A new methodology for climate model selection and application to temperature, heat wave, WBGT and labor productivity analysis

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dc.contributorPh.D. Program in Physics.
dc.contributor.advisorKurnaz, M. Levent.
dc.contributor.authorAltınsoy, Hamza.
dc.date.accessioned2023-03-16T10:46:19Z
dc.date.available2023-03-16T10:46:19Z
dc.date.issued2018.
dc.description.abstractIn this thesis, the answers to four main research questions are sought. The first effort is about the finding the most accurate model combinations to project intended climate variables. A new methodology is proposed and testified to achieve this purpose. CORDEX Project is the main model data source and monthly temperature is the observed climate variable over Europe, Africa, West Asia, Central and South America. The suggested methodology outreaches the favorite EWA (Equally Weighted Average) approach in climate studies. It is found that CSIRO as GCM and CLM as RCM is the best choice to simulate temperature patterns. Besides, another methodology is proposed to select daily data sets of the most successful model combinations. Moreover, a new definition of “extremely hot day” is proposed. The selected model combinations, new definition of extremely hot day and TLVs of NIOSH are used to estimate the future heat waves, Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) and labor productivity. It is found that adverse effects of climate change over the Northern Europe, the Mediterranean Coastal, the Sub-Saharan and Northern Africa, the southern Arabian Peninsula, Brazil, Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan and the eastern Turkey will be more devastating than the remaining parts of the World.
dc.format.extent30 cm.
dc.format.pagesxxxiv, 274 leaves ;
dc.identifier.otherPHYS 2018 A47 PhD
dc.identifier.urihttps://digitalarchive.library.bogazici.edu.tr/handle/123456789/13781
dc.publisherThesis (Ph.D.)-Bogazici University. Institute for Graduate Studies in Science and Engineering, 2018.
dc.subject.lcshClimatic changes -- Forecasting.
dc.subject.lcshGlobal temperature changes.
dc.titleA new methodology for climate model selection and application to temperature, heat wave, WBGT and labor productivity analysis

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