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,56874		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17596		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,16963		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77101		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54688		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14516		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23459		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04985		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18939		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19858		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53085		+			0,41065		-
157		0,1577		-			1,42292		+
158		0,5581		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20279		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16893		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18837		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67025		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,1263		-			0,1653		+
164		0,06866		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07156		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84608		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35259		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23372		-			4,98164		+
169		2,37127		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63844		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,67787		-		2,46155		+
172		1,19526		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95919		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,81978		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59794		+			2,9354		+
176		1,48502		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,0375		-			-1,09932		-
178		-0,5599		-			-1,20478		-
179		-0,60811		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53156		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79143		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58299		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74254		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77645		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28438		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,93787		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21683		+			1,87398		+
188		0,92608		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94144		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54153		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41611		+			3,77967		+
192		1,8796		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06393		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50506		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09048		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,6337		-			0,359		+
197		0,18407		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,87508		+		-15,87508		+
2		1,59309		+			1,59309		+
3		-0,17457		-		-0,17457		-
4		0,01902		+			0,01902		+
5		-0,00207		-		-0,00207		-
6		0,00023		+			0,00023		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		-0		-			-0		-
12		0		+			0		+
13		-0		-			-0		-
14		0		+			0		+
15		-0		-			-0		-
16		0		+			0		+
17		-0		-			-0		-
18		0		+			0		+
19		-0		-			-0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29753775782567804

 34.run Duration 	16 seconds 383 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@961dff ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 9.543753104979064E-4
train epoch 1: 3.6205011160806436E-4
train epoch 2: 3.619330791915073E-4
train epoch 3: 3.618161063456888E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6170007227902446E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6159387768378124E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6151735903921096E-4
train epoch 7: 3.614674474902879E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6141755945121116E-4
train epoch 9: 3.613676948296436E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6131785353342796E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6126803547059975E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6121824054936673E-4
train epoch 13: 3.611684686781515E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6111871976552795E-4
train epoch 15: 3.610689937202705E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6101929045133314E-4
train epoch 17: 3.609696098678455E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6091995187913873E-4
train epoch 19: 3.6087031639469886E-4
train epoch 20: 3.608207033242375E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6077111257759066E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6072154406481283E-4
train epoch 23: 3.606719976961245E-4
train epoch 24: 3.606224733819333E-4
train epoch 25: 3.6057297103281717E-4
train epoch 26: 3.605234905595455E-4
train epoch 27: 3.6047403187304766E-4
train epoch 28: 3.604245948844521E-4
train epoch 29: 3.6037517950504697E-4
train epoch 30: 3.603257856463043E-4
train epoch 31: 3.602764132198664E-4
train epoch 32: 3.602270621375564E-4
train epoch 33: 3.6017773231138134E-4
train epoch 34: 3.6012842365350765E-4
train epoch 35: 3.600791360762888E-4
train epoch 36: 3.6002986949223395E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5998062381404624E-4
train epoch 38: 3.599313989545889E-4
train epoch 39: 3.598821948269152E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5983301134422606E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5978384841991827E-4
train epoch 42: 3.597347059675364E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5968558390081295E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5963648213363985E-4
train epoch 45: 3.59587400580099E-4
train epoch 46: 3.595383391544128E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5948929777098484E-4
train epoch 48: 3.594402763443976E-4
train epoch 49: 3.59391274789399E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5969508519873454
mae:0.7330351093326206
rmse:0.7726259457119891
mape:6.965177574123128
corr:0.9702488909863064
theil coefficient:27.359642064648618
net profit:44.411667961666275
buy and hold:-6.985233039844075E-4
mean profit per trade:0.225439938891707
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20672,68547		+		32155,21		+
1		20677,90988		+		32389,47		+
2		20681,23718		+		31833,73		-
3		20674,42648		-		31732,53		-
4		20673,58934		-		32205,37		+
5		20678,56638		+		32563,26		+
6		20684,13494		+		31042,99		-
7		20671,19464		-		30820,77		-
8		20671,65296		+		30789,2		-
9		20671,76671		+		30707,06		-
10		20672,11938		+		31258,97		+
11		20671,3238		-		31953,99		+
12		20675,58283		+		32325,14		+
13		20680,25726		+		32302,07		-
14		20679,91805		-		33048,99		+
15		20694,17059		+		33379,53		+
16		20702,62764		+		32684,23		-
17		20686,36769		-		32577,09		-
18		20684,38124		-		32979,02		+
19		20692,54928		+		32560,89		-
20		20684,09297		-		32814,31		+
21		20688,96599		+		32615,92		-
22		20685,08514		-		33044,36		+
23		20694,06147		+		33408,62		+
24		20703,43491		+		33914,45		+
25		20719,09748		+		33841,77		-
26		20716,65817		-		34090,39		+
27		20725,26426		+		34113,74		+
28		20726,11051		+		34177,52		+
29		20728,45524		+		34486,01		+
30		20740,48129		+		34517,06		+
31		20741,75453		+		33954		-
32		20720,45144		-		34229,07		+
33		20730,38586		+		34656,83		+
34		20747,6279		+		34473,76		-
35		20739,98212		-		35341,2		+
36		20779,72714		+		35436,38		+
37		20784,62904		+		34985,45		-
38		20762,35025		-		35477,06		+
39		20786,7566		+		35415,91		-
40		20783,56582		-		35599,13		+
41		20793,25735		+		35465,95		-
42		20786,17361		-		35235,93		-
43		20774,42971		-		35713,98		+
44		20799,53301		+		36318,81		+
45		20835,12029		+		36244,96		-
46		20830,5473		-		36238,27		-
47		20830,13616		-		36651,61		+
48		20856,50988		+		36690,84		+
49		20859,1153		+		37064,27		+
50		20884,79932		+		37341,66		+
51		20904,90734		+		37405,4		+
52		20909,65122		+		36616,43		-
53		20854,18848		-		37220		+
54		20895,98057		+		37442,67		+
55		20912,44635		+		37806,83		+
56		20940,58112		+		37986,17		+
57		20954,9837		+		37653,78		-
58		20928,57482		-		37864,77		+
59		20945,19489		+		38368,66		+
60		20986,89746		+		38115,81		-
61		20965,61843		-		38117,31		+
62		20965,74256		+		37812,55		-
63		20941,03493		-		37795,9		-
64		20939,715		-		37120,78		-
65		20888,82477		-		35873,33		-
66		20808,49567		-		35801,57		-
67		20804,42281		-		35980,06		+
68		20814,66434		+		35563,59		-
69		20791,34664		-		35678,19		+
70		20797,56081		+		36278,29		+
71		20832,60337		+		36940,33		+
72		20876,09805		+		37308,42		+
73		20902,45169		+		37571,76		+
74		20922,24893		+		38213,14		+
75		20973,7255		+		38501,45		+
76		20998,35574		+		38524,92		+
77		21000,40111		+		39739,74		+
78		21114,45158		+		41191,35		+
79		21271,19928		+		40866,67		-
80		21234,25551		-		41116,03		+
81		21262,53387		+		41039,94		-
82		21253,83812		-		40415,4		-
83		21184,6963		-		40502,58		+
84		21194,10706		+		41505,67		+
85		21307,97625		+		42194,73		+
86		21392,02214		+		42002,34		-
87		21368,08817		-		42125,61		+
88		21383,38203		+		42951,75		+
89		21489,64398		+		42938,85		-
90		21487,93505		-		42724,09		-
91		21459,71441		-		43376,85		+
92		21546,82268		+		43571,25		+
93		21573,52397		+		42993,27		-
94		21495,15486		-		42621,33		-
95		21446,36488		-		43020,51		+
96		21498,77908		+		42818,62		-
97		21472,08273		-		42158,4		-
98		21387,47504		-		42992,3		+
99		21495,02588		+		42939,38		-
100		21488,00528		-		44230,97		+
101		21666,67243		+		45924,25		+
102		21922,87049		+		44714,51		-
103		21737,37385		-		42928,65		-
104		21486,5849		-		42756,7		-
105		21463,9716		-		42828,64		+
106		21473,3987		+		43542,17		+
107		21569,50791		+		42333,2		-
108		21409,46992		-		40959,96		-
109		21244,76097		-		40059,32		-
110		21147,07963		-		40613,38		+
111		21206,18078		+		40220,55		-
112		21163,94824		-		39180,23		-
113		21059,94285		-		40047,06		+
114		21145,80804		+		40115,67		+
115		21152,94427		+		40702,82		+
116		21216,01922		+		40465,11		-
117		21190,05266		-		40170,35		-
118		21158,66695		-		39875,77		-
119		21128,208		-		39515,79		-
120		21092,23193		-		40789,03		+
121		21225,58001		+		41914,3		+
122		21357,25586		+		42429,06		+
123		21421,65676		+		43336,22		+
124		21541,28564		+		43169,58		-
125		21518,73479		-		43325,09		+
126		21539,77149		+		44489,37		+
127		21704,20328		+		43633,67		-
128		21582,17044		-		43683,33		+
129		21589,07447		+		43862,73		+
130		21614,20046		+		44641,85		+
131		21726,62108		+		45002,63		+
132		21780,45319		+		45282,32		+
133		21822,93836		+		45698,49		+
134		21887,34598		+		45104,65		-
135		21795,87464		-		46335,45		+
136		21988,60847		+		47443,65		+
137		22172,17012		+		47163,5		-
138		22124,91035		-		46930,71		-
139		22086,07422		-		48132,11		+
140		22290,66412		+		48930,72		+
141		22432,12001		+		49088,14		+
142		22460,48842		+		49397,32		+
143		22516,65251		+		50121,05		+
144		22650,36031		+		49699,67		-
145		22572,13714		-		48989,65		-
146		22442,72158		-		49210,68		+
147		22482,67794		+		47715,08		-
148		22218,4933		-		48708,09		+
149		22392,26847		+		48006,84		-
150		22268,85957		-		48194,4		+
151		22301,54602		+		47890,75		-
152		22248,74854		-		47955,51		+
153		22259,95591		+		48200,39		+
154		22302,59365		+		47943,58		-
155		22257,88916		-		48625,74		+
156		22377,60822		+		48825,83		+
157		22413,30485		+		49525,55		+
158		22540,1173		+		49776,82		+
159		22586,38184		+		49567,61		-
160		22547,83554		-		49800,83		+
161		22590,82201		+		50621,01		+
162		22744,47111		+		50467,53		-
163		22715,43417		-		50551,02		+
164		22731,2137		+		51837,65		+
165		22978,95856		+		52835,66		+
166		23176,52856		+		53247,94		+
167		23259,37253		+		53520,24		+
168		23314,45242		+		56253,95		+
169		23880,76412		+		56985,69		+
170		24035,57389		+		55060,42		-
171		23630,84423		-		56432,58		+
172		23918,45694		+		57532,02		+
173		24151,78449		+		56592,36		-
174		23952,22842		-		57277,66		+
175		24097,6197		+		58983,91		+
176		24462,5007		+		58940,68		-
177		24453,22025		-		58296,28		-
178		24315,06317		-		57598,15		-
179		24165,88258		-		56988,75		-
180		24036,2234		-		57896,31		+
181		24229,52096		+		57227,66		-
182		24086,98411		-		56376,62		-
183		23906,64169		-		57266,53		+
184		24095,25174		+		56940,58		-
185		24026,001		-		55865,39		-
186		23799,01642		-		56114,11		+
187		23851,304		+		57175,59		+
188		24075,91293		+		56096,5		-
189		23847,59744		-		55475		-
190		23717,24613		-		55952,65		+
191		23817,34441		+		58107,95		+
192		24274,76161		+		59333,17		+
193		24537,52122		+		59917,84		+
194		24663,2333		+		59812,92		-
195		24640,66613		-		59080,2		-
196		24483,17618		-		59292,68		+
197		24528,82036		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24528.820360481604
New Prediction 1	20930.189991292555
New Prediction 2	21280.66838422729
New Prediction 3	21240.54626015518
New Prediction 4	21245.076390197748
New Prediction 5	21244.564046052008
New Prediction 6	21244.62196884195
New Prediction 7	21244.615446310465
New Prediction 8	21244.616127767396
New Prediction 9	21244.616127767396
New Prediction 10	21244.616127767396
New Prediction 11	21244.616127767396
New Prediction 12	21244.616127767396
New Prediction 13	21244.616127767396
New Prediction 14	21244.616127767396
New Prediction 15	21244.616127767396
New Prediction 16	21244.616127767396
New Prediction 17	21244.616127767396
New Prediction 18	21244.616127767396
New Prediction 19	21244.616127767396
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02527		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01609		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03294		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00405		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02407		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02693		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,06258		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00222		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00055		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00171		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00385		-		2,19907		+
12		0,0206		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02261		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00164		-		2,28597		+
15		0,0689		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04086		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,07857		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,0096		+			1,22623		+
19		0,03948		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04087		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02356		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01876		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04339		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04529		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07562		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01177		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04153		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00408		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01131		+			0,89856		+
30		0,058		+			0,09		-
31		0,00614		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10276		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04793		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08314		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03686		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19145		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02359		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10725		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11748		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01535		-		0,516		+
41		0,04662		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03407		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05651		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12076		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17095		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02195		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00197		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12653		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01249		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12306		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09623		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02269		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,2656		-			1,63492		+
54		0,2002		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07877		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13445		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06875		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12611		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07938		+			1,32199		+
60		0,19891		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10144		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00059		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11792		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,0063		+			-1,80237		-
65		-0,24333		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,3853		-			-0,20024		+
67		-0,01957		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04922		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11209		-		0,32172		+
70		0,02988		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16835		+			1,80844		+
72		0,20856		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12616		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09467		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24574		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11736		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00974		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54162		+			3,58766		+
79		0,73963		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17383		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13308		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04091		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32584		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04441		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53583		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39366		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11195		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07155		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49571		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00795		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13142		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40509		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12385		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36393		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22724		+		0,93221		+
96		0,2441		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12425		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39481		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50161		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03267		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82804		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17552		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84973		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16043		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,1053		+			0,16811		+
106		0,04391		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44657		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74473		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,7723		-			-2,22336		+
110		-0,46085		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27909		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19935		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49264		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40689		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03374		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29774		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12247		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14823		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14406		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17042		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63022		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61845		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30109		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55689		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10474		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09771		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76049		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56384		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03198		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11632		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51878		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24746		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19487		-			0,91486		+
134		0,2947		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41879		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88038		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83134		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21338		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17569		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92207		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63259		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12638		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24975		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59206		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34595		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57499		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17788		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18202		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77908		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55265		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14667		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23702		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05036		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19136		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20065		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53643		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15939		-			1,42292		+
158		0,5642		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20504		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17081		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19046		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67784		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12775		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06944		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08399		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85611		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35681		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23653		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39998		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64617		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69822		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20976		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97079		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82969		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60517		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50283		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03794		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56659		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61542		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53798		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80098		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59001		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75153		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78585		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28782		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94924		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21946		+			1,87398		+
188		0,9373		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95284		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,5481		+			0,85733		+
191		0,42116		+			3,77967		+
192		1,90231		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07662		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51102		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09154		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,6412		-			0,359		+
197		0,18626		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,86562		+		-15,86562		+
2		1,66065		+			1,66065		+
3		-0,18872		-		-0,18872		-
4		0,02133		+			0,02133		+
5		-0,00241		-		-0,00241		-
6		0,00027		+			0,00027		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2984754259936727

 35.run Duration 	16 seconds 351 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@18b81e3 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0011611695035585203
train epoch 1: 3.6163845952483275E-4
train epoch 2: 3.615606084680268E-4
train epoch 3: 3.614835506235733E-4
train epoch 4: 3.614084494937382E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6133837143957403E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6127903998900565E-4
train epoch 7: 3.612303390845818E-4
train epoch 8: 3.611816591111841E-4
train epoch 9: 3.611329999357779E-4
train epoch 10: 3.610843614532826E-4
train epoch 11: 3.610357435588253E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6098714614772555E-4
train epoch 13: 3.609385691155172E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6089001235795585E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6084147577097804E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6079295925074716E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6074446269361023E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6069598599613567E-4
train epoch 19: 3.606475290550813E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6059909176742013E-4
train epoch 21: 3.605506740303198E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6050227574115133E-4
train epoch 23: 3.604538967974841E-4
train epoch 24: 3.6040553709710085E-4
train epoch 25: 3.603571965379693E-4
train epoch 26: 3.6030887501826677E-4
train epoch 27: 3.602605724363589E-4
train epoch 28: 3.602122886908265E-4
train epoch 29: 3.6016402368043685E-4
train epoch 30: 3.6011577730414476E-4
train epoch 31: 3.600675494611226E-4
train epoch 32: 3.600193400507454E-4
train epoch 33: 3.599711489725575E-4
train epoch 34: 3.599229761263169E-4
train epoch 35: 3.598748214119675E-4
train epoch 36: 3.598266847296541E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5977856597971855E-4
train epoch 38: 3.597304650626896E-4
train epoch 39: 3.596823818792986E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5963431633045473E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5958626831726794E-4
train epoch 42: 3.595382377410467E-4
train epoch 43: 3.594902245032799E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5944222850564764E-4
train epoch 45: 3.593942496500276E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5934628783848647E-4
train epoch 47: 3.592983429732786E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5925041495684767E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5920250369182624E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5970540571860642
mae:0.7330625658393518
rmse:0.772692731417906
mape:6.963729118723634
corr:0.970220890777781
theil coefficient:27.373507065746065
net profit:44.25568003080684
buy and hold:-7.009853880551928E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22464812198379108
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20675,5289		+		32155,21		+
1		20680,75452		+		32389,47		+
2		20684,07755		+		31833,73		-
3		20677,27235		-		31732,53		-
4		20676,4345		-		32205,37		+
5		20681,41035		+		32563,26		+
6		20686,97033		+		31042,99		-
7		20674,0208		-		30820,77		-
8		20674,46776		+		30789,2		-
9		20674,57969		+		30707,06		-
10		20674,92738		+		31258,97		+
11		20674,15856		-		31953,99		+
12		20678,42887		+		32325,14		+
13		20683,09909		+		32302,07		-
14		20682,76035		-		33048,99		+
15		20696,98378		+		33379,53		+
16		20705,4188		+		32684,23		-
17		20689,19869		-		32577,09		-
18		20687,21617		-		32979,02		+
19		20695,36641		+		32560,89		-
20		20686,92843		-		32814,31		+
21		20691,79142		+		32615,92		-
22		20687,91871		-		33044,36		+
23		20696,87493		+		33408,62		+
24		20706,22386		+		33914,45		+
25		20721,84117		+		33841,77		-
26		20719,40916		-		34090,39		+
27		20727,98916		+		34113,74		+
28		20728,8328		+		34177,52		+
29		20731,17026		+		34486,01		+
30		20743,15824		+		34517,06		+
31		20744,42738		+		33954		-
32		20723,19105		-		34229,07		+
33		20733,09485		+		34656,83		+
34		20750,28172		+		34473,76		-
35		20742,66067		-		35341,2		+
36		20782,2737		+		35436,38		+
37		20787,15885		+		34985,45		-
38		20764,95547		-		35477,06		+
39		20789,27912		+		35415,91		-
40		20786,09928		-		35599,13		+
41		20795,7575		+		35465,95		-
42		20788,69814		-		35235,93		-
43		20776,99428		-		35713,98		+
44		20802,01145		+		36318,81		+
45		20837,47388		+		36244,96		-
46		20832,91706		-		36238,27		-
47		20832,50738		-		36651,61		+
48		20858,7873		+		36690,84		+
49		20861,3834		+		37064,27		+
50		20886,97508		+		37341,66		+
51		20907,01033		+		37405,4		+
52		20911,73698		+		36616,43		-
53		20856,47421		-		37220		+
54		20898,11591		+		37442,67		+
55		20914,52195		+		37806,83		+
56		20942,55417		+		37986,17		+
57		20956,90405		+		37653,78		-
58		20930,5917		-		37864,77		+
59		20947,15107		+		38368,66		+
60		20988,70068		+		38115,81		-
61		20967,4998		-		38117,31		+
62		20967,62348		+		37812,55		-
63		20943,00632		-		37795,9		-
64		20941,69121		-		37120,78		-
65		20890,98599		-		35873,33		-
66		20810,94293		-		35801,57		-
67		20806,88426		-		35980,06		+
68		20817,09002		+		35563,59		-
69		20793,85338		-		35678,19		+
70		20800,04608		+		36278,29		+
71		20834,96587		+		36940,33		+
72		20878,30518		+		37308,42		+
73		20904,56358		+		37571,76		+
74		20924,28887		+		38213,14		+
75		20975,57712		+		38501,45		+
76		21000,11679		+		38524,92		+
77		21002,15463		+		39739,74		+
78		21115,78345		+		41191,35		+
79		21271,95004		+		40866,67		-
80		21235,14316		-		41116,03		+
81		21263,31674		+		41039,94		-
82		21254,6532		-		40415,4		-
83		21185,76771		-		40502,58		+
84		21195,14357		+		41505,67		+
85		21308,59087		+		42194,73		+
86		21392,3263		+		42002,34		-
87		21368,48064		-		42125,61		+
88		21383,71806		+		42951,75		+
89		21489,58908		+		42938,85		-
90		21487,88642		-		42724,09		-
91		21459,76939		-		43376,85		+
92		21546,5584		+		43571,25		+
93		21573,16219		+		42993,27		-
94		21495,07975		-		42621,33		-
95		21446,46893		-		43020,51		+
96		21498,69068		+		42818,62		-
97		21472,09228		-		42158,4		-
98		21387,79597		-		42992,3		+
99		21494,95124		+		42939,38		-
100		21487,95639		-		44230,97		+
101		21665,97189		+		45924,25		+
102		21921,25106		+		44714,51		-
103		21736,41777		-		42928,65		-
104		21486,54123		-		42756,7		-
105		21464,01094		-		42828,64		+
106		21473,40342		+		43542,17		+
107		21569,16078		+		42333,2		-
108		21409,70978		-		40959,96		-
109		21245,60969		-		40059,32		-
110		21148,29054		-		40613,38		+
111		21207,17252		+		40220,55		-
112		21165,0966		-		39180,23		-
113		21061,47656		-		40047,06		+
114		21147,02366		+		40115,67		+
115		21154,13343		+		40702,82		+
116		21216,97448		+		40465,11		-
117		21191,1042		-		40170,35		-
118		21159,83489		-		39875,77		-
119		21129,48888		-		39515,79		-
120		21093,64612		-		40789,03		+
121		21226,49982		+		41914,3		+
122		21357,68832		+		42429,06		+
123		21421,85173		+		43336,22		+
124		21541,04161		+		43169,58		-
125		21518,57327		-		43325,09		+
126		21539,533		+		44489,37		+
127		21703,36691		+		43633,67		-
128		21581,77712		-		43683,33		+
129		21588,65597		+		43862,73		+
130		21613,69046		+		44641,85		+
131		21725,70377		+		45002,63		+
132		21779,3421		+		45282,32		+
133		21821,67497		+		45698,49		+
134		21885,85275		+		45104,65		-
135		21794,7082		-		46335,45		+
136		21986,75661		+		47443,65		+
137		22169,67712		+		47163,5		-
138		22122,58128		-		46930,71		-
139		22083,88046		-		48132,11		+
140		22287,76375		+		48930,72		+
141		22428,74033		+		49088,14		+
142		22457,01356		+		49397,32		+
143		22512,99015		+		50121,05		+
144		22646,25678		+		49699,67		-
145		22568,29082		-		48989,65		-
146		22439,30629		-		49210,68		+
147		22479,12886		+		47715,08		-
148		22215,84043		-		48708,09		+
149		22389,02303		+		48006,84		-
150		22266,03377		-		48194,4		+
151		22298,6085		+		47890,75		-
152		22245,99168		-		47955,51		+
153		22257,16061		+		48200,39		+
154		22299,65256		+		47943,58		-
155		22255,10095		-		48625,74		+
156		22374,41232		+		48825,83		+
157		22409,98847		+		49525,55		+
158		22536,377		+		49776,82		+
159		22582,48849		+		49567,61		-
160		22544,06964		-		49800,83		+
161		22586,91402		+		50621,01		+
162		22740,06153		+		50467,53		-
163		22711,11861		-		50551,02		+
164		22726,847		+		51837,65		+
165		22973,80303		+		52835,66		+
166		23170,76363		+		53247,94		+
167		23253,35742		+		53520,24		+
168		23308,27278		+		56253,95		+
169		23872,97939		+		56985,69		+
170		24027,37909		+		55060,42		-
171		23623,74797		-		56432,58		+
172		23910,57119		+		57532,02		+
173		24143,29036		+		56592,36		-
174		23944,2528		-		57277,66		+
175		24089,26417		+		58983,91		+
176		24453,24316		+		58940,68		-
177		24443,98471		-		58296,28		-
178		24306,16106		-		57598,15		-
179		24157,35264		-		56988,75		-
180		24028,0269		-		57896,31		+
181		24220,83073		+		57227,66		-
182		24078,65598		-		56376,62		-
183		23898,78752		-		57266,53		+
184		24086,9023		+		56940,58		-
185		24017,83119		-		55865,39		-
186		23791,45333		-		56114,11		+
187		23843,59873		+		57175,59		+
188		24067,6134		+		56096,5		-
189		23839,90221		-		55475		-
190		23709,90822		-		55952,65		+
191		23809,73133		+		58107,95		+
192		24265,95881		+		59333,17		+
193		24528,08764		+		59917,84		+
194		24653,51216		+		59812,92		-
195		24630,99592		-		59080,2		-
196		24473,86979		-		59292,68		+
197		24519,40703		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24519.407026561978
New Prediction 1	20932.387249880074
New Prediction 2	21280.316759547488
New Prediction 3	21240.662024851277
New Prediction 4	21245.11988876693
New Prediction 5	21244.618011211693
New Prediction 6	21244.674422406624
New Prediction 7	21244.668122061084
New Prediction 8	21244.6688005583
New Prediction 9	21244.6687036301
New Prediction 10	21244.6688005583
New Prediction 11	21244.6687036301
New Prediction 12	21244.6688005583
New Prediction 13	21244.6687036301
New Prediction 14	21244.6688005583
New Prediction 15	21244.6687036301
New Prediction 16	21244.6688005583
New Prediction 17	21244.6687036301
New Prediction 18	21244.6688005583
New Prediction 19	21244.6687036301
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02527		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01607		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03291		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00405		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02406		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02688		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,06262		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00216		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00054		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00168		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00372		-		2,19907		+
12		0,02065		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02258		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00164		-		2,28597		+
15		0,06875		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04075		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,07837		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00958		+		1,22623		+
19		0,03939		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04078		-		0,77528		+
21		0,0235		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01872		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04328		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04516		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07539		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01174		-		0,73197		+
27		0,0414		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00407		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01128		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05781		+			0,09		-
31		0,00612		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10242		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04778		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08286		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03673		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19079		+			0,26896		-
37		0,0235		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10687		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11707		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,0153		-			0,516		+
41		0,04645		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03395		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05631		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12034		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17033		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02187		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00197		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12607		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01245		-			1,01263		+
50		0,1226		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09588		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02261		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26462		-		1,63492		+
54		0,19946		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07847		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13394		+			0,47324		-
57		0,0685		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12563		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07908		+			1,32199		+
60		0,19816		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10106		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00059		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11747		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00628		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24242		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,38388		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,0195		+			0,49731		+
68		0,04904		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11169		-		0,32172		+
70		0,02978		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16774		+			1,80844		+
72		0,2078		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12569		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09431		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24481		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11692		-			0,06094		-
77		0,0097		-			3,10464		+
78		0,53958		+			3,58766		+
79		0,73685		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17318		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13259		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04075		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32462		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04425		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53382		+			1,64653		-
86		0,3922		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11153		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07128		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49388		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00792		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13094		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40361		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12339		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,3626		-			-0,86888		+
95		-0,2264		+			0,93221		+
96		0,2432		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,1238		-			-1,55391		-
98		-0,39336		-		1,95871		+
99		0,49976		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03255		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82503		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17136		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84674		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15623		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10491		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04375		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44494		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,742		-			-3,29766		-
109		-0,76943		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,45912		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27804		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,1986		-			-2,62058		-
113		-0,49078		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40536		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03362		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29662		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12201		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14767		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14352		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,16978		-		3,17128		+
121		0,62785		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61614		-			1,22064		-
123		0,29997		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55485		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10436		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09736		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75774		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56181		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03187		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11589		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51691		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24658		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19418		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29367		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41732		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87731		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82852		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21266		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17509		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91899		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63054		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12598		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24895		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59021		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34487		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57317		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17731		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17817		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77652		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55084		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14619		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23624		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05019		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19073		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19999		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53468		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15888		-			1,42292		+
158		0,5624		+			0,50607		-
159		0,2044		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17027		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18987		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67575		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12736		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06923		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08077		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85367		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35582		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23588		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39389		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64467		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69415		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20682		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96858		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82782		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60379		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49966		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03787		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56543		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61411		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53679		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79921		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58872		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74981		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78405		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28717		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94701		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21894		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93513		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95064		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54677		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42013		+			3,77967		+
192		1,89801		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07444		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51005		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09137		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63996		-		0,359		+
197		0,18589		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,81673		+		-15,81673		+
2		1,6485		+			1,6485		+
3		-0,18652		-		-0,18652		-
4		0,02099		+			0,02099		+
5		-0,00236		-		-0,00236		-
6		0,00027		+			0,00027		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		-0		-			-0		-
12		0		+			0		+
13		-0		-			-0		-
14		0		+			0		+
15		-0		-			-0		-
16		0		+			0		+
17		-0		-			-0		-
18		0		+			0		+
19		-0		-			-0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2985270285930321

 36.run Duration 	16 seconds 977 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1fc6e42 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0022513140521732374
train epoch 1: 3.6028828740929537E-4
train epoch 2: 3.602568320875297E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6022538576587046E-4
train epoch 4: 3.601939487820212E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6016252215128995E-4
train epoch 6: 3.601311078161967E-4
train epoch 7: 3.600997056817963E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6006831199182664E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6003692669193173E-4
train epoch 10: 3.600055497278559E-4
train epoch 11: 3.599741810454095E-4
train epoch 12: 3.599428205904736E-4
train epoch 13: 3.5991146830902207E-4
train epoch 14: 3.598801241470807E-4
train epoch 15: 3.5984878805075677E-4
train epoch 16: 3.598174599662417E-4
train epoch 17: 3.597861398397858E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5975482761772847E-4
train epoch 19: 3.597235232464584E-4
train epoch 20: 3.596922266724547E-4
train epoch 21: 3.596609378422759E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5962965670253755E-4
train epoch 23: 3.5959838319993975E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5956711728123646E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5953585889328334E-4
train epoch 26: 3.595046079829811E-4
train epoch 27: 3.594733644973203E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5944212838334634E-4
train epoch 29: 3.594108995881862E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5937967805904034E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5934846374317944E-4
train epoch 32: 3.593172565879473E-4
train epoch 33: 3.592860565407448E-4
train epoch 34: 3.592548635490617E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5922367756044724E-4
train epoch 36: 3.591924985225182E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5916132638297326E-4
train epoch 38: 3.591301610895746E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5909900259014927E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5906785083260036E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5903670576490216E-4
train epoch 42: 3.590055673350939E-4
train epoch 43: 3.589744354912857E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5894331018165523E-4
train epoch 45: 3.589121913544523E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5888107895798866E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5884997294065193E-4
train epoch 48: 3.588188732508973E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5878777983724557E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5936053630830392
mae:0.7309515491706949
rmse:0.7704578918299424
mape:6.943942534049628
corr:0.9717094928486159
theil coefficient:27.2526358974978
net profit:45.377551197274144
buy and hold:-6.836548959015912E-4
mean profit per trade:0.23034289947854897
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20703,36225		+		32155,21		+
1		20710,34681		+		32389,47		+
2		20714,41833		+		31833,73		-
3		20705,84257		-		31732,53		-
4		20704,68425		-		32205,37		+
5		20711,16266		+		32563,26		+
6		20717,8683		+		31042,99		-
7		20700,10435		-		30820,77		-
8		20699,86006		-		30789,2		-
9		20699,87407		+		30707,06		-
10		20699,96733		+		31258,97		+
11		20700,91724		+		31953,99		+
12		20707,38072		+		32325,14		+
13		20713,23403		+		32302,07		-
14		20712,82153		-		33048,99		+
15		20729,44713		+		33379,53		+
16		20738,95366		+		32684,23		-
17		20720,48543		-		32577,09		-
18		20718,15855		-		32979,02		+
19		20727,60357		+		32560,89		-
20		20717,8188		-		32814,31		+
21		20723,49703		+		32615,92		-
22		20718,98582		-		33044,36		+
23		20729,32331		+		33408,62		+
24		20739,85325		+		33914,45		+
25		20757,11953		+		33841,77		-
26		20754,45		-		34090,39		+
27		20763,84325		+		34113,74		+
28		20764,76338		+		34177,52		+
29		20767,30984		+		34486,01		+
30		20780,31052		+		34517,06		+
31		20781,68175		+		33954		-
32		20758,59873		-		34229,07		+
33		20769,40346		+		34656,83		+
34		20787,99591		+		34473,76		-
35		20779,77269		-		35341,2		+
36		20822,24596		+		35436,38		+
37		20827,44587		+		34985,45		-
38		20803,7527		-		35477,06		+
39		20829,7007		+		35415,91		-
40		20826,31858		-		35599,13		+
41		20836,58303		+		35465,95		-
42		20829,08296		-		35235,93		-
43		20816,6186		-		35713,98		+
44		20843,21722		+		36318,81		+
45		20880,68413		+		36244,96		-
46		20875,88244		-		36238,27		-
47		20875,45058		-		36651,61		+
48		20903,10125		+		36690,84		+
49		20905,82746		+		37064,27		+
50		20932,65738		+		37341,66		+
51		20953,61188		+		37405,4		+
52		20958,54967		+		36616,43		-
53		20900,67148		-		37220		+
54		20944,31437		+		37442,67		+
55		20961,45807		+		37806,83		+
56		20990,69537		+		37986,17		+
57		21005,63797		+		37653,78		-
58		20978,22665		-		37864,77		+
59		20995,48383		+		38368,66		+
60		21038,69659		+		38115,81		-
61		21016,66181		-		38117,31		+
62		21016,79043		+		37812,55		-
63		20991,16644		-		37795,9		-
64		20989,79627		-		37120,78		-
65		20936,85562		-		35873,33		-
66		20852,67651		-		35801,57		-
67		20848,38012		-		35980,06		+
68		20859,17726		+		35563,59		-
69		20834,56128		-		35678,19		+
70		20841,13334		+		36278,29		+
71		20878,04176		+		36940,33		+
72		20923,57658		+		37308,42		+
73		20951,05502		+		37571,76		+
74		20971,65238		+		38213,14		+
75		21025,06029		+		38501,45		+
76		21050,55005		+		38524,92		+
77		21052,66513		+		39739,74		+
78		21170,26882		+		41191,35		+
79		21331,10052		+		40866,67		-
80		21293,26011		-		41116,03		+
81		21322,22802		+		41039,94		-
82		21313,32249		-		40415,4		-
83		21242,43815		-		40502,58		+
84		21252,09432		+		41505,67		+
85		21368,73568		+		42194,73		+
86		21454,62744		+		42002,34		-
87		21430,18313		-		42125,61		+
88		21445,80444		+		42951,75		+
89		21554,21793		+		42938,85		-
90		21552,476		-		42724,09		-
91		21523,7031		-		43376,85		+
92		21612,47341		+		43571,25		+
93		21639,65998		+		42993,27		-
94		21559,83491		-		42621,33		-
95		21510,08746		-		43020,51		+
96		21563,52863		+		42818,62		-
97		21536,31515		-		42158,4		-
98		21449,98427		-		42992,3		+
99		21559,70346		+		42939,38		-
100		21552,54759		-		44230,97		+
101		21734,42082		+		45924,25		+
102		21994,49921		+		44714,51		-
103		21806,26914		-		42928,65		-
104		21551,09975		-		42756,7		-
105		21528,04448		-		42828,64		+
106		21537,6569		+		43542,17		+
107		21635,57161		+		42333,2		-
108		21472,44007		-		40959,96		-
109		21304,02424		-		40059,32		-
110		21203,81211		-		40613,38		+
111		21264,47894		+		40220,55		-
112		21221,13914		-		39180,23		-
113		21114,13758		-		40047,06		+
114		21202,50556		+		40115,67		+
115		21209,83722		+		40702,82		+
116		21274,56751		+		40465,11		-
117		21247,93452		-		40170,35		-
118		21215,71536		-		39875,77		-
119		21184,41586		-		39515,79		-
120		21147,40274		-		40789,03		+
121		21284,3687		+		41914,3		+
122		21419,11595		+		42429,06		+
123		21484,87827		+		43336,22		+
124		21606,83438		+		43169,58		-
125		21583,86316		-		43325,09		+
126		21605,29226		+		44489,37		+
127		21772,56831		+		43633,67		-
128		21648,4613		-		43683,33		+
129		21655,48818		+		43862,73		+
130		21681,05549		+		44641,85		+
131		21795,34595		+		45002,63		+
132		21850,01738		+		45282,32		+
133		21893,14132		+		45698,49		+
134		21958,47976		+		45104,65		-
135		21865,67304		-		46335,45		+
136		22061,12025		+		47443,65		+
137		22246,93988		+		47163,5		-
138		22199,12643		-		46930,71		-
139		22159,82131		-		48132,11		+
140		22366,74408		+		48930,72		+
141		22509,62783		+		49088,14		+
142		22538,26582		+		49397,32		+
143		22594,94781		+		50121,05		+
144		22729,80743		+		49699,67		-
145		22650,92401		-		48989,65		-
146		22520,33078		-		49210,68		+
147		22560,66245		+		47715,08		-
148		22293,78826		-		48708,09		+
149		22469,38832		+		48006,84		-
150		22344,70654		-		48194,4		+
151		22377,74094		+		47890,75		-
152		22324,37743		-		47955,51		+
153		22335,7067		+		48200,39		+
154		22378,7996		+		47943,58		-
155		22333,61755		-		48625,74		+
156		22454,58258		+		48825,83		+
157		22490,63087		+		49525,55		+
158		22618,62289		+		49776,82		+
159		22665,29176		+		49567,61		-
160		22626,40953		-		49800,83		+
161		22669,77003		+		50621,01		+
162		22824,6637		+		50467,53		-
163		22795,40231		-		50551,02		+
164		22811,30442		+		51837,65		+
165		23060,79062		+		52835,66		+
166		23259,51764		+		53247,94		+
167		23342,78955		+		53520,24		+
168		23398,13595		+		56253,95		+
169		23966,40825		+		56985,69		+
170		24121,52222		+		55060,42		-
171		23715,79252		-		56432,58		+
172		24004,18389		+		57532,02		+
173		24237,89962		+		56592,36		-
174		24038,02476		-		57277,66		+
175		24183,66357		+		58983,91		+
176		24548,81113		+		58940,68		-
177		24539,53002		-		58296,28		-
178		24401,32575		-		57598,15		-
179		24252,01442		-		56988,75		-
180		24122,1728		-		57896,31		+
181		24315,71881		+		57227,66		-
182		24173,01265		-		56376,62		-
183		23992,34329		-		57266,53		+
184		24181,29223		+		56940,58		-
185		24111,93325		-		55865,39		-
186		23884,46124		-		56114,11		+
187		23936,87942		+		57175,59		+
188		24161,92507		+		56096,5		-
189		23933,16397		-		55475		-
190		23802,46425		-		55952,65		+
191		23902,83628		+		58107,95		+
192		24360,99711		+		59333,17		+
193		24623,8255		+		59917,84		+
194		24749,48184		+		59812,92		-
195		24726,92884		-		59080,2		-
196		24569,48695		-		59292,68		+
197		24615,1264		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24615.12639656809
New Prediction 1	20932.932782421965
New Prediction 2	21279.968761332937
New Prediction 3	21241.109467715185
New Prediction 4	21245.399486161612
New Prediction 5	21244.925086467163
New Prediction 6	21244.977534370693
New Prediction 7	21244.971727864668
New Prediction 8	21244.97239418359
New Prediction 9	21244.972298995155
New Prediction 10	21244.972298995155
New Prediction 11	21244.972298995155
New Prediction 12	21244.972298995155
New Prediction 13	21244.972298995155
New Prediction 14	21244.972298995155
New Prediction 15	21244.972298995155
New Prediction 16	21244.972298995155
New Prediction 17	21244.972298995155
New Prediction 18	21244.972298995155
New Prediction 19	21244.972298995155
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03373		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01966		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04141		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00559		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03128		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03237		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,08578		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00118		+		-0,10248		+
9		0,00007		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00045		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00459		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03122		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02826		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00199		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08024		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04585		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08909		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01123		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04558		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04722		-		0,77528		+
21		0,0274		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02177		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04988		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05078		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08322		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01286		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04525		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00443		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01226		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06258		+			0,09		-
31		0,0066		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11114		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05204		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08948		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03957		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20419		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02497		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11382		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12465		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01624		-		0,516		+
41		0,04927		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,036		-			-0,65068		-
43		-0,05986		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12769		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17959		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,023		-			-0,01846		+
47		-0,00207		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13237		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01304		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12825		+			0,74562		-
51		0,10005		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02356		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27654		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20859		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08182		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13938		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07116		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13058		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08223		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20561		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10479		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,122		-			-0,04404		+
64		-0,00653		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25254		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40287		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02061		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05178		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11808		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03154		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17694		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21786		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13124		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09826		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25434		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12116		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01005		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55706		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75683		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17755		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13595		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04178		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33314		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04545		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54735		+			1,64653		-
86		0,40114		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,114		-			0,29305		+
88		0,07287		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50425		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00808		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13359		-		1,5163		+
92		0,41158		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12571		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36957		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,23101		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24814		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12628		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,40167		-		1,95871		+
99		0,51021		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,0332		-			2,96359		+
101		0,84032		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18952		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85949		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,17707		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10704		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04464		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45359		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75685		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78743		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,4715		+			1,37362		+
111		0,2857		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20402		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,5055		-			2,1883		+
114		0,41765		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03457		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30473		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12527		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15175		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14764		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17487		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64558		+			2,72139		-
122		0,63109		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30656		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56603		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10637		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09923		+			2,65184		+
127		0,77125		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,57165		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03245		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11799		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52576		+			0,80492		-
132		0,25053		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19717		-			0,91486		+
134		0,298		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42354		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88988		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83877		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21515		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17721		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92944		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63679		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12714		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25118		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59508		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34765		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57822		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17893		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18997		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78458		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55644		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14773		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23875		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05074		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19275		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,2021		-			1,41281		+
156		0,54017		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16041		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56748		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20612		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,1717		-			0,46941		+
161		0,19145		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68094		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12828		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06974		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08776		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85806		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35737		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23682		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39968		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64513		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69633		-		2,46155		+
172		1,2087		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96894		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82806		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60404		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49861		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03781		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56478		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61378		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53682		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79916		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58862		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75021		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78445		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28724		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94788		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21923		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93577		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95129		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,5476		+			0,85733		+
191		0,4208		+			3,77967		+
192		1,89862		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07311		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50901		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09117		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63876		-		0,359		+
197		0,18558		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,20375		+		-16,20375		+
2		1,64425		+			1,64425		+
3		-0,18278		-		-0,18278		-
4		0,02019		+			0,02019		+
5		-0,00223		-		-0,00223		-
6		0,00025		+			0,00025		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2968026815415196

 37.run Duration 	16 seconds 961 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1aaf0b3 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0024505169816709765
train epoch 1: 3.594548892234531E-4
train epoch 2: 3.593834925877226E-4
train epoch 3: 3.593121370939892E-4
train epoch 4: 3.592408225245586E-4
train epoch 5: 3.5916954871968715E-4
train epoch 6: 3.5909831552039315E-4
train epoch 7: 3.59027122767379E-4
train epoch 8: 3.589559703005145E-4
train epoch 9: 3.588848579613894E-4
train epoch 10: 3.5881378559200023E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5874275303477706E-4
train epoch 12: 3.5867176013256987E-4
train epoch 13: 3.586008067286204E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5852989266662834E-4
train epoch 15: 3.584590177906857E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5838818194529635E-4
train epoch 17: 3.58317384975385E-4
train epoch 18: 3.582466267262868E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5817590704376E-4
train epoch 20: 3.5810522577395834E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5803458276344066E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5796397785918895E-4
train epoch 23: 3.57893410908584E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5782288175942203E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5775239025988634E-4
train epoch 26: 3.576819362585708E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5761151960448637E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5754114014701494E-4
train epoch 29: 3.574707977359629E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5740049222152397E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5733022345430144E-4
train epoch 32: 3.572599912852911E-4
train epoch 33: 3.571897955658769E-4
train epoch 34: 3.571196361478384E-4
train epoch 35: 3.570495128833677E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5697942562502025E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5690937422575605E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5683935853893293E-4
train epoch 39: 3.567693784182875E-4
train epoch 40: 3.566994337179537E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5662952429244184E-4
train epoch 42: 3.565596499966563E-4
train epoch 43: 3.564898106858876E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5642000621579706E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5635023644246057E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5628050122230156E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5621080041213553E-4
train epoch 48: 3.56141133869166E-4
train epoch 49: 3.56071501450962E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5924223851758939
mae:0.7299459029549649
rmse:0.7696897980198866
mape:6.9211099728726335
corr:0.9723709200176636
theil coefficient:27.291042611674442
net profit:44.79448225510792
buy and hold:-6.925537137222759E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22738315865537018
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20741,82834		+		32155,21		+
1		20749,83162		+		32389,47		+
2		20754,29928		+		31833,73		-
3		20744,75059		-		31732,53		-
4		20743,40277		-		32205,37		+
5		20750,734		+		32563,26		+
6		20758,02991		+		31042,99		-
7		20737,43144		-		30820,77		-
8		20736,70168		-		30789,2		-
9		20736,64527		-		30707,06		-
10		20736,55361		-		31258,97		+
11		20738,69891		+		31953,99		+
12		20746,50899		+		32325,14		+
13		20753,00823		+		32302,07		-
14		20752,55707		-		33048,99		+
15		20770,33333		+		33379,53		+
16		20780,28238		+		32684,23		-
17		20760,83575		-		32577,09		-
18		20758,34201		-		32979,02		+
19		20768,39084		+		32560,89		-
20		20757,97665		-		32814,31		+
21		20764,04416		+		32615,92		-
22		20759,23025		-		33044,36		+
23		20770,20302		+		33408,62		+
24		20781,21896		+		33914,45		+
25		20799,07742		+		33841,77		-
26		20796,32872		-		34090,39		+
27		20805,98455		+		34113,74		+
28		20806,92815		+		34177,52		+
29		20809,53766		+		34486,01		+
30		20822,8217		+		34517,06		+
31		20824,21946		+		33954		-
32		20800,59887		-		34229,07		+
33		20811,68113		+		34656,83		+
34		20830,64859		+		34473,76		-
35		20822,27329		-		35341,2		+
36		20865,35558		+		35436,38		+
37		20870,60512		+		34985,45		-
38		20846,64674		-		35477,06		+
39		20872,88014		+		35415,91		-
40		20869,46745		-		35599,13		+
41		20879,81931		+		35465,95		-
42		20872,25695		-		35235,93		-
43		20859,66937		-		35713,98		+
44		20886,50189		+		36318,81		+
45		20924,14258		+		36244,96		-
46		20919,32696		-		36238,27		-
47		20918,89373		-		36651,61		+
48		20946,59746		+		36690,84		+
49		20949,32543		+		37064,27		+
50		20976,14376		+		37341,66		+
51		20997,05661		+		37405,4		+
52		21001,98087		+		36616,43		-
53		20944,16563		-		37220		+
54		20987,78082		+		37442,67		+
55		21004,88067		+		37806,83		+
56		21034,00754		+		37986,17		+
57		21048,87819		+		37653,78		-
58		21021,59107		-		37864,77		+
59		21038,77401		+		38368,66		+
60		21081,74494		+		38115,81		-
61		21059,84284		-		38117,31		+
62		21059,97074		+		37812,55		-
63		21034,47649		-		37795,9		-
64		21033,11245		-		37120,78		-
65		20980,33578		-		35873,33		-
66		20896,02018		-		35801,57		-
67		20891,69839		-		35980,06		+
68		20902,55515		+		35563,59		-
69		20877,78159		-		35678,19		+
70		20884,40347		+		36278,29		+
71		20921,49282		+		36940,33		+
72		20967,07248		+		37308,42		+
73		20994,50622		+		37571,76		+
74		21015,04132		+		38213,14		+
75		21068,19294		+		38501,45		+
76		21093,51963		+		38524,92		+
77		21095,62014		+		39739,74		+
78		21212,2076		+		41191,35		+
79		21371,17235		+		40866,67		-
80		21333,80925		-		41116,03		+
81		21362,41358		+		41039,94		-
82		21353,62111		-		40415,4		-
83		21283,59412		-		40502,58		+
84		21293,13824		+		41505,67		+
85		21408,31353		+		42194,73		+
86		21493,01511		+		42002,34		-
87		21468,91771		-		42125,61		+
88		21484,31803		+		42951,75		+
89		21591,13372		+		42938,85		-
90		21589,41827		-		42724,09		-
91		21561,07917		-		43376,85		+
92		21648,49008		+		43571,25		+
93		21675,24862		+		42993,27		-
94		21596,66514		-		42621,33		-
95		21547,66637		-		43020,51		+
96		21600,30246		+		42818,62		-
97		21573,50192		-		42158,4		-
98		21488,43831		-		42992,3		+
99		21596,5357		+		42939,38		-
100		21589,48876		-		44230,97		+
101		21768,48031		+		45924,25		+
102		22024,12775		+		44714,51		-
103		21839,13525		-		42928,65		-
104		21588,06292		-		42756,7		-
105		21565,35555		-		42828,64		+
106		21574,82346		+		43542,17		+
107		21671,22494		+		42333,2		-
108		21510,57116		-		40959,96		-
109		21344,43969		-		40059,32		-
110		21245,39964		-		40613,38		+
111		21305,37686		+		40220,55		-
112		21262,53647		-		39180,23		-
113		21156,60781		-		40047,06		+
114		21244,1072		+		40115,67		+
115		21251,35926		+		40702,82		+
116		21315,34465		+		40465,11		-
117		21289,02691		-		40170,35		-
118		21257,17284		-		39875,77		-
119		21226,20933		-		39515,79		-
120		21189,56709		-		40789,03		+
121		21325,02696		+		41914,3		+
122		21458,00554		+		42429,06		+
123		21522,82837		+		43336,22		+
124		21642,93919		+		43169,58		-
125		21620,3246		-		43325,09		+
126		21641,42113		+		44489,37		+
127		21805,99753		+		43633,67		-
128		21683,91029		-		43683,33		+
129		21690,82531		+		43862,73		+
130		21715,98293		+		44641,85		+
131		21828,3952		+		45002,63		+
132		21882,14433		+		45282,32		+
133		21924,53128		+		45698,49		+
134		21988,73863		+		45104,65		-
135		21897,53336		-		46335,45		+
136		22089,57149		+		47443,65		+
137		22272,0417		+		47163,5		-
138		22225,09817		-		46930,71		-
139		22186,50426		-		48132,11		+
140		22389,64617		+		48930,72		+
141		22529,87649		+		49088,14		+
142		22557,97955		+		49397,32		+
143		22613,6003		+		50121,05		+
144		22745,92436		+		49699,67		-
145		22668,52566		-		48989,65		-
146		22540,37962		-		49210,68		+
147		22579,95722		+		47715,08		-
148		22318,03308		-		48708,09		+
149		22490,38701		+		48006,84		-
150		22368,0152		-		48194,4		+
151		22400,43986		+		47890,75		-
152		22348,06041		-		47955,51		+
153		22359,18116		+		48200,39		+
154		22401,47894		+		47943,58		-
155		22357,13048		-		48625,74		+
156		22475,85672		+		48825,83		+
157		22511,23385		+		49525,55		+
158		22636,83125		+		49776,82		+
159		22682,6233		+		49567,61		-
160		22644,4717		-		49800,83		+
161		22687,01734		+		50621,01		+
162		22838,99091		+		50467,53		-
163		22810,28201		-		50551,02		+
164		22825,8839		+		51837,65		+
165		23070,65379		+		52835,66		+
166		23265,62907		+		53247,94		+
167		23347,33386		+		53520,24		+
168		23401,64099		+		56253,95		+
169		23959,40711		+		56985,69		+
170		24111,72388		+		55060,42		-
171		23713,38123		-		56432,58		+
172		23996,49821		+		57532,02		+
173		24226,02763		+		56592,36		-
174		24029,72764		-		57277,66		+
175		24172,75517		+		58983,91		+
176		24531,51815		+		58940,68		-
177		24522,39615		-		58296,28		-
178		24386,58153		-		57598,15		-
179		24239,89248		-		56988,75		-
180		24112,36281		-		57896,31		+
181		24302,47312		+		57227,66		-
182		24162,29407		-		56376,62		-
183		23984,87196		-		57266,53		+
184		24170,42608		+		56940,58		-
185		24102,30676		-		55865,39		-
186		23878,95196		-		56114,11		+
187		23930,41478		+		57175,59		+
188		24151,40428		+		56096,5		-
189		23926,76693		-		55475		-
190		23798,45667		-		55952,65		+
191		23896,99168		+		58107,95		+
192		24346,95715		+		59333,17		+
193		24605,25301		+		59917,84		+
194		24728,79301		+		59812,92		-
195		24706,6173		-		59080,2		-
196		24551,84013		-		59292,68		+
197		24596,70168		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24596.701682627223
New Prediction 1	20950.742536497277
New Prediction 2	21277.373716457063
New Prediction 3	21242.464092656686
New Prediction 4	21246.14394692271
New Prediction 5	21245.75546955766
New Prediction 6	21245.79645592736
New Prediction 7	21245.79218454955
New Prediction 8	21245.792638950647
New Prediction 9	21245.792548070414
New Prediction 10	21245.792548070414
New Prediction 11	21245.792548070414
New Prediction 12	21245.792548070414
New Prediction 13	21245.792548070414
New Prediction 14	21245.792548070414
New Prediction 15	21245.792548070414
New Prediction 16	21245.792548070414
New Prediction 17	21245.792548070414
New Prediction 18	21245.792548070414
New Prediction 19	21245.792548070414
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03858		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02153		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04602		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,0065		+			1,47909		+
5		0,03534		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03515		-			-4,78116		-
7		-0,09928		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00352		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00027		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,00044		-		1,78138		+
11		0,01034		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03765		+			1,15482		-
13		0,03132		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00217		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08562		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04789		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09363		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01201		+		1,22623		+
19		0,0484		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,05016		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02923		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02319		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05284		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05302		+			1,50272		+
25		0,0859		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01322		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04642		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00454		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01254		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06382		+			0,09		-
31		0,00671		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11349		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05326		+			1,24195		+
34		0,0911		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,04021		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20669		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02516		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11486		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12576		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01635		-		0,516		+
41		0,04959		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03623		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,06033		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12855		+			1,67936		+
45		0,18005		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02302		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00207		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13235		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01302		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12793		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09965		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02345		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27566		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20803		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08144		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13857		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07067		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12972		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08171		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20404		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10395		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12113		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00648		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25124		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40269		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02068		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05195		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11859		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03171		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17744		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21762		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13076		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09776		-			1,69267		+
75		0,2526		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12014		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00996		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55114		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74661		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17498		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13399		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04117		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32848		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04483		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53945		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39487		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11218		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07171		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49595		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00795		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13135		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40459		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12353		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36321		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22714		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24398		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12415		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39508		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50179		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03264		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82565		+			3,75681		+
102		1,16755		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,8435		-			-4,07586		-
104		-1,1563		-			-0,40135		+
105		-0,10524		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04389		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44583		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74408		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77532		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46509		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28191		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20128		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49944		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41273		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03413		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30064		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12354		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14974		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14577		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17278		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63724		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62164		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30164		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55651		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10454		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09753		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75759		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56145		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03189		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11592		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51631		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24593		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19352		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29243		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41564		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87316		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82265		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,211		-			-0,4948		+
139		-0,1738		+			2,52773		+
140		0,91144		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62436		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12466		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24626		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58345		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34086		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,56691		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17543		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,16677		-		2,05976		+
149		0,7693		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54559		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14485		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23411		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04975		+			0,50934		+
154		0,189		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19817		-		1,41281		+
156		0,52964		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15728		-			1,42292		+
158		0,55638		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20209		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16834		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18771		+			1,63351		+
162		0,66764		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12578		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06838		+			2,51336		+
165		1,06663		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84157		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35057		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23234		-			4,98164		+
169		2,35549		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63372		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,66587		-		2,46155		+
172		1,18684		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95197		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,81359		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59345		+			2,9354		+
176		1,47326		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03719		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55538		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60333		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,5275		+			1,57998		+
181		0,78534		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,57848		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,737		-			1,56618		+
184		0,77065		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28223		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,93102		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21528		+			1,87398		+
188		0,91923		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,93447		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,53771		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41318		+			3,77967		+
192		1,86543		+			2,0866		-
193		1,05531		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50083		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,08972		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,62843		-		0,359		+
197		0,18256		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,04383		+		-16,04383		+
2		1,54702		+			1,54702		+
3		-0,1642		-			-0,1642		-
4		0,01732		+			0,01732		+
5		-0,00183		-		-0,00183		-
6		0,00019		+			0,00019		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2962111925879469

 38.run Duration 	16 seconds 445 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1a082e2 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.001017339926403566
train epoch 1: 3.6048738645310096E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6043464695245523E-4
train epoch 3: 3.603819308171676E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6032923793241525E-4
train epoch 5: 3.602765681841281E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6022392145848624E-4
train epoch 7: 3.601712976419163E-4
train epoch 8: 3.601186966210661E-4
train epoch 9: 3.60066118282843E-4
train epoch 10: 3.600135625143738E-4
train epoch 11: 3.599610292030375E-4
train epoch 12: 3.599085182364443E-4
train epoch 13: 3.5985602950244696E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5980356288911993E-4
train epoch 15: 3.597511182847858E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5969869557800143E-4
train epoch 17: 3.596462946575443E-4
train epoch 18: 3.595939154124476E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5954155773194733E-4
train epoch 20: 3.594892215055524E-4
train epoch 21: 3.594369066229642E-4
train epoch 22: 3.593846129741366E-4
train epoch 23: 3.5933234044924315E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5928008893869394E-4
train epoch 25: 3.592278583331403E-4
train epoch 26: 3.591756485234401E-4
train epoch 27: 3.591234594006947E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5907129085622423E-4
train epoch 29: 3.590191427815754E-4
train epoch 30: 3.589670150685406E-4
train epoch 31: 3.58914907609103E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5886282029550074E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5881075302019176E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5875870567584565E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5870667815536436E-4
train epoch 36: 3.586546703518758E-4
train epoch 37: 3.58602682158717E-4
train epoch 38: 3.585507134694625E-4
train epoch 39: 3.584987641779075E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5844683417805124E-4
train epoch 41: 3.583949233641142E-4
train epoch 42: 3.583430316305654E-4
train epoch 43: 3.582911588720742E-4
train epoch 44: 3.582393049835197E-4
train epoch 45: 3.581874698600156E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5813565339689034E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5808385548967794E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5803207603414696E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5798031492626355E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5944622753179145
mae:0.731377259373922
rmse:0.7710137970995814
mape:6.943169429951933
corr:0.9714027376622388
theil coefficient:27.31116257135357
net profit:44.75291998833802
buy and hold:-6.931968919151114E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22717218268191888
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20706,70529		+		32155,21		+
1		20713,39932		+		32389,47		+
2		20717,33394		+		31833,73		-
3		20709,06929		-		31732,53		-
4		20707,96252		-		32205,37		+
5		20714,18656		+		32563,26		+
6		20720,67693		+		31042,99		-
7		20703,6918		-		30820,77		-
8		20703,53145		-		30789,2		-
9		20703,55676		+		30707,06		-
10		20703,6787		+		31258,97		+
11		20704,41576		+		31953,99		+
12		20710,54413		+		32325,14		+
13		20716,18806		+		32302,07		-
14		20715,78919		-		33048,99		+
15		20731,93253		+		33379,53		+
16		20741,19881		+		32684,23		-
17		20723,21689		-		32577,09		-
18		20720,95847		-		32979,02		+
19		20730,13773		+		32560,89		-
20		20720,62892		-		32814,31		+
21		20726,14304		+		32615,92		-
22		20721,76114		-		33044,36		+
23		20731,81196		+		33408,62		+
24		20742,07647		+		33914,45		+
25		20758,94147		+		33841,77		-
26		20756,33192		-		34090,39		+
27		20765,51679		+		34113,74		+
28		20766,41688		+		34177,52		+
29		20768,90822		+		34486,01		+
30		20781,63391		+		34517,06		+
31		20782,9767		+		33954		-
32		20760,38771		-		34229,07		+
33		20770,95685		+		34656,83		+
34		20789,16114		+		34473,76		-
35		20781,10726		-		35341,2		+
36		20822,73592		+		35436,38		+
37		20827,8367		+		34985,45		-
38		20804,60193		-		35477,06		+
39		20830,04879		+		35415,91		-
40		20826,73084		-		35599,13		+
41		20836,80146		+		35465,95		-
42		20829,44275		-		35235,93		-
43		20817,21671		-		35713,98		+
44		20843,3118		+		36318,81		+
45		20880,0969		+		36244,96		-
46		20875,3811		-		36238,27		-
47		20874,95698		-		36651,61		+
48		20902,11803		+		36690,84		+
49		20904,7966		+		37064,27		+
50		20931,16309		+		37341,66		+
51		20951,7618		+		37405,4		+
52		20956,61646		+		36616,43		-
53		20899,73081		-		37220		+
54		20942,62153		+		37442,67		+
55		20959,47602		+		37806,83		+
56		20988,22707		+		37986,17		+
57		21002,92425		+		37653,78		-
58		20975,96471		-		37864,77		+
59		20992,93666		+		38368,66		+
60		21035,44657		+		38115,81		-
61		21013,76826		-		38117,31		+
62		21013,89479		+		37812,55		-
63		20988,69037		-		37795,9		-
64		20987,34281		-		37120,78		-
65		20935,28963		-		35873,33		-
66		20852,59626		-		35801,57		-
67		20848,37903		-		35980,06		+
68		20858,97799		+		35563,59		-
69		20834,81768		-		35678,19		+
70		20841,26672		+		36278,29		+
71		20877,50175		+		36940,33		+
72		20922,23809		+		37308,42		+
73		20949,24808		+		37571,76		+
74		20969,49984		+		38213,14		+
75		21022,03042		+		38501,45		+
76		21047,10982		+		38524,92		+
77		21049,19107		+		39739,74		+
78		21164,95928		+		41191,35		+
79		21323,39724		+		40866,67		-
80		21286,10978		-		41116,03		+
81		21314,65387		+		41039,94		-
82		21305,87827		-		40415,4		-
83		21236,03997		-		40502,58		+
84		21245,55235		+		41505,67		+
85		21360,48807		+		42194,73		+
86		21445,15714		+		42002,34		-
87		21421,05813		-		42125,61		+
88		21436,45853		+		42951,75		+
89		21543,36128		+		42938,85		-
90		21541,64333		-		42724,09		-
91		21513,26783		-		43376,85		+
92		21600,82026		+		43571,25		+
93		21627,63859		+		42993,27		-
94		21548,90101		-		42621,33		-
95		21499,84116		-		43020,51		+
96		21552,54399		+		42818,62		-
97		21525,70537		-		42158,4		-
98		21440,5794		-		42992,3		+
99		21548,77137		+		42939,38		-
100		21541,71393		-		44230,97		+
101		21721,13244		+		45924,25		+
102		21977,85653		+		44714,51		-
103		21792,03659		-		42928,65		-
104		21540,28602		-		42756,7		-
105		21517,54908		-		42828,64		+
106		21527,02858		+		43542,17		+
107		21623,60546		+		42333,2		-
108		21462,71942		-		40959,96		-
109		21296,71602		-		40059,32		-
110		21197,99341		-		40613,38		+
111		21257,75317		+		40220,55		-
112		21215,05962		-		39180,23		-
113		21109,69357		-		40047,06		+
114		21196,70659		+		40115,67		+
115		21203,92766		+		40702,82		+
116		21267,69252		+		40465,11		-
117		21241,45445		-		40170,35		-
118		21209,71733		-		39875,77		-
119		21178,89089		-		39515,79		-
120		21142,44366		-		40789,03		+
121		21277,34915		+		41914,3		+
122		21410,14797		+		42429,06		+
123		21474,98343		+		43336,22		+
124		21595,25788		+		43169,58		-
125		21572,5999		-		43325,09		+
126		21593,73674		+		44489,37		+
127		21758,77691		+		43633,67		-
128		21636,32116		-		43683,33		+
129		21643,2534		+		43862,73		+
130		21668,47752		+		44641,85		+
131		21781,25606		+		45002,63		+
132		21835,21663		+		45282,32		+
133		21877,78531		+		45698,49		+
134		21942,2914		+		45104,65		-
135		21850,67016		-		46335,45		+
136		22043,64556		+		47443,65		+
137		22227,19994		+		47163,5		-
138		22179,96171		-		46930,71		-
139		22141,13339		-		48132,11		+
140		22345,5856		+		48930,72		+
141		22486,81932		+		49088,14		+
142		22515,13198		+		49397,32		+
143		22571,17533		+		50121,05		+
144		22704,54334		+		49699,67		-
145		22626,52766		-		48989,65		-
146		22497,40047		-		49210,68		+
147		22537,27543		+		47715,08		-
148		22273,48976		-		48708,09		+
149		22447,03995		+		48006,84		-
150		22323,80657		-		48194,4		+
151		22356,45386		+		47890,75		-
152		22303,7169		-		47955,51		+
153		22314,91262		+		48200,39		+
154		22357,50015		+		47943,58		-
155		22312,84807		-		48625,74		+
156		22432,40441		+		48825,83		+
157		22468,03914		+		49525,55		+
158		22594,58572		+		49776,82		+
159		22640,73637		+		49567,61		-
160		22602,28556		-		49800,83		+
161		22645,16515		+		50621,01		+
162		22798,37381		+		50467,53		-
163		22769,42681		-		50551,02		+
164		22785,15784		+		51837,65		+
165		23032,03017		+		52835,66		+
166		23228,76929		+		53247,94		+
167		23311,233		+		53520,24		+
168		23366,05035		+		56253,95		+
169		23929,26821		+		56985,69		+
170		24083,1237		+		55060,42		-
171		23680,79626		-		56432,58		+
172		23966,73251		+		57532,02		+
173		24198,59167		+		56592,36		-
174		24000,29713		-		57277,66		+
175		24144,77571		+		58983,91		+
176		24507,22214		+		58940,68		-
177		24498,00595		-		58296,28		-
178		24360,79161		-		57598,15		-
179		24212,5982		-		56988,75		-
180		24083,76911		-		57896,31		+
181		24275,81952		+		57227,66		-
182		24134,20806		-		56376,62		-
183		23954,98917		-		57266,53		+
184		24142,42289		+		56940,58		-
185		24073,611		-		55865,39		-
186		23848,00724		-		56114,11		+
187		23899,9849		+		57175,59		+
188		24123,20742		+		56096,5		-
189		23896,30049		-		55475		-
190		23766,71127		-		55952,65		+
191		23866,22718		+		58107,95		+
192		24320,75999		+		59333,17		+
193		24581,71905		+		59917,84		+
194		24706,53774		+		59812,92		-
195		24684,13238		-		59080,2		-
196		24527,75404		-		59292,68		+
197		24573,07929		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24573.079287886918
New Prediction 1	20938.96418703244
New Prediction 2	21279.161204229324
New Prediction 3	21241.431400040034
New Prediction 4	21245.55814592333
New Prediction 5	21245.106081784237
New Prediction 6	21245.155590079223
New Prediction 7	21245.15012048945
New Prediction 8	21245.150686307905
New Prediction 9	21245.150686307905
New Prediction 10	21245.150686307905
New Prediction 11	21245.150686307905
New Prediction 12	21245.150686307905
New Prediction 13	21245.150686307905
New Prediction 14	21245.150686307905
New Prediction 15	21245.150686307905
New Prediction 16	21245.150686307905
New Prediction 17	21245.150686307905
New Prediction 18	21245.150686307905
New Prediction 19	21245.150686307905
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03232		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01899		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,0399		-			-0,31841		+
4		-0,00534		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03005		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03133		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,08201		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00077		+		-0,10248		+
9		0,00012		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00059		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00356		+			2,19907		+
12		0,02959		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02725		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00193		-		2,28597		+
15		0,0779		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04469		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08673		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,0109		+			1,22623		+
19		0,04429		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04588		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02661		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02114		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04849		+			1,0963		-
24		0,0495		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08128		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01257		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04424		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00433		-			0,18679		+
29		0,012		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06125		+			0,09		-
31		0,00646		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10875		-		0,80686		+
33		0,0509		+			1,24195		+
34		0,0876		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03875		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20012		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02449		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11162		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12224		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01593		-		0,516		+
41		0,04834		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03532		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05871		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12527		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17633		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02259		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00203		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13003		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01281		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12605		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09836		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02317		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27181		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20501		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08045		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13708		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12844		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08088		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20229		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10311		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12001		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00642		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24833		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39578		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02023		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05083		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11589		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03095		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17371		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21405		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12901		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09662		-			1,69267		+
75		0,2502		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11923		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00989		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54848		+			3,58766		+
79		0,7458		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17502		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13401		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04118		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32833		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04478		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53953		+			1,64653		-
86		0,3956		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11244		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07187		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49746		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00797		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13181		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40614		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12408		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36472		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22793		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24483		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,1246		-			-1,55391		-
98		-0,39625		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50334		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03276		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82944		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17498		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84908		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16197		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10561		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04405		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44763		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74681		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77646		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46464		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28152		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20104		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49789		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41135		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03406		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30027		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12345		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14952		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14545		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17224		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63605		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62219		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30237		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55851		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10498		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09793		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76139		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56438		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03203		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11648		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51912		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24743		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19476		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29441		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41843		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87928		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82924		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21275		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17521		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91917		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63005		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12583		-			0,62787		+
143		0,2486		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58914		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,3442		-			-1,43892		-
146		-0,57232		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17709		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17735		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77616		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55051		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14614		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23617		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05018		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19067		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19992		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53439		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15873		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56165		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20405		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16997		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18953		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67428		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12705		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06906		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07765		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85057		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35438		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23488		-			4,98164		+
169		2,38182		+			1,29239		-
170		0,6409		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,68469		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20023		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96277		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82282		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60018		+			2,9354		+
176		1,48998		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03761		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56168		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61019		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,5335		+			1,57998		+
181		0,79426		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58505		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74536		-		1,56618		+
184		0,7794		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28543		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94156		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21772		+			1,87398		+
188		0,92965		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94507		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54377		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41785		+			3,77967		+
192		1,88659		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06727		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50649		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09073		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63553		-		0,359		+
197		0,18462		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,00398		+		-16,00398		+
2		1,61165		+			1,61165		+
3		-0,17747		-		-0,17747		-
4		0,01943		+			0,01943		+
5		-0,00213		-		-0,00213		-
6		0,00023		+			0,00023		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29723113765895726

 39.run Duration 	16 seconds 116 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@f0c85e ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 5.546123483337813E-4
train epoch 1: 3.6141620966531325E-4
train epoch 2: 3.613333733413959E-4
train epoch 3: 3.612767245667018E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6124482788780116E-4
train epoch 5: 3.612129420368531E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6118106697500353E-4
train epoch 7: 3.611492026634614E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6111734906348427E-4
train epoch 9: 3.610855061363919E-4
train epoch 10: 3.610536738435555E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6102185214640384E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6099004100643837E-4
train epoch 13: 3.609582403851955E-4
train epoch 14: 3.609264502442669E-4
train epoch 15: 3.60894670545315E-4
train epoch 16: 3.60862901250055E-4
train epoch 17: 3.608311423202467E-4
train epoch 18: 3.607993937177223E-4
train epoch 19: 3.607676554043635E-4
train epoch 20: 3.607359273420873E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6070420949289693E-4
train epoch 22: 3.606725018188365E-4
train epoch 23: 3.6064080428200364E-4
train epoch 24: 3.6060911684455846E-4
train epoch 25: 3.6057743946870226E-4
train epoch 26: 3.605457721167125E-4
train epoch 27: 3.6051411475089914E-4
train epoch 28: 3.604824673336407E-4
train epoch 29: 3.604508298273651E-4
train epoch 30: 3.6041920219455256E-4
train epoch 31: 3.603875843977439E-4
train epoch 32: 3.603559763995307E-4
train epoch 33: 3.603243781625534E-4
train epoch 34: 3.6029278964951647E-4
train epoch 35: 3.6026121082316975E-4
train epoch 36: 3.60229641646322E-4
train epoch 37: 3.6019808208183086E-4
train epoch 38: 3.6016653209261615E-4
train epoch 39: 3.601349916416351E-4
train epoch 40: 3.6010346069191676E-4
train epoch 41: 3.600719392065304E-4
train epoch 42: 3.600404271485981E-4
train epoch 43: 3.6000892448130557E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5997743116788236E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5994594717160533E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5991447245583045E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5988300698393255E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5985155071935674E-4
train epoch 49: 3.598201036256032E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.595623520439845
mae:0.7322853927853177
rmse:0.7717664934679692
mape:6.961131665118709
corr:0.970798256402496
theil coefficient:27.295377773342796
net profit:45.05657259571363
buy and hold:-6.885251862897546E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2287135664757037
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20676,9651		+		32155,21		+
1		20682,77404		+		32389,47		+
2		20686,35838		+		31833,73		-
3		20678,94762		-		31732,53		-
4		20678,00484		-		32205,37		+
5		20683,48508		+		32563,26		+
6		20689,45065		+		31042,99		-
7		20674,9207		-		30820,77		-
8		20675,16822		+		30789,2		-
9		20675,25248		+		30707,06		-
10		20675,52895		+		31258,97		+
11		20675,26009		-		31953,99		+
12		20680,23096		+		32325,14		+
13		20685,30729		+		32302,07		-
14		20684,94266		-		33048,99		+
15		20700,04697		+		33379,53		+
16		20708,89968		+		32684,23		-
17		20691,8207		-		32577,09		-
18		20689,71257		-		32979,02		+
19		20698,34336		+		32560,89		-
20		20689,406		-		32814,31		+
21		20694,56837		+		32615,92		-
22		20690,46042		-		33044,36		+
23		20699,93239		+		33408,62		+
24		20709,74231		+		33914,45		+
25		20726,03353		+		33841,77		-
26		20723,5023		-		34090,39		+
27		20732,42499		+		34113,74		+
28		20733,30129		+		34177,52		+
29		20735,72837		+		34486,01		+
30		20748,15836		+		34517,06		+
31		20749,47276		+		33954		-
32		20727,43773		-		34229,07		+
33		20737,72585		+		34656,83		+
34		20755,53259		+		34473,76		-
35		20747,64297		-		35341,2		+
36		20788,57138		+		35436,38		+
37		20793,60737		+		34985,45		-
38		20770,70065		-		35477,06		+
39		20795,79249		+		35415,91		-
40		20792,51524		-		35599,13		+
41		20802,46685		+		35465,95		-
42		20795,19377		-		35235,93		-
43		20783,12661		-		35713,98		+
44		20808,90707		+		36318,81		+
45		20845,37994		+		36244,96		-
46		20840,69714		-		36238,27		-
47		20840,27607		-		36651,61		+
48		20867,27002		+		36690,84		+
49		20869,93504		+		37064,27		+
50		20896,19257		+		37341,66		+
51		20916,7337		+		37405,4		+
52		20921,57793		+		36616,43		-
53		20864,89529		-		37220		+
54		20907,61624		+		37442,67		+
55		20924,43188		+		37806,83		+
56		20953,14684		+		37986,17		+
57		20967,8387		+		37653,78		-
58		20940,8955		-		37864,77		+
59		20957,85382		+		38368,66		+
60		21000,377		+		38115,81		-
61		20978,68397		-		38117,31		+
62		20978,81055		+		37812,55		-
63		20953,60984		-		37795,9		-
64		20952,26316		-		37120,78		-
65		20900,30577		-		35873,33		-
66		20818,09998		-		35801,57		-
67		20813,92316		-		35980,06		+
68		20824,4241		+		35563,59		-
69		20800,50546		-		35678,19		+
70		20806,88347		+		36278,29		+
71		20842,80272		+		36940,33		+
72		20887,29973		+		37308,42		+
73		20914,22583		+		37571,76		+
74		20934,43901		+		38213,14		+
75		20986,94989		+		38501,45		+
76		21012,05444		+		38524,92		+
77		21014,13867		+		39739,74		+
78		21130,2478		+		41191,35		+
79		21289,56157		+		40866,67		-
80		21252,03514		-		41116,03		+
81		21280,7606		+		41039,94		-
82		21271,92813		-		40415,4		-
83		21201,67406		-		40502,58		+
84		21211,23897		+		41505,67		+
85		21326,90684		+		42194,73		+
86		21412,21159		+		42002,34		-
87		21387,92447		-		42125,61		+
88		21403,44446		+		42951,75		+
89		21511,23396		+		42938,85		-
90		21509,50103		-		42724,09		-
91		21480,88153		-		43376,85		+
92		21569,20558		+		43571,25		+
93		21596,27076		+		42993,27		-
94		21516,8221		-		42621,33		-
95		21467,34157		-		43020,51		+
96		21520,49703		+		42818,62		-
97		21493,42526		-		42158,4		-
98		21407,59771		-		42992,3		+
99		21516,69132		+		42939,38		-
100		21509,57224		-		44230,97		+
101		21690,65885		+		45924,25		+
102		21950,05495		+		44714,51		-
103		21762,27225		-		42928,65		-
104		21508,13192		-		42756,7		-
105		21485,1992		-		42828,64		+
106		21494,75985		+		43542,17		+
107		21592,20022		+		42333,2		-
108		21429,9143		-		40959,96		-
109		21262,70755		-		40059,32		-
110		21163,43172		-		40613,38		+
111		21223,50915		+		40220,55		-
112		21180,58283		-		39180,23		-
113		21074,77974		-		40047,06		+
114		21162,1387		+		40115,67		+
115		21169,39493		+		40702,82		+
116		21233,50659		+		40465,11		-
117		21207,11827		-		40170,35		-
118		21175,21343		-		39875,77		-
119		21144,24015		-		39515,79		-
120		21107,64199		-		40789,03		+
121		21243,221		+		41914,3		+
122		21376,93096		+		42429,06		+
123		21442,27797		+		43336,22		+
124		21563,59259		+		43169,58		-
125		21540,73057		-		43325,09		+
126		21562,05764		+		44489,37		+
127		21728,67679		+		43633,67		-
128		21605,03422		-		43683,33		+
129		21612,03137		+		43862,73		+
130		21637,49413		+		44641,85		+
131		21751,38231		+		45002,63		+
132		21805,89582		+		45282,32		+
133		21848,90962		+		45698,49		+
134		21914,10389		+		45104,65		-
135		21821,51007		-		46335,45		+
136		22016,56903		+		47443,65		+
137		22202,21215		+		47163,5		-
138		22154,42808		-		46930,71		-
139		22115,15519		-		48132,11		+
140		22321,98722		+		48930,72		+
141		22464,91248		+		49088,14		+
142		22493,56802		+		49397,32		+
143		22550,29332		+		50121,05		+
144		22685,29942		+		49699,67		-
145		22606,32309		-		48989,65		-
146		22475,62164		-		49210,68		+
147		22515,98041		+		47715,08		-
148		22249,04177		-		48708,09		+
149		22424,65338		+		48006,84		-
150		22299,95045		-		48194,4		+
151		22332,98443		+		47890,75		-
152		22279,62386		-		47955,51		+
153		22290,95151		+		48200,39		+
154		22334,04314		+		47943,58		-
155		22288,86262		-		48625,74		+
156		22409,84195		+		48825,83		+
157		22445,90551		+		49525,55		+
158		22573,98977		+		49776,82		+
159		22620,70627		+		49567,61		-
160		22581,78385		-		49800,83		+
161		22625,18948		+		50621,01		+
162		22780,29303		+		50467,53		-
163		22750,98638		-		50551,02		+
164		22766,91277		+		51837,65		+
165		23016,87297		+		52835,66		+
166		23216,0917		+		53247,94		+
167		23299,5968		+		53520,24		+
168		23355,10654		+		56253,95		+
169		23925,39858		+		56985,69		+
170		24081,15971		+		55060,42		-
171		23673,81975		-		56432,58		+
172		23963,32838		+		57532,02		+
173		24198,04637		+		56592,36		-
174		23997,30927		-		57277,66		+
175		24143,57053		+		58983,91		+
176		24510,41013		+		58940,68		-
177		24501,08385		-		58296,28		-
178		24362,21985		-		57598,15		-
179		24212,22425		-		56988,75		-
180		24081,81308		-		57896,31		+
181		24276,21686		+		57227,66		-
182		24132,87302		-		56376,62		-
183		23951,43922		-		57266,53		+
184		24141,1888		+		56940,58		-
185		24071,52967		-		55865,39		-
186		23843,12503		-		56114,11		+
187		23895,75083		+		57175,59		+
188		24121,73712		+		56096,5		-
189		23892,02052		-		55475		-
190		23760,81246		-		55952,65		+
191		23861,57234		+		58107,95		+
192		24321,70341		+		59333,17		+
193		24585,79352		+		59917,84		+
194		24712,0831		+		59812,92		-
195		24689,41509		-		59080,2		-
196		24531,18696		-		59292,68		+
197		24577,05126		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24577.051264551323
New Prediction 1	20926.41785551615
New Prediction 2	21281.121264362155
New Prediction 3	21240.440218551077
New Prediction 4	21245.040627552233
New Prediction 5	21244.519563454414
New Prediction 6	21244.57855381106
New Prediction 7	21244.57182584448
New Prediction 8	21244.572605896697
New Prediction 9	21244.57250839014
New Prediction 10	21244.57250839014
New Prediction 11	21244.57250839014
New Prediction 12	21244.57250839014
New Prediction 13	21244.57250839014
New Prediction 14	21244.57250839014
New Prediction 15	21244.57250839014
New Prediction 16	21244.57250839014
New Prediction 17	21244.57250839014
New Prediction 18	21244.57250839014
New Prediction 19	21244.57250839014
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02809		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01733		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03583		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00456		+		1,47909		+
5		0,0265		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02884		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07025		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,0012		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00041		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00134		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,0013		-			2,19907		+
12		0,02404		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02454		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00176		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07299		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04276		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08251		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01019		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04171		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04319		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02495		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01985		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04577		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04738		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07863		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01221		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04305		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00423		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01171		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05993		+			0,09		-
31		0,00633		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10625		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04962		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08583		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03802		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19707		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02422		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11022		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12073		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01576		-		0,516		+
41		0,04785		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03497		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05805		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12397		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17512		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02247		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00202		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12944		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01277		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12574		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09825		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02316		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,2713		-			1,63492		+
54		0,20454		+			0,59647		-
55		0,0804		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13714		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07009		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12858		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08095		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20269		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10335		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,1202		-			-0,04404		+
64		-0,00643		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24829		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,3941		-			-0,20024		+
67		-0,02007		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05044		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11492		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03066		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17248		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21326		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12883		-			0,70337		-
74		0,0966		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25052		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11955		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00992		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55101		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75113		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17642		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13507		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04151		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33081		-		0,21548		+
84		0,0451		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54383		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39919		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11349		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07254		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50234		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00806		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13314		-		1,5163		+
92		0,41033		+			0,44716		-
93		0,1254		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36856		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,23023		+		0,93221		+
96		0,2473		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12587		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,40012		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50831		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03309		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83836		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18879		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85918		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,17467		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10668		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04449		+			1,65229		+
107		0,4523		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75443		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78331		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46799		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28347		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20246		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,50078		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41366		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03428		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30239		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12435		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15056		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14638		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17324		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64027		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62745		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30522		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56418		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10608		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09896		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76977		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,57065		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03238		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11775		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52497		+			0,80492		-
132		0,25031		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19706		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29794		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42343		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88991		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83966		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21545		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17743		+		2,52773		+
140		0,9309		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63825		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12748		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25187		+			1,45449		+
144		0,5969		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34875		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57984		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17941		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,19264		-		2,05976		+
149		0,7862		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55765		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14803		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23922		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05083		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19313		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,2025		-			1,41281		+
156		0,54131		+			0,41065		-
157		0,1608		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56901		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20673		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17221		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19203		+			1,63351		+
162		0,6832		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12873		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06998		+			2,51336		+
165		1,09193		+			1,90696		-
166		0,86181		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35904		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23796		-			4,98164		+
169		2,41249		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64892		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,706		-			2,46155		+
172		1,21549		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97472		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83302		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60764		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50798		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03806		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56838		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61759		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,54007		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80402		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59222		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75465		-		1,56618		+
184		0,7891		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28897		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95339		-		0,44422		+
187		0,22047		+			1,87398		+
188		0,94127		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95689		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,55068		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42316		+			3,77967		+
192		1,90998		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07997		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51235		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09177		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64294		-		0,359		+
197		0,18679		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,08008		+		-16,08008		+
2		1,6808		+			1,6808		+
3		-0,19134		-		-0,19134		-
4		0,02166		+			0,02166		+
5		-0,00245		-		-0,00245		-
6		0,00028		+			0,00028		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2978117602199225

 40.run Duration 	16 seconds 148 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@1d2fc36 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.002079706755200165
train epoch 1: 3.5966058855184044E-4
train epoch 2: 3.595902234548306E-4
train epoch 3: 3.595199074909746E-4
train epoch 4: 3.5944963996061913E-4
train epoch 5: 3.593794120679904E-4
train epoch 6: 3.5930922365041534E-4
train epoch 7: 3.5923907454564447E-4
train epoch 8: 3.5916896459186346E-4
train epoch 9: 3.59098893627686E-4
train epoch 10: 3.5902886149214396E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5895886802469643E-4
train epoch 12: 3.588889130652277E-4
train epoch 13: 3.5881899645404347E-4
train epoch 14: 3.587491180318709E-4
train epoch 15: 3.586792776398491E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5860947511954735E-4
train epoch 17: 3.585397103129543E-4
train epoch 18: 3.584699830624527E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5840029321087695E-4
train epoch 20: 3.583306406014463E-4
train epoch 21: 3.582610250777901E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5819144648397186E-4
train epoch 23: 3.581219046644441E-4
train epoch 24: 3.58052399464082E-4
train epoch 25: 3.579829307281552E-4
train epoch 26: 3.5791349830235593E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5784410203277975E-4
train epoch 28: 3.577747417659232E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5770541734868615E-4
train epoch 30: 3.576361286283818E-4
train epoch 31: 3.575668754527005E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5749765766975115E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5742847512803405E-4
train epoch 34: 3.573593276764644E-4
train epoch 35: 3.572902151643327E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5722113744133567E-4
train epoch 37: 3.571520943575608E-4
train epoch 38: 3.570830857634937E-4
train epoch 39: 3.570141115100118E-4
train epoch 40: 3.569451714483825E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5687626543025644E-4
train epoch 42: 3.568073933076108E-4
train epoch 43: 3.567385549329568E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5666975015913533E-4
train epoch 45: 3.566009788393454E-4
train epoch 46: 3.565322408271745E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5646353597660945E-4
train epoch 48: 3.563948641420016E-4
train epoch 49: 3.563262251780922E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5929037535274989
mae:0.7302617972904277
rmse:0.7700024373516612
mape:6.925054164267631
corr:0.97215682529095
theil coefficient:27.30214225745125
net profit:44.70805103733655
buy and hold:-6.9389258355579E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2269444215093226
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20735,81449		+		32155,21		+
1		20743,54133		+		32389,47		+
2		20747,89408		+		31833,73		-
3		20738,61982		-		31732,53		-
4		20737,32265		-		32205,37		+
5		20744,41901		+		32563,26		+
6		20751,54023		+		31042,99		-
7		20731,70181		-		30820,77		-
8		20731,08694		-		30789,2		-
9		20731,04692		-		30707,06		-
10		20730,998		-		31258,97		+
11		20732,85851		+		31953,99		+
12		20740,31829		+		32325,14		+
13		20746,63447		+		32302,07		-
14		20746,1946		-		33048,99		+
15		20763,61097		+		33379,53		+
16		20773,40467		+		32684,23		-
17		20754,28764		-		32577,09		-
18		20751,84563		-		32979,02		+
19		20761,70168		+		32560,89		-
20		20751,48812		-		32814,31		+
21		20757,43358		+		32615,92		-
22		20752,71509		-		33044,36		+
23		20763,48285		+		33408,62		+
24		20774,32769		+		33914,45		+
25		20791,9536		+		33841,77		-
26		20789,23796		-		34090,39		+
27		20798,78126		+		34113,74		+
28		20799,71436		+		34177,52		+
29		20802,29528		+		34486,01		+
30		20815,44238		+		34517,06		+
31		20816,82649		+		33954		-
32		20793,45712		-		34229,07		+
33		20804,4157		+		34656,83		+
34		20823,19445		+		34473,76		-
35		20814,89937		-		35341,2		+
36		20857,60895		+		35436,38		+
37		20862,81875		+		34985,45		-
38		20839,05068		-		35477,06		+
39		20865,07686		+		35415,91		-
40		20861,68961		-		35599,13		+
41		20871,96553		+		35465,95		-
42		20864,45828		-		35235,93		-
43		20851,96696		-		35713,98		+
44		20878,60095		+		36318,81		+
45		20915,999		+		36244,96		-
46		20911,21249		-		36238,27		-
47		20910,78191		-		36651,61		+
48		20938,32453		+		36690,84		+
49		20941,03744		+		37064,27		+
50		20967,71461		+		37341,66		+
51		20988,52509		+		37405,4		+
52		20993,42613		+		36616,43		-
53		20935,90623		-		37220		+
54		20979,29394		+		37442,67		+
55		20996,3124		+		37806,83		+
56		21025,30916		+		37986,17		+
57		21040,11711		+		37653,78		-
58		21012,94692		-		37864,77		+
59		21030,05528		+		38368,66		+
60		21072,85319		+		38115,81		-
61		21051,037		-		38117,31		+
62		21051,16439		+		37812,55		-
63		21025,77609		-		37795,9		-
64		21024,41792		-		37120,78		-
65		20971,88561		-		35873,33		-
66		20888,05437		-		35801,57		-
67		20883,76172		-		35980,06		+
68		20894,54628		+		35563,59		-
69		20869,94247		-		35678,19		+
70		20876,51718		+		36278,29		+
71		20913,36519		+		36940,33		+
72		20958,68976		+		37308,42		+
73		20985,98685		+		37571,76		+
74		21006,42651		+		38213,14		+
75		21059,35382		+		38501,45		+
76		21084,5835		+		38524,92		+
77		21086,67623		+		39739,74		+
78		21202,88234		+		41191,35		+
79		21361,44898		+		40866,67		-
80		21324,16941		-		41116,03		+
81		21352,7093		+		41039,94		-
82		21343,9363		-		40415,4		-
83		21274,07567		-		40502,58		+
84		21283,59586		+		41505,67		+
85		21398,51235		+		42194,73		+
86		21483,05392		+		42002,34		-
87		21458,99973		-		42125,61		+
88		21474,37223		+		42951,75		+
89		21581,01351		+		42938,85		-
90		21579,30062		-		42724,09		-
91		21551,00493		-		43376,85		+
92		21638,2883		+		43571,25		+
93		21665,01139		+		42993,27		-
94		21586,53672		-		42621,33		-
95		21537,6134		-		43020,51		+
96		21590,16868		+		42818,62		-
97		21563,4084		-		42158,4		-
98		21478,48519		-		42992,3		+
99		21586,40746		+		42939,38		-
100		21579,37101		-		44230,97		+
101		21758,13145		+		45924,25		+
102		22013,55341		+		44714,51		-
103		21828,71307		-		42928,65		-
104		21577,9473		-		42756,7		-
105		21555,27462		-		42828,64		+
106		21564,72791		+		43542,17		+
107		21660,99295		+		42333,2		-
108		21500,57957		-		40959,96		-
109		21334,77553		-		40059,32		-
110		21235,9813		-		40613,38		+
111		21295,8044		+		40220,55		-
112		21253,07234		-		39180,23		-
113		21147,45281		-		40047,06		+
114		21234,69238		+		40115,67		+
115		21241,92483		+		40702,82		+
116		21305,74818		+		40465,11		-
117		21279,49479		-		40170,35		-
118		21247,72288		-		39875,77		-
119		21216,84409		-		39515,79		-
120		21180,30887		-		40789,03		+
121		21315,40757		+		41914,3		+
122		21448,10772		+		42429,06		+
123		21512,81608		+		43336,22		+
124		21632,74496		+		43169,58		-
125		21610,1619		-		43325,09		+
126		21631,22898		+		44489,37		+
127		21795,60859		+		43633,67		-
128		21673,66193		-		43683,33		+
129		21680,56818		+		43862,73		+
130		21705,69473		+		44641,85		+
131		21817,98357		+		45002,63		+
132		21871,68186		+		45282,32		+
133		21914,03212		+		45698,49		+
134		21978,1893		+		45104,65		-
135		21887,05723		-		46335,45		+
136		22078,95554		+		47443,65		+
137		22261,33886		+		47163,5		-
138		22214,41385		-		46930,71		-
139		22175,83709		-		48132,11		+
140		22378,90764		+		48930,72		+
141		22519,11378		+		49088,14		+
142		22547,21423		+		49397,32		+
143		22602,83189		+		50121,05		+
144		22735,15914		+		49699,67		-
145		22657,75681		-		48989,65		-
146		22529,61585		-		49210,68		+
147		22569,19035		+		47715,08		-
148		22307,31451		-		48708,09		+
149		22479,62919		+		48006,84		-
150		22357,28213		-		48194,4		+
151		22389,69878		+		47890,75		-
152		22337,33281		-		47955,51		+
153		22348,45046		+		48200,39		+
154		22390,73762		+		47943,58		-
155		22346,40034		-		48625,74		+
156		22465,10108		+		48825,83		+
157		22500,47327		+		49525,55		+
158		22626,06233		+		49776,82		+
159		22671,85474		+		49567,61		-
160		22633,70272		-		49800,83		+
161		22676,24891		+		50621,01		+
162		22828,2363		+		50467,53		-
163		22799,52342		-		50551,02		+
164		22815,1274		+		51837,65		+
165		23059,95286		+		52835,66		+
166		23255,00056		+		53247,94		+
167		23336,74244		+		53520,24		+
168		23391,07631		+		56253,95		+
169		23949,20344		+		56985,69		+
170		24101,64326		+		55060,42		-
171		23702,99998		-		56432,58		+
172		23986,32362		+		57532,02		+
173		24216,04548		+		56592,36		-
174		24019,57958		-		57277,66		+
175		24162,72649		+		58983,91		+
176		24521,82318		+		58940,68		-
177		24512,69213		-		58296,28		-
178		24376,74611		-		57598,15		-
179		24229,92262		-		56988,75		-
180		24102,28272		-		57896,31		+
181		24292,55964		+		57227,66		-
182		24152,25638		-		56376,62		-
183		23974,68819		-		57266,53		+
184		24160,39539		+		56940,58		-
185		24092,21826		-		55865,39		-
186		23868,68725		-		56114,11		+
187		23920,1888		+		57175,59		+
188		24141,35726		+		56096,5		-
189		23916,53816		-		55475		-
190		23788,13374		-		55952,65		+
191		23886,74041		+		58107,95		+
192		24337,08462		+		59333,17		+
193		24595,63229		+		59917,84		+
194		24719,30072		+		59812,92		-
195		24697,10159		-		59080,2		-
196		24542,16545		-		59292,68		+
197		24587,07226		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24587.072257091684
New Prediction 1	20949.313180064906
New Prediction 2	21277.59912309355
New Prediction 3	21242.31459136487
New Prediction 4	21246.055090765163
New Prediction 5	21245.657919807374
New Prediction 6	21245.700143938957
New Prediction 7	21245.695665546347
New Prediction 8	21245.69612252435
New Prediction 9	21245.696031128733
New Prediction 10	21245.696031128733
New Prediction 11	21245.696031128733
New Prediction 12	21245.696031128733
New Prediction 13	21245.696031128733
New Prediction 14	21245.696031128733
New Prediction 15	21245.696031128733
New Prediction 16	21245.696031128733
New Prediction 17	21245.696031128733
New Prediction 18	21245.696031128733
New Prediction 19	21245.696031128733
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03726		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02098		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04471		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00626		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03421		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03432		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,09565		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00297		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00019		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,00024		-		1,78138		+
11		0,00897		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03597		+			1,15482		-
13		0,03045		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00212		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08391		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04716		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09207		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01177		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04748		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04921		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02865		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02273		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05187		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05222		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08481		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01306		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04589		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00449		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01241		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06318		+			0,09		-
31		0,00665		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11232		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05269		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09022		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03984		-		2,4851		+
36		0,20498		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02497		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11399		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12481		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01624		-		0,516		+
41		0,04925		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03597		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05989		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12765		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17896		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02289		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00206		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13163		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01296		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12731		+			0,74562		-
51		0,0992		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02335		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27437		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20703		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08109		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13801		+			0,47324		-
57		0,0704		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12922		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08139		+			1,32199		+
60		0,2033		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10358		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12068		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00646		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25018		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40053		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02055		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05163		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11782		-		0,32172		+
70		0,0315		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17635		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21649		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13016		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09735		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25164		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11973		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00992		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54957		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74507		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17467		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13375		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04109		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32785		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04474		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53848		+			1,64653		-
86		0,3943		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11203		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07161		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49537		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00794		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13121		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40419		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12342		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36288		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,2269		+			0,93221		+
96		0,24372		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12402		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39461		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50121		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,0326		-			2,96359		+
101		0,82497		+			3,75681		+
102		1,16708		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84321		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15544		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10513		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04385		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44541		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74332		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77415		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46414		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28131		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20086		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,4982		-			2,1883		+
114		0,41168		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03405		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30001		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,1233		-			-0,7311		-
118		-0,14942		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14543		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17235		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63582		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62063		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30124		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55593		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10445		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09744		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75705		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56107		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03186		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11583		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51599		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24582		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19344		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29234		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41551		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87294		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82266		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21101		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17381		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91156		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62456		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12471		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24637		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58374		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34103		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,56716		-		0,45016		+
147		0,1755		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,16711		-		2,05976		+
149		0,76949		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54574		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14489		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23416		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04976		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18904		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19821		-		1,41281		+
156		0,52978		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15733		-			1,42292		+
158		0,55661		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20218		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16842		-		0,46941		+
161		0,1878		+			1,63351		+
162		0,66801		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12586		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06842		+			2,51336		+
165		1,06737		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84227		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35089		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23255		-			4,98164		+
169		2,35805		+			1,29239		-
170		0,6345		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,66784		-		2,46155		+
172		1,18822		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95316		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,81461		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59419		+			2,9354		+
176		1,47522		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03724		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55614		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60413		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,52818		+		1,57998		+
181		0,78636		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,57923		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,73792		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77161		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28258		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,93215		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21554		+			1,87398		+
188		0,92036		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,93562		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,53833		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41366		+			3,77967		+
192		1,86778		+			2,0866		-
193		1,05676		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50155		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,08985		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,62932		-		0,359		+
197		0,18281		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,01149		+		-16,01149		+
2		1,5549		+			1,5549		+
3		-0,16597		-		-0,16597		-
4		0,01761		+			0,01761		+
5		-0,00187		-		-0,00187		-
6		0,0002		+			0,0002		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29645187676374946

 41.run Duration 	16 seconds 617 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@ac6a45 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 9.398939111887126E-4
train epoch 1: 3.6246705997867513E-4
train epoch 2: 3.62271262836338E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6207565069764665E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6188197390235664E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6170780866815936E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6157651042807E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6146080042697825E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6134519868746606E-4
train epoch 9: 3.612297048803684E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6111431867769035E-4
train epoch 11: 3.609990397525865E-4
train epoch 12: 3.608838677793702E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6076880243350866E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6065384339159084E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6053899033136724E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6042424293171194E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6030960087263275E-4
train epoch 18: 3.601950638352683E-4
train epoch 19: 3.600806315018777E-4
train epoch 20: 3.59966303555845E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5985207968166195E-4
train epoch 22: 3.597379595649348E-4
train epoch 23: 3.59623942892379E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5951002935181455E-4
train epoch 25: 3.593962186321439E-4
train epoch 26: 3.592825104233824E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5916890441663147E-4
train epoch 28: 3.590554003040765E-4
train epoch 29: 3.589419977789941E-4
train epoch 30: 3.588286965357274E-4
train epoch 31: 3.587154962697162E-4
train epoch 32: 3.586023966774408E-4
train epoch 33: 3.584893974564773E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5837649830545044E-4
train epoch 35: 3.58263698924061E-4
train epoch 36: 3.58150999013049E-4
train epoch 37: 3.580383982742012E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5792589641038086E-4
train epoch 39: 3.578134931254659E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5770118812440184E-4
train epoch 41: 3.575889811131597E-4
train epoch 42: 3.574768717987424E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5736485988918713E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5725294509355654E-4
train epoch 45: 3.571411271219381E-4
train epoch 46: 3.570294056854303E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5691778049615886E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5680625126724213E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5669481771291437E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5988808497101409
mae:0.7338975904539372
rmse:0.7738739236530333
mape:6.958119119092442
corr:0.9695155064130772
theil coefficient:27.518381366092253
net profit:42.71133749551016
buy and hold:-7.263313878499519E-4
mean profit per trade:0.21680881977416325
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20689,78415		+		32155,21		+
1		20694,49421		+		32389,47		+
2		20697,56044		+		31833,73		-
3		20691,3268		-		31732,53		-
4		20690,57899		-		32205,37		+
5		20695,097		+		32563,26		+
6		20700,2478		+		31042,99		-
7		20688,66318		-		30820,77		-
8		20689,22752		+		30789,2		-
9		20689,35442		+		30707,06		-
10		20689,73907		+		31258,97		+
11		20688,66671		-		31953,99		+
12		20692,37068		+		32325,14		+
13		20696,6548		+		32302,07		-
14		20696,34175		-		33048,99		+
15		20709,62013		+		33379,53		+
16		20717,56277		+		32684,23		-
17		20702,3257		-		32577,09		-
18		20700,47674		-		32979,02		+
19		20708,10118		+		32560,89		-
20		20700,20879		-		32814,31		+
21		20704,74982		+		32615,92		-
22		20701,13143		-		33044,36		+
23		20709,51786		+		33408,62		+
24		20718,32234		+		33914,45		+
25		20733,09295		+		33841,77		-
26		20730,78904		-		34090,39		+
27		20738,92193		+		34113,74		+
28		20739,72229		+		34177,52		+
29		20741,9404		+		34486,01		+
30		20753,32794		+		34517,06		+
31		20754,53452		+		33954		-
32		20734,37221		-		34229,07		+
33		20743,76733		+		34656,83		+
34		20760,10249		+		34473,76		-
35		20752,85494		-		35341,2		+
36		20790,58051		+		35436,38		+
37		20795,24055		+		34985,45		-
38		20774,07232		-		35477,06		+
39		20797,26353		+		35415,91		-
40		20794,22968		-		35599,13		+
41		20803,44613		+		35465,95		-
42		20796,70918		-		35235,93		-
43		20785,54596		-		35713,98		+
44		20809,41655		+		36318,81		+
45		20843,3028		+		36244,96		-
46		20838,94585		-		36238,27		-
47		20838,55417		-		36651,61		+
48		20863,69035		+		36690,84		+
49		20866,17461		+		37064,27		+
50		20890,67349		+		37341,66		+
51		20909,86437		+		37405,4		+
52		20914,39313		+		36616,43		-
53		20861,47707		-		37220		+
54		20901,34368		+		37442,67		+
55		20917,06171		+		37806,83		+
56		20943,9311		+		37986,17		+
57		20957,69138		+		37653,78		-
58		20932,46299		-		37864,77		+
59		20948,33872		+		38368,66		+
60		20988,19392		+		38115,81		-
61		20967,85407		-		38117,31		+
62		20967,9727		+		37812,55		-
63		20944,36461		-		37795,9		-
64		20943,10371		-		37120,78		-
65		20894,51463		-		35873,33		-
66		20817,94625		-		35801,57		-
67		20814,06972		-		35980,06		+
68		20823,81882		+		35563,59		-
69		20801,62872		-		35678,19		+
70		20807,54008		+		36278,29		+
71		20840,90471		+		36940,33		+
72		20882,37191		+		37308,42		+
73		20907,52026		+		37571,76		+
74		20926,42173		+		38213,14		+
75		20975,6025		+		38501,45		+
76		20999,14927		+		38524,92		+
77		21001,10505		+		39739,74		+
78		21110,24531		+		41191,35		+
79		21260,46849		+		40866,67		-
80		21225,04215		-		41116,03		+
81		21252,15796		+		41039,94		-
82		21243,81896		-		40415,4		-
83		21177,53755		-		40502,58		+
84		21186,55643		+		41505,67		+
85		21295,74631		+		42194,73		+
86		21376,40674		+		42002,34		-
87		21353,43129		-		42125,61		+
88		21368,11215		+		42951,75		+
89		21470,16267		+		42938,85		-
90		21468,52083		-		42724,09		-
91		21441,41104		-		43376,85		+
92		21525,10835		+		43571,25		+
93		21550,7745		+		42993,27		-
94		21475,45735		-		42621,33		-
95		21428,58896		-		43020,51		+
96		21478,9395		+		42818,62		-
97		21453,29181		-		42158,4		-
98		21372,04141		-		42992,3		+
99		21475,33343		+		42939,38		-
100		21468,5883		-		44230,97		+
101		21640,34879		+		45924,25		+
102		21886,99884		+		44714,51		-
103		21708,37468		-		42928,65		-
104		21467,22371		-		42756,7		-
105		21445,5003		-		42828,64		+
106		21454,55598		+		43542,17		+
107		21546,91382		+		42333,2		-
108		21393,15848		-		40959,96		-
109		21235,11491		-		40059,32		-
110		21141,49581		-		40613,38		+
111		21198,12859		+		40220,55		-
112		21157,65646		-		39180,23		-
113		21058,06369		-		40047,06		+
114		21140,2777		+		40115,67		+
115		21147,11399		+		40702,82		+
116		21207,5593		+		40465,11		-
117		21182,67076		-		40170,35		-
118		21152,59652		-		39875,77		-
119		21123,41959		-		39515,79		-
120		21088,97023		-		40789,03		+
121		21216,72471		+		41914,3		+
122		21343,03423		+		42429,06		+
123		21404,86048		+		43336,22		+
124		21519,78657		+		43169,58		-
125		21498,11458		-		43325,09		+
126		21518,33133		+		44489,37		+
127		21676,45543		+		43633,67		-
128		21559,0868		-		43683,33		+
129		21565,72435		+		43862,73		+
130		21589,88321		+		44641,85		+
131		21698,02678		+		45002,63		+
132		21749,83917		+		45282,32		+
133		21790,74302		+		45698,49		+
134		21852,77432		+		45104,65		-
135		21764,68534		-		46335,45		+
136		21950,35104		+		47443,65		+
137		22127,38484		+		47163,5		-
138		22081,78705		-		46930,71		-
139		22044,32632		-		48132,11		+
140		22241,76811		+		48930,72		+
141		22378,42124		+		49088,14		+
142		22405,8401		+		49397,32		+
143		22460,13762		+		50121,05		+
144		22589,47318		+		49699,67		-
145		22513,79571		-		48989,65		-
146		22388,66742		-		49210,68		+
147		22427,29005		+		47715,08		-
148		22172,09145		-		48708,09		+
149		22339,91129		+		48006,84		-
150		22220,71398		-		48194,4		+
151		22252,27652		+		47890,75		-
152		22201,29748		-		47955,51		+
153		22212,11751		+		48200,39		+
154		22253,28823		+		47943,58		-
155		22210,12215		-		48625,74		+
156		22325,74684		+		48825,83		+
157		22360,23837		+		49525,55		+
158		22482,82785		+		49776,82		+
159		22527,57427		+		49567,61		-
160		22490,29198		-		49800,83		+
161		22531,86937		+		50621,01		+
162		22680,5668		+		50467,53		-
163		22652,45547		-		50551,02		+
164		22667,73141		+		51837,65		+
165		22907,75325		+		52835,66		+
166		23099,4128		+		53247,94		+
167		23179,84447		+		53520,24		+
168		23233,34224		+		56253,95		+
169		23784,40943		+		56985,69		+
170		23935,38291		+		55060,42		-
171		23540,9853		-		56432,58		+
172		23821,15487		+		57532,02		+
173		24048,80952		+		56592,36		-
174		23854,0848		-		57277,66		+
175		23995,93203		+		58983,91		+
176		24352,49367		+		58940,68		-
177		24343,41444		-		58296,28		-
178		24208,31746		-		57598,15		-
179		24062,57551		-		56988,75		-
180		23936,01663		-		57896,31		+
181		24124,73008		+		57227,66		-
182		23985,55132		-		56376,62		-
183		23809,63566		-		57266,53		+
184		23993,62075		+		56940,58		-
185		23926,04303		-		55865,39		-
186		23704,74563		-		56114,11		+
187		23755,69569		+		57175,59		+
188		23974,7462		+		56096,5		-
189		23752,08341		-		55475		-
190		23625,09964		-		55952,65		+
191		23722,60294		+		58107,95		+
192		24168,93119		+		59333,17		+
193		24425,90781		+		59917,84		+
194		24549,00942		+		59812,92		-
195		24526,90331		-		59080,2		-
196		24372,72283		-		59292,68		+
197		24417,3914		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24417.3914039684
New Prediction 1	20949.609286926927
New Prediction 2	21278.006358336097
New Prediction 3	21241.679696848623
New Prediction 4	21245.64616112483
New Prediction 5	21245.212427207833
New Prediction 6	21245.259869625905
New Prediction 7	21245.25469228803
New Prediction 8	21245.25525708744
New Prediction 9	21245.255162954192
New Prediction 10	21245.255162954192
New Prediction 11	21245.255162954192
New Prediction 12	21245.255162954192
New Prediction 13	21245.255162954192
New Prediction 14	21245.255162954192
New Prediction 15	21245.255162954192
New Prediction 16	21245.255162954192
New Prediction 17	21245.255162954192
New Prediction 18	21245.255162954192
New Prediction 19	21245.255162954192
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02276		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01482		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03012		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00361		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02183		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02489		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,05598		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00273		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00061		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00186		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00518		-		2,19907		+
12		0,0179		+			1,15482		-
13		0,0207		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00151		-		2,28597		+
15		0,06414		+			0,99518		-
16		0,03835		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,07357		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00893		+		1,22623		+
19		0,03683		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,03812		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02193		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01748		-		1,30504		+
23		0,0405		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04251		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07127		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01111		-		0,73197		+
27		0,03922		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00386		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01069		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05489		+			0,09		-
31		0,00581		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,09719		-		0,80686		+
33		0,0453		+			1,24195		+
34		0,07872		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03492		-		2,4851		+
36		0,18162		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02241		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10185		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11157		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01459		-		0,516		+
41		0,04431		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03239		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05369		-		1,34759		+
44		0,11478		+			1,67936		+
45		0,16271		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02091		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00188		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12055		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01191		-			1,01263		+
50		0,11734		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09182		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02166		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,25333		-		1,63492		+
54		0,19092		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07517		-			0,96788		+
56		0,12837		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06568		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12045		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07581		+			1,32199		+
60		0,19007		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,09696		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00057		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11265		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00602		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,23227		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,36713		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01862		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04683		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,10662		-		0,32172		+
70		0,02841		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16022		+			1,80844		+
72		0,19877		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12036		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09036		-			1,69267		+
75		0,23474		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11219		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00931		-			3,10464		+
78		0,51834		+			3,58766		+
79		0,70909		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,16677		-		0,60833		+
81		0,12767		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,03925		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,31249		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04258		+			2,44644		+
85		0,51405		+			1,64653		-
86		0,37805		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,10754		-		0,29305		+
88		0,06873		+			1,94215		+
89		0,47645		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00765		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,12636		-		1,5163		+
92		0,38959		+			0,44716		-
93		0,11917		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,3501		-			-0,86888		+
95		-0,21848		+		0,93221		+
96		0,23469		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,11948		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,37945		-		1,95871		+
99		0,48214		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03141		-		2,96359		+
101		0,79687		+			3,75681		+
102		1,13332		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,81947		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,11708		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10124		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04222		+			1,65229		+
107		0,42956		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,71614		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,7415		-			-2,22336		+
110		-0,44184		+		1,37362		+
111		0,26752		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19111		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,47183		-		2,1883		+
114		0,38966		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03233		-			1,45303		+
116		0,28542		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,11743		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14208		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,13803		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,16322		-		3,17128		+
121		0,60396		+			2,72139		-
122		0,59356		-			1,22064		-
123		0,28926		-			2,11553		+
124		0,53548		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10076		-		0,35958		+
126		0,094		+			2,65184		+
127		0,73215		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,54293		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03078		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11196		+			1,76068		+
131		0,49965		+			0,80492		-
132		0,2385		-			0,61957		-
133		0,18789		-			0,91486		+
134		0,28426		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,40392		-		2,6922		+
136		0,84944		+			2,36354		-
137		0,80328		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,20628		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,16979		+		2,52773		+
140		0,89167		+			1,64559		-
141		0,61252		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12245		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24204		+			1,45449		+
144		0,57419		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,33557		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,55734		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17236		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,14442		-		2,05976		+
149		0,75405		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,53499		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14194		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,22936		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04872		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18518		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19416		-		1,41281		+
156		0,51924		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15437		-			1,42292		+
158		0,54675		+			0,50607		-
159		0,19883		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16563		-		0,46941		+
161		0,1847		+			1,63351		+
162		0,65777		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12402		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06741		+			2,51336		+
165		1,0533		+			1,90696		-
166		0,83318		-			0,77728		-
167		0,34759		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23053		-			4,98164		+
169		2,34419		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63275		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,66149		-		2,46155		+
172		1,18311		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95114		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,813		-			1,20367		+
175		0,59288		+			2,9354		+
176		1,47499		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03729		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55651		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60385		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,52735		+		1,57998		+
181		0,78532		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,57858		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,73613		-		1,56618		+
184		0,76976		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28205		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,92923		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21471		+			1,87398		+
188		0,91787		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,93308		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,53606		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41186		+			3,77967		+
192		1,86397		+			2,0866		-
193		1,05764		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50271		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09009		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,6306		-			0,359		+
197		0,18311		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,31756		+		-15,31756		+
2		1,5554		+			1,5554		+
3		-0,17087		-		-0,17087		-
4		0,01867		+			0,01867		+
5		-0,00204		-		-0,00204		-
6		0,00022		+			0,00022		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29944042485507044

 42.run Duration 	16 seconds 351 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@175078b ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 7.025243721162025E-4
train epoch 1: 3.620670028529224E-4
train epoch 2: 3.619087815938035E-4
train epoch 3: 3.617515411064907E-4
train epoch 4: 3.61616931700537E-4
train epoch 5: 3.615373035636316E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6146912877357547E-4
train epoch 7: 3.614010010658301E-4
train epoch 8: 3.613329148990197E-4
train epoch 9: 3.612648701332661E-4
train epoch 10: 3.611968666290212E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6112890424709767E-4
train epoch 12: 3.610609828486662E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6099310229524426E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6092526244869516E-4
train epoch 15: 3.608574631712217E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6078970432539855E-4
train epoch 17: 3.607219857741154E-4
train epoch 18: 3.60654307380623E-4
train epoch 19: 3.6058666900850325E-4
train epoch 20: 3.605190705217149E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6045151178450873E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6038399266151037E-4
train epoch 23: 3.6031651301767566E-4
train epoch 24: 3.602490727183239E-4
train epoch 25: 3.601816716290691E-4
train epoch 26: 3.6011430961588764E-4
train epoch 27: 3.600469865450605E-4
train epoch 28: 3.599797022832392E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5991245669741306E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5984524965487E-4
train epoch 31: 3.597780810232496E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5971095067052555E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5964385846500176E-4
train epoch 34: 3.595768042752972E-4
train epoch 35: 3.595097879703765E-4
train epoch 36: 3.594428094195274E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5937586849235485E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5930896505880725E-4
train epoch 39: 3.592420989891417E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5917527015393816E-4
train epoch 41: 3.591084784241026E-4
train epoch 42: 3.590417236708726E-4
train epoch 43: 3.589750057658188E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5890832458079016E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5884167998798924E-4
train epoch 46: 3.587750718599276E-4
train epoch 47: 3.587085000694318E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5864196448964016E-4
train epoch 49: 3.585754649940339E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5968358594434353
mae:0.7328850655748409
rmse:0.7725515254294922
mape:6.959946165476977
corr:0.9703379486885664
theil coefficient:27.37853178710966
net profit:44.17429577838553
buy and hold:-7.022768443367222E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22423500395119558
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20681,8564		+		32155,21		+
1		20687,25688		+		32389,47		+
2		20690,64845		+		31833,73		-
3		20683,67549		-		31732,53		-
4		20682,80517		-		32205,37		+
5		20687,92765		+		32563,26		+
6		20693,59001		+		31042,99		-
7		20680,15463		-		30820,77		-
8		20680,51951		+		30789,2		-
9		20680,61955		+		30707,06		-
10		20680,93605		+		31258,97		+
11		20680,36949		-		31953,99		+
12		20684,86982		+		32325,14		+
13		20689,65148		+		32302,07		-
14		20689,30605		-		33048,99		+
15		20703,73048		+		33379,53		+
16		20712,24404		+		32684,23		-
17		20695,85129		-		32577,09		-
18		20693,83965		-		32979,02		+
19		20702,09566		+		32560,89		-
20		20693,54746		-		32814,31		+
21		20698,47847		+		32615,92		-
22		20694,55282		-		33044,36		+
23		20703,62049		+		33408,62		+
24		20713,05571		+		33914,45		+
25		20728,77994		+		33841,77		-
26		20726,3335		-		34090,39		+
27		20734,9616		+		34113,74		+
28		20735,80957		+		34177,52		+
29		20738,15869		+		34486,01		+
30		20750,19972		+		34517,06		+
31		20751,47389		+		33954		-
32		20730,13755		-		34229,07		+
33		20740,09254		+		34656,83		+
34		20757,35015		+		34473,76		-
35		20749,70015		-		35341,2		+
36		20789,43295		+		35436,38		+
37		20794,32855		+		34985,45		-
38		20772,07095		-		35477,06		+
39		20796,45312		+		35415,91		-
40		20793,26677		-		35599,13		+
41		20802,94383		+		35465,95		-
42		20795,87097		-		35235,93		-
43		20784,14135		-		35713,98		+
44		20809,20859		+		36318,81		+
45		20844,7152		+		36244,96		-
46		20840,15414		-		36238,27		-
47		20839,74405		-		36651,61		+
48		20866,04386		+		36690,84		+
49		20868,64133		+		37064,27		+
50		20894,24162		+		37341,66		+
51		20914,27806		+		37405,4		+
52		20919,00437		+		36616,43		-
53		20863,72945		-		37220		+
54		20905,38367		+		37442,67		+
55		20921,78903		+		37806,83		+
56		20949,81405		+		37986,17		+
57		20964,15763		+		37653,78		-
58		20937,85553		-		37864,77		+
59		20954,40912		+		38368,66		+
60		20995,93474		+		38115,81		-
61		20974,74769		-		38117,31		+
62		20974,87129		+		37812,55		-
63		20950,26603		-		37795,9		-
64		20948,95142		-		37120,78		-
65		20898,25313		-		35873,33		-
66		20818,15378		-		35801,57		-
67		20814,08912		-		35980,06		+
68		20824,30923		+		35563,59		-
69		20801,03622		-		35678,19		+
70		20807,23994		+		36278,29		+
71		20842,2049		+		36940,33		+
72		20885,56975		+		37308,42		+
73		20911,83141		+		37571,76		+
74		20931,55426		+		38213,14		+
75		20982,82011		+		38501,45		+
76		21007,34217		+		38524,92		+
77		21009,37836		+		39739,74		+
78		21122,88103		+		41191,35		+
79		21278,79363		+		40866,67		-
80		21242,05303		-		41116,03		+
81		21270,17617		+		41039,94		-
82		21261,52836		-		40415,4		-
83		21192,76072		-		40502,58		+
84		21202,12133		+		41505,67		+
85		21315,36523		+		42194,73		+
86		21398,93185		+		42002,34		-
87		21375,13565		-		42125,61		+
88		21390,34158		+		42951,75		+
89		21495,98301		+		42938,85		-
90		21494,28418		-		42724,09		-
91		21466,22978		-		43376,85		+
92		21552,82192		+		43571,25		+
93		21579,36337		+		42993,27		-
94		21501,4613		-		42621,33		-
95		21452,95853		-		43020,51		+
96		21505,06407		+		42818,62		-
97		21478,52536		-		42158,4		-
98		21394,411		-		42992,3		+
99		21501,33309		+		42939,38		-
100		21494,35399		-		44230,97		+
101		21671,94929		+		45924,25		+
102		21926,57279		+		44714,51		-
103		21742,2195		-		42928,65		-
104		21492,94201		-		42756,7		-
105		21470,46195		-		42828,64		+
106		21479,83359		+		43542,17		+
107		21575,37139		+		42333,2		-
108		21416,27863		-		40959,96		-
109		21252,50106		-		40059,32		-
110		21155,34167		-		40613,38		+
111		21214,13035		+		40220,55		-
112		21172,12223		-		39180,23		-
113		21068,64226		-		40047,06		+
114		21154,07667		+		40115,67		+
115		21161,1758		+		40702,82		+
116		21223,91574		+		40465,11		-
117		21198,08857		-		40170,35		-
118		21166,86861		-		39875,77		-
119		21136,56735		-		39515,79		-
120		21100,77299		-		40789,03		+
121		21233,42473		+		41914,3		+
122		21364,36536		+		42429,06		+
123		21428,39465		+		43336,22		+
124		21547,31794		+		43169,58		-
125		21524,9014		-		43325,09		+
126		21545,81283		+		44489,37		+
127		21709,25163		+		43633,67		-
128		21587,95793		-		43683,33		+
129		21594,82046		+		43862,73		+
130		21619,79508		+		44641,85		+
131		21731,53251		+		45002,63		+
132		21785,03465		+		45282,32		+
133		21827,2584		+		45698,49		+
134		21891,26827		+		45104,65		-
135		21800,3613		-		46335,45		+
136		21991,90278		+		47443,65		+
137		22174,32153		+		47163,5		-
138		22127,35631		-		46930,71		-
139		22088,76212		-		48132,11		+
140		22292,07704		+		48930,72		+
141		22432,65283		+		49088,14		+
142		22460,8451		+		49397,32		+
143		22516,66091		+		50121,05		+
144		22649,54262		+		49699,67		-
145		22571,80218		-		48989,65		-
146		22443,18855		-		49210,68		+
147		22482,89695		+		47715,08		-
148		22220,35597		-		48708,09		+
149		22393,04896		+		48006,84		-
150		22270,40834		-		48194,4		+
151		22302,89116		+		47890,75		-
152		22250,42264		-		47955,51		+
153		22261,56016		+		48200,39		+
154		22303,93227		+		47943,58		-
155		22259,5063		-		48625,74		+
156		22378,47989		+		48825,83		+
157		22413,95457		+		49525,55		+
158		22539,98041		+		49776,82		+
159		22585,95885		+		49567,61		-
160		22547,65087		-		49800,83		+
161		22590,37159		+		50621,01		+
162		22743,07505		+		50467,53		-
163		22714,21625		-		50551,02		+
164		22729,89894		+		51837,65		+
165		22976,13533		+		52835,66		+
166		23172,52139		+		53247,94		+
167		23254,87469		+		53520,24		+
168		23309,6304		+		56253,95		+
169		23872,71641		+		56985,69		+
170		24026,68265		+		55060,42		-
171		23624,19446		-		56432,58		+
172		23910,20221		+		57532,02		+
173		24142,27204		+		56592,36		-
174		23943,7891		-		57277,66		+
175		24088,39548		+		58983,91		+
176		24451,38115		+		58940,68		-
177		24442,14752		-		58296,28		-
178		24304,69613		-		57598,15		-
179		24156,29548		-		56988,75		-
180		24027,32865		-		57896,31		+
181		24219,59892		+		57227,66		-
182		24077,81675		-		56376,62		-
183		23898,45174		-		57266,53		+
184		24086,04017		+		56940,58		-
185		24017,1614		-		55865,39		-
186		23791,4212		-		56114,11		+
187		23843,4188		+		57175,59		+
188		24066,80486		+		56096,5		-
189		23839,73274		-		55475		-
190		23710,10822		-		55952,65		+
191		23809,64733		+		58107,95		+
192		24264,60347		+		59333,17		+
193		24526,02602		+		59917,84		+
194		24651,11996		+		59812,92		-
195		24628,66269		-		59080,2		-
196		24471,9526		-		59292,68		+
197		24517,36847		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24517.36847152084
New Prediction 1	20935.19073114821
New Prediction 2	21279.938254390087
New Prediction 3	21240.928021740994
New Prediction 4	21245.282249048898
New Prediction 5	21244.795505257513
New Prediction 6	21244.849877847446
New Prediction 7	21244.84381494466
New Prediction 8	21244.844488599047
New Prediction 9	21244.84439236268
New Prediction 10	21244.844488599047
New Prediction 11	21244.84439236268
New Prediction 12	21244.844488599047
New Prediction 13	21244.84439236268
New Prediction 14	21244.844488599047
New Prediction 15	21244.84439236268
New Prediction 16	21244.844488599047
New Prediction 17	21244.84439236268
New Prediction 18	21244.844488599047
New Prediction 19	21244.84439236268
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02611		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01639		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03371		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00421		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02476		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02737		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,06495		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00176		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00048		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00153		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00274		-		2,19907		+
12		0,02176		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02311		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00167		-		2,28597		+
15		0,06969		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04111		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,07918		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00972		+		1,22623		+
19		0,03989		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,0413		-			0,77528		+
21		0,02383		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01897		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04381		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04556		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07589		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,0118		-			0,73197		+
27		0,04162		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00409		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01133		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05805		+			0,09		-
31		0,00614		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10287		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04801		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08317		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03686		-		2,4851		+
36		0,1913		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02355		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10709		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11731		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01532		-		0,516		+
41		0,04653		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03401		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05642		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12053		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17048		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02188		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00197		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12612		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01245		-			1,01263		+
50		0,1226		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09585		-			0,17055		-
52		0,0226		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26458		-		1,63492		+
54		0,19945		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07844		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13386		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06844		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12554		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07903		+			1,32199		+
60		0,19798		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10096		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00059		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11738		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00628		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,2423		-			-3,41828		-
66		-0,38402		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01953		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04909		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11182		-		0,32172		+
70		0,02982		+			1,66799		+
71		0,1679		+			1,80844		+
72		0,20785		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12566		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09427		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24462		+			0,75165		-
76		0,1168		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00969		-			3,10464		+
78		0,53879		+			3,58766		+
79		0,73541		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17281		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13231		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04067		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32396		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04416		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53269		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39128		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11126		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07111		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49266		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,0079		-			-0,50141		-
91		-0,13061		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40258		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12307		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36166		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22583		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24259		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12348		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39239		-		1,95871		+
99		0,49852		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03246		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82285		+			3,75681		+
102		1,16805		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84433		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15314		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10465		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04364		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44379		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74011		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,76767		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,45822		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27751		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19822		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,48995		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40469		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03355		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29605		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12176		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14739		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14326		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,16949		-		3,17128		+
121		0,62669		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61478		-			1,22064		-
123		0,29925		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55345		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10409		-		0,35958		+
126		0,0971		+			2,65184		+
127		0,7557		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56029		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03178		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11558		+			1,76068		+
131		0,5155		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24589		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19363		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29283		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41613		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87478		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82606		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21202		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17457		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91623		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62863		-			0,3212		-
142		0,1256		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24819		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58841		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34382		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57143		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17677		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17461		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77418		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54918		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14575		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23553		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05004		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19016		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19938		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53306		+			0,41065		-
157		0,1584		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56069		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20378		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16975		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18929		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67369		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12697		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06902		+			2,51336		+
165		1,07749		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85111		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35476		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23518		-			4,98164		+
169		2,38696		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64288		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,68936		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20339		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96591		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82554		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60212		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49565		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03777		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56394		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61246		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53532		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79703		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58712		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74773		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78188		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28638		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94436		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21832		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93253		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94799		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54522		+		0,85733		+
191		0,41894		+			3,77967		+
192		1,89278		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07162		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50875		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09114		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63832		-		0,359		+
197		0,18541		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,79503		+		-15,79503		+
2		1,63333		+			1,63333		+
3		-0,18349		-		-0,18349		-
4		0,0205		+			0,0205		+
5		-0,00229		-		-0,00229		-
6		0,00026		+			0,00026		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		-0		-			-0		-
12		0		+			0		+
13		-0		-			-0		-
14		0		+			0		+
15		-0		-			-0		-
16		0		+			0		+
17		-0		-			-0		-
18		0		+			0		+
19		-0		-			-0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29841792972171766

 43.run Duration 	16 seconds 320 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@42552c ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.006381155960641697
train epoch 1: 3.645855223075634E-4
train epoch 2: 3.644494806673498E-4
train epoch 3: 3.643135295760876E-4
train epoch 4: 3.641777105174807E-4
train epoch 5: 3.640420342405561E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6390714038837395E-4
train epoch 7: 3.637750719924321E-4
train epoch 8: 3.636453319112158E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6351570526577896E-4
train epoch 10: 3.633861915591363E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6325808275157733E-4
train epoch 12: 3.631362297975258E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6302072468425426E-4
train epoch 14: 3.629053112466345E-4
train epoch 15: 3.627899890761577E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6268151037358937E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6260012410726334E-4
train epoch 18: 3.625415112167451E-4
train epoch 19: 3.624829302981928E-4
train epoch 20: 3.624243812347517E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6236586390984234E-4
train epoch 22: 3.623073782071692E-4
train epoch 23: 3.6224892401067897E-4
train epoch 24: 3.621905012045865E-4
train epoch 25: 3.621321096733603E-4
train epoch 26: 3.6207374930173706E-4
train epoch 27: 3.6201541997472496E-4
train epoch 28: 3.6195712157757303E-4
train epoch 29: 3.618988539958052E-4
train epoch 30: 3.6184061711517894E-4
train epoch 31: 3.617824108217409E-4
train epoch 32: 3.6172423500177483E-4
train epoch 33: 3.616660895418138E-4
train epoch 34: 3.616079743286518E-4
train epoch 35: 3.6154988924936237E-4
train epoch 36: 3.614918341912409E-4
train epoch 37: 3.614338090418629E-4
train epoch 38: 3.6137581368903573E-4
train epoch 39: 3.6131784802082744E-4
train epoch 40: 3.612599119255425E-4
train epoch 41: 3.612020052917705E-4
train epoch 42: 3.611441280083151E-4
train epoch 43: 3.6108627996424514E-4
train epoch 44: 3.610284610488843E-4
train epoch 45: 3.609706711517901E-4
train epoch 46: 3.6091291016277497E-4
train epoch 47: 3.608551779719039E-4
train epoch 48: 3.607974744694628E-4
train epoch 49: 3.6073979954601685E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.6020862559537895
mae:0.736246384959337
rmse:0.775942173073348
mape:6.999061282133056
corr:0.9678443175731003
theil coefficient:27.515983574898655
net profit:43.04376128225176
buy and hold:-7.207219842294109E-4
mean profit per trade:0.21849625016371452
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20623,22912		+		32155,21		+
1		20625,72736		+		32389,47		+
2		20627,90513		+		31833,73		-
3		20623,82379		-		31732,53		-
4		20623,48444		-		32205,37		+
5		20626,1376		+		32563,26		+
6		20629,95116		+		31042,99		-
7		20624,48569		-		30820,77		-
8		20626,03938		+		30789,2		-
9		20626,30877		+		30707,06		-
10		20627,06637		+		31258,97		+
11		20623,55055		-		31953,99		+
12		20624,38888		+		32325,14		+
13		20627,24073		+		32302,07		-
14		20627,0147		-		33048,99		+
15		20637,61197		+		33379,53		+
16		20644,45852		+		32684,23		-
17		20631,59165		-		32577,09		-
18		20630,12973		-		32979,02		+
19		20636,33219		+		32560,89		-
20		20629,9208		-		32814,31		+
21		20633,55366		+		32615,92		-
22		20630,64348		-		33044,36		+
23		20637,52545		+		33408,62		+
24		20645,1243		+		33914,45		+
25		20658,33347		+		33841,77		-
26		20656,24582		-		34090,39		+
27		20663,65024		+		34113,74		+
28		20664,38382		+		34177,52		+
29		20666,42096		+		34486,01		+
30		20676,96294		+		34517,06		+
31		20678,08716		+		33954		-
32		20659,4962		-		34229,07		+
33		20668,10316		+		34656,83		+
34		20683,29051		+		34473,76		-
35		20676,52258		-		35341,2		+
36		20712,12995		+		35436,38		+
37		20716,58142		+		34985,45		-
38		20696,4431		-		35477,06		+
39		20718,5167		+		35415,91		-
40		20715,61501		-		35599,13		+
41		20724,44132		+		35465,95		-
42		20717,98622		-		35235,93		-
43		20707,33157		-		35713,98		+
44		20730,17611		+		36318,81		+
45		20762,93503		+		36244,96		-
46		20758,70551		-		36238,27		-
47		20758,32551		-		36651,61		+
48		20782,78362		+		36690,84		+
49		20785,20815		+		37064,27		+
50		20809,17852		+		37341,66		+
51		20828,02368		+		37405,4		+
52		20832,47862		+		36616,43		-
53		20780,62458		-		37220		+
54		20819,6497		+		37442,67		+
55		20835,10502		+		37806,83		+
56		20861,6		+			37986,17		+
57		20875,20103		+		37653,78		-
58		20850,28091		-		37864,77		+
59		20865,95437		+		38368,66		+
60		20905,41906		+		38115,81		-
61		20885,25888		-		38117,31		+
62		20885,37635		+		37812,55		-
63		20862,02819		-		37795,9		-
64		20860,78286		-		37120,78		-
65		20812,94599		-		35873,33		-
66		20738,39029		-		35801,57		-
67		20734,65421		-		35980,06		+
68		20744,05893		+		35563,59		-
69		20722,69822		-		35678,19		+
70		20728,37233		+		36278,29		+
71		20760,6065		+		36940,33		+
72		20801,04432		+		37308,42		+
73		20825,71889		+		37571,76		+
74		20844,32449		+		38213,14		+
75		20892,93428		+		38501,45		+
76		20916,29314		+		38524,92		+
77		20918,2355		+		39739,74		+
78		21027,06107		+		41191,35		+
79		21177,86666		+		40866,67		-
80		21142,22137		-		41116,03		+
81		21169,50085		+		41039,94		-
82		21161,10876		-		40415,4		-
83		21094,49675		-		40502,58		+
84		21103,55044		+		41505,67		+
85		21213,40419		+		42194,73		+
86		21294,79572		+		42002,34		-
87		21271,59403		-		42125,61		+
88		21286,41789		+		42951,75		+
89		21389,60498		+		42938,85		-
90		21387,94305		-		42724,09		-
91		21360,50953		-		43376,85		+
92		21445,25383		+		43571,25		+
93		21471,26772		+		42993,27		-
94		21394,96484		-		42621,33		-
95		21347,53983		-		43020,51		+
96		21398,49017		+		42818,62		-
97		21372,53026		-		42158,4		-
98		21290,38637		-		42992,3		+
99		21394,8394		+		42939,38		-
100		21388,01134		-		44230,97		+
101		21562,1419		+		45924,25		+
102		21812,93461		+		44714,51		-
103		21631,23516		-		42928,65		-
104		21386,63008		-		42756,7		-
105		21364,64662		-		42828,64		+
106		21373,8095		+		43542,17		+
107		21467,35399		+		42333,2		-
108		21311,72079		-		40959,96		-
109		21152,35188		-		40059,32		-
110		21058,3514		-		40613,38		+
111		21115,17217		+		40220,55		-
112		21074,55127		-		39180,23		-
113		20974,93209		-		40047,06		+
114		21057,13083		+		40115,67		+
115		21063,98184		+		40702,82		+
116		21124,64724		+		40465,11		-
117		21099,64935		-		40170,35		-
118		21069,47775		-		39875,77		-
119		21040,24613		-		39515,79		-
120		21005,78828		-		40789,03		+
121		21133,85906		+		41914,3		+
122		21261,09911		+		42429,06		+
123		21323,5479		+		43336,22		+
124		21439,86144		+		43169,58		-
125		21417,90733		-		43325,09		+
126		21438,38697		+		44489,37		+
127		21598,80708		+		43633,67		-
128		21479,69512		-		43683,33		+
129		21486,42543		+		43862,73		+
130		21510,92813		+		44641,85		+
131		21620,72081		+		45002,63		+
132		21673,38046		+		45282,32		+
133		21714,97651		+		45698,49		+
134		21778,09366		+		45104,65		-
135		21688,47558		-		46335,45		+
136		21877,45776		+		47443,65		+
137		22057,94373		+		47163,5		-
138		22011,43378		-		46930,71		-
139		21973,23505		-		48132,11		+
140		22174,67625		+		48930,72		+
141		22314,23564		+		49088,14		+
142		22342,24907		+		49397,32		+
143		22397,73419		+		50121,05		+
144		22529,94787		+		49699,67		-
145		22452,57834		-		48989,65		-
146		22324,70359		-		49210,68		+
147		22364,1666		+		47715,08		-
148		22103,55859		-		48708,09		+
149		22274,89677		+		48006,84		-
150		22153,18356		-		48194,4		+
151		22185,40452		+		47890,75		-
152		22133,365		-		47955,51		+
153		22144,4088		+		48200,39		+
154		22186,43743		+		47943,58		-
155		22142,37211		-		48625,74		+
156		22260,42931		+		48825,83		+
157		22295,66047		+		49525,55		+
158		22420,92451		+		49776,82		+
159		22466,66335		+		49567,61		-
160		22428,55362		-		49800,83		+
161		22471,05413		+		50621,01		+
162		22623,10509		+		50467,53		-
163		22594,35401		-		50551,02		+
164		22609,97728		+		51837,65		+
165		22855,54311		+		52835,66		+
166		23051,72117		+		53247,94		+
167		23134,06652		+		53520,24		+
168		23188,84161		+		56253,95		+
169		23753,16971		+		56985,69		+
170		23907,77723		+		55060,42		-
171		23503,87596		-		56432,58		+
172		23790,8005		+		57532,02		+
173		24023,92575		+		56592,36		-
174		23824,52344		-		57277,66		+
175		23969,78046		+		58983,91		+
176		24334,83987		+		58940,68		-
177		24325,54602		-		58296,28		-
178		24187,24349		-		57598,15		-
179		24038,02143		-		56988,75		-
180		23908,42618		-		57896,31		+
181		24101,66263		+		57227,66		-
182		23959,15062		-		56376,62		-
183		23779,0038		-		57266,53		+
184		23967,41372		+		56940,58		-
185		23898,21285		-		55865,39		-
186		23671,58533		-		56114,11		+
187		23723,76388		+		57175,59		+
188		23948,08612		+		56096,5		-
189		23720,06452		-		55475		-
190		23590,01847		-		55952,65		+
191		23689,87325		+		58107,95		+
192		24146,91877		+		59333,17		+
193		24409,98529		+		59917,84		+
194		24535,9721		+		59812,92		-
195		24513,34963		-		59080,2		-
196		24355,54682		-		59292,68		+
197		24401,26843		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24401.268429695978
New Prediction 1	20925.538264672217
New Prediction 2	21281.805384939915
New Prediction 3	21239.523080921557
New Prediction 4	21244.4749366147
New Prediction 5	21243.89411395548
New Prediction 6	21243.96217192626
New Prediction 7	21243.954194630467
New Prediction 8	21243.955103433982
New Prediction 9	21243.955002455798
New Prediction 10	21243.955103433982
New Prediction 11	21243.955002455798
New Prediction 12	21243.955103433982
New Prediction 13	21243.955002455798
New Prediction 14	21243.955103433982
New Prediction 15	21243.955002455798
New Prediction 16	21243.955103433982
New Prediction 17	21243.955002455798
New Prediction 18	21243.955103433982
New Prediction 19	21243.955002455798
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,01211		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01056		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,01979		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00165		+		1,47909		+
5		0,01286		+			1,10515		-
6		0,01849		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,0265		-			-0,71842		+
8		0,00753		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00131		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00367		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,01705		-		2,19907		+
12		0,00406		+			1,15482		-
13		0,01383		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,0011		-			2,28597		+
15		0,05136		+			0,99518		-
16		0,03317		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,06235		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00709		+		1,22623		+
19		0,03006		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,03107		-		0,77528		+
21		0,01761		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01411		-		1,30504		+
23		0,03335		+			1,0963		-
24		0,03681		+			1,50272		+
25		0,06396		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01011		-		0,73197		+
27		0,03584		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00355		-			0,18679		+
29		0,00986		+			0,89856		+
30		0,051		+			0,09		-
31		0,00544		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,08995		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04165		+			1,24195		+
34		0,07346		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03273		-		2,4851		+
36		0,17206		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02149		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,09726		-		1,3954		+
39		0,1066		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01401		-		0,516		+
41		0,0426		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03115		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05144		-		1,34759		+
44		0,11026		+			1,67936		+
45		0,1579		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02037		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00183		+		1,13416		+
48		0,11775		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01167		-			1,01263		+
50		0,11526		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09052		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02139		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,24922		-		1,63492		+
54		0,18762		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07421		-			0,96788		+
56		0,12708		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06518		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,11945		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07514		+			1,32199		+
60		0,18896		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,09648		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00056		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11185		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00597		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,22958		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,35886		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01802		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04535		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,10303		-		0,32172		+
70		0,02738		+			1,66799		+
71		0,15539		+			1,80844		+
72		0,19459		+			0,99151		-
73		0,11855		-			0,70337		-
74		0,0893		-			1,69267		+
75		0,23293		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11174		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00929		-			3,10464		+
78		0,51889		+			3,58766		+
79		0,71464		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,16846		-		0,60833		+
81		0,12895		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,03965		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,31528		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04291		+			2,44644		+
85		0,5192		+			1,64653		-
86		0,38295		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,10901		-		0,29305		+
88		0,06966		+			1,94215		+
89		0,48358		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00777		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,12835		-		1,5163		+
92		0,39595		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12123		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,356		-			-0,86888		+
95		-0,22191		+		0,93221		+
96		0,23839		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12139		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,38508		-		1,95871		+
99		0,48941		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03192		-		2,96359		+
101		0,81085		+			3,75681		+
102		1,1564		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,83648		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,13724		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10284		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04288		+			1,65229		+
107		0,4367		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,72762		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,75061		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,44539		+		1,37362		+
111		0,26946		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19256		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,47382		-		2,1883		+
114		0,39112		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03253		-			1,45303		+
116		0,28759		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,11841		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,1431		-			-0,73603		-
119		-0,13884		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,16391		-		3,17128		+
121		0,60784		+			2,72139		-
122		0,60026		-			1,22064		-
123		0,29329		-			2,11553		+
124		0,54399		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10245		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09557		+			2,65184		+
127		0,7455		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,553		-			0,11375		+
129		0,03133		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11397		+			1,76068		+
131		0,50911		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24326		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19174		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29024		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41235		-		2,6922		+
136		0,86757		+			2,36354		-
137		0,8216		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21108		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17369		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91258		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62739		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12546		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24803		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58856		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,344		-			-1,43892		-
146		-0,57116		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17661		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17214		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77217		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54791		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14534		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23484		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04988		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18961		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19881		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53176		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15814		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56026		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20379		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16977		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18931		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67437		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12717		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06912		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08024		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85468		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35658		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23649		-			4,98164		+
169		2,40448		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64878		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70385		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21336		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97513		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83348		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60784		+			2,9354		+
176		1,51152		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,0382		-			-1,09932		-
178		-0,57017		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61886		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,54058		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80499		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59305		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75473		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78921		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28915		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95283		-		0,44422		+
187		0,22018		+			1,87398		+
188		0,94112		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95671		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54976		+		0,85733		+
191		0,4224		+			3,77967		+
192		1,91091		+			2,0866		-
193		1,08355		-			0,98058		-
194		0,5148		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09224		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64582		-		0,359		+
197		0,18755		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,36648		+		-15,36648		+
2		1,68822		+			1,68822		+
3		-0,19888		-		-0,19888		-
4		0,02331		+			0,02331		+
5		-0,00273		-		-0,00273		-
6		0,00032		+			0,00032		+
7		-0,00004		-		-0,00004		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		-0		-			-0		-
12		0		+			0		+
13		-0		-			-0		-
14		0		+			0		+
15		-0		-			-0		-
16		0		+			0		+
17		-0		-			-0		-
18		0		+			0		+
19		-0		-			-0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.30104312797689475

 44.run Duration 	16 seconds 117 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@e5bbd6 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 6.627453743983058E-4
train epoch 1: 3.6157764057435807E-4
train epoch 2: 3.614716745760807E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6137235149841213E-4
train epoch 4: 3.612973218430436E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6124215327130717E-4
train epoch 6: 3.611870121700729E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6113189914881497E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6107681393094846E-4
train epoch 9: 3.61021755640753E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6096672417535927E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6091171988311503E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6085674435435463E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6080179751916654E-4
train epoch 14: 3.607468770928709E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6069198297375156E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6063711741643234E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6058228738502634E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6052749127162866E-4
train epoch 19: 3.604727210406606E-4
train epoch 20: 3.604179765916047E-4
train epoch 21: 3.603632578241743E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6030856463829954E-4
train epoch 23: 3.6025389693413243E-4
train epoch 24: 3.601992546120387E-4
train epoch 25: 3.601446375725914E-4
train epoch 26: 3.6009004571659086E-4
train epoch 27: 3.6003547894505097E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5998093715919425E-4
train epoch 29: 3.599264202604672E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5987192815052074E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5981746073122917E-4
train epoch 32: 3.597630179046745E-4
train epoch 33: 3.597085995731481E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5965420563915083E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5959983600540536E-4
train epoch 36: 3.595454905748412E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5949116925059637E-4
train epoch 38: 3.594368719360123E-4
train epoch 39: 3.593825985346528E-4
train epoch 40: 3.593283489502851E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5927412308687796E-4
train epoch 42: 3.592199208486092E-4
train epoch 43: 3.591657421398851E-4
train epoch 44: 3.59111586865287E-4
train epoch 45: 3.590574549296184E-4
train epoch 46: 3.590033462378856E-4
train epoch 47: 3.589492606953095E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5889519820730314E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5884115867948436E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5964798169347207
mae:0.7326891998349336
rmse:0.7723210581971209
mape:6.959158788689513
corr:0.9704853978245678
theil coefficient:27.359797558732794
net profit:44.36432813244603
buy and hold:-6.99268677019659E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22519963519008138
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20682,46617		+		32155,21		+
1		20688,01656		+		32389,47		+
2		20691,47483		+		31833,73		-
3		20684,34689		-		31732,53		-
4		20683,44955		-		32205,37		+
5		20688,70145		+		32563,26		+
6		20694,46714		+		31042,99		-
7		20680,62502		-		30820,77		-
8		20680,93758		+		30789,2		-
9		20681,03035		+		30707,06		-
10		20681,32808		+		31258,97		+
11		20680,89248		-		31953,99		+
12		20685,57381		+		32325,14		+
13		20690,45935		+		32302,07		-
14		20690,10731		-		33048,99		+
15		20704,75516		+		33379,53		+
16		20713,37387		+		32684,23		-
17		20696,76439		-		32577,09		-
18		20694,72087		-		32979,02		+
19		20703,09858		+		32560,89		-
20		20694,42389		-		32814,31		+
21		20699,43082		+		32615,92		-
22		20695,44555		-		33044,36		+
23		20704,64372		+		33408,62		+
24		20714,19498		+		33914,45		+
25		20730,08793		+		33841,77		-
26		20727,6167		-		34090,39		+
27		20736,3303		+		34113,74		+
28		20737,18641		+		34177,52		+
29		20739,55785		+		34486,01		+
30		20751,70873		+		34517,06		+
31		20752,99413		+		33954		-
32		20731,45909		-		34229,07		+
33		20741,50983		+		34656,83		+
34		20758,92134		+		34473,76		-
35		20751,20474		-		35341,2		+
36		20791,26266		+		35436,38		+
37		20796,19539		+		34985,45		-
38		20773,76441		-		35477,06		+
39		20798,33592		+		35415,91		-
40		20795,1256		-		35599,13		+
41		20804,87481		+		35465,95		-
42		20797,7494		-		35235,93		-
43		20785,93033		-		35713,98		+
44		20811,18531		+		36318,81		+
45		20846,93943		+		36244,96		-
46		20842,34756		-		36238,27		-
47		20841,9347		-		36651,61		+
48		20868,40886		+		36690,84		+
49		20871,02314		+		37064,27		+
50		20896,78555		+		37341,66		+
51		20916,94493		+		37405,4		+
52		20921,69978		+		36616,43		-
53		20866,07942		-		37220		+
54		20907,99636		+		37442,67		+
55		20924,50117		+		37806,83		+
56		20952,69169		+		37986,17		+
57		20967,11802		+		37653,78		-
58		20940,66318		-		37864,77		+
59		20957,31339		+		38368,66		+
60		20999,07436		+		38115,81		-
61		20977,76842		-		38117,31		+
62		20977,89272		+		37812,55		-
63		20953,14629		-		37795,9		-
64		20951,82404		-		37120,78		-
65		20900,82194		-		35873,33		-
66		20820,19465		-		35801,57		-
67		20816,10101		-		35980,06		+
68		20826,39349		+		35563,59		-
69		20802,95312		-		35678,19		+
70		20809,20236		+		36278,29		+
71		20844,41221		+		36940,33		+
72		20888,05945		+		37308,42		+
73		20914,48343		+		37571,76		+
74		20934,32467		+		38213,14		+
75		20985,88642		+		38501,45		+
76		21010,54485		+		38524,92		+
77		21012,59223		+		39739,74		+
78		21126,69139		+		41191,35		+
79		21283,35646		+		40866,67		-
80		21246,4442		-		41116,03		+
81		21274,69902		+		41039,94		-
82		21266,01092		-		40415,4		-
83		21196,91641		-		40502,58		+
84		21206,32223		+		41505,67		+
85		21320,09591		+		42194,73		+
86		21404,03576		+		42002,34		-
87		21380,13465		-		42125,61		+
88		21395,40774		+		42951,75		+
89		21501,50436		+		42938,85		-
90		21499,79836		-		42724,09		-
91		21471,62485		-		43376,85		+
92		21558,58059		+		43571,25		+
93		21585,23118		+		42993,27		-
94		21507,00574		-		42621,33		-
95		21458,2968		-		43020,51		+
96		21510,62368		+		42818,62		-
97		21483,97279		-		42158,4		-
98		21399,49506		-		42992,3		+
99		21506,87699		+		42939,38		-
100		21499,86847		-		44230,97		+
101		21678,18997		+		45924,25		+
102		21933,78269		+		44714,51		-
103		21748,73552		-		42928,65		-
104		21498,45052		-		42756,7		-
105		21475,87508		-		42828,64		+
106		21485,28658		+		43542,17		+
107		21581,22286		+		42333,2		-
108		21421,45836		-		40959,96		-
109		21256,94137		-		40059,32		-
110		21159,31424		-		40613,38		+
111		21218,38889		+		40220,55		-
112		21176,17741		-		39180,23		-
113		21072,1738		-		40047,06		+
114		21158,04298		+		40115,67		+
115		21165,17719		+		40702,82		+
116		21228,22099		+		40465,11		-
117		21202,27001		-		40170,35		-
118		21170,89802		-		39875,77		-
119		21140,4465		-		39515,79		-
120		21104,47095		-		40789,03		+
121		21237,77513		+		41914,3		+
122		21369,31654		+		42429,06		+
123		21433,62701		+		43336,22		+
124		21553,05385		+		43169,58		-
125		21530,54412		-		43325,09		+
126		21551,54251		+		44489,37		+
127		21715,63927		+		43633,67		-
128		21593,86087		-		43683,33		+
129		21600,75136		+		43862,73		+
130		21625,82719		+		44641,85		+
131		21738,00706		+		45002,63		+
132		21791,71539		+		45282,32		+
133		21834,09941		+		45698,49		+
134		21898,34831		+		45104,65		-
135		21807,10047		-		46335,45		+
136		21999,34942		+		47443,65		+
137		22182,40596		+		47163,5		-
138		22135,27969		-		46930,71		-
139		22096,55154		-		48132,11		+
140		22300,55609		+		48930,72		+
141		22441,58646		+		49088,14		+
142		22469,8678		+		49397,32		+
143		22525,85795		+		50121,05		+
144		22659,14419		+		49699,67		-
145		22581,16887		-		48989,65		-
146		22452,15555		-		49210,68		+
147		22491,98884		+		47715,08		-
148		22228,59621		-		48708,09		+
149		22401,85629		+		48006,84		-
150		22278,81574		-		48194,4		+
151		22311,4058		+		47890,75		-
152		22258,76357		-		47955,51		+
153		22269,93818		+		48200,39		+
154		22312,45033		+		47943,58		-
155		22267,87748		-		48625,74		+
156		22387,24041		+		48825,83		+
157		22422,82874		+		49525,55		+
158		22549,24951		+		49776,82		+
159		22595,36868		+		49567,61		-
160		22556,94358		-		49800,83		+
161		22599,79484		+		50621,01		+
162		22752,95268		+		50467,53		-
163		22724,00946		-		50551,02		+
164		22739,7381		+		51837,65		+
165		22986,67064		+		52835,66		+
166		23183,57843		+		53247,94		+
167		23266,1419		+		53520,24		+
168		23321,03456		+		56253,95		+
169		23885,40206		+		56985,69		+
170		24039,67894		+		55060,42		-
171		23636,3428		-		56432,58		+
172		23922,96505		+		57532,02		+
173		24155,49037		+		56592,36		-
174		23956,62025		-		57277,66		+
175		24101,5115		+		58983,91		+
176		24465,1462		+		58940,68		-
177		24455,89723		-		58296,28		-
178		24318,2103		-		57598,15		-
179		24169,54011		-		56988,75		-
180		24040,32621		-		57896,31		+
181		24232,96046		+		57227,66		-
182		24090,91244		-		56376,62		-
183		23911,1905		-		57266,53		+
184		24099,15167		+		56940,58		-
185		24030,13897		-		55865,39		-
186		23803,93598		-		56114,11		+
187		23856,04342		+		57175,59		+
188		24079,87931		+		56096,5		-
189		23852,34964		-		55475		-
190		23722,44734		-		55952,65		+
191		23822,20083		+		58107,95		+
192		24278,04638		+		59333,17		+
193		24539,91279		+		59917,84		+
194		24665,20165		+		59812,92		-
195		24642,71023		-		59080,2		-
196		24485,7516		-		59292,68		+
197		24531,24133		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24531.241326242754
New Prediction 1	20933.84638870797
New Prediction 2	21280.079486707727
New Prediction 3	21240.854093706912
New Prediction 4	21245.237223944234
New Prediction 5	21244.746655900162
New Prediction 6	21244.801571339936
New Prediction 7	21244.795405274155
New Prediction 8	21244.796079686123
New Prediction 9	21244.796079686123
New Prediction 10	21244.796079686123
New Prediction 11	21244.796079686123
New Prediction 12	21244.796079686123
New Prediction 13	21244.796079686123
New Prediction 14	21244.796079686123
New Prediction 15	21244.796079686123
New Prediction 16	21244.796079686123
New Prediction 17	21244.796079686123
New Prediction 18	21244.796079686123
New Prediction 19	21244.796079686123
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02683		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01671		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03445		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00434		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02539		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02786		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,06691		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00151		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00045		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00144		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00211		-		2,19907		+
12		0,02263		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02362		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,0017		-			2,28597		+
15		0,07077		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04162		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08022		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00987		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04047		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04191		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02419		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01925		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04444		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04612		+			1,50272		+
25		0,0767		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01192		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04203		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00413		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01144		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05857		+			0,09		-
31		0,00619		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10382		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04847		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08391		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03718		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19285		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02372		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10792		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11821		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01544		-		0,516		+
41		0,04687		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03425		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05684		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12143		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17165		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02203		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00198		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12694		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01253		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12336		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09642		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02273		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,2662		-			1,63492		+
54		0,20068		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07891		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13463		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06883		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12625		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07948		+			1,32199		+
60		0,19907		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10151		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00059		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11803		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00631		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24372		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,38651		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01966		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04943		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11261		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03004		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16906		+			1,80844		+
72		0,20918		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12642		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09482		-			1,69267		+
75		0,246		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11743		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00974		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54153		+			3,58766		+
79		0,73881		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17358		-		0,60833		+
81		0,1329		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04085		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32543		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04436		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53507		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39294		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11173		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07141		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49466		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00793		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13113		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40416		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12354		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36306		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22674		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24356		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12397		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39399		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50054		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03259		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82599		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17214		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84724		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15748		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10506		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04381		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44553		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74305		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77097		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46033		+		1,37362		+
111		0,2788		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19914		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49235		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40667		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03371		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29742		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12232		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14807		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14394		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17032		-		3,17128		+
121		0,62965		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61746		-			1,22064		-
123		0,3005		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55565		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10449		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09748		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75853		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56236		-		0,11375		+
129		0,0319		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11602		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51739		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24677		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19431		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29383		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41756		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87773		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82866		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21267		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17511		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91901		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63042		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12594		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24887		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58996		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34472		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57297		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17726		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17796		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77642		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55076		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14618		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23622		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05019		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19071		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19997		-		1,41281		+
156		0,5346		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15884		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56222		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20432		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,1702		-			0,46941		+
161		0,18979		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67541		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12729		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06919		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08005		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85297		-			0,77728		-
167		0,3555		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23566		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39118		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64383		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69203		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20534		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96728		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,8267		-			1,20367		+
175		0,60299		+			2,9354		+
176		1,49749		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03781		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56459		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61323		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53605		+		1,57998		+
181		0,7981		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,5879		-			-1,49828		-
183		-0,74881		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78301		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28678		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94579		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21866		+			1,87398		+
188		0,9339		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94939		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,5461		+			0,85733		+
191		0,41962		+			3,77967		+
192		1,89545		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07284		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50925		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09123		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63897		-		0,359		+
197		0,18561		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,85802		+		-15,85802		+
2		1,64041		+			1,64041		+
3		-0,1845		-			-0,1845		-
4		0,02063		+			0,02063		+
5		-0,00231		-		-0,00231		-
6		0,00026		+			0,00026		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29823990846736037

 45.run Duration 	16 seconds 163 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@19e15c ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.004675021406346772
train epoch 1: 3.603199317369471E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6029854187795494E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6027715779393937E-4
train epoch 4: 3.602557855645646E-4
train epoch 5: 3.602344236010356E-4
train epoch 6: 3.602130649408273E-4
train epoch 7: 3.601917095419622E-4
train epoch 8: 3.601703573622067E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6014900835915715E-4
train epoch 10: 3.601276624907045E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6010631971494604E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6008497999044854E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6006364327523726E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6004230952660897E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6002097870265333E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5999965076232874E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5997832566626956E-4
train epoch 18: 3.599570033721612E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5993568383547954E-4
train epoch 20: 3.59914367014513E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5989305286757996E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5987174135304725E-4
train epoch 23: 3.598504324293141E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5982912605481485E-4
train epoch 25: 3.59807822188028E-4
train epoch 26: 3.597865207874606E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5976522181166204E-4
train epoch 28: 3.597439252192243E-4
train epoch 29: 3.597226309687667E-4
train epoch 30: 3.597013390189508E-4
train epoch 31: 3.596800493284734E-4
train epoch 32: 3.596587618560689E-4
train epoch 33: 3.596374765605034E-4
train epoch 34: 3.596161934005942E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5959491233518296E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5957363332314774E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5955235632340754E-4
train epoch 38: 3.595310812949071E-4
train epoch 39: 3.595098081966414E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5948853698763614E-4
train epoch 41: 3.594672676269497E-4
train epoch 42: 3.594460000736753E-4
train epoch 43: 3.594247342869497E-4
train epoch 44: 3.594034702259393E-4
train epoch 45: 3.593822078498511E-4
train epoch 46: 3.593609471179148E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5933968798940484E-4
train epoch 48: 3.593184304236281E-4
train epoch 49: 3.592971743799313E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5939849639045888
mae:0.7312249492165923
rmse:0.770704200004508
mape:6.948461230953615
corr:0.971527765816471
theil coefficient:27.254319322096325
net profit:45.394420240063276
buy and hold:-6.83400842570125E-4
mean profit per trade:0.23042852913737705
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20696,07838		+		32155,21		+
1		20702,80956		+		32389,47		+
2		20706,7787		+		31833,73		-
3		20698,45035		-		31732,53		-
4		20697,33875		-		32205,37		+
5		20703,60325		+		32563,26		+
6		20710,15451		+		31042,99		-
7		20693,0908		-		30820,77		-
8		20692,95846		-		30789,2		-
9		20692,98857		+		30707,06		-
10		20693,12394		+		31258,97		+
11		20693,79719		+		31953,99		+
12		20699,93364		+		32325,14		+
13		20705,62223		+		32302,07		-
14		20705,21977		-		33048,99		+
15		20721,53431		+		33379,53		+
16		20730,91238		+		32684,23		-
17		20712,72094		-		32577,09		-
18		20710,43892		-		32979,02		+
19		20719,71868		+		32560,89		-
20		20710,10601		-		32814,31		+
21		20715,67885		+		32615,92		-
22		20711,24987		-		33044,36		+
23		20721,41233		+		33408,62		+
24		20731,80093		+		33914,45		+
25		20748,88243		+		33841,77		-
26		20746,23863		-		34090,39		+
27		20755,54503		+		34113,74		+
28		20756,45717		+		34177,52		+
29		20758,98196		+		34486,01		+
30		20771,88085		+		34517,06		+
31		20773,2421		+		33954		-
32		20750,34776		-		34229,07		+
33		20761,05822		+		34656,83		+
34		20779,51204		+		34473,76		-
35		20771,34695		-		35341,2		+
36		20813,56053		+		35436,38		+
37		20818,73438		+		34985,45		-
38		20795,16893		-		35477,06		+
39		20820,97823		+		35415,91		-
40		20817,61266		-		35599,13		+
41		20827,82812		+		35465,95		-
42		20820,36348		-		35235,93		-
43		20807,96254		-		35713,98		+
44		20834,43252		+		36318,81		+
45		20871,75422		+		36244,96		-
46		20866,96921		-		36238,27		-
47		20866,53887		-		36651,61		+
48		20894,09981		+		36690,84		+
49		20896,81798		+		37064,27		+
50		20923,5755		+		37341,66		+
51		20944,48105		+		37405,4		+
52		20949,40817		+		36616,43		-
53		20891,67732		-		37220		+
54		20935,2045		+		37442,67		+
55		20952,31044		+		37806,83		+
56		20981,4917		+		37986,17		+
57		20996,40929		+		37653,78		-
58		20969,04567		-		37864,77		+
59		20986,27188		+		38368,66		+
60		21029,4203		+		38115,81		-
61		21007,41612		-		38117,31		+
62		21007,54455		+		37812,55		-
63		20981,96194		-		37795,9		-
64		20980,59418		-		37120,78		-
65		20927,76343		-		35873,33		-
66		20843,85165		-		35801,57		-
67		20839,57318		-		35980,06		+
68		20850,32626		+		35563,59		-
69		20825,81574		-		35678,19		+
70		20832,35785		+		36278,29		+
71		20869,12097		+		36940,33		+
72		20914,5179		+		37308,42		+
73		20941,92984		+		37571,76		+
74		20962,48407		+		38213,14		+
75		21015,80242		+		38501,45		+
76		21041,25904		+		38524,92		+
77		21043,37163		+		39739,74		+
78		21160,88527		+		41191,35		+
79		21321,70934		+		40866,67		-
80		21283,86136		-		41116,03		+
81		21312,83461		+		41039,94		-
82		21303,92713		-		40415,4		-
83		21233,0377		-		40502,58		+
84		21242,69339		+		41505,67		+
85		21359,35684		+		42194,73		+
86		21445,29268		+		42002,34		-
87		21420,83373		-		42125,61		+
88		21436,46421		+		42951,75		+
89		21544,95795		+		42938,85		-
90		21543,21451		-		42724,09		-
91		21514,41776		-		43376,85		+
92		21603,26723		+		43571,25		+
93		21630,48118		+		42993,27		-
94		21550,57981		-		42621,33		-
95		21500,79148		-		43020,51		+
96		21554,27678		+		42818,62		-
97		21527,04005		-		42158,4		-
98		21440,64661		-		42992,3		+
99		21550,44825		+		42939,38		-
100		21543,28616		-		44230,97		+
101		21725,34766		+		45924,25		+
102		21985,78332		+		44714,51		-
103		21797,28563		-		42928,65		-
104		21541,83708		-		42756,7		-
105		21518,76263		-		42828,64		+
106		21528,38291		+		43542,17		+
107		21626,38861		+		42333,2		-
108		21463,11695		-		40959,96		-
109		21294,62712		-		40059,32		-
110		21194,41764		-		40613,38		+
111		21255,07796		+		40220,55		-
112		21211,74116		-		39180,23		-
113		21104,7859		-		40047,06		+
114		21193,11141		+		40115,67		+
115		21200,44137		+		40702,82		+
116		21265,16695		+		40465,11		-
117		21238,53375		-		40170,35		-
118		21206,31833		-		39875,77		-
119		21175,02702		-		39515,79		-
120		21138,02999		-		40789,03		+
121		21274,96892		+		41914,3		+
122		21409,76045		+		42429,06		+
123		21475,56373		+		43336,22		+
124		21597,62269		+		43169,58		-
125		21574,6297		-		43325,09		+
126		21596,07908		+		44489,37		+
127		21763,54179		+		43633,67		-
128		21639,29166		-		43683,33		+
129		21646,32595		+		43862,73		+
130		21671,92096		+		44641,85		+
131		21786,34832		+		45002,63		+
132		21841,09207		+		45282,32		+
133		21884,27587		+		45698,49		+
134		21949,70936		+		45104,65		-
135		21856,76919		-		46335,45		+
136		22052,50884		+		47443,65		+
137		22238,64213		+		47163,5		-
138		22190,7451		-		46930,71		-
139		22151,3727		-		48132,11		+
140		22358,66349		+		48930,72		+
141		22501,81904		+		49088,14		+
142		22530,51301		+		49397,32		+
143		22587,30714		+		50121,05		+
144		22722,44021		+		49699,67		-
145		22643,39575		-		48989,65		-
146		22512,54286		-		49210,68		+
147		22552,95373		+		47715,08		-
148		22285,57416		-		48708,09		+
149		22461,5017		+		48006,84		-
150		22336,58522		-		48194,4		+
151		22369,6808		+		47890,75		-
152		22316,21884		-		47955,51		+
153		22327,56885		+		48200,39		+
154		22370,74143		+		47943,58		-
155		22325,47587		-		48625,74		+
156		22446,66756		+		48825,83		+
157		22482,78521		+		49525,55		+
158		22611,02957		+		49776,82		+
159		22657,79261		+		49567,61		-
160		22618,83183		-		49800,83		+
161		22662,27997		+		50621,01		+
162		22817,49387		+		50467,53		-
163		22788,17117		-		50551,02		+
164		22804,10655		+		51837,65		+
165		23054,12731		+		52835,66		+
166		23253,29431		+		53247,94		+
167		23336,75356		+		53520,24		+
168		23392,22533		+		56253,95		+
169		23961,81234		+		56985,69		+
170		24117,29041		+		55060,42		-
171		23710,61187		-		56432,58		+
172		23999,67654		+		57532,02		+
173		24233,94153		+		56592,36		-
174		24033,59682		-		57277,66		+
175		24179,57788		+		58983,91		+
176		24545,58414		+		58940,68		-
177		24536,28124		-		58296,28		-
178		24397,75217		-		57598,15		-
179		24248,08954		-		56988,75		-
180		24117,94252		-		57896,31		+
181		24311,94383		+		57227,66		-
182		24168,90191		-		56376,62		-
183		23987,80817		-		57266,53		+
184		24177,20096		+		56940,58		-
185		24107,67891		-		55865,39		-
186		23879,67353		-		56114,11		+
187		23932,21434		+		57175,59		+
188		24157,78825		+		56096,5		-
189		23928,4902		-		55475		-
190		23797,48517		-		55952,65		+
191		23898,09154		+		58107,95		+
192		24357,32867		+		59333,17		+
193		24620,77445		+		59917,84		+
194		24746,72473		+		59812,92		-
195		24724,11905		-		59080,2		-
196		24566,30848		-		59292,68		+
197		24612,05495		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24612.054952094568
New Prediction 1	20930.26085316298
New Prediction 2	21280.362109084486
New Prediction 3	21240.85814252079
New Prediction 4	21245.252674772735
New Prediction 5	21244.763024568107
New Prediction 6	21244.817601514376
New Prediction 7	21244.811558602603
New Prediction 8	21244.812230035754
New Prediction 9	21244.812134116703
New Prediction 10	21244.812134116703
New Prediction 11	21244.812134116703
New Prediction 12	21244.812134116703
New Prediction 13	21244.812134116703
New Prediction 14	21244.812134116703
New Prediction 15	21244.812134116703
New Prediction 16	21244.812134116703
New Prediction 17	21244.812134116703
New Prediction 18	21244.812134116703
New Prediction 19	21244.812134116703
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03252		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01917		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,04023		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00537		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03026		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03164		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,08243		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00064		+		-0,10248		+
9		0,00015		+			-0,26714		-
10		0,00065		+			1,78138		+
11		0,00325		+			2,19907		+
12		0,02965		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02748		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00194		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07876		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04525		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08779		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01102		+		1,22623		+
19		0,0448		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,0464		-			0,77528		+
21		0,02691		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02138		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04906		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05012		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08236		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01274		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04485		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00439		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01216		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06212		+			0,09		-
31		0,00655		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11027		-		0,80686		+
33		0,0516		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08885		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,0393		-			2,4851		+
36		0,20302		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02485		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11326		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12404		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01617		-		0,516		+
41		0,04906		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03585		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05958		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12713		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17897		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02293		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00206		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13199		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01301		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12796		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09986		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02352		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27595		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20813		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08168		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13918		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07107		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13041		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08212		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20539		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10469		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12185		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00652		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25213		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40177		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02053		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05159		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11762		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03141		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17632		+			1,80844		+
72		0,2173		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13098		-			0,70337		-
74		0,0981		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25403		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12106		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01004		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55688		+			3,58766		+
79		0,75713		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17767		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13604		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,0418		-			-1,53348		-
83		-0,33331		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04546		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54769		+			1,64653		-
86		0,40153		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11412		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07294		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50484		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00809		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13376		-		1,5163		+
92		0,41213		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12589		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,37008		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,2313		+			0,93221		+
96		0,24845		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12644		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,40213		-		1,95871		+
99		0,51081		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03324		-		2,96359		+
101		0,84155		+			3,75681		+
102		1,19164		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,86106		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,17885		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10717		+		0,16811		+
106		0,0447		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45421		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75783		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78812		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,4717		+			1,37362		+
111		0,2858		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,2041		-			-2,62058		-
113		-0,5055		-			2,1883		+
114		0,41764		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03458		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30484		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12532		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,1518		-			-0,73603		-
119		-0,14767		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17487		-		3,17128		+
121		0,64574		+			2,72139		-
122		0,63157		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30688		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56675		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10652		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09937		+			2,65184		+
127		0,77244		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,57255		-		0,11375		+
129		0,0325		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11817		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52661		+			0,80492		-
132		0,25096		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19752		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29855		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42432		-		2,6922		+
136		0,89157		+			2,36354		-
137		0,8405		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21561		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17758		+		2,52773		+
140		0,93144		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63823		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12744		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25176		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59649		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34848		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57956		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17934		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,19265		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78632		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55769		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14806		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23928		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05085		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19317		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20255		-		1,41281		+
156		0,54137		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16077		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56879		+			0,50607		-
159		0,2066		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,1721		-			0,46941		+
161		0,1919		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68256		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12859		-		0,1653		+
164		0,0699		+			2,51336		+
165		1,09042		+			1,90696		-
166		0,8602		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35827		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23742		-			4,98164		+
169		2,40577		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64676		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70063		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21176		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97138		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83015		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60557		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50236		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03791		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56619		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61532		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53818		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80117		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,5901		-			-1,49828		-
183		-0,75211		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78644		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28797		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95028		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21978		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93814		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,9537		-			-1,1141		+
190		-0,54899		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42187		+			3,77967		+
192		1,90342		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07578		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51026		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09139		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64033		-		0,359		+
197		0,18604		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,20404		+		-16,20404		+
2		1,65887		+			1,65887		+
3		-0,18581		-		-0,18581		-
4		0,02069		+			0,02069		+
5		-0,0023		-			-0,0023		-
6		0,00026		+			0,00026		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2969924819522944

 46.run Duration 	16 seconds 367 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@11a75a2 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 9.278601660274093E-4
train epoch 1: 3.623327746256538E-4
train epoch 2: 3.621692587897002E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6200706288739204E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6184685849890763E-4
train epoch 5: 3.616967609096085E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6158400913712235E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6149971699662894E-4
train epoch 8: 3.61415485308324E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6133131386530343E-4
train epoch 10: 3.612472024612821E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6116315089058297E-4
train epoch 12: 3.610791589481392E-4
train epoch 13: 3.6099522642948326E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6091135313076524E-4
train epoch 15: 3.608275388487128E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6074378338066205E-4
train epoch 17: 3.606600865245446E-4
train epoch 18: 3.605764480788957E-4
train epoch 19: 3.6049286784281076E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6040934561601005E-4
train epoch 21: 3.603258811988053E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6024247439207053E-4
train epoch 23: 3.601591249972831E-4
train epoch 24: 3.600758328164922E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5999259765234434E-4
train epoch 26: 3.599094193080434E-4
train epoch 27: 3.598262975874066E-4
train epoch 28: 3.597432322947819E-4
train epoch 29: 3.596602232351235E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5957727021396343E-4
train epoch 31: 3.594943730373779E-4
train epoch 32: 3.5941153151202115E-4
train epoch 33: 3.593287454451314E-4
train epoch 34: 3.592460146447119E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5916333891891964E-4
train epoch 36: 3.590807180766711E-4
train epoch 37: 3.589981519274466E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5891564028127273E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5883318294876554E-4
train epoch 40: 3.58750779741064E-4
train epoch 41: 3.586684304698871E-4
train epoch 42: 3.5858613494748156E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5850389298666365E-4
train epoch 44: 3.584217044007833E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5833956900376283E-4
train epoch 46: 3.582574866100436E-4
train epoch 47: 3.581754570346275E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5809348009304575E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5801155560137723E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5979261002977347
mae:0.7334707526231019
rmse:0.7732568139355351
mape:6.961581235712738
corr:0.9698861615739613
theil coefficient:27.439899497119985
net profit:43.54792521009802
buy and hold:-7.123780269753924E-4
mean profit per trade:0.2210554579192793
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20681,38061		+		32155,21		+
1		20686,34557		+		32389,47		+
2		20689,54106		+		31833,73		-
3		20683,02161		-		31732,53		-
4		20682,22952		-		32205,37		+
5		20686,97496		+		32563,26		+
6		20692,33257		+		31042,99		-
7		20680,07598		-		30820,77		-
8		20680,58752		+		30789,2		-
9		20680,70787		+		30707,06		-
10		20681,07656		+		31258,97		+
11		20680,14196		-		31953,99		+
12		20684,12123		+		32325,14		+
13		20688,59865		+		32302,07		-
14		20688,27265		-		33048,99		+
15		20702,03307		+		33379,53		+
16		20710,2301		+		32684,23		-
17		20694,4871		-		32577,09		-
18		20692,5701		-		32979,02		+
19		20700,46349		+		32560,89		-
20		20692,29209		-		32814,31		+
21		20696,9974		+		32615,92		-
22		20693,24914		-		33044,36		+
23		20701,92741		+		33408,62		+
24		20711,01326		+		33914,45		+
25		20726,22481		+		33841,77		-
26		20723,85397		-		34090,39		+
27		20732,22074		+		34113,74		+
28		20733,04378		+		34177,52		+
29		20735,32447		+		34486,01		+
30		20747,02753		+		34517,06		+
31		20748,26705		+		33954		-
32		20727,54099		-		34229,07		+
33		20737,20264		+		34656,83		+
34		20753,98591		+		34473,76		-
35		20746,5416		-		35341,2		+
36		20785,26481		+		35436,38		+
37		20790,0443		+		34985,45		-
38		20768,32751		-		35477,06		+
39		20792,11894		+		35415,91		-
40		20789,00758		-		35599,13		+
41		20798,45867		+		35465,95		-
42		20791,55045		-		35235,93		-
43		20780,10041		-		35713,98		+
44		20804,57984		+		36318,81		+
45		20839,30612		+		36244,96		-
46		20834,84249		-		36238,27		-
47		20834,4412		-		36651,61		+
48		20860,18844		+		36690,84		+
49		20862,73253		+		37064,27		+
50		20887,81654		+		37341,66		+
51		20907,46021		+		37405,4		+
52		20912,09516		+		36616,43		-
53		20857,92178		-		37220		+
54		20898,73904		+		37442,67		+
55		20914,82622		+		37806,83		+
56		20942,32026		+		37986,17		+
57		20956,3976		+		37653,78		-
58		20930,58648		-		37864,77		+
59		20946,82965		+		38368,66		+
60		20987,59673		+		38115,81		-
61		20966,7933		-		38117,31		+
62		20966,91465		+		37812,55		-
63		20942,7638		-		37795,9		-
64		20941,47376		-		37120,78		-
65		20891,74868		-		35873,33		-
66		20813,32337		-		35801,57		-
67		20809,34988		-		35980,06		+
68		20819,34217		+		35563,59		-
69		20796,59519		-		35678,19		+
70		20802,6561		+		36278,29		+
71		20836,84935		+		36940,33		+
72		20879,31763		+		37308,42		+
73		20905,06103		+		37571,76		+
74		20924,40472		+		38213,14		+
75		20974,71876		+		38501,45		+
76		20998,80032		+		38524,92		+
77		21000,80032		+		39739,74		+
78		21112,36396		+		41191,35		+
79		21265,80674		+		40866,67		-
80		21229,63165		-		41116,03		+
81		21257,32111		+		41039,94		-
82		21248,80608		-		40415,4		-
83		21181,1132		-		40502,58		+
84		21190,32545		+		41505,67		+
85		21301,82428		+		42194,73		+
86		21384,15508		+		42002,34		-
87		21360,70671		-		42125,61		+
88		21375,69002		+		42951,75		+
89		21479,81832		+		42938,85		-
90		21478,14338		-		42724,09		-
91		21450,48555		-		43376,85		+
92		21535,86565		+		43571,25		+
93		21562,04247		+		42993,27		-
94		21485,21966		-		42621,33		-
95		21437,40324		-		43020,51		+
96		21488,77191		+		42818,62		-
97		21462,60686		-		42158,4		-
98		21379,70007		-		42992,3		+
99		21485,09325		+		42939,38		-
100		21478,21222		-		44230,97		+
101		21653,37997		+		45924,25		+
102		21904,73987		+		44714,51		-
103		21722,7257		-		42928,65		-
104		21476,8201		-		42756,7		-
105		21454,65766		-		42828,64		+
106		21463,89658		+		43542,17		+
107		21558,10514		+		42333,2		-
108		21401,25023		-		40959,96		-
109		21239,91792		-		40059,32		-
110		21144,29427		-		40613,38		+
111		21202,14511		+		40220,55		-
112		21160,80429		-		39180,23		-
113		21059,03387		-		40047,06		+
114		21143,04977		+		40115,67		+
115		21150,03407		+		40702,82		+
116		21211,77702		+		40465,11		-
117		21186,35652		-		40170,35		-
118		21155,63511		-		39875,77		-
119		21125,82552		-		39515,79		-
120		21090,62272		-		40789,03		+
121		21221,13753		+		41914,3		+
122		21350,0949		+		42429,06		+
123		21413,19144		+		43336,22		+
124		21530,43768		+		43169,58		-
125		21508,33211		-		43325,09		+
126		21528,95338		+		44489,37		+
127		21690,18918		+		43633,67		-
128		21570,51963		-		43683,33		+
129		21577,28864		+		43862,73		+
130		21601,92461		+		44641,85		+
131		21712,17808		+		45002,63		+
132		21764,98677		+		45282,32		+
133		21806,67065		+		45698,49		+
134		21869,87411		+		45104,65		-
135		21780,11672		-		46335,45		+
136		21969,26884		+		47443,65		+
137		22149,52235		+		47163,5		-
138		22103,10485		-		46930,71		-
139		22064,96574		-		48132,11		+
140		22265,93303		+		48930,72		+
141		22404,95479		+		49088,14		+
142		22432,84193		+		49397,32		+
143		22488,05997		+		50121,05		+
144		22619,55168		+		49699,67		-
145		22542,61882		-		48989,65		-
146		22415,37623		-		49210,68		+
147		22454,65661		+		47715,08		-
148		22195,02626		-		48708,09		+
149		22365,7832		+		48006,84		-
150		22244,5088		-		48194,4		+
151		22276,62564		+		47890,75		-
152		22224,74977		-		47955,51		+
153		22235,76083		+		48200,39		+
154		22277,65507		+		47943,58		-
155		22233,73026		-		48625,74		+
156		22351,37423		+		48825,83		+
157		22386,46009		+		49525,55		+
158		22511,13217		+		49776,82		+
159		22556,62725		+		49567,61		-
160		22518,72162		-		49800,83		+
161		22560,99389		+		50621,01		+
162		22712,13316		+		50467,53		-
163		22683,56539		-		50551,02		+
164		22699,08966		+		51837,65		+
165		22942,91977		+		52835,66		+
166		23137,49361		+		53247,94		+
167		23219,11468		+		53520,24		+
168		23273,3925		+		56253,95		+
169		23831,9752		+		56985,69		+
170		23984,83974		+		55060,42		-
171		23585,34884		-		56432,58		+
172		23869,18765		+		57532,02		+
173		24099,63863		+		56592,36		-
174		23902,53242		-		57277,66		+
175		24046,12661		+		58983,91		+
176		24406,78871		+		58940,68		-
177		24397,61031		-		58296,28		-
178		24261,00512		-		57598,15		-
179		24113,56831		-		56988,75		-
180		23985,48124		-		57896,31		+
181		24176,45424		+		57227,66		-
182		24035,62026		-		56376,62		-
183		23857,52251		-		57266,53		+
184		24043,78739		+		56940,58		-
185		23975,38501		-		55865,39		-
186		23751,28412		-		56114,11		+
187		23802,89353		+		57175,59		+
188		24024,68401		+		56096,5		-
189		23799,23478		-		55475		-
190		23670,59091		-		55952,65		+
191		23769,37346		+		58107,95		+
192		24221,16773		+		59333,17		+
193		24480,99453		+		59917,84		+
194		24605,38261		+		59812,92		-
195		24583,04929		-		59080,2		-
196		24427,23783		-		59292,68		+
197		24472,38722		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24472.387217851567
New Prediction 1	20940.093070066883
New Prediction 2	21279.295988570964
New Prediction 3	21241.129462160534
New Prediction 4	21245.366716689634
New Prediction 5	21244.895617132614
New Prediction 6	21244.947973943083
New Prediction 7	21244.942135139623
New Prediction 8	21244.942805164857
New Prediction 9	21244.942709446957
New Prediction 10	21244.942709446957
New Prediction 11	21244.942709446957
New Prediction 12	21244.942709446957
New Prediction 13	21244.942709446957
New Prediction 14	21244.942709446957
New Prediction 15	21244.942709446957
New Prediction 16	21244.942709446957
New Prediction 17	21244.942709446957
New Prediction 18	21244.942709446957
New Prediction 19	21244.942709446957
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,024		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01545		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03152		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00383		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02294		+			1,10515		-
6		0,0259		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,05925		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00247		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00058		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00178		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00452		-		2,19907		+
12		0,01924		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02164		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00158		-		2,28597		+
15		0,06649		+			0,99518		-
16		0,03959		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,07604		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00926		+		1,22623		+
19		0,03814		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,03948		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02274		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01811		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04193		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04388		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07342		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01144		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04036		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00397		-			0,18679		+
29		0,011		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05642		+			0,09		-
31		0,00597		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,09994		-		0,80686		+
33		0,0466		+			1,24195		+
34		0,0809		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03588		-		2,4851		+
36		0,18648		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02299		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10451		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11449		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01497		-		0,516		+
41		0,04545		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03322		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05509		-		1,34759		+
44		0,11773		+			1,67936		+
45		0,16678		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02142		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00193		+		1,13416		+
48		0,1235		+			0,10698		-
49		0,0122		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12016		+			0,74562		-
51		0,094		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02217		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,25939		-		1,63492		+
54		0,1955		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07695		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13137		+			0,47324		-
57		0,0672		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12324		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07757		+			1,32199		+
60		0,19443		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,09917		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00058		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11525		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00616		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,23773		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,3761		-			-0,20024		+
67		-0,01909		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04801		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,10932		-		0,32172		+
70		0,02914		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16423		+			1,80844		+
72		0,20361		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12322		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09249		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24017		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11475		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00952		-			3,10464		+
78		0,52983		+			3,58766		+
79		0,72416		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17025		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13034		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04006		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,31908		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04348		+			2,44644		+
85		0,5248		+			1,64653		-
86		0,38575		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,10971		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07012		+			1,94215		+
89		0,48595		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,0078		-			-0,50141		-
91		-0,12885		-		1,5163		+
92		0,39724		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12148		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,35692		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,2228		+			0,93221		+
96		0,23934		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12184		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,38703		-		1,95871		+
99		0,49175		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03203		-		2,96359		+
101		0,81225		+			3,75681		+
102		1,15415		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,83441		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,13848		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10325		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04305		+			1,65229		+
107		0,43796		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,73025		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,7567		-			-2,22336		+
110		-0,45122		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27323		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19517		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,4821		-			2,1883		+
114		0,39816		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03303		-			1,45303		+
116		0,2915		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,11991		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14511		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14101		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,16677		-		3,17128		+
121		0,61692		+			2,72139		-
122		0,60584		-			1,22064		-
123		0,2951		-			2,11553		+
124		0,54605		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10272		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09583		+			2,65184		+
127		0,74613		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,55325		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03138		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11411		+			1,76068		+
131		0,50909		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24293		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19133		-			0,91486		+
134		0,28942		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41126		-		2,6922		+
136		0,86471		+			2,36354		-
137		0,81713		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,20978		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,1727		+			2,52773		+
140		0,90668		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62243		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12439		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24585		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58302		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,3407		-			-1,43892		-
146		-0,56605		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17509		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,16298		-		2,05976		+
149		0,7664		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54371		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14428		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23314		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04953		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18823		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19736		-		1,41281		+
156		0,52773		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15685		-			1,42292		+
158		0,55536		+			0,50607		-
159		0,2019		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16819		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18754		+			1,63351		+
162		0,66768		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12586		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06842		+			2,51336		+
165		1,06846		+			1,90696		-
166		0,8445		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35214		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23349		-			4,98164		+
169		2,37174		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63938		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,67962		-		2,46155		+
172		1,19627		+			1,9295		-
173		0,96084		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82124		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59895		+			2,9354		+
176		1,48874		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03761		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56149		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60957		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,5326		+			1,57998		+
181		0,79305		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58423		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,74373		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77771		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,2849		-			-1,90632		-
186		-0,93911		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21706		+			1,87398		+
188		0,92747		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,94284		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,542		+			0,85733		+
191		0,41645		+			3,77967		+
192		1,8829		+			2,0866		-
193		1,06701		-			0,98058		-
194		0,50681		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09081		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,63583		-		0,359		+
197		0,18466		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,58798		+		-15,58798		+
2		1,60689		+			1,60689		+
3		-0,17952		-		-0,17952		-
4		0,01995		+			0,01995		+
5		-0,00222		-		-0,00222		-
6		0,00025		+			0,00025		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29896305014886737

 47.run Duration 	16 seconds 210 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@210b5b ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 7.286688754658133E-4
train epoch 1: 3.614364099252299E-4
train epoch 2: 3.613670973842191E-4
train epoch 3: 3.612988582168245E-4
train epoch 4: 3.612418247826126E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6120572810893113E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6117252183309306E-4
train epoch 7: 3.611393361257931E-4
train epoch 8: 3.611061610182148E-4
train epoch 9: 3.610729964505496E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6103984236309373E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6100669869622146E-4
train epoch 12: 3.60973565390387E-4
train epoch 13: 3.60940442386145E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6090732962412215E-4
train epoch 15: 3.608742270450437E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6084113458970823E-4
train epoch 17: 3.608080521990102E-4
train epoch 18: 3.607749798139196E-4
train epoch 19: 3.607419173754991E-4
train epoch 20: 3.607088648248924E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6067582210333053E-4
train epoch 22: 3.606427891521225E-4
train epoch 23: 3.6060976591266447E-4
train epoch 24: 3.605767523264351E-4
train epoch 25: 3.6054374833499787E-4
train epoch 26: 3.6051075388000137E-4
train epoch 27: 3.604777689031659E-4
train epoch 28: 3.6044479334631927E-4
train epoch 29: 3.604118271513537E-4
train epoch 30: 3.6037887026025385E-4
train epoch 31: 3.603459226150715E-4
train epoch 32: 3.603129841579791E-4
train epoch 33: 3.602800548311889E-4
train epoch 34: 3.6024713457699165E-4
train epoch 35: 3.602142233377784E-4
train epoch 36: 3.601813210560193E-4
train epoch 37: 3.601484276742682E-4
train epoch 38: 3.601155431351473E-4
train epoch 39: 3.6008266738138216E-4
train epoch 40: 3.6004980035575794E-4
train epoch 41: 3.6001694200115395E-4
train epoch 42: 3.5998409226052283E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5995125107689285E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5991841839338047E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5988559415318027E-4
train epoch 46: 3.598527782995601E-4
train epoch 47: 3.598199707758791E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5978717152556077E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5975438049211215E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5961093372518285
mae:0.7325602366216972
rmse:0.7720811727090802
mape:6.962634213101281
corr:0.9705995466939296
theil coefficient:27.318807564896535
net profit:44.82111066203301
buy and hold:-6.921422647011766E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22751832823367008
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20675,35874		+		32155,21		+
1		20680,95382		+		32389,47		+
2		20684,44415		+		31833,73		-
3		20677,25289		-		31732,53		-
4		20676,34876		-		32205,37		+
5		20681,64492		+		32563,26		+
6		20687,4653		+		31042,99		-
7		20673,51697		-		30820,77		-
8		20673,84169		+		30789,2		-
9		20673,93675		+		30707,06		-
10		20674,24113		+		31258,97		+
11		20673,77939		-		31953,99		+
12		20678,48977		+		32325,14		+
13		20683,41909		+		32302,07		-
14		20683,06376		-		33048,99		+
15		20697,85664		+		33379,53		+
16		20706,56475		+		32684,23		-
17		20689,78515		-		32577,09		-
18		20687,72151		-		32979,02		+
19		20696,18311		+		32560,89		-
20		20687,42163		-		32814,31		+
21		20692,4782		+		32615,92		-
22		20688,45329		-		33044,36		+
23		20697,74406		+		33408,62		+
24		20707,39446		+		33914,45		+
25		20723,45598		+		33841,77		-
26		20720,95833		-		34090,39		+
27		20729,76537		+		34113,74		+
28		20730,63069		+		34177,52		+
29		20733,02769		+		34486,01		+
30		20745,31015		+		34517,06		+
31		20746,60953		+		33954		-
32		20724,84183		-		34229,07		+
33		20735,00075		+		34656,83		+
34		20752,60127		+		34473,76		-
35		20744,80069		-		35341,2		+
36		20785,29703		+		35436,38		+
37		20790,28407		+		34985,45		-
38		20767,60659		-		35477,06		+
39		20792,44818		+		35415,91		-
40		20789,2025		-		35599,13		+
41		20799,05918		+		35465,95		-
42		20791,85521		-		35235,93		-
43		20779,90605		-		35713,98		+
44		20805,43934		+		36318,81		+
45		20841,58905		+		36244,96		-
46		20836,94631		-		36238,27		-
47		20836,52887		-		36651,61		+
48		20863,29652		+		36690,84		+
49		20865,9398		+		37064,27		+
50		20891,98812		+		37341,66		+
51		20912,37129		+		37405,4		+
52		20917,17892		+		36616,43		-
53		20860,94125		-		37220		+
54		20903,32338		+		37442,67		+
55		20920,01141		+		37806,83		+
56		20948,51479		+		37986,17		+
57		20963,10117		+		37653,78		-
58		20936,35281		-		37864,77		+
59		20953,18778		+		38368,66		+
60		20995,41176		+		38115,81		-
61		20973,86968		-		38117,31		+
62		20973,99536		+		37812,55		-
63		20948,97444		-		37795,9		-
64		20947,63752		-		37120,78		-
65		20896,06932		-		35873,33		-
66		20814,54822		-		35801,57		-
67		20810,40933		-		35980,06		+
68		20820,81561		+		35563,59		-
69		20797,11629		-		35678,19		+
70		20803,43449		+		36278,29		+
71		20839,03382		+		36940,33		+
72		20883,16516		+		37308,42		+
73		20909,88247		+		37571,76		+
74		20929,94395		+		38213,14		+
75		20982,07767		+		38501,45		+
76		21007,0093		+		38524,92		+
77		21009,07936		+		39739,74		+
78		21124,43814		+		41191,35		+
79		21282,81698		+		40866,67		-
80		21245,50281		-		41116,03		+
81		21274,06539		+		41039,94		-
82		21265,28273		-		40415,4		-
83		21195,43387		-		40502,58		+
84		21204,94261		+		41505,67		+
85		21319,95525		+		42194,73		+
86		21404,80152		+		42002,34		-
87		21380,64301		-		42125,61		+
88		21396,08065		+		42951,75		+
89		21503,3139		+		42938,85		-
90		21501,58971		-		42724,09		-
91		21473,11544		-		43376,85		+
92		21560,99683		+		43571,25		+
93		21587,92954		+		42993,27		-
94		21508,87391		-		42621,33		-
95		21459,64482		-		43020,51		+
96		21512,53038		+		42818,62		-
97		21485,5953		-		42158,4		-
98		21400,21196		-		42992,3		+
99		21508,74379		+		42939,38		-
100		21501,66056		-		44230,97		+
101		21681,86638		+		45924,25		+
102		21940,09865		+		44714,51		-
103		21753,14785		-		42928,65		-
104		21500,2275		-		42756,7		-
105		21477,41109		-		42828,64		+
106		21486,92311		+		43542,17		+
107		21583,87883		+		42333,2		-
108		21422,41139		-		40959,96		-
109		21256,1144		-		40059,32		-
110		21157,4195		-		40613,38		+
111		21217,14122		+		40220,55		-
112		21174,46767		-		39180,23		-
113		21069,31971		-		40047,06		+
114		21156,13428		+		40115,67		+
115		21163,34679		+		40702,82		+
116		21227,08073		+		40465,11		-
117		21200,84607		-		40170,35		-
118		21169,13038		-		39875,77		-
119		21138,34451		-		39515,79		-
120		21101,97305		-		40789,03		+
121		21236,73917		+		41914,3		+
122		21369,7082		+		42429,06		+
123		21434,71067		+		43336,22		+
124		21555,4115		+		43169,58		-
125		21532,66277		-		43325,09		+
126		21553,88412		+		44489,37		+
127		21719,70702		+		43633,67		-
128		21596,65041		-		43683,33		+
129		21603,61366		+		43862,73		+
130		21628,95382		+		44641,85		+
131		21742,30782		+		45002,63		+
132		21796,57335		+		45282,32		+
133		21839,39477		+		45698,49		+
134		21904,30279		+		45104,65		-
135		21812,11743		-		46335,45		+
136		22006,33036		+		47443,65		+
137		22191,21629		+		47163,5		-
138		22143,62293		-		46930,71		-
139		22104,50892		-		48132,11		+
140		22310,52544		+		48930,72		+
141		22452,91638		+		49088,14		+
142		22481,46752		+		49397,32		+
143		22537,98877		+		50121,05		+
144		22672,52289		+		49699,67		-
145		22593,82035		-		48989,65		-
146		22463,58642		-		49210,68		+
147		22503,79887		+		47715,08		-
148		22237,86171		-		48708,09		+
149		22412,80547		+		48006,84		-
150		22288,57312		-		48194,4		+
151		22321,48071		+		47890,75		-
152		22268,32493		-		47955,51		+
153		22279,60883		+		48200,39		+
154		22322,5354		+		47943,58		-
155		22277,528		-		48625,74		+
156		22398,04901		+		48825,83		+
157		22433,97915		+		49525,55		+
158		22561,601		+		49776,82		+
159		22608,15319		+		49567,61		-
160		22569,3675		-		49800,83		+
161		22612,62076		+		50621,01		+
162		22767,19561		+		50467,53		-
163		22737,98699		-		50551,02		+
164		22753,86		+		51837,65		+
165		23003,01512		+		52835,66		+
166		23201,63485		+		53247,94		+
167		23284,89979		+		53520,24		+
168		23340,25341		+		56253,95		+
169		23909,1004		+		56985,69		+
170		24064,51636		+		55060,42		-
171		23658,12369		-		56432,58		+
172		23946,94421		+		57532,02		+
173		24181,1578		+		56592,36		-
174		23980,84912		-		57277,66		+
175		24126,79478		+		58983,91		+
176		24492,92423		+		58940,68		-
177		24483,61456		-		58296,28		-
178		24345,00681		-		57598,15		-
179		24195,30674		-		56988,75		-
180		24065,16833		-		57896,31		+
181		24259,17089		+		57227,66		-
182		24116,11973		-		56376,62		-
183		23935,08187		-		57266,53		+
184		24124,41804		+		56940,58		-
185		24054,90705		-		55865,39		-
186		23827,01768		-		56114,11		+
187		23879,52074		+		57175,59		+
188		24105,0073		+		56096,5		-
189		23875,79905		-		55475		-
190		23744,90193		-		55952,65		+
191		23845,42169		+		58107,95		+
192		24304,56827		+		59333,17		+
193		24568,17612		+		59917,84		+
194		24694,2565		+		59812,92		-
195		24671,62501		-		59080,2		-
196		24513,66433		-		59292,68		+
197		24559,44887		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24559.448868996198
New Prediction 1	20927.75768613441
New Prediction 2	21280.938733097217
New Prediction 3	21240.458509185235
New Prediction 4	21245.033754451855
New Prediction 5	21244.51580592183
New Prediction 6	21244.574373852454
New Prediction 7	21244.567747060635
New Prediction 8	21244.56852668137
New Prediction 9	21244.56842922874
New Prediction 10	21244.56842922874
New Prediction 11	21244.56842922874
New Prediction 12	21244.56842922874
New Prediction 13	21244.56842922874
New Prediction 14	21244.56842922874
New Prediction 15	21244.56842922874
New Prediction 16	21244.56842922874
New Prediction 17	21244.56842922874
New Prediction 18	21244.56842922874
New Prediction 19	21244.56842922874
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02706		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01688		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03477		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00437		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02561		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02814		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,06745		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00157		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00046		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00147		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00223		-		2,19907		+
12		0,02278		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02384		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00172		-		2,28597		+
15		0,0715		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04206		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08107		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00997		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04089		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04234		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02444		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01945		-		1,30504		+
23		0,0449		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04661		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07753		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01205		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04249		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00417		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01156		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05922		+			0,09		-
31		0,00626		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10498		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04901		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08485		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,0376		-			2,4851		+
36		0,19502		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02399		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10914		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11955		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01561		-		0,516		+
41		0,0474		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03464		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05749		-		1,34759		+
44		0,1228		+			1,67936		+
45		0,1736		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02228		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,002		+			1,13416		+
48		0,12838		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01267		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12476		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09752		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02299		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26922		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20296		+			0,59647		-
55		0,0798		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13616		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06961		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12768		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08038		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20131		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10266		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11937		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00638		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24648		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,39089		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01989		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04999		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11389		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03038		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17098		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21155		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12786		-			0,70337		-
74		0,0959		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24878		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11875		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00985		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54759		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74695		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17548		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13435		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04129		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,329		-			0,21548		+
84		0,04485		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54092		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39718		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11293		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07218		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49993		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00802		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13252		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40843		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12484		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36688		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22914		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24614		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12528		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39819		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50587		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03294		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83461		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18397		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85575		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,1695		-			-0,40135		+
105		-0,10618		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04428		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45022		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75091		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,7793		-			-2,22336		+
110		-0,46539		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28188		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20133		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49782		-		2,1883		+
114		0,4112		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03409		-			1,45303		+
116		0,3007		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12367		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14971		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14553		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17221		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63661		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62418		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30372		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56153		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10559		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09851		+			2,65184		+
127		0,7664		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56818		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03224		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11723		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52272		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24927		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19627		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29677		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42174		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88645		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83664		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,2147		-			-0,4948		+
139		-0,17679		+		2,52773		+
140		0,92769		+			1,64559		-
141		0,6362		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12708		-			0,62787		+
143		0,2511		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59515		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34773		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57808		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17885		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18878		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78361		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55583		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14753		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23842		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05066		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19249		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20183		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53954		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16029		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56727		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20612		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,1717		-			0,46941		+
161		0,19146		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68125		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12837		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06978		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08905		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85974		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35823		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23744		-			4,98164		+
169		2,40797		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64792		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70319		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21342		+			1,9295		-
173		0,9733		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83182		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60675		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50612		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03802		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56773		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61681		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53932		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80292		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59142		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75352		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78793		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28855		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95189		-		0,44422		+
187		0,22011		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93984		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95542		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54975		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42244		+			3,77967		+
192		1,90721		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07876		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51187		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09169		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64231		-		0,359		+
197		0,1866		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,00203		+		-16,00203		+
2		1,67354		+			1,67354		+
3		-0,1904		-			-0,1904		-
4		0,02154		+			0,02154		+
5		-0,00244		-		-0,00244		-
6		0,00028		+			0,00028		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29805466862591423

 48.run Duration 	16 seconds 336 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@170888e ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.01977592720556652
train epoch 1: 3.57004102504701E-4
train epoch 2: 3.569344311120856E-4
train epoch 3: 3.568647937530637E-4
train epoch 4: 3.5679519381091694E-4
train epoch 5: 3.5672563452931625E-4
train epoch 6: 3.566561094602763E-4
train epoch 7: 3.565866174515902E-4
train epoch 8: 3.565171583493052E-4
train epoch 9: 3.5644773200333845E-4
train epoch 10: 3.563783382639931E-4
train epoch 11: 3.563089769819621E-4
train epoch 12: 3.5623964800835217E-4
train epoch 13: 3.561703511946522E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5610108639275504E-4
train epoch 15: 3.560318534549237E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5596265223383864E-4
train epoch 17: 3.558934825825565E-4
train epoch 18: 3.558243443545222E-4
train epoch 19: 3.5575523740357344E-4
train epoch 20: 3.556861615839349E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5561711675021894E-4
train epoch 22: 3.555481027574243E-4
train epoch 23: 3.554791194609251E-4
train epoch 24: 3.5541016671648503E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5534124438025893E-4
train epoch 26: 3.5527235230876545E-4
train epoch 27: 3.552034903589247E-4
train epoch 28: 3.5513465838801485E-4
train epoch 29: 3.550658562536973E-4
train epoch 30: 3.5499708381401456E-4
train epoch 31: 3.549283409273989E-4
train epoch 32: 3.548596274526393E-4
train epoch 33: 3.54790943248907E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5472228817573753E-4
train epoch 35: 3.546536620930543E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5458506486115457E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5451649634068544E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5444795639268047E-4
train epoch 39: 3.543794448785287E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5431096166001116E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5424250659924736E-4
train epoch 42: 3.541740795587436E-4
train epoch 43: 3.541056804013683E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5403730899034213E-4
train epoch 45: 3.539689651892557E-4
train epoch 46: 3.53900648862075E-4
train epoch 47: 3.538323598731135E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5376409808704544E-4
train epoch 49: 3.536958633689151E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5875942294340507
mae:0.726746241376266
rmse:0.76654695187839
mape:6.880113333651508
corr:0.9744738527521426
theil coefficient:27.18580033868911
net profit:45.5897709888445
buy and hold:-6.804724912444195E-4
mean profit per trade:0.23142015730377918
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20804,70286		+		32155,21		+
1		20815,52427		+		32389,47		+
2		20821,16035		+		31833,73		-
3		20808,81817		-		31732,53		-
4		20806,95371		-		32205,37		+
5		20816,67796		+		32563,26		+
6		20825,74909		+		31042,99		-
7		20797,39913		-		30820,77		-
8		20795,4918		-		30789,2		-
9		20795,26722		-		30707,06		-
10		20794,73699		-		31258,97		+
11		20799,8006		+		31953,99		+
12		20811,18737		+		32325,14		+
13		20819,54978		+		32302,07		-
14		20818,98378		-		33048,99		+
15		20840,41067		+		33379,53		+
16		20851,92987		+		32684,23		-
17		20829,14779		-		32577,09		-
18		20826,12915		-		32979,02		+
19		20838,13218		+		32560,89		-
20		20825,68418		-		32814,31		+
21		20832,98962		+		32615,92		-
22		20827,20797		-		33044,36		+
23		20840,25816		+		33408,62		+
24		20853,00327		+		33914,45		+
25		20873,20496		+		33841,77		-
26		20870,12379		-		34090,39		+
27		20880,911		+		34113,74		+
28		20881,95999		+		34177,52		+
29		20884,85663		+		34486,01		+
30		20899,5136		+		34517,06		+
31		20901,04809		+		33954		-
32		20874,90673		-		34229,07		+
33		20887,23135		+		34656,83		+
34		20908,08935		+		34473,76		-
35		20898,91118		-		35341,2		+
36		20945,71372		+		35436,38		+
37		20951,35834		+		34985,45		-
38		20925,50504		-		35477,06		+
39		20953,80141		+		35415,91		-
40		20950,13592		-		35599,13		+
41		20961,24197		+		35465,95		-
42		20953,13237		-		35235,93		-
43		20939,58748		-		35713,98		+
44		20968,39231		+		36318,81		+
45		21008,4319		+		36244,96		-
46		21003,32922		-		36238,27		-
47		21002,86991		-		36651,61		+
48		21032,15995		+		36690,84		+
49		21035,03578		+		37064,27		+
50		21063,23809		+		37341,66		+
51		21085,15119		+		37405,4		+
52		21090,30191		+		36616,43		-
53		21029,59512		-		37220		+
54		21075,43964		+		37442,67		+
55		21093,33355		+		37806,83		+
56		21123,72571		+		37986,17		+
57		21139,20417		+		37653,78		-
58		21110,78252		-		37864,77		+
59		21128,68966		+		38368,66		+
60		21173,33322		+		38115,81		-
61		21150,60186		-		38117,31		+
62		21150,73474		+		37812,55		-
63		21124,2142		-		37795,9		-
64		21122,79325		-		37120,78		-
65		21067,63582		-		35873,33		-
66		20978,55316		-		35801,57		-
67		20973,94294		-		35980,06		+
68		20985,51431		+		35563,59		-
69		20959,05873		-		35678,19		+
70		20966,14854		+		36278,29		+
71		21005,62484		+		36940,33		+
72		21053,71222		+		37308,42		+
73		21082,48219		+		37571,76		+
74		21103,94748		+		38213,14		+
75		21159,27358		+		38501,45		+
76		21185,53526		+		38524,92		+
77		21187,71072		+		39739,74		+
78		21307,93494		+		41191,35		+
79		21470,61296		+		40866,67		-
80		21432,47964		-		41116,03		+
81		21461,67862		+		41039,94		-
82		21452,70688		-		40415,4		-
83		21381,13614		-		40502,58		+
84		21390,90348		+		41505,67		+
85		21508,46653		+		42194,73		+
86		21594,61514		+		42002,34		-
87		21570,12958		-		42125,61		+
88		21585,78002		+		42951,75		+
89		21694,14175		+		42938,85		-
90		21692,4039		-		42724,09		-
91		21663,68378		-		43376,85		+
92		21752,20544		+		43571,25		+
93		21779,2675		+		42993,27		-
94		21699,7449		-		42621,33		-
95		21650,08324		-		43020,51		+
96		21703,42897		+		42818,62		-
97		21676,27612		-		42158,4		-
98		21589,96598		-		42992,3		+
99		21699,61378		+		42939,38		-
100		21692,47532		-		44230,97		+
101		21873,43627		+		45924,25		+
102		22130,83744		+		44714,51		-
103		21944,6872		-		42928,65		-
104		21691,0308		-		42756,7		-
105		21668,01899		-		42828,64		+
106		21677,61546		+		43542,17		+
107		21775,19922		+		42333,2		-
108		21612,44295		-		40959,96		-
109		21443,33496		-		40059,32		-
110		21342,00396		-		40613,38		+
111		21403,42218		+		40220,55		-
112		21359,57054		-		39180,23		-
113		21250,7195		-		40047,06		+
114		21340,67849		+		40115,67		+
115		21348,11475		+		40702,82		+
116		21413,61311		+		40465,11		-
117		21386,69651		-		40170,35		-
118		21354,07402		-		39875,77		-
119		21322,31405		-		39515,79		-
120		21284,65997		-		40789,03		+
121		21423,508		+		41914,3		+
122		21559,03569		+		42429,06		+
123		21624,88457		+		43336,22		+
124		21746,58952		+		43169,58		-
125		21723,70256		-		43325,09		+
126		21745,05356		+		44489,37		+
127		21911,2815		+		43633,67		-
128		21788,02398		-		43683,33		+
129		21795,01352		+		43862,73		+
130		21820,43352		+		44641,85		+
131		21933,86247		+		45002,63		+
132		21988,01505		+		45282,32		+
133		22030,68562		+		45698,49		+
134		22095,26813		+		45104,65		-
135		22003,51048		-		46335,45		+
136		22196,56747		+		47443,65		+
137		22379,54333		+		47163,5		-
138		22332,50825		-		46930,71		-
139		22293,81968		-		48132,11		+
140		22497,27011		+		48930,72		+
141		22637,46266		+		49088,14		+
142		22665,53592		+		49397,32		+
143		22721,07701		+		50121,05		+
144		22853,10678		+		49699,67		-
145		22775,89765		-		48989,65		-
146		22647,95549		-		49210,68		+
147		22687,48536		+		47715,08		-
148		22425,60026		-		48708,09		+
149		22598,00284		+		48006,84		-
150		22475,62765		-		48194,4		+
151		22508,06773		+		47890,75		-
152		22455,65796		-		47955,51		+
153		22466,78753		+		48200,39		+
154		22509,10713		+		47943,58		-
155		22464,73532		-		48625,74		+
156		22583,47981		+		48825,83		+
157		22618,83583		+		49525,55		+
158		22744,26676		+		49776,82		+
159		22789,96436		+		49567,61		-
160		22751,89267		-		49800,83		+
161		22794,34843		+		50621,01		+
162		22945,88359		+		50467,53		-
163		22917,27104		-		50551,02		+
164		22932,82133		+		51837,65		+
165		23176,55674		+		52835,66		+
166		23370,43199		+		53247,94		+
167		23451,61008		+		53520,24		+
168		23505,54692		+		56253,95		+
169		24058,67893		+		56985,69		+
170		24209,49744		+		55060,42		-
171		23814,8727		-		56432,58		+
172		24095,41356		+		57532,02		+
173		24322,61919		+		56592,36		-
174		24128,31898		-		57277,66		+
175		24269,90357		+		58983,91		+
176		24624,72734		+		58940,68		-
177		24615,71078		-		58296,28		-
178		24481,43439		-		57598,15		-
179		24336,33743		-		56988,75		-
180		24210,1299		-		57896,31		+
181		24398,24794		+		57227,66		-
182		24259,5506		-		56376,62		-
183		24083,89963		-		57266,53		+
184		24267,59859		+		56940,58		-
185		24200,17555		-		55865,39		-
186		23978,97787		-		56114,11		+
187		24029,9614		+		57175,59		+
188		24248,77295		+		56096,5		-
189		24026,34788		-		55475		-
190		23899,20996		-		55952,65		+
191		23996,85082		+		58107,95		+
192		24442,24734		+		59333,17		+
193		24697,60044		+		59917,84		+
194		24819,65973		+		59812,92		-
195		24797,75312		-		59080,2		-
196		24644,8135		-		59292,68		+
197		24689,14991		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24689.149911552464
New Prediction 1	20967.180163582765
New Prediction 2	21274.831097124283
New Prediction 3	21243.934821008363
New Prediction 4	21246.994612050745
New Prediction 5	21246.691144690594
New Prediction 6	21246.721282269653
New Prediction 7	21246.71829408279
New Prediction 8	21246.71855021274
New Prediction 9	21246.71855021274
New Prediction 10	21246.71855021274
New Prediction 11	21246.71855021274
New Prediction 12	21246.71855021274
New Prediction 13	21246.71855021274
New Prediction 14	21246.71855021274
New Prediction 15	21246.71855021274
New Prediction 16	21246.71855021274
New Prediction 17	21246.71855021274
New Prediction 18	21246.71855021274
New Prediction 19	21246.71855021274
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,052		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02707		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,05929		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00896		+		1,47909		+
5		0,04672		+			1,10515		-
6		0,04357		-			-4,78116		-
7		-0,13622		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00917		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00108		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,00255		-		1,78138		+
11		0,02435		+			2,19907		+
12		0,05473		+			1,15482		-
13		0,04017		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00272		-		2,28597		+
15		0,10287		+			0,99518		-
16		0,05526		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,10932		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01449		+		1,22623		+
19		0,05762		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,05975		-		0,77528		+
21		0,03507		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02776		-		1,30504		+
23		0,06264		+			1,0963		-
24		0,06114		-			1,50272		+
25		0,09683		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01476		-		0,73197		+
27		0,05167		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00502		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01387		+			0,89856		+
30		0,07016		+			0,09		-
31		0,00734		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,12515		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05902		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09981		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,04391		-		2,4851		+
36		0,2237		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02695		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,12347		-		1,3954		+
39		0,13513		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01749		-		0,516		+
41		0,053		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,0387		-			-0,65068		-
43		-0,06466		-		1,34759		+
44		0,13747		+			1,67936		+
45		0,19077		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02429		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00219		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13936		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01367		-			1,01263		+
50		0,13398		+			0,74562		-
51		0,10398		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02443		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,28826		-		1,63492		+
54		0,21776		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08487		-			0,96788		+
56		0,14398		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07325		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,13454		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08479		+			1,32199		+
60		0,21107		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10742		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00063		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12547		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00673		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,26147		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,42374		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02198		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05516		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,12615		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03382		+			1,66799		+
71		0,18811		+			1,80844		+
72		0,22866		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13656		-			0,70337		-
74		0,10176		-			1,69267		+
75		0,26182		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12404		-			0,06094		-
77		0,01027		-			3,10464		+
78		0,56582		+			3,58766		+
79		0,76056		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17776		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13614		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04181		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33418		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04567		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54809		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39973		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11345		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07253		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50075		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00801		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13248		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40779		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12433		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,3658		-			-0,86888		+
95		-0,22912		+		0,93221		+
96		0,2461		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12519		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39897		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50658		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,0329		-			2,96359		+
101		0,83075		+			3,75681		+
102		1,16991		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84469		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16262		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10615		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04428		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44915		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75025		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78553		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,47367		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28737		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20509		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,51092		-		2,1883		+
114		0,42243		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03484		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30634		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12578		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15265		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14884		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17675		-		3,17128		+
121		0,65022		+			2,72139		-
122		0,63062		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30497		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56122		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,1053		-			0,35958		+
126		0,09824		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76153		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56412		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03207		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11656		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51848		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24659		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19387		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29272		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41615		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87357		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82096		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21039		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17339		+		2,52773		+
140		0,90845		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62122		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12394		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24475		+			1,45449		+
144		0,57941		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,33842		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,56333		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17439		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,16103		-		2,05976		+
149		0,76584		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,543		-			0,38993		+
151		0,14423		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23312		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04955		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18819		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,19732		-		1,41281		+
156		0,52719		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15643		-			1,42292		+
158		0,55301		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20072		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16719		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18643		+			1,63351		+
162		0,66259		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12477		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06783		+			2,51336		+
165		1,05722		+			1,90696		-
166		0,83304		-			0,77728		-
167		0,34675		-			0,51008		-
168		0,22973		-			4,98164		+
169		2,32594		+			1,29239		-
170		0,62492		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,64347		-		2,46155		+
172		1,17112		+			1,9295		-
173		0,93852		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,80205		-		1,20367		+
175		0,58508		+			2,9354		+
176		1,45141		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03662		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,54698		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,59444		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,51995		+		1,57998		+
181		0,77402		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,57009		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,72668		-		1,56618		+
184		0,75985		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,27822		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,91824		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21239		+			1,87398		+
188		0,90646		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,9215		-			-1,1141		+
190		-0,53057		+		0,85733		+
191		0,40772		+			3,77967		+
192		1,83905		+			2,0866		-
193		1,0393		-			0,98058		-
194		0,493		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,0883		-			-1,23258		-
196		-0,61866		-		0,359		+
197		0,17974		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,34055		+		-16,34055		+
2		1,45664		+			1,45664		+
3		-0,14533		-		-0,14533		-
4		0,0144		+			0,0144		+
5		-0,00143		-		-0,00143		-
6		0,00014		+			0,00014		+
7		-0,00001		-		-0,00001		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29379711471702535

 49.run Duration 	18 seconds 713 milliseconds

Finished All Runs

 Total Duration	13 minutes 59 seconds 586 milliseconds
