MoE_30_10TR30_5_LR_1.0E-4_LDR_0.99_MR_0.9

Datasets are ready ... Initializing the process ...
 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@18c56d ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0013282699741549815
train epoch 1: 3.6153463640272435E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6146168473388725E-4
train epoch 3: 3.613899977283426E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6131931633892996E-4
train epoch 5: 3.612509408979805E-4
train epoch 6: 3.611876012894125E-4
train epoch 7: 3.611329459141737E-4
train epoch 8: 3.610854269235682E-4
train epoch 9: 3.610379277389418E-4
train epoch 10: 3.609904482538727E-4
train epoch 11: 3.609429883621598E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6089554795779976E-4
train epoch 13: 3.608481269350054E-4
train epoch 14: 3.608007251881713E-4
train epoch 15: 3.607533426119229E-4
train epoch 16: 3.607059791010655E-4
train epoch 17: 3.606586345506209E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6061130885581115E-4
train epoch 19: 3.6056400191205755E-4
train epoch 20: 3.60516713614985E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6046944386041525E-4
train epoch 22: 3.604221925443708E-4
train epoch 23: 3.6037495956308524E-4
train epoch 24: 3.603277448129733E-4
train epoch 25: 3.602805481906596E-4
train epoch 26: 3.6023336959296534E-4
train epoch 27: 3.6018620891691157E-4
train epoch 28: 3.601390660597109E-4
train epoch 29: 3.600919409187732E-4
train epoch 30: 3.6004483339169914E-4
train epoch 31: 3.5999774337630867E-4
train epoch 32: 3.599506707705913E-4
train epoch 33: 3.599036154727481E-4
train epoch 34: 3.5985657738115307E-4
train epoch 35: 3.598095563943951E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5976255241125163E-4
train epoch 37: 3.597155653306786E-4
train epoch 38: 3.596685950518458E-4
train epoch 39: 3.596216414740995E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5957470449698254E-4
train epoch 41: 3.595277840202378E-4
train epoch 42: 3.594808799437769E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5943399216772134E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5938712059236776E-4
train epoch 45: 3.593402651182144E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5929342564593246E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5924660207639473E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5919979431066345E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5915300224997356E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5971562851309243
mae:0.7331303266715221
rmse:0.7727588790372611
mape:6.9646177790804025
corr:0.9701730040720125
theil coefficient:27.37556865689993
net profit:44.24088481348811
buy and hold:-7.01219814450534E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22457301935780766
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20674,15855		+		32155,21		+
1		20679,32443		+		32389,47		+
2		20682,62275		+		31833,73		-
3		20675,8767		-		31732,53		-
4		20675,0498		-		32205,37		+
5		20679,97495		+		32563,26		+
6		20685,4974		+		31042,99		-
7		20672,71225		-		30820,77		-
8		20673,18429		+		30789,2		-
9		20673,29981		+		30707,06		-
10		20673,65685		+		31258,97		+
11		20672,82588		-		31953,99		+
12		20677,02027		+		32325,14		+
13		20681,65105		+		32302,07		-
14		20681,31474		-		33048,99		+
15		20695,46111		+		33379,53		+
16		20703,86309		+		32684,23		-
17		20687,71324		-		32577,09		-
18		20685,7418		-		32979,02		+
19		20693,85082		+		32560,89		-
20		20685,45575		-		32814,31		+
21		20690,29261		+		32615,92		-
22		20686,44031		-		33044,36		+
23		20695,35273		+		33408,62		+
24		20704,66528		+		33914,45		+
25		20720,23342		+		33841,77		-
26		20717,80838		-		34090,39		+
27		20726,36468		+		34113,74		+
28		20727,20612		+		34177,52		+
29		20729,53757		+		34486,01		+
30		20741,49687		+		34517,06		+
31		20742,76316		+		33954		-
32		20721,57952		-		34229,07		+
33		20731,45733		+		34656,83		+
34		20748,60472		+		34473,76		-
35		20741,00042		-		35341,2		+
36		20780,53605		+		35436,38		+
37		20785,41301		+		34985,45		-
38		20763,24896		-		35477,06		+
39		20787,52979		+		35415,91		-
40		20784,35518		-		35599,13		+
41		20793,99778		+		35465,95		-
42		20786,94976		-		35235,93		-
43		20775,26576		-		35713,98		+
44		20800,24206		+		36318,81		+
45		20835,655		+		36244,96		-
46		20831,1041		-		36238,27		-
47		20830,69495		-		36651,61		+
48		20856,94227		+		36690,84		+
49		20859,53534		+		37064,27		+
50		20885,09869		+		37341,66		+
51		20905,11353		+		37405,4		+
52		20909,83557		+		36616,43		-
53		20854,6319		-		37220		+
54		20896,22799		+		37442,67		+
55		20912,61785		+		37806,83		+
56		20940,62437		+		37986,17		+
57		20954,96195		+		37653,78		-
58		20928,67259		-		37864,77		+
59		20945,21727		+		38368,66		+
60		20986,73309		+		38115,81		-
61		20965,54894		-		38117,31		+
62		20965,67252		+		37812,55		-
63		20941,07613		-		37795,9		-
64		20939,76217		-		37120,78		-
65		20889,1054		-		35873,33		-
66		20809,16026		-		35801,57		-
67		20805,10755		-		35980,06		+
68		20815,29855		+		35563,59		-
69		20792,09668		-		35678,19		+
70		20798,2797		+		36278,29		+
71		20833,15023		+		36940,33		+
72		20876,43809		+		37308,42		+
73		20902,6692		+		37571,76		+
74		20922,37555		+		38213,14		+
75		20973,61977		+		38501,45		+
76		20998,1406		+		38524,92		+
77		21000,17693		+		39739,74		+
78		21113,73326		+		41191,35		+
79		21269,82745		+		40866,67		-
80		21233,03541		-		41116,03		+
81		21261,19752		+		41039,94		-
82		21252,53744		-		40415,4		-
83		21183,68188		-		40502,58		+
84		21193,05339		+		41505,67		+
85		21306,45466		+		42194,73		+
86		21390,16278		+		42002,34		-
87		21366,32439		-		42125,61		+
88		21381,55712		+		42951,75		+
89		21487,39961		+		42938,85		-
90		21485,69735		-		42724,09		-
91		21457,58728		-		43376,85		+
92		21544,35621		+		43571,25		+
93		21570,95461		+		42993,27		-
94		21492,88897		-		42621,33		-
95		21444,29027		-		43020,51		+
96		21496,49906		+		42818,62		-
97		21469,90706		-		42158,4		-
98		21385,6338		-		42992,3		+
99		21492,7605		+		42939,38		-
100		21485,76731		-		44230,97		+
101		21663,74812		+		45924,25		+
102		21919,00005		+		44714,51		-
103		21734,18413		-		42928,65		-
104		21484,35249		-		42756,7		-
105		21461,82775		-		42828,64		+
106		21471,21789		+		43542,17		+
107		21566,95399		+		42333,2		-
108		21407,5412		-		40959,96		-
109		21243,4976		-		40059,32		-
110		21146,22308		-		40613,38		+
111		21205,07689		+		40220,55		-
112		21163,0207		-		39180,23		-
113		21059,45842		-		40047,06		+
114		21144,95684		+		40115,67		+
115		21152,06299		+		40702,82		+
116		21214,87451		+		40465,11		-
117		21189,01589		-		40170,35		-
118		21157,7616		-		39875,77		-
119		21127,43124		-		39515,79		-
120		21091,60848		-		40789,03		+
121		21224,39573		+		41914,3		+
122		21355,53549		+		42429,06		+
123		21419,67973		+		43336,22		+
124		21538,84057		+		43169,58		-
125		21516,37712		-		43325,09		+
126		21537,33228		+		44489,37		+
127		21701,13766		+		43633,67		-
128		21579,56787		-		43683,33		+
129		21586,44542		+		43862,73		+
130		21611,47534		+		44641,85		+
131		21723,4715		+		45002,63		+
132		21777,10338		+		45282,32		+
133		21819,43188		+		45698,49		+
134		21883,6042		+		45104,65		-
135		21792,46783		-		46335,45		+
136		21984,50204		+		47443,65		+
137		22167,41876		+		47163,5		-
138		22120,32309		-		46930,71		-
139		22081,62281		-		48132,11		+
140		22285,50718		+		48930,72		+
141		22426,48972		+		49088,14		+
142		22454,76461		+		49397,32		+
143		22510,74491		+		50121,05		+
144		22644,02252		+		49699,67		-
145		22566,04978		-		48989,65		-
146		22437,05629		-		49210,68		+
147		22476,8813		+		47715,08		-
148		22213,5824		-		48708,09		+
149		22386,77035		+		48006,84		-
150		22263,77664		-		48194,4		+
151		22296,35225		+		47890,75		-
152		22243,73412		-		47955,51		+
153		22254,90328		+		48200,39		+
154		22297,39634		+		47943,58		-
155		22252,84358		-		48625,74		+
156		22372,15895		+		48825,83		+
157		22407,73685		+		49525,55		+
158		22534,13346		+		49776,82		+
159		22580,24861		+		49567,61		-
160		22541,82669		-		49800,83		+
161		22584,6745		+		50621,01		+
162		22737,8367		+		50467,53		-
163		22708,89073		-		50551,02		+
164		22724,62076		+		51837,65		+
165		22971,60719		+		52835,66		+
166		23168,59763		+		53247,94		+
167		23251,20527		+		53520,24		+
168		23306,13024		+		56253,95		+
169		23870,95221		+		56985,69		+
170		24025,38804		+		55060,42		-
171		23621,6664		-		56432,58		+
172		23908,55264		+		57532,02		+
173		24141,32755		+		56592,36		-
174		23942,24208		-		57277,66		+
175		24087,28808		+		58983,91		+
176		24451,36014		+		58940,68		-
177		24442,09923		-		58296,28		-
178		24304,23944		-		57598,15		-
179		24155,39331		-		56988,75		-
180		24026,03601		-		57896,31		+
181		24218,88731		+		57227,66		-
182		24076,6773		-		56376,62		-
183		23896,76626		-		57266,53		+
184		24084,92563		+		56940,58		-
185		24015,83785		-		55865,39		-
186		23789,4078		-		56114,11		+
187		23841,56489		+		57175,59		+
188		24065,63204		+		56096,5		-
189		23837,86753		-		55475		-
190		23707,84488		-		55952,65		+
191		23807,68987		+		58107,95		+
192		24264,02686		+		59333,17		+
193		24526,22476		+		59917,84		+
194		24651,68371		+		59812,92		-
195		24629,16123		-		59080,2		-
196		24471,99229		-		59292,68		+
197		24517,54179		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24517.541791797143
New Prediction 1	20932.047463330447
New Prediction 2	21280.371267129623
New Prediction 3	21240.62209471866
New Prediction 4	21245.096192622703
New Prediction 5	21244.59174548275
New Prediction 6	21244.64861546535
New Prediction 7	21244.642210184837
New Prediction 8	21244.642889531227
New Prediction 9	21244.642889531227
New Prediction 10	21244.642889531227
New Prediction 11	21244.642889531227
New Prediction 12	21244.642889531227
New Prediction 13	21244.642889531227
New Prediction 14	21244.642889531227
New Prediction 15	21244.642889531227
New Prediction 16	21244.642889531227
New Prediction 17	21244.642889531227
New Prediction 18	21244.642889531227
New Prediction 19	21244.642889531227
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02498		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01595		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03262		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,004		+			1,47909		+
5		0,02382		+			1,10515		-
6		0,0267		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,06183		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00228		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00056		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00173		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00402		-		2,19907		+
12		0,02029		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02239		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00163		-		2,28597		+
15		0,06838		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04059		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,07803		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00953		+		1,22623		+
19		0,03919		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04058		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02338		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01862		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04307		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04499		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07516		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,0117		-			0,73197		+
27		0,04129		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00406		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01125		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05768		+			0,09		-
31		0,0061		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10218		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04766		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08268		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03666		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19043		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02347		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10669		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11687		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01527		-		0,516		+
41		0,04638		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,0339		-			-0,65068		-
43		-0,05622		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12015		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17011		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02184		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00196		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12592		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01243		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12247		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09579		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02259		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,26436		-		1,63492		+
54		0,19926		+			0,59647		-
55		0,0784		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13383		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06844		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12554		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07902		+			1,32199		+
60		0,19802		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10099		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00059		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11739		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00627		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24221		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,38345		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,01948		+		0,49731		+
68		0,04897		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11153		-		0,32172		+
70		0,02973		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16752		+			1,80844		+
72		0,20757		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12557		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09423		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24463		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11684		-			0,06094		-
77		0,0097		-			3,10464		+
78		0,53928		+			3,58766		+
79		0,73658		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17313		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13255		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04074		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32451		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04423		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53366		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39211		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11151		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07127		+			1,94215		+
89		0,4938		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00792		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13092		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40356		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12338		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36256		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22637		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24317		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12378		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39329		-		1,95871		+
99		0,49968		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03254		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82495		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17136		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84675		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15614		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,1049		+			0,16811		+
106		0,04374		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44489		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,7419		-			-3,29766		-
109		-0,76924		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,45895		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27793		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19853		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49056		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40516		+			0,17118		-
115		0,0336		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29651		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12196		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14761		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14346		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,1697		-			3,17128		+
121		0,6276		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61597		-			1,22064		-
123		0,29991		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55477		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10435		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09734		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75769		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56178		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03187		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11588		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51689		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24658		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19418		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29367		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41733		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87734		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82858		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21268		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17511		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91908		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63063		-			0,3212		-
142		0,126		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24899		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59032		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34494		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57327		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17734		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,17834		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77663		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55092		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14621		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23627		-		0,13513		+
153		0,0502		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19076		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20001		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53475		+			0,41065		-
157		0,1589		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56249		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20444		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,1703		-			0,46941		+
161		0,1899		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67588		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12738		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06924		+			2,51336		+
165		1,081		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85388		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35592		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23595		-			4,98164		+
169		2,39459		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64488		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69467		-		2,46155		+
172		1,20719		+			1,9295		-
173		0,9689		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,82809		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60399		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50016		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03788		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56562		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61431		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53696		+		1,57998		+
181		0,79947		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,58892		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75005		-		1,56618		+
184		0,7843		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28726		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,94731		-		0,44422		+
187		0,219		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93543		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95094		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54694		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42026		+			3,77967		+
192		1,89862		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07481		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51023		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,0914		-			-1,23258		-
196		-0,64019		-		0,359		+
197		0,18596		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,81075		+		-15,81075		+
2		1,65038		+			1,65038		+
3		-0,18696		-		-0,18696		-
4		0,02106		+			0,02106		+
5		-0,00237		-		-0,00237		-
6		0,00027		+			0,00027		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		0		-			0		-
10		0		-			0		-
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29857814256546217

 0.run Duration 	25 seconds 220 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@6ffd79 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 7.072080728030813E-4
train epoch 1: 3.61403011748795E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6133837302363325E-4
train epoch 3: 3.612763178776819E-4
train epoch 4: 3.6122751301045913E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6119779382097993E-4
train epoch 6: 3.611692159851281E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6114064952289286E-4
train epoch 8: 3.611120938518502E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6108354644660064E-4
train epoch 10: 3.610550072648669E-4
train epoch 11: 3.610264762644422E-4
train epoch 12: 3.609979534031537E-4
train epoch 13: 3.609694386388945E-4
train epoch 14: 3.609409319296039E-4
train epoch 15: 3.609124332332898E-4
train epoch 16: 3.608839425080024E-4
train epoch 17: 3.608554597118535E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6082698480300706E-4
train epoch 19: 3.607985177396838E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6077005848015096E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6074160698273613E-4
train epoch 22: 3.6071316320581716E-4
train epoch 23: 3.606847271078346E-4
train epoch 24: 3.606562986472687E-4
train epoch 25: 3.6062787778266115E-4
train epoch 26: 3.605994644726035E-4
train epoch 27: 3.605710586757538E-4
train epoch 28: 3.605426603507998E-4
train epoch 29: 3.605142694564957E-4
train epoch 30: 3.604858859516511E-4
train epoch 31: 3.6045750979512046E-4
train epoch 32: 3.6042914094582576E-4
train epoch 33: 3.604007793627238E-4
train epoch 34: 3.603724250048288E-4
train epoch 35: 3.6034407783121014E-4
train epoch 36: 3.603157378009857E-4
train epoch 37: 3.6028740487332864E-4
train epoch 38: 3.602590790074681E-4
train epoch 39: 3.602307601626774E-4
train epoch 40: 3.6020244829828733E-4
train epoch 41: 3.6017414337366927E-4
train epoch 42: 3.6014584534825854E-4
train epoch 43: 3.6011755418153386E-4
train epoch 44: 3.600892698330344E-4
train epoch 45: 3.600609922623414E-4
train epoch 46: 3.6003272142909006E-4
train epoch 47: 3.6000445729296996E-4
train epoch 48: 3.5997619981371166E-4
train epoch 49: 3.599479489511035E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5959577358118604
mae:0.7324915775151056
rmse:0.7719829893280424
mape:6.963146599601868
corr:0.9706532984791822
theil coefficient:27.306594028238287
net profit:44.95362735005769
buy and hold:-6.901019310069484E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22819100177694257
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20674,0908		+		32155,21		+
1		20679,72741		+		32389,47		+
2		20683,23863		+		31833,73		-
3		20676,00104		-		31732,53		-
4		20675,08968		-		32205,37		+
5		20680,42281		+		32563,26		+
6		20686,27656		+		31042,99		-
7		20672,21855		-		30820,77		-
8		20672,5343		+		30789,2		-
9		20672,62823		+		30707,06		-
10		20672,92984		+		31258,97		+
11		20672,49143		-		31953,99		+
12		20677,247		+		32325,14		+
13		20682,20764		+		32302,07		-
14		20681,85022		-		33048,99		+
15		20696,72056		+		33379,53		+
16		20705,46933		+		32684,23		-
17		20688,60873		-		32577,09		-
18		20686,53415		-		32979,02		+
19		20695,03893		+		32560,89		-
20		20686,23265		-		32814,31		+
21		20691,31563		+		32615,92		-
22		20687,26985		-		33044,36		+
23		20696,60744		+		33408,62		+
24		20706,3028		+		33914,45		+
25		20722,43456		+		33841,77		-
26		20719,92627		-		34090,39		+
27		20728,77048		+		34113,74		+
28		20729,63941		+		34177,52		+
29		20732,04635		+		34486,01		+
30		20744,37887		+		34517,06		+
31		20745,68347		+		33954		-
32		20723,82628		-		34229,07		+
33		20734,02754		+		34656,83		+
34		20751,69912		+		34473,76		-
35		20743,86735		-		35341,2		+
36		20784,5216		+		35436,38		+
37		20789,52752		+		34985,45		-
38		20766,7633		-		35477,06		+
39		20791,69979		+		35415,91		-
40		20788,44186		-		35599,13		+
41		20798,3356		+		35465,95		-
42		20791,10458		-		35235,93		-
43		20779,11009		-		35713,98		+
44		20804,73956		+		36318,81		+
45		20841,02175		+		36244,96		-
46		20836,3622		-		36238,27		-
47		20835,94324		-		36651,61		+
48		20862,80718		+		36690,84		+
49		20865,45988		+		37064,27		+
50		20891,6003		+		37341,66		+
51		20912,05469		+		37405,4		+
52		20916,87903		+		36616,43		-
53		20860,4435		-		37220		+
54		20902,97525		+		37442,67		+
55		20919,72135		+		37806,83		+
56		20948,32292		+		37986,17		+
57		20962,95911		+		37653,78		-
58		20936,11918		-		37864,77		+
59		20953,0119		+		38368,66		+
60		20995,37911		+		38115,81		-
61		20973,76422		-		38117,31		+
62		20973,89033		+		37812,55		-
63		20948,78414		-		37795,9		-
64		20947,44264		-		37120,78		-
65		20895,69582		-		35873,33		-
66		20813,88218		-		35801,57		-
67		20809,728		-		35980,06		+
68		20820,17265		+		35563,59		-
69		20796,38543		-		35678,19		+
70		20802,72725		+		36278,29		+
71		20838,45728		+		36940,33		+
72		20882,74629		+		37308,42		+
73		20909,55721		+		37571,76		+
74		20929,68823		+		38213,14		+
75		20982,00002		+		38501,45		+
76		21007,01563		+		38524,92		+
77		21009,09262		+		39739,74		+
78		21124,83153		+		41191,35		+
79		21283,71469		+		40866,67		-
80		21246,28329		-		41116,03		+
81		21274,93569		+		41039,94		-
82		21266,12547		-		40415,4		-
83		21196,05557		-		40502,58		+
84		21205,59461		+		41505,67		+
85		21320,96874		+		42194,73		+
86		21406,07635		+		42002,34		-
87		21381,84386		-		42125,61		+
88		21397,32881		+		42951,75		+
89		21504,88699		+		42938,85		-
90		21503,15762		-		42724,09		-
91		21474,59767		-		43376,85		+
92		21562,74213		+		43571,25		+
93		21589,75464		+		42993,27		-
94		21510,46367		-		42621,33		-
95		21461,08636		-		43020,51		+
96		21514,1311		+		42818,62		-
97		21487,11514		-		42158,4		-
98		21401,47276		-		42992,3		+
99		21510,33316		+		42939,38		-
100		21503,22869		-		44230,97		+
101		21683,96698		+		45924,25		+
102		21942,93466		+		44714,51		-
103		21755,45459		-		42928,65		-
104		21501,79133		-		42756,7		-
105		21478,90627		-		42828,64		+
106		21488,44694		+		43542,17		+
107		21585,69195		+		42333,2		-
108		21423,73994		-		40959,96		-
109		21256,92831		-		40059,32		-
110		21157,91944		-		40613,38		+
111		21217,83198		+		40220,55		-
112		21175,02235		-		39180,23		-
113		21069,53302		-		40047,06		+
114		21156,63008		+		40115,67		+
115		21163,86578		+		40702,82		+
116		21227,803		+		40465,11		-
117		21201,48502		-		40170,35		-
118		21169,66794		-		39875,77		-
119		21138,78293		-		39515,79		-
120		21102,29337		-		40789,03		+
121		21237,49199		+		41914,3		+
122		21370,87546		+		42429,06		+
123		21436,07662		+		43336,22		+
124		21557,14019		+		43169,58		-
125		21534,32369		-		43325,09		+
126		21555,60827		+		44489,37		+
127		21721,91737		+		43633,67		-
128		21598,50128		-		43683,33		+
129		21605,48507		+		43862,73		+
130		21630,89978		+		44641,85		+
131		21744,58338		+		45002,63		+
132		21799,00449		+		45282,32		+
133		21841,94771		+		45698,49		+
134		21907,03872		+		45104,65		-
135		21814,59289		-		46335,45		+
136		22009,35002		+		47443,65		+
137		22194,73826		+		47163,5		-
138		22147,01704		-		46930,71		-
139		22107,7972		-		48132,11		+
140		22314,36357		+		48930,72		+
141		22457,12378		+		49088,14		+
142		22485,74791		+		49397,32		+
143		22542,41263		+		50121,05		+
144		22677,28273		+		49699,67		-
145		22598,38458		-		48989,65		-
146		22467,82114		-		49210,68		+
147		22508,13611		+		47715,08		-
148		22241,50803		-		48708,09		+
149		22416,90973		+		48006,84		-
150		22292,35355		-		48194,4		+
151		22325,34757		+		47890,75		-
152		22272,05194		-		47955,51		+
153		22283,36563		+		48200,39		+
154		22326,40501		+		47943,58		-
155		22281,27931		-		48625,74		+
156		22402,11516		+		48825,83		+
157		22438,13795		+		49525,55		+
158		22566,08439		+		49776,82		+
159		22612,75324		+		49567,61		-
160		22573,87042		-		49800,83		+
161		22617,23195		+		50621,01		+
162		22772,18724		+		50467,53		-
163		22742,90751		-		50551,02		+
164		22758,81921		+		51837,65		+
165		23008,56741		+		52835,66		+
166		23207,64082		+		53247,94		+
167		23291,09087		+		53520,24		+
168		23346,56587		+		56253,95		+
169		23916,58168		+		56985,69		+
170		24072,29153		+		55060,42		-
171		23665,10711		-		56432,58		+
172		23954,49808		+		57532,02		+
173		24189,14617		+		56592,36		-
174		23988,46746		-		57277,66		+
175		24134,68457		+		58983,91		+
176		24501,45085		+		58940,68		-
177		24492,12578		-		58296,28		-
178		24353,28386		-		57598,15		-
179		24203,32055		-		56988,75		-
180		24072,94471		-		57896,31		+
181		24267,2983		+		57227,66		-
182		24123,99		-		56376,62		-
183		23942,61305		-		57266,53		+
184		24132,3035		+		56940,58		-
185		24062,66437		-		55865,39		-
186		23834,33928		-		56114,11		+
187		23886,94482		+		57175,59		+
188		24112,8572		+		56096,5		-
189		23883,21591		-		55475		-
190		23752,06071		-		55952,65		+
191		23852,77935		+		58107,95		+
192		24312,77526		+		59333,17		+
193		24576,82563		+		59917,84		+
194		24703,10565		+		59812,92		-
195		24680,43891		-		59080,2		-
196		24522,2251		-		59292,68		+
197		24568,08427		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24568.08426833871
New Prediction 1	20926.25857105723
New Prediction 2	21281.153704519144
New Prediction 3	21240.37313471356
New Prediction 4	21244.993717982135
New Prediction 5	21244.469295255753
New Prediction 6	21244.528791121236
New Prediction 7	21244.522050068685
New Prediction 8	21244.52283163816
New Prediction 9	21244.522733941958
New Prediction 10	21244.522733941958
New Prediction 11	21244.522733941958
New Prediction 12	21244.522733941958
New Prediction 13	21244.522733941958
New Prediction 14	21244.522733941958
New Prediction 15	21244.522733941958
New Prediction 16	21244.522733941958
New Prediction 17	21244.522733941958
New Prediction 18	21244.522733941958
New Prediction 19	21244.522733941958
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02726		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01698		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,035		-			-0,31841		+
4		-0,00441		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02579		+			1,10515		-
6		0,0283		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,06798		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00153		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00045		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00146		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00212		-		2,19907		+
12		0,023		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02399		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00173		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07187		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04226		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08146		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01003		+		1,22623		+
19		0,0411		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04256		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02457		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01955		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04513		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04683		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07788		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,0121		-			0,73197		+
27		0,04268		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00419		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01161		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05947		+			0,09		-
31		0,00629		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10541		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04921		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08519		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03775		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19579		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02408		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10956		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12001		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01567		-		0,516		+
41		0,04758		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03477		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05771		-		1,34759		+
44		0,12327		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17424		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02236		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00201		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12885		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01271		-			1,01263		+
50		0,1252		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09786		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02307		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27017		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20368		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08008		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13663		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06984		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12812		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08065		+			1,32199		+
60		0,202		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,103		-			0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11977		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,0064		+			-1,80237		-
65		-0,24734		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,3923		-			-0,20024		+
67		-0,01996		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05018		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11432		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03049		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17161		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21231		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12831		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09623		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24963		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11915		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00989		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54939		+			3,58766		+
79		0,7493		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17602		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13477		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04142		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,33003		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04499		+			2,44644		+
85		0,5426		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39838		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11327		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07239		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50141		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00804		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13291		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40962		+			0,44716		-
93		0,1252		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36794		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22981		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24686		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12565		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39937		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50737		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03303		-		2,96359		+
101		0,837		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18721		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85807		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,17283		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10649		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04441		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45152		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,7531		-			-3,29766		-
109		-0,78168		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46686		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28277		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20197		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49942		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41253		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03419		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30165		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12406		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,15018		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,146		+			-0,90685		-
120		-0,17277		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63864		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62609		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30463		-			2,11553		+
124		0,56318		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,1059		-			0,35958		+
126		0,09879		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76857		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56978		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03233		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11756		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52418		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24996		-			0,61957		-
133		0,1968		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29757		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42288		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88882		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83879		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21524		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17725		+		2,52773		+
140		0,93002		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63773		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12738		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25169		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59651		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34852		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57943		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17927		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,19166		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78553		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55718		-		0,38993		+
151		0,1479		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23901		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05078		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19296		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20232		-		1,41281		+
156		0,54085		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16067		-			1,42292		+
158		0,5686		+			0,50607		-
159		0,2066		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,1721		-			0,46941		+
161		0,1919		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68278		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12866		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06994		+			2,51336		+
165		1,09139		+			1,90696		-
166		0,86149		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35894		-			0,51008		-
168		0,2379		-			4,98164		+
169		2,41221		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64894		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70598		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21544		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97479		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83308		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60768		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50823		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03807		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,5685		-			-1,20478		-
179		-0,61769		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,54013		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80411		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59229		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75469		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78915		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28899		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95341		-		0,44422		+
187		0,22047		+			1,87398		+
188		0,94131		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95692		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,55067		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42315		+			3,77967		+
192		1,91012		+			2,0866		-
193		1,0802		-			0,98058		-
194		0,5125		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,0918		-			-1,23258		-
196		-0,64311		-		0,359		+
197		0,18684		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,04435		+		-16,04435		+
2		1,68171		+			1,68171		+
3		-0,19181		-		-0,19181		-
4		0,02175		+			0,02175		+
5		-0,00247		-		-0,00247		-
6		0,00028		+			0,00028		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.2979788679059302

 1.run Duration 	17 seconds 103 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@d3ade7 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0032821538305262796
train epoch 1: 3.6279459427369974E-4
train epoch 2: 3.6269906258294704E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6260356837585205E-4
train epoch 4: 3.625081404282051E-4
train epoch 5: 3.6241278044482357E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6231748183434436E-4
train epoch 7: 3.622230355526505E-4
train epoch 8: 3.621338794208177E-4
train epoch 9: 3.620523721337394E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6197186022991063E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6189312923025433E-4
train epoch 12: 3.618291590198316E-4
train epoch 13: 3.617870678047439E-4
train epoch 14: 3.6174499380326234E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6170293694572103E-4
train epoch 16: 3.6166089716075094E-4
train epoch 17: 3.616188743771315E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6157686852375623E-4
train epoch 19: 3.6153487952965093E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6149290732395527E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6145095183594907E-4
train epoch 22: 3.614090129950232E-4
train epoch 23: 3.613670907307123E-4
train epoch 24: 3.6132518497265255E-4
train epoch 25: 3.612832956506206E-4
train epoch 26: 3.612414226945072E-4
train epoch 27: 3.6119956603432893E-4
train epoch 28: 3.611577256002369E-4
train epoch 29: 3.611159013224826E-4
train epoch 30: 3.61074093131458E-4
train epoch 31: 3.610323009576838E-4
train epoch 32: 3.609905247317759E-4
train epoch 33: 3.60948764384499E-4
train epoch 34: 3.6090701984671297E-4
train epoch 35: 3.608652910494262E-4
train epoch 36: 3.608235779237604E-4
train epoch 37: 3.607818804009483E-4
train epoch 38: 3.607401984123429E-4
train epoch 39: 3.606985318894195E-4
train epoch 40: 3.606568807637829E-4
train epoch 41: 3.606152449671535E-4
train epoch 42: 3.6057362443136257E-4
train epoch 43: 3.605320190883727E-4
train epoch 44: 3.604904288702528E-4
train epoch 45: 3.604488537091985E-4
train epoch 46: 3.604072935375205E-4
train epoch 47: 3.603657482876451E-4
train epoch 48: 3.603242178921244E-4
train epoch 49: 3.6028270228362325E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5986630235195605
mae:0.7341496406985281
rmse:0.7737331733353304
mape:6.978920422356177
corr:0.969450134248902
theil coefficient:27.39969977603318
net profit:44.096964658465595
buy and hold:-7.035083997348549E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22384246019525683
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20651,79198		+		32155,21		+
1		20656,04387		+		32389,47		+
2		20658,9665		+		31833,73		-
3		20653,12186		-		31732,53		-
4		20652,46286		-		32205,37		+
5		20656,61341		+		32563,26		+
6		20661,56652		+		31042,99		-
7		20651,29944		-		30820,77		-
8		20652,16085		+		30789,2		-
9		20652,33211		+		30707,06		-
10		20652,83467		+		31258,97		+
11		20651,03972		-		31953,99		+
12		20654,0674		+		32325,14		+
13		20658,09734		+		32302,07		-
14		20657,79792		-		33048,99		+
15		20670,78134		+		33379,53		+
16		20678,68966		+		32684,23		-
17		20663,59326		-		32577,09		-
18		20661,78921		-		32979,02		+
19		20669,27722		+		32560,89		-
20		20661,52859		-		32814,31		+
21		20665,9712		+		32615,92		-
22		20662,42691		-		33044,36		+
23		20670,67997		+		33408,62		+
24		20679,44903		+		33914,45		+
25		20694,28895		+		33841,77		-
26		20691,96663		-		34090,39		+
27		20700,17423		+		34113,74		+
28		20700,98331		+		34177,52		+
29		20703,22671		+		34486,01		+
30		20714,76726		+		34517,06		+
31		20715,99206		+		33954		-
32		20695,57942		-		34229,07		+
33		20705,07568		+		34656,83		+
34		20721,64834		+		34473,76		-
35		20714,28722		-		35341,2		+
36		20752,70796		+		35436,38		+
37		20757,46839		+		34985,45		-
38		20735,86661		-		35477,06		+
39		20759,53573		+		35415,91		-
40		20756,43553		-		35599,13		+
41		20765,85661		+		35465,95		-
42		20758,96917		-		35235,93		-
43		20747,56789		-		35713,98		+
44		20771,96421		+		36318,81		+
45		20806,68554		+		36244,96		-
46		20802,21654		-		36238,27		-
47		20801,81485		-		36651,61		+
48		20827,61254		+		36690,84		+
49		20830,16409		+		37064,27		+
50		20855,34238		+		37341,66		+
51		20875,08306		+		37405,4		+
52		20879,74355		+		36616,43		-
53		20825,33957		-		37220		+
54		20866,31652		+		37442,67		+
55		20882,49009		+		37806,83		+
56		20910,15701		+		37986,17		+
57		20924,33381		+		37653,78		-
58		20898,34581		-		37864,77		+
59		20914,6975		+		38368,66		+
60		20955,77635		+		38115,81		-
61		20934,80725		-		38117,31		+
62		20934,92952		+		37812,55		-
63		20910,60357		-		37795,9		-
64		20909,30475		-		37120,78		-
65		20859,29242		-		35873,33		-
66		20780,69561		-		35801,57		-
67		20776,72662		-		35980,06		+
68		20786,71062		+		35563,59		-
69		20763,99814		-		35678,19		+
70		20770,04426		+		36278,29		+
71		20804,22562		+		36940,33		+
72		20846,80754		+		37308,42		+
73		20872,67105		+		37571,76		+
74		20892,12539		+		38213,14		+
75		20942,79429		+		38501,45		+
76		20967,07434		+		38524,92		+
77		20969,09155		+		39739,74		+
78		21081,75895		+		41191,35		+
79		21237,04896		+		40866,67		-
80		21200,41249		-		41116,03		+
81		21228,45387		+		41039,94		-
82		21219,82975		-		40415,4		-
83		21151,2984		-		40502,58		+
84		21160,62154		+		41505,67		+
85		21273,53882		+		42194,73		+
86		21356,99127		+		42002,34		-
87		21333,21801		-		42125,61		+
88		21348,40845		+		42951,75		+
89		21454,01846		+		42938,85		-
90		21452,31916		-		42724,09		-
91		21424,26139		-		43376,85		+
92		21510,88967		+		43571,25		+
93		21537,4567		+		42993,27		-
94		21459,49847		-		42621,33		-
95		21410,9915		-		43020,51		+
96		21463,10253		+		42818,62		-
97		21436,55742		-		42158,4		-
98		21352,47422		-		42992,3		+
99		21459,37021		+		42939,38		-
100		21452,38899		-		44230,97		+
101		21630,17926		+		45924,25		+
102		21885,49418		+		44714,51		-
103		21700,59769		-		42928,65		-
104		21450,97664		-		42756,7		-
105		21428,49354		-		42828,64		+
106		21437,86579		+		43542,17		+
107		21533,46047		+		42333,2		-
108		21374,32579		-		40959,96		-
109		21210,82854		-		40059,32		-
110		21114,04765		-		40613,38		+
111		21172,58503		+		40220,55		-
112		21130,74898		-		39180,23		-
113		21027,86905		-		40047,06		+
114		21112,78888		+		40115,67		+
115		21119,85352		+		40702,82		+
116		21182,3354		+		40465,11		-
117		21156,60471		-		40170,35		-
118		21125,51949		-		39875,77		-
119		21095,36966		-		39515,79		-
120		21059,78323		-		40789,03		+
121		21191,81208		+		41914,3		+
122		21322,46052		+		42429,06		+
123		21386,43539		+		43336,22		+
124		21505,3812		+		43169,58		-
125		21482,94933		-		43325,09		+
126		21503,87491		+		44489,37		+
127		21667,55581		+		43633,67		-
128		21546,06091		-		43683,33		+
129		21552,9316		+		43862,73		+
130		21577,93935		+		44641,85		+
131		21689,88587		+		45002,63		+
132		21743,52013		+		45282,32		+
133		21785,86136		+		45698,49		+
134		21850,07001		+		45104,65		-
135		21758,88812		-		46335,45		+
136		21951,0631		+		47443,65		+
137		22134,25649		+		47163,5		-
138		22087,07785		-		46930,71		-
139		22048,31527		-		48132,11		+
140		22252,58522		+		48930,72		+
141		22393,9094		+		49088,14		+
142		22422,25936		+		49397,32		+
143		22478,39433		+		50121,05		+
144		22612,07054		+		49699,67		-
145		22533,85957		-		48989,65		-
146		22404,50377		-		49210,68		+
147		22444,43622		+		47715,08		-
148		22180,50875		-		48708,09		+
149		22354,08815		+		48006,84		-
150		22230,80716		-		48194,4		+
151		22263,45454		+		47890,75		-
152		22210,7221		-		47955,51		+
153		22221,9148		+		48200,39		+
154		22264,50099		+		47943,58		-
155		22219,85073		-		48625,74		+
156		22339,44036		+		48825,83		+
157		22375,1079		+		49525,55		+
158		22501,84981		+		49776,82		+
159		22548,10075		+		49567,61		-
160		22509,56534		-		49800,83		+
161		22552,53994		+		50621,01		+
162		22706,18898		+		50467,53		-
163		22677,14716		-		50551,02		+
164		22692,92906		+		51837,65		+
165		22940,79299		+		52835,66		+
166		23138,5589		+		53247,94		+
167		23221,50923		+		53520,24		+
168		23276,66733		+		56253,95		+
169		23844,09499		+		56985,69		+
170		23999,29846		+		55060,42		-
171		23593,6163		-		56432,58		+
172		23881,88043		+		57532,02		+
173		24115,82697		+		56592,36		-
174		23915,73669		-		57277,66		+
175		24061,51168		+		58983,91		+
176		24427,48103		+		58940,68		-
177		24418,17081		-		58296,28		-
178		24279,58305		-		57598,15		-
179		24129,96488		-		56988,75		-
180		23999,94969		-		57896,31		+
181		24193,78634		+		57227,66		-
182		24050,84701		-		56376,62		-
183		23870,03592		-		57266,53		+
184		24059,13723		+		56940,58		-
185		23989,70022		-		55865,39		-
186		23762,15374		-		56114,11		+
187		23814,56394		+		57175,59		+
188		24039,74573		+		56096,5		-
189		23810,84856		-		55475		-
190		23680,20021		-		55952,65		+
191		23780,52424		+		58107,95		+
192		24239,16041		+		59333,17		+
193		24502,74609		+		59917,84		+
194		24628,88284		+		59812,92		-
195		24606,23809		-		59080,2		-
196		24448,22322		-		59292,68		+
197		24494,01652		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24494.016518842855
New Prediction 1	20925.826374553923
New Prediction 2	21281.449470294152
New Prediction 3	21240.001876669012
New Prediction 4	21244.76673587614
New Prediction 5	21244.218097372854
New Prediction 6	21244.281237556388
New Prediction 7	21244.27400155626
New Prediction 8	21244.2747945406
New Prediction 9	21244.274695417545
New Prediction 10	21244.274695417545
New Prediction 11	21244.274695417545
New Prediction 12	21244.274695417545
New Prediction 13	21244.274695417545
New Prediction 14	21244.274695417545
New Prediction 15	21244.274695417545
New Prediction 16	21244.274695417545
New Prediction 17	21244.274695417545
New Prediction 18	21244.274695417545
New Prediction 19	21244.274695417545
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02059		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01415		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,0283		-			-0,31841		+
4		-0,00319		+		1,47909		+
5		0,0201		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02398		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,0497		-			-0,71842		+
8		0,00417		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00083		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00243		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00869		-		2,19907		+
12		0,01466		+			1,15482		-
13		0,01951		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00145		-		2,28597		+
15		0,06283		+			0,99518		-
16		0,03825		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,07303		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,00873		+		1,22623		+
19		0,03623		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,0375		-			0,77528		+
21		0,0215		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01715		-		1,30504		+
23		0,03993		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04241		+			1,50272		+
25		0,07174		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01122		-		0,73197		+
27		0,03966		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00391		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01084		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05573		+			0,09		-
31		0,00591		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,09858		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04587		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08001		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03553		-		2,4851		+
36		0,18531		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02294		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,10412		-		1,3954		+
39		0,11408		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01493		-		0,516		+
41		0,04538		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03317		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05494		-		1,34759		+
44		0,11752		+			1,67936		+
45		0,16702		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02148		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00193		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12394		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01225		-			1,01263		+
50		0,1208		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09461		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02232		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,2609		-			1,63492		+
54		0,19657		+			0,59647		-
55		0,07748		-			0,96788		+
56		0,1324		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06778		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12428		-		0,55878		+
59		0,07821		+			1,32199		+
60		0,19622		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10011		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00058		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11627		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00621		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,23947		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,37751		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,0191		+			0,49731		+
68		0,04804		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,10932		-		0,32172		+
70		0,02911		+			1,66799		+
71		0,16444		+			1,80844		+
72		0,20447		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12399		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09316		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24223		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11587		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00962		-			3,10464		+
78		0,53586		+			3,58766		+
79		0,73391		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17266		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13218		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04063		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32348		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04407		+			2,44644		+
85		0,5322		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39152		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11138		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07118		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49348		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00792		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13088		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40353		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12343		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36262		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,2263		+			0,93221		+
96		0,24309		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12375		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39301		-		1,95871		+
99		0,49938		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03254		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82535		+			3,75681		+
102		1,17345		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84842		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15696		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10487		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04373		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44492		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74176		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,76786		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,45732		+		1,37362		+
111		0,27686		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,19779		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,48806		-		2,1883		+
114		0,40303		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03346		-			1,45303		+
116		0,29541		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12155		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14704		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14282		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,16884		-		3,17128		+
121		0,62497		+			2,72139		-
122		0,61461		-			1,22064		-
123		0,29959		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55463		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10436		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09736		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75829		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,5623		-			0,11375		+
129		0,03188		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11596		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51746		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24697		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19454		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29429		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41818		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87932		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83109		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21338		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17565		+		2,52773		+
140		0,9222		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63308		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12652		-			0,62787		+
143		0,25004		+			1,45449		+
144		0,59293		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34648		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,5757		-			0,45016		+
147		0,17808		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18288		-		2,05976		+
149		0,77953		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55302		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14675		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23714		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05038		+			0,50934		+
154		0,19146		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20075		-		1,41281		+
156		0,53677		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15953		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56484		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20533		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17105		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19074		+			1,63351		+
162		0,67898		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12798		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06957		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08633		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85838		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35785		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23725		-			4,98164		+
169		2,40851		+			1,29239		-
170		0,6488		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,70484		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21439		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97483		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83317		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60769		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50952		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03812		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56918		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61814		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,54027		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80441		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59256		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75463		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78909		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28903		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95304		-		0,44422		+
187		0,22032		+			1,87398		+
188		0,94112		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95672		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,5502		+			0,85733		+
191		0,42277		+			3,77967		+
192		1,91026		+			2,0866		-
193		1,08157		-			0,98058		-
194		0,51347		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,09199		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,64424		-		0,359		+
197		0,18713		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-15,74448		+		-15,74448		+
2		1,68517		+			1,68517		+
3		-0,19495		-		-0,19495		-
4		0,02243		+			0,02243		+
5		-0,00258		-		-0,00258		-
6		0,0003		+			0,0003		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29933151175978023

 2.run Duration 	16 seconds 623 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@95215b ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 4.784037268559195E-4
train epoch 1: 3.610715551928341E-4
train epoch 2: 3.610370656202216E-4
train epoch 3: 3.6100257286801997E-4
train epoch 4: 3.609680912244484E-4
train epoch 5: 3.60933620619819E-4
train epoch 6: 3.6089916098163793E-4
train epoch 7: 3.6086471251581004E-4
train epoch 8: 3.6083027670079555E-4
train epoch 9: 3.6079585428970963E-4
train epoch 10: 3.6076144289128156E-4
train epoch 11: 3.6072704270992314E-4
train epoch 12: 3.6069265820499357E-4
train epoch 13: 3.606582917907109E-4
train epoch 14: 3.606239357697431E-4
train epoch 15: 3.6058959007282104E-4
train epoch 16: 3.605552546307634E-4
train epoch 17: 3.6052092937450495E-4
train epoch 18: 3.6048661423507413E-4
train epoch 19: 3.604523091436014E-4
train epoch 20: 3.6041801403132264E-4
train epoch 21: 3.6038372882957165E-4
train epoch 22: 3.603494534697877E-4
train epoch 23: 3.6031518788350405E-4
train epoch 24: 3.602809320023555E-4
train epoch 25: 3.6024668575808345E-4
train epoch 26: 3.602124490825224E-4
train epoch 27: 3.6017822190760867E-4
train epoch 28: 3.6014400416537764E-4
train epoch 29: 3.601097957879663E-4
train epoch 30: 3.600755967076077E-4
train epoch 31: 3.6004140685663553E-4
train epoch 32: 3.600072261674748E-4
train epoch 33: 3.5997305457265724E-4
train epoch 34: 3.599388920048112E-4
train epoch 35: 3.599047383966609E-4
train epoch 36: 3.5987059368101904E-4
train epoch 37: 3.5983645779081436E-4
train epoch 38: 3.598023306590554E-4
train epoch 39: 3.597682122188482E-4
train epoch 40: 3.597341024034152E-4
train epoch 41: 3.59700001146046E-4
train epoch 42: 3.596659083801486E-4
train epoch 43: 3.596318240392136E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5959774805684533E-4
train epoch 45: 3.5956368036671243E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5952962090260665E-4
train epoch 47: 3.594955695983973E-4
train epoch 48: 3.594615263880537E-4
train epoch 49: 3.594274912056391E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5955507439279483
mae:0.732186320342438
rmse:0.7717193427198441
mape:6.957588268346195
corr:0.9708583725627897
theil coefficient:27.30847599291096
net profit:44.89155076550188
buy and hold:-6.910562123837726E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22787589221066945
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20683,18608		+		32155,21		+
1		20689,11376		+		32389,47		+
2		20692,74133		+		31833,73		-
3		20685,22131		-		31732,53		-
4		20684,25614		-		32205,37		+
5		20689,83441		+		32563,26		+
6		20695,863		+		31042,99		-
7		20680,99898		-		30820,77		-
8		20681,1832		+		30789,2		-
9		20681,25817		+		30707,06		-
10		20681,51011		+		31258,97		+
11		20681,39639		-		31953,99		+
12		20686,53027		+		32325,14		+
13		20691,67878		+		32302,07		-
14		20691,30997		-		33048,99		+
15		20706,52939		+		33379,53		+
16		20715,41961		+		32684,23		-
17		20698,25216		-		32577,09		-
18		20696,12716		-		32979,02		+
19		20704,81678		+		32560,89		-
20		20695,81796		-		32814,31		+
21		20701,01916		+		32615,92		-
22		20696,88123		-		33044,36		+
23		20706,41423		+		33408,62		+
24		20716,26516		+		33914,45		+
25		20732,59673		+		33841,77		-
26		20730,06089		-		34090,39		+
27		20738,99771		+		34113,74		+
28		20739,8751		+		34177,52		+
29		20742,30495		+		34486,01		+
30		20754,74401		+		34517,06		+
31		20756,05893		+		33954		-
32		20734,00327		-		34229,07		+
33		20744,30444		+		34656,83		+
34		20762,1202		+		34473,76		-
35		20754,22839		-		35341,2		+
36		20795,14502		+		35436,38		+
37		20800,17631		+		34985,45		-
38		20777,2859		-		35477,06		+
39		20802,35922		+		35415,91		-
40		20799,08525		-		35599,13		+
41		20809,02621		+		35465,95		-
42		20801,76111		-		35235,93		-
43		20789,70466		-		35713,98		+
44		20815,45849		+		36318,81		+
45		20851,87361		+		36244,96		-
46		20847,19929		-		36238,27		-
47		20846,77897		-		36651,61		+
48		20873,72056		+		36690,84		+
49		20876,37997		+		37064,27		+
50		20902,57855		+		37341,66		+
51		20923,06946		+		37405,4		+
52		20927,90139		+		36616,43		-
53		20871,35076		-		37220		+
54		20913,9747		+		37442,67		+
55		20930,748		+		37806,83		+
56		20959,38621		+		37986,17		+
57		20974,03687		+		37653,78		-
58		20947,16826		-		37864,77		+
59		20964,08012		+		38368,66		+
60		21006,47988		+		38115,81		-
61		20984,85097		-		38117,31		+
62		20984,97718		+		37812,55		-
63		20959,84793		-		37795,9		-
64		20958,50497		-		37120,78		-
65		20906,68197		-		35873,33		-
66		20824,63878		-		35801,57		-
67		20820,46787		-		35980,06		+
68		20830,95341		+		35563,59		-
69		20807,06708		-		35678,19		+
70		20813,43746		+		36278,29		+
71		20849,30109		+		36940,33		+
72		20893,70638		+		37308,42		+
73		20920,56791		+		37571,76		+
74		20940,72899		+		38213,14		+
75		20993,09272		+		38501,45		+
76		21018,1219		+		38524,92		+
77		21020,19974		+		39739,74		+
78		21135,92817		+		41191,35		+
79		21294,66323		+		40866,67		-
80		21257,27747		-		41116,03		+
81		21285,89545		+		41039,94		-
82		21277,09618		-		40415,4		-
83		21207,10129		-		40502,58		+
84		21216,63146		+		41505,67		+
85		21331,86637		+		42194,73		+
86		21416,83962		+		42002,34		-
87		21392,64775		-		42125,61		+
88		21408,10695		+		42951,75		+
89		21515,46753		+		42938,85		-
90		21513,74158		-		42724,09		-
91		21485,23695		-		43376,85		+
92		21573,20442		+		43571,25		+
93		21600,15919		+		42993,27		-
94		21521,03315		-		42621,33		-
95		21471,7511		-		43020,51		+
96		21524,69326		+		42818,62		-
97		21497,73042		-		42158,4		-
98		21412,24388		-		42992,3		+
99		21520,9029		+		42939,38		-
100		21513,81251		-		44230,97		+
101		21694,15886		+		45924,25		+
102		21952,46856		+		44714,51		-
103		21765,47464		-		42928,65		-
104		21512,37798		-		42756,7		-
105		21489,53734		-		42828,64		+
106		21499,05965		+		43542,17		+
107		21596,10528		+		42333,2		-
108		21434,47249		-		40959,96		-
109		21267,91011		-		40059,32		-
110		21168,99595		-		40613,38		+
111		21228,8568		+		40220,55		-
112		21186,08601		-		39180,23		-
113		21080,64756		-		40047,06		+
114		21167,7075		+		40115,67		+
115		21174,93801		+		40702,82		+
116		21238,8175		+		40465,11		-
117		21212,52575		-		40170,35		-
118		21180,7358		-		39875,77		-
119		21149,87188		-		39515,79		-
120		21113,39983		-		40789,03		+
121		21248,49603		+		41914,3		+
122		21381,69714		+		42429,06		+
123		21446,7872		+		43336,22		+
124		21567,61426		+		43169,58		-
125		21544,84502		-		43325,09		+
126		21566,08555		+		44489,37		+
127		21732,01907		+		43633,67		-
128		21608,8868		-		43683,33		+
129		21615,8553		+		43862,73		+
130		21641,21353		+		44641,85		+
131		21754,63009		+		45002,63		+
132		21808,91591		+		45282,32		+
133		21851,74934		+		45698,49		+
134		21916,66923		+		45104,65		-
135		21824,46475		-		46335,45		+
136		22018,70129		+		47443,65		+
137		22203,55653		+		47163,5		-
138		22155,97548		-		46930,71		-
139		22116,86936		-		48132,11		+
140		22322,82269		+		48930,72		+
141		22465,14161		+		49088,14		+
142		22493,67582		+		49397,32		+
143		22550,16124		+		50121,05		+
144		22684,59845		+		49699,67		-
145		22605,95454		-		48989,65		-
146		22475,80542		-		49210,68		+
147		22515,99338		+		47715,08		-
148		22250,18716		-		48708,09		+
149		22425,05313		+		48006,84		-
150		22300,87953		-		48194,4		+
151		22333,7732		+		47890,75		-
152		22280,6393		-		47955,51		+
153		22291,91883		+		48200,39		+
154		22334,82741		+		47943,58		-
155		22289,83881		-		48625,74		+
156		22410,30451		+		48825,83		+
157		22446,21518		+		49525,55		+
158		22573,75763		+		49776,82		+
159		22620,2771		+		49567,61		-
160		22581,5188		-		49800,83		+
161		22624,74142		+		50621,01		+
162		22779,19383		+		50467,53		-
163		22750,00984		-		50551,02		+
164		22765,86955		+		51837,65		+
165		23014,79137		+		52835,66		+
166		23213,19536		+		53247,94		+
167		23296,36287		+		53520,24		+
168		23351,64959		+		56253,95		+
169		23919,72329		+		56985,69		+
170		24074,90457		+		55060,42		-
171		23669,10565		-		56432,58		+
172		23957,51078		+		57532,02		+
173		24191,36427		+		56592,36		-
174		23991,36477		-		57277,66		+
175		24137,08652		+		58983,91		+
176		24502,62377		+		58940,68		-
177		24493,32965		-		58296,28		-
178		24354,95051		-		57598,15		-
179		24205,49086		-		56988,75		-
180		24075,55554		-		57896,31		+
181		24269,2533		+		57227,66		-
182		24126,4281		-		56376,62		-
183		23945,66615		-		57266,53		+
184		24134,7135		+		56940,58		-
185		24065,31003		-		55865,39		-
186		23837,76083		-		56114,11		+
187		23890,18726		+		57175,59		+
188		24115,33295		+		56096,5		-
189		23886,47104		-		55475		-
190		23755,76269		-		55952,65		+
191		23856,13811		+		58107,95		+
192		24314,5776		+		59333,17		+
193		24577,74911		+		59917,84		+
194		24703,61413		+		59812,92		-
195		24681,02159		-		59080,2		-
196		24523,32914		-		59292,68		+
197		24569,03661		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 102
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)51
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24569.036607188973
New Prediction 1	20929.843676204444
New Prediction 2	21280.575126988566
New Prediction 3	21240.66717325364
New Prediction 4	21245.144843146823
New Prediction 5	21244.641693265155
New Prediction 6	21244.69819064792
New Prediction 7	21244.691805540115
New Prediction 8	21244.692579490824
New Prediction 9	21244.692482746963
New Prediction 10	21244.692482746963
New Prediction 11	21244.692482746963
New Prediction 12	21244.692482746963
New Prediction 13	21244.692482746963
New Prediction 14	21244.692482746963
New Prediction 15	21244.692482746963
New Prediction 16	21244.692482746963
New Prediction 17	21244.692482746963
New Prediction 18	21244.692482746963
New Prediction 19	21244.692482746963
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,02866		+			0,72589		+
2		0,01753		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,03635		-		-0,31841		+
4		-0,00467		+		1,47909		+
5		0,02697		+			1,10515		-
6		0,02913		+			-4,78116		-
7		-0,07185		-		-0,71842		+
8		0,00089		+			-0,10248		+
9		0,00036		-			-0,26714		-
10		0,00122		+			1,78138		+
11		-0,00055		-		2,19907		+
12		0,02482		+			1,15482		-
13		0,02489		+			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00178		-		2,28597		+
15		0,07353		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04293		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,08291		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01027		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04198		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,04347		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02513		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,01999		-		1,30504		+
23		0,04605		+			1,0963		-
24		0,04756		+			1,50272		+
25		0,0788		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01223		-		0,73197		+
27		0,0431		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00423		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01172		+			0,89856		+
30		0,05995		+			0,09		-
31		0,00634		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,10632		-		0,80686		+
33		0,04967		+			1,24195		+
34		0,08585		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,03802		-		2,4851		+
36		0,19695		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02419		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11011		-		1,3954		+
39		0,1206		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01574		-		0,516		+
41		0,04778		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03492		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,05798		-		1,34759		+
44		0,1238		+			1,67936		+
45		0,17479		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02242		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00202		+		1,13416		+
48		0,12915		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01274		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12542		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09798		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02309		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27058		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20401		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08017		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13673		+			0,47324		-
57		0,06988		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12819		-		0,55878		+
59		0,0807		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20205		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10302		-		0,00394		+
62		0,0006		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,11982		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00641		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,24757		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,3932		-			-0,20024		+
67		-0,02003		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05035		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11473		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03061		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17216		+			1,80844		+
72		0,21276		+			0,99151		-
73		0,12848		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09632		-			1,69267		+
75		0,24974		+			0,75165		-
76		0,11915		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00989		-			3,10464		+
78		0,54905		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74821		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,17572		-		0,60833		+
81		0,13454		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04135		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32951		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04493		+			2,44644		+
85		0,54167		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39755		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11302		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07224		+			1,94215		+
89		0,50024		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00802		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13258		-		1,5163		+
92		0,4086		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12487		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36699		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22926		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24626		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12534		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39845		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50618		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03295		-		2,96359		+
101		0,83479		+			3,75681		+
102		1,18365		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,85546		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,16965		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10623		+		0,16811		+
106		0,0443		+			1,65229		+
107		0,45038		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,75125		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,78011		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46617		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28238		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20168		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49892		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41213		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03415		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30122		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12387		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14998		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14582		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17259		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63782		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62492		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30396		-			2,11553		+
124		0,5618		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10563		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09854		+			2,65184		+
127		0,76647		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,5682		-			0,11375		+
129		0,03224		+			0,40984		+
130		0,11724		+			1,76068		+
131		0,52271		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24923		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19621		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29665		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,42159		-		2,6922		+
136		0,88606		+			2,36354		-
137		0,83603		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21452		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17666		+		2,52773		+
140		0,9269		+			1,64559		-
141		0,63553		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12693		-			0,62787		+
143		0,2508		+			1,45449		+
144		0,5944		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34729		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,57739		-		0,45016		+
147		0,17865		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,18755		-		2,05976		+
149		0,78284		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,55527		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14739		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23819		-		0,13513		+
153		0,05061		+			0,50934		+
154		0,1923		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,20163		-		1,41281		+
156		0,539		+			0,41065		-
157		0,16011		-			1,42292		+
158		0,56661		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20587		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,17149		-		0,46941		+
161		0,19122		+			1,63351		+
162		0,68035		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,1282		-			0,1653		+
164		0,06969		+			2,51336		+
165		1,08746		+			1,90696		-
166		0,85838		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35764		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23704		-			4,98164		+
169		2,40357		+			1,29239		-
170		0,64666		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,69994		-		2,46155		+
172		1,21112		+			1,9295		-
173		0,97138		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,83018		-		1,20367		+
175		0,60556		+			2,9354		+
176		1,50307		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03794		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,56657		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,61556		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,53825		+		1,57998		+
181		0,80132		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,59024		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,75205		-		1,56618		+
184		0,78638		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,28798		-		-1,90632		-
186		-0,95005		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21969		+			1,87398		+
188		0,93801		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,95356		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,54871		+		0,85733		+
191		0,42164		+			3,77967		+
192		1,90345		+			2,0866		-
193		1,07655		-			0,98058		-
194		0,5108		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,0915		-			-1,23258		-
196		-0,64097		-		0,359		+
197		0,18621		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 76
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)38
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,03109		+		-16,03109		+
2		1,66186		+			1,66186		+
3		-0,18771		-		-0,18771		-
4		0,02108		+			0,02108		+
5		-0,00237		-		-0,00237		-
6		0,00027		+			0,00027		+
7		-0,00003		-		-0,00003		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29777537196397413

 3.run Duration 	16 seconds 289 milliseconds

 (Input) Features length:20
Output length:1
edu.boun.cmpe.ftsa.neural.models.rbf.RBFNetwork@5e7020 ready ...
Start Training
train epoch 0: 0.0024877719036668893
train epoch 1: 3.594167763500185E-4
train epoch 2: 3.5934459003644515E-4
train epoch 3: 3.592724460236388E-4
train epoch 4: 3.592003441744885E-4
train epoch 5: 3.591282843222068E-4
train epoch 6: 3.5905626630046926E-4
train epoch 7: 3.589842899434966E-4
train epoch 8: 3.589123550863983E-4
train epoch 9: 3.588404615644861E-4
train epoch 10: 3.587686092124052E-4
train epoch 11: 3.5869679786615843E-4
train epoch 12: 3.586250273636838E-4
train epoch 13: 3.585532975426286E-4
train epoch 14: 3.5848160823756785E-4
train epoch 15: 3.5840995928617634E-4
train epoch 16: 3.5833835052655877E-4
train epoch 17: 3.5826678179725794E-4
train epoch 18: 3.5819525293725085E-4
train epoch 19: 3.581237637859528E-4
train epoch 20: 3.580523141832054E-4
train epoch 21: 3.5798090396928656E-4
train epoch 22: 3.5790953298489483E-4
train epoch 23: 3.578382010711766E-4
train epoch 24: 3.577669080697008E-4
train epoch 25: 3.5769565382243954E-4
train epoch 26: 3.576244381718185E-4
train epoch 27: 3.5755326096067097E-4
train epoch 28: 3.574821220322612E-4
train epoch 29: 3.5741102123026356E-4
train epoch 30: 3.573399583987908E-4
train epoch 31: 3.572689333823685E-4
train epoch 32: 3.571979460259205E-4
train epoch 33: 3.571269961748114E-4
train epoch 34: 3.570560836748124E-4
train epoch 35: 3.5698520837211637E-4
train epoch 36: 3.569143701133143E-4
train epoch 37: 3.568435687454251E-4
train epoch 38: 3.5677280411586503E-4
train epoch 39: 3.5670207607247625E-4
train epoch 40: 3.5663138446348166E-4
train epoch 41: 3.5656072913755027E-4
train epoch 42: 3.564901099437325E-4
train epoch 43: 3.5641952673148755E-4
train epoch 44: 3.5634897935067866E-4
train epoch 45: 3.562784676515695E-4
train epoch 46: 3.5620799148484067E-4
train epoch 47: 3.5613755070155377E-4
train epoch 48: 3.56067145153181E-4
train epoch 49: 3.5599677469159914E-4
End Training
Test with Training data set
Test with Validation data set
Test on the Test data set
hit rate:0.020100502512562814
hit rate + :0.00510204081632653
hit rate - :1.0
hit rate directional prediction :0.020306661512691664
hit rate E-Increase :0.020409741012756086
hit rate Naive Predictor :1.0
mse:0.5923279546566409
mae:0.7298805626367353
rmse:0.7696284523434934
mape:6.920144719055138
corr:0.9724150588063449
theil coefficient:27.289828787267627
net profit:44.799811105194934
buy and hold:-6.924713358098119E-4
mean profit per trade:0.22741020865581185
Test Started
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		20743,35313		+		32155,21		+
1		20751,41563		+		32389,47		+
2		20755,9075		+		31833,73		-
3		20746,30059		-		31732,53		-
4		20744,94188		-		32205,37		+
5		20752,32324		+		32563,26		+
6		20759,65578		+		31042,99		-
7		20738,89403		-		30820,77		-
8		20738,13876		-		30789,2		-
9		20738,07869		-		30707,06		-
10		20737,97748		-		31258,97		+
11		20740,1859		+		31953,99		+
12		20748,07181		+		32325,14		+
13		20754,60985		+		32302,07		-
14		20754,15631		-		33048,99		+
15		20772,00712		+		33379,53		+
16		20781,98756		+		32684,23		-
17		20762,47375		-		32577,09		-
18		20759,96927		-		32979,02		+
19		20770,05786		+		32560,89		-
20		20759,60229		-		32814,31		+
21		20765,69506		+		32615,92		-
22		20760,86142		-		33044,36		+
23		20771,87636		+		33408,62		+
24		20782,92685		+		33914,45		+
25		20800,83129		+		33841,77		-
26		20798,07614		-		34090,39		+
27		20807,75387		+		34113,74		+
28		20808,69949		+		34177,52		+
29		20811,31451		+		34486,01		+
30		20824,62467		+		34517,06		+
31		20826,02502		+		33954		-
32		20802,35624		-		34229,07		+
33		20813,46241		+		34656,83		+
34		20832,46565		+		34473,76		-
35		20824,07525		-		35341,2		+
36		20867,2263		+		35436,38		+
37		20872,48295		+		34985,45		-
38		20848,49012		-		35477,06		+
39		20874,76098		+		35415,91		-
40		20871,34376		-		35599,13		+
41		20881,70909		+		35465,95		-
42		20874,13697		-		35235,93		-
43		20861,53212		-		35713,98		+
44		20888,39996		+		36318,81		+
45		20926,0822		+		36244,96		-
46		20921,26169		-		36238,27		-
47		20920,82802		-		36651,61		+
48		20948,55843		+		36690,84		+
49		20951,28884		+		37064,27		+
50		20978,12971		+		37341,66		+
51		20999,05842		+		37405,4		+
52		21003,98622		+		36616,43		-
53		20946,12439		-		37220		+
54		20989,77577		+		37442,67		+
55		21006,88808		+		37806,83		+
56		21036,03427		+		37986,17		+
57		21050,91396		+		37653,78		-
58		21023,60984		-		37864,77		+
59		21040,8037		+		38368,66		+
60		21083,79895		+		38115,81		-
61		21061,88495		-		38117,31		+
62		21062,01293		+		37812,55		-
63		21036,50351		-		37795,9		-
64		21035,13862		-		37120,78		-
65		20982,32503		-		35873,33		-
66		20897,92953		-		35801,57		-
67		20893,6027		-		35980,06		+
68		20904,47193		+		35563,59		-
69		20879,66879		-		35678,19		+
70		20886,29897		+		36278,29		+
71		20923,42976		+		36940,33		+
72		20969,0511		+		37308,42		+
73		20996,50617		+		37571,76		+
74		21017,05573		+		38213,14		+
75		21070,23971		+		38501,45		+
76		21095,57964		+		38524,92		+
77		21097,6812		+		39739,74		+
78		21214,31527		+		41191,35		+
79		21373,31699		+		40866,67		-
80		21335,94738		-		41116,03		+
81		21364,5568		+		41039,94		-
82		21355,76284		-		40415,4		-
83		21285,72152		-		40502,58		+
84		21295,26786		+		41505,67		+
85		21410,46352		+		42194,73		+
86		21495,17358		+		42002,34		-
87		21471,07427		-		42125,61		+
88		21486,47585		+		42951,75		+
89		21593,29641		+		42938,85		-
90		21591,58093		-		42724,09		-
91		21563,24115		-		43376,85		+
92		21650,65284		+		43571,25		+
93		21677,41087		+		42993,27		-
94		21598,82791		-		42621,33		-
95		21549,82787		-		43020,51		+
96		21602,46528		+		42818,62		-
97		21575,66425		-		42158,4		-
98		21490,59645		-		42992,3		+
99		21598,69847		+		42939,38		-
100		21591,65143		-		44230,97		+
101		21770,63831		+		45924,25		+
102		22026,25761		+		44714,51		-
103		21841,28771		-		42928,65		-
104		21590,22556		-		42756,7		-
105		21567,51766		-		42828,64		+
106		21576,98582		+		43542,17		+
107		21673,38729		+		42333,2		-
108		21512,7308		-		40959,96		-
109		21346,5798		-		40059,32		-
110		21247,51719		-		40613,38		+
111		21307,5092		+		40220,55		-
112		21264,65863		-		39180,23		-
113		21158,69579		-		40047,06		+
114		21246,22439		+		40115,67		+
115		21253,47845		+		40702,82		+
116		21317,47911		+		40465,11		-
117		21291,15558		-		40170,35		-
118		21259,29359		-		39875,77		-
119		21228,32133		-		39515,79		-
120		21191,66724		-		40789,03		+
121		21327,16338		+		41914,3		+
122		21460,1611		+		42429,06		+
123		21524,98872		+		43336,22		+
124		21645,10201		+		43169,58		-
125		21622,48753		-		43325,09		+
126		21643,58397		+		44489,37		+
127		21808,15281		+		43633,67		-
128		21686,0723		-		43683,33		+
129		21692,98711		+		43862,73		+
130		21718,14377		+		44641,85		+
131		21830,54862		+		45002,63		+
132		21884,29252		+		45282,32		+
133		21926,67465		+		45698,49		+
134		21990,87363		+		45104,65		-
135		21899,67988		-		46335,45		+
136		22091,69092		+		47443,65		+
137		22274,12634		+		47163,5		-
138		22227,1925		-		46930,71		-
139		22188,60618		-		48132,11		+
140		22391,70451		+		48930,72		+
141		22531,90002		+		49088,14		+
142		22559,9957		+		49397,32		+
143		22615,60146		+		50121,05		+
144		22747,88798		+		49699,67		-
145		22670,51155		-		48989,65		-
146		22542,40041		-		49210,68		+
147		22581,96751		+		47715,08		-
148		22320,10776		-		48708,09		+
149		22492,42069		+		48006,84		-
150		22370,07857		-		48194,4		+
151		22402,49564		+		47890,75		-
152		22350,12836		-		47955,51		+
153		22361,24657		+		48200,39		+
154		22403,53447		+		47943,58		-
155		22359,19636		-		48625,74		+
156		22477,89407		+		48825,83		+
157		22513,2622		+		49525,55		+
158		22638,826		+		49776,82		+
159		22684,60519		+		49567,61		-
160		22646,46433		-		49800,83		+
161		22688,99798		+		50621,01		+
162		22840,92666		+		50467,53		-
163		22812,22648		-		50551,02		+
164		22827,82365		+		51837,65		+
165		23072,51562		+		52835,66		+
166		23267,42427		+		53247,94		+
167		23349,10011		+		53520,24		+
168		23403,38769		+		56253,95		+
169		23960,94119		+		56985,69		+
170		24113,19689		+		55060,42		-
171		23715,01149		-		56432,58		+
172		23998,01752		+		57532,02		+
173		24227,45417		+		56592,36		-
174		24031,23365		-		57277,66		+
175		24174,20343		+		58983,91		+
176		24532,81822		+		58940,68		-
177		24523,70004		-		58296,28		-
178		24387,94197		-		57598,15		-
179		24241,31334		-		56988,75		-
180		24113,83556		-		57896,31		+
181		24303,8683		+		57227,66		-
182		24163,74658		-		56376,62		-
183		23986,3959		-		57266,53		+
184		24171,87529		+		56940,58		-
185		24103,78358		-		55865,39		-
186		23880,51785		-		56114,11		+
187		23931,96037		+		57175,59		+
188		24152,86122		+		56096,5		-
189		23928,31396		-		55475		-
190		23800,05405		-		55952,65		+
191		23898,55047		+		58107,95		+
192		24348,33397		+		59333,17		+
193		24606,52216		+		59917,84		+
194		24730,01006		+		59812,92		-
195		24707,84372		-		59080,2		-
196		24553,13169		-		59292,68		+
197		24597,97442		+		59559,97		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 104
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)52
Test Finished
Validation Started
Validation Finished
Train Started
Train Finished
New Predictions Started
New Prediction 0	24597.97441982441
New Prediction 1	20951.231193377134
New Prediction 2	21277.30024949377
New Prediction 3	21242.506561681523
New Prediction 4	21246.168384693054
New Prediction 5	21245.782435755067
New Prediction 6	21245.823084245283
New Prediction 7	21245.818819712706
New Prediction 8	21245.819273385594
New Prediction 9	21245.819182651005
New Prediction 10	21245.819182651005
New Prediction 11	21245.819182651005
New Prediction 12	21245.819182651005
New Prediction 13	21245.819182651005
New Prediction 14	21245.819182651005
New Prediction 15	21245.819182651005
New Prediction 16	21245.819182651005
New Prediction 17	21245.819182651005
New Prediction 18	21245.819182651005
New Prediction 19	21245.819182651005
New Predictions Finished
returns for test predicted vs. actual
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		0,03886		+			0,72589		+
2		0,02164		-			-1,7307		-
3		-0,0463		-			-0,31841		+
4		-0,00655		+		1,47909		+
5		0,03558		+			1,10515		-
6		0,03533		-			-4,78116		-
7		-0,10006		-		-0,71842		+
8		-0,00364		+		-0,10248		+
9		-0,00029		+		-0,26714		-
10		-0,00049		-		1,78138		+
11		0,01065		+			2,19907		+
12		0,03802		+			1,15482		-
13		0,03151		-			-0,07139		-
14		-0,00219		-		2,28597		+
15		0,08597		+			0,99518		-
16		0,04804		-			-2,10501		-
17		-0,09394		-		-0,32834		+
18		-0,01206		+		1,22623		+
19		0,04858		+			-1,27597		-
20		-0,05035		-		0,77528		+
21		0,02934		+			-0,60642		-
22		-0,02328		-		1,30504		+
23		0,05304		+			1,0963		-
24		0,05319		+			1,50272		+
25		0,08611		+			-0,21453		-
26		-0,01325		-		0,73197		+
27		0,04652		+			0,06847		-
28		0,00454		-			0,18679		+
29		0,01257		+			0,89856		+
30		0,06394		+			0,09		-
31		0,00672		-			-1,6447		-
32		-0,11371		-		0,80686		+
33		0,05337		+			1,24195		+
34		0,09126		+			-0,52964		-
35		-0,04028		-		2,4851		+
36		0,207		+			0,26896		-
37		0,02519		-			-1,28067		-
38		-0,11502		-		1,3954		+
39		0,12593		+			-0,17251		-
40		-0,01637		-		0,516		+
41		0,04965		+			-0,37481		-
42		-0,03627		-		-0,65068		-
43		-0,0604		-			1,34759		+
44		0,12871		+			1,67936		+
45		0,18024		+			-0,20355		-
46		-0,02304		-		-0,01846		+
47		-0,00207		+		1,13416		+
48		0,13246		+			0,10698		-
49		0,01303		-			1,01263		+
50		0,12803		+			0,74562		-
51		0,09971		-			0,17055		-
52		0,02346		-			-2,1318		-
53		-0,27586		-		1,63492		+
54		0,20818		+			0,59647		-
55		0,08149		-			0,96788		+
56		0,13865		+			0,47324		-
57		0,07071		-			-0,87888		-
58		-0,12979		-		0,55878		+
59		0,08175		+			1,32199		+
60		0,20413		+			-0,66118		-
61		-0,10399		-		0,00394		+
62		0,00061		+			-0,80275		-
63		-0,12119		-		-0,04404		+
64		-0,00649		+		-1,80237		-
65		-0,25139		-		-3,41828		-
66		-0,40303		-		-0,20024		+
67		-0,02071		+		0,49731		+
68		0,05201		+			-1,16425		-
69		-0,11872		-		0,32172		+
70		0,03175		+			1,66799		+
71		0,17762		+			1,80844		+
72		0,2178		+			0,99151		-
73		0,13085		-			0,70337		-
74		0,09782		-			1,69267		+
75		0,25273		+			0,75165		-
76		0,12019		-			0,06094		-
77		0,00996		-			3,10464		+
78		0,55131		+			3,58766		+
79		0,74671		+			-0,79135		-
80		-0,175		-			0,60833		+
81		0,134		+			-0,18523		-
82		-0,04117		-		-1,53348		-
83		-0,32851		-		0,21548		+
84		0,04484		+			2,44644		+
85		0,53949		+			1,64653		-
86		0,39487		-			-0,457		-
87		-0,11218		-		0,29305		+
88		0,07171		+			1,94215		+
89		0,49592		+			-0,03004		-
90		-0,00794		-		-0,50141		-
91		-0,13134		-		1,5163		+
92		0,40455		+			0,44716		-
93		0,12351		-			-1,33539		-
94		-0,36317		-		-0,86888		+
95		-0,22712		+		0,93221		+
96		0,24396		+			-0,47039		-
97		-0,12414		-		-1,55391		-
98		-0,39506		-		1,95871		+
99		0,50176		+			-0,12317		-
100		-0,03263		-		2,96359		+
101		0,82555		+			3,75681		+
102		1,16731		+			-2,66952		-
103		-0,84332		-		-4,07586		-
104		-1,15614		-		-0,40135		+
105		-0,10523		+		0,16811		+
106		0,04389		+			1,65229		+
107		0,44578		+			-2,81582		-
108		-0,74402		-		-3,29766		-
109		-0,77534		-		-2,22336		+
110		-0,46515		+		1,37362		+
111		0,28195		+			-0,97195		-
112		-0,20131		-		-2,62058		-
113		-0,49955		-		2,1883		+
114		0,41282		+			0,17118		-
115		0,03414		-			1,45303		+
116		0,30068		+			-0,58573		-
117		-0,12356		-		-0,7311		-
118		-0,14976		-		-0,73603		-
119		-0,14579		+		-0,90685		-
120		-0,17282		-		3,17128		+
121		0,63735		+			2,72139		-
122		0,62167		-			1,22064		-
123		0,30163		-			2,11553		+
124		0,55647		+			-0,38527		-
125		-0,10453		-		0,35958		+
126		0,09752		+			2,65184		+
127		0,75748		+			-1,94212		-
128		-0,56137		-		0,11375		+
129		0,03188		+			0,40984		+
130		0,1159		+			1,76068		+
131		0,51623		+			0,80492		-
132		0,24588		-			0,61957		-
133		0,19348		-			0,91486		+
134		0,29236		+			-1,30799		-
135		-0,41555		-		2,6922		+
136		0,87295		+			2,36354		-
137		0,82242		-			-0,59224		-
138		-0,21093		-		-0,4948		+
139		-0,17375		+		2,52773		+
140		0,91116		+			1,64559		-
141		0,62415		-			0,3212		-
142		0,12462		-			0,62787		+
143		0,24618		+			1,45449		+
144		0,58323		+			-0,84428		-
145		-0,34073		-		-1,43892		-
146		-0,5667		-			0,45016		+
147		0,17537		+			-3,08632		-
148		-1,16637		-		2,05976		+
149		0,76904		+			-1,45016		-
150		-0,54541		-		0,38993		+
151		0,14481		+			-0,63205		-
152		-0,23403		-		0,13513		+
153		0,04973		+			0,50934		+
154		0,18893		+			-0,53422		-
155		-0,1981		-			1,41281		+
156		0,52946		+			0,41065		-
157		0,15722		-			1,42292		+
158		0,55618		+			0,50607		-
159		0,20201		-			-0,42118		-
160		-0,16828		-		0,46941		+
161		0,18764		+			1,63351		+
162		0,66738		+			-0,30365		-
163		-0,12573		-		0,1653		+
164		0,06835		+			2,51336		+
165		1,0662		+			1,90696		-
166		0,84122		-			0,77728		-
167		0,35042		-			0,51008		-
168		0,23223		-			4,98164		+
169		2,35443		+			1,29239		-
170		0,63342		-			-3,43691		-
171		-1,6651		-			2,46155		+
172		1,1863		+			1,9295		-
173		0,95152		-			-1,64677		-
174		-0,81321		-		1,20367		+
175		0,59317		+			2,9354		+
176		1,47256		+			-0,07332		-
177		-0,03717		-		-1,09932		-
178		-0,55512		-		-1,20478		-
179		-0,60305		-		-1,06366		+
180		-0,52726		+		1,57998		+
181		0,78498		+			-1,16163		-
182		-0,57821		-		-1,49828		-
183		-0,73666		-		1,56618		+
184		0,77029		+			-0,57081		-
185		-0,2821		-			-1,90632		-
186		-0,93058		-		0,44422		+
187		0,21518		+			1,87398		+
188		0,9188		+			-1,90536		-
189		-0,93404		-		-1,1141		+
190		-0,53746		+		0,85733		+
191		0,413		+			3,77967		+
192		1,86456		+			2,0866		-
193		1,05481		-			0,98058		-
194		0,5006		-			-0,17526		-
195		-0,08967		-		-1,23258		-
196		-0,62813		-		0,359		+
197		0,18247		+			0,44978		+
Num of Correct Predictions: 77
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)39
returns for forecasts predicted vs. predicted
00 		predicted 	 direction			actual 		 direction
0		0		+			0		+
1		-16,04667		+		-16,04667		+
2		1,54434		+			1,54434		+
3		-0,16366		-		-0,16366		-
4		0,01724		+			0,01724		+
5		-0,00182		-		-0,00182		-
6		0,00019		+			0,00019		+
7		-0,00002		-		-0,00002		-
8		0		+			0		+
9		-0		-			-0		-
10		0		+			0		+
11		0		-			0		-
12		0		-			0		-
13		0		-			0		-
14		0		-			0		-
15		0		-			0		-
16		0		-			0		-
17		0		-			0		-
18		0		-			0		-
19		0		-			0		-
Num of Correct Predictions: 20
Num of Correct Predictions: (%)105
Test Error:0.29616397732832045

 4.run Duration 	16 seconds 226 milliseconds

Finished All Runs

 Total Duration	1 minutes 31 seconds 461 milliseconds
